Poster Session 1 Conference Posters

Monday, 1 August 2005: 5:30 PM-7:00 PM
Regency Ballroom (Omni Shoreham Hotel Washington D.C.)
Host: 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

Papers:
P1.1
An improved clear air turbulence diagnostic index to account for unbalanced flow in anticyclonically curved jet streams
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. A. Knox

Handout (516.5 kB)

P1.2
The impact of the planetary scale on the decay of blocking and the use of phase diagrams and Lyapunov exponents as a diagnostic
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and I. I. Mokhov, S. Dostoglou, A. Kunz, and J. P. Burkhardt

Handout (214.1 kB)

P1.3
Planetary and synoptic scale interactions in southeast Pacific blocking using Potential Vorticity diagnostics: More evidence for the paucity of wave-wave interactions in Southern Hemisphere blocking
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. Kunz and J. P. Burkhardt

Handout (174.8 kB)

P1.4
Diagnosis of banded precipitation patterns associated with extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones using CSI theory
Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Handout (333.1 kB)

P1.5
A climatology of strong cold fronts over the western United States
Jason C. Shafer, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh

P1.6
Cool-season moderate precipitation events in the Northeastern United States
Keith R. Wagner, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. S. Evans

P1.7
HPC's Excessive Rainfall Potential Outlook
Michael T. Eckert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

P1.8
The flash flood of 12 July 2004 in Burlington County, New Jersey: A case study
Michael J. Gorse, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope

Handout (436.6 kB)

P1.9
Observed Bow Echo events during the first week of July 2003 concurrent with BAMEX
Nicholas D. Metz, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

P1.10
Examining the role of mesoscale features in the structure and evolution of precipitation regions in northeast winter storms
Matthew D. Greenstein, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and D. J. Nicosia

P1.11
An examination of cool-season damaging wind events in the northern mid-Atlantic region
Raymond Kruzdlo, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope

Handout (2.2 MB)

P1.12
A Satellite Perspective of the Propagation Characteristics of a Mesoscale Convective System over Northwest Alabama and Northeast Mississippi
Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

Handout (440.1 kB)

P1.13
Using Multi-Spectral Satellite Remote Sensing Techniques to Nowcast Nocturnal Convection Initiation
Wayne M. MacKenzie Jr., NOAA/NESDIS, Greenbelt, MD; and J. R. Mecikalski

Handout (707.3 kB)

P1.14
Dominant factors influencing precipitation efficiency in a continental mid-latitude location
Mohd Hisham Mohd Anip, Malaysian Meteorological Service, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market

Handout (308.8 kB)

P1.15
An observational analysis of an Alabama dryline event on March 19–20, 2003
Robert E. Barbre Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. Knupp, W. Mackenzie Jr., P. Gatlin, and D. Phillips

Handout (1.3 MB)

P1.16
Warm-seclusion extratropical cyclone development: Sensitivity to the nature of the incipient vortex
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Handout (372.7 kB)

P1.17
Towards a better understanding of and ability to forecast the wind field expansion during the extratropical transition process
Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Hart

Handout (540.5 kB)

P1.18
Wet snow icing upstream of mountains
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson

P1.19
Wet snow icing downstream of mountains
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson

P1.20
Warm season extreme quantitative precipitation forecasting for the Burlington, VT region
John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah, P. Sisson, M. Kimball, and A. Roberge

Handout (848.8 kB)

P1.21
Validation of a numerical wind forecast by dust image
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland

P1.22
The textbook foehn
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland

P1.23
The response filter
Mark Askelson, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and H. Lin, M. Solum, and C. Chambers

Handout (715.1 kB)

P1.24
The impact of different microphysical schemes on mesoscale circulations and convective system morphology in 4-10 km grid spacing WRF simulations
Eric A. Aligo, Iowa State University,SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. A. Gallus, Jr.

Handout (355.9 kB)

P1.25
The development of forecast confidence measures using NCEP ensembles and their real—time implementation within NWS web—based graphical forecasts
Andrew V. Durante, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart, A. I. Watson, R. H. Grumm, and W. Drag

Handout (115.3 kB)

P1.26
Synthesizing tropical analysis perturbations for use with the Naval Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS)
Justin G. McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and C. H. Bishop

P1.27
Spurious pressure and geopotential height fluctuations in the North American Regional Reanalysis
Gregory L. West, NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh

P1.28
Solving for Pressure: Accuracy and Acceleration
Pierre Bernardet, CNRM, Toulouse, France

Handout (176.6 kB)

P1.29
Sloping Steps Eta Discretization
Fedor Mesinger, Univ. Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Jovic

P1.30
Simultaneous Retrieval of Microphysical Parameters and Atmospheric State Variables with Radar Data and Ensemble Kalman Filter Method
Mingjing Tong, SOM/CAPS, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue

Handout (532.9 kB)

P1.31
Simulating a windstorm upstream of steep mountains
H.álfdáN. Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson

P1.32
Sequential estimation of systematic error on near-surface mesoscale grids

P1.33
Sensitivity of Hurricane Charley simulations to changes in the WRF model
Matthew J. Rosier, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. K. Miller

Handout (300.6 kB)

P1.34
Satellite and numerical model data—driven cloud ceiling and visibility estimation
Richard Bankert, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Hadjimichael, P. H. Herzegh, G. Wiener, J. Cowie, and J. M. Brown

Handout (255.5 kB)

P1.35
Predicting precipitation in a mesoscale mountain range
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson

P1.36
Numerical prediction of atmospheric icing
Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, Icelandic Metorological OFfice and University of Bergen, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and C. Ubelmann and G. Hafsteinsson

Handout (358.8 kB)

P1.37
Precpitation downstream of a mesoscale mountain ridge
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson

P1.38
Precipitation Verification Studies of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model along the East Coast of the US
Paul A. Kucera, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and C. M. Paulsen and M. Taffe

P1.39
Precipitation extreme downstream of a mountain
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Jónsson

P1.40
Optimally shifted QPF verification scores
Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. G. Brown, K. F. Brill, and G. J. DiMego

Handout (571.9 kB)

P1.41
Operational Considerations of the December 26, 2004 Snowstorm across Hampton Roads Virginia and Northeast North Carolina
Timothy Gingrich, NOAA/NWSFO, Wakefield, VA; and J. Billet

Handout (795.0 kB)

P1.42
On the performance, impact, and liabilities of automated precipitation gage screening algorithms
Edward Tollerud, NOAA Research-FSL, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Collander, Y. Lin, and A. Loughe

Handout (859.4 kB)

P1.43
Observations and simulation of a windstorm below breaking gravity waves
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson

P1.44
Nowcasting Applications of the Space—Time Mesoscale Analysis System
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, J. A. McGinley, and S. Albers

Handout (2.6 MB)

P1.45
NOAA's Deployment of the Water Vapor Sensor System (WVSS II)
David Helms, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Fellows, T. Roberts, K. Schrab, F. Toepfer, B. Ballish, R. Baker, R. J. Fleming, R. May, R. A. Petersen, and W. R. Moninger

P1.46
NCEP SREF Forecasts of three Hurricanes during the 2004 Tropical Season
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA, State College, PA; and J. Du

Handout (549.2 kB)

P1.47
MM5IDL: A Flexible Framework for Post—Processing MM5 Data
Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and Ö. Rögnvaldsson

Handout (579.5 kB)

P1.48
Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP): statistical guidance of wind speed, direction, and gusts for aviation weather
Jerry R. Wiedenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Handout (168.8 kB)

P1.49
Intermountain cold pool structure, transport, and mixing as revealed by isotopic trace gas and particulate matter concentrations over the Salt Lake Valley
W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Pataki, E. Pardyjak, J. Kiran, B. Tyler, R. Peterson, and A. Nair

P1.50
Incorporating orographic anisotropy and flow blocking effects in an orographic drag parameterization scheme
Young-Joon Kim, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle

P1.51
Improving Short Term Precipitation Forecasting through recognition of satellite based signatures combined with analysis of upper air and surface data
John Simko, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD

P1.52
Improvements in the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) categorical visibility and obstruction to vision statistical guidance
David E. Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Handout (146.5 kB)

P1.53
Impacts of model errors and ensemble initiation on mesoscale ensemble-based data assimilation
Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang

P1.54
Hydrological validation of a numerical simulation of a high-precipitation event in the complex terrain of South-Iceland
Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and G. G. Tómasson and H. Ólafsson

P1.55
Gustiness of downslope winds
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson and S. Árnason

P1.56
Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation for Rapid Refresh
Dezso Dévényi, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES-University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, J. M. Middlecoff, T. W. Schlatter, and S. S. Weygandt

Handout (80.2 kB)

P1.57
GOES WMSI—progress and developments
Kenneth L. Pryor, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and G. P. Ellrod

Handout (248.9 kB)

P1.58
Forecasting stratospheric clouds
Trausti Jónsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson

P1.59
Forecasting snow squalls using mesoscale models
Frank P. Colby Jr., University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and B. Krajewski

P1.60
Forecasting Heat Waves Using Climatic Anomalies
Kevin Lipton, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. H. Grumm, R. Holmes, P. G. Knight, and J. D. Ross

Handout (633.2 kB)

P1.61
Forecaster training on the NCEP North American Mesoscale (NAM) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model
Stephen D. Jascourt, MDA Information Systems, Gaithersburg, MD; and W. R. Bua

Handout (361.8 kB)

P1.62
A Recalculation of MPI Using Upper—Ocean Depth—Averaged temperatures: climatology and Case Studies (Formerly Paper 6B.5)
Michael C. Watson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and C. A. Clayson

Handout (548.7 kB)

P1.63
Examination of mesoscale convective vortex and Its transition into a frontal cyclone during BAMEX
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart

P1.64
moved to Session 11B, New paper number 11B.7A

P1.65
Ensemble data assimilation and information theory
Dusanka Zupanski, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Zupanski, M. DeMaria, L. Grasso, A. Y. Hou, S. Zhang, and D. Bikos

Handout (555.7 kB)

P1.66
Development of a new radiation scheme for the global atmospheric NWP model
Shigeki Murai, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Yabu and H. Kitagawa

Handout (297.0 kB)

P1.67
Daytime boundary layer structure and flows with interacting lake, valley, and urban circulations
Justin A. W. Cox, NOAA/CIRP, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh and C. D. Whiteman

P1.68
Data Assimilation on the NASA fvGCM with the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter
Elana Klein, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Li, J. Liu, I. Szunyogh, B. Hunt, E. Kalnay, E. J. Kostelich, and R. Todling

P1.69
Coastal precipitation enhancement due to mesoscale features induced by a landfalling tropical cyclone
Alan F. Srock, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and J. E. Molinari

P1.70
Cloud-Top Temperatures for Precipitating Winter Clouds
Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and D. M. Schultz and A. Irving

P1.71
Characteristics of water vapor structure of two cold front systems over central U.S.: High—resolution numerical simulations
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and B. Demoz, X. Li, C. Liu, D. Whiteman, D. D. Turner, and R. M. Hoff

Handout (395.6 kB)

P1.72
Bridging high-resolution model and coarse ensemble system: Hybrid Ensembling
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Dimego

P1.73
Assessment of numerical weather forecasts over SW-Iceland
Thordur Arason, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavi­k, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson

P1.74
Application of Brasseur's gust prediction method
Hálfdán Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson

P1.75
Combining Phase Error Correction and 3DVAR in Storm—Scale Data Assimilation
Yun Zhou, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gao, K. Brewster, M. Hu, and M. Xue

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1.76
Analysis of large forecast errors over Iceland
Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Arason

P1.77
Analysis and Forecasting of Mesoscale Wind and Temperature Fields in a Mountain Desert Environment
Elford G. Astling, West Desert Test Center, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Laufenberg

P1.78
An Examination of the Gage-Radar Relationship with respect to Frontal Boundaries
Kevin Brinson, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. R. Legates

P1.79
An evaluation of the land surface-atmosphere interactions over a heterogeneous landscape in numerical mesoscale model
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, S. Chiao, and J. D. Fuentes

P1.80
A Stochastic Physics Scheme in Representing Model-Related Errors in Global Ensemble Forecast
Dingchen Hou, SAIC at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu

P1.81
A new way to initialize operational NWP system for tropical cyclone forecast
Zhongfeng Zhang, Met Division, AirTraffic Management Bureau, Beijing, China; and K. H. Lau

P1.82
A Modeling Study of the Dryline in May 22 during IHOP 2002
Sen Chiao, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and B. B. Demoz

P1.83
A Kalman Filter Approach to Correct Surface Forecast Bias
William Y. Y. Cheng, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh

P1.84
A Fully—Implicit Semi—Lagrangian Hydrostatic Model of Atmospheric Dynamics
Sajal K. Kar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD

Handout (502.7 kB)

P1.85
A few cases of mountain- and lee waves simulated by the WRF Model

P1.86
A comparison of the hybrid Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter-3D variational analysis scheme (ETKF)—3DVAR and the pure Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) Analysis Schemes
Xuguang Wang, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. Bishop

Handout (411.8 kB)

P1.87
Examining Severe Weather Events Using Reanalysis Datasets
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and J. D. Ross and P. G. Knight

Handout (2.4 MB)

P1.88
A comparison of prescriptions for using background field diagnostics to adapt covariances to the ambient flow in a 3D Variational assimilation
Manuel De Pondeca, SAIC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Purser, D. F. Parrish, and J. C. Derber

Handout (219.5 kB)

P1.89
Comparison of impacts of WRF dynamic core, physics packages, and initial conditions on warm season rainfall forecasts
William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA

Handout (117.6 kB)

P1.90
The Meteorological Role of the Global Positioning System in NOAA's Integrated Upper-Air Observing System
Seth I. Gutman, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and K. Holub, S. Sahm, T. L. Smith, S. Benjamin, D. Birkenheuer, D. Helms, J. Facundo, L. M. McMillin, J. G. Yoe, and J. Daniels

P1.91
NOAA Profiler Network: The Newest Tool in NOAA’s Observing System Architecture for Use in Severe Weather Subjective and Objective Forecasting
Margot H. Ackley, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and D. Helms and P. Wolf

P1.92
Forecasting Heavy Wintertime Precipitation Events in Southern California (Formerly Paper 9.6)
Katherine M. Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and F. J. Pereira, N. W. Junker, R. H. Grumm, and R. E. Hart

Handout (222.8 kB)

P1.93
Understanding the effects of complex terrain on Intermountain cyclogenesis (Formerly Paper 9.8)
Gregory L. West, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and J. Shafer and J. Steenburgh

P1.94
The Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network (CoCoRaHS): Citizen's Measuring, Mapping and Learning about Precipitation
Henry Reges, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. C. Cifelli and N. J. Doesken

P1.95
The Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) - Providing Value-Added Observations to the Meteorological Community
Patricia A. Miller, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and M. Barth, L. Benjamin, D. Helms, M. Campbell, J. Facundo, and J. O'Sullivan

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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