Sunday, 27 April 2008 |
| 5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday 2008, Palms Foyer Conference Registration |
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| 5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday 2008, Azalea AB Speaker Ready Room and Email Stations (Open Monday thru Friday During Conference Hours) |
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Monday, 28 April 2008 |
| 7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday 2008, Palms Foyer Conference Registration Continues through Friday May 2nd |
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| 8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday 2008, Palms E Session 1 Opening General Session |
Chairs: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Frank D. Marks, Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
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| 8:30 AM | 1.1 | Dr. Yoshio Kurihara's contribution to modeling, the GFDL hurricane model and its place in the current FSU multimodel superensemble T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| 8:45 AM | 1.2 | Yoshio Kurihara: His contributions to tropical meteorological research and forecasting through numerical modeling Robert E. Tuleya, SAIC@Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP, Norfolk, VA; and M. A. Bender and I. Ginis |
| 9:00 AM | 1.3 | Tropical Cyclone Response to Periodic Forcing Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL |
| 9:15 AM | 1.4 | Revisiting the physics of tropical cyclone intensification in three dimensions Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School and NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith and S. V. Nguyen |
| 9:30 AM | 1.5 | Bob Burpee's influence on hurricane forecasting Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF Session 2A Tropical Cyclone Modeling I: WRF |
Chair: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
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| 10:15 AM | 2A.1 | Advancement of the HWRF for next generation hurricane prediction at NCEP's Environmental Modeling Center Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, V. Tallapragada, and Y. C. Kwon |
| 10:30 AM | 2A.2 | Forecast track and intensity sensitivities of tropical cyclones to various parameterizations using the WRF-ARW model Nick P. Bassill, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan |
| 10:45 AM | 2A.3 | Distinct Structure and Intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Ophelia (2005) in Coupled WRF-HYCOM Model Jie Ming, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, MIAMI, FL; and S. S. Chen, W. Zhao, and J. Michalakes |
| 11:00 AM | 2A.4 | Advanced Numerical Prediction and Modeling of Tropical Cyclones Using WRF-NMM modeling system S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers, R. Atlas, F. D. Marks, and S. Aberson |
| 11:15 AM | 2A.5 | Inner core structures and intensity change simulated with the Advanced Hurricane WRF model Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Wang, J. M. Done, and C. Davis |
| 11:30 AM | 2A.6 | Preliminary Results Using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Vortex Specification Algorithm for the WRF-ARW Using NHC/TPC Observations and Vertical Structures Derived from Analytical and Observational Models Henry R. Winterbottom, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson |
| 11:45 AM | 2A.7 | The role of cloud microphysical processes in the development and intensification of hurricane Dennis (2005): WRF simulations and observations Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. Schneider, G. McFarquhar, M. S. Gilmore, F. J. LaFontaine, R. E. Hood, and G. M. Heymsfield |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E Session 2B Tropical Climatology and Climate Change |
Chair: C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 2B.1 | A new set of mean soundings for the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL |
| 10:30 AM | 2B.2 | Latent heating profiles over the tropical oceans Samson M. Hagos, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang |
| 10:45 AM | 2B.3 | A climatology of ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the tropical Atlantic Amato Evan, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, N. Mahowald, and C. S. Velden |
| 11:00 AM | 2B.4 | Characterizing the synoptic timescale ITCZ in the eastern to central Pacific Gudrun Magnusdottir, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. C. Wang, H. Stern, P. Smyth, and L. Scharenbroich |
| 11:15 AM | 2B.5 | A Comparison of Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic Basin with Australian East-Coast Cyclones Aviva J. Braun, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA |
| 11:30 AM | 2B.6 | Troposphere Cloud Ice: Satellite Measurements, ECMWF and GEOS5 Analyses, and GCM Simulations Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. D. Chern, J. Bacmeister, J. Jiang, D. Genio, R. Rossow, M. Kharitondov, H. Meng, P. Minnis, S. S. Mack, A. M. Tompkins, W. K. Tao, Z. Kuang, D. G. Vane, G. Stephens, and D. L. Wu |
| 11:45 AM | 2B.7 | Robust projections of vertical wind shear changes for the 21st Century Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. A. Vecchi |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H Session 2C AMMA I: Waves |
Chair: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe Germany
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| 10:15 AM | 2C.1 | On the genesis of African easterly waves Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis |
| 10:30 AM | 2C.2 | Moist Singular Vectors and African Easterly Waves Brian J. Hoskins, NCAS Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. J. Cornforth |
| 10:45 AM | 2C.3 | The interaction between convection and African Easterly Waves: a model case study Juliane Schwendike, Universität Karlsruhe/Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany |
| 11:00 AM | 2C.4 | MIT radar observations of the evolution of the West African Monsoon during the AMMA IOP Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach, N. Guy, and E. R. Williams |
| 11:15 AM | 2C.5 | Coastal Observations and Model Simulations associated with African Easterly Wave Passage during the 2006 AMMA SOP-3 field Campaign Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, P. A. Kucera, J. D. Fuentes, A. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, D. Bouniol, A. Protat, N. Viltard, and S. Chiao |
| 11:30 AM | 2C.6 | Evolution of AEWs and MCSs off West Africa observed during AMMA SOP-3 in September 2006 Joël Arnault, Laboratoire d'Aérologie (CNRS-UPS), Toulouse, France; and F. Roux |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I Session 2D Air-Sea Interaction I |
Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 2D.1 | Eastern Pacific Ocean heat content estimates from altimetry for operational hurricane intensity forecasts Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and M. Mainelli |
| 10:30 AM | 2D.2 | Improving hurricane heat content estimates S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. deMatthaeis |
| 10:45 AM | 2D.3 | Typhoon intensity change by ocean heat content in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean KiRyong Kang, National Institute of Meteorological Research/Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and J. H. Park, K. Y. Chung, and S. Lee |
| 11:00 AM | 2D.4 | Hurricane-induced differential mixed layer cooling over strong oceanic background flows Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay |
| 11:15 AM | 2D.5 | Impact of mesoscale oceanic features on tropical cyclone intensity Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis |
| 11:30 AM | 2D.6 | Improving the ocean model response to tropical cyclones George R. Halliwell, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, J. Brewster, and W. J. Teague |
| 11:45 AM | 2D.7 | A fresh look at ocean's part of necessary conditions in supertyphoon's intensification I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. Pun and C. Wu |
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| 12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Monday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF Session 3A Tropical Cyclone Modeling II: Special Observations and Data Assimilation |
Chair: Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 3A.1 | Study on radar data assimilation for improving hurricane intensity and structure forecasts Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin |
| 1:30 PM | 3A.2 | Impacts of Airborne Doppler Radar Data Assimilation on Hurricane using WRF-Var Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao, C. Davis, and J. D. Tuttle |
| 1:45 PM | 3A.3 | Impact of satellite multi-sensor and in-situ data on high-resolution numerical simulation of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005) Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li |
| 2:00 PM | 3A.4 | Impact of Assimilating Scatterometer Vector Winds on High-Resolution Hurricane Model Prediction Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, R. Foster, S. Majumdar, and W. T. Liu |
| 2:15 PM | 3A.5 | Sensitivities of hurricane intensity to planetary boundary layer schemes in a full physics three dimensional nonhydrostatic mesoscale model Treng-Shi Huang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. T. Montgomery and C. -. C. Wu |
| | 3A.6 | The Capacity and Preliminary Improvement of Cumulus Parameterization on Typhoon Numerical Prediction Leiming Ma, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Z. M. Tan |
| | 3A.7 | The dffects of the full Coriolis force on the structure and motion of a tropical cyclone due to horizontal motion Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E Session 3B Hurricanes and Climate I: Seasonal Overviews and Climatology |
Chair: Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 3B.1 | Highlights of the 2007 Atlantic and eastern North Pacific Hurricane Seasons. A year of extremes in the Atlantic basin Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL |
| 1:30 PM | 3B.2 | Life-cycle of Tropical Storm Erin (2007) Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 1:45 PM | 3B.3 | Hurricanes Ioke (2006) and Flossie (2007): Examples of recent operations at CPHC Sam H. Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and W. Browning |
| 2:00 PM | 3B.4 | Historical Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone inactivity during 2007 Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart |
| 2:15 PM | 3B.5 | Tropical cyclones of the eastern North Pacific Ocean, 1949-2006 Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL |
| 2:30 PM | 3B.6 | Late season tropical cyclogenesis in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean: 1975-2005 Rachel G. Mauk, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH |
| 2:45 PM | 3B.7 | Climatology of tropical cyclone rainfall in the Southeastern United States David Knight, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Davis |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H Session 3C AMMA II: Large-Scale Circulations |
Chair: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 1:15 PM | 3C.1 | The AMMA radiosonde programme and its implications for the future of atmospheric monitoring over Africa Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink, D. J. Parker, S. Janicot, J. B. Ngamini, M. W. Douglas, E. Afiesimama, A. Agusti-Panareda, A. Beljaars, F. Dide, A. Diedhiou, T. Lebel, J. Polcher, J. L. Redelsperger, C. Thorncroft, and G. Wilson |
| 1:30 PM | 3C.2 | Annual cycle of the moisture transports associated with the Saharan heat low and their role in the coupled West African monsoon system Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrillé |
| 1:45 PM | 3C.3 | Assessment of water budgets computed from NWP models and observational datasets during AMMA-EOP Olivier Bock, Service d'Aeronomie (CNRS/IPSL), Paris, France |
| 2:00 PM | 3C.4 | Influence of large-scale atmospheric moisture fluxes on the interannual to multidecadal rainfall variability of the West African Monsoon Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and S. Eikenberg |
| | 3C.5 | The role of 25-90 day variability of tropical convection in the West African summer monsoon onset in 2006 Serge Janicot, IRD, Paris, France; and F. Mounier, N. M. J. Hall, S. Leroux, B. Sultan, and G. N. Kiladis |
| 2:15 PM | 3C.6 | Analysis of the West African monsoon using an idealized two-dimensional model Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger |
| 2:30 PM | 3C.7 | Rainfall Events during the West African Dry-Season: Forcing from the Extratropics and Predictability Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I Session 3D Air-Sea Interaction II |
Chair: Lynn Shay, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 3D.2 | A report on EASI (Extreme Air-Sea Interaction) buoy's encounter with Noel William Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and N. Williams |
| 1:30 PM | 3D.1 | New findings on drag coefficient behavior in tropical cyclones Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL |
| 1:45 PM | 3D.3 | Exchange coefficients and air-sea interaction in tropical cyclones Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and G. Brassington and P. Sandery |
| 2:00 PM | 3D.4 | Assessment of hurricane wind stress estimation using a 4DVAR ocean assimilation system Sarah E. Zedler, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and I. Hoteit, R. Korty, and B. Cornuelle |
| 2:15 PM | 3D.5 | Air-Sea Coupling-Induced Asymmetry in Hurricane Boundary Layer and Surface Fluxes Chiaying Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen |
| 2:30 PM | 3D.6 | Simple nonlinear bounday layer model for tropical cyclones Ralph C. Foster, University of Washington, Seattle, WA |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF Session 4A Tropical Cyclone Modeling III: Operational Models |
Chair: Jim Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
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| 3:30 PM | 4A.1 | Tropical cyclone initialisation in the Met Office global model: Is it still necessary and can it be improved? Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom |
| 3:45 PM | 4A.2 | Initalizations in Advanced Operational Hurricane WRF (HWRF) Model Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, V. Tallapragada, and Y. Kwon |
| 4:00 PM | 4A.3 | Interpretation of tropical cyclone forecast sensitivity and dynamics from a NOGAPS singular vector perspective Jan-Huey Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and C. -. C. Wu |
| 4:15 PM | 4A.4 | Improvements to the Navy's version of the GFDL Tropical Cyclone Model (GFDN) and evaluation of its Prediction Skill Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis and R. M. Yablonsky |
| 4:30 PM | 4A.5 | Performance of the Advanced Operational HWRF Modeling System during pre-implementation testing and in real-time 2007 hurricane season Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, R. Tuleya, and W. O'Connor |
| 4:45 PM | 4A.6 | Improving wind-pressure relationship and intensity forecast skill of the operational HWRF Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, and V. Tallapragada |
| 5:00 PM | 4A.7 | Evaluation of tropical cyclone surface wind structure in operational NWP model forecasts Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Rogers and M. Powell |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E Session 4B Hurricanes and Climate II: Data Issues |
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
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| 3:30 PM | 4B.1 | Wind speed time averaging conversions for tropical cyclone conditions Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Kepert and J. Ginger |
| 3:45 PM | 4B.2 | A comparison of typhoon best-track data in the western North Pacific: irreconcilable differences Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam |
| 4:00 PM | 4B.3 | Developing a unified "SuperSet" in quantifying ambiguities among tropical cyclone best track data for the western North Pacific Michael R. Lowry, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) / Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien and M. Griffin |
| 4:15 PM | 4B.4 | Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data sets: Low-Earth orbit infrared and microwave data Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC |
| 4:30 PM | 4B.5 | The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart |
| 4:45 PM | 4B.6 | Rescuing data from a black hole: Consolidation of tropical cyclone data sets into an information repository for improved data access Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN |
| 5:00 PM | 4B.7 | A reanalysis of twelve U.S. landfalling major hurricanes Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Dickinson and D. Strahan |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H Session 4C Amma III - NAMMA |
Chair: Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne Germany
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| 3:30 PM | 4C.1 | NASA's 2006 tropical cyclogenesis experiment in the east Atlantic Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT |
| 3:45 PM | 4C.2 | The NASA Real Time Mission Monitor – a situational awareness tool for conducting tropical cyclone field experiments H. Michael Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. J. Blakeslee, J. M. Hall, P. Parker, and Y. M. He |
| 4:00 PM | 4C.3 | Dual-Frequency Airborne Precipitation Radar observations in the tropics during 2006 and 2007 Simone Tanelli, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. L. Durden and E. Im |
| 4:15 PM | 4C.4 | An analysis of the interaction between the SAL and convective systems during the NAMMA 2006 field campaign and possible linkage to tropical cyclogenesis Aaron Pratt, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins |
| 4:30 PM | 4C.5 | Impacts of Saharan Dust Acting as CCN on the Evolution of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone Henian Zhang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar |
| 4:45 PM | 4C.6 | Multiscale numerical simulation of tropical cyclone Debby (2006) and validation with NAMMA data Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and J. Zawislak |
| 5:00 PM | 4C.7 | Barotropic energy conversion as a predictor of development for NAMMA African easterly waves Robert S. Ross, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I Session 4D Air-Sea Interaction III |
Chair: Peter Black, NRL, Monterey, CA
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| 3:30 PM | 4D.1 | Impact of Sea Spray on Hurricane Simulations Shouping Wang Wang, Naval Research Laboratory at Monterey, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin |
| 3:45 PM | 4D.2 | Analysis of a resonant-like regime in the oceanic mixed layer induced by a hurricane Guillaume Samson, LACy, Sainte Clotilde, France; and H. Giordani, G. Caniaux, D. Barbary, and F. Roux |
| 4:00 PM | 4D.3 | Simulating the baroclinic ocean current response to a tropical cyclone Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay |
| 4:15 PM | 4D.4 | Coupled wind-wave-current processes in hurricanes Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, and B. Thomas |
| 4:30 PM | 4D.5 | Investigating the impacts of wave state and sea spray on typhoon via a coupled atmosphere-wave system: the idealized case Bin Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and C. Guan and L. Xie |
| 4:45 PM | 4D.6 | Aircraft Observations of the Turbulence Structure in the Hurricane Boundary Layer Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan |
| 5:00 PM | 4D.7 | KORDI program for typhoon-ocean interaction in the shelf seas and Northwestern Pacific Sok Kuh Kang, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and H. W. Kang, Y. H. Kim, J. K. So, J. H. Lee, H. J. Lie, S. W. Yeh, E. J. Kim, O. H. Seo, and I. Ginis |
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| 6:00 PM-8:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD Ice Breaker Reception |
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| 8:00 PM-9:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I Session Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3)–Application of the Global Hawk For Hurricane Studies |
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Tuesday, 29 April 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF Session 5A Tropical Cyclone Modeling IV: Ensemble Systems |
Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter United Kingdom
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| | 5A.1 | Performance of TC track ensemble prediction system in NMC/Beijing Suhong Ma, NWPD/NMC/Beijing, Beijing, China |
| 8:00 AM | 5A.2 | Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part I: Description and general performance Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. G. McLay, J. S. Goerss, and J. Teixeira |
| 8:15 AM | 5A.3 | Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part II: Tropical cyclone track forecast performance James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds |
| 8:30 AM | 5A.4 | Ensemble Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) from TCLAPS: Intensity and Track Sensitivity and Vortex Structure Evolution Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, MELBOURNE, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder and N. E. Davidson |
| 8:45 AM | 5A.5 | Ensemble-based synoptic sensitivity during the tropical cyclone life cycle Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL |
| 9:00 AM | 5A.6 | High-resolution ensemble data assimilation applied to Hurricane Katrina (2005) Ryan Torn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Hakim |
| 9:15 AM | 5A.7 | Promising EnKF analyses and Forecasts of Hurricane Humberto (2007) Yonghui Weng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang, Z. Meng, J. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E Session 5B Hurricanes and Climate III: Long-Term Variability |
Chair: James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
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| 8:00 AM | 5B.1 | Erroneous use of the historical data base to link global warming with increased tropical cyclone activity Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL |
| 8:15 AM | 5B.2 | Understanding of tropical cyclone intensity change in a warming world Liguang Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD |
| 8:30 AM | 5B.3 | An Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensification Index for the Last 2000 Years: A Significant ~510 Year Climate Cyclic Pulse Reconstructed Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico |
| 8:45 AM | 5B.4 | Downscaling hurricane climatologies from global models and re-analyses Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. Sundararajan and J. Williams |
| 9:00 AM | 5B.5 | Global Warming, Climate Variability and Atlantic Hurricanes Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee and D. B. Enfield |
| 9:15 AM | 5B.6 | Large Contribution of Sea Surface Warming to Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea |
| 9:30 AM | 5B.7 | The role of salinity as the primary driver for the Atlantic Ocean's multi-decadal parameter variations William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H Session 5C Field Programs: RAINEX |
Chair: Robert Rogers, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 5C.1 | Principal rainbands of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita as observed in RAINEX Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze, Jr. |
| 8:15 AM | 5C.2 | Vortical structures accompanying secondary eyewall formation in Hurricane Rita (2005) Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. F. Smull |
| 8:30 AM | 5C.3 | The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part I: The model and basic results David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and Y. Moon |
| 8:45 AM | 5C.4 | The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part II: Comparisons to RAINEX observations and high resolution simulations Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan |
| 9:00 AM | 5C.5 | Effect of environmental moisture on rainbands in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005) Derek Ortt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen |
| 9:15 AM | 5C.6 | Convectively-induced PV and Vortex Rossby Waves in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005) Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen |
| 9:30 AM | 5C.7 | New Challenges in High-Resolution Coupled Air-Sea Modeling of Hurricanes: What we have Learned from RAINEX and CBLAST Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I Session 5D Air-Sea Interaction IV |
Chair: S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
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| | 5D.1 | Air, sea and land interactions of the South American Monsoon Vasubandhu Misra, Florida State University, Calverton, MD MD |
| 8:00 AM | 5D.3 | Wave-related changes in tropical surface turbulent heat fluxes Mark A. Bourassa, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL |
| 8:15 AM | 5D.4 | Tropical instability waves and ITCZ breakdown Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. X. Giraldo |
| 8:30 AM | 5D.5 | Simulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) using a HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) Yanyun Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and J. M. Morrison |
| 8:45 AM | 5D.6 | Diurnal sea surface temperature variability and the transition phase of the MJO Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| 9:00 AM | 5D.7 | A numerical study on the effects of wave-current interactions on the height and propagation of sea surface waves in Charleston Harbor during Hurricane Hugo 1989 Huiqing Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms Foyer Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF Session 6A Tropical Cyclone Modeling V: Structure and Environment Interactions |
Chair: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
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| 10:15 AM | 6A.1 | The effect of La Réunion island (Indian ocean) on tropical cyclone Dina (2002): a comparative numerical study Samuel Jolivet, LPA, Saint-Denis, France; and D. Barbary, F. Chane ming, F. Roux, and S. Westrelin |
| 10:30 AM | 6A.2 | Spatial structure and evolution of low-level winds in modeled hurricanes at landfall Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL |
| 10:45 AM | 6A.3 | Effect of Typhoon Songda on Remote Precipitation in Japan and its Adjacent Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Z. Ding |
| 11:00 AM | 6A.4 | Large Eddy Simulations of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone Yongsheng Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno, C. Davis, W. Wang, J. Dudhia, and G. Holland |
| 11:15 AM | 6A.5 | Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005) Shuguang Wang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and T. J. Dunkerton and F. Zhang |
| 11:30 AM | 6A.6 | The combined state-parameter estimation problem and its relevance to tropical cyclone prediction William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and E. A. Smith |
| 11:45 AM | 6A.7 | Tropical cyclone formation and structure studies using a moist adjoint model Kevin K. W. Cheung, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E Session 6B Hurricanes and Climate IV: Seasonal Forecasting |
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 6B.1 | Seasonal prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity Elinor Whitney Keith, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie |
| 10:30 AM | 6B.2 | Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane simulations Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim, D. W. Shin, E. Chassignet, and S. Cocke |
| 10:45 AM | 6B.3 | New operational forecasts of tropical storm activity using the Met Office dynamical seasonal prediction model Richard J. Graham, Met Office, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. R. Huddleston |
| 11:00 AM | 6B.4 | Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| 11:15 AM | 6B.5 | High-resolution WRF simulations of an Atlantic hurricane season Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann |
| 11:30 AM | 6B.6 | Multi-model Statistical-Dynamical Climate Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Landfall Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H Session 6C Field Programs: RAINEX, TCSP and IFEX |
Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 6C.1 | Axisymmetric concentric eyewall evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005) Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, R. A. Houze, B. Smull, and M. T. Montgomery |
| 10:30 AM | 6C.2 | A Convective Burst Event in Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005) Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bell and R. A. Houze |
| 10:45 AM | 6C.3 | Boundary layer roll dynamic and thermodynamic structures as determined by dropwindsondes Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and D. P. Stern |
| 11:00 AM | 6C.4 | An observational analysis of the genesis tropical storm Gert (2005) Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun |
| 11:15 AM | 6C.5 | On the Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) associated with the ITCZ Breakdowns Chanh Q. Kieu, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang |
| 11:30 AM | 6C.6 | Conditions Influencing Hurricane Emily's (2005) Precipitation Patterns, Convection and Upper Tropospheric Outflow Kevin R. Quinlan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. Cecil and J. R. Mecikalski |
| 11:45 AM | 6C.7 | Ensemble-based data assimilation for cloud-resolving hurricane prediction: experiments with radar and dropsonde observations from RAINEX Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and Y. Weng, Z. Meng, Y. Chen, S. S. Chen, and P. G. Black |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I Session 6D Intraseasonal Variability I |
Chair: Steven T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
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| 10:15 AM | 6D.1 | Synoptic feedback to intraseasonal variability through the modulation of the surface heat flux Chunhua Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li |
| 10:30 AM | 6D.2 | Equatorial Superrotation in the IPESD Multi-scale MJO Model Joseph A. Biello, University if California, Davis, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda and M. W. Moncrieff |
| 10:45 AM | 6D.3 | Topographic effect on the MJO in the maritime continent H.-H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Wu |
| 11:00 AM | 6D.4 | Activation process toward MJO convectively active phase in the Indian Ocean observed during MISMO-IOP Masaki Katsumata, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Fort Collins, CO |
| 11:15 AM | 6D.5 | Madden-Julian Oscillations simulated with the Reduce Acceleration in the VErtical (RAVE) approach Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and C. Walker |
| 11:30 AM | 6D.6 | MJO signals in latent heating Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos, W. K. Tao, and S. E. Lang |
| 11:45 AM | 6D.7 | Satellite-Observed Subseasonal Rainfall Variations in Tropical East Atlantic-West Africa Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD |
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| 12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 12:05 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday 2008, Cedar AMS Committee on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Luncheon |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF Session 7A Tropical Cyclone Modeling VI: High Resolution Simulations |
Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 7A.1 | Typhoon simulation with the JMA/MRI 20 km mesh high-resolution global spectral model Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
| 1:30 PM | 7A.2 | A method of initializing tropical cyclones for high-resolution numerical models Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Sashegyi |
| 1:45 PM | 7A.3 | Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Intensity Forecast of Tropical Cyclones: High Resolution Numerical Simulations and Doppler Radar Data Assimilation Xuanli Li, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu |
| 2:00 PM | 7A.4 | High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Larry (2006): Sensitivity to Orography Hamish A. Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie |
| 2:15 PM | 7A.5 | Intermediate and high resolution simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical depression Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton |
| 2:30 PM | 7A.6 | Polygonal eyewalls in a 2 km WRF simulation of Wilma (2005) Chris E. Blanton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC |
| 2:45 PM | 7A.7 | Hurricane super-intensity through mixing Olivier Pauluis, New York University, New York, NY; and S. T. Garner and A. A. S. Mrowiec |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E Session 7B Hurricanes and Climate V: Modeling Studies |
Chair: Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 7B.1 | A modeling study of the extreme 2005 Atlantic hurricane season relative to recent years Kurt Davidson Korte, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. H. Bowden, N. N. Davis, X. Zhang, M. Diaz, L. Xie, and F. H. Semazzi |
| 1:30 PM | 7B.2 | Model simulated changes in maximum TC intensity due to global warming Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and A. Aiyyer |
| 1:45 PM | 7B.3 | Simulated impact of projected 21st century warming on Atlantic hurricane activity Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, G. A. Vecchi, and I. M. Held |
| 2:00 PM | 7B.4 | Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part I: Simulation design and primary results David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin |
| 2:15 PM | 7B.5 | Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part II: Mechanisms and other applications Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and G. A. Vecchi |
| 2:30 PM | 7B.6 | The effects of cumulus parameterizations and radiation schemes on tropical cyclone frequency and structure David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| 2:45 PM | 7B.7 | Hurricane Tracking in the Atlantic and Associated Insurance Losses Sabine Kleppek, Climate and Environmental Physics, University Bern, Switzerland, Bern, Switzerland; and C. C. Raible, V. Muccione, T. S. Stocker, P. Heck, and D. N. Bresch |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H Session 7C Tropical Cyclone Observations |
Chair: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 7C.1 | Drifting buoy deployments into Hurricane Dean, 2007 Rick Lumpkin, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and P. P. Niiler and P. Black |
| 1:30 PM | 7C.2 | The dynamic behaviour of the GPS dropwindsonde in a simulated boundary layer Amir Mohammad Yadghar, The Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller |
| 1:45 PM | 7C.3 | Inter-comparison of targeted observation guidances for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific C.-C. Wu, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. D. Aberson, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, S. G. Chen, and P. H. Lin |
| 2:00 PM | 7C.4 | Inner-core characteristics of Ophelia (2005) and Noel (2007) as revealed by Aerosonde data Guy Cascella, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. W. Uhlhorn, and S. J. Majumdar |
| 2:15 PM | 7C.5 | NOAA and NASA collaborative efforts using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in Tropical Cyclones: Recent successes and a future path forward Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Turlington |
| 2:30 PM | 7C.6 | Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS08) Field Experiment in the Western North Pacific during 2008 Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. Ferek, S. W. Chang, P. A. Harr, and D. Eleuterio |
| 2:45 PM | 7C.7 | An overview of the THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) during August-September 2008 David Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Harr, T. Nakazawa, S. Jones, and M. Weissmann |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I Session 7D Intraseasonal Variability II |
Chair: Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 1:15 PM | 7D.1 | Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wavetrain and the Indian Monsoon Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang |
| 1:30 PM | 7D.2 | Intraseasonal variability of Asian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal hindcasts Prince K. Xavier, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and F. J. Doblas-Reyes |
| 1:45 PM | 7D.3 | Characteristic patterns associated with atmospheric circulation changes over the Northeastern Tropical Pacific in summer Rosario Romero-Centeno, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. Raga |
| 2:00 PM | 7D.4 | A numerical case study on the initiation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL |
| 2:15 PM | 7D.5 | Relevance of the vertical internal mode decomposition approach for the study of the MJO Daniel Nethery, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and J. I. Yano |
| 2:30 PM | 7D.6 | Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability and its link with the upper ocean structure Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and H. Bellenger, B. Pohl, and P. Camberlin |
| 2:45 PM | 7D.7 | Sensitivity to vertical shear and moist stability in a probabilistic regional dynamical model Stephen T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1A Poster Session Convection |
| | P1A.1 | The Role of three-dimensional radiative Transfer on convective Cloud Formation Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and B. Mayer |
| | P1A.2 | Validation of west and east Pacific rainfall estimates from the TRMM PR using a radiative transfer model Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, T. Kubota, S. Kida, and K. Okamoto |
| | P1A.3 | Evaluation of Troposphere Cloud Ice Simulations in CWB Global Forecast System using A-Train Measurements Feng-Ju Wang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan; and C. -. T. Fong, J. L. Li, H. -. M. Juang, C. P. Woods, D. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, G. Stephens, D. G. Vane, D. L. Wu, M. D. Cheng, and M. M. Lu |
| | P1A.4 | Convective momentum transport in 3D cloud resolving model simulations of TOGA COARE Susana M. Mendes, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington and University of Evora, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton |
| | P1A.5 | Energetics of deep moist convection Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA |
| | P1A.6 | Diurnal cycle of deep convection in the super cluster embedded in the MJO Tsuneaki Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan |
| | P1A.7 | A Multi-Sensor Satellite-Based Approach to Retrieving Convective Momentum Fluxes Christopher P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski |
| | P1A.8 | Convectively Coupled Gravity Waves traveling in an Equatorial Precipitating Region Juliana Dias, Courant Institute of Mathematical Science, NYU, New York, NY; and O. Pauluis |
| | P1A.9 | Predictability aspects of aqua-planet model runs with explicit convection Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh |
| | P1A.10 | Extreme thunderstorms around the global tropics and subtropics Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and M. Felix |
| | P1A.11 | A Bayesian framework for storm tracking using a hidden-state representation Lucas Scharenbroich, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, H. Stern, and C. C. Wang |
| | P1A.12 | Cloud vertical structure over the Bay of Bengal and eastern tropical Pacific Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL |
| | P1A.13 | An intense MCS observed over Niamey, Niger on 11 August 2006 Matthew A. Janiga, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and E. Williams |
| | P1A.14 | Using high-resolution numerical simulations to understand the role of East African mountains in the initiation of long-lived episodes of organized convection A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, C. A. Davis, and R. E. Carbone |
| | P1A.15 | On the use of microwave Sounder data for high-temporal rainfall maps based on microwave radiometers Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Yamamoto, T. Tsukiyama, S. Kida, T. Kubota, and K. Okamoto |
| | P1A.16 | The large-scale response of tropical atmosphere to latent heating estimated from the TRMM PR Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu and Y. Morikawa |
| | P1A.17 | Spatial and diurnal variability in the Saharan Boundary Layer during GERBILS (2007) Christian M. Grams, Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. C. Jones, D. J. Parker, J. Haywood, V. Heuveline, J. H. Marsham, and C. Schwierz |
| | P1A.18 | The benefits of increased resolution in simulating precipitation over Sub-Saharan Africa. A comparison of AMIP integrations of GEM at 1° and 2° model resolution Anne Daloz, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1B Poster Session Monsoons |
| | P1B.1 | Wind-evaporation feedback and the transition to axisymmetric, angular momentum conserving Hadley flow William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
| | P1B.2 | Multiyears Hindcast Experiments of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0) Sajjad Saeed, Pakistan Meteorological Department, Islamabad, Pakistan |
| | P1B.2 | Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Positive and Negative Indian Ocean Dipole with and without ENSO Chi-Cherng Hong, Department of Science Education, TMUE, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. M. Lu and M. Kanamitsu |
| | P1B.4 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| | P1B.3 | Interannual variability of the North American Monsoon: Large-scale conditions and small-scale effects Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and M. Jones |
| | P1B.4 | Regional Differences in South American Monsoon Onset: Implications for Onset Predictability Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto-Ferreira, D. Herdies, and S. W. Nesbitt |
| | P1B.5 | Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: II. The Asian-Australian monsoon system Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1C Poster Session Tropical Climatology |
| | P1C.1 | Summer Mean Fields Over Tropical Africa, Indian and Atlantic Oceans During El Nino and La Nina Years Mostafa El -Rafy, CAIRO UNIVERSITY, Giza, Egypt |
| | P1C.2 | A Methodology for Identifying Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and A. J. Braun |
| | P1C.3 | Multidecadal variability in the Hadley circulation Damianos Florin Mantsis, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL |
| | P1C.4 | Frequency distribution of daily ITCZ patterns over the Western/Central Pacific Baode Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and B. Chen, X. Lin, and J. Bacmeister |
| | P1C.5 | Five-year climatology of tropical dry air intrusions as viewed by AIRS/Aqua Sean P. F. Casey, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler and C. Schumacher |
| | P1C.6 | The energy budget of a tropical intraseasonal oscillation in a climate model Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR |
| | P1C.7 | Diurnal changes in the atmospheric boundary layer height in tropical coastal regions Aaron Paget, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and K. Campbell and P. Ruscher |
| | P1C.8 | Impacts of mid-latitude SST variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont |
| | P1C.9 | Equatorial Kelvin wave propagation past Sumatra: June 2006 case analysis and forecast sensitivity experiments with COAMPS® James A. Ridout, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. K. Flatau |
| | P1C.10 | Mapping the spatial extent of the Central American mid-summer drought with MODIS and GOES imagery Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and R. Orozco |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1D Poster Session Air-Sea Interaction |
| | P1D.1 | Coastal ocean surface current response to hurricane Jeanne detected by WERA Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Martinez-Pedraja, M. D. Powell, B. K. Haus, and J. K. Brewster |
| | P1D.2 | The effects of Hurricane Dean on seafloor pressure, atmospheric pressure and coastal water levels Natalia A. Donoho, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. E. Zervas and R. Bouchard |
| | P1D.3 | Multi-sensor satellite and HYCOM analysis of the upper ocean response to Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico Michelle M. Gierach, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and B. Subrahmanyam |
| | P1D.4 | Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and K. A. Emanuel |
| | P1D.5 | Some Aspects of Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions and Associated with Land-falling Hurricane Katrina Over the Gulf of Mexico R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and C. Luckett and D. Liu |
| | P1D.6 | Impacts of the Ocean Surface Velocity on Wind Stress Coefficient and Wind Stress over Global Ocean during 1958-2001 Zengan Deng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, T. Yu, and K. Wu |
| | P1D.7 | Interpreting dropsonde measurements of turbulence in the tropical cyclone boundary layer Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1E Poster Session Field Programs |
| | P1E.1 | The NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis Mission: balloon-borne radiosonde results from Cape Verde F. J. Schmidlin, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and B. Morrison, T. Baldwin, and E. T. N. Northam |
| | P1E.2 | Preliminary analysis of Mesoscale Convective Systems transitioning off the West African Coast during NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA) Bradley W. Klotz, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. A. Kucera |
| | P1E.3 | Ice microphysics observations in tropical cyclones from CAMEX-4 and NAMMA: Implications for hurricane models Amanda L. Wisdom, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar |
| | P1E.4 | Aircraft measurements of temperature anomalies associated with tropical waves during NAMMA Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia |
| | P1E.5 | Characteristics of Intense Deep Tropical Convection During TCSP and other NASA Field Campaigns Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Tian and L. Li |
| | P1E.6 | Vorticity and entropy budgets of tropical cyclones during IFEX 2005 Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond |
| | P1E.7 | Storm Structure and Rainfall Evolution in Hurricane Dennis (2005) Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and X. Zheng and R. Rogers |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1F Poster Session Numerical Modeling |
| | P1F.1 | Development of a new convective parameterization Ian Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada |
| | P1F.2 | Sensitivity of numerically simulated tropical cyclone structure and intensity to changes in horizontal resolution Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann |
| | P1F.3 | Application of ATOVS Radiance with ARW WRF/GSI Data Assimilation System in the Prediction of Hurricane Katrina Jianjun Xu, JCSDA/UCAR/AFWA, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Rugg |
| | P1F.4 | Upgrading the simulation of tropical convective systems Stephen E. Lang, SSAI/NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. -. K. Tao, W. S. Olson, X. Zeng, T. Matsui, and S. A. Braun |
| | P1F.5 | Typhoon-trough interaction from the perspective of the adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector (ADSSV) Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, K. H. Chou, and P. H. Lin |
| | P1F.6 | Development of the typhoon initialization — combination of the bogused vortex and the dropwindsonde data in DOTSTAR Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu |
| | P1F.7 | Medium-Range tropical cyclone track prediction as a data assimilation problem Mike Fiorino, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL |
| | P1F.8 | The relationship between flight level and 10-m winds in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes Jackie Rauch, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball |
| | P1F.9 | An EdGCM modeling study of the effects of atmospheric trace gas concentration change on Atlantic tropical cyclone development parameters George L. Limpert, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. L. Perrin and A. R. Lupo |
| | P1F.10 | A simple multicloud parametrization for convectively coupled waves with an active boundary layer Michael L. Waite, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider |
| | P1F.11 | Numerical study on the vertical tilt of a typhoon vortex Mitsuru Ueno, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan |
| | P1F.12 | Analysis and Simulation of a Dry Hurricane Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis |
| | P1F.13 | Errors induced by cloud amount in cumulus parameterization Akihiko Murata, Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
| | P1F.14 | Improved TC forecasting through Initalization of MM5 with GFDL/GFS Merger Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| | P1F.15 | Evaluating the intensification of tropical cyclones with the GFS model Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, DF, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and G. B. Raga |
| | P1F.17 | Initial and Boundary Condition Impacts on Hurricane Katrina Track and Intensity Forecasts Hao Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, T. Campbell, and S. Gabersek |
| | P1F.18 | The sensitivity of a Katrina simulation to the distribution of vertical sigma levels F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. E. Aplin and S. K. Kimball |
| | P1F.19 | An evaluation of the boundary conditions for nested domains for idealized hurricane simulations Sarah E. Aplin, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and F. C. Dougherty and S. K. Kimball |
| | P1F.20 | On numerical simulation of warm season precipitation diurnal cycle Li Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang and K. Souma |
| | P1F.21 | A diagnostic analysis of high-resolution numerical simulations of the genesis of tropical storm Gert (2005) Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, S. A. Braun, and W. Schubert |
| | P1F.22 | Numerical simulation of the interaction of a mesoscale convective system with the African Easterly Jet Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry |
| | P1F.23 | Calculating the moist static energy budget near the ITCZ in idealized WRF simulations Scott W. Powell, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan |
| | P1F.24 | ASSIMILATION OF RADAR DATA FOR THE PREDICTION OF A SMALL HURRICANE, OGNI, NEAR INDIA COAST USING THE ARPS ASSIMILATION SYSTEM Kuldeep Srivastava, India Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India; and J. Gao, K. Brewster, M. Xue, and S. K. R. Bhowmik |
| | P1F.24 | A Numerical Study on the Wind-Terrain Interaction in South and Southeast Asian monsoon Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and C. -. P. Chang and B. Wang |
| | P1F.25 | The Double-ICTZ Problem in IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Ocean-Atmosphere Feedback Analysis Jia-Lin Lin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH |
| | P1F.27 | The impacts of resolution and boundary layer parameterization on the structure of the wind field in high resolution simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003) David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, D. P. Stern, and P. J. Kozich |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1G Poster Session Extratropical Transition |
| | P1G.1 | Data denial experiments for extratropical transition Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and C. Cardinali and S. Jones |
| | P1G.2 | Satellite aspects of the extratropical transition of Hurricanes Maria and Helene John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL |
| | P1G.3 | Interactions between tropical cyclones and the baroclinic flow Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang |
| | P1G.4 | Recurving tropical cyclones and downstream impacts as revealed by singular vectors Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and J. H. Chen |
| | P1G.5 | Analysis of the inner-core characteristics of Noel (2007) during its extratropical transition Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. Uhlhorn, G. Cascella, S. D. Aberson, R. Atlas, J. L. Beven, D. P. Brown, J. P. Dunion, C. Fogarty, R. Hart, D. C. Herndon, J. A. Knaff, C. W. Landsea, F. D. Marks, and C. Velden |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 1H Poster Session Forecasting Methods and Tools |
| | P1H.1 | Extreme value analysis of tropical cyclone trapped-fetch waves Allan W. MacAfee, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and S. W. K. Wong |
| | P1H.2 | New Products for Real-Time Tropical Storm Tracking Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea |
| | P1H.3 | Forecast Diagnostics to Improve Tropical Wave Forecasting at WFO San Juan Andrew S. Levine, NOAA/NWS, Key West, FL; and G. J. Berry |
| | P1H.4 | An Online Textbook for Tropical Meteorology Wendy Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and A. Laing and J. L. Evans |
| | P1H.5 | Using the JPL Tropical Cyclone Information System for Research and Applications Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. Ao, Y. Chao, V. Dang, R. Fovell, M. Garay, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li,, K. J. Park, W. Poulsen, H. Su, S. Tanelli, D. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. Willis, and D. L. Wu |
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| 7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E Session 8 Special Session on the Future of Satellite Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones |
Chair: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
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| 7:00 PM | 8.1 | Satellite-Based TC Surveillance: Status and Future Needs Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Velden |
| 7:30 PM | 8.2 | An overview of the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD) Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, T. L. Miller, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn |
| 7:45 PM | 8.3 | Initial user impact studies of the next generation ocean surface vector wind scatterometer mission (XOVWM) Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Jelenak, R. D. Knabb, J. M. Sienkiewicz, M. J. Brennan, and E. Rodriguez |
| 8:00 PM | 8.4 | GeoSTAR/PATH – A future hurricane observing system Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, P. Kangaslahti, and S. Brown |
| 8:15 PM | 8.5 | Advancements in NEXRAD in Space (NIS) Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. S. Haddad, S. Tanelli, and G. J. Tripoli |
| 8:30 PM | | Panel Discussion
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Wednesday, 30 April 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF Session 9A Tropical Cyclogenesis I: Role of African Easterly Waves |
Chair: Jiann-Gwo Jiing, TPC, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 9A.1 | Evolution of long-lived African Easterly Waves Anantha R. Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC |
| 8:15 AM | 9A.2 | Nonlinear structure and evolution of African easterly waves Nathan R. Hardin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-8208, NC |
| 8:30 AM | 9A.3 | Tropical cyclogenesis in a tropical wave critical layer: Easterly waves Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery and Z. Wang |
| 8:45 AM | 9A.4 | Tropical cyclone genesis from the merger of mesoscale vortices embedded in African easterly wave: A case study using a nested regional climate model Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. J. Holland and P. J. Webster |
| 9:00 AM | 9A.5 | High-resolution simulation of the genesis of Hurricane Danielle (2004) Xuejin Zhang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, M. L. Diaz, and F. H. M. Semazzi |
| 9:15 AM | 9A.6 | On The Formation of Hurricane Katrina (2005) Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and H. Jin |
| 9:30 AM | 9A.7 | Can rapidly developing African easterly waves be distinguished by their satellite signatures over West Africa? Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and K. Knapp |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E Session 9B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns I |
Chair: Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
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| 8:00 AM | 9B.1 | Behavior of sub-monthly wave patterns associated with recurving tropical cyclones during extreme intraseasonal phases in the western North Pacific Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu |
| 8:15 AM | 9B.2 | Tropical-midlatitude Interactions during the “Perfect Storms” of 1991 Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| 8:30 AM | 9B.3 | Predictability associated with interactions between recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones and the extratropical large-scale flow Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 8:45 AM | 9B.4 | Downstream development during the rapid intensification of hurricanes Opal and Katrina: the distant trough-interaction problem Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and C. M. Nguyen and M. J. Reeder |
| 9:00 AM | 9B.5 | Anomalies in Meterological Fields Over Northern Asia and It's Impact on Hurricane Gonu Mostafa El -Rafy, Cairo University - Faculty of Science, GIZA, Cairo, Egypt; and D. Y. Y. Hafez |
| 9:15 AM | 9B.6 | The influence of TUTT cells on TC motion Jason E. Patla, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Stevens and G. Barnes |
| 9:30 AM | 9B.7 | The nonstationary correlations between indices of West African precipitation and Atlantic hurricane activity Dr. Jon M Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H Session 9C Extratropical Transition I: Physical Processes |
Chair: John L. Beven, II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 9C.1 | Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998) Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| 8:15 AM | 9C.2 | The structure of singular vectors associated with extratropical transition of tropical cyclones Simon Thomas Lang, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. Jones, M. Leutbecher, and D. Anwender |
| 8:30 AM | 9C.3 | Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany |
| 8:45 AM | 9C.4 | Interaction of tropical cyclones with midlatitude baroclinic waves in idealised scenarios of extra-tropical transition Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. Jones |
| 9:00 AM | 9C.5 | Downstream development associated with the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Dea |
| 9:15 AM | 9C.6 | The relative roles of diabatic and dynamic processes in downstream development following the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific Elizabeth Sanabia, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr |
| 9:30 AM | 9C.7 | Global Impacts of the extratropical transition of Hurricane Noel (2007) Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I Session 9D Convection I |
Chair: Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
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| 8:00 AM | 9D.1 | Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) – Addressing the Challenge of Multi-Scale, Organized Convection Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff |
| 8:15 AM | 9D.2 | A modified precipitation efficiency and its application on warm rain processes Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Central Univ., Jhongli City, Taiwan; and X. Li and M. J. Yang |
| 8:30 AM | 9D.3 | The influence of vertical wind shear on deep convection in the tropics Ulrike Wissmeier, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. A. Goler |
| 8:45 AM | 9D.4 | Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles from TRMM PR Data: Comparisons of lookup tables from two- and three-dimensional simulations Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, S. Kida, W. K. Tao, and X. Zeng |
| 9:00 AM | 9D.5 | Polarimetric radar analysis of convection in northwestern Mexico Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. Rowe, S. A. Rutledge, and R. Cifelli |
| 9:15 AM | 9D.6 | Predecessor rain events in tropical cyclones Matthew R. Cote, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. L. Jurewicz |
| 9:30 AM | 9D.7 | The QBO's influence on lightning production in the Tropics Celina A. Hernandez, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF Session 10A Tropical Cyclogenesis II: Physical Processes |
Chair: Mark Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao Guam
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| 10:15 AM | 10A.1 | Tropical cyclone formation: A synopsis of the internal dynamics Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. T. Montgomery |
| 10:30 AM | 10A.2 | Vortical hot towers, their aggregate effects and their resolution dependence in the formation of Hurricane Diana (1984) J. Marc Hidalgo, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. T. Montgomery |
| 10:45 AM | 10A.3 | Mesoscale features of tropical cyclone formations associated with the trade wind surges in the Western North Pacific Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee |
| 11:00 AM | 10A.4 | Tropical Cyclone Formations in the South China Sea Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin and C. M. Huang |
| 11:15 AM | 10A.5 | Tropical Cyclone Formations in 30-day Simulation Using Cloud-System-Resolving Global Non-hydrostatic Model (NICAM) Wataru Yanase, Center for Climate System Research, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and M. Satoh, S. I. Iga, and H. Tomita |
| 11:30 AM | 10A.6 | A shear reduction mechanism for tropical cyclogenesis Ron McTaggart-Cowan, MSC, Montreal, QC, Canada; and L. F. Bosart |
| 11:45 AM | 10A.7 | The role of upshear convection in expediting the tropical transition of Atlantic Hurricane Karen (2001) Andrew L. Hulme, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E Session 10B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns II |
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR
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| 10:15 AM | 10B.1 | Link between tropical cyclone activity and Madden-Julian Oscillation phase in the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie |
| 10:30 AM | 10B.2 | Intraseasonal variability of the west African monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and J. Shaman |
| 10:45 AM | 10B.3 | Effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the cyclogeneses of Hurricane Fausto (2002) and Hurricane Emily (2005) Stephanie E. Zick, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank |
| 11:00 AM | 10B.4 | A composite study of African Easterly Waves and tropical cyclogenesis: Do African Easterly Waves matter? Susanna Hopsch, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 11:15 AM | 10B.5 | Effects of equatorially-trapped tropical waves on tropical cyclogenesis: High resolution simulations in idealized conditions Jeffrey S. Gall, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank |
| 11:30 AM | 10B.6 | A case study of an outbreak of twin tropical cyclones Carl Schreck III, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 11:45 AM | 10B.7 | Probabilistic forecasting of tropical cyclones utilizing wave and climate modes Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H Session 10C Extratropical Transition II: Forecast Challenges |
Chair: Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 10C.1 | Determination of a Consistent Time for Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo |
| 10:30 AM | 10C.2 | Verification of National Hurricane Center forecasts of extratropical transition John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL |
| 10:45 AM | 10C.3 | A curve clustering algorithm to increase skill in extratropical transition forecasts Adam Moyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA |
| 11:00 AM | 10C.4 | Examining extratropical transition of Ernesto wind fields and developing storm surge John Billet, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA VA; and H. Wang |
| 11:15 AM | 10C.5 | Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Data and Models Doug Mercer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer, B. Thomas, and A. W. MacAfee |
| 11:30 AM | 10C.6 | Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Messages and Impacts Peter Bowyer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and D. Mercer, C. Fogarty, and G. Parkes |
| 11:45 AM | 10C.7 | Operational forecasting process of Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone E.-J. Cha, KMA, Seoul, South Korea; and S. H. You and Y. J. Choi |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I Session 10D Convection II |
Chair: Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE
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| 10:15 AM | 10D.1 | Hot towers formation - A Simple Integral Model of Plume Rise Christopher Chi Ming Chu, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia |
| 10:30 AM | 10D.2 | Methods for introducing vortical hot tower heating in idealized models Stephen R. Guimond, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor |
| 10:45 AM | 10D.3 | Cloud vertical structure and radiative heating profile during TOGA COARE Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and R. D. Cess and J. L. Lin |
| 11:00 AM | 10D.4 | Observing and explaining variations in deep convective cloud top height Jung-Hyo Chae, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood and F. J. Robinson |
| 11:15 AM | 10D.5 | Bimodal peak in mid-level tropical layer clouds observed by CloudSat Emily M. Riley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes |
| 11:30 AM | 10D.6 | Comparisons of CloudSat cloud features and TRMM precipitation features Chuntao Liu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser |
| 11:45 AM | 10D.7 | Applications of remotely-sensed latent heating distributions from a PR-trained, satellite microwave radiometer algorithm William S. Olson, JCET/Univ of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, C. L. Shie, T. S. L'Ecuyer, D. E. Waliser, X. Jiang, J. L. Li, B. Tian, A. M. Tompkins, and W. K. Tao |
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| 12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Wednesday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF Session 11A Tropical Cyclogenesis III: Numerical Models |
Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 11A.1 | The Impacts of Moist Convection on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones Jason Sippel, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang |
| 1:30 PM | 11A.2 | 11A.2 Initial condition sensitivity for tropical cyclogenesis and intensification using a moist adjoint James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds |
| 1:45 PM | 11A.3 | Tropical cyclogenesis: A modeling comparison between developing and non-developing cloud clusters Andrew B. Penny, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie |
| 2:00 PM | 11A.4 | Evaluation of NCEP Global Ensemble in Predicting Tropical Cyclogenesis Over the East Atlantic: Case studies during August-September 2006 Andrew Snyder, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, Y. Zhu, and W. J. Steenburgh |
| | 11A.5 | Modeling studies of tropical cyclogenesis of TC Debby and Helene during AMMA Megan Cox, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. S. Jenkins |
| 2:15 PM | 11A.6 | Validation of MM5 and WRF Forecasts of the Development of Hurricane Helene Michael Folmer, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. W. Pasken and B. E. Anderson |
| 2:30 PM | 11A.7 | Performance of the GFS in predicting tropical cyclone genesis during 2007 Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and E. S. Blake, J. G. Jiing, M. M. Mainelli, and D. P. Roberts |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E Session 11B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns III |
Chair: Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
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| 1:15 PM | 11B.1 | United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger |
| 1:30 PM | 11B.2 | Effect of remote sea surface temperature change in tropical cyclone potential intensity Gabriel A. Vecchi, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and B. J. Soden |
| 1:45 PM | 11B.3 | The relative roles of the ocean, atmosphere, and coupled ocean/atmosphere modes in modulating tropical cyclones James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont |
| 2:00 PM | 11B.4 | Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity in the South China Sea Andy Zung-Ching Goh, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan |
| 2:15 PM | 11B.5 | Transient dynamics and tropical cyclone genesis in a nested regional climate model James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and A. Suzuki |
| 2:30 PM | 11B.6 | Environmental influences on the spinup of tropical cyclones David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and J. Cisneros, S. Sessions, J. C. Marin, G. Raga, and Z. Fuchs |
| 2:45 PM | 11B.7 | Mid-level ventilation's effects on tropical cyclone thermodynamic structure and intensity Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H Session 11C Tropical Cyclones at Landfall |
Chair: David Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 11C.1 | Probability distributions of gust factors in land-falling hurricanes Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL |
| 1:30 PM | 11C.2 | Simulating Hurricane Pre-Landfall and Post-Landfall Intensity Changes Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell |
| 1:45 PM | 11C.3 | The impact of Louisiana's levees and wetlands on Katrina's storm surge Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and N. Tran, Y. Lau, and Y. Li |
| 2:00 PM | 11C.4 | Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Luneva and C. A. Clayson |
| 2:15 PM | 11C.5 | Analysis of tropical storm-tornadoes and their environments Lori A. Schultz, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil and C. C. Crowe |
| 2:30 PM | 11C.6 | Hurricanes that do and do not spawn tornado outbreaks: Offshore traits and their evolution at landfall Dale E. Unruh Jr., Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes |
| 2:45 PM | 11C.7 | Treating hurricanes as Mesoscale Convective Systems - A paradigm shift for WFO landfall operations Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and B. C. Hagemeyer and D. W. Sharp |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I Session 11D Convection III |
Chair: Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 1:15 PM | 11D.1 | WRF Model Simulations of tropical Cloud Systems observed during TWP-ICE Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and T. Lane, P. May, C. Jakob, S. Siems, and M. Manton |
| 1:30 PM | 11D.2 | A parameterization of convective organization Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Neale |
| 1:45 PM | 11D.3 | The Dissipation Efficiency of Moist Convection and Tropical Cyclones David M. Romps, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA |
| 2:00 PM | 11D.4 | A simple model of climatological rainfall over the Tropical oceans Larissa E. Back, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. S. Bretherton |
| 2:15 PM | 11D.5 | Semidiurnal variation in convection and atmospheric tides in an aquaplanet global cloud-resolving model (aquaplanet-NICAM) Kazuaki Yasunaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and T. Nasuno, H. Miura, Y. N. Takayabu, and M. Yoshizaki |
| 2:30 PM | 11D.6 | Performance of MOS statistical weather forecast guidance over the tropical western Pacific warm pool James C. Su, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:45 PM | 11D.7 | Moisture vertical structure and tropical deep convection Christopher E. Holloway, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF Session 12A Tropical Cyclogenesis IV: Prediction |
Chair: Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA
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| 3:30 PM | 12A.1 | The Experimental Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook: 2007 Results and Changes for 2008 Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. Lauer, C. Juckins, and C. Landsea |
| 3:45 PM | 12A.2 | Verification of the National Hurricane Center's Experimental Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL; and J. L. Franklin and J. R. Rhome |
| 4:00 PM | 12A.3 | An investigation of tropical cyclogenesis using QuikSCAT vector winds Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor and M. A. Bourassa |
| 4:15 PM | 12A.5 | Can detailed satellite analysis distinguish between developing and strong non-developing tropical disturbances? Brandon W. Kerns, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Zipser, C. Liu, and K. M. Greene |
| 4:30 PM | 12A.6 | Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part I: The Atlantic Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li |
| 4:45 PM | 12A.7 | Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part II: western North Pacific Bing Fu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E Session 12B Evaluating Hurricane Risk |
Chair: Michael Drayton, Risk Management Solution, Kaikohe New Zealand
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| 3:30 PM | 12B.1 | Interannual Predictions of Landfalling Atlantic Hurricanes Katie Coughlin, RMS, London, United Kingdom; and T. Laepple, E. Bellone, S. Jewson, B. Ward, and S. Khare |
| 3:45 PM | 12B.2 | Improvements to stochastic simulation of tropical cyclone tracks Jonas Rumpf, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany; and H. Weindl and V. Schmidt |
| 4:00 PM | 12B.3 | Hurricane Risk Evaluation Using a Stochastically Simulated Event Set of Tropical Cyclone Tracks Helga Weindl, Munich Reinsurance Company, 80796, Munich, Germany; and J. Rumpf, V. Schmidt, and A. Smolka |
| 4:15 PM | 12B.4 | A comparison of methods for estimating extreme hurricane winds Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner |
| 4:30 PM | 12B.5 | Return period cyclonic wind hazard in the Australian region Craig Arthur, Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia; and A. Schofield, R. Cechet, and L. A. Sanabria |
| 4:45 PM | 12B.6 | Rainfall Forecasts for Tropical Cyclones Worldwide Adam S. R. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders and J. T. Heming |
| 5:00 PM | 12B.7 | Roads or radar: Investing in infrastructure or improved forecasting in the face of tropical cyclone risk Seong Dae Kim, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. E. Bickel |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H Session 12C Tropical Cyclone Structure I: Rainbands and Precipitation |
Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
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| 3:30 PM | 12C.1 | Mini-supercells observed in an offshore outer rainband of Hurricane Ivan (2004) Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link |
| 3:45 PM | 12C.2 | The Response of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation to Environmental Forcing Matthew T. Wingo, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil |
| 4:00 PM | 12C.3 | Convective bursts during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005): Precipitation morphology and vortex evolution Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, A. J. Heymsfield, and G. M. Heymsfield |
| 4:15 PM | 12C.4 | How Do Outer Spiral Rainbands Affect Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity? Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI |
| 4:30 PM | 12C.5 | The microphysical processes of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan |
| 4:45 PM | 12C.6 | A study on the landfall typhoon with compact structure in Taiwan Yen Chu Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee |
| 5:00 PM | 12C.7 | Rainfall Mechanisms of a landfalling Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone: Bilis (2006) Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Gao and F. Zhang |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I Session 12D Convection IV |
Chair: Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
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| 3:30 PM | 12D.1 | Cycles of deep convection over central and southern Africa A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone and V. Levizzani |
| 3:45 PM | 12D.2 | On the 3-4 day periodic convection over East Africa Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and G. Kiladis |
| 4:00 PM | 12D.3 | Stereo photogrammetric analysis of orographic convection during the North American Monsoon Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and J. Hu and A. Razdan |
| | 12D.4 | An observational study of variation in convective features in Palau: transition from diurnal to 2-day periods Tomoki Ushiyama, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and H. Kubota, K. Yasunaga, R. Shirooka, Y. N. Takayabu, and T. Chuda |
| 4:15 PM | 12D.5 | Relationships between Gulf of California moisture surges and mesoscale convection derived from multi-year GOES imagery archives and North American Regional Reanalysis data John F. Mejia, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. W. Douglas |
| 4:30 PM | 12D.6 | Orographic precipitation in the tropics: Experiments in Dominica Ronald Smith, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and D. Kirshbaum and E. Regina |
| 4:45 PM | 12D.7 | Analysis of the diurnal cycle of convection during the genesis stage of tropical cyclones in preparation for TCS-08 in the Western Pacific region Louis L. Lussier III, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and P. Harr |
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| 6:30 PM-8:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, West Poolside Pavillion Session Conference Cookout |
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Thursday, 1 May 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF Session 13A Conveying Uncertainties in Tropical Cyclone Forecasts |
Chair: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 13A.1 | National Hurricane Center forecast verification James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL |
| 8:15 AM | 13A.2 | An analysis of along- and cross-track forecast errors and error biases for TCs in the Atlantic Basin Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer |
| 8:30 AM | 13A.3 | Tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities and their relationships with coastal watches and warnings issued by the National Hurricane Center Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and J. A. Knaff |
| 8:45 AM | 13A.4 | Including expressions of uncertainty within local forecast products during tropical cyclone wind situations Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, M. R. Volkmer, and G. Rader |
| 9:00 AM | 13A.5 | An examination of the logic within WFO software applications used to generate tropical cyclone impact graphics David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. R. Volkmer, P. Santos, and T. J. LeFebvre |
| 9:15 AM | 13A.6 | An interactive website designed to enhance public understanding of storm surge threats Robert Bright, NOAA/NWS, North Charleston, SC; and F. Alsheimer, B. L. Lindner, G. Miller, D. Timmons, and J. Johnson |
| 9:30 AM | 13A.7 | Perceptions of hurricane risk and the response to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang and J. Sippel |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms E Session 13B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones I: TC Analysis Applications |
Chair: Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 13B.1 | NRL tropical cyclone web page: A decade of evolution F. Joseph Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, K. Richardson, C. Mitrescu, C. R. Sampson, J. E. Kent, R. H. Wade, and S. D. Miller |
| 8:15 AM | 13B.2 | Using remotely-sensed observations to describe tropical cyclone formation and evolution Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ |
| 8:30 AM | 13B.3 | Satellite classification operations at the Tropical Prediction Center during the 2007 Hurricane Season with Comparison to Recent Trends Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and H. D. Cobb |
| 8:45 AM | 13B.4 | Comparison of airborne SFMR, Dvorak satellite and best track maximum surface wind estimates Peter G. Black, SAIC/Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and S. Mullins, C. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. L. Olander, and A. Burton |
| 9:00 AM | 13B.5 | Evaluation of the First Deployment of Operational SFMR Instruments on the Hurricane Hunter Fleet Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and M. Gooberlet, L. C. J. Talbot, E. W. Uhlhorn, and P. G. Black |
| 9:15 AM | 13B.6 | Examination of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on hurricanes using data from TRMM, MODIS, and AIRS Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. L. Shie |
| 9:30 AM | 13B.6 | Structure and evolution of the unnamed U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone of 2006 Zachary Gruskin, NOAA/AOML/HRD, southwest ranches, FL |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms H Session 13C Tropical Cyclone Structure II: Two-Dimensional Wind Field |
Chair: Eric Uhlhorn, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 13C.1 | The Distribution of Surface Winds In Pacific Typhoons Ryan Ellis, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger |
| 8:15 AM | 13C.2 | Environmental Influence on Tropical Cyclone Size Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and K. A. Hill |
| 8:30 AM | 13C.3 | Examining Tropical Cyclone Structure Variability using H*Wind Analyses Robert A. Stenger, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry |
| 8:45 AM | 13C.4 | Katrina sustained wind speeds observed along the Mississippi coast Miles B. Lawrence, Early Alert and Kevin Kennedy and Associates, Miami, FL; and B. R. Jarvinen and J. M. Pelissier |
| 9:00 AM | 13C.4 | Case study of hurricane Wilma's wind structure evolution using HWRF Katherine S. Maclay, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO |
| 9:15 AM | 13C.5 | A rexamination of the relationship between central pressure and maximum sustained wind speed Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH |
| 9:30 AM | 13C.6 | A revised hurricane pressure-wind model Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms I Session 13D Rainfall and Flooding |
Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, MD
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| 8:00 AM | 13D.1 | Mesoscale precursors to the Hurricane Gaston flooding event as diagnosed from observations and numerical simulations Zachary G. Brown, Kentucky Mesonet, Bowling Green, KY; and M. L. Kaplan and Y. L. Lin |
| 8:15 AM | 13D.2 | Effects of Appalachian topography on precipitation from landfalling hurricanes Steven Harville, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC |
| 8:30 AM | 13D.3 | Modeling Inland Flooding Due to Tropical Cyclones Qianhong Tang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie |
| 8:45 AM | 13D.4 | The impact of tropical cyclone remnants on the rainfall of the North American Southwest region Elizabeth Ritchie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Johnson, S. White, and D. S. Gutzler |
| 9:00 AM | 13D.5 | Performance of FSU multimodels rainfall forecast over the tropics during June-Sep 2007 Akhilesh Kumar Mishra, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti |
| 9:15 AM | 13D.6 | 10-year Climatology of Tropical Rainfall Characteristics from TRMM Data Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
| | 13D.7 | Comparison of TRMM and CMORPH Precipitation Estimates with Rain Gauge Data from China when affected by tropical cyclones Zifeng Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and H. Yu and C. Qian |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF Session 14A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change I: Observational and Theoretical Studies |
Chair: Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
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| 10:15 AM | 14A.1 | A critique of Emanuel's hurricane model and potential intensity theory Roger K. Smith, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and S. Vogl |
| 10:30 AM | 14A.2 | Estimating the atmospheric and SST memory of tropical cyclones Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson |
| 10:45 AM | 14A.3 | Is tropical cyclone intensity change related to the strength of its convective precipitation features? Using 9 years of TRMM data to find an answer Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser |
| 11:00 AM | 14A.4 | A Statistical Analysis of JTWC NWPAC Intensity Trends Stephen J. Barlow, 17th Operational Weather Squadron/Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI |
| | 14A.5 | An Observational Study of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Atlantic Zhihua Zeng, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and L. Chen and Y. Wang |
| 11:15 AM | 14A.6 | A retrospective study of the Interaction of the Saharan Air Layer with Atlantic basin tropical cyclones Evan B. Forde, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion |
| 11:30 AM | 14A.7 | Verification of deterministic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Moving beyond mean absolute error Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E Session 14B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones II: Passive Microwave |
Chair: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA
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| 10:15 AM | 14B.1 | Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall characteristics Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston |
| 10:30 AM | 14B.2 | Tropical cyclone environmental vertical wind shear analysis using a microwave sounder Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff and M. DeMaria |
| 10:45 AM | 14B.3 | Hurricane analysis with microwave sounder observations Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA |
| 11:00 AM | 14B.4 | The dependence of the microwave emissivity of the ocean on hurricane force wind speed Christopher S. Ruf, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. M. Mims and C. C. Hennon |
| 11:15 AM | 14B.5 | Improved microwave remote sensing of hurricane wind speed and rain rates using the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD) Salem El-Nimri, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and S. Al-Sweiss, R. Amarin, W. L. Jones, and C. S. Ruf |
| 11:30 AM | 14B.6 | Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones Ian Stuart Adams, NRL, Washington, DC; and M. H. Bettenhausen and P. W. Gaiser |
| 11:45 AM | 14B.7 | Potential application of airborne passive microwave observations for monitoring inland flooding caused by tropical cyclones Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and C. D. Radley and F. J. LaFontaine |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms H Session 14C Tropical Cyclone Structure III: Inner Core |
Chair: Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 14C.1 | Hurricane Vortices in Baroclinic Environments Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Jones |
| 10:30 AM | 14C.2 | Aspects of chaotic mixing in the hurricane inner-core Eric Hendricks, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert |
| 10:45 AM | 14C.3 | Rapid development of the tropical cyclone warm core Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. L. Vigh |
| 11:00 AM | 14C.4 | The evolution of thermodynamic structures in the inner core of Humberto (2001) Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. Barnes |
| 11:15 AM | 14C.5 | Internal structure of Hurricane Isabel at landfall Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff |
| 11:30 AM | 14C.6 | Core convection in Hurricane Frances (2004) Jaclyn D. Frank, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 11:45 AM | 14C.7 | Effect of baroclinicity on vortex axisymmetrization Jiayi Peng, Internatinal Pacific Research Center,SOEST,University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms I Session 14D Convectively Coupled Waves I |
Chair: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 10:15 AM | 14D.1 | Modulation of diurnal convection by convectively coupled equatorial waves George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. N. Tulich |
| 10:30 AM | 14D.2 | Convectively-coupled gravity wave disturbances in the Tropics Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis |
| 10:45 AM | 14D.3 | Eastward-moving cloud clusters in a super cloud cluster in January 2007 Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan |
| 11:00 AM | 14D.4 | Analysis of convectively coupled Kelvin waves in 21 WCRP CMIP3 models Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. Haertel and G. N. Kiladis |
| 11:15 AM | 14D.5 | Synoptic-scale disturbances embedded in the Madden-Julian Oscillation compared under the different ENSO phases Ayako Seiki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, H. Kubota, H. Yamada, K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, and M. Yoshizaki |
| 11:30 AM | 14D.6 | Statistical representation of equatorial waves and tropical instability waves in the Pacific Ocean Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Kiladis and P. E. Roundy |
| 11:45 AM | 14D.7 | A revised method of presenting wavenumber-frequency power spectrum diagrams Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Yang and X. Fu |
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| 12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Thursday 2008 Lunch Break |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF Session 15A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II: Rapid Intensification |
Chair: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 15A.1 | Rapid tropical cyclone transitions to major hurricane intensity: structural evolution of infrared imagery John A. Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO |
| 1:30 PM | 15A.2 | Signs of Rapid Intensification as Depicted in the Microwave Imagery Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam |
| 1:45 PM | 15A.3 | “Optimal” Conditions for Rapid Intensifications of Tropical Cyclones with Limited Factors Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang and M. Kafatos |
| 2:00 PM | 15A.4 | Vortical hot towers in a rapidly intensifying mature hurricane: observations and implications Kelly C. Smith, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin |
| 2:15 PM | 15A.5 | The rapid intensification of Guillermo (1997) Gary M. Barnes, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Sitkowski |
| 2:30 PM | 15A.6 | Thermodynamic precursors to rapidly intensifying Atlantic Basin hurricanes Richard G. Henning, 46th Weather Squadron, Eglin AFB, FL |
| 2:45 PM | 15A.7 | A revised rapid intensification index for the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E Session 15B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones III: Satellite-Derived Ocean Surface Winds |
Chair: Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
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| 1:15 PM | 15B.1 | The impact of QuikSCAT ocean surface vector wind retrievals in tropical cyclone analysis at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center Michael J. Brennan, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and R. D. Knabb and P. Chang |
| 1:30 PM | 15B.2 | Statistical analysis of surface wind distribution of typhoons on western North Pacific observed by scatterometer for 9 years Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa and M. Ueno |
| 1:45 PM | 15B.3 | Q-Winds satellite hurricane wind retrievals and H*Wind comparisons Pet Laupattarakasem, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and W. L. Jones, C. C. Hennon, P. Black, J. Allard, and A. Harless |
| 2:00 PM | 15B.4 | Preliminary assessment of the utility of ASCAT wind vector retrievals at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center R. D. Knabb; and P. S. Chang, Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, and Z. Jelenak |
| 2:15 PM | 15B.5 | Simulation of the impact of new ocean surface wind measurements on H*Wind analyses Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, R. Hood, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn |
| 2:30 PM | 15B.6 | High Acccuracy Ocean Surface Winds from SAR Imagery Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and H. Shen and Y. He |
| 2:45 PM | 15B.7 | XOVWM: the Next-Generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds Mission E. Rodriguez, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and B. W. Stiles, S. L. Durden, R. S. Dunbar, D. Esteban-Fernandez, P. S. Chang, Z. Jelenak, and S. Veleva |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms H Session 15C Tropical Cyclone Structure IV: Vertical Structure |
Chair: David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL
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| 1:15 PM | 15C.1 | Relationship betwen tropical cyclone size and diabatic heating profile Masahiro Sawada, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and T. Iwasaki |
| 1:30 PM | 15C.2 | Extreme helicity and intense convective towers in Hurricane Bonnie (1998) John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro |
| 1:45 PM | 15C.3 | Vertical Profiles of Mean and Perturbation Structure of the Hurricane Boundary Layer from the GPS dropsondes Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan and P. G. Black |
| 2:00 PM | 15C.4 | Upshear-downshear variations in tropical cyclones from dropsondes Kay L. Shelton, SUNY, Albany, NY |
| 2:15 PM | 15C.5 | Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Intensity and Rainfall Asymmetries of Strong Tropical Storm Bilis (2006) Jinhua Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Techonology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Tan |
| 2:30 PM | 15C.6 | Moist vortex resiliency in vertical shear flow Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. L. Young and M. D. Eastin |
| 2:45 PM | 15C.7 | The vertical structure of tangential winds in tropical cyclones: theory, observations, and models Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan |
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| 1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms I Session 15D Convectively Coupled Waves II |
Chair: George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
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| 1:15 PM | 15D.1 | Gravity waves in shear and implications for organized convection Samuel N. Stechmann, New York University, New York, NY; and A. J. Majda and B. Khouider |
| 1:30 PM | 15D.2 | Convectively coupled waves in a simple multi-cloud model on a beta-plane Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. J. Majda |
| 1:45 PM | 15D.3 | Simulating large scale tropical waves Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and Z. Fuchs |
| 2:00 PM | 15D.4 | Diagnosing MJO and convection behaviour in SP-CAM and CAM simulation Hongyan Zhu, BMRC, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and H. H. Hendon and C. Jacob |
| 2:15 PM | 15D.5 | African easterly wave dynamics in a full-physics numerical model Gareth J. Berry, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft |
| 2:30 PM | 15D.6 | A toy model of the instability in the equatorially trapped convectively coupled waves Joseph Allan Andersen, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Z. Kuang |
| 2:45 PM | 15D.7 | Synoptic wave perturbations and convective cystems over equatorial Africa Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and J. P. Duvel |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Formal Poster Viewing |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2A Poster Session Hurricanes and Climate |
| | P2A.1 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| | P2A.1 | Typhoon Landfall Variations in East China during the Last 500 years Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and M. Xu |
| | P2A.2 | Relationship of the Atlantic Meridional Mode with Atlantic hurricane tracks Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and J. P. Kossin |
| | P2A.3 | A very fine-resolution relocatable grid tropical cyclone climate model Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen, J. L. McGregor, and M. Stirling |
| | P2A.4 | Climatology of tropical cyclones in WRF-NRCM simulations Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and G. J. Holland |
| | P2A.5 | Daily to Seasonal Higher Latitude North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Threat Prediction Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart |
| | P2A.6 | Climate Variation and Prediction of Rapid Intensification Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and X. Zhou |
| | P2A.7 | Climate change and Caribbean hurricanes Mark Jury, University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez, Mayaguez, PR |
| | P2A.8 | Enso signatures in landfalling Tropical Cyclones along the western Gulf of Mexico Melvin F. Martin Jr., NOAA/NWS, Brownsville, TX; and K. S. Lerman |
| | P2A.9 | The inability of winter to forget the memory of tropical cyclones Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart |
| | P2A.10 | The interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the Southern South China Sea Zabani Md. Zuki, Malaysian Meteorological Service; and G. L. Limpert and A. R. Lupo |
| | P2A.11 | Impact of tropical cyclones on interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific Hisayuki Kubota, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and B. Wang |
| | P2A.12 | Data stewardship of global tropical cyclone best tracks Michael C. Kruk, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp, D. H. Levinson, and J. P. Kossin |
| | P2A.13 | On the Impacts of Climate Change on Midlatitude North Atlantic Landfalling Cyclones Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Yao and W. Zhang |
| | P2A.14 | Analysis of environmental factors associated with tropical cyclone activity in a future climate Kevin Talgo, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer |
| | P2A.16 | An analysis of tropical cyclone activity in a warmer climate: results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model Enrico Scoccimarro, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi and A. Navarra |
| | P2A.15 | The impact of ENSO on tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific using very high resolution AGCM Sung-Bin Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and D. Kim and I. S. Kang |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2B Poster Session Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones |
| | P2B.1 | An examination of COSMIC in the tropical cyclone environment Christopher M. Hill, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, H. Karan, and Y. Lau |
| | P2B.2 | Impact of GPS Radio occultation observations on ensemble analyses and forecasts of tropical Storms Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder |
| | P2B.3 | Improvement of WSR-88D VAD Winds: Cyclonic Wind Fields Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| | P2B.4 | Rainfall characteristics of tropical cyclones and their contributions to the total rain analyzed with TRMM satellite data Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and C. Yokoyama |
| | P2B.5 | Research studies in progress at RSMC La Réunion : microwave imagery database related on tropical cyclones ; estimation of tropical cyclone genesis probability over the south-west indian ocean with ECMWF ensemble prediction forecast Anne-Claire Fontan, METEO-FRANCE, Sainte-Clotilde, La Reunion, France; and O. Cabanes |
| | P2B.6 | O2-band differential absorption radar for sea level pressure barometry: Improvements in hurricane predictions Bing Lin, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and Q. Min, Y. Hu, S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, and D. Fralick |
| | P2B.7 | Assessment of Objective Satellite-Based Techniques as Viable Alternatives to Subjective Dvorak Estimates Gregory M. Gallina, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Spring, MD; and M. Turk |
| | P2B.8 | The new CIMSS tropical cyclone web site: A portal to advances in satellite analysis Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI |
| | P2B.9 | Using airborne Doppler radar to examine eyewall momentum and vorticity budgets Jessica L. Fieux, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor |
| | P2B.10 | Improved microwave radiometric imaging of surface wind speed dynamics in the hurricane eye-wall Ruba Amarin, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and C. S. Ruf, L. Jones, and S. S. Chen |
| | P2B.11 | Tropical cyclone intensity forecasting using a satellite-based total precipitable water product Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and J. Hawkins, J. P. Dunion, and D. K. Smith |
| | P2B.12 | Automatic quality control and analysis of airborne Doppler data: real-time applications, and automatically post-processed analyses for research John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge and N. F. Griffin |
| | P2B.13 | Three-dimensional structure of Hurricane Rita boundary layer from the IWRAP radar Sylvie Lorsolo, CIMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge, P. Black, R. F. Contreras, J. Carswell, S. J. Frasier, P. Chang, and D. Fernandez |
| | P2B.14 | Comparing Radar-Observed Hurricane Inner-Core Structure with that from Model-Prediction with and without Radar Data Assimilation Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou |
| | P2B.15 | A Technique for Anticipating Initial Rapid Increases in Intensity in Tropical Cyclones, Using 37 gHz Microwave Imagery Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN |
| | P2B.16 | Uncertainty in Scatterometer-Derived Vorticity Kelly McBeth, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, P. D. Reasor, and P. Cunningham |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2C Poster Session Tropical Cyclogenesis |
| | P2C.1 | What triggers tropical cyclogenesis off the West African coast? Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang |
| | P2C.2 | Hurricane Formation in Diabatic Ekman Turbulence David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and T. J. Dunkerton |
| | P2C.3 | Mesoscale and convective-scale characteristics of an incipient tropical depression observed over the western North Pacific Hiroyuki Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, M. Katsumata, T. Ushiyama, Q. Moteki, B. Geng, K. Yoneyama, H. Uyeda, K. Gohara, and K. Bessho |
| | P2C.4 | An objective algorithm for the identification of convective tropical cloud clusters in geostationary infrared imagery Chip N. Helms, UNC Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. C. Hennon and K. R. Knapp |
| | P2C.5 | An analysis of Convection-SAL Interaction to the NAMMA 2006 Field Campaign and the Relationship to Tropical Cyclogenesis Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins |
| | P2C.6 | Transition from an Eastern Pacific Upper-Level Mixed Rossby-Gravity Wave to a Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang |
| | P2C.7 | The 2004 merger of tropical storm Lisa and an african eastery wave: an example of a Fujiwhara interaction in the central tropical Atlantic Scott Stripling, NOAA/NWS, Carolina, PR; and G. J. Berry |
| | P2C.8 | Lagrangian boundaries and flow visualization of the genesis of Hurricane Felix (2007) Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton |
| | P2C.9 | A first look at the genesis of Typhoon Manyi (2007) during the TCS-08 Dry Run Michael T. Montgomery, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Z. Wang and T. J. Dunkerton |
| | P2C.10 | Modulation of African waves from the advection of upper level moisture from the Tropical Easterly Jet Mrinal K. Biswas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti |
| | P2C.11 | The influence of desertic aerosols on tropical cyclones E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis and E. Williams |
| | P2C.12 | Hurrcane genesis & intensification in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and the North Atlantic Ocean William Paul Sokeland, ANL, Oakland City, IN |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2D Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change |
| | P2D.1 | Impact of rain rate initialization, cloud microphysics and angular momentum torques on hurricane intensity Sandeep Pattnaik, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti |
| | P2D.2 | Idealized numerical study of tropical cyclone intensification on a beta-plane Sang Van Nguyen, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. Smith and M. T. Montgomery |
| | P2D.3 | Guidance for Rapid Changes in Hurricane Intensity from Inner Core Data Sets and Multiple Diagnostic Approaches Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, L. Stefanova, A. Martin, B. A . Schenkel, and A. Hayes |
| | P2D.4 | Hurricane control Brian Sandler, none, West Bloomfield, MI |
| | P2D.5 | Simulated and observed updrafts and downdrafts in Hurricane Dennis (2005): Relationship to intensity Eric C. Meyers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and M. S. Gilmore |
| | P2D.6 | Rapid intensification of a tropical hurricane as self-organized development of open dissipative system Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia |
| | P2D.7 | Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensity to the Representation of Ice Microphysics Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang |
| | P2D.8 | The modulation of tropical cyclone structure and intensity by evolving outflow layer environmental flow Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and G. J. Tripoli and M. C. Morgan |
| | P2D.9 | A bottom-up route of tropical cyclone intensity change in vertical wind shear Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang |
| | P2D.10 | Do gravity waves transport angular momentum away from tropical cyclones? Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2E Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Observations |
| | P2E.1 | GPS Dropwindsonde observations of tropical cyclone low-level wind maxima Ian M. Giammanco, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder, M. D. Powell, and D. A. Smith |
| | P2E.1 | The Reanalysis of the Tropical Cyclones Intensity in the South Pacific during the 1982-1983 El Nino Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and L. Chalonge, M. Reghezza, and M. Augendre |
| | P2E.2 | The Aeroclipper: A new device to explore convective systems and cyclones Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and C. Basdevant, H. Bellenger, G. Reverdin, J. Vialard, and A. Vargas |
| | P2E.3 | Images of Katrina (2005) below the cloud Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and B. A. Walter, W. A. Perrie, D. G. Long, C. Nie, J. A. Zhang, P. G. Black, and R. F. Rogers |
| | P2E.4 | An extreme event during a research flight in Hurricane Felix Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers, E. Uhlhorn, and J. Gamache |
| | P2E.5 | The JPL tropical cyclone information system: design and implementation Brian W. Knosp, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, Y. Chao, V. T. Dang, M. Garay, Z. S. Haddad, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, B. H. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, K. J. Park, W. L. Poulsen, H. Su, D. G. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. K. Willis, and D. L. Wu |
| | P2E.6 | Scale Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variability in Observations of Tropical Cyclones Sam Trahan, Physics Dept, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. C. Sparling, J. Halverson, and J. Bacmeister |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2F Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Structure |
| | P2F.1 | A theory on the expansion of Hurricane Katrina's wind field Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. M. Hill, Y. Lau, Y. Li, and J. Corbin |
| | P2F.2 | Simulating the Structure of Hurricane Katrina Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell |
| | P2F.3 | Formula of spiral cloud-rain bands of a tropical cyclone Boris S. Yurchak, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD |
| | P2F.4 | Evolving low-wavenumber flows and the distribution of deep eyewall convection during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997) Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and P. D. Reasor |
| | P2F.5 | Simulation and parameterization of large turbulent eddy transport in the hurricane boundary layer Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL |
| | P2F.6 | Asymptotic analysis of the motion and structure of sheared mesoscale vortices Rupert Klein, Freie Universität Berlin (FUB), 14195 Berlin, Germany; and E. Mikusky, A. Owinoh, and P. Marschalik |
| | P2F.7 | Effects of surface exchange coefficients for high wind speeds on typhoon structure Yoshiaki Miyamoto, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Takemi |
| | P2F.8 | Eliassen's linear model for a vortex boundary layer applied to a hurricane Stefanie Vogl, University of Munich, Munich, Germany |
| | P2F.9 | Spatial and statistical distribution of convective and stratiform clouds in the gyre-pouch of incipient tropical cyclones Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery, Z. Wang, and K. J. Tory |
| | P2F.10 | Diagnosing hurricane mixing properties by Lagrangian techniques Blake Rutherford, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. Danglemayr and J. Persing |
| | P2F.11 | Observations of the structure and evolution of surface and flight-level wind asymmetries in Hurricane Rita (2005) Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn |
| | P2F.12 | Simulations and observations of extreme low-level updrafts in Hurricane Isabel Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and S. D. Aberson |
| | P2F.13 | The distribution of helicity and intense convection in tropical cyclones Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Molinari, D. Vollaro, W. Wang, and J. M. Done |
| | P2F.14 | Using Lagrangian boundary concepts to investigate environmental interaction of tropical cyclones in vertical shear Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang |
| | P2F.15 | On the breakdown of a primary spiral rainband in Typhoon Haitang (2005) before and after its landfall Zhiying Ding, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Y. Wang |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2G Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Track |
| | P2G.1 | Structural Asymmetries and Track Changes of Tropical Cyclones during Landfall: Beta-Plane Simulations K.C. Szeto, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan |
| | P2G.2 | The effects of sea-surface temperature and static stability on WRF simulated intensity and track of selected 2005 Atlantic Hurricanes Stanley D. Gedzelman, City College of New York, New York, NY; and K. Y. Kong |
| | P2G.3 | Track and Structural Changes Associated with Tropical Cyclone Making Landfall Near a River Delta Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan |
| | P2G.4 | Hurricane deflection by sea surface temperature anomalies M.E. McCulloch, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and J. T. Heming and J. D. Stark |
| | P2G.5 | Tropical cyclone steering as a potential vorticity advection process: the role of cumulus parameterizations in defining an optimum steering column Brett Thomas Hoover, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD Poster Session 2H Poster Session Tropical Cyclones at Landfall |
| | P2H.1 | Wind versus Water Damage to Buildings: A Meteorological Perspective Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX |
| | P2H.2 | Examination of the coastal transition zone of hurricane frances Brian D. Hirth, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder |
| | P2H.3 | Tree damage in Quintana Roo, Mexico caused by Hurricane Dean (2007) Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL |
| | P2H.4 | Distribution of severe weather indices in landfalling numerically simulated hurricanes Christina Holt, NWC REU & CASA, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball |
| | P2H.5 | The effectiveness of measured and derived tropical cyclone parameters in predicting coastal damage Ronald, L. Schumann III, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. G. Blackwell and S. Kimball |
| | P2H.6 | Microphysical and dynamical characteristics in the stratiform region of Tropical Storm Gabrielle at landfall Dong-Kyun Kim, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp |
| | P2H.7 | Numerical simulations of supercell tornadogenesis associated with Typhoon Shanshan (2006) Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan |
| | P2H.8 | Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part I: Case studies from 2006 and 2007 Luis Farfan, CICESE, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California, Mexico; and R. Romero-Centeno, G. B. Raga, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo |
| | P2H.9 | Verification of quantitative precipitation forecast guidance from NWP models and the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center for 2005–2007 tropical cyclones with U.S. rainfall impacts Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Clark and M. Klein |
| | P2H.10 | Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part II: WRF simulations of John and Paul (2006) D. Pozo, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and G. B. Raga, L. Farfan, R. Romero-Centeno, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo |
| | P2H.11 | Simulations of Near-Ground Hurricane Winds Influenced by Built Structures Christopher D. Karstens, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus |
| | P2H.12 | A numerical modeling investigation of the impact of coastal roughness and moisture availability on the 10-meter horizontal wind field of a landfalling hurricane Javier Vazquez, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball |
| | P2H.13 | Estimates of turbulence dissipation rate from high frequency surface wind observations for landfalling tropical cyclones Paul Ruscher, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and W. Maxham |
| | P2H.14 | WSR-88D analysis of tornadic and nontornadic deep convection in landfalling tropical cyclone rainbands Michael C. Link, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin |
| | P2H.15 | An analysis of the of the mean decay rate and decay abnormalities of tropical cyclones over land in the North Atlantic Basin Matt Bloemer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart |
| | P2H.16 | Frequency of collapsing precipitation cores within the eyewalls of U.S. landfalling hurricanes (1994-2007) Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. M. Medlin |
| | P2H.17 | Landfall forecast biases for Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclones Lance Wood, NOAA, Dickinson, TX |
| | P2H.18 | The Hurricane Severity Index – A destructive potential rating system for tropical cyclones Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers |
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| 7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E Session 16 Interactions between Tropical Cyclones and Large Scale Patterns |
Moderator: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 7:00 PM | 16.1 | What role do tropical cyclones play in the global circulation? William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA |
| 7:15 PM | 16.2 | The Atlantic meridional mode: predictability, dynamics, and impacts on tropical cyclones Daniel J. Vimont, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin and D. Smirnov |
| 7:30 PM | 16.3 | Examining the modulation of tropical cyclones by the MJO using a genesis potential index Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. C. Wheeler and A. H. Sobel |
| 7:45 PM | 16.4 | Flooding in southern Mexico, tropical cyclone Noel and intense European storms in late October and early November 2007: Linked weather systems? Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira |
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Friday, 2 May 2008 |
| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms GF Session 17A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III: Statistical-Dynamical Forecast Methods |
Chair: John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 8:00 AM | 17A.1 | Merging statistical and dynamical forecasts for hurricane prediction Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD |
| 8:15 AM | 17A.2 | A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity evolution Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO |
| | 17A.3 | A Statistical Intensity Prediction Scheme for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Peiyan Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and H. Yu |
| 8:30 AM | 17A.4 | A simple parameterization of sea surface cooling beneath a hurricane inner core Andrea Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, I. Ginis, and B. Thomas |
| 8:45 AM | 17A.5 | The use of a SHIPS ensemble for probabilistic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. DeMaria |
| 9:00 AM | 17A.6 | Examination of environmental characteristics associated with secondary eyewall formation and their implications on intensity forecasts Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin |
| 9:15 AM | 17A.7 | Evaluating a revised 24-hour Atlantic statistical hurricane intensification model with operational numerical models Kevin T. Law, Marshall University, Huntington, WV |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E Session 17B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones IV: Radar |
Chair: Colin McAdie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
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| 8:00 AM | 17B.1 | Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida Philip D. Hayes, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. Hart |
| 8:15 AM | 17B.2 | A study of Doppler radar winds in Hurricane Wilma (2005) Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Hebert, S. T. Murillo, and M. D. Powell |
| 8:30 AM | 17B.3 | Determination of the circulation center and inner core evolution of Hurricane Danny (1997) using the GBVTD-simplex algorithm Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and W. C. Lee, G. M. Barnes, M. M. Bell, and F. D. Marks |
| 8:45 AM | 17B.4 | Development of mobile dual-polarimetric radars for hurricane studies Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Zahrai |
| 9:00 AM | 17B.5 | Investigating the Kinematic and Thermodynamic Environment of a Landfalling Stratiform Rainband using Radar and Ground-Based Remote Sensing Michael D. Williams, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp |
| 9:15 AM | 17B.6 | The NEXRAD in SPACE: Potential Improvements to Hurricane Analysis and Prediction Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and H. Fang, Z. S. Haddad, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks, Y. Ramat-Sammi, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and C. Velden |
| 9:30 AM | 17B.7 | The three-dimensional reflectivity structure of Atlantic hurricanes as seen by the TRMM precipitation radar Deanna A. Hence, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms H Session 17C Tropical Cyclone Structure V: Eye and Eyewall Structure |
Chair: Michael T. Montgomery, NPS, Monterey, CA
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| 8:00 AM | 17C.1 | Does friction initiate hurricane eye formation? Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado |
| 8:15 AM | 17C.2 | Eyewall evolution for typhoons crossed the terrains Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu |
| 8:30 AM | 17C.3 | Temporal and spatial evolution of mesovortices in the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Isabel (2003) Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Gruskin |
| 8:45 AM | 17C.4 | Thermodynamic structure and evolution of the low level eye of Hurricane Lili (2002) Paul A. Fuentes, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes |
| 9:00 AM | 17C.5 | Structure of the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Hugo (1989) Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery and R. W. Burpee |
| 9:15 AM | 17C.6 | Energetics of Hurricane Bonnie (1998) Wallace Hogsett, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang |
| 9:30 AM | 17C.7 | Pinhole eyes in tropical cyclones Kate D. Musgrave, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert and C. A. Davis |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms I Session 17D Monsoons I |
Chair: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
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| 8:00 AM | 17D.1 | Annual intensification of the Somali jet in a quasi-equilibrium framework: Observational composites William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA |
| 8:15 AM | 17D.2 | Seasonality of recession time and lag response to precipitation of the Ankobra and Pra Rivers in Ghana, West Africa Michael M. Tanu, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. I. Mohr |
| 8:30 AM | 17D.3 | Western North Pacific Monsoon Depression Formation and Structure Jodi Beattie, Department of Physics, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. L. Elsberry |
| 8:45 AM | 17D.4 | Collaboration of intraseasonal oscillation and synoptic-scale disturbances in the South China Sea summer monsoon onset Hang Wai Tong, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan |
| 9:00 AM | 17D.5 | A linkage between subtropical SST dipole event in southern Indian Ocean and ENSO developing Hongming Yan, Yunan Climate Center, Kunming, China, Kunming, China; and W. Zhou |
| 9:15 AM | 17D.6 | Case study on internal structure of westward migratory cloud systems with diurnal cycle observed in the west Sumatera during HARIMAU2006 campaign Namiko Sakurai, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), yokosuka, Japan; and S. Mori, M. Kawashima, Y. Fujiyoshi, J. I. Hamada, H. Fudeyasu, Y. Tabata, F. Syamsudin, M. D. Yamanaka, and J. Matsumoto |
| 9:30 AM | 17D.7 | The Diurnal Cycle of Convection in NAME: Observations Versus Reanalysis Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson |
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| 9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Friday 2008, Palms ABCD Coffee Break |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms GF Session 18A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change IV: Modeling Studies |
Chair: Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 18A.1 | The Alignment and Intensification of Tropical Cyclone under a Sheared Environment Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang |
| 10:30 AM | 18A.2 | Prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclones with the Advanced Hurricane WRF (AHW) model Jimy Dudhia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Done, W. Wang, Y. Chen, Q. Xiao, C. Davis, G. Holland, R. Rotunno, and R. Torn |
| | 18A.3 | Evaluating the performance of high-resolution WRF-ARW simulations on TC intensity change during SAL outbreaks Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao |
| 10:45 AM | 18A.4 | Superintensity evaluation in dry and moist hurricanes Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis |
| 11:00 AM | 18A.5 | Isolating surface flux influences on simulated hurricane intensity John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery |
| 11:15 AM | 18A.6 | Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using an Air-Sea-Wave Coupled Prediction System Lian Xie, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and B. Liu, X. Zhang, S. Peng, and H. Liu |
| 11:30 AM | 18A.7 | The maximum intensity of hurricanes in axisymmetric numerical models George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno |
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| 10:15 AM-11:00 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E Session 18B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones V: Lightning Detection |
Chair: Ronald L. Holle, (Lightning) Vaisala, Tucson, AZ
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| 10:15 AM | 18B.1 | The Morphology of Eyewall Lightning Outbreaks in Two Category Five Hurricanes Kirt A. Squires, NOAA/NWS, Ronkonkoma, NY; and S. Businger |
| 10:30 AM | 18B.2 | Using remotely sensed data to discriminate tropical cyclogenesis Lesley A. Leary, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie |
| 10:45 AM | 18B.3 | Operational applications of long range lightning data at the National Hurricane Center Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and J. Cangialosi, C. Lauer, N. W. Demetriades, and R. L. Holle |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms H Session 18C Tropical Cyclone Structure VI: Concentric Eyewalls |
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
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| 10:15 AM | 18C.1 | Atlantic reconnaissance vortex message climatology and composites and their use in characterizing eyewall cycles David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart |
| 10:30 AM | 18C.2 | The Role of Vortex Rossby Wave Dynamics on the Early Stage of Concentric Eyewall Formation Yosvany H. Martinez, Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Brunet and M. K. Yau |
| 10:45 AM | 18C.3 | Some dynamical aspects of tropical cyclone concentric eyewalls Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. H. Schubert and J. P. Kossin |
| 11:00 AM | 18C.4 | Interaction Between Two Concentric Potential Vorticity Rings – Implications to the Evolution of Hurricane Concentric Eyewall Jia Hu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii at Manoa,, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang |
| 11:15 AM | 18C.5 | Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery |
| 11:30 AM | 18C.6 | Hurricane Katrina's eyewall replacement cycle over the northern Gulf and accompanying double eyewalls at landfall: A key to the storm's huge size and devastating impact over a three-state coastal region Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and A. Wimmers, C. Velden, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and B. Jelley |
| 11:45 AM | 18C.7 | Western north Pacific typhoons with concentric eyewalls H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang |
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| 10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms I Session 18D Monsoons II |
Chair: William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA
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| 10:15 AM | 18D.1 | An early winter cooling in East Asia in a global warming scenario Wen Zhou, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and K. Wei |
| 10:30 AM | 18D.2 | Improving Forecasts of Asian Monsoon Rainfall Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Refractivity Observations Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, G. X. Wu, C. Snyder, and Y. Chen |
| 10:45 AM | 18D.3 | Evaluation of land-atmosphere interactions in models of the North American Monsoon Patrick John Kelly, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL |
| 11:00 AM | 18D.4 | The aerosol- and water vapor-related variability of precipitation in the West Africa Monsoon Jingfeng Huang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang and J. M. Prospero |
| 11:15 AM | 18D.5 | Concept and Changes of the Global Monsoon Precipitation Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Q. Ding and J. Liu |
| 11:30 AM | 18D.6 | Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: I. Simulations with an aquaplanet GCM Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider |
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| 11:00 AM-11:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E Session 18E Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones VI: Altimetry |
Chair: Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA
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| 11:00 AM | 18E.1 | Validation and Application of Altimetry-derived Upper Ocean Thermal Structure in the Western North Pacific Ocean for Typhoon Intensity Forecast Iam Fei Pun, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. -. I. Lin, C. R. Wu, D. S. Ko, and W. T. Liu |
| 11:15 AM | 18E.2 | Storm surge measurement with an airborne scanning radar altimeter Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, W. B. Krabill, W. A. Shaffer, S. R. Baig, M. Peng, L. J. Pietrafesa, A. W. Garcia, F. D. Marks, P. G. Black, J. Sonntag, and B. D. Beckley |
| 11:30 AM | 18E.3 | Results of First Flight Tests of an Operational Airborne Scanning Radar Altimeter Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and E. J. Walsh and P. G. Black |
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| 12:00 PM, Friday 2008 Conference Ends |
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