Monday, 27 October 2008 |
| 9:00 AM-10:05 AM, Monday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 1 Climate Change and Severe Weather |
Chair: Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 9:00 AM | | Introductory Remarks
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| 9:05 AM | 1.1 | A preliminary investigation of severe thunderstorm environment distributions under global warming as simulated by CCSM3 Patrick T. Marsh, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks and D. J. Karoly |
| 9:20 AM | 1.2 | Severe weather environments in long term regional climate simulations for North America James Correia Jr., PNNL, Richland, WA ; and R. Leung |
| 9:35 AM | 1.3 | Transient response of severe convective storm forcing associated with global increases in greenhouse gas concentrations Robert J. Trapp, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN ; and N. S. Diffenbaugh and A. Gluhovsky |
| 9:50 AM | 1.4 | Evaluating the impacts of climate change on rainfall extremes for Hawaii and coastal Alaska David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC ; and M. C. Kruk |
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| 10:05 AM-10:30 AM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 2 Geary, OK and Greensburg, KS storms |
Chair: James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
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| 10:30 AM | 2.1 | Structure and evolution of the 29 May 2004 Geary, OK tornadic supercell thunderstorm Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Kuhlman, D. P. Betten, D. R. MacGorman, G. D. Carrie, and C. L. Ziegler |
| 10:45 AM | 2.2 | Evolution of low-level rotation in the tornadic 29 May 2004 Geary, Oklahoma supercell storm Conrad L. Ziegler, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and K. M. Kuhlman, M. I. Biggerstaff, D. P. Betten, L. J. Wicker, E. R. Mansell, and D. R. MacGorman |
| 11:00 AM | 2.3 | Comparison of three-dimensional winds derived from assimilated phased array radar data with mobile dual-doppler analyses from a tornadic storm Therese E. Thompson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker, M. Biggerstaff, and K. M. Kuhlman |
| 11:15 AM | 2.4 | The Greensburg, KS tornadic storm: a storm of extremes Leslie R. Lemon, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Umschied |
| 11:30 AM | 2.5 | Polarimetric-radar signatures associated with the Greensburg, Kansas tornado Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Hardwick, M. Umschied, R. L. Tanamachi, J. Houser, and S. J. Frasier |
| 11:45 AM | 2.6 | X-band, mobile Doppler radar data collected in a tornadic thunderstorm: Data assimilation experiments Robin L. Tanamachi, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and L. J. Wicker, D. C. Dowell, H. B. Bluestein, S. J. Frasier, and K. Hardwick |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 3A Super Tuesday Outbreak |
Chair: Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWSFO, Saint Charles, MO
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| 1:30 PM | 3A.1 | The 2008 Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak: Overview of the tornadoes and their parent storms Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and T. Coleman, W. Petersen, and L. Carey |
| 1:45 PM | 3A.2 | Forecasting the Super Tuesday tornado outbreak at the Storm Prediction Center: Why forecast uncertainty does not necessarily decrease as you get closer to a high impact weather event Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK ; and C. M. Mead and S. J. Weiss |
| 2:00 PM | 3A.3 | Mesoscale phenomena affecting the Alabama EF-4 tornadoes during the Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak of 5-6 February 2008 Timothy A. Coleman, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp and C. C. Crowe |
| 2:15 PM | 3A.4 | Analysis of the elevated mixed layer during the Super Tuesday outbreak Christina C. Crowe, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and J. R. Mecikalski |
| 2:30 PM | 3A.5 | Societal Impacts of the February 6th, 2008 Tornadoes in Northern Alabama John M. Coyne, NOAA/NWS, Huntsville, AL; and C. B. Darden |
| 2:45 PM | 3A.6 | The 2008 Super Tuesday Severe Weather Outbreak: An Arkansas Perspective C. C. Buonanno, NOAA/NWS, North Little Rock, AR; and J. A. Lewis |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, South Ballroom Session 3B Polarimetric Radar Observations and Lightning |
Chair: Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 3B.1 | Total lightning trend analysis of two EF-4 tornado producing supercells from February 6, 2008 Christopher J. Schultz, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen |
| 1:45 PM | 3B.2 | Lightning behavior and its dependence on storm kinematic and precipitation processes for an EF-4 tornado producing supercell on 6 February 2008 Elise V. Johnson, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen |
| 2:00 PM | 3B.3 | Use of vertically integrated ice in WRF-based forecasts of lightning threat Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL ; and S. J. Goodman |
| 2:15 PM | 3B.4 | Microphysical differences between tornadic and nontornadic supercell rear-flank downdrafts revealed by dual-polarization radar measurements Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. V. Ryzhkov |
| 2:30 PM | 3B.5 | Spectral analysis of dual-polarization radar signals in a tornadic supercell storm Yadong Wang, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Xiao and T. Y. Yu |
| 2:45 PM | 3B.6 | ARMOR dual-polarimetric radar observations of tornadic debris signatures Walter A. Petersen, NASA / MSFC, Huntsville, AL ; and L. D. Carey, K. R. Knupp, C. J. Schultz, and E. V. Johnson |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break and Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 1 Climate Change and Severe Weather Posters |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 2 Super Tuesday Outbreak Posters |
| | P2.1 | Analysis of the tornado warnings for the 123 mile long tornado track during the Super Tuesday Outbreak Caitlin I. Ross, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE ; and D. Nietfeld and N. Umphlett |
| | P2.2 | Microphysical processes in two tornadic supercells inferred from ARMOR dual-polarimetric radar observations Lawrence D. Carey, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen and K. R. Knupp |
| | P2.3 | The 2008 Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak: Synthetic dual Doppler analysis of contrasting tornadic storm types Kevin Knupp, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and T. Coleman, L. Carey, W. Petersen, and C. Elkins |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 3 Supercells and Tornadoes Posters |
| | P3.1 | An Analysis of a Prolific Tornado-producing Cyclic Supercell Thunderstorm in Nuckolls County Nebraska, May 24, 2004 John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and E. Polito, M. Gough, R. Bethke, and T. Seddon |
| | P3.2 | The Rosita Valley, TX tornado Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX; and L. Eblen |
| | P3.3 | The Parkersburg, IA tornado Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX; and K. Jungbluth and A. Baca |
| | P3.4 | A skirted Rankine combined vortex model Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. W. White |
| | P3.5 | Impact of a Tornado's Low–Reflectivity Eye on Distorting the Associated Peak Doppler Velocity Measurements: A Simulation Study Rodger A. Brown, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and V. T. Wood and D. C. Dowell |
| | P3.6 | An investigation of the significant tornado outbreak in southern South Carolina and northern coastal Georgia on March 15, 2008 Frank Alsheimer, NOAA/NWSFO, North Charleston, SC; and R. Bright, J. Jelsema, W. Moen, J. Quagliariello, and D. Berry |
| | P3.7 | A Tale of Two Supercells: The Randall County storms of 16-17 October 2007 Matthew R. Kramar, NOAA/NWSFO, Amarillo, TX; and J. K. Jordan |
| | P3.8 | Structural variability of miniature supercells in tropical cyclone rainbands Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC |
| | P3.9 | Coordinated in-situ and remote sampling of supercell thunderstorms Christopher C. Weiss, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX ; and J. Wurman |
| | P3.10 | Diagnotic calculations of motions of vertical velocity and low-level vertical vorticity maxima in radar data and numerically simulated supercell thunderstorms Robin L. Tanamachi, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and R. Davies-Jones, H. B. Bluestein, D. C. Dowell, and H. Cai |
| | P3.11 | TWISTEX 2008: In situ and mobile mesonet observations of tornadoes Christopher D. Karstens, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and T. M. Samaras, A. Laubach, B. D. Lee, C. A. Finley, W. A. Gallus, and F. L. Haan |
| | P3.12 | Dual-Doppler analyses of the 4 May, 2007 supercell that produced the Greensburg, KS tornado Jana Lesak Houser, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and H. B. Bluestein, K. Hardwick, S. J. Frasier, and M. Umscheid |
| | P3.13 | Thermodynamic and kinematic analysis near and within the Tipton, KS tornado on May 29 during TWISTEX 2008 Bruce D. Lee, WindLogics Inc., Grand Rapids, MN; and C. A. Finley and T. M. Samaras |
| | P3.14 | Three strong tornadoes in 2008 associated with boundary intersections and narrow instability close to 700 mb “cold-core” lows Jonathan M. Davies, Private Meteorologist, Trimble/Kansas City, MO |
| | P3.15 | The April 28, 2008 Southeast Virginia Historic Tornado Outbreak Bryan Jackson, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA ; and J. Billet |
| | P3.16 | A detailed radar and damage analysis of the nocturnal QLCS tornadoes that moved through Omaha, Nebraska on 8 June, 2008 Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE; and J. T. Martinelli and B. E. Mayes |
| | P3.17 | The development of multiple low-level mesocyclones within a supercell Joshua M. Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS ; and P. N. Schumacher |
| | P3.18 | Mobile mesonet observations of an intense RFD and multiple RFD gust fronts in the May 23 Quinter, Kansas tornadic supercell during TWISTEX 2008 Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc., Grand Rapids, MN; and B. D. Lee |
| | P3.19 | Evaluation of NWS Watch and Warning Performance Related to Tornadic Events Kelly M. Keene, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates, Norman, OK ; and P. T. Schlatter, J. E. Hales, and H. Brooks |
| | P3.20 | DOW observations of multiple vortex structure in several tornadoes Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Kosiba |
| | P3.21 | A preliminary result of statistics for meso-vortex-signatures in Japan detected by MRI-MDA Osamu Suzuki, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and H. Yamauchi, M. Nakazato, and H. Inoue |
| | P3.22 | Analysis of the Stuttgart Arkansas tornado Boniface J. Mills, University of Louisiana at Monroe, Monroe, LA ; and D. Wheeler and D. Jones |
| | P3.23 | The Association of Cell Mergers with Tornado Occurrence Jaret W. Rogers, NOAA/NWSFO Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ; and C. C. Weiss |
| | P3.24 | Analysis of atmospheric conditions associated with the Embry-Riddle tornado of Christmas Day 2006 John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL |
| | P3.25 | Nocturnal tornadoes and low-level static stability Amanda K. Kis, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. M. Straka and K. M. Kanak |
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| 4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday 2008, South Ballroom Session 4 Supercells and Tornadoes |
Chair: Curtis R. Alexander, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO
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| 4:30 PM | 4.1 | The structure and evolution of vortex lines in supercell thunderstorms Paul Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and Y. P. Richardson |
| 4:45 PM | 4.2 | An aircraft penetration through a rear-flank downdraft: Revisting an old case Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| 5:00 PM | 4.3 | Observations of storm scale boundary evolution within the 23 May 2007 Perryton, TX supercell Patrick S. Skinner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
| 5:15 PM | 4.4 | Multi-Scale Simulations of the 26 August 2007 Northwood, ND EF4 Tornado Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and C. J. Theisen and M. Askelson |
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| 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Monday 2008, Madison Ballroom Session Icebreaker Reception |
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| 7:00 PM-7:45 PM, Monday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 4A VORTEX 2 Town Hall Meeting |
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| 7:45 PM-9:00 PM, Monday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 5 VORTEX2-Related Contributions |
Chair: Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 7:45 PM | 5.1 | The 2007 and 2008 MOBILE Experiment: Development and testing of the TTU StickNet platforms Christopher C. Weiss, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX ; and J. L. Schroeder |
| 8:00 PM | 5.2 | Storm-scale sampling strategies for the mobile C-band Doppler radars during VORTEX2 Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. W. Burgess, G. D. Carrie, E. R. Mansell, L. J. Wicker, and C. L. Ziegler |
| 8:15 PM | 5.3 | Severe-storm data collected in the Southern Plains by three mobile Doppler radars during the spring, 2007 and 2008 Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and I. PopStefanija, V. Venkatesh, P. S. Tsai, R. L. Tanamachi, M. M. French, J. C. Snyder, J. Houser, D. T. Dawson, C. Baldi, B. Seeger, S. J. Frasier, J. Knorr, and R. Bluth |
| 8:30 PM | 5.4 | Preliminary Results and Report of the ROTATE-2008 radar / in-situ / mobile mesonet experiment Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO |
| 8:45 PM | 5.5 | Comparison of polarimetric radar observations of tornadic supercells at S, C, and X bands Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and J. Snyder, A. V. Ryzhkov, D. S. Zrnic, S. Frasier, and H. B. Bluestein |
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Tuesday, 28 October 2008 |
| 8:30 AM-10:15 AM, Tuesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 6 Bow Echoes and Mesoscale Convective Systems |
Chair: Robert J. Trapp, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN
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| 8:30 AM | 6.1 | Maintenance and Dissipation of mesoscale convective systems that encounter the Great Lakes Nicholas D. Metz, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| 8:45 AM | 6.2 | Flash-flood-producing convective systems associated with mesoscale convective vortices Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO ; and R. H. Johnson |
| 9:00 AM | 6.3 | Kinematic structure and evolution of the 9 March 2006 Mississippi/Alabama bow echo Calvin Elkins, Univ. of Alabama - Huntsville, Huntsville, AL |
| 9:15 AM | 6.4 | The 19 July 2006 Midwest Derecho: A Meteorological Perspective and Lessons Learned Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWSFO, Saint Charles, MO; and J. E. Sieveking, B. D. Sipprell, and J. L. Guyer |
| 9:30 AM | 6.5 | Analysis of the 21 July 2006 Greater St. Louis and Southwest Illinois Bow Echo event James E. Sieveking, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO ; and R. W. Przybylinski |
| 9:45 AM | 6.6 | Observations from the 23 August 2007 Chicago Derecho Gino Izzi, NOAA/NWS, Romeoville, IL; and R. W. Przybylinski, A. Lese, and R. Coomer |
| 10:00 AM | 6.7 | On The Genesis of Bow Echo Mesovortices Nolan T. Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and M. St. Laurent |
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| 10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break |
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| 10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 7A Tropical Cyclones and Severe Weather |
Chair: Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO CO
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| 10:45 AM | 7A.1 | Tropical cyclone tornadoes -- A research and forecasting overview. Part 1: Climatologies, distribution and forecast concepts Roger Edwards, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK |
| 11:00 AM | 7A.2 | Composite Distribution and Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Tornadoes: 1950-2005 Lori A. Schultz, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL ; and D. J. Cecil |
| 11:15 AM | 7A.3 | Reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007) over Oklahoma Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and R. S. Schumacher |
| 11:30 AM | 7A.4 | A high-impact predecessor rain event over the midwest associated with Tropical Storm Erin (2007) Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and R. S. Schumacher |
| 11:45 AM | 7A.5 | Total lightning activity during the re-intensification of Tropical Storm Erin over Oklahoma on 18-19 August 2007 Donald R. MacGorman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. J. Schuur and M. R. Kumjian |
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| 10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, South Ballroom Session 7B Developments in Use of Satellite and Radar Data |
Chair: Lawrence D. Carey, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
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| 10:45 AM | 7B.1 | Experimental, Satellite, Microphysically-Based, Early Alerts of Severe Convective Storms, Part 1: Scientific basis, methodology and its experimental application Daniel Rosenfeld, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, , Israel; and G. Kelman, W. L. Woodley, and J. Golden |
| 11:00 AM | 7B.2 | Experimental, Satellite, Microphysically-Based, Early Alerts of Severe Convective Storms, Part 2: Evaluation of the Experimental Application William L. Woodley, Woodley Weather Consultants, Littleton, CO ; and D. Rosenfeld, G. Kelman, and J. Golden |
| 11:15 AM | 7B.3 | Comparing Detection Methods of Deep Convective Clouds in China with AMSU-B and FY-2C Zhoujie Cheng, Institute of Aviation Meteorology, Beijing, , China; and Y. Zhu, J. Liu, J. Bai, and W. Li |
| 11:30 AM | 7B.4 | Dual-Doppler wind analysis of convective storms using the vertical vorticity equation Alan Shapiro, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. K. Potvin and J. Gao |
| 11:45 AM | 7B.5 | Identifying critical strengths and limitations of current radar systems Jennifer F. Newman, National Weather Center REU, Norman, OK, Norman, OK ; and D. LaDue and P. L. Heinselman |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 8A Watches, Warnings, and Decision Making |
Chair: Roger Edwards, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 8A.1 | The Experimental Warning Program 2008 Spring Experiment at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NWS/MDL and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. M. Smith, K. Manross, and D. L. Andra |
| 1:45 PM | 8A.2 | Experimental probabilistic hazard information in practice: Results from the 2008 EWP Spring Program Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and T. M. Smith, G. J. Stumpf, K. L. Ortega, and K. L. Manross |
| 2:00 PM | 8A.3 | Next generation warning products and services John T. Ferree, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK ; and K. A. Scharfenberg |
| 2:15 PM | 8A.4 | Communicating severe local storm information to support decision-making: beyond the watch and the warning Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK ; and D. L. Andra, S. A. Erickson, J. T. Ferree, and R. S. Schneider |
| 2:30 PM | 8A.5 | Emergency Managers: Weather Communication and Training Somer A. Erickson, NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK ; and H. E. Brooks, J. G. LaDue, and H. D. O'Hair |
| 2:45 PM | 8A.6A | (Formerly P6.8) On the precision of threats in National Weather Service severe weather warnings Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA; and S. Christensen |
| | 8A.6 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, South Ballroom Session 8B Near-Surface Tornado Winds and Tornado
Damage |
Chair: Robin L. Tanamachi, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 8B.1 | Using simulated tornado surface marks to help decipher near-ground wind fields D. C. Lewellen, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV; and M. I. Zimmerman |
| 1:45 PM | 8B.2 | Determination of tornado intensity from forest damage Veronika Beck, Technische Universität München, Garching, Germany; and N. Dotzek |
| 2:00 PM | 8B.3 | Damage survey and deduction of vortex structure of the Greensburg, KS tornado Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX; and D. McCarthy, J. G. LaDue, J. Wurman, C. R. Alexander, P. Robinson, and K. A. Kosiba |
| 2:15 PM | 8B.4 | Deployments of a 12-site in situ Wind/T/RH instrument array in tornadoes Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO |
| 2:30 PM | 8B.5 | Derivation of physically motivated wind speed scales - the E-scale concept Nikolai Dotzek, DLR, Wessling, Germany |
| 2:45 PM | 8B.6 | Experiences in using the EF-Scale since its inception James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and K. L. Ortega |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break and Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 4 Bow Echoes, MCSs, and Mesoscale Processes Posters |
| | P4.1 | A case study of a long-lived warm-core circulation in the southern plains during the summer of 2007 Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and K. H. Goebbert, A. D. Schenkman, and N. Snook |
| | P4.2 | Composite RUC analyses of weakly-forced mesoscale convective systems Jason Hwang, University of Miami, Palmetto Bay, FL ; and D. J. Stensrud and M. C. Coniglio |
| | P4.3 | Analysis of the characteristics in a strong convective weather process in China Li Zuxian, CMA, Changsha, China; and X. Lin |
| | P4.4 | The presence of thermal wind balance in MCS environments Benjamin C. Baranowski, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker |
| | P4.5 | Processes That Influence The Damaging Potential of Bow Echo Mesovortices Nolan T. Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT ; and M. St. Laurent |
| | P4.6 | Documentation of the overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin over Oklahoma, August 18, 2007 John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and R. Edwards |
| | P4.7 | An Observational Investigation of Mesoscale Convective Systems Crossing the Appalachian Mountains Casey E. Letkewicz, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker |
| | P4.8 | Simulations of quasi-stationary convective systems occurring within mesoscale convergence and lifting Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| | P4.9 | The impact of an enhanced damage analysis on determining the damaging wind mechanism within the 20 August 2007 bow echo across eastern Nebraska and southwestern Iowa Jason T. Martinelli, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and V. DeWald, D. Nietfeld, H. Holmes, and R. Caniglia |
| | P4.10 | A detailed analysis of vortex characteristics within a tornadic quasi-linear convective system Pamela M. Murray, Creighton University, Omaha, NE ; and J. Martinelli and J. B. Eylander |
| | P4.11 | Convection-resolving simulations of the environment associated with widespread turbulence within the upper-level outflow of a large mesoscale convective system Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman |
| | P4.12 | Rapid-scan observations of a bow echo storm with a dual-polarization WSR-88D Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. V. Ryzhkov |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 5 Data Assimilation Posters |
| | P5.1 | EnKF data assimilation and dual-Doppler analysis of the 29 May 2004 Geary, Oklahoma supercell Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and E. R. Mansell, C. L. Ziegler, M. I. Biggerstaff, D. R. MacGorman, and D. C. Dowell |
| | P5.2 | EnKF analysis and forecast predictability of a tornadic supercell Storm Edward R. Mansell, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and L. J. Wicker |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 6 Forecasting, Warning, and Verification Posters |
| | P6.1 | Operational recognition of high precipitation efficiency and low echo centroid convection Ted M. Ryan, NOAA/NWSFO, Fort Worth, TX; and J. D. Vitale |
| | P6.2 | Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts: Lightning forecasts Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. E. Thompson, C. S. Schwartz, C. M. Shafer, P. Marsh, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey |
| | P6.3 | Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts: Severe thunderstorm forecasts Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and T. E. Thompson, C. M. Shafer, C. Schwartz, P. Marsh, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey |
| | P6.4 | Anticipating cloud-to-ground lightning initiation and frequency using WSR-88D reflectivity data Peter Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville, FL |
| | P6.5 | Evaluating hail diagnosis techniques using high resolution verification Kiel L. Ortega, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. G. Kolodziej, J. Young, C. J. Wilson, A. Witt, and T. M. Smith |
| | P6.6 | Using maximum storm-top divergence and the vertical freezing level to forecast hail size Joshua M. Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS |
| | P6.7 | Forecasting summertime convection in western North Dakota using RAOB Daniel A. Brothers, North Dakota Atmospheric Resource Board, Bismarck, ND |
| | | P6.8 moved. New paper number 8A.6A
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| | | P6.9 has been moved. New paper number 9A.6A
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| | P6.10 | New Techniques for Integrating Environmental Information into Radar Base Data Analysis in National Weather Service Warning Decision Making Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 7 Weather Hazards, Societal Impacts, and Public Perceptions Posters |
| | P7.1 | A constitution for personal flood safety Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS/Austin-San Antonio Weather Forecast Office, New Braunfels, TX |
| | P7.2 | Assessing middle school and college students' conceptions about tornadoes and other weather phenomena Elizabeth Polito, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA ; and K. Tanner and J. P. Monteverdi |
| | P7.3 | Vulnerability due to nocturnal tornadoes Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL |
| | P7.4 | Non-tornadic convective wind fatalities in the United States Alan W. Black, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and W. S. Ashley |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 9A Forecasting, Warning, and/or Verification |
Chair: Patrick J. McCarthy, MSC, Winnipeg, MB Canada
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| 4:30 PM | 9A.1 | The Research Support Desk (RSD) initiative at Environment Canada: linking severe weather researchers and forecasters in a real-time operational setting David Sills, EC, Toronto, ON , Canada; and N. M. Taylor |
| 4:45 PM | 9A.2 | Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments Andrew R. Dean, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma & NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and R. S. Schneider |
| 5:00 PM | 9A.3 | NWS tornado warnings with zero or negative lead times J. Brotzge, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. A. Erickson |
| | 9A.4 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| 5:15 PM | 9A.4A | Proximity soundings for the US from global reanalysis data: 1991-1999 (Formerly P12.4) Jace Bauer, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and H. E. Brooks |
| 5:30 PM | 9A.5 | Storm-based warning verification: a new era in warning verification Brenton William MacAloney II, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| | 9A.6 | A Distributions-Oriented Approach to Forecast Verification of SPC Casey C. Crosbie, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK |
| 5:45 PM | 9A.6A | Effective storm-based warning strategies (Formerly P6.9) Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK ; and K. Cook, J. T. Ferree, B. N. Grant, and J. LaDue |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, South Ballroom Session 9B Data Assimilation |
Chair: David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 4:30 PM | 9B.1 | Impact of high temporal frequency radar data assimilation on storm-scale NWP model simulations Nusrat Yussouf, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud |
| 4:45 PM | 9B.2 | Importance of Environmental Variability to Storm-scale Radar Data Assimilation Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and M. Xue |
| 5:00 PM | 9B.3 | Radar Reflectivity Assimilation for the Hourly RUC and Rapid Refresh Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA / ESRL / GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and J. M. Brown |
| | 9B.4 | A multi-case comparative assessment of storm-scale ensemble forecasts initialized with ensemble Kalman filter radar-data assimilation Altug Aksoy, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. C. Dowell and C. Snyder |
| 5:15 PM | | Presentation P5.2 to elaborate during this time.
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| 5:30 PM | 9B.5 | The Impact of Assimilating Surface Pressure Tendency Observations on Severe Weather Events in a WRF Mesoscale Ensemble System Dustan M. Wheatley, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and D. J. Stensrud |
| 5:45 PM | 9B.6 | Analysis of MCV Tornadoes through Storm-scale Data Assimilation and Simulations Alexander D. Schenkman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, A. Shapiro, K. Brewster, and J. Gao |
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| 8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session Video Night I |
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Wednesday, 29 October 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-8:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 10 Mesoscale Processes and Modeling |
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
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| 8:45 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 11 Numerical Weather Prediction I |
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA
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| 8:45 AM | 11.1 | Convection Forecasts from the Hourly Updated, 3-km High Resolution Rapid Refresh Model Tracy Lorraine Smith, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA, Boulder, CO ; and S. G. Benjamin, J. M. Brown, S. S. Weygandt, T. Smirnova, and B. E. Schwartz |
| 9:00 AM | 11.2 | Evaluation of WRF forecasts of tornadic and nontornadic outbreaks occurring in the spring and fall when initialized with synoptic-scale input Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, C. A. Doswell, M. B. Richman, and L. M. Leslie |
| 9:15 AM | 11.3 | Severe storm forecast guidance based on explicit identification of convective phenomena in WRF-model forecasts Ryan Sobash, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. R. Bright, A. R. Dean, J. S. Kain, M. Coniglio, S. J. Weiss, and J. J. Levit |
| 9:30 AM | 11.4 | Predictability of mesoscale convective systems in two- and three-dimensional models Matthew S. Wandishin, Univ. of Arizona and NSSL, Norman, OK ; and D. J. Stensrud, L. J. Wicker, and S. L. Mullen |
| 9:45 AM | 11.5 | High resolution numerical modelling of deep moist convective processes: turbulent parameterizations and grid-scale effects Elisabetta Fiori, CIMA Research Foundation, Savona, , Italy; and A. Parodi and F. Siccardi |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 12 Numerical Weather Prediction II |
Chair: Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
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| 10:30 AM | 12.1 | (Invited Talk) Severe-weather forecast guidance from the first generation of large domain convection-allowing models: Challenges and opportunities John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, S. R. Dembek, J. J. Levit, D. R. Bright, J. L. Case, M. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, R. Sobash, and C. S. Schwartz |
| 11:00 AM | 12.2 | CAPS Realtime Storm-scale Ensemble and High-resolution Forecasts as Part of the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 2008 Spring Experiment M. Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and F. Kong, K. Thomas, J. Gao, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, K. Droegemeier, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, D. Bright, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du |
| 11:15 AM | 12.3 | Real-Time Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast 2008 Spring Experiment Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. K. Droegemeier, K. Thomas, Y. Wang, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, D. R. Bright, and J. Du |
| 11:30 AM | 12.4 | Evaluation of WRF model output for severe-weather forecasting from the 2008 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, D. R. Bright, J. J. Levit, G. W. Carbin, K. W. Thomas, F. Kong, M. Xue, M. L. Weisman, and M. E. Pyle |
| 11:45 AM | 12.5 | Explicit forecasting of bow echoes/derechoes with the WRF-ARW model Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and W. Wang and K. Manning |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 13A Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather |
Chair: Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 13A.1 | Utility of Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) guidance for forecasting the development of severe convection Jared L. Guyer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and D. R. Bright |
| 1:45 PM | 13A.2 | Utilizing Short Range Ensemble Point Forecast Soundings for Severe Storms Forecasting Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and J. Hart, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Bright, and R. L. Thompson |
| 2:00 PM | 13A.3 | Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts and High Resolution Model Guidance to Assess the Potential for Tornadoes across Southeast Virginia on 28 April 2008 Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and R. Grumm |
| 2:15 PM | 13A.4 | Ensemble forecasts of severe convective events during spring 2007: Improvements from surface data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf and D. C. Dowell |
| 2:30 PM | 13A.5 | Ensemble forecasts of severe convective storms David C. Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Stensrud |
| 2:45 PM | 13A.6 | Toward improved convection-allowing ensembles: Model physics sensitivities and optimizing probabilistic guidance with small ensemble membership Craig S. Schwartz, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Bright, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, J. J. Levit, M. C. Coniglio, and M. S. Wandishin |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, South Ballroom Session 13B Cool Season and Non-Convective Severe Weather |
Chair: Jenni Rauhala, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki Finland
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| 1:30 PM | | 13B.1 moved. New paper number P8.7
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| 1:31 PM | 13B.2 | Analysis of cross-spectrum supercells during the north Georgia tornado event of 2 January 2006 Trisha D. Palmer, NOAA/NWSFO, Peachtree City, GA; and B. A. Miller, L. P. Rothfusz, and S. E. Nelson |
| 1:45 PM | 13B.3 | The 17 February 2006 Severe Weather and High Wind Event across Eastern New York and New England Thomas A. Wasula, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and A. Wasula and N. A. Stuart |
| 2:00 PM | 13B.4 | Evolution of a Wintertime Pacific Northwest Mini-Supercell and Tornado David Elson, NOAA/NWSFO, Portland, OR; and J. Wolfe, C. Dalton, and W. R. Schneider |
| 2:15 PM | 13B.5 | Non-convective high wind events: a climatology for the Great Lakes region John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and M. C. Lacke, J. D. Frye, A. E. Stewart, J. D. Durkee, C. M. Fuhrmann, and S. M. Dillingham |
| 2:30 PM | 13B.6 | Structure and characteristics of long lake axis-parallel lake-effect storms Scott M. Steiger, SUNY, Oswego, NY; and R. J. Ballentine |
| 2:45 PM | 13B.7 | The climatology, convective mode, and mesoscale environment of cool season severe thunderstorms in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, 1995-2006 Bryan T. Smith, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. L. Guyer and A. R. Dean |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break and Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 10 Numerical Modeling and Weather Prediction Posters |
| | | P10.1 moved. New paper number 14.5A
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| | P10.2 | Evaluation of WRF forecasts of tornadic and nontornadic outbreaks when initialized with synoptic-scale input: The utility of “base-state” parameters Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, C. A. Doswell, M. B. Richman, and L. M. Leslie |
| | P10.3 | Next-day convection-allowing WRF model guidance: A second look at 2- vs. 4-km grid spacing Craig S. Schwartz, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, D. R. Bright, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, J. J. Levit, and M. C. Coniglio |
| | P10.4 | Forecasting of floods using combined nowcasting, mesoscale NWP and hydrological models Geoffrey L. Austin, Univ. of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand; and B. Austin, L. S. Stacey, and P. I. Shucksmith |
| | P10.5 | The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 2008 Spring Experiment: Technical and Scientific Challenges of Creating a Data Visualization Environment for Storm-Scale Deterministic and Ensemble Forecasts Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin, D. R. Bright, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, M. C. Coniglio, M. Xue, K. W. Thomas, M. Pyle, and M. L. Weisman |
| | P10.6 | The dependence of high-precipitation supercells on preexisting airmass boundaries: a targeted modeling study Jennifer M. Brown, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston |
| | P10.7 | The evolution of multi-scale ensemble guidance in the prediction of convective and severe convective storms at the Storm Prediction Center David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, J. J. Levit, and R. S. Schneider |
| | P10.8 | The operational High Resolution Window WRF model runs at NCEP: Advantages of multiple model runs for severe convective weather forecasting Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and M. E. Pyle, Z. Janjic, D. R. Bright, J. S. Kain, and G. J. DiMego |
| | P10.9 | Persistent low level mesocyclones in simulated supercell thunderstorms Leigh Orf, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and G. H. Bryan, R. Rotunno, M. L. Weisman, and H. B. Bluestein |
| | P10.10 | Impact of spatially varying inversion strength on the evolution of a simulated supercell storm Conrad L. Ziegler, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and E. R. Mansell, J. M. Straka, D. R. MacGorman, and D. W. Burgess |
| | P10.11 | Cell interaction, supercell behavior and tornadogenesis Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson and B. D. Lee |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday 2008 Poster Session 8 Cool Season and Non-Convective Severe Weather Posters |
| | | P8.1 moved. New paper number 13B.6
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| | P8.2 | Cool season tornadoes in the southeast U.S Stephen B. Konarik, NOAA/NWSFO, Peachtree City, GA; and S. E. Nelson |
| | P8.3 | An Examination of the Areal Extent of High Winds due to Mountain Waves along the Western Foothills of the Southern Appalachian Mountains David M. Gaffin, NOAA/NWSFO, Morristown, TN |
| | P8.4 | Mesoscale analysis of wintertime nonmesocyclone tornadogenesis in northwest Texas: 27 December 2007 Mark R. Conder, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and G. Skwira and T. T. Lindley |
| | P8.5 | Severe Local Coastal Storms: New Perspectives on Frequency, Intensity and Impacts Robert K. Doe, University of Portsmouth (formerly), Dordrecht, , Netherlands |
| | P8.6 | A diagnostic study of non-convective high winds in the 12-13 November 2003 Great Lakes cyclone Christopher M. Fuhrmann, NOAA-Southeast Regional Climate Center and Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC ; and J. D. Durkee, J. A. Knox, S. M. Dillingham, J. D. Frye, A. E. Stewart, and M. C. Lacke |
| | P8.7 | 2007-2008 Cool season tornado climatology (Formerly 13B.1) Madison Lindsay Burnett, National Weather Center Research Experience for Undergraduates Program, Norman, OK ; and G. W. Carbin and J. T. Schaefer |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 9 Event Case Studies Posters |
| | P9.1 | Analysis of the characteristics in a Supercell Storm event in China Huang Xiaoyu, CMA, Changsha, China |
| | P9.2 | Analysis of the characteristics in a typical thunderstorm gale event in south China Ye Chengzhi, CMA, Changsha, China |
| | P9.3 | A Comparison of Two Lake Breeze Severe Events with a Threat Chart Application Thomas A. Wasula, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and P. Wilson, L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and R. L. Tracey |
| | P9.4 | WRF-enabled diagnosis of the 12 March 2006 severe weather outbreak Anthony Reinhart, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and R. J. Trapp |
| | P9.5 | The development of tornadic storms near a surface warm front in England Pieter Groenemeijer, Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, , Germany; and U. Corsmeier and C. Kottmeier |
| | P9.6 | Radar observations of a tornadic severe frontal rainband Jenni Rauhala, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and A. J. Punkka |
| | P9.7 | The 25 May 2008 Hugo, Minnesota EF-3 Tornado: supercell tornadogenesis in the presence of an apparently cold rear flank downdraft Thomas R. Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN |
| | P9.8 | The southwest Ohio minisupercell tornado outbreak of 11 July 2006. Part II: Investigation into rear-flank downdraft formation and its relation to tornadogenesis Daniel Hawblitzel, NOAA/NWSFO, Wilmington, OH |
| | P9.9 | The southwest Ohio mini-supercell tornado outbreak of 11 July 2006. Part I: Mesoscale and radar analysis Daniel Hawblitzel, NOAA/NWSFO, Wilmington, OH |
| | P9.10 | Elie, Manitoba, Canada, June 22, 2007: Canada's first F5 tornado Patrick J. McCarthy, MSC, Winnipeg, MB, Canada; and D. Carlsen and J. Slipec |
| | P9.11 | An analysis of the 22 May 2008 Windsor, Colorado, tornado Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and S. D. Miller, J. Braun, and D. Bikos |
| | P9.12 | Tornadic convection in the New York City Metropolitan Region: The 8 August 2007 event and a composite analysis Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University / SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Lombardo, J. S. Tongue, W. Goodman, and N. Vaz |
| | P9.13 | Super-resolution polarimetric observations of a cyclic tornadic supercell Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. V. Ryzhkov and V. Melnikov |
| | P9.14 | An examination of radar and lightning characteristics of the “Atlanta Tornado” of March 14-15, 2008 John M. Trostel, Georgia Tech Research Institute, Atlanta, GA; and J. L. Matthews, C. Coyle, and N. W. S. Demetriades |
| | P9.15 | Mesoscale Aspects of the 11 March 2006 Severe Weather Outbreak Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO |
| | P9.16 | Terminal Doppler Weather Radar observation of a cyclic tornado supercell Gino Izzi, NOAA/NWS Chicago, IL, Romeoville, IL |
| | P9.17 | A case study of the 15 March 2008 South Carolina supercell outbreak David A. Glenn, NOAA/NWSFO Columbia, South Carolina, West Columbia, SC ; and H. Coleman, A. W. Petrolito, and M. W. Cammarata |
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| 5:00 PM-8:00 PM, Wednesday 2008 Session Riverboat Cruise and Banquet Dinner |
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Thursday, 30 October 2008 |
| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 14 Numerical Modeling: Tornadoes and Tornadogenesis |
Chair: George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 8:30 AM | 14.1 | On the role of descending rain curtains in tornadogenesis Amanda K. Kis, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. M. Straka and K. M. Kanak |
| 8:45 AM | 14.2 | Descending Reflectivity Cores in a simulated supercell Leigh Orf, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI; and M. S. Gilmore, J. M. Straka, R. B. Wilhelmson, L. J. Wicker, and E. N. Rasmussen |
| 9:00 AM | | 14.3 moved. New poster number P10.11
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| 9:01 AM | | Presentation 17B.4 to elaborate during this time.
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| 9:15 AM | 14.4 | Numerical simulation of a tornadogenesis in a mini-supercell associated with Typhoon Shanshan on 17 September 2006 Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, , Japan; and H. Niino and T. Kato |
| | 14.5 | Understanding the balance of forces in a long-lived simulated supercell-spawned tornado Matthew S. Gilmore, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and R. B. Wilhelmson, L. J. Wicker, and G. S. Romine |
| 9:30 AM | 14.5A | Effect of the lower boundary condition on tornado intensity in an axisymmetric, constant-viscosity, closed model of tornadogenesis 14.5 Robert Davies-Jones, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 9:45 AM | 14.6 | The dependence of tornado corner flow dynamics on the outer core flow Karen A. Kosiba, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN ; and R. J. Trapp |
| 10:00 AM | 14.7 | High Resolution Real-Data Simulations of the 3 May 1999 Tornadic Storms with Multi-Moment Microphysics Daniel T. Dawson II, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 15 Numerical Modeling: Storm and Environment |
Chair: Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc., Grand Rapids, MN
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| 10:30 AM | 15.1 | The role of near-surface wind shear on low-level mesocyclone generation and tornadoes: Renascentia Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 10:45 AM | 15.2 | Storm-relative flow and its relationship to low-level vorticity in simulated storms Cody Kirkpatrick, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and E. W. McCaul |
| 11:00 AM | 15.3 | The effect of variations in low level thermodynamic structure on the rear flank downdraft of simulated supercells Jason A. Naylor, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and M. A. Askelson |
| 11:15 AM | 15.4 | The effects of thermodynamic variability on low-level baroclinity and vorticity within numerically simulated supercell thunderstorms Jeffrey Beck, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
| 11:30 AM | 15.5 | The effects of varying low-level, environmental stability on low-level rotation in numerical simulations of elevated supercells Christopher J. Nowotarski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski |
| 11:45 AM | 15.6 | Bridging the gap between observed and simulated supercell cold pool characteristics Glen S. Romine, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and D. C. Dowell and R. B. Wilhelmson |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 16A Severe Weather Climatology I |
Chair: Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD
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| 1:30 PM | 16A.1 | On the relationship between preliminary and final tornado counts in the SPC database Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin |
| 1:45 PM | 16A.2 | Re-creation of historic Iowa EF-5 tornado environments using high-resolution workstation WRF output initialized with NCEP Reanalysis grids Karl Jungbluth, NOAA/NWSFO, Des Moines, IA |
| 2:00 PM | 16A.3 | Synoptic environments and convective modes associated with significant tornadoes in the contiguous United States Richard L. Thompson, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Grams and J. Prentice |
| 2:15 PM | 16A.4 | A Comprehensive 5-year Severe Storm Environment Climatology for the Continental United States Russell S. Schneider, NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and A. R. Dean |
| 2:30 PM | 16A.5 | Climatology of high lapse rates over North America (1974–2007) Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau and L. F. Bosart |
| 2:45 PM | 16A.6 | Climatology of storm reports relative to upper-level jet streaks Adam J. Clark, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Schaffer, W. A. Gallus, and K. Johnson-O'Mara |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, South Ballroom Session 16B New Techniques and Technologies |
Chair: Alan Shapiro, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 16B.1 | Evaluation of a new multiple-Doppler tornado detection and characterization technique using real radar observations Corey K. Potvin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Shapiro, T. Y. Yu, J. Gao, and M. Xue |
| 1:45 PM | 16B.2 | Attenuation correction techniques and hydrometeor classification of high-resolution, X-band, dual-polarized mobile radar data of severe convective storms Jeffrey C. Snyder, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein, G. Zhang, S. J. Frasier, and K. Hardwick |
| 2:00 PM | 16B.3 | Improved thunderstorm detection, tracking and assessment products for Environment Canada radars Dave Patrick, Meteorological Service of Canada, Winnipeg, MB, Canada; and P. J. McCarthy |
| 2:15 PM | 16B.4 | Objective global mapping of hailstorms by satellite Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL |
| 2:30 PM | 16B.5 | Improving above-surface water vapor analyses using satellite and RUC data Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO |
| 2:45 PM | 16B.6 | Emerging technologies in the field in support of operations and research Scott F. Blair, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS ; and A. E. Pietrycha, T. J. Allison, D. R. Deroche, and R. V. Fritchie |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Coffee Break and Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 11 Convection Initiation Posters |
| | P11.1 | Environmental conditions favorable for the initiation of nocturnal convection over the eastern plains Philip N. Schumacher, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD; and J. A. Chapman, M. Dux, and R. A. Weisman |
| | P11.2 | Using Canadian GEM output for forecasts of convective initiation on the Canadian prairies: experimental techniques under development in the Hydrometeorology and Arctic Lab (HAL) Neil M. Taylor, EC, Edmonton, AB , Canada; and W. R. Burrows |
| | P11.3 | The emerging role of inertial instability in the initiation and organization of convection Russ S. Schumacher, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO ; and J. A. Knox and D. M. Schultz |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 12 Severe Weather Climatology Posters |
| | P12.1 | Identification of Subtle Factors that Result in the Development of Persistent Severe Storms near Upper Level Ridges Kenneth R. Widelski, NOAA/NWS, Lubbock, TX ; and T. T. Lindley |
| | P12.2 | Regional variablity of CAPE and deep shear from reanalysis Victor Gensini, National Weather Center REU Program, Dekalb, IL |
| | P12.3 | Research Progress of Disastrous Weather and PoSCWF in China Bing Zhou, FSL/NMC/CMA, Beijing, China |
| | | P12.4 moved. New paper number 9A.4A
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| | P12.5 | Characteristics of eastern Australian-western Tasman Sea enhanced-Vs and their connection to severe weather Geoffrey Feren, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia |
| | P12.6 | A radar based climatology of thunderstorms in the Great Plains: Approach and preliminary results Alexander R. Gibbs, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston and J. Lahowetz |
| | P12.7 | A synoptic climatology of high impact events in the county warning area of the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Charleston, South Carolina Frank Alsheimer, NOAA/NWSFO, North Charleston, SC; and J. Jelsema, B. L. Lindner, J. Johnson, D. Timmons, and T. Rolfson |
| | P12.8 | Synoptic environments associated with tornadoes in northern Arizona David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ |
| | P12.9 | Observational study on the pre-monsoon rain over Bangladesh Masashi Kiguchi, IIS, Univ. of Tokyo, Japan, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamane, N. Eguchi, T. Hayashi, and T. Oki |
| | P12.10 | The utility of severe weather parameters in the discrimination of tornadic and nontornadic outbreaks when analyzing reanalysis data: Emphasis on support vector machines Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, C. A. Doswell, M. B. Richman, and L. M. Leslie |
| | P12.11 | Composite analysis of severe weather outbreaks Andrew E. Mercer, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. M. Shafer, C. A. Doswell, L. M. Leslie, and M. B. Richman |
| | P12.12 | Statistical Analysis on Severe Convective Weather combining satellite, conventional observation and NCEP data Yaping Zhu, Institute of Aviation Meteorology, Beijing, , China; and J. Liu, Z. Cheng, and Y. Li |
| | P12.13 | Assessing the impact of proximity sounding criteria on the climatological significant tornado environment Corey K. Potvin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore and S. J. Weiss |
| | P12.14 | A Sounding-Derived Climatology of Significant Tornado Events in the Greenville-Spartanburg, South Carolina County Warning Area (1948-2006) Justin D. Lane, NOAA/NWSFO, Greer, SC |
| | P12.15 | Sounding-derived Parameters Associated with Thunderstorm during Summer Period over South Korea Hyo-Sik Eom, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Kongju Nat'l Univ., Kongju, , South Korea; and M. S. Suh |
| | P12.16 | Toward attribution of interannual variations in tornado frequency to regional atmospheric circulations Robert J. Trapp, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN ; and R. Fleagle |
| | P12.17 | Statistical characteristics of storm tracks in North Dakota Victoria Le, Department of Geography, University of Western Ontario, London, ON , Canada; and J. Braun and C. Miller |
| | P12.18 | Synoptic-scale flow patterns associated with high lapse rates over North America Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau and L. F. Bosart |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 13 State of the Art Instrumentation and New Analysis Techniques Posters |
| | P13.1 | An Automatic Tracking and Recognition Algorithm for Thunderstorm Cloud-Cluster (TRACER) Lan Hongping, Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, Shenzhen, China |
| | P13.2 | Spring 2008 real-time phased array radar experiment Pamela L. Heinselman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| | P13.3 | Kinetmatic and thermodynamic variability in the supercell environment observed using StickNet Joel A. Dreessen, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
| | P13.4 | Validation of dual-Doppler analysis methods for a "tornadic" supercell Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. M. May, C. L. Ziegler, M. Xue, G. D. Carrie, D. P. Betten, K. M. Kuhlman, and D. R. MacGorman |
| | P13.5 | The UMass Mobile W-Band Doppler Radar: System Overview and Sample Observations Pei S. Tsai, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA ; and S. J. Frasier, R. L. Tanamachi, and H. B. Bluestein |
| | P13.6 | Rapid-Scan Mobile Radar 3D GBVTD and traditional analysis of tornadogenesis Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and P. Robinson, W. Lee, C. R. Alexander, and K. A. Kosiba |
| | P13.7 | 3D GBVTD analysis of the Spencer, South Dakota (1998) Tornado Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, Y. P. Richardson, P. Robinson, and W. Lee |
| | P13.8 | Techniques for Automatically Geonavigating Photos Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/WDTB, Norman, OK |
| | P13.9 | Unmanned aircraft observations of airmass boundaries: The Collaborative Colorado-Nebraska Unmanned Aircraft System Experiment Adam L. Houston, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE ; and B. Argrow, J. Elston, and J. Lahowetz |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday 2008, Madison Ballroom Poster Session 14 Theory of Deep, Moist Convection Posters |
| | P14.1 | Cooked boundaries: Preliminary results from numerical experiments Anthony Reinhart, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston |
| | P14.2 | Interpretation of the "flying eagle" radar signature in supercells Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. D. Schenkman |
| | P14.3 | Energetics of an air mass thunderstorm Lindsey T. Ritchie, Penn State University, University Park, PA ; and P. R. Bannon |
| | P14.4 | The effects of ambient wind shear and varying initial conditions on numerically simulated mammatus-like clouds Katharine M. Kanak, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. M. Straka |
| | P14.5 | Gravity waves and forcing efficiency Jeffrey M. Chagnon, University of Reading, UK, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom |
| | P14.6 | Modernizing how we classify thunderstorms? An Operationally Useful Thunderstorm Classification Scheme James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and D. S. LaDue |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 17A Severe Weather Climatology II |
Chair: William A. Gallus, Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA
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| 4:30 PM | 17A.1 | A climatology of the spatial and temporal distribution of convection over the Northeast United States John Murray, Stony Brook University - SUNY, Stony Brook, NY ; and B. A. Colle |
| 4:45 PM | 17A.2 | A climatology of convective system morphology over the Northeast United States Kelly Lombardo, Stony Brook University - SUNY, Stony Brook, NY ; and B. A. Colle |
| 5:00 PM | 17A.3 | Synoptic-scale convective environment climatology by ENSO phase in the north central U.S Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE ; and J. M. Boustead, J. S. Boyne, G. R. Lussky, C. Cogil, and R. S. Ryrholm |
| 5:15 PM | 17A.4 | Supercells of the Serranías del Burro Joshua D. Weiss, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and J. W. Zeitler |
| 5:30 PM | 17A.5 | Development of a radar based thunderstorm climatology for North Dakota Faizul Mohee, University of Western Ontario, London, ON , Canada; and C. Miller |
| 5:45 PM | 17A.6 | Characteristics of sub-diurnal extreme precipitation-producing systems Nathan M. Hitchens, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN ; and R. J. Trapp, M. E. Baldwin, and A. Gluhovsky |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday 2008, South Ballroom Session 17B Numerical Modeling: Microphysics, Radiation, and Environmental Variability |
Chair: Leigh Orf, Central Michigan Univ., Mount Pleasant, MI
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| 4:30 PM | 17B.1 | The dynamical influences of cloud shading on simulated supercell thunderstorms Jeffrey Frame, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski and J. Petters |
| 4:45 PM | 17B.2 | Numerical simulations of supercells in convective boundary layers Kent H. Knopfmeier, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski and Y. P. Richardson |
| 5:00 PM | 17B.3 | The Super Tuesday outbreak: forecast sensitivities to single-moment microphysics schemes Andrew L. Molthan, University of Alabama Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. L. Case, S. R. Dembek, G. J. Jedlovec, and W. M. Lapenta |
| 5:15 PM | 17B.4 | Improvements in the treatment of evaporation and melting in multi-moment versus single-moment bulk microphysics: results from numerical simulations of the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma tornadic storms Daniel T. Dawson II, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and J. A. Milbrandt |
| 5:30 PM | 17B.5 | Worldwide microphysical thunderstorm variability in different climatic regions: a three-dimensional cloud modeling study Robert E. Schlesinger, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI ; and S. A. Hubbard and P. K. Wang |
| 5:45 PM | 17B.6 | DNS on growth of a vertical vortex in convection due to external forces Ryota Iijima, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Yokohama, , Japan; and T. Tamura |
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Friday, 31 October 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 18 Convection Initiation |
Chair: Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
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| 8:00 AM | 18.1 | A modelling study of the initiation and development of an isolated thunderstorm in CSIP IOP1 Humphrey W. Lean, Met Office, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and N. Roberts, P. Clark, and C. Morcrette |
| 8:15 AM | 18.2 | Criticality: A proposed theory for understanding and forecasting deep convective initiation Adam L. Houston, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE |
| 8:30 AM | 18.3 | Vortical structures in convective boundary layers and implications for the initiation of deep convection Katharine M. Kanak, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| 8:45 AM | 18.4 | Numerical simulations of the dryline and surrounding boundary layer on 22 May 2002 during IHOP Michael S. Buban, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. L. Ziegler and Y. P. Richardson |
| 9:00 AM | 18.5 | Convection initiation and storm evolution forecasting using radar refractivity retrievals David Bodine, Atmospheric Radar Research Center, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. L. Heinselman, B. L. Cheong, R. Palmer, and D. S. Michaud |
| 9:15 AM | 18.6 | Observation of a weak, warm and dry downdraft in the vicinity of a convective storm system, inhibiting new convective initiation Pieter Groenemeijer, Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, , Germany; and J. Trentmann, U. Corsmeier, and C. Kottmeier |
| 9:30 AM | 18.7 | The Understanding Severe Thunderstorms and Alberta Boundary Layers Experiment (UNSTABLE): overview and preliminary results Neil M. Taylor, EC, Edmonton, AB , Canada; and D. M. L. Sills, J. Hanesiak, J. A. Milbrandt, C. D. Smith, G. Strong, S. Skone, P. J. McCarthy, and J. C. Brimelow |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Friday 2008 Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-11:45 AM, Friday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session 19 High-resolution radar observations of supercells and tornadoes |
Chair: David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ
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| 10:15 AM | 19.1 | High-resolution, mobile Doppler radar observations of cyclic mesocyclogenesis in a supercell Michael M. French, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and H. B. Bluestein, D. C. Dowell, L. J. Wicker, M. R. Kramar, and A. L. Pazmany |
| 10:30 AM | 19.2 | High-resolution observations of cyclic tornadogenesis on 12 May 2004 near Attica, KS Yvette P. Richardson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Wurman and P. M. Markowski |
| 10:45 AM | 19.3 | Mobile radar observations of tornadic supercells with multiple rear-flank gust fronts James N. Marquis, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and Y. Richardson, J. Wurman, P. Markowski, and D. C. Dowell |
| 11:00 AM | 19.4 | Updated mobile radar climatology of supercell tornado structures and dynamics Curtis R. Alexander, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and J. Wurman |
| 11:15 AM | | 19.5 has been withdrawn.
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| 11:30 AM | 19.5 | Dual-Doppler analyses of nontornadic supercells observed with mobile ground-based Doppler radars Mario Majcen, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and P. Markowski, Y. Richardson, and J. Wurman |
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| 11:45 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, North & Center Ballroom Session Concluding Remarks and Awards |
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