17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Program Chair: William H. Bauman III , ENSCO, Inc.

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 3 January 2015

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015


Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Sunday, 4 January 2015

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015


Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Monday, 5 January 2015

7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Plenary Session 1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon; the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium; and the 15th Presidential Forum )
Program Chair: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Moderator: Kimberly E. Klockow, NOAA
Keynote: Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA
Panelists: Bernadette Woods Placky, Climate Central; Mac Devine, IBM Cloud Services Division; Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA; Curtis L. Walker, University of Nebraska

Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
  9:00 AM
William B (Bill) Gail: Introductory remarks
  9:08 AM
Kimberly E. Klockow: Moderator welcoming remarks
  9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
  9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
  9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 1
Research to operations successes
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Jaclyn A. Shafer, ENSCO, Inc.; John Mecikalski, University of Alabama
  11:30 AM
1.3
The High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): The Operational Implementation and Future Direction with the Aviation Community
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, D. C. Dowell, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, J. S. Kenyon, J. M. Brown, E. P. James, and I. Jankov
  11:45 AM
1.4
Physics in the HRRR and RAP: recent progress and future plans
John M. Brown, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, J. B. Olson, G. Grell, J. S. Kenyon, D. C. Dowell, C. R. Alexander, E. P. James, S. S. Weygandt, and M. Hu

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Weather Observing Systems Via Airborne Platforms
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; and the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Cochairs: Randall Bass, FAA; William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc.
  1:30 PM
J1.1
Detection of High Ice Water Content (HIWC) Conditions: Assessment of a Nowcasting Tool Using Data from the HAIC-HIWC International Field Campaign
Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Black, G. P. McCabe Jr., G. Cunning, J. W. Strapp, A. Grandin, R. J. Potts, and T. Ratvasky
  2:15 PM
J1.3
in situ turbulence observations from commercial aircraft
R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Pearson, G. Meymaris, L. B. Cornman, and T. J. Farrar

Recording files available
Session 2
General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA; Winnie Crawford, ENSCO, Inc.
  1:30 PM
2.1A
  1:45 PM
2.2
Towards an analysis tool for ceiling and visibility
Sarah Umdasch, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; and R. Steinacker and M. Dorninger

  2:00 PM
2.3
Airborne Weather Observation Applications and Benefits Assessment for Air Traffic Management
Jarrod Lichty, AvMet Applications, Inc., Reston, VA; and T. J. Farrar, M. Phaneuf, R. S. Lee, J. L. Bewley, and D. O'Donnell
  2:15 PM
2.4
Terminal Weather System with Fast-Scanning Phased Array Weather Radar in Japan
Eiichi Yoshikawa, Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Mitaka, Tokyo, Japan; and A. Kanda, T. Ushio, and K. Kusunoki

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 1
ARAM Posters - Part I
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
304
Overview of the 2014 Aviation Weather Testbed Summer Experiment
Steven A. Lack, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and B. R. J. Schwedler, A. M. Terborg, A. R. Harless, B. P. Pettegrew, S. Silberberg, R. L. Solomon, D. Vietor, D. R. Bright, M. P. Murphy, D. Blondin, M. Strahan, and B. Entwistle

 
305
New COMET Training on Convection, Turbulence and Icing
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and T. Ross-Lazarov, W. R. Bua, and M. Weingroff

 
306
Using Ensemble Models for Probabilistic Turbulence Forecasting at the Aviation Weather Center/Aviation Weather Testbed
Brian P. Pettegrew, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Kansas City, MO; and D. R. Bright

Handout (4.3 MB)

 
307
 
Paper 309 has been moved. New paper number is 2.1A.

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Tuesday, 6 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 4
General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation; Claudia V. McKnight, The MITRE Corporation
  8:30 AM
4.1
  8:45 AM
4.2
Evaluation of an Airport Capacity Prediction Model for Strategizing Air Traffic Management
Shin-Lai Tien, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and S. Roy, C. P. Taylor, C. Wanke, and R. Dhal
  9:15 AM
4.4
Improving nowcasting by blending extrapolation and NWP model forecasts
Yunsung Hwang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan, A. Clark, and S. Koch
  9:30 AM
4.5
Retiring the Area Forecast: Transitioning Select Area Forecasts to Digital and Graphical Alternatives
Kevin Johnston, FAA, Warrenton, VA; and S. Schmidt, K. Stone, M. P. Murphy, and T. P. Kiley Jr.

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 2
ARAM Posters - Part II
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
312
Federal Aviation Administration Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor System Research to Operations Accomplishments
Courtney Tait, Data Transformation Corp., Atlantic City, NJ; and S. Abelman and V. Passetti

Handout (756.4 kB) Handout (523.2 kB)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Lecture 1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Presidential Forum; the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
  11:00 AM
L1.1
Model Diagnoses of El Nino Teleconnections to the Global Atmosphere-Ocean System
Ngar-Cheung Lau, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
Recording files available
Session 5
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation; Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA
  11:00 AM
5.1
Testing the Performance of Radar and Lidar Vertical Wind Shear Detection at Frankfurt and Munich Airports
Thomas Ernsdorf, German Weather Service, Offenbach, Germany; and B. R. Beckmann
  11:15 AM
5.2
A New Ultra-Fast Scanning Doppler Wind Lidar And Results From The Trials During The UFO Project
Rémy Parmentier, LEOSPHERE SAS, Paris, France; and S. Loaec, J. P. Cariou, L. Thobois, G. Gorju, R. Krishna Murthy, A. dolfi, and W. renard

  11:30 AM
5.3
  11:45 AM
5.4
Operational Doppler radar turbulence detection capability for the Taiwan AOAWS
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris, J. A. Craig, and J. Cowie

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 6
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Timothy H. Miner, American Airlines; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS
  1:30 PM
6.1
High Resolution Clear-Air Turbulence Observations With Mode S
Jacek M. Kopeć, Univ. of Warsaw, Warszawa, Poland; and K. Bajer and S. de Haan
  1:45 PM
6.2
Intensity of Thunderstorm-Generated Turbulence Revealed by Large-Eddy Simulation
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and R. D. Sharman

  2:00 PM
6.3
Eddy Dissipation Rate (EDR) Uplink Demonstration Capacity and Efficiency Benefits Quantification
Tammy J. Farrar, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. S. Lee, M. Phaneuf, M. Robinson, J. Bracken, E. Frazier, and W. Watts
  2:15 PM
6.4
Assessment of Wind Shear Forecast Performance and Implications on Wind Compression Impacts
Colleen Reiche, AvMet Applications Inc., Reston, VA; and M. Robinson, B. Niu, D. O'Donnell, and M. Kay
  2:30 PM
6.5
The New Turbulence Nowcast from Schneider Electric
Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Research, Inc., Overland Park, KS; and D. W. Lennartson
  2:45 PM
6.6
Global Turbulence Forecasts for Aviation
R. D. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 7
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Le Jiang, I.M. Systems Group, Inc. ; Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA
  4:30 PM
7.5
  4:45 PM
7.6

Wednesday, 7 January 2015

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 8
Range, Aerospace, and Commercial Spaceport
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc.; Winnie Crawford, ENSCO, Inc.
  8:45 AM
8.2
  9:00 AM
8.3
Critical Support Issues for Commercial Space Transportation Space Weather Services
J. Kunches, Atmospheric & Space Technology Research Associates, Boulder, CO; and G. Crowley, I. Azeem, C. Winkler, and M. Pilinski
  9:30 AM
8.5
Convection Nowcasting Products Available at the Army Test and Evaluation Command Ranges
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Deierling, D. Megenhardt, E. Nelson, S. Dettling, and M. Steiner
  9:45 AM
8.6

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 9
Decision Support Tools - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA; Le Jiang, I.M. Systems Group, Inc.
  10:30 AM
9.1
A Decision Support System for Station Keeping Stratospheric Balloons
Randall J. Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, McLean, VA; and B. D. Felton, M. Mason, and A. Myckow

  10:45 AM
9.2
Aviation Weather Forecasts Beyond Today
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL
  11:15 AM
9.4
The Challenge of Determining Weather Requirements for the FAA's Decision Support Systems
Claudia V. McKnight, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Fronzak and M. W. Huberdeau
  11:30 AM
9.5
Comparison of Radar-based Precipitation Mosaics
Joseph Grim, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, J. O. Pinto, K. Stone, and D. Megenhardt
  11:45 AM
9.6
Development of the WAFS in Support of Meteorological Services for International Aviation
Steven Albersheim, FAA, Washington, DC; and M. K. Peterson, T. J. Helms Jr., and L. Burch

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Lunch Break

Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Lecture 2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling )
Chair: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
Recording files available
Session 10
Decision Support Tools - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Matt Fronzak, The MITRE Corporation; Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA
  1:30 PM
10.1
Recent Improvements in Rapid Refresh and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Forecasts of Low Ceilings
Jaymes S. Kenyon, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Olson, J. M. Brown, C. R. Alexander, S. Benjamin, D. C. Dowell, G. Grell, M. Hu, E. P. James, T. G. Smirnova, and S. S. Weygandt
  1:45 PM
10.2
  2:00 PM
Paper 10.3 has moved. New paper number is 769A.

  2:15 PM
10.4
An Intercomparison of Schemes to Identify, Track, and Predict Convective Planetary Boundary Layer Phenomena
George Limpert, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. Houston, A. E. Reinhart, C. C. Weiss, and T. W. Nichols

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Poster Session 3
ARAM Posters - Part III
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
767
Aerospace Meteorology and decision-making under uncertainty: development of weather decision support system for sounding rocket launch
Amaury Caruzzo, Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil; and M. C. N. Belderrain, G. Fisch, G. S. Young, C. J. Hanlon, and J. Verlinde
Manuscript (113.7 kB)

 
768
Pitot Tube Anemometry at the Mount Washington Observatory
Cyrena-Marie Briede, Mount Washington Observatory, North Conway, NH; and M. Carmon, M. Dorfman, P. Gagne, R. Knapp, M. Kyle, K. O'Brien, T. Padham, and R. Pushor

 
769A
A Demonstration to Validate the Minimum Weather Services for Oceanic and Remote Airspace
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Frazier, G. Blackburn, and T. Lindholm

Handout (1.8 MB)

 
770
 
771
Turbulence beneath midlevel cloud bases: comparisons between numerical simulations and MU radar observations
Atsushi Kudo, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Luce, H. Hashiguchi, and R. Wilson

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 11
Convective Weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama; Mike Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.
  4:00 PM
11.1
  4:15 PM
11.2
Offshore 0–8 hour Forecasts for Aviation
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and P. M. Lamey, M. S. Veillette, C. J. Mattioli, and E. P. Hassey
  4:30 PM
11.3
  5:00 PM
11.5
Improved Methods for Blending Extrapolation-based with High-resolution Model Forecasts
James O. Pinto, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. Grim, D. Ahijevych, and M. Steiner

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015


95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Thursday, 8 January 2015

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 7
The Observations Gap: Approaches to filling observation gaps at higher space and time scales as neededfor next-generation forecasting and monitoring
Location: 231ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; and the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry )
Cochairs: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin; Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS
  8:30 AM
TJ7.1
The LAPS Cloud Analysis: Validation with All-sky imagery and development of a variational cloud assimilation
Steve Albers, NOAA & CIRA, Boulder, CO; and K. Holub, Y. Xie, Z. Toth, H. Jiang, and J. Zhou

  8:45 AM
TJ7.2
Using Connected Vehicle Data to Fill In the Observations Gap for Data Assimilation
Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Lee, S. D. Drobot, and P. Pisano
  9:00 AM
TJ7.3
Recent Advancements in the TAMDAR Sensor Network Expansion
Neil Jacobs, Chief Atmospheric Scientist, Panasonic Avionics Corporation, Morrisville, NC; and D. Mulally, A. Anderson, J. Braid, P. Childs, A. Huffman, E. Wilson, and F. Gao
  9:30 AM
TJ7.5
Realization of PATH Goals using a Small Satellite Constellation
Albin Gasiewski, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and B. T. Sanders and D. W. Gallaher
Recording files available
Session 12
Ensemble Modeling/Climate Change
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: John J. Murray, NASA/LaRC; Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA
  8:30 AM
12.1
Evaluation of Climate Impacts from Different Models for Aviation-Induced Contrails for Trans-Atlantic Flights
Jung-Hoon Kim, NASA/ARC, Moffett Field, CA; and B. Sridhar, W. N. Chan, N. Chen, J. Li, H. K. Ng, and U. Schumann
  8:45 AM
12.2
Probabilistic Guidance of Aviation Hazards for Transoceanic Flights
Ken Stone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, J. O. Pinto, C. P. Kalb, C. Kessinger, and M. Strahan
  9:00 AM
12.3
  9:15 AM
12.4
Generation of calibrated probabilistic forecasts of potential airspace capacity from a high resolution ensemble for en-route flight planning
James O. Pinto, NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, E. Kuchera, G. Creighton, and S. Rentschler
  9:30 AM
12.5

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lecture 3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014; the 15th Presidential Forum; the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium; the Harry R. Glahn Symposium; the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 29th Conference on Hydrology; the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 24th Symposium on Education; the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography; the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction; the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence; the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 13th History Symposium; the 12th Conference on Space Weather; the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health; the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate; the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling; and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium )
  11:00 AM
L3.1
Recording files available
Session 13
Decision Support Tools - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
CoChair: Mike Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc.
  11:00 AM
13.1
INtegrated Support for Impacted air-Traffic Environments (INSITE)
Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, M. S. Wandishin, P. Hamer, and M. A. Petty
  11:15 AM
13.2
An assessment of a forecast tool for convective weather impacts at the TRACON scale
Brian J. Etherton, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, L. Paulik, M. S. Wandishin, and M. A. Petty
  11:30 AM
13.3
Demonstrating feasibility of tactical turbulence alerts
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Frazier, B. Barron, G. Blackburn, C. Kessinger, T. A. Lindholm, and M. Delemarre
  11:45 AM
13.4
Demonstration of a Convective Weather Product into the Flight Deck
Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Blackburn, N. Rehak, A. Ritter, K. Milczewski, K. Sievers, D. Wolf, and J. Olivo

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Lunch Break

12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015

Recording files available
Session 14
Icing/winter weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS; Timothy H. Miner, American Airlines
  1:30 PM
14.1
FAA Sponsored Aircraft Icing Weather Research Initiatives
Dino J. Rovito, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Bond, J. Riley, M. Politovich, G. Cunning, S. Abelman, W. Fellner, and M. Gunzelman
  2:00 PM
14.3
Winter-Weather Stakeholder Decision Mapping for Weather Decision Support Shortfall Identification
Jennifer L. Bewley, AvMet Applications Inc., Reston, VA; and J. Lichty, E. Hahn, D. O'Donnell, M. Robinson, and R. S. Lee
  2:15 PM
14.4
  2:30 PM
14.5
Simulation of Meteorological Fields for Icing Applications at the Summit of Mount Washington
Sandra L. Jones, US Army, Hanover, NH; and K. F. Jones, K. J. Claffey, R. Oglesby, C. M. Rowe, and J. B. Eylander

  2:45 PM
14.6
Diagnosing Aircraft Icing Potential from Satellite Cloud Retrievals
William L. Smith Jr., NASA LaRC, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, C. Fleeger, and D. Spangenberg

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015


AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns