88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

Session 13: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Program Chairs: Lynn A. Sherretz , NOAA/ESRL ; Joanne Volk , Meteorological Service of Canada ; Dale Ferguson , American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Sunday, 20 January 2008

7:30 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Conference Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


7th Annual WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 21 January 2008

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Registration continues through Thursday, 24 January

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Panel Discussion 1
Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Weather and How They Are Being Addressed
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Panelists: Kenneth M. Leonard, FAA; Dr. Jack Hayes, NOAA/NWS; Steve Ricketts, EC
Cochairs: Joanne Volk, Meteorological Service of Canada; Bruce Carmichael, NCAR

Papers:
  9:00 AM
NWS Vision for Aviation Weather: J. Hayes

  9:00 AM
1.1
Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Weather and How they are being Addressed: K. Leonard

  9:00 AM
Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Weather: A Canadian Perspective: S. Rickets

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Coffee Break (Mon a.m.)

10:45 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


2
Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management Part I
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Steve Ricketts, EC; Lynn Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL

Papers:
  11:15 AM
2.3
Quantification of Predicted Impact of Convective Weather on Air Traffic and Comparison with Actual Impact
Alexander Klein, Air Traffic Analysis, Inc, Fairfax, VA; and S. Kavoussi, D. Hickman, M. Phaneuf, D. Simenauer, and T. MacPhail

  11:30 AM
2.4
Operational Demonstration of a Convective Forecast Process, for Traffic Flow Decision Making at a Major Airport: Aviation User & Meteorology Producer Perspectives
Thomas H. Fahey III, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN; and M. Bardou, A. Berge, D. Francisco, D. Fulmer, J. Margraf, G. Schmeling, and I. Aslakson

11:45 AM-1:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Opening Plenary Session Featuring Mayor Nagin of New Orleans (Cash & Carry Lunch)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


3
Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management Part II
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Steve Ricketts, EC; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL

Papers:
  1:30 PM
3.1
Transitioning NCAR's Autonowcast System Capability Into NWS Operations
Mamoudou Bocar Ba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Smith, S. O'Donnell, K. Sperow, X. Tan, R. D. Roberts, T. Saxen, D. Albo, S. J. Fano, and D. Megenhardt

  1:45 PM
3.2
Evaluating the performance of different synoptic regime settings on the NCAR Auto-Nowcaster
Eric J. Nelson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Roberts, T. Saxen, H. Cai, J. Pinto, and M. Steiner

Poster PDF (186.8 kB)
  2:00 PM
3.3
Measuring the utilization of available aviation system capacity during convective weather
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and W. Moser and J. E. Evans

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Poster Session 1
Convection, Decision Support Systems, and Air Traffic Management Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Papers:
 
Statistical guidance for Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts from the Localized Aviation MOS Program
David E. Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Ghirardelli

 
Oceanic Convection Diagnosis and Nowcasting
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, J. Hawkins, and E. R. Williams

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/projects/ocn

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
Forecasting of Weather Bringing Disruption to Airport Operations Caused by Tropical Cyclones
Ping Cheung, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and P. P. W. Li

Poster PDF (981.0 kB)
 
Linear contrail detection over the eastern United States from AVHRR and MODIS data
Lance A. Avey, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and R. Palikonda, P. Minnis, and D. P. Duda

 
 
The Advanced Satellite Aviation Weather Products (ASAP) initiative: Research and transition activities in convective and turbulence diagnosis and nowcasting
John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and T. A. Berendes, W. F. Feltz, K. M. Bedka, S. J. Paech, H. Iskendarian, R. D. Sharman, and J. J. Murray

 
Statistical characteristics of the wind dependence of snow and freezing fog events at several major airports for improving Runway Visual Range (RVR) performance
Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen and S. Burnley

Poster PDF (759.1 kB)
 
Marine Stratus Decision Support System for SFO: Does it reduce aircraft delays?
Nikole M. Ray, San Jose State University; and M. J. Delman and D. Reynolds

 
Developing Tools for Calibrating Four-Dimensional Aviation Weather Forecasts
Holly M. Uhlenhake, RS Information Systems, Silver Spring, MD; and T. R. Boyer and D. P. Ruth

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
Optimized Flight Routing Based on Weather Impacts Grids
David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and T. Jameson, E. Measure, and A. Butler

Poster PDF (78.3 kB)
 
Modeling convective weather avoidance in enroute airspace
Rich DeLaura, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. Robinson, M. Pawlak, and J. E. Evans

Poster PDF (486.2 kB)
 
Development of a lightning nowcasting system for Hong Kong International Airport
Peter P.W. Li, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and S. Y. Lau and D. S. Lau

Poster PDF (348.0 kB)
 
Comprehensive storm-scale and microscale observational requirements for the current aviation enterprise and for NextGen
John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; and D. Helms and C. Miner

 
A statistical study of the weather impact on punctuality at Frankfurt Airport
Danijela Markovic, Institute of Meteorology and Climatology, Hannover, Germany; and T. Hauf and P. Röhner

 
Transformation of NAS to NextGen and FAA Weather Architecture Impacts: An Update
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter

Poster PDF (176.9 kB)
 
Evaluation of the 2 foot-lambert (fL) dawn and dusk thresholds for Runway Visual Range (RVR) airport applications
Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen and S. Burnley

Poster PDF (216.3 kB)
 
Determination of the Predictability of aviation-relevant Characteristics of convective Weather
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, D. Megenhardt, C. Phillips, and J. Pinto

Poster PDF (959.8 kB)
 
GOES-R Aviation Algorithm Working Group: Toward meeting aviation-related requirements
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. L. Pryor, M. J. Pavolonis, J. R. Mecikalski, W. L. Smith Jr., and D. T. Lindsey

 
Platform for Meso-Scale Weather Prediction in Aerospace Applications
Yosef Gavriel Tirat-Gefen, Aerospace Division, Castel Research Inc., Fairfax, VA; and J. C. G. Pimentel

 
An Assessment of clear-air echo occurrences to develop an advanced wind shear detection system for precipitation- free conditions
Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and C. Tetsuya, M. Yutaka, T. Aoshima, H. Kobayashi, F. Mawashi, F. Taka, Y. Hirakawa, and H. Kiyota

Poster PDF (240.2 kB)
 
Cloud-to-ground lightning as a proxy for nowcasts of VIL and echo tops
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA

Poster PDF (364.8 kB)
 
A continental dense fog event associated with precipitation and low clouds
Nancy Westcott, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Illinois State Water Survey, INRS, University of Illinois, Champaign, Illinois; and D. A. R. Kristovich

Poster PDF (334.5 kB)
 
Prototyping new products for the Canadian Air Navigation System: 'TAFPlus' and 'V-CMAC'
Bruno Larochelle, EC - Canadian Meteorological Aviation Centre, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and S. Laroche, M. Schaffer, R. Honch, and M. Kothbauer

 
A meteorological system for planning and evaluating glider flights in Pennsylvania USA
Edward E. Hindman, The City University of New York, New York, NY; and S. M. Saleeby and O. Liechti

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)
 
Near real-time detection of seafog using MTSAT
Jae H. Kim, Pusan National University, Pusan, South Korea; and J. Ha and K. Ha

 
Use of Multiple Weather Products for Air Traffic Strategic Planning
Michelle Duquette, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and J. Huhn


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (mon p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


4
Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management Part III
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Steve Ricketts, EC; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL

Papers:
 
4.2
An ATM View of Progress-to-Date on Integrating Probabilistic Weather Forecasts with ATM Decision Making for NGATS

  4:30 PM
The Marine Stratus Initiative and Effect of Stratus on Arrival Rates of SFO: M.J. Delman

  4:45 PM
4.4
Weather and Radar Processor (WARP) products for en-route controller displays
James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; and A. Moosakhanian, J. Johnson, P. Jackson, and W. N. Brown

  5:00 PM
4.5
Forecasters' role in decision making at European Mainport Amsterdam
Nico Maat, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and M. Molendijk and J. Sondij

  5:15 PM
4.6
Canadian airport nowcasting project (CAN-Now): Preliminary results and plans for future
George A. Isaac, Science and Technology Branch, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Bailey, F. Boudala, B. Clark, S. Cober, N. Donaldson, N. Driedger, S. Gravel, I. Gultepe, D. Hudak, P. Joe, J. Reid, Z. Vukovic, A. Ling, and G. Simard

  5:30 PM
4.7
An Aviation Weather Decision Support System (AWDSS) for the Dubai International Airport
Charles A. Barrere Jr., Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and M. Eilts, J. Johnson, R. Fritchie, P. Spencer, B. Shaw, Y. Li, W. Ladwig, R. Schudalla, and D. Mitchell

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 22 January 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Panel Discussion 1
Enhancing the Connectivity between Research and Applications for the Benefit of Society Part I
Location: 207 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 24th Conference on IIPS; the Symposium on Linkages among Societal Benefits, Prediction Systems and Process Studies for 1-14 day Weather Forecasts; the 5th GOES Users' Conference; the 12th Conference on IOAS-AOLS; the 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research )
Moderator: Mary H. Hayden, Univ. of Colorado
Panelists: Steve Tracton, Consulting Meterologist; Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS; James J. Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R Program Office; Rebecca Morss, NCAR; Thomas Whittaker, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin; Stewart Cober, Science and Technology Branch, Environment Canada

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Mary H. Hayden

  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
James J. Gurka

  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
Thomas Whittaker

  8:30 AM
Stewart Cober

  8:30 AM
Panel Discussion


5
Nowcasting and Modeling Part I
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Tim Wilfong, Wilfong and Associates; Rob Honch, EC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
5.1
An improved method to represent aviation emissions in air quality modeling systems and their impacts on air quality
Saravanan Arunachalam, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and B. H. Baek, B. Wang, N. Davis, A. Holland, Z. Adelman, U. Shankar, F. Binkowski, A. Hanna, T. Thrasher, and P. Soucacos

http://www.ie.unc.edu/cempd/projects/FAA/index.cfm

  8:45 AM
5.2
Implementation of the WRF model for the Dubai International Airport Aviation Weather Decision Support System (AWDSS)
Brent L. Shaw, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and C. A. Barrere Jr., R. L. Carpenter Jr., and P. L. Spencer

  9:00 AM
5.3
High-frequency updating of weather model prediction in the NextGen era
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. Brown and S. S. Weygandt

  9:15 AM
5.4
Using probabilistic forecast guidance and an update technique to generate terminal aerodrome forecasts
Mark Oberfield, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. R. Peroutka and C. Abelman

Poster PDF (574.8 kB)
  9:30 AM
5.5
A High-resolution Rapidly-updated Meteorological Data Analysis System for Aviation Applications
C.S. Lau, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, New Territories, Hong Kong; and J. T. K. Wan, M. C. Chu, and P. P. W. Li

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Poster Session 2
Modeling and Range Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Papers:
 
Simulation of ground winds time series for the NASA Crew Launch Vehicle (CLV)
Stanley I. Adelfang, Stanley Associates, Huntsville, AL

Poster PDF (404.7 kB)
 
Sea state and weather assessment capability for NASA's Constellation Program
Robert E. Barbre Jr., Jacobs Engineering, Huntsville, AL; and V. W. Keller

Poster PDF (98.8 kB)
 
Surface Landing Site Weather Analysis for NASA's Constellation Program
Karen M. Altino, Jacobs Engineering/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and K. L. Burns

Poster PDF (90.2 kB)
 
An investigation of stratospheric winds in support of the High Altitude Airship
George D. Modica, AER, Inc, Lexington, MA; and T. Nehrkorn and T. T. Myers

Poster PDF (394.2 kB)
 
Forecasting cool season daily peak winds at Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station
Joe H. Barrett III, ENSCO, Applied Meteorology Unit, Cocoa Beach, FL; and D. A. Short and W. P. Roeder

Poster PDF (438.5 kB)
 
Discrete Gust Model for Launch Vehicle Assessments
Frank B. Leahy, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL

Poster PDF (193.8 kB)
 
Hail disdrometer array for launch systems support
John E. Lane, EASi-ESC, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and D. W. Sharp, T. Kasparis, and N. J. Doesken

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
 
Evaluating the performance of WRF model high-altitude forecasts
Michael E. Baldwin, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and A. E. Reinhart, C. Selby, and J. P. Sullivan

 
Beyond Nowcasting of Thunderstorms: An Assessment of Various Blending Techniques for Increased Forecasting Skill at 2 - 6 h Lead Times
James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Cai, G. Lee, J. W. Wilson, M. Steiner, R. Bullock, D. Albo, S. S. Weygandt, and C. L. Phillips

 
Aviation Team of the Mid-South
James W. Duke, James Duke Meteorology, Memphis, TN; and S. D. Boyette

 
Investigation into environmental conditions for storm initiation over the ocean using satellite data
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Kessinger, N. Rehak, and D. Megenhardt

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
The Shonai area railroad weather project: scientific objectives and experimental design
Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and T. Imai, H. Suzuki, T. Takemi, B. Kotaro, M. Nakazato, W. Mashiko, S. Hayashi, H. Inoue, T. Fukuhara, T. Shibata, and W. Kato

Poster PDF (867.6 kB)
 
A blended training approach for creating effective terminal aerodrome forecasts
Tom W. Dulong, NOAA/NWS, Oklahoma City, OK; and P. G. Witsaman, V. C. Johnson, and D. A. Wesley

 
Wind nowcasting to support continuous descent approaches
Philip Gill, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and D. Turp and M. Madgin

Poster PDF (134.3 kB)
 
Towards improved contrail parameterizations for climate-scale models
David P. Duda, National Institute of Aerospace, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis and L. Avey

Poster PDF (414.3 kB)
 
New TAMDAR fleets and their impact on Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) forecasts
William R. Moninger, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, B. D. Jamison, T. W. Schlatter, T. L. Smith, and E. J. Szoke

Poster PDF (438.9 kB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Tue a.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


6
Nowcasting and Modeling Part II
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Timothy L. Wilfong Sr., ENSCO, Inc; Rob Honch, EC

Papers:
  11:00 AM
6.1
  11:15 AM
6.2
Implementation of the radar-enhanced RUC
Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. Smirnova, D. Devenyi, K. Brundage, G. Grell, S. Peckham, T. W. Schlatter, T. L. Smith, and G. S. Manikin

  11:30 AM
6.3
A real-time automated ceiling and visibility analysis system
Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, G. Wiener, and J. Cowie

  11:45 AM
6.4
Effect of TAMDAR on RUC short-term forecasts of aviation-impact fields for ceiling, visibility, reflectivity, and precipitation
Edward J. Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ. and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, R. S. Collander, B. D. Jamison, W. R. Moninger, T. W. Schlatter, B. Schwartz, and T. L. Smith

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Exhibits Open (Tuesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Presidental Forum: Hurricane Katrina: Looking Back to Look Ahead (Cash & Carry) (Presidental Forum will run parallel to the other sessions throughout the afternoon)
Location: La Louisiane (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


7
Nowcasting and Modeling Part III
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Timothy L. Wilfong Sr., ENSCO, Inc; Rob Honch, EC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
7.1
Rapid-refresh testing: examples of forecast performance
John M. Brown, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, B. Jamison, and S. S. Weygandt

  1:45 PM
7.2
An Automated National-Scale Ceiling and Visibility Forecast System: Development Progress
Jennifer L. Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Bateman, P. H. Herzegh, G. Wiener, J. Cowie, and C. J. Kessinger

  2:15 PM
7.4
Ongoing development and testing of generalized cloud analysis package within GSI for initializing Rapid Refresh
Ming Hu, ESRL Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and M. Xue

  2:30 PM
7.5
Hourly convective probability forecasts from an experimental RUC with radar data assimilation
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA / ESRL / GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, J. M. Brown, and K. J. Brundage

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (tues p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


8
Range
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: William P. Roeder, 45 Weather Squadron; Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

Papers:
  3:45 PM
8.2
Analysis of proposed 2007-2008 revisions to the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria for United States space launches
J. E. Dye, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. P. Krider, F. J. Merceret, J. C. Willett, M. Bateman, D. Mach, W. D. Rust, R. L. Walterscheid, T. P. O'Brien, and H. J. Christian

  4:00 PM
8.3
Triggered lightning risk assessment for RLVs at three commercial sites in California, New Mexico and Oklahoma
R. L. Walterscheid, The Aerospace Corporation, Los Angeles, CA; and E. P. Krider, J. C. Willett, G. W. Law, G. S. Peng, J. L. Roeder, R. W. Seibold, F. S. Simmons, and K. Shelton-Mur

Poster PDF (243.2 kB)
  4:30 PM
8.5
Convective winds at the Florida Spaceport: year-3 of Plymouth State research
Heather A. Dinon, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and M. J. Morin, J. P. Koermer, and W. P. Roeder

  4:45 PM
8.6
  5:00 PM
8.7
NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group Support for the NASA Constellation Orion Vehicle
Timothy Oram, NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group, Houston, TX; and T. Garner

  5:15 PM
8.8

Wednesday, 23 January 2008

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 5
Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Part I
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 24th Conference on IIPS )
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA; Mary M. Cairns, Retired

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Research and Development priorities for NextGen weather
John McCarthy, JPDO Weather Working Group Chief Scientist (retired) and Aviation Weather Associates, Inc., Palm Desert, CA; and B. Carmichael

  9:15 AM
Public and private sector roles in weather
Richard Heuwinkel, FAA, Washington, DC; and K. Johnston

  9:30 AM
Multi-agency Network Enabled Weather on the FAA's SWIM DOC Test Bed
Richard C. Deininger, Tectura Corporation, Bellevue, WA; and O. Newell and G. Thompson

  9:45 AM
US Government Environmental Datacube (4DCube) Harmonization
Kim Curry, United States Navy (USN), Washington DC, DC; and D. J. Pace, T. Hopkins, and R. Hardwick

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Coffee Break (Wed a.m.)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 6
Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Part II
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 24th Conference on IIPS )
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA; Mary M. Cairns, Retired

Papers:
  10:30 AM
  10:45 AM
  11:15 AM
The single authoritative source for weather information
Bruce Carmichael, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Pace

  11:30 AM
Consolidated Storm Prediction for Aviation (CoSPA)
Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT, Lexington, MA; and W. J. Dupree, R. M. Rasmussen, M. Steiner, S. G. Benjamin, and S. S. Weygandt

  11:45 AM

11:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Exhibits Open (wednesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry in Exhibit Hall) (Wednesday)

1:15 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 1
The use of Artificial Intelligence in the field of Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Location: 205 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Sixth Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; and the 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology )
Chair: John K. Williams, NCAR
CoChair: Joanne Volk, Meteorological Service of Canada

Papers:
  1:15 PM
Update on WIND-3: an analog forecasting system for ceiling and visibility
Bjarne Hansen, Environment Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada; and I. Gultepe and A. Ling

  2:00 PM
A regional classifier approach to aviation turbulence prediction
Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman and G. Wiener

  2:15 PM
A machine learning approach to finding weather regimes and skillful predictor combinations for short-term storm forecasting
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Ahijevych, C. J. Kessinger, T. R. Saxen, M. Steiner, and S. Dettling

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Poster Session 3
Turbulence, Volcanic Ash, and Instrumentation Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Papers:
 
Using WRF-ARW Data to Forecast Turbulence at Small Scales
Jeffrey E. Passner, Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and D. I. Knapp

Poster PDF (187.4 kB)
 
Development of a rapid-update turbulence nowcast product
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Wiener and T. Tasset

 
A new direction in clear-air turbulence forecasting based on spontaneous imbalance, Part I: Application of theory
John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and D. W. McCann and P. D. Williams

Poster PDF (152.2 kB)
 
Performance of LIDAR-based turbulence detection algorithm
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and K. M. Kwong

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
 
A new direction in clear-air turbulence forecasting based on spontaneous imbalance, Part II: case studies and statistical results
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS; and J. A. Knox and P. D. Williams

Poster PDF (323.4 kB)
 
Recent Meteorological Data Collection and Analysis In Support of United States Wake Turbulence Program
Hadi S. Wassaf, Volpe Center, Research and Innovative Technologies Administration (RITA), Cambridge, MA; and A. Tabrizi and W. Frank

Poster PDF (192.5 kB)
 
Clear air turbulence forecasts: algorithms intercomparison using AMDAR Intensive Observation Period over Western Europe
Agathe Drouin, Météo France, Toulouse, France; and C. Le Bot, C. Pagé, and T. Ludjet

Poster PDF (200.4 kB)
 
Developments in numerical clear air turbulence forecasting at the UK Met Office
Debi Turp, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and P. Gill

Poster PDF (289.6 kB)
 
Automated volcanic ash dispersion forecasts
Ming Liu, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. L. Westphal, J. S. Reid, T. L. Tsui, J. Cook, D. A. Geiszler, and M. Frost

 
Global composite of volcanic ash “split window” geostationary satellite images
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL

Poster PDF (930.1 kB)
 
NRL satellite volcano ash plume monitoring
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. D. Miller, A. P. Kuciauskas, R. L. Bankert, F. J. Turk, K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, and J. E. Kent

Poster PDF (346.3 kB)
 
A methodology for the design of meteorological instrumentation networks
Jeffrey H. Copeland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Carson and A. Yates

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)
 
A Study of Barometric Altimeter Errors in High Latitude Regions
Young Yee, Mkey Technologies, LLC, Las Cruces, NM; and E. Yee

Poster PDF (190.1 kB)
 
Snow gauge performance during the Denver blizzards of December, 2006
Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Black, R. M. Rasmussen, and A. W. Tripp

Poster PDF (444.7 kB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (wednesday p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


9
Turbulence and Wind Shear Part I
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: A. Bruce Carmichael, NCAR; Kevin L. Johnston, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  4:00 PM
9.1
The prediction of mountain wave turbulence
Robert D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Abernethy and R. Frehlich

  4:30 PM
Satellite-derived mountain wave turbulence interest field detection
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin, K. M. Bedka, S. A. Ackerman, A. Wimmers, R. D. Sharman, and J. R. Mecikalski

  4:45 PM
9.4
Remote detection and real-time alerting for in-cloud turbulence
Jason A. Craig, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams, G. Blackburn, S. Linden, and R. Stone

  5:15 PM
9.6
Satellite signatures associated with significant convectively-induced turbulence events
Kristopher M. Bedka, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, J. R. Mecikalski, R. D. Sharman, A. Lenz, and J. Sieglaff

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) (Wednesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


AMS Annual Awards Banquet at the Hilton Riverside Hotel

Thursday, 24 January 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


10
Turbulence and Wind Shear Part II
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: A. Bruce Carmichael, NCAR; Kevin L. Johnston, NOAA/NWS

Papers:
  8:30 AM
An update on turbulence reporting from commercial aircraft
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris, J. Prestopnik, and T. Tasset

  8:45 AM
  9:15 AM
Comparative analysis of Terminal Wind-Shear Detection Systems
John Y. N. Cho, MIT Lincoln Lab, Lexington, MA; and R. G. Hallowell and M. E. Weber

  9:30 AM
Diagnosing hazardous turbulence associated with thunderstorms
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. E. Blackburn, J. A. Craig, S. Linden, and R. D. Sharman

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Poster Session 4
Radar and Icing Posters
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Papers:
 
An update of the LIDAR Windshear Alerting System (LIWAS) in Hong Kong
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and M. L. Kuo and C. M. Li

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
 
The Real-Time Verification System (RTVS-NG): Integrating data to support user-based verification
Nick D. Matheson, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Petty, D. S. Schaffer, S. Madine, and J. Mahoney

 
Development of a Polarimetric Space-Time Radar for Airborne Weather Hazard Monitoring
Yan Zhang, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

http://arrc.ou.edu/~rockee/

Poster PDF (493.8 kB)
 
Three-dimensional radar mosaic integrating WSR-88Ds and Canadian radar network
Jian Zhang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. Langston, K. Howard, W. Xia, and P. I. Joe

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)
 
Three-Dimensional Mosaic of the Eddy Dissipation Rate Fields from WSR-88Ds
Ming Fang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang, J. K. Williams, and J. A. Craig

Poster PDF (389.1 kB)
 
Comparison of NASA-Langley Satellite-Derived Cloud Properties with Pilot Reports in Aircraft Icing Scenarios
Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, S. D. Landolt, F. McDonough, C. A. Wolff, P. Minnis, and L. Nguyen

Poster PDF (256.6 kB)
 
Using CloudSat data to validate icing products
Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. F. Lee, C. Mitrescu, S. D. Landolt, and S. D. Miller

Poster PDF (87.8 kB)
 
Dust detection and quantification from MODIS IR bands using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model
Sang-Sam Lee, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn

Poster PDF (424.5 kB)

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Thurs a.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


11
Verification
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
CoChair: Joanne Volk, Meteorological Service of Canada

Papers:
  11:15 AM
The Real-Time Verification System (RTVS-NG): A new verification framework
Sean Madine, OAR, Boulder, CO; and N. D. Matheson, M. A. Petty, D. S. Schaffer, and J. Mahoney

  11:30 AM
Aligning forecast verification with user-specific needs - an example for aviation
Michael P. Kay, NOAA/ESRL/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine, J. Mahoney, and J. E. Hart

  11:45 AM
A lead-time metric for assessing skill in forecasting the onset of IFR events
Andrew Loughe, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine, J. Mahoney, and M. Graf

  12:00 PM
Statistical assessment of explicit model forecasts of convection using a new object-based approach
Cody L. Phillips, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, M. Steiner, R. M. Rasmussen, and N. Oien

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Exhibits Open (thurs)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry in Exhibit Hall) (Thurs)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


12
Radar
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR; James Stobie, SAIC

Papers:
 
12.1
Multi-Function Phased Array Radar (MPAR) Program Update

  1:45 PM
Aviation applications of Doppler LIDAR – experience in Hong Kong
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. M. Shun

  2:00 PM
Improving weather radar data quality for aviation weather needs
David J. Smalley, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and E. Mann, C. Ivaldi, and B. J. Bennett

  2:15 PM
Strong wind shears in stratiform precipitation observed with weather radar
Valery Melnikov, University of Oklahoma/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and R. J. Doviak

  2:30 PM
Development and testing of the VAHIRR radar product
Joe H. Barrett III, ENSCO, Applied Meteorology Unit, Cocoa Beach, FL; and J. Miller, D. Charnasky, R. Gillen, R. Lafosse, B. R. Hoeth, D. A. Hood, and T. M. McNamara

  2:45 PM
WSR-88D observed spatial spectra of turbulence in precipitation
Ming Fang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. J. Doviak

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Coffee Break and Exhibit Hall Raffle (Thurs)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


13
Inflight Icing
Location: 226-227 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: George Issac, EC; M. K. Politovich, NCAR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
An evaluation of the performance of the Forecast Icing Product (FIP)
Michael B. Chapman, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. Mahoney, S. Madine, and J. K. Henderson

  3:45 PM
SIGMA: diagnosis and nowcasting of in-flight icing supporting aircrew and ATM decision making process
Christine Le Bot, Météo France, Toulouse, France; and C. Pagé and A. Drouin

  4:00 PM
Integration of satellite-derived cloud phase, cloud top height, and liquid water path into an operational aircraft icing nowcasting system
Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, J. Black, S. Landolt, C. Wolff, S. Mueller, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith Jr.

  4:15 PM
Inflight icing detection with onboard microwave radiometry
Charles C. Ryerson, EDRC/CRREL, Hanover, NH; and G. G. Koenig, A. Reehorst, and F. Scott

  4:45 PM
Detection of Aircraft Icing Conditions Using an Enhanced Cloud Retrieval Method Applied to Geostationary Satellite Data
Patrick Minnis, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and F. L. Chang, M. M. Khaiyer, W. L. Smith Jr., L. Nguyen, D. A. Spangenberg, and R. Palikonda