17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Program Chair:
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award WinnerSaturday, 3 January 2015
7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 3 January 2015
Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Sunday, 4 January 2015
7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
WeatherFest
Location: Hall 1 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Newcomer’s Welcome and Informational Exchange
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
95th Annual Review, New Fellows, and Featured Awards
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:45 PM-8:00 PM: Sunday, 4 January 2015
Fellows Reception
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Monday, 5 January 2015
7:30 AM-6:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Registration Continues through January 7
Location: Lobby of Exhibit Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Plenary Session
1
15th Presidential Forum: Will Weather Change Forever—Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
Location: North Ballroom CD (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Annual Conference for Early Career Professionals;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
the Special Symposium on the South Asia Monsoon;
the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium;
and the 15th Presidential Forum
)
Program Chair:
Moderator:
Keynote:
Panelists:
Twenty five years hence, meteorology will be much different and expand far beyond the traditional weather forecast. Personal sensors will monitor weather nearly everywhere. Advanced computing will allow us to forecast at perhaps minute scales and kilometer resolutions, customized for each particular user. Post-mobile devices will enable instantaneous use of the information – even in remote areas of today’s developing nations. Transportation will be safer, businesses will operate more efficiently, events will automatically schedule around anticipated weather, and much more. Operational weather forecasts will be interlaced with new environmental elements that impact economic, health, energy, and security decisions. Many aspects of our daily lives will change forever. Climate change’s possibilities add a critical dimension to community resiliency. Should global weather patterns be altered, forecasting could become more challenging than today. The recent release of the fifth IPCC synthesis report has brought focus to this particular issue. Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA Administrator, will lead the session with a keynote on her vision for the meteorology enterprise in the year 2040. Following her keynote, the panelists - representing different demographics and perspectives - will then provide their vision, accompanied by a moderated discussion among the panelists.
9:16 AM
Dr. Kathryn Sullivan: AMS 2015 Annual Meeting Presidential Forum Keynote
9:24 AM
Curtis Walker: Will Weather Change Forever – Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:32 AM
Bernadette Woods Placky: Will Weather Change Forever? Anticipating Meteorology in 2040
9:40 AM
Mac Devine: The Perfect Storm Intensifies - The Convergence of BigData, Cloud and the Internet of Things is Now at Full Strength
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: North Ballroom Foyer (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
1
Research to operations successes
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Joint Session
1
Weather Observing Systems Via Airborne Platforms
Location: 131C (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
and the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
)
Cochairs:
Session
2
General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
1
Paper 309 has been moved. New paper number is 2.1A.
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Session
3
General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 5 January 2015
Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Tuesday, 6 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
4
General Topics in Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
2
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Lecture
1
Bernhard Haurwitz Memorial Lecture
Location: 122BC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Session
5
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
6
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
2:30 PM
6.5
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 6 January 2015
Session
7
Turbulence and Wind Shear - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
Wednesday, 7 January 2015
8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
8
Range, Aerospace, and Commercial Spaceport
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Spouses' Coffee
10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
9
Decision Support Tools - Part I
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
11:30 AM
9.5
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Lunch Break
Women in the Atmospheric Sciences Luncheon
Location: 213AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Lecture
2
Horton Lecture
Location: 127ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Eighth Annual CCM Forum: Certified Consulting Meteorologists;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
and the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling
)
Chair:
Session
10
Decision Support Tools - Part II
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
2:00 PM
Paper 10.3 has moved. New paper number is 769A.
2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Poster Session
3
4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Session
11
Convective Weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
4:30 PM
11.3
4:45 PM
11.4
5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Hall 5 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 7 January 2015
95th AMS Awards Banquet
Location: North Ballroom (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Thursday, 8 January 2015
8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Themed Joint Session
7
The Observations Gap: Approaches to filling observation gaps at higher space and time scales as neededfor next-generation forecasting and monitoring
Location: 231ABC (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
and the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry
)
Cochairs:
Session
12
Ensemble Modeling/Climate Change
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
8:45 AM
12.2
9:00 AM
12.3
9:30 AM
12.5
9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Hall 4 (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lecture
3
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 124A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Hosts: (Joint
between the Major Weather Events and Societal Impacts of 2014;
the 15th Presidential Forum;
the Eugenia Kalnay Symposium;
the Harry R. Glahn Symposium;
the 31st Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies;
the 29th Conference on Hydrology;
the 27th Conference on Climate Variability and Change;
the 24th Symposium on Education;
the 20th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography;
the 20th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification;
the 19th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS);
the 19th Conference on Air-Sea Interaction;
the 17th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry;
the 18th Conference on Middle Atmosphere;
the 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology;
the 13th Conference on Artificial Intelligence;
the 13th Symposium on the Coastal Environment;
the 13th History Symposium;
the 12th Conference on Space Weather;
the 11th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems;
the 10th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice;
the Seventh Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications;
the Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data;
the Seventh Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions;
the Sixth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy;
the Sixth Conference on Environment and Health;
the Fifth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations;
the Fifth Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python;
the Third Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise;
the Third Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events;
the Third Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation;
the Third Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact;
the First Symposium on High Performance Computing for Weather, Water, and Climate;
the Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling;
and the Air Pollution Meteorology and Human Health Symposium
)
Session
13
Decision Support Tools - Part III
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
CoChair:
11:30 AM
13.3
11:45 AM
13.4
12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Lunch Break
12:45 PM-1:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Daily Weather Briefings
Location: 132AB (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Session
14
Icing/winter weather
Location: 129A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Host: 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Registration Closes
3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
Coffee Break
Location: Meeting room foyers (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
Meet the President
Location: 126A (Phoenix Convention Center - West and North Buildings)
5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 8 January 2015
AMS 95th Annual Meeting Adjourns