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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 11 August 2002
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday CONFERENCE REGISTRATION
Monday, 12 August 2002
	7:30 AM, Monday Session REGISTRATION CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, 16 AUGUST (Joint between the 21st Conf. on Severe Local Storms and the 19th Conf. on weather Analysis and Forecasting/15th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction)
	8:15 AM, Monday Opening Remarks
Organizer: Edward L Bensman, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE
	8:30 AM-9:15 AM, Monday Joint Session 1 Joint Keynote Address (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
8:30 AM J1.1 Forecasting severe local storms...past, present, and future   Robert H. Johns, Retired severe local storms forecaster, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss
	9:15 AM-10:00 AM, Monday Joint Session 2 Joint Keynote Address II (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
Organizer: Edward L. Bensman, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE
9:15 AM J2.1 Grassroots science and technology transfer in a collaborative research/operational environment   John S. Kain, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. E. Baldwin, S. J. Weiss, P. R. Janish, J. A. Hart, and A. Just
	10:00 AM, Monday COFFEE BREAK
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Session 1 Mesoscale Convective Systems I
Organizer: Stan Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM 1.1 The role of low-level vertical wind shear in promoting long-lived, severe wind-producing convective systems   Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO 10:45 AM 1.2 Dynamics of convective lines with leading precipitation   Matthew D. Parker, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 11:00 AM 1.3 An Observational and Numerical Study of Derecho-Producing Convective Systems   Michael C. Coniglio, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and M. B. Richman 11:15 AM 1.4 Observations of the 27 May 2001 High-End Derecho Event in Oklahoma   Daniel J. Miller, NOAA/NWSFO, Norman, OK; and D. L. Andra, J. S. Evans, and R. H. Johns 11:30 AM 1.5 A mesoscale analysis of the Lubbock area bow echo of 30 May 2001   Caleb J. Midgley, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and M. R. Conder, A. L. Doggett, and S. W. Weinbeck 11:45 AM 1.6 The Effects of Coastlines on the Evolution of Strong, Long Lived Squall Lines   Todd P. Lericos, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg, A. I. Watson, and M. L. Weisman
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday LUNCH BREAK
	1:00 PM, Monday Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday Session 2 Mesoscale Convective Systems II
Organizer: Ray Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA
1:30 PM 2.1 Low-Level Mesovortices within Squall Lines: Vortexgenesis and Association with Damaging Surface Winds   Robert J. Trapp, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman 1:45 PM 2.2 Fine Scale Structures of a Squall Line Observed By NCAR ELDORA   Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Wakimoto and J. F. Gamache 2:00 PM 2.3 Doppler radar observations of a small mesoscale convective vortex within a mesoscale convective system   Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and T. A. Coleman 2:15 PM 2.4 Severe Weather Evolution Associated with a Bow Echo and a Series of Mesolows   Diana M. Blahyj, SUNY, Brockport, NY; and D. A. Imy 2:30 PM 2.5 Evolution of an intense MCS over south-central Arizona on 16–17 August 2001   G. Douglas Green, NOAA/NWSFO, Phoenix, AZ; and D. N. Runyan 2:45 PM 2.6 The degree of balance in a midlatitude, continental mesoscale convective vortex   Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. S. Nolan, J. P. Kossin, and R. H. Johnson
	3:00 PM, Monday Coffee Break with the Poster Session
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Mesoscale Convective Systems and MCVs
P1.1 The maintenance of severe mesoscale convective systems through the southern Appalachians: favorable vs. unfavorable environments   Stephen J. Keighton, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA; and J. Jackson and W. Perry   P1.2 The 10–11 April 2001 late night tornado outbreak along a squall line in south central Nebraska/north central Kansas   Rick Ewald, NOAA/NWS, Hastings, NE; and D. D. Nietfeld   P1.3 Radar Survey of Mesoscale Convective System Development   Israel L. Jirak, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton and R. L. McAnelly   P1.4 The Structure and Dynamics of Moist Absolutely Unstable Layers in Simulated Squall Lines   George H. Bryan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch   P1.5 Evolution of a mesoscale convective vortex over Northern Arizona   David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ   P1.6 A preliminary investigation of derecho-producing MCSs over the central and eastern United States in environments of very low dewpoints   Stephen F. Corfidi, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK   P1.7 A preliminary comparison between convectively generated mesoscale vortices in the United States and in China   Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO   P1.8 A turn of events for a long-lived convective system   John D. Tuttle, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 2 Convectively Driven High Wind Events
P2.1 Storm Surge on Lake Butte Des Morts during the 11 June 2001 bow echo event   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX; and E. S. Brusky and J. K. Last   P2.2 Polarimetric radar observations of a microburst-producing thunderstorm during STEPS   Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA, Norman, OK   P2.3 Meteorological characteristics of a severe wind and dust emission event; southwestern USA, 6–7 April 2001   Arthur L. Doggett IV, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and T. E. Gill, R. E. Peterson, A. J. -. M. Bory, and P. E. Biscaye   P2.4 Fine-scale outflow structure of the 10 July 2001 Greeley, CO convective wind event   Bruce D. Lee, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and C. A. Finley   P2.5 Convective Wind Storms   Edward Henderson, DOE, Norfolk, VA   P2.6 Analysis of convective downdrafts and microbursts using a simple, one-dimensional model   Daniel T. Lindsey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall   P2.7 A Case Study of 7–9 April 2001 Dust Storm in Northern China   Shigong Wang, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China; and M. Yang, M. Liu, D. Westphal, K. D. Sashegyi, and Q. Xu P2.8 A comparison of the environment and structure of the 29 May and 25 June 2000 derechos   Cory A. Wolff, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO   P2.9 A climatological analysis of heatbursts in Oklahoma   Justin D. Lane, NOAA/NWSFO, Greer, SC
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 3 Hail and Hailstorms
P3.1 Characteristics of severe hail events in eastern Australia   Donna F. Tucker, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS   P3.2 Hail Damage Threshold Sizes for Common Roofing and Siding Materials   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX; and R. F. Herzog, S. J. Morrison, and S. R. Smith   P3.3 The Historic Missouri-Illinois High Precipitation Supercell of 10 April 2001   Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO; and M. F. Britt   P3.4 The Mayfest High-Precipitation Supercell of 5 May 1995—A Case Study   Edward J. Calianese, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and J. K. Jordan, E. B. Curran, A. R. Moller, and G. Woodall
	4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Monday Session 3 Bow Echo and MCV Experiment (BAMEX) Symposium
Organizer: Ron Przybylinski, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO
4:30 PM 3.1 Probing Rotationally Dominated Mesoscale Convective Systems   Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO 4:52 PM 3.2 Outstanding issues related to bow echoes and derechoes component of BAMEX   Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and R. J. Trapp 5:15 PM 3.3 The Research Aircraft Component of the Bow-Echo and MCV Experiment (BAMEX)   David P. Jorgensen, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Wakimoto 5:37 PM 3.4 Plans for Ground-Based Observations During BAMEX   Michael I. Biggerstaff, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
	8:00 PM-9:00 PM, Monday Weather Event Simulator Workshop
Tuesday, 13 August 2002
	8:00 AM-9:00 AM, Tuesday Joint Session 3 Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
Organizer: Robert H. Johns, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK
8:00 AM J3.1 A Structured Process for Prediction of Convection Associated with Split Cold Fronts   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO 8:15 AM J3.2 Evaluation and Interpretation of the Supercell Composite and Significant Tornado Parameters at the Storm Prediction Center   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards and J. A. Hart 8:30 AM J3.3 Operational ensemble cloud model forecasts: Some preliminary results   Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSSL, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, P. C. Banacos, and S. K. Jones 8:45 AM J3.4 Automated Gridded Forecast Guidance for Thunderstorms and Severe Local Storms Based on the Eta Model   Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday Session 4 Radar and Multi-Sensor Applications
Organizers: Les Lemon, Baron Services Inc, Huntsville, AL; Greg Stumpf, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
8:00 AM 4.1 NEXRAD Product ImprovemenT—Expanding Science Horizons   Robert E. Saffle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. C. Elvander and M. J. Istok 8:15 AM 4.2 Dissemination and Utilization of NEXRAD Data in the Unidata Community   Steven R. Chiswell, Savannah River National Laboratory, Aiken, SC 8:29 AM 4.3 Paper has been moved to Poster Session P4, New paper number P4.13   8:30 AM 4.3a Diagnosed Structure of the Mulhall Tornado Using VTD Algorithm (Formerly paper P4.12)   Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wurman 8:45 AM 4.4 Visualization of Radar Data in Three-dimensions   Arthur L. Doggett IV, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and X. Gilliam, K. Manross, and M. Gamel 9:00 AM 4.5 WDSS-II: An Extensible, Multi-source Meteorological Algorithm Development Interface   V. Lakshmanan, NOAA/NSSL & Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 9:15 AM 4.6 The Multiple-Radar Severe Storm Analysis Program (MR-SSAP) for WDSS-II   Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith and A. E. Gerard 9:30 AM 4.7 The WDSS-II Supercell Identification and Assessment Algorithm   Richard Jason Lynn, NOAA/NCEP/SPC and CIMMS, Norman, OK 9:45 AM 4.8 Current and Planned Activities for the Warning Decision Support System—Integrated Information (WDSS-II)   Kurt D. Hondl, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
	9:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday Joint Session 4 Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
Organizer: John S. Kain, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
9:00 AM J4.1 Forecast guidance from NCEP's high resolution nonhydrostatic mesoscale model   Thomas L. Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Rogers, Z. Janjic, H. Chuang, and G. DiMego 9:15 AM J4.2 Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations   John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. E. Baldwin, S. J. Weiss, P. R. Janish, G. W. Carbin, M. P. Kay, and L. Brown 9:30 AM J4.3 Analysis of Mesoscale Vertical Circulations using WSR-88D VAD and Wind Profiler Data   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO 9:45 AM J4.4 Summer storm initiation and evolution in central Arizona   Pamela L. MacKeen, CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Schultz
	10:00 AM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-11:15 AM, Tuesday Joint Session 5 The Use of Mesoscale models in Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
Organizer: David Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
10:30 AM J5.1 A Preliminary Examination of the Performance of Several Mesoscale Models for Convective Forecasting During IHOP   Edward J. Szoke, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. Shaw, M. P. Kay, J. M. Brown, P. Janish, and R. Schneider 10:45 AM J5.2 Parameterization of convection at mesoscale resolution   James M. Done, University of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and P. A. Clark, G. C. Craig, M. E. B. Gray, and S. L. Gray 11:00 AM J5.3 Impact of GPS water vapor data on RUC severe weather forecasts   Tracy Lorraine Smith, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Ft. Collins, CO and NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, S. I. Gutman, and B. Schwartz
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 5 Radar Applications
Organizers: Don Burgess, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Josh Wurman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
10:30 AM 5.1 Radar characteristics of violent tornadic storms using the NSSL algorithms across separate geographic regions of the United States   Chris Broyles, NOAA/NWS, Amarillo, TX; and R. Wynne, N. Dipasquale, H. Guerrero, and T. Hendricks 10:45 AM 5.2 Relationships between baroclinically-generated horizontal vorticity and mesocyclone intensity as revealed by simple adjoint wind retrievals using WSR-88D data   Janelle M. Janish, CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier and J. Gao 11:00 AM 5.3 Development of warning criteria for severe pulse thunderstorms in the Northeastern United States using the WSR-88D   Carl S. Cerniglia, NOAA/NWSFO, Seattle, WA; and W. R. Snyder 11:15 AM 5.4 Increasing the Usefulness of a Mesocyclone Climatology   Kevin M. McGrath, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and T. A. Jones and J. T. Snow 11:30 AM 5.5 Improved Methodology for Correlating Mesocyclone Detections with Tornadoes   Thomas A. Jones, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. McGrath and J. T. Snow 11:45 AM 5.6 The July 4 2001 Severe Weather outbreak in Southern Ontario as Diagnosed by the New Radar Data Processing System of the National Radar Project of Canada   Mike Leduc, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and P. Joe, M. Falla, P. Van Rijn, S. Lapczak, I. Ruddick, A. Ashton, and R. Alsen
	11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Joint Session 6 The Use of Mesoscale Models in Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
Organizer: Edward L. Bensman, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE
11:15 AM J6.1 Mesoscale modeling at WFO Jacksonville: Five years of trying to get Florida severe weather right   Patrick T. Welsh, NOAA/NWSFO, Jacksonville, FL 11:30 AM J6.2 Evaluation of a rapidly relocatable high-resolution numerical model for meteorological nowcasting based on MM5   Nelson L. Seaman, Penn State Univ, University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng, A. M. Gibbs, A. J. Schroeder, and G. K. Hunter 11:45 AM J6.3 Recent Advances in Diabatic Initialization of a Non-hydrostatic Numerical Model   Keith A. Brewster, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday LUNCH BREAK
	1:00 PM, Tuesday Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday Session 6 Damage Assessment and Wind Speeds
Organizer: Greg Forbes, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
1:30 PM 6.1 Development of an enhanced Fujita Scale for estimating tornado intensity   James R. McDonald, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX 2:00 PM 6.2 Tornadic wind speeds through engineering analysis   Kishor C. Mehta, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 2:15 PM 6.3 A discussion of radar observations of extreme winds in tornadoes   Joshua Wurman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 2:30 PM 6.4 Comparison of DOW doppler velocities and the damage survey of the 30 May 1998 Spencer, SD tornado   Curtis R. Alexander, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Wurman 2:45 PM 6.5 Damage Survey and Radar Analysis of the Ft. Worth and Arlington, TX Tornadoes on 28 March 2000   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Dallas, TX; and M. Foster
	3:00 PM, Tuesday COFFEE BREAK WITH THE POSTER SESSION
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 1 Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19 WAF/15 NWP)
JP1.1 Weather Event Simulator Best Practices   John T. Ferree, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and E. M. Quoetone, E. Page, and M. A. Magsig   JP1.2 Verification of Supercell Motion Forecasting Techniques   Roger Edwards, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson and J. A. Hart   JP1.3 Anticipating and monitoring supercell motion for severe weather operations   Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX; and M. J. Bunkers   JP1.4 Paper has been moved to SLS session 16, new paper number 16.7A     JP1.5 Synoptic and mesoscale patterns associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: part II—upper-level characteristics   Chris Broyles, NOAA/NWS, Amarillo, TX; and N. Dipasquale and R. Wynne   JP1.6 Lightning nowcasts using WSR-88D derived products and AWIPS   Tim Garner, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX; and R. Lafosse and T. D. Oram   JP1.7 Enhancements to a new convective sounding analysis program for AWIPS   Xuechao Yu, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma; and M. A. Magsig and M. Bunkers   JP1.8 Forecasting extreme rainfall leading to flash flood events in the UK   Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. G. Collier and W. Hand   JP1.9 An Assessment of 3-and 6-h RUC CAPE forecasts   Barry Schwartz, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin   JP1.10 Probabilistic forecasts of severe local storms in the 0–3 hour timeframe from an advective-statistical technique   David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. G. Samplatsky, C. Mello, and J. Dai   JP1.11 Visually enhanced composite charts for severe weather forecasting and real-time diagnosis   Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWS, Coraopolis, PA
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 2 Severe Local Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP) new
JP2.1 Observed and Modeled Structure of the Subtropical Sea Breeze   John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX   JP2.2 NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecast of the 6—7 January 2002 Northeast Snowstorm: Role of initial conditions   William R. Bua, UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and S. D. Jascourt   JP2.3 Late November 2001 Winter Precipitation Event Over South Central Texas   Robert A. Blaha, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX   JP2.4 Verification of MM5 Cloud Microphysics Schemes for East Asia   Dean James Carter, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; and R. P. Lowther   JP2.5 ENSO-based forecasting of seasonal tropical cyclone trends from historical analyses of genesis and OLR oscillations   Colin K. Kennedy, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith   JP2.6 Analysis of mesoscale banded features in the 5–6 February 2001 New England snowstorm   David Novak, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. S. W. Horwood   JP2.7 The use of a phase shifted verification score to evaluate warm season QPF   Steven L. Aves, Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, E. Kalnay, and M. Miller   JP2.8 COAMPSTM Forecasting of Land–falling Fronts   Carey L. Dickerman, FNMOC, Monterey, CA   JP2.9 Forecaster training on NWP through case examples (Formerly paper p1.16)   Stephen D. Jascourt, UCAR/COMET at NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and W. Bua
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 3 The use of Mesoscale Models in Severe Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
JP3.1 An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center   Phillip D. Bothwell, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Hart and R. L. Thompson   JP3.2 Evaluation of Eta Model Forecasts of Mesoscale Convective Systems   Melissa S. Bukovsky, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. R. Janish, J. S. Kain, and M. E. Baldwin   JP3.3 The Use of the GEM Forecast Model at very high resolution during ELBOW 2001   Patrick King, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. Murphy, A. Erfani, and D. Sills
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 4 The Use of Mesoscale Models in Severe Storms Forecasting (Joint with 21SLS and 19WAF/15NWP)
JP4.1 Numerical forecast simulations of precipitation events in complex terrain   J. Wang, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD; and M. R. Hjelmfelt, W. Capehart, and R. D. Farley   JP4.2 Mesoscale Modeling of Significant Severe Weather and Flash Flood Events at WFO Jackson, MS   Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS; and S. Listemaa   JP4.3 Impact of Radar Data Assimilation on the Numerical Prediction of Heavy Rainfall in Korea   Hee-Dong Yoo, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier, K. Brewster, S. Y. Lee, and C. H. Cho   JP4.4 Using 4d-VAR to move a simulated hurricane in a mesoscale model   Ross N. Hoffman, AER, Lexington, MA; and J. M. Henderson and S. M. Leidner   JP4.5 Comparison of Meso Eta Wind Forecasts with TCOON Measurements along the Coast of Texas   Jeremy Alan Stearns, Texas A&M University, Conrad Blucher Institute, Corpus Christi, TX; and P. Tissot, A. R. Patrick, P. Michaud, and W. G. Collins   JP4.6 A Variational Method for Dual-Doppler Radar Retrievals of Wind and Thermodynamic Fields   Shun Liu, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Qiu and Q. Xu   JP4.7 A statistical evaluation of forecasting errors in numerical models for weather prediction of severe rainfalls events in Venezuelan coasts   Jaime E. Guerra, Universidad Nacional Experimental Maritima del Caribe, Estado Vargas, Venezuela; and I. Garcia, J. Jorge, and G. Jaimes   JP4.8 CEDRIC as a software tool for analyzing WRF model output   L. Jay Miller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Fredrick and C. A. Davis
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 4 Radar Applications
P4.1 The Rapid-Scan DOW   Joshua Wurman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P4.2 On the investigation of vertically integrated liquid (VIL) using WSR-88D's new volume coverage patterns   Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. A. Brown and D. R. Cheresnick   P4.3 Improvements to the WSR-88D Storm Cell Identification and Tracking algorithm   Arthur Witt, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. K. McCoy   P4.4 Improved detection of Lake Ontario snowstorms using lower elevation angles for surrounding WSR-88Ds: A simulation   Rodger A. Brown, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. T. Wood   P4.5 Development and validation of downburst prediction equations for the DDPDA   Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore and S. A. Myers   P4.6 A Reassessment of the Percentage of Tornadic Mesocyclones   Robert J. Trapp, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Stumpf   P4.7 Image Processing of Meteorological Radar Data Using a Coherent Clustering Technique   James Dunyak, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and X. Gilliam, A. L. Doggett, and S. Mitra   P4.8 Tornado case study using Czech weather radar network   Petr Novak, Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Praha, Czech Republic; and J. Kracmar and M. Setvak   P4.9 Identification of Biological Scatters and Radar Data Quality Control   Pengfei Zhang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and Q. Xu and A. Ryzhkov   P4.10 The "Owl Horn" radar signature in developing supercells   Matthew R. Kramar, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein, A. Pazmany, and J. D. Tuttle   P4.11 An evaluation of NSSL's near-storm environment algorithm   Shannon A. Myers, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith   P4.12 Paper has been moved to session 4, new paper number 4.3A     P4.13 Radar Data Processing for Severe Weather in the National Radar Project of Canada (formerly paper 4.3)   Paul Joe, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Falla, P. Van Rijn, L. Stamadianos, T. Falla, D. Magosse, L. Ing, and J. Dobson   P4.14 The Kellerville Tornado during VORTEX: Damage Survey and Doppler Radar Analyses   Roger Wakimoto, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Murphey, D. C. Dowell, and H. Bluestein
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 5 Multi-sensor Severe Weather Applications
P5.1 Real-time Merging of Multisource Data   V. Lakshmanan, NOAA/NSSL and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P5.2 Statistical Clustering for Hierarchical Storm Identification   V. Lakshmanan, NOAA/NSSL and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P5.3 Virtual Radar Volumes: Creation, Algorithm Access, and Visualization   Richard Jason Lynn, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan   P5.4 A two-dimensional, local, linear, least-squares method of derivative estimates from Doppler radial velocity   Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore
	4:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday Session 7 Hazard Mitigation and Societal Impacts of Severe Storms
Organizer: Al Moller, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX
4:30 PM 7.1 Proactive or Reactive: The Severe Storm Threat to Large Event Venues   Roger Edwards, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and L. R. Lemon 4:45 PM 7.2 A new flash flood action paradigm   Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS, Austin/San Antonio, TX 5:00 PM 7.3 OK-FIRST: The Oklahoma Example of Preparedness to Mitigate the Human Impacts of Severe Storms   Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatolgical Survey and University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. A. Kloesel 5:15 PM 7.4 The ideal lead time for tornado warnings—A look from the customer's perspective   Rick Ewald, NOAA/NWSFO, Hastings, NE; and J. L. Guyer 5:30 PM 7.5 What would be the monetary loss if the 1896 St. Louis/East St. Louis tornado happened today?   Kyle A. Beatty, Risk Management Solutions, Inc., Newark, CA
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Tuesday Evening Video/Slide Presentation
Wednesday, 14 August 2002
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday Session 8 Numerical Modeling of Severe Storms
Organizers: Kelvin Droegemeier, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Bruce Lee, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO
8:00 AM 8.1 Idealized Boundary-Crossing Supercell Simulations of 2 June 1995   Matthew S. Gilmore, CIMMS/ Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker, E. R. Mansell, J. M. Straka, and E. N. Rasmussen 8:15 AM 8.2 What is appropriate resolution for simulations of thunderstorms? An answer from a turbulence perspective   George H. Bryan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch 8:30 AM 8.3 High Resolution Simulation of the Development and Structure of a Tornado and Its Parent Supercell   Robert Wilhelmson, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and L. Wicker, S. Peckham, P. Woodward, S. Anderson, D. Porter, and C. Shaw 8:45 AM 8.4 A large eddy simulation of a tornadic supercell: Comparison with observations   Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. C. Dowell, Y. P. Richardson, and R. Wilhelmson 9:00 AM 8.5 The sensitivity of numerically simulated cyclic mesocyclogenesis to variations in environmental parameters   Edwin J. Adlerman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. K. Droegemeier 9:15 AM 8.6 Numerical Simulations of Flanking Line Phenomena   Leigh Orf, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and R. Wilhelmson 9:30 AM 8.7 A numerical study of a nontornadic supercell over France   Katia Chancibault, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and V. Ducrocq and J. P. Lafore 9:45 AM 8.8 On strong dependence of behavior of a numerically-simulated classic supercell on grid size   Akira Noda, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Niino
	10:00 AM, Wednesday COFFEE BREAK
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Session 9 Convective Initation
Organizer: Roger Wakimoto, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
10:30 AM 9.1 An Overview of the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002)   Tammy M. Weckwerth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. B. Parsons 11:00 AM 9.2 Multiple Doppler Radar Observations of Convective Initiation During IHOP   Yvette P. Richardson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. Wurman and T. M. Weckwerth 11:15 AM 9.3 Probabilistic Convection Initiation Forecasts in Support of IHOP During the 2002 SPC/NSSL Spring Program   Paul R. Janish, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, R. Schneider, J. P. Cupo, E. Szoke, J. M. Brown, and C. Ziegler 11:30 AM 9.4 Convective initiation ahead of the sea-breeze front   Robert G. Fovell, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and P. S. Dailey 11:45 AM 9.5 Numerical simulation of the interaction between the dryline and horizontal convective rolls   Steven E. Peckham, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson, L. J. Wicker, and C. L. Ziegler
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday LUNCH BREAK
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Wednesday Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday Session 10A Results from the Severe Thunderstorm Electrification and Precipitation Study (STEPS) Experiment
Organizers: Dave Rust, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Don MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
1:30 PM 10A.1 Electrical Discharges from Thunderstorm Tops   Walter A. Lyons, FMA Research, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. E. Nelson, V. P. Pasko, and M. A. Stanley 1:45 PM 10A.2 Comparison of radar-observed and WRF-modeled structures of two STEPS storms   L. Jay Miller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman 2:00 PM 10A.3 Aspects of electric field profiles and total lightning in severe thunderstorms in STEPS   W. D. Rust, NOAA/NWS and Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. R. MacGorman, P. R. Krehbiel, T. Hamlin, J. Harlin, W. Rison, R. Thomas, and E. C. Bruning 2:15 PM 10A.4 Kinematic and microphysical evolution of the 29 June supercell during STEPS   Sarah A. Tessendorf, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins and UCAR/SOARS, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Rutledge 2:30 PM 10A.5 Lightning characteristics of two storms observed during STEPS   Andrew G. Detwiler, South Dakota School of Mines & Technology, Rapid City, SD; and J. H. Helsdon, D. V. Kliche, Q. Mo, and T. A. Warner 2:45 PM 10A.6 June 29, 2000 STEPS Supercell Storm: Relationships Between Kinematics, Microphysics, and Lightning   Kyle C. Wiens, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Tessendorf and S. A. Rutledge
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday Session 10B warnings, dissemination and verification
Organizer: Brian Klimowski, NOAA/NWS, Rapid City, SD
1:30 PM 10B.1 Training on severe convection   Bradford N. Grant, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK 1:45 PM 10B.2 An investigation of alternative verification schema for the National Weather Service: Results of analysis of March 2001 storms in North Florida and Southeast Georgia   Dawn Hayes, Edward Waters College, Jacksonville, FL; and P. T. Welsh 2:00 PM 10B.3 Improving short-term warnings through rapid update of radar-detected severe weather features   Christopher W. Porter, CIMMS and NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK 2:15 PM 10B.4 Toward better warning decision-making and verification statistics: improvements at the Wichita National Weather Service office   Peter L. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Wichita, KS 2:30 PM 10B.5 Utilization of the GFE in severe weather recognition at the Tampa Bay Area National Weather Service   Jason T. Deese, NOAA/NWSFO, Ruskin, FL; and C. H. Paxton 2:45 PM 10B.6 The tornado warning process during a fast-moving low-topped event: 11 April 2001 in Iowa   Karl A. Jungbluth, NOAA/NWSFO, Johnston, IA
	3:00 PM, Wednesday COFFEE BREAK WITH THE POSTER SESSIONS
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 6 Numerical Modeling of Severe Local Storms
P6.1 The origin of an intense vortex couplet and jet in a numerically simulated supercell   Howard B. Bluestein, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. L. Weisman   P6.2 Sensitivity of 3-D narrow cold-frontal rainband simulations to changes in the ice microphysics parameterization   Robert E. Schlesinger, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI   P6.3 Numerical Simulations of Gust Front/ Microburst Collision Dynamics   Leigh Orf, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC   P6.4 Numerical simulation of storm boundary anchoring in a high-CAPE, low-shear environment: Implications for the modulation of convective mode   Adam L. Houston, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson   P6.5 The sensitivity of simulated storm structure and intensity to the temperature at the lifted condensation level   Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL; and C. Cohen   P6.6 Numerical simulation of cell interaction   Brian F. Jewett, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson and B. D. Lee   P6.7 High resolution numerical simulations of thunderstorm outflow boundaries   Bruce D. Lee, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and C. A. Finley   P6.8 Numerical Investigation of the Origins of the Granite Falls, MN, Tornado   Rich Naistat, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and W. Togstad, D. Dokken, and K. Scholz   P6.9 Convective initiation without an instantaneous warm bubble   Lewis Grasso, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 7 Convection Initiation
P7.1 A comparative verification of two "cap" indices in forecasting thunderstorms   David L. Keller, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE P7.2 A simple model for convection initiation between two colliding frontal boundaries   Zhe-Min Tan, Nanjing University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and F. Zhang   P7.3 Rapid supercell storm and tornado development along a boundary   Kevin B. Laws, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp and J. Walters   P7.4 The 3 May 1999 Drylines: A Closer Examination   Albert E. Pietrycha, Penn State University, University Park, PA
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 8 Climatological Studies of Severe Local Storms
P8.1 Toward a Climatology of Mesoscale Convective Systems Occurring throughout the Great lakes   Jesse Sparks, Northern Illinois University, Dekalb, IL; and M. Bentley   P8.2 The Importance of Parcel Choice and the Measure of Vertical Wind Shear in Evaluating the Convective Environment   Matthew J. Bunkers, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD; and B. A. Klimowski and J. W. Zeitler   P8.3 The Climatology and Character of Pennsylvania Severe Weather   John J. LaCorte, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. H. Grumm   P8.4 Precipitation efficiency aspects of flash flood producing MCSs   Patrick S. Market, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and S. M. Rochette   P8.5 Environmental Conditions Associated with Cool Season Strong and Violent Tornadoes in the Middle Mississippi Valley   Mark F. Britt, NOAA/NWS, St. Charles, MO; and F. H. Glass   P8.6 Damaging nor'westers in Bangladesh   Richard E. Peterson, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and A. M. Dewan   P8.7 Creation of a Severe Thunderstorm Event Web Page for Research and Training Purposes at the National Severe Storms Laboratory and Storm Prediction Center   Charlie A. Crisp, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. R. Janish, G. W. Carbin, and A. Just   P8.8 A Climatology of Mesoscale Convective Complexes in the United States   Walker S. Ashley, University of Georgia, Athens, GA; and P. G. Dixon, J. D. Durkee, E. J. Powell, S. L. Trotter, T. L. Mote, and A. J. Grundstein
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 9 Warning, Dissemination and Verification
P9.1 Warning Decision Making Processes at WFO Jackson, MS During the Tornado Outbreak of 24 November 2001   Alan Gerard, NOAA/NWS, Jackson, MS; and C. Entremont and A. Robinson-Cook   P9.2 Impact of Small Tornadoes on National Weather Service Operations 29 July, 2001   John J. Kwiatkowski, NOAA/NWS, Indianapolis, IN; and D. L. Sherrieb   P9.3 Wireless Storm Spotter and Marine Reporting System (WSSMRS)—A National Weather Service Jacksonville/University of North Florida Research Project   Fred R. Johnson, NOAA/NWSFO, Jacksonville, FL; and P. T. Welsh and J. D. Lambert   P9.4 Warning Decision Making Issues during the 24 November 2001 Tornado Outbreak   John T. Bradshaw, NOAA/NWS, Calera, AL; and J. D. DeBlock, P. A. Hart, M. A. Linhares, K. J. Pence, and J. A. Westland   P9.5 Dramatically improving warning services—one office's experience   Stephen S. Parker, NOAA/NWS, Morristown, TN; and H. Waldron   P9.6 Applying a Mixed Tornado/Flooding Event to the New National Weather Service Training Environment   Nezette N. Rydell, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX; and J. D. Ward   P9.7 A Case Study of the Fort Worth and Arlington Tornadic Supercells of 28 March 2000   Jason K. Jordan, Texas Tech University and NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and A. R. Moller and M. Vescio
	4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Session 11A Lightning Studies
Organizers: Bill Beasley, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Matt Gilmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO
4:30 PM 11A.1 Lightning relative to precipitation and tornadoes in a supercell storm during MEaPRS   Don MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. Rust, O. van der Velde, M. Askelson, P. Krehbiel, R. Thomas, W. Rison, T. Hamlin, and J. Harlin 4:45 PM 11A.2 Preliminary results from the North Alabama Lightning Mapping Array   Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL; and J. Bailey, S. J. Goodman, R. Blakeslee, J. Hall, D. E. Buechler, and T. Bradshaw 5:00 PM 11A.3 A relationship between a surface theta-e ridge and dominant lightning polarity   Nettie R. Lake, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and D. R. MacGorman 5:15 PM 11A.4 Development of predictors for cloud-to-ground lightning activity using atmospheric stability indices   Kenneth C. Venzke, Air Force Institute of Technology, Keesler AFB, MS; and R. P. Lowther 5:30 PM 11A.5 Tornado signatures and precursor activity from 3-D lightning mapping observations   T. Hamlin, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM; and J. D. Harlin 5:45 PM 11A.6 Lightning Meteorology II: An advanced course on forecasting with lightning data   Bard A. Zajac, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. F. Weaver, D. E. Bikos, and D. T. Lindsey
	4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Session 11B Climatological Studies of Severe Storms
Organizer: Joseph Schaefer, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK
4:30 PM 11B.1 The month-to-month consistency in the occurrence rates of tornados and severe thunderstorms   Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. Just 4:45 PM 11B.2 An examination of severe thunderstorm wind report climatology: 1970–1999   Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. A. Hart and P. R. Janish 5:00 PM 11B.3 Severe weather associated with warm season precipitation episodes   Diana L. Bartels, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone, D. A. Ahijevich, L. J. Miller, and J. D. Tuttle 5:15 PM 11B.4 A climatology of environmental parameters that influence severe storm intensity and morphology   U. S. Nair, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and E. W. McCaul and R. M. Welch 5:30 PM 11B.5 A Severe Weather Climatology for the NWS WFO New Orleans-Baton Rouge County Warning Area (CWA)   Suzanne Van Cooten, NDBC, Stennis Space Center, MS 5:45 PM 11B.6 Analysis of Tornado Counts with Hierarchical Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models   Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle
	6:00 PM, Wednesday Fiesta
Thursday, 15 August 2002
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday Session 12 tornadogenesis
Organizers: Bob Davies-Jones, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Cathy Finley, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, Greeley, CO
8:00 AM 12.1 Tornadogenesis and tornado-vortex structure in a supercell   Howard B. Bluestein, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. C. Weiss, A. L. Pazmany, W. C. Lee, and M. Bell 8:15 AM 12.2 The occurrence of rear-flank reflectivity maxima in the supercells of 2 June 1995   Erik N. Rasmussen, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. S. Gilmore, J. M. Straka, and R. P. Davies-Jones 8:30 AM 12.3 Observations of the formation of low-level rotation: The 5 June 2001 Sumner County, Kansas storm   David C. Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. P. Richardson and J. Wurman 8:45 AM 12.4 The Role of the Preexisting Boundry on tornadogenesis in the 27 May 1997 Central Texas Event   Adam L. Houston, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson 9:00 AM 12.5 Two Modes of Tornadogenesis In Storm A on 3 May 1999   Yvette P. Richardson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. Wurman 9:15 AM 12.6 The structure and evolution of hook echoes during tornadogenesis as revealed by high resolution radar data   Michael A. Magsig, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and D. W. Burgess, D. C. Dowell, Y. P. Richardson, and J. M. Wurman 9:30 AM 12.7 Three-dimensional stability analyses of tornado-like vortices with secondary circulations   David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery 9:45 AM 12.8 Near-surface intensification during unsteady tornado evolution   D. C. Lewellen, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV; and W. S. Lewellen
	10:00 AM, Thursday COFFEE BREAK
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 13 Tornadic Storms
Organizers: Lou Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; David Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM 13.1 Characteristics of Circulations associated with the 11 February 1999 Tornadic Event over the Mid-Mississippi Valley Region   Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO; and G. K. Schmocker 10:45 AM 13.2 The Structure of a tornadic bow echo in Idaho   James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK 11:00 AM 13.3 Tornadogenesis within quasi-linear convective systems. Part I: Radar and storm damage analysis of the 29 June 1998 derecho   Justin M. Arnott, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and N. T. Atkins 11:15 AM 13.4 Tornadogenesis within Quasi-Linear Convective Systems. Part II: Preliminary WRF Simulation Results of the 29 June 1998 Derecho   Nolan T. Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and J. M. Arnott 11:30 AM 13.5 The 29 June 1998 Derecho Across Central Illinois: Issues Associated with Non-Descending Tornadic and Non-Tornadic Vortex Evolution   Bradley D. Ketcham, NOAA/NWS, Lincoln, IL; and R. W. Przybylinski 11:45 AM 13.6 Doppler radar observations of squall line tornadogenesis near the KDVN WSR-88D   Ray Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday LUNCH BREAK
	1:00 PM-1:20 PM, Thursday Weather Briefing
	1:30 PM-2:59 PM, Thursday Session 14 Supercell and Tornadic Storms
Organizers: Howie Bluestein, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Yvette Richardson, Penn State University, University Park, PA
1:30 PM 14.1 Linear and nonlinear propagation of supercell storms   Robert Davies-Jones, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK 1:45 PM 14.2 Polarimetric analysis of a 3 May 1999 tornado   Alexander Ryzhkov, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Burgess, D. Zrnic, T. Smith, and S. Giangrande 14.3 The 11 April 2001 Oklahoma tornado outbreak   Kenneth A. James, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK 1:59 PM 14.3A The Lamar Colorado tornadic event: A Boundary driven singificant tornadic storm in a high CAPE/low shear environment (Formerly paper P11.2)   Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO; and J. M. Davies 2:14 PM 14.4 The 24 October 2001 tornado outbreak   John Taylor, NOAA/NWSFO, Syracuse, IN; and S. L. Lashley, R. E. Smith, P. B. Murphy, and J. A. Logsdon 2:29 PM 14.5 The Washington DC tornado of 24 September 2001: pre-storm environment and radar perspectives   Steven M. Zubrick, NOAA/NWSFO, Sterling, VA; and B. M. Watson 2:44 PM 14.6 Multiple Vortex Phenomena in Thunderstorms and Tornadoes: Three Scales of Multiple Vortices   Shelley L. Potts, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and E. M. Agee
	3:00 PM, Thursday COFFEE BREAK WITH THE POSTER SESSION
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 10 Tornadogenesis
P10.1 Tornadogenesis in a Simulated HP Supercell   Catherine A. Finley, University of Northern Colorado, Greeley, CO; and W. R. Cotton and R. A. Pielke   P10.2 Transonic velocities in tornadoes?   W. Steve Lewellen, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV; and J. Xia and D. C. Lewellen   P10.3 Possible Tornadogenesis Mechanism During the 15 November 2001 South Texas Coastal Bend Event   Waylon G. Collins, NOAA/NWS, Corpus Christi, TX   P10.4 Investigating the role of the dynamic pipe effect in tornadogenesis by using a laboratory simulator   Ashley E. Tidwell, Westmoore High School, Oklahoma City, OK   P10.5 Tornado and Waterspout Genesis. A new perspective on 3D Simulation and Experimentation of Vortex   Safieddine Bouali, University of Tunis, Le Bardo, Tunisia
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 11 Tornadic Storms
P11.1 Using a GIS to compare the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornado damage path to WSR-88D signatures   Valerie K. McCoy, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and G. J. Stumpf   P11.2 Paper has been moved to Session 14, new paper number 14.3A     P11.3 An overview of the 28–29 May 2001 severe weather outbreak over southeast Colorado   Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWSFO, Pueblo, CO   P11.4 The Effect of a Low-Level Boundary on the Development of the Panhandle, TX Tornadic Storm on 29 May 2001   Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Carrollton, TX; and C. Broyles, S. Kersh, and J. Wingenroth   P11.5 The 2001 Independence, Iowa tornado: Issues associated with non-supercell tornadogenesis far from the radar   Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA; and J. Meyer   P11.6 Radar and Damage Analysis of the 27 May 2000 Tornadic Derecho Event   Nolan T. Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and R. W. Przybylinski   P11.7 Radar Examination and analysis of a Bow Echo in south Carolina in the Remains of Tropical Cyclone Danny 1997   Joshua W. Scheck, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. Edwards and G. V. Rao   P11.8 Mesoscale environment factors in the D.C. area tornado event of 24 September 2001   Jonathan M. Davies, Private Meteorologist, Wichita, KS; and J. A. Hart   P11.9 A case of supercell intensification along a preexisting boundary—Clay County Nebraska tornado of 22 September 2001   Jared L. Guyer, NOAA/NWS, Hastings, NE   P11.10 Initial Examination of the Tornadic and Non-Tornadic Supercells on 20 September 2000: Includes the F4 Xenia Tornado   James G. Lott, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH; and J. T. DiStefano
	3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday Poster Session 12 Tornado and Severe Storm Environments
P12.1 WSR-88D observations of non-descending tornadogenesis in proximity to a synoptic scale frontal boundary: A case study of 18 May 2000 in Northern Illinois   Casey Crosbie, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Wolf   P12.2 RUC-2 Model Analysis Soundings as a Surrogate for Observed Soundings in Supercell Environments   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards, J. A. Hart, and K. L. Elmore   P12.3 An Assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters through RUC-2 model close proximity soundings   Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. Edwards and J. A. Hart   P12.4 Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells   Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards, and R. L. Thompson   P12.5 On low-level Thermodynamic parameters associated with tornadic and nontornadic supercells   Jonathan M. Davies, Private Meteorologist, Wichita, KS   P12.6 Multi-scale Analysis of the 13 October 2001 Central Gulf Coast Tornado Outbreak   Dan Darbe, NOAA/NWS, Mobile, AL; and J. M. Medlin   P12.7 ELBOW 2001—studying the Relationship between Lake Breezes and Severe Weather: project overview and preliminary results   David M. L. Sills, MSC, King City, ON, Canada; and P. Taylor, P. King, W. Hocking, and I. Nichols   P12.8 Low-level moisture in the Eta model: an update (formerly paper 17.6)   Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell, B. S. Ferrier, and S. J. Weiss
	4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Session 15 Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes and Low-Latitude Severe Storms
Organizer: Eugene W. McCaul, USRA, Huntsville, AL
15.1 A Single-Doppler Radar Analysis of the Outer Rainband Mesocyclones Associated with Hurricane Opal of 4 October 1995   Jeffrey M. Medlin, NOAA/NWSFO, Mobile, AL 4:30 PM 15.2 Tornado Distribution Associated with Hurricane Floyd 1999   Albert E. Pietrycha, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. D. Hannon 4:44 PM 15.3 Using High-Resolution Diagnostics to Facilitate the Short-Term Threat Assessment of Tornadoes during Tropical Storm Gabrielle   David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Spratt, P. F. Blottman, J. L. Case, and D. S. Kelly 4:59 PM 15.4 Mid-level dry intrusions as a factor in tornado outbreaks associated with landfalling tropical cyclones from the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico   Lon Curtis, KWTX-TV, Waco, TX 5:14 PM 15.5 Numerical Investigation of the Role of Mid-Level Dryness on Tropical Mini-supercell Behavior   Glen Romine, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson
	8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday Evening Video/Slide Presentation
Friday, 16 August 2002
	8:00 AM-9:59 AM, Friday Session 16 Tornado and Severe Storms Environments
Organizer: Ed Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO
8:00 AM 16.1 Investigating derecho and supercell proximity soundings   Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and C. A. Doswell 8:15 AM 16.2 A Database of Proximity Soundings for Significant Severe Thunderstorms, 1957–1993   Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. P. Craven 8:30 AM 16.3 Baseline Climatology of Sounding Derived Parameters Associated with Deep, Moist Convection   Jeffrey P. Craven, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks and J. A. Hart 8:45 AM 16.4 Hodograph variability within analytically modeled baroclinic waves   Peter C. Banacos, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein 9:00 AM 16.5 Significant tornadoes in environments with relatively weak shear   Jonathan M. Davies, Private Meteorologist, Wichita, KS 9:15 AM 16.6 A Preliminary Investigation of Supercell Longevity   Matthew J. Bunkers, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD; and J. S. Johnson, J. M. Grzywacz, L. J. Czepyha, and B. A. Klimowski 16.7 The Hoisington Kansas Tornado, 2001: Examining a Possible Meso-scale Tropopause Fold in Near Proximity to a Tornadic Suercell   Jim Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Dodge City, KS, Dodge City, KS; and E. Rasmussen, A. Pietrycha, and J. Finch 9:29 AM 16.7a Synoptic and mesoscale patterns associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: part I—surface characteristics (Formerly Paper JP1.4)   Chris Broyles, NOAA/NWS, Amarillo, TX; and N. Dipasquale and R. Wynne 9:44 AM 16.8 An examination of the contrasting evolution of two southeast United States cool-season severe weather episodes   Alicia C. Wasula, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, R. Schneider, and R. H. Johns
	10:00 AM, Friday COFFEE BREAK
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Friday Session 17 mesoscale processes and severe convection
Organizers: Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA; Erik Rassmussen, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
10:30 AM 17.1 Mesoscale analysis of the dryline on 29 May 2001 with attendant severe convection   Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and G. D. Skwira, C. B. Chang, A. L. Doggett, and R. E. Peterson 10:45 AM 17.2 Numerical simulation of a dryline-outflow boundary intersection   Christopher C. Weiss, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein 11:00 AM 17.3 The impact of land-atmosphere interactions on the Benson, MN tornado of 11 June 2001   Daniel R. Cheresnick, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara 11:15 AM 17.4 The Oklahoma Tornado Outbreak and Flash Flood Event of 4–5 October 1998   Jonathan Racy, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. A. Rogash 11:30 AM 17.5 Soil moisture, land-atmosphere interaction, and the 6–7 May 2000 Missouri flash flood event   R. David Baker, Austin College, Sherman, TX; and Y. Wang, W. K. Tao, and P. Wetzel 11:45 AM 17.6 Paper has been moved to Poster Session P12, new paper number P12.8

Browse the complete program of The 21st Conf. on Severe Local Storms and 19th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/15th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction