47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology

Program Chairs: AJ Fox , KSEE-TV ; Irene Sans , WFTV/ClimaData
Reviewer: Nate Johnson , NBC Owned Television Stations Group

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Tuesday, 11 June 2019

Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 June 2019


Registration Opens
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Continental Breakfast
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:30 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Welcome Session: Western Weather
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
Cochairs: AJ Fox, KSEE-TV; Nate Johnson, KSEE-TV
8:30 AM
Welcoming Remarks and Opening Business
AJ Fox, KSEE-TV, Fresno, CA; and I. Sans and N. Johnson

8:45 AM
J1.1
Forecasting Southern California, Not as Easy as you Think
Anthony Yanez, KNBC, Los Angeles, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
J1.2
Southern California Weather Events and Coordination Between NWS San Diego and the Local Broadcast Meteorological Community
Adam P. Roser, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J1.3
Extreme Heat Events in Southern California between 2016 and 2018
Brandt D. Maxwell, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
J1.4
Atmospheric Rivers: A Shorter Course
F. Martin Ralph, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA
, La Jolla, CA; and L. J. Schick
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
J1.5
Examination and Modification of the New Atmospheric River Scale to Facilitate Investigation of Past Events as Well as the Forecasting of Impacts Due to Future Events
Ivory J. Small, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and K. Mattarochia
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM
J1.6
Snowpack and Its Impact on Weather and River Flow over Western U.S.
Xubin Zeng, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and P. Broxton, N. Dawson, and S. Potteiger
Recorded Presentation

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Coffee Break
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

10:45 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Recording files available
Session 1
Weather Education/Mentorship
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Host: 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology
Chair: Joe Murgo, Cummins Inc. and WTKR-TV
10:45 AM
1.1
The Spirit of Mentorship: Stories from the Field and a Philosophical Perspective
H. Michael Mogil, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL; and M. Bolton
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
1.2
WeatherFest: A Community Outreach and Education Activity
Ron Gird, PLAN!T NOW, fairfax, VA; and P. Gross and D. Lee
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
1.3
Best Practices to Bring TV Meteorology and Climate Into the Classroom.
Crystal Howe, San Diego Country Office of Education, San Diego, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
1.4
NASA Informal Science: Climate Kids/Education/Teachers/Airborne
Susan Bell, JPL, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
1.5
Reaching Younger Viewers through Weather Education Efforts
Matt Miller, KSNT-TV, Topeka, KS
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Lunch Break (ON YOUR OWN)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Recording files available
Session 2
Station Scientist - Climate and Beyond
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Host: 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology
Chair: Amber Sullins, ABC15 (KNXV-TV)
1:30 PM
2.1A
What's Up Tonight? Stargazing Highlights for 2019-2020
J. Kelly Beatty, Sky & Telescope Magazine, Cambridge, MA
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
2.2
The Latest NASA-JPL Climate Science from Greenland: OMG
Josh Willis, JPL, Pasadena, CA
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (27.9 kB)

2:00 PM
2.3
This Time It’s Personal: Making Climate Change Stories Compelling
Ben Cathey, WVLT, Knoxville, TN

2:15 PM
2.4
Pediatric Vehicular Heatstroke Deaths
Jan Null, San Jose State University, Saratoga, CA
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
2.5
The Interplay of Weather, Health, and Vulnerability: Physical and Psychological Perspectives
H. Michael Mogil, How The Weatherworks, Naples, FL; and M. Bolton
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
Discussion

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Coffee Break
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

3:30 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Station Scientist - Climate Change
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
Chair: Irene Sans, WFTV/ClimaData
3:30 PM
J2.1
Climate Change and National Security:  People not Polar Bears
David W. Titley, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
J2.2
Advances in Behavioral Science in Shaping Effective Climate Change Communications
Sweta Chakraborty, Adapt to Thrive, Washington D.C., DC
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
J2.3
Climate Change and Health in the U.S.: Here and Now
Bruce Edward Bekkar, M.D., Climate Acitivist, speaker, writer, Del Mar, CA
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
J2.4
Hering -TBD
Leendert Hering, The Center for Climate and Security, Washington, DC
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Panel Discussion 1
Communicating the Impacts of Daily Weather on Renewable Electricity Generation.
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
Moderator: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central
Panelists: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central; Ed Maibach, George Mason Univ.; Leendert Hering, The Center for Climate and Security; Mike Augustyniak, WCCO-TV / CBS
4:30 PM
JP.1
Weather Powering Your Community: Communicating the Impacts of Daily Weather on Wind and Solar Electricity Generation
Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and E. Maibach, L. Hering, and M. Augustyniak
Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 June 2019


Reception & Exhibits Opening
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

Thursday, 13 June 2019

Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

7:30 AM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Continental Breakfast
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
One NWS, One Forecast, One Session
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications; and the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS
8:30 AM
J3.1
FACETs R2O: Collaborative Progress toward a new Hazardous Weather Information Paradigm for Convective Hazards
Alan Gerard, NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
J3.2
An Update on Evolving Storm Prediction Center Products & Services
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and R. S. Schneider, W. F. Bunting, and I. L. Jirak
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
J3.3
Advances in Storm Surge Modeling, Forecasting, and Warnings: An Update on NOAA's Efforts to Improve Storm Surge Awareness and Prediction
Jamie R. Rhome, NHC, Miami, FL; and C. Fritz, R. Berg, T. Trogdon, L. Paulik, W. Booth, T. Sharon, E. Gibney, and P. J. Manougian
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J3.4
Applying the WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlooks in Decision Support
Patrick Burke, NOAA/NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD; and G. W. Carbin, M. Chenard, A. Lamers, M. J. Erickson, and D. Novak
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.1 MB)

9:30 AM
J3.5
NWS Hazard Simplification Project: Social Science Results and Path Forward
Michelle Hawkins, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Jacks and D. Nagele
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Coffee Break
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

10:15 AM-11:45 AM: Thursday, 13 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 4
The Integrated Warning Team & Decision Support
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications; and the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Tim Heller, HellerWeather
10:15 AM
J4.1
How Could You NOT Get That Warning? Multi-Partner Outreach to Build a Weather-Ready Nation
Bruce T Jones, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO
Recorded Presentation

10:30 AM
J4.3
NWS Decision Support Services for Riverside County Emergency Management Department: Onsite and Coordinated Warning and Public Notification
Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and B. Barton, J. Uhley, and M. J. Moreland
Recorded Presentation

J4.2
Learning Lessons: The Impact of Integrated Warning Team Post-Event Reviews on NWS Decision Support Services

11:00 AM
J4.4
Southern California’s Thomas Fire and the Deadly Montecito Debris Flow: NWS Successes and Challenges in Providing Impact-Based Decision Support Services for Preparedness, Response, and Recovery
Mark Jackson, NOAA/NWS, Oxnard, CA
Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM
J4.5
NWS Support for the State of South Carolina During Hurricanes Matthew, Irma and Florence
John Quagliariello, NOAA/NWS, Columbia, SC
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J4.6
Decision Support Collaboration between the NWS and the US Border Patrol
Matthew J. Moreland, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and K. Drozd, A. O. Tardy, K. R. Waters, J. G. Estupiñán, and M. Singer
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Vendor Session
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
11:45 AM
The Weather Company, an IBM Business
Theron Hodel, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, Andover, MA
Recorded Presentation

11:50 AM
Baron
Steve Bray, Baron, Huntsville, AL

11:55 AM
Earth Networks

12:00 PM
Midland Radio
Bruce Thomas, Midland Radio Corporation, Kansas City, MO

12:05 PM
WeatherBELL Analytics
Mark Taylor, WeatherBELL Analytics, LLC, New York, NY
Recorded Presentation

12:15 PM-1:45 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Conference Luncheon
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

1:45 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019

Recording files available
Session 3
Once in 500 Years - The Big Events
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Host: 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology
Chair: Danielle Breezy, WKRN-TV
1:45 PM
3.1
2018 - the Year I Will Never Forget but Would like to Forget
Joe Murgo, WTAJ-TV, Altoona, PA
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
3.2
The Deadly November 5th, 2018 Tornado Outbreak In Middle Tennessee. An Analysis Of Coverage, And How Fall Foliage Played An Interesting Roll.
Katy Morgan, WZTV FOX17, Nashville, TN
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
3.3
A Rare Significant Severe Weather Event in New England
Ryan Hanrahan, NBC Connecticut / WVIT-TV, West Hartford, CT
Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM
3.4
A Cross-Cutting, Multi-Organizational Look at the Severe Weather Outbreak of 05-06 November 2018: A Case Study in the Challenges of Communicating Uncertainty
Davis Nolan, WKRN TV, Nashville, TN; and P. T. Marsh and K. Hurley
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
3.5
Sharp Temperature Contrasts at Synoptic to Local Scale
Richard Berler, KGNS TV, Laredo, TX
Recorded Presentation

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Coffee Break
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019

Recording files available
Session 4
Changing Technology Supporting Better Warnings
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Host: 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology
Chair: Katie Walls, WSB-TV
3:30 PM
4.1
GOES Satellite Constellation: Status, Challenges, Successes
Kathryn W. Mozer, NOAA/NESDIS/OSPO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Seybold, E. Kline, D. T. Lindsey, J. Taylor, and K. Fryar
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
4.2
Leveraging Community Modeling in NOAA to Advance Operational Weather Prediction
Brian Gross, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, COLLEGE PARK, MD
Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM
4.3
Communicating Severe Weather Risks using WeatherSTEM Data and Imagery
Jessica Arnoldy, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA; and E. Mansouri
Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM
4.4
Making Sense of GOES-16/-17 Fire Detection
Christopher C. Schmidt, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM
4.5
Forecasting Atmospheric Rivers along the West Coast Using an ECMWF-based WRF
Thomas E Downs V, WeatherBELL Analytics, New York, NY; and S. Hallett
Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM
4.6
Space Weather and its Impacts on Our Modern World
Tamitha Skov, Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA
Recorded Presentation

6:30 PM-9:30 PM: Thursday, 13 June 2019


Session
Conference Outing at Café Coyote
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )

Friday, 14 June 2019

Tuesday | Wednesday | Thursday | Friday | top

7:30 AM-4:00 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019


Registration Continues Throughout the Conference
Location: Rio Vista Grand Foyer (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:00 AM-9:00 AM: Friday, 14 June 2019


Continental Breakfast
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Friday, 14 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 6
The Broadcast Meteorology Business
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
Chair: Shel D. Winkley, Texas A&M University
8:30 AM
J6.1
Every Word Counts
Alan Sealls, WKRG-TV, Mobile, AL
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
J6.2
Fundamentals of Effective Weather Communication
Tim Heller, HellerWeather, Houston, TX
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
J6.3
183+18=210: The Road to Glendive
Maureen McCann, Spectrum News 13, Orlando, FL; and T. Koshko
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
J6.4
On The Beach: How To Stay Afloat When The Business Tries to Sink You
Andrew Kozak, Spectrum News Ohio, Columbus, OH
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
J6.5
How I Became The World's Only TV Anchor Working From Home
Geoff Fox, DopplerDesign, Irvine, CA

9:45 AM
J6.6
Gender Equity; What To Do & Say When You Don't Know What To Do OR Say
Bree Sunshine Smith, WTVF Newschannel5, Nashville, TN
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Friday, 14 June 2019


Coffee Break
Location: Rio Vista Salon D-H (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Using Digital Media to Communicate the Forecast
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology; and the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications )
Chair: Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/National Hurricane Center
10:30 AM
J7.1
Using Social Media To Keep Viewers Safe And Informed: Before, During, and After A Severe Weather Event.
Danielle Breezy, WKRN-TV, Nashville, TN
Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM
J7.2
Your Weather App is Wrong!
Alan Sealls, WKRG-TV, Mobile, AL
Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM
J7.3
Forecaster Challenge: An Engaging Online Experience to Increase Audiences
Richard Jaycobs, Cantor Fitzgerald, New York, NY; and A. Wing
Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.2 MB)

11:15 AM
J7.4
Longitudinal Engagement and Audience Attention: Message Contents and Features that Get Passed On
Jeannette Sutton, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY; and S. Renshaw, S. C. Vos, M. Olson, R. Prestley, and C. T. Butts
Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM
J7.5
Broadcast Meteorologist Use of Social Media in the 2018 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Project
Kodi Nemunaitis-Berry, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and C. Kolakoski, H. Obermeier, A. Gerard, K. E. Klockow-McClain, P. A. Campbell, T. C. Meyer, and J. T. Ripberger
Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM
J7.6
Communicating Probabilistic Hazard Information: Broadcast Meteorologists in the 2018 Hazardous Weather Testbed
Holly Obermeier, CIRES, Boulder, CO; and K. L. Nemunaitis-Berry, K. E. Klockow-McClain, T. C. Meyer, P. A. Campbell, A. Gerard, and C. Kolakoski
Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Communicating the Complexities of Weather
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications; and the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
1:30 PM
J8.1
Probability of... What, Exactly? Establishing a Simple Ground Rule for the Communication of Forecast Uncertainty
Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS, Norman, OK
Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM
J8.2
Filling Gaps in the NHC Product Suite without Changing the Message.
Bryan Norcross, WPLG-TV MIAMI, MIAMI BEACH, FL
Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM
J8.3
Visual Risk Communication: Attention, Understanding, and Decision Making in Response to a Changing Tornado Scenario
Jeannette Sutton, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY; and L. Fischer
Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM
J8.4
How News Breaks: Tracking the Use of Visual Media Cues to Make Evacuation Decisions after Hurricane Michael
Cory L. Armstrong, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and J. Hou and N. Towery
Recorded Presentation Manuscript (255.8 kB)

2:30 PM-3:45 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Consistency in Communication
Location: Rio Vista Salon A-C (San Diego Marriott Mission Valley)
Hosts: (Joint between the 5th Conference on Weather Warnings and Communications; and the 47th Conference Broadcast Meteorology )
Chair: Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc.
2:30 PM
J9.1
Should Severe Weather Graphics Wear Uniforms? A Qualitative Look at the SPC’s Convective Outlook Graphic Among Members of the Public
Castle Adam Williams, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. J. Grundstein and J. So
Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM
J9.2
NWS Advisories, Watches & Warnings…Delivering Critical Information with a Unified Voice. Should There be More Coordination between NWS and Local TV Station Weather Departments?
Dave Jones, StormCenter Communications, Inc., Halethorpe, MD

3:45 PM-4:00 PM: Friday, 14 June 2019


Conference Ends
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