Program: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges (83rd Annual)

Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

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Saturday, 8 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

SAT 8 FEB

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-5:00 PM: Saturday, 8 February 2003

Conference Registration*

Sunday, 9 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

Sun 9 Feb

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 9 February 2003

Conference Registration

Monday, 10 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Mon 10 Feb

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)

9:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Perspectives on Impacts and Response Options in North America

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Papers:

9:00 AM

1.1

Keynote Address

Robert M. Hirsch, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA

9:30 AM

1.2

Planning and Managing for Increased Water Supply Variability in Urban Southern California

Timothy H. Quinn, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, Sacramento, CA

9:45 AM

1.3

The California Water Delivery System: Impacts of Climate Variability

Douglas Osugi, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA

Poster PDF (40.8 kB)

10:00 AM

1.4

Moving to a New National Drought Policy Emphasizing Preparedness Rather than Response

Shaun McGrath, Western Governors' Association, Denver, CO

10:15 AM

1.5

The Uneasy Relationship between Science and Law: Protecting Endangered Species

Denise Fort, University of New Mexico, School of Law, Albuquerque, NM

10:30 AM

1.6

Critical hydrometeorological needs and integrated, multi-disciplinary DSS for water resource managers in the Bureau of Reclamation

Dave Matthews, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. Frevert

http://www.usbr.gov/rsmg

Poster PDF (191.7 kB)

10:45 AM

1.7

Types of Data Needed to Identify and Evaluate Potential Impact of Climate Change on PG&E's Hydropower Operations

Gary J. Freeman, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Francisco, CA

Poster PDF (185.3 kB)

11:00 AM

1.8

Hydrologic Information Needs for Emergency Management

Kevin G. Stewart, National Hydrologic Warning Council, Denver, CO

1.9

Primary Issues Facing Flood Plain/Watershed Managers

11:30 AM

1.4a

Coffee Break

12:00 PM

1.9a

Lunch Break

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Coffee Break in Poster Session Room

1:30 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Panel Discussion 1

Panel Discussion—Impacts on Multiple Sectors and Cross Cutting Issues

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

2:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Drought 2002—Impacts, Lessons, Management and Policy Innovations

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska

Papers:

4:00 PM

2.1

The 2002 Drought in the United States:Lessons Learned and Future Challenges

Donald A. Wilhite, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE

4:30 PM

2.2

The North American Drought Monitoring Initiative

Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, and K. Gleason

5:00 PM

2.3

The Perfect Ocean for Drought

Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Sessions End for the Day

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 10 February 2003

Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)

Tuesday, 11 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Tues 11 Feb

8:30 AM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Joint Session 4

Flood Hydrology, Management, and Information Systems: Near and Real-Time Management, Impacts, Forecasting, and Communication Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges )

Organizer: Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado

Papers:

8:30 AM

J4.1

Assessing the Needs of Users warm season of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Colorado

Rebecca Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (37.3 kB)

8:45 AM

J4.2

From Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) to Nowcasts for extreme precipitation events

Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Kuligowski and C. Davenport

Poster PDF (235.7 kB)

9:00 AM

J4.3

Short-term radar nowcasting for hydrologic applications over the Arkansas-Red River basin

Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti

Poster PDF (331.8 kB)

9:15 AM

J4.4

Quantitative flood forecasts based on short-term radar nowcasting

Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti

http://hydrology.mit.edu/tRIBS/

Poster PDF (339.4 kB)

9:30 AM

J4.5

An Early Alert System for Flooding in the MIiddle Atlantic River Forecast Domain

Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and D. J. Ondrejik, P. G. Knight, and J. M. Brolley

Poster PDF (135.5 kB)

9:45 AM

J4.6

Understanding the Mesoscale Processes of Flash Floods: Impacts on Prediction and Response

Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO

http://www.comet.ucar.edu/class/FLOAT_2001/index.htm

Poster PDF (555.7 kB)

10:00 AM

J4.7

Some practical applications of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction

Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA

Poster PDF (562.5 kB)

10:15 AM

J4.8

Very high resolution precipitation forecasting on low cost high performance computer systems in support of hydrological modeling

Daniel Soderman, FORECA Ltd, Helsinki, Finland; and F. Meneguzzo, B. Gozzini, D. Grifoni, G. Messeri, M. Rossi, S. Montagnani, M. Pasqui, A. Orlandi, A. Ortolani, E. Todini, G. Menduni, and V. Levizzani

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

10:30 AM

J4.9

A Distributed Model for Flood Forecasting in the Arno River Basin (Italy)

Enrica Caporali, Università di Firenze, Firenze, Italy; and V. Tartaglia

10:45 AM

J4.10

Operational rainfall and flow forecasting for the Panama Canal Watershed

Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and J. A. Sperfslage

Poster PDF (398.9 kB)

11:00 AM

J4.5a

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Joint Poster Session 3

Flood Hydrology Management and Information Systems Posters (JOINT WITH THE SYMP ON IMPACTS OF WATER VARIABILITY: BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges )

Organizer: Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS

Papers:

JP3.1

Statistical methods for nowcasting thunderstorm rainfall

Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. K. Wikle and B. Xu

Poster PDF (464.1 kB)

JP3.2

Improving precipitation and streamflow forecasts for Amite River basin in Louisiana

Ashutosh S. Limaye, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson, J. F. Cruise, and K. Stellman

JP3.3

A test of two distributed hydrologic models with WSR-88D radar precipitation data input

Steven Hunter, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Jorgesen, S. Meyer, and B. Vieux

Poster PDF (530.3 kB)

JP3.4

Finding factors for fatal flash floods in Missouri

Elizabeth A. McCoy, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. I. Fox

Poster PDF (243.2 kB)

JP3.5

Quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) skill for selected tropical cyclone forecast models during Hurricane Irene (1999)

David A. Robertson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

Poster PDF (173.9 kB)

JP3.6

Problems of flood hydrology in a transboundary river basin

Rita Pongracz, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, G. Balint, I. Bogardi, and A. Bardossy

JP3.7

Short-range Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts for NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services (AHPS): Parameter Estimation Issues

John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, E. Welles, and L. Wu

Poster PDF (248.9 kB)

JP3.8

Retrospective Verification of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (esp): A Case Study

Shuzheng Cong, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake and E. Welles

Poster PDF (206.5 kB)

JP3.9

SIMULATIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI FLOOD OF MAY 8–10th, 1995 WITH A PENN STATE/NCAR MESOSCALE MODEL (MM5) AND GIS/RS TECHNOLOGY

Suseela Redddy Remata, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and M. V. Vatti, P. Chigbu, and P. Croft

Poster PDF (196.9 kB)

JP3.10

Why customize Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction watersheds?

Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. S. Davis and P. Jendrowski

Poster PDF (496.4 kB)

JP3.11

Using radar data with the WATERFLOOD hydrological model to estimate streamflow

Allyson K. Bingeman, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and N. Kouwen and I. Zawadzki

http://www.civil.uwaterloo.ca/watflood/studies/nowcasting.htm

Poster PDF (785.6 kB)

JP3.12

Precipitation induced isotopic variations in stream flow

Madhav V. Machavaram, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and K. E. Bashford, M. E. Conrad, and N. L. Miller

Poster PDF (171.6 kB)

JP3.13

A modelling-based methodology for determining extreme precipitation potential at high elevations in Colorado

William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby

http://rams.atmos.colostate.edu/precip-proj/overnow/index.html

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

JP3.14

A retrospective assessment of seasonal hydrologic forecast skill in the western U.S

Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Zhu, A. F. Hamlet, and D. P. Lettenmaier

JP3.15

Analysis of new remote sensing and ancillary inputs to land surface water and energy balance modeling

David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Gottschalck, P. R. Houser, B. Cosgrove, J. Entin, and A. Wilhelm

JP3.16

Calibration of PQPF forecasts based on the NCEP global ensemble

Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth

JP3.17

Information and Products Derived From Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts

Mary Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. DeWeese, E. Welles, and J. Schaake

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

JP3.18

Development of a Large-Scale Hydrologic Prediction System

Ji Chen, Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and J. Roads

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

JP3.19

Evaluation of skill and error characteristics for alternative seasonal streamflow forecast methods

Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier

JP3.20

Hydroclimatic Information for Water Resources Management in the Western U.S.: Integrated monitoring and diagnostics tools

Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. Morin

JP3.21

Impact of water variability on chemical river water quality in Central Asia

Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and M. G. Glazirina

JP3.22

Empirical Probability Models to Predict Puerto Rico Monthly Rainfall Process

Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and K. -. M. Lau, A. Winter, J. M. Castro, and N. R. Escalante

Poster PDF (207.6 kB)

12:15 PM-12:15 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-4:45 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Global Perspectives on Impacts

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Heidi Cullen, NCAR

Papers:

5.1

International Dialogue on Water and Climate: Learning to better cope with climate variability and change

1:44 PM

5.2

Paper has been moved, new paper number 5.10

1:45 PM

5.3

Impacts of the protracted drought in central and southwest Asia

Bradfield Lyon, IRI for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and H. Cullen and M. Barlow

5.4

Low-frequency precipitation and river flow variability in Cuenca del Plata

2:15 PM

5.5

ENSO Impacts on the Flow of the Caroní River, Venezuela

Pedro Cárdenas, EDELCA Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela; and A. Gil, E. Colon, and O. Garcia

5.6

A methodology for the prediction of environmentally mediated stress: impacts of a changing hydrological cycle

2:30 PM

5.7

Climate Variability and Water Resources: A study in the Paraiba Valley, Brazil

Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and S. J. Simoes and D. A. Raff

Poster PDF (138.4 kB)

2:45 PM

5.8

Quantifying precipitation reduction due to air pollution downwind of major urban areas

Amir Givati, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld

Poster PDF (204.3 kB)

3:00 PM

5.9

The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis

Wolfram Schlenker, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and W. M. Hanemann and A. C. Fisher

3:15 PM

5.10

Climate and Rural Poverty (Formerly paper 5.2)

Alan Basist, NOAA/NWS/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. Williams, F. Kogan, R. Mendelsohn, P. Kurukulasuriya, A. Dinar, and R. C. Reddy

http://

Poster PDF (49.6 kB)

3:45 PM

5.0a

Challenges and Opportunities in Water Resource Management—The Role of the World Meteorological Organization"

G. O. P. Obasi, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

4:45 PM

5.3a

Coffee Break

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Joint Session 5

Flood Hydrology, Management, Information Systems: Longer-Term Planning, Management, Impacts, and Forecasting Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)

Sponsors: (Joint between the 17TH Conference on Hydrology; and the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges )

Organizer: Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWSFO

Papers:

1:30 PM

J5.1

Tropical Cyclone Floods in Florida: Geographical Influences and Community Preparedness

Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL

1:45 PM

J5.2

Problems of climate variability and uncertainty in flood hazard planning for the Colorado Front Range

Mary W. Downton, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Cullen, R. Morss, O. Wilhelmi, and B. Rajagopalan

Poster PDF (149.8 kB)

2:00 PM

J5.3

National Weather Service Hydrologic Science and Development: Coupling the Atmosphere to the Oceans

Gary Carter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and G. F. Smith

Poster PDF (954.2 kB)

2:15 PM

J5.4

Enhanced flood forecasting and real-time inundation mapping in the Tar River Basin, North Carolina, USA

Douglas C. Marcy, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC; and G. Austin, J. Feldt, and S. Harned

2:30 PM

J5.5

Short Term Ensemble River Stage Forecasts: Application

Xiaobiao Fan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, L. Wu, E. Welles, J. Ostrowski, N. Pryor, and J. Schaake

Poster PDF (618.2 kB)

2:45 PM

J5.6

The role of a prominent rain shadow on flooding in California's coastal mountains: A CALJET case study and sensitivity to the ENSO cycle

Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, D. E. Kingsmill, E. D. Andrews, and R. C. Antweiler

3:00 PM

J5.7

Toward a Science Infusion Strategy for NWS Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)

John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou, M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott

Poster PDF (67.7 kB)

3:15 PM

J5.8

Distributed model flow sensitivities to input and parametric uncertainty: Case studies for three watersheds in the Central U.S

Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos and J. A. Sperfslage

Poster PDF (244.5 kB)

3:30 PM

J5.9

Hydrological Forecasting using Distributed Models in the Great Lakes Basin

Alain C. Pietroniro, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and H. Goertz, P. Pilon, H. Ritchie, P. Campbell, R. P. Ford, and N. Kouwen

3:45 PM

J5.10

Chimera watersheds to understand the relative importance of rainfall distribution in semi-distributed rainfall-runoff models

Vazken Andréassian, Cemagref, Antony, France; and A. Oddos, C. Michel, and C. Perrin

Poster PDF (360.3 kB)

4:00 PM

J5.11

Optimization of a macroscale hydrological model for flood forecasting in the Odra watershed

Joachim Geyer, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Klein and H. T. Mengelkamp

http://w3.gkss.de/KSH

Poster PDF (165.2 kB)

4:15 PM

J5.12

Potential benefits of long-lead hydrologic predictability on Missouri River main-stem reservoirs

Edwin P. Maurer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier

4:30 PM

J5.13

Applying high resolution land surface data, modeling and assimilation techniques to water supply and demand forecasts

Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and T. Pruitt, S. M. Hunter, D. A. Matthews, W. Sharp, K. R. Arsenault, and P. R. Houser

http://www.usbr.gov/rsmg/nexrad

Poster PDF (121.6 kB)

4:45 PM

J5.14

Simulation of Possible future effects of greenhouse warming on Great Lakes water supply using a regional climate model

Brent M. Lofgren, NOAA/ERL/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI

Poster PDF (230.2 kB)

5:00 PM

J5.6a

Coffee Break in exhibit hall (exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 11 February 2003

Sessions End for the Day

Wednesday, 12 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Wed 12 Feb

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Water Management Issues - Role of Information

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist

Papers:

8:30 AM

6.1

The benefit of long lead-time hydrologic forecasts during drought in the Ohio River Valley

Thomas E. Adams III, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH

8:45 AM

6.2

The role of climate in modern water planning and related decisions: Nebraska case study

Donna L. Woudenberg, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and K. G. Hubbard, R. D. Kuzelka, and S. J. Meyer

Poster PDF (34.1 kB)

9:00 AM

6.3

Water Distribution Options in Industrial Nations: A sustainability assessment

Christine Anne Smith, School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada

9:15 AM

6.4

Water Variability: Challenges Where the Rubber Hits the Road

Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA; and T. Dean, K. Schilling, and J. Shull

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

9:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade

10:00 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

1:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Regional Integrated Assessments

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Harvey Hill, NOAA Office of Global Programs

Papers:

1:30 PM

7.1

Reducing vulnerability to hydro-climatic variability through integrated assessment in the southwestern U.S

R.C. Bales, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and D. M. Liverman

1:45 PM

7.2

Climate Information and Water Resource Management: Two Initiatives in the Southwest

Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Morehouse

Poster PDF (119.2 kB)

2:00 PM

7.3

Helping Water Resource Managers Understand Hydroclimatic Variability and Forecasts

Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. C. Pagano, K. Franz, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales

2:15 PM

7.4

The CIRES-NOAA Western Water Assessment

Martyn P. Clark, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Boulder, CO; and S. K. Avery and R. M. Dole

2:30 PM

7.5

Climate Assessment of the 1999–2002 drought in Colorado

Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and R. Pielke Sr., M. Hoerling, S. Jain, and N. Doesken

2:45 PM

7.6

2002 Municipal Response to Drought in the Colorado Front Range

Douglas Kenney, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Klein, A. Morrison, and B. Gravell

Poster PDF (92.8 kB)

3:00 PM

7.7

Rapid response to the 2002 drought in Colorado: an experiment in regional climate services

Robert Stabler Webb, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Ray, K. T. Redmond, R. S. Pulwarty, K. Wolter, C. A. Woodhouse, S. Avery, and R. M. Dole

3:15 PM

7.8

A user study approach for identifying needs for regional climate services

Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and R. S. Pulwarty

3:30 PM

7.9

Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management—Lessons Learned

Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center/SIO, San Diego, CA; and N. E. Graham and A. P. Georgakakos

http://www.hrc-web.org/Tech_Transfer

3:45 PM

7.10

Incorporating hydroclimatic variability in reservoir management at Folsom Lake, California

Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos, N. E. Graham, A. P. Georgakakos, and H. Yao

Poster PDF (268.9 kB)

4:00 PM

7.11

Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program

Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey and SIO, La Jolla, CA; and W. Bennett, D. R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B. L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud-Roam, D. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith

Poster PDF (269.2 kB)

4:15 PM

7.12

Application and Potential use of Climate Information in Water Resources Management in Florida

Neeraj Vedwan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, K. Broad, D. Letson, G. Podesta, J. Jones, and J. J. O'Brien

4:30 PM

7.13

Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Water Planning Studies in the Pacific Northwest

Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. Mote

4:45 PM

7.14

Responding to stakeholders' needs for climate change information for water resources planning

Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, P. Mote, and D. P. Lettenmaier

5:00 PM

7.6a

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30-7:30 p.m.)

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Sessions End for the Day

6:00 PM-7:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

Reception (Cash Bar)

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 12 February 2003

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Thursday, 13 February 2003

12:00 AM-12:00 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Thur 13 Feb

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Joint Session 2

Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)

Sponsors: (Joint between the Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges; and the 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations )

Organizer: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International

Papers:

8:30 AM

J2.1

Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts

Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC

8:45 AM

J2.2

Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market

Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher

9:00 AM

J2.3

National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data

Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC

9:15 AM

J2.4

The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts

Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY

9:30 AM

J2.5

What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?

Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson

9:45 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Drought Impacts, Preparedness and Mitigation

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska

Papers:

11:00 AM

8.1

Improved NWS Climate Products and Services in Response to Customer Feedback

Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler, R. E. Livezey, and D. Lecomte

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)

11:15 AM

8.2

Managing Droughts in the Future: the Impacts of Climate Change on Municipal Water Supplies

Richard N. Palmer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. A. Hahn

11:30 AM

8.3

Midwestern Drought

Michael A. Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL

Poster PDF (767.6 kB)

11:45 AM

8.4

Using dendrohydrologic data in Colorado water resource planning and management

Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and J. J. Lukas

12:00 PM

8.5

Water banking as institutional adaptation to climate variability: the Colorado experiment

John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO

Poster PDF (232.3 kB)

12:15 PM

8.5a

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Sponsor: Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges

Organizer: Daniel R. Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography/USGS

Papers:

1:30 PM

9.1

The Climate of 2002 in Historical Perspective

Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, K. Gleason, and A. Waple

1:45 PM

9.2

Response of U.S. water resources to HadCM2 projections of climate change and consequences for agriculture

N. J. Rosenberg, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD; and R. C. Izaurralde, R. A. Brown, and A. M. Thomson

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

9.3

Hydro-QuÉbec coping with Climate Change anticipated effects

2:15 PM

9.4

Using Clustered Climate Regimes for Understanding Water Cycle Variability

Forrest M. Hoffman, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. W. Hargrove, D. J. Erickson III, and R. Oglesby

http://climate.esd.ornl.gov/

Poster PDF (736.7 kB)

2:30 PM

9.5

High and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios for the Missouri River basin: water yield responses

Mark C. Stone, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. H. Hotchkiss and L. O. Mearns

2:45 PM

9.6

Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the Pacific Island Water Resources: Challenges and Opportunities

Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI

Poster PDF (250.0 kB)

3:00 PM

9.7

Changes in snowmelt runoff over Western North America over the last 5 decades

Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger, I. Stewart, and N. Knowles

3:15 PM

9.8

Vulnerability of water resources in eastern Mediterranean ecosystems due to climate change—An integrated approach to sustainable management

Pinhas Alpert, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; and D. Silverman

http://luna.tau.ac.il/~glowa

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

2:15 PM-2:15 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Conference Ends

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Simpsons Banquet

8:00 PM-10:00 PM: Thursday, 13 February 2003

Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific

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