28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 27 April 2008
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday 2008, Palms Foyer
Conference Registration
 
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday 2008, Azalea AB
Speaker Ready Room and Email Stations (Open Monday thru Friday During Conference Hours)
 
Monday, 28 April 2008
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday 2008, Palms Foyer
Conference Registration Continues through Friday May 2nd
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday 2008, Palms E
Session 1 Opening General Session
Chairs: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Frank D. Marks, Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM1.1Dr. Yoshio Kurihara's contribution to modeling, the GFDL hurricane model and its place in the current FSU multimodel superensemble   wrf recording
T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
8:45 AM1.2Yoshio Kurihara: His contributions to tropical meteorological research and forecasting through numerical modeling  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert E. Tuleya, SAIC@Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP, Norfolk, VA; and M. A. Bender and I. Ginis
9:00 AM1.3Tropical Cyclone Response to Periodic Forcing   wrf recording
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
9:15 AM1.4Revisiting the physics of tropical cyclone intensification in three dimensions   wrf recording
Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School and NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith and S. V. Nguyen
9:30 AM1.5Bob Burpee's influence on hurricane forecasting   wrf recording
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF
Session 2A Tropical Cyclone Modeling I: WRF
Chair: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
10:15 AM2A.1Advancement of the HWRF for next generation hurricane prediction at NCEP's Environmental Modeling Center   wrf recording
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, V. Tallapragada, and Y. C. Kwon
10:30 AM2A.2Forecast track and intensity sensitivities of tropical cyclones to various parameterizations using the WRF-ARW model   wrf recording
Nick P. Bassill, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan
10:45 AM2A.3Distinct Structure and Intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Ophelia (2005) in Coupled WRF-HYCOM Model  extended abstract wrf recording
Jie Ming, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, MIAMI, FL; and S. S. Chen, W. Zhao, and J. Michalakes
11:00 AM2A.4Advanced Numerical Prediction and Modeling of Tropical Cyclones Using WRF-NMM modeling system   wrf recording
S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers, R. Atlas, F. D. Marks, and S. Aberson
11:15 AM2A.5Inner core structures and intensity change simulated with the Advanced Hurricane WRF model   wrf recording
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Wang, J. M. Done, and C. Davis
11:30 AM2A.6Preliminary Results Using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Vortex Specification Algorithm for the WRF-ARW Using NHC/TPC Observations and Vertical Structures Derived from Analytical and Observational Models  
Henry R. Winterbottom, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson
11:45 AM2A.7The role of cloud microphysical processes in the development and intensification of hurricane Dennis (2005): WRF simulations and observations   wrf recording
Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. Schneider, G. McFarquhar, M. S. Gilmore, F. J. LaFontaine, R. E. Hood, and G. M. Heymsfield
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E
Session 2B Tropical Climatology and Climate Change
Chair: C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM2B.1A new set of mean soundings for the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea   wrf recording
Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:30 AM2B.2Latent heating profiles over the tropical oceans   wrf recording
Samson M. Hagos, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang
10:45 AM2B.3A climatology of ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the tropical Atlantic   wrf recording
Amato Evan, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and A. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, N. Mahowald, and C. S. Velden
11:00 AM2B.4Characterizing the synoptic timescale ITCZ in the eastern to central Pacific   wrf recording
Gudrun Magnusdottir, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. C. Wang, H. Stern, P. Smyth, and L. Scharenbroich
11:15 AM2B.5A Comparison of Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic Basin with Australian East-Coast Cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Aviva J. Braun, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
11:30 AM2B.6Troposphere Cloud Ice: Satellite Measurements, ECMWF and GEOS5 Analyses, and GCM Simulations   wrf recording
Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. D. Chern, J. Bacmeister, J. Jiang, D. Genio, R. Rossow, M. Kharitondov, H. Meng, P. Minnis, S. S. Mack, A. M. Tompkins, W. K. Tao, Z. Kuang, D. G. Vane, G. Stephens, and D. L. Wu
11:45 AM2B.7Robust projections of vertical wind shear changes for the 21st Century   wrf recording
Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. A. Vecchi
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H
Session 2C AMMA I: Waves
Chair: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe Germany
10:15 AM2C.1On the genesis of African easterly waves   wrf recording
Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis
10:30 AM2C.2Moist Singular Vectors and African Easterly Waves   wrf recording
Brian J. Hoskins, NCAS Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. J. Cornforth
10:45 AM2C.3The interaction between convection and African Easterly Waves: a model case study  extended abstract
Juliane Schwendike, Universität Karlsruhe/Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany
11:00 AM2C.4MIT radar observations of the evolution of the West African Monsoon during the AMMA IOP   wrf recording
Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach, N. Guy, and E. R. Williams
11:15 AM2C.5Coastal Observations and Model Simulations associated with African Easterly Wave Passage during the 2006 AMMA SOP-3 field Campaign   wrf recording
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, P. A. Kucera, J. D. Fuentes, A. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, D. Bouniol, A. Protat, N. Viltard, and S. Chiao
11:30 AM2C.6Evolution of AEWs and MCSs off West Africa observed during AMMA SOP-3 in September 2006  extended abstract wrf recording
Joël Arnault, Laboratoire d'Aérologie (CNRS-UPS), Toulouse, France; and F. Roux
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I
Session 2D Air-Sea Interaction I
Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:15 AM2D.1Eastern Pacific Ocean heat content estimates from altimetry for operational hurricane intensity forecasts  
Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and M. Mainelli
10:30 AM2D.2Improving hurricane heat content estimates   wrf recording
S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. deMatthaeis
10:45 AM2D.3Typhoon intensity change by ocean heat content in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean  extended abstract wrf recording
KiRyong Kang, National Institute of Meteorological Research/Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and J. H. Park, K. Y. Chung, and S. Lee
11:00 AM2D.4Hurricane-induced differential mixed layer cooling over strong oceanic background flows   wrf recording
Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay
11:15 AM2D.5Impact of mesoscale oceanic features on tropical cyclone intensity   wrf recording
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis
11:30 AM2D.6Improving the ocean model response to tropical cyclones   wrf recording
George R. Halliwell, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, J. Brewster, and W. J. Teague
11:45 AM2D.7A fresh look at ocean's part of necessary conditions in supertyphoon's intensification   wrf recording
I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. Pun and C. Wu
 
12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Monday 2008
Lunch Break
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF
Session 3A Tropical Cyclone Modeling II: Special Observations and Data Assimilation
Chair: Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:15 PM3A.1Study on radar data assimilation for improving hurricane intensity and structure forecasts   wrf recording
Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin
1:30 PM3A.2Impacts of Airborne Doppler Radar Data Assimilation on Hurricane using WRF-Var   wrf recording
Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao, C. Davis, and J. D. Tuttle
1:45 PM3A.3Impact of satellite multi-sensor and in-situ data on high-resolution numerical simulation of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005)  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li
2:00 PM3A.4Impact of Assimilating Scatterometer Vector Winds on High-Resolution Hurricane Model Prediction   wrf recording
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, R. Foster, S. Majumdar, and W. T. Liu
2:15 PM3A.5Sensitivities of hurricane intensity to planetary boundary layer schemes in a full physics three dimensional nonhydrostatic mesoscale model   wrf recording
Treng-Shi Huang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. T. Montgomery and C. -. C. Wu
3A.6The Capacity and Preliminary Improvement of Cumulus Parameterization on Typhoon Numerical Prediction  
Leiming Ma, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and Z. M. Tan
3A.7The dffects of the full Coriolis force on the structure and motion of a tropical cyclone due to horizontal motion  
Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E
Session 3B Hurricanes and Climate I: Seasonal Overviews and Climatology
Chair: Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
1:15 PM3B.1Highlights of the 2007 Atlantic and eastern North Pacific Hurricane Seasons. A year of extremes in the Atlantic basin  extended abstract
Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL
1:30 PM3B.2Life-cycle of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)   wrf recording
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY
1:45 PM3B.3Hurricanes Ioke (2006) and Flossie (2007): Examples of recent operations at CPHC  extended abstract wrf recording
Sam H. Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and W. Browning
2:00 PM3B.4Historical Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone inactivity during 2007   wrf recording
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart
2:15 PM3B.5Tropical cyclones of the eastern North Pacific Ocean, 1949-2006  extended abstract wrf recording
Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
2:30 PM3B.6Late season tropical cyclogenesis in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean: 1975-2005   wrf recording
Rachel G. Mauk, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
2:45 PM3B.7Climatology of tropical cyclone rainfall in the Southeastern United States   wrf recording
David Knight, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Davis
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H
Session 3C AMMA II: Large-Scale Circulations
Chair: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
1:15 PM3C.1The AMMA radiosonde programme and its implications for the future of atmospheric monitoring over Africa  
Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink, D. J. Parker, S. Janicot, J. B. Ngamini, M. W. Douglas, E. Afiesimama, A. Agusti-Panareda, A. Beljaars, F. Dide, A. Diedhiou, T. Lebel, J. Polcher, J. L. Redelsperger, C. Thorncroft, and G. Wilson
1:30 PM3C.2Annual cycle of the moisture transports associated with the Saharan heat low and their role in the coupled West African monsoon system   wrf recording
Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrillé
1:45 PM3C.3Assessment of water budgets computed from NWP models and observational datasets during AMMA-EOP  extended abstract
Olivier Bock, Service d'Aeronomie (CNRS/IPSL), Paris, France
2:00 PM3C.4Influence of large-scale atmospheric moisture fluxes on the interannual to multidecadal rainfall variability of the West African Monsoon  extended abstract wrf recording
Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and S. Eikenberg
3C.5The role of 25-90 day variability of tropical convection in the West African summer monsoon onset in 2006  
Serge Janicot, IRD, Paris, France; and F. Mounier, N. M. J. Hall, S. Leroux, B. Sultan, and G. N. Kiladis
2:15 PM3C.6Analysis of the West African monsoon using an idealized two-dimensional model  
Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger
2:30 PM3C.7Rainfall Events during the West African Dry-Season: Forcing from the Extratropics and Predictability  extended abstract wrf recording
Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I
Session 3D Air-Sea Interaction II
Chair: Lynn Shay, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
1:15 PM3D.2A report on EASI (Extreme Air-Sea Interaction) buoy's encounter with Noel  
William Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and N. Williams
1:30 PM3D.1New findings on drag coefficient behavior in tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:45 PM3D.3Exchange coefficients and air-sea interaction in tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and G. Brassington and P. Sandery
2:00 PM3D.4Assessment of hurricane wind stress estimation using a 4DVAR ocean assimilation system  
Sarah E. Zedler, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and I. Hoteit, R. Korty, and B. Cornuelle
2:15 PM3D.5Air-Sea Coupling-Induced Asymmetry in Hurricane Boundary Layer and Surface Fluxes  extended abstract wrf recording
Chiaying Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
2:30 PM3D.6Simple nonlinear bounday layer model for tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Ralph C. Foster, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms GF
Session 4A Tropical Cyclone Modeling III: Operational Models
Chair: Jim Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM4A.1Tropical cyclone initialisation in the Met Office global model: Is it still necessary and can it be improved?  extended abstract wrf recording
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom
3:45 PM4A.2Initalizations in Advanced Operational Hurricane WRF (HWRF) Model   wrf recording
Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, V. Tallapragada, and Y. Kwon
4:00 PM4A.3Interpretation of tropical cyclone forecast sensitivity and dynamics from a NOGAPS singular vector perspective   wrf recording
Jan-Huey Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and C. -. C. Wu
4:15 PM4A.4Improvements to the Navy's version of the GFDL Tropical Cyclone Model (GFDN) and evaluation of its Prediction Skill   wrf recording
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis and R. M. Yablonsky
4:30 PM4A.5Performance of the Advanced Operational HWRF Modeling System during pre-implementation testing and in real-time 2007 hurricane season   wrf recording
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, R. Tuleya, and W. O'Connor
4:45 PM4A.6Improving wind-pressure relationship and intensity forecast skill of the operational HWRF   wrf recording
Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, and V. Tallapragada
5:00 PM4A.7Evaluation of tropical cyclone surface wind structure in operational NWP model forecasts   wrf recording
Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Rogers and M. Powell
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms E
Session 4B Hurricanes and Climate II: Data Issues
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
3:30 PM4B.1Wind speed time averaging conversions for tropical cyclone conditions  extended abstract wrf recording
Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Kepert and J. Ginger
3:45 PM4B.2A comparison of typhoon best-track data in the western North Pacific: irreconcilable differences  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam
4:00 PM4B.3Developing a unified "SuperSet" in quantifying ambiguities among tropical cyclone best track data for the western North Pacific   wrf recording
Michael R. Lowry, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) / Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien and M. Griffin
4:15 PM4B.4Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data sets: Low-Earth orbit infrared and microwave data  extended abstract wrf recording
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
4:30 PM4B.5The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis   wrf recording
Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
4:45 PM4B.6Rescuing data from a black hole: Consolidation of tropical cyclone data sets into an information repository for improved data access   wrf recording
Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN
5:00 PM4B.7A reanalysis of twelve U.S. landfalling major hurricanes   wrf recording
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Dickinson and D. Strahan
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms H
Session 4C Amma III - NAMMA
Chair: Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne Germany
3:30 PM4C.1NASA's 2006 tropical cyclogenesis experiment in the east Atlantic   wrf recording
Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
3:45 PM4C.2The NASA Real Time Mission Monitor – a situational awareness tool for conducting tropical cyclone field experiments   wrf recording
H. Michael Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. J. Blakeslee, J. M. Hall, P. Parker, and Y. M. He
4:00 PM4C.3Dual-Frequency Airborne Precipitation Radar observations in the tropics during 2006 and 2007  
Simone Tanelli, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. L. Durden and E. Im
4:15 PM4C.4An analysis of the interaction between the SAL and convective systems during the NAMMA 2006 field campaign and possible linkage to tropical cyclogenesis   wrf recording
Aaron Pratt, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins
4:30 PM4C.5Impacts of Saharan Dust Acting as CCN on the Evolution of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone   wrf recording
Henian Zhang, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar
4:45 PM4C.6Multiscale numerical simulation of tropical cyclone Debby (2006) and validation with NAMMA data  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and J. Zawislak
5:00 PM4C.7Barotropic energy conversion as a predictor of development for NAMMA African easterly waves  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert S. Ross, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I
Session 4D Air-Sea Interaction III
Chair: Peter Black, NRL, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM4D.1Impact of Sea Spray on Hurricane Simulations   wrf recording
Shouping Wang Wang, Naval Research Laboratory at Monterey, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin
3:45 PM4D.2Analysis of a resonant-like regime in the oceanic mixed layer induced by a hurricane  extended abstract wrf recording
Guillaume Samson, LACy, Sainte Clotilde, France; and H. Giordani, G. Caniaux, D. Barbary, and F. Roux
4:00 PM4D.3Simulating the baroclinic ocean current response to a tropical cyclone   wrf recording
Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay
4:15 PM4D.4Coupled wind-wave-current processes in hurricanes   wrf recording
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, and B. Thomas
4:30 PM4D.5Investigating the impacts of wave state and sea spray on typhoon via a coupled atmosphere-wave system: the idealized case  extended abstract
Bin Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and C. Guan and L. Xie
4:45 PM4D.6Aircraft Observations of the Turbulence Structure in the Hurricane Boundary Layer   wrf recording
Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan
5:00 PM4D.7KORDI program for typhoon-ocean interaction in the shelf seas and Northwestern Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Sok Kuh Kang, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and H. W. Kang, Y. H. Kim, J. K. So, J. H. Lee, H. J. Lie, S. W. Yeh, E. J. Kim, O. H. Seo, and I. Ginis
 
6:00 PM-8:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms ABCD
Ice Breaker Reception
 
8:00 PM-9:00 PM, Monday 2008, Palms I
Session Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3)–Application of the Global Hawk For Hurricane Studies
 
Tuesday, 29 April 2008
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 5A Tropical Cyclone Modeling IV: Ensemble Systems
Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter United Kingdom
5A.1Performance of TC track ensemble prediction system in NMC/Beijing  
Suhong Ma, NWPD/NMC/Beijing, Beijing, China
8:00 AM5A.2Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part I: Description and general performance   wrf recording
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. G. McLay, J. S. Goerss, and J. Teixeira
8:15 AM5A.3Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part II: Tropical cyclone track forecast performance  extended abstract wrf recording
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds
8:30 AM5A.4Ensemble Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) from TCLAPS: Intensity and Track Sensitivity and Vortex Structure Evolution  extended abstract wrf recording
Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, MELBOURNE, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder and N. E. Davidson
8:45 AM5A.5Ensemble-based synoptic sensitivity during the tropical cyclone life cycle   wrf recording
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
9:00 AM5A.6High-resolution ensemble data assimilation applied to Hurricane Katrina (2005)   wrf recording
Ryan Torn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Hakim
9:15 AM5A.7Promising EnKF analyses and Forecasts of Hurricane Humberto (2007)  
Yonghui Weng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang, Z. Meng, J. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E
Session 5B Hurricanes and Climate III: Long-Term Variability
Chair: James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
8:00 AM5B.1Erroneous use of the historical data base to link global warming with increased tropical cyclone activity  
Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:15 AM5B.2Understanding of tropical cyclone intensity change in a warming world   wrf recording
Liguang Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
8:30 AM5B.3An Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensification Index for the Last 2000 Years: A Significant ~510 Year Climate Cyclic Pulse Reconstructed  extended abstract wrf recording
Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico
8:45 AM5B.4Downscaling hurricane climatologies from global models and re-analyses  extended abstract wrf recording
Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. Sundararajan and J. Williams
9:00 AM5B.5Global Warming, Climate Variability and Atlantic Hurricanes   wrf recording
Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee and D. B. Enfield
9:15 AM5B.6Large Contribution of Sea Surface Warming to Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity   wrf recording
Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea
9:30 AM5B.7The role of salinity as the primary driver for the Atlantic Ocean's multi-decadal parameter variations  extended abstract wrf recording
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H
Session 5C Field Programs: RAINEX
Chair: Robert Rogers, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
8:00 AM5C.1Principal rainbands of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita as observed in RAINEX   wrf recording
Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze, Jr.
8:15 AM5C.2Vortical structures accompanying secondary eyewall formation in Hurricane Rita (2005)   wrf recording
Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. F. Smull
8:30 AM5C.3The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part I: The model and basic results   wrf recording
David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and Y. Moon
8:45 AM5C.4The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part II: Comparisons to RAINEX observations and high resolution simulations  extended abstract wrf recording
Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan
9:00 AM5C.5Effect of environmental moisture on rainbands in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)  extended abstract wrf recording
Derek Ortt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
9:15 AM5C.6Convectively-induced PV and Vortex Rossby Waves in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)  extended abstract wrf recording
Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
9:30 AM5C.7New Challenges in High-Resolution Coupled Air-Sea Modeling of Hurricanes: What we have Learned from RAINEX and CBLAST  
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I
Session 5D Air-Sea Interaction IV
Chair: S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
5D.1Air, sea and land interactions of the South American Monsoon  
Vasubandhu Misra, Florida State University, Calverton, MD MD
8:00 AM5D.3Wave-related changes in tropical surface turbulent heat fluxes  
Mark A. Bourassa, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
8:15 AM5D.4Tropical instability waves and ITCZ breakdown  extended abstract wrf recording
Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. X. Giraldo
8:30 AM5D.5Simulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) using a HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM)  extended abstract wrf recording
Yanyun Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and J. M. Morrison
8:45 AM5D.6Diurnal sea surface temperature variability and the transition phase of the MJO   wrf recording
Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
9:00 AM5D.7A numerical study on the effects of wave-current interactions on the height and propagation of sea surface waves in Charleston Harbor during Hurricane Hugo 1989  
Huiqing Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Tuesday 2008, Palms Foyer
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 6A Tropical Cyclone Modeling V: Structure and Environment Interactions
Chair: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
10:15 AM6A.1The effect of La Réunion island (Indian ocean) on tropical cyclone Dina (2002): a comparative numerical study   wrf recording
Samuel Jolivet, LPA, Saint-Denis, France; and D. Barbary, F. Chane ming, F. Roux, and S. Westrelin
10:30 AM6A.2Spatial structure and evolution of low-level winds in modeled hurricanes at landfall  extended abstract wrf recording
Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
10:45 AM6A.3Effect of Typhoon Songda on Remote Precipitation in Japan and its Adjacent   wrf recording
Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Z. Ding
11:00 AM6A.4Large Eddy Simulations of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone   wrf recording
Yongsheng Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno, C. Davis, W. Wang, J. Dudhia, and G. Holland
11:15 AM6A.5Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005)   wrf recording
Shuguang Wang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and T. J. Dunkerton and F. Zhang
11:30 AM6A.6The combined state-parameter estimation problem and its relevance to tropical cyclone prediction   wrf recording
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and E. A. Smith
11:45 AM6A.7Tropical cyclone formation and structure studies using a moist adjoint model  extended abstract wrf recording
Kevin K. W. Cheung, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E
Session 6B Hurricanes and Climate IV: Seasonal Forecasting
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
10:15 AM6B.1Seasonal prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity  extended abstract wrf recording
Elinor Whitney Keith, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie
10:30 AM6B.2Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane simulations  
Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim, D. W. Shin, E. Chassignet, and S. Cocke
10:45 AM6B.3New operational forecasts of tropical storm activity using the Met Office dynamical seasonal prediction model  extended abstract wrf recording
Richard J. Graham, Met Office, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. R. Huddleston
11:00 AM6B.4Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August  extended abstract wrf recording
Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
11:15 AM6B.5High-resolution WRF simulations of an Atlantic hurricane season  extended abstract wrf recording
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann
11:30 AM6B.6Multi-model Statistical-Dynamical Climate Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Landfall   wrf recording
Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H
Session 6C Field Programs: RAINEX, TCSP and IFEX
Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM6C.1Axisymmetric concentric eyewall evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005)   wrf recording
Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, R. A. Houze, B. Smull, and M. T. Montgomery
10:30 AM6C.2A Convective Burst Event in Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005)   wrf recording
Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bell and R. A. Houze
10:45 AM6C.3Boundary layer roll dynamic and thermodynamic structures as determined by dropwindsondes   wrf recording
Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and D. P. Stern
11:00 AM6C.4An observational analysis of the genesis tropical storm Gert (2005)   wrf recording
Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun
11:15 AM6C.5On the Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) associated with the ITCZ Breakdowns  extended abstract wrf recording
Chanh Q. Kieu, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang
11:30 AM6C.6Conditions Influencing Hurricane Emily's (2005) Precipitation Patterns, Convection and Upper Tropospheric Outflow  extended abstract wrf recording
Kevin R. Quinlan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. Cecil and J. R. Mecikalski
11:45 AM6C.7Ensemble-based data assimilation for cloud-resolving hurricane prediction: experiments with radar and dropsonde observations from RAINEX   wrf recording
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and Y. Weng, Z. Meng, Y. Chen, S. S. Chen, and P. G. Black
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I
Session 6D Intraseasonal Variability I
Chair: Steven T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
10:15 AM6D.1Synoptic feedback to intraseasonal variability through the modulation of the surface heat flux   wrf recording
Chunhua Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li
10:30 AM6D.2Equatorial Superrotation in the IPESD Multi-scale MJO Model   wrf recording
Joseph A. Biello, University if California, Davis, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda and M. W. Moncrieff
10:45 AM6D.3Topographic effect on the MJO in the maritime continent   wrf recording
H.-H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Wu
11:00 AM6D.4Activation process toward MJO convectively active phase in the Indian Ocean observed during MISMO-IOP   wrf recording
Masaki Katsumata, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Fort Collins, CO
11:15 AM6D.5Madden-Julian Oscillations simulated with the Reduce Acceleration in the VErtical (RAVE) approach  
Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and C. Walker
11:30 AM6D.6MJO signals in latent heating   wrf recording
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos, W. K. Tao, and S. E. Lang
11:45 AM6D.7Satellite-Observed Subseasonal Rainfall Variations in Tropical East Atlantic-West Africa   wrf recording
Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD
 
12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday 2008
Lunch Break
 
12:05 PM-1:15 PM, Tuesday 2008, Cedar
AMS Committee on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Luncheon
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 7A Tropical Cyclone Modeling VI: High Resolution Simulations
Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
1:15 PM7A.1Typhoon simulation with the JMA/MRI 20 km mesh high-resolution global spectral model  extended abstract wrf recording
Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
1:30 PM7A.2A method of initializing tropical cyclones for high-resolution numerical models  
Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Sashegyi
1:45 PM7A.3Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Intensity Forecast of Tropical Cyclones: High Resolution Numerical Simulations and Doppler Radar Data Assimilation  
Xuanli Li, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu
2:00 PM7A.4High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Larry (2006): Sensitivity to Orography  
Hamish A. Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie
2:15 PM7A.5Intermediate and high resolution simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical depression  
Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton
2:30 PM7A.6Polygonal eyewalls in a 2 km WRF simulation of Wilma (2005)  extended abstract wrf recording
Chris E. Blanton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC
2:45 PM7A.7Hurricane super-intensity through mixing   wrf recording
Olivier Pauluis, New York University, New York, NY; and S. T. Garner and A. A. S. Mrowiec
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E
Session 7B Hurricanes and Climate V: Modeling Studies
Chair: Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:15 PM7B.1A modeling study of the extreme 2005 Atlantic hurricane season relative to recent years   wrf recording
Kurt Davidson Korte, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. H. Bowden, N. N. Davis, X. Zhang, M. Diaz, L. Xie, and F. H. Semazzi
1:30 PM7B.2Model simulated changes in maximum TC intensity due to global warming  extended abstract wrf recording
Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and A. Aiyyer
1:45 PM7B.3Simulated impact of projected 21st century warming on Atlantic hurricane activity   wrf recording
Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, G. A. Vecchi, and I. M. Held
2:00 PM7B.4Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part I: Simulation design and primary results   wrf recording
David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin
2:15 PM7B.5Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part II: Mechanisms and other applications   wrf recording
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and G. A. Vecchi
2:30 PM7B.6The effects of cumulus parameterizations and radiation schemes on tropical cyclone frequency and structure   wrf recording
David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
2:45 PM7B.7Hurricane Tracking in the Atlantic and Associated Insurance Losses   wrf recording
Sabine Kleppek, Climate and Environmental Physics, University Bern, Switzerland, Bern, Switzerland; and C. C. Raible, V. Muccione, T. S. Stocker, P. Heck, and D. N. Bresch
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms H
Session 7C Tropical Cyclone Observations
Chair: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:15 PM7C.1Drifting buoy deployments into Hurricane Dean, 2007   wrf recording
Rick Lumpkin, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and P. P. Niiler and P. Black
1:30 PM7C.2The dynamic behaviour of the GPS dropwindsonde in a simulated boundary layer  
Amir Mohammad Yadghar, The Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller
1:45 PM7C.3Inter-comparison of targeted observation guidances for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific   wrf recording
C.-C. Wu, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. D. Aberson, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, S. G. Chen, and P. H. Lin
2:00 PM7C.4Inner-core characteristics of Ophelia (2005) and Noel (2007) as revealed by Aerosonde data   wrf recording
Guy Cascella, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. W. Uhlhorn, and S. J. Majumdar
2:15 PM7C.5NOAA and NASA collaborative efforts using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in Tropical Cyclones: Recent successes and a future path forward   wrf recording
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Turlington
2:30 PM7C.6Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS08) Field Experiment in the Western North Pacific during 2008  extended abstract wrf recording
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. Ferek, S. W. Chang, P. A. Harr, and D. Eleuterio
2:45 PM7C.7An overview of the THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) during August-September 2008  extended abstract wrf recording
David Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Harr, T. Nakazawa, S. Jones, and M. Weissmann
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms I
Session 7D Intraseasonal Variability II
Chair: Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:15 PM7D.1Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wavetrain and the Indian Monsoon  extended abstract
Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
1:30 PM7D.2Intraseasonal variability of Asian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal hindcasts   wrf recording
Prince K. Xavier, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and F. J. Doblas-Reyes
1:45 PM7D.3Characteristic patterns associated with atmospheric circulation changes over the Northeastern Tropical Pacific in summer   wrf recording
Rosario Romero-Centeno, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. Raga
2:00 PM7D.4A numerical case study on the initiation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation   wrf recording
Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL
2:15 PM7D.5Relevance of the vertical internal mode decomposition approach for the study of the MJO   wrf recording
Daniel Nethery, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and J. I. Yano
2:30 PM7D.6Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability and its link with the upper ocean structure   wrf recording
Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and H. Bellenger, B. Pohl, and P. Camberlin
2:45 PM7D.7Sensitivity to vertical shear and moist stability in a probabilistic regional dynamical model  
Stephen T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Formal Poster Viewing
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1A Poster Session Convection
 P1A.1The Role of three-dimensional radiative Transfer on convective Cloud Formation  
Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and B. Mayer
 P1A.2Validation of west and east Pacific rainfall estimates from the TRMM PR using a radiative transfer model  
Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, T. Kubota, S. Kida, and K. Okamoto
 P1A.3Evaluation of Troposphere Cloud Ice Simulations in CWB Global Forecast System using A-Train Measurements  
Feng-Ju Wang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan; and C. -. T. Fong, J. L. Li, H. -. M. Juang, C. P. Woods, D. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, G. Stephens, D. G. Vane, D. L. Wu, M. D. Cheng, and M. M. Lu
 P1A.4Convective momentum transport in 3D cloud resolving model simulations of TOGA COARE  
Susana M. Mendes, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington and University of Evora, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton
 P1A.5Energetics of deep moist convection  
Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
 P1A.6Diurnal cycle of deep convection in the super cluster embedded in the MJO  extended abstract
Tsuneaki Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
 P1A.7A Multi-Sensor Satellite-Based Approach to Retrieving Convective Momentum Fluxes  
Christopher P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski
 P1A.8Convectively Coupled Gravity Waves traveling in an Equatorial Precipitating Region  
Juliana Dias, Courant Institute of Mathematical Science, NYU, New York, NY; and O. Pauluis
 P1A.9Predictability aspects of aqua-planet model runs with explicit convection  
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh
 P1A.10Extreme thunderstorms around the global tropics and subtropics  
Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and M. Felix
 P1A.11A Bayesian framework for storm tracking using a hidden-state representation  
Lucas Scharenbroich, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, H. Stern, and C. C. Wang
 P1A.12Cloud vertical structure over the Bay of Bengal and eastern tropical Pacific  
Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 P1A.13An intense MCS observed over Niamey, Niger on 11 August 2006  
Matthew A. Janiga, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and E. Williams
 P1A.14Using high-resolution numerical simulations to understand the role of East African mountains in the initiation of long-lived episodes of organized convection  
A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, C. A. Davis, and R. E. Carbone
 P1A.15On the use of microwave Sounder data for high-temporal rainfall maps based on microwave radiometers  
Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and T. Yamamoto, T. Tsukiyama, S. Kida, T. Kubota, and K. Okamoto
 P1A.16The large-scale response of tropical atmosphere to latent heating estimated from the TRMM PR  
Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu and Y. Morikawa
 P1A.17Spatial and diurnal variability in the Saharan Boundary Layer during GERBILS (2007)  extended abstract
Christian M. Grams, Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. C. Jones, D. J. Parker, J. Haywood, V. Heuveline, J. H. Marsham, and C. Schwierz
 P1A.18The benefits of increased resolution in simulating precipitation over Sub-Saharan Africa. A comparison of AMIP integrations of GEM at 1° and 2° model resolution  
Anne Daloz, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1B Poster Session Monsoons
 P1B.1Wind-evaporation feedback and the transition to axisymmetric, angular momentum conserving Hadley flow  
William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA
 P1B.2Multiyears Hindcast Experiments of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0)  
Sajjad Saeed, Pakistan Meteorological Department, Islamabad, Pakistan
 P1B.2Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Positive and Negative Indian Ocean Dipole with and without ENSO  
Chi-Cherng Hong, Department of Science Education, TMUE, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. M. Lu and M. Kanamitsu
P1B.4PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 P1B.3Interannual variability of the North American Monsoon: Large-scale conditions and small-scale effects  
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and M. Jones
 P1B.4Regional Differences in South American Monsoon Onset: Implications for Onset Predictability  
Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto-Ferreira, D. Herdies, and S. W. Nesbitt
 P1B.5Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: II. The Asian-Australian monsoon system  
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1C Poster Session Tropical Climatology
 P1C.1Summer Mean Fields Over Tropical Africa, Indian and Atlantic Oceans During El Nino and La Nina Years  extended abstract
Mostafa El -Rafy, CAIRO UNIVERSITY, Giza, Egypt
 P1C.2A Methodology for Identifying Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic  
Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and A. J. Braun
 P1C.3Multidecadal variability in the Hadley circulation  
Damianos Florin Mantsis, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 P1C.4Frequency distribution of daily ITCZ patterns over the Western/Central Pacific  
Baode Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and B. Chen, X. Lin, and J. Bacmeister
 P1C.5Five-year climatology of tropical dry air intrusions as viewed by AIRS/Aqua  extended abstract
Sean P. F. Casey, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler and C. Schumacher
 P1C.6The energy budget of a tropical intraseasonal oscillation in a climate model  
Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR
 P1C.7Diurnal changes in the atmospheric boundary layer height in tropical coastal regions  
Aaron Paget, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and K. Campbell and P. Ruscher
 P1C.8Impacts of mid-latitude SST variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode  
Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont
 P1C.9Equatorial Kelvin wave propagation past Sumatra: June 2006 case analysis and forecast sensitivity experiments with COAMPS®  extended abstract
James A. Ridout, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. K. Flatau
 P1C.10Mapping the spatial extent of the Central American mid-summer drought with MODIS and GOES imagery  
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and R. Orozco
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1D Poster Session Air-Sea Interaction
 P1D.1Coastal ocean surface current response to hurricane Jeanne detected by WERA  
Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Martinez-Pedraja, M. D. Powell, B. K. Haus, and J. K. Brewster
 P1D.2The effects of Hurricane Dean on seafloor pressure, atmospheric pressure and coastal water levels  
Natalia A. Donoho, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. E. Zervas and R. Bouchard
 P1D.3Multi-sensor satellite and HYCOM analysis of the upper ocean response to Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico  
Michelle M. Gierach, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and B. Subrahmanyam
 P1D.4Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds  
Michael M. Bell, NCAR and NPS, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and K. A. Emanuel
 P1D.5Some Aspects of Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions and Associated with Land-falling Hurricane Katrina Over the Gulf of Mexico  
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and C. Luckett and D. Liu
 P1D.6Impacts of the Ocean Surface Velocity on Wind Stress Coefficient and Wind Stress over Global Ocean during 1958-2001  extended abstract
Zengan Deng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, T. Yu, and K. Wu
 P1D.7Interpreting dropsonde measurements of turbulence in the tropical cyclone boundary layer  extended abstract
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1E Poster Session Field Programs
P1E.1The NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis Mission: balloon-borne radiosonde results from Cape Verde  
F. J. Schmidlin, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and B. Morrison, T. Baldwin, and E. T. N. Northam
 P1E.2Preliminary analysis of Mesoscale Convective Systems transitioning off the West African Coast during NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA)  extended abstract
Bradley W. Klotz, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and P. A. Kucera
 P1E.3Ice microphysics observations in tropical cyclones from CAMEX-4 and NAMMA: Implications for hurricane models  
Amanda L. Wisdom, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar
 P1E.4Aircraft measurements of temperature anomalies associated with tropical waves during NAMMA  
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia
 P1E.5Characteristics of Intense Deep Tropical Convection During TCSP and other NASA Field Campaigns  
Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Tian and L. Li
 P1E.6Vorticity and entropy budgets of tropical cyclones during IFEX 2005  
Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond
 P1E.7Storm Structure and Rainfall Evolution in Hurricane Dennis (2005)  
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and X. Zheng and R. Rogers
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1F Poster Session Numerical Modeling
 P1F.1Development of a new convective parameterization  
Ian Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
 P1F.2Sensitivity of numerically simulated tropical cyclone structure and intensity to changes in horizontal resolution  extended abstract
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann
 P1F.3Application of ATOVS Radiance with ARW WRF/GSI Data Assimilation System in the Prediction of Hurricane Katrina  
Jianjun Xu, JCSDA/UCAR/AFWA, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Rugg
 P1F.4Upgrading the simulation of tropical convective systems  
Stephen E. Lang, SSAI/NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. -. K. Tao, W. S. Olson, X. Zeng, T. Matsui, and S. A. Braun
 P1F.5Typhoon-trough interaction from the perspective of the adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector (ADSSV)  
Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, K. H. Chou, and P. H. Lin
 P1F.6Development of the typhoon initialization — combination of the bogused vortex and the dropwindsonde data in DOTSTAR  
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu
P1F.7Medium-Range tropical cyclone track prediction as a data assimilation problem  
Mike Fiorino, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
 P1F.8The relationship between flight level and 10-m winds in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes  extended abstract
Jackie Rauch, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball
 P1F.9An EdGCM modeling study of the effects of atmospheric trace gas concentration change on Atlantic tropical cyclone development parameters  extended abstract
George L. Limpert, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. L. Perrin and A. R. Lupo
 P1F.10A simple multicloud parametrization for convectively coupled waves with an active boundary layer  
Michael L. Waite, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider
 P1F.11Numerical study on the vertical tilt of a typhoon vortex  
Mitsuru Ueno, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan
 P1F.12Analysis and Simulation of a Dry Hurricane  
Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis
 P1F.13Errors induced by cloud amount in cumulus parameterization  
Akihiko Murata, Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
 P1F.14Improved TC forecasting through Initalization of MM5 with GFDL/GFS Merger  extended abstract
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 P1F.15Evaluating the intensification of tropical cyclones with the GFS model  extended abstract
Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, DF, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and G. B. Raga
 P1F.17Initial and Boundary Condition Impacts on Hurricane Katrina Track and Intensity Forecasts  
Hao Jin, SAIC, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, T. Campbell, and S. Gabersek
 P1F.18The sensitivity of a Katrina simulation to the distribution of vertical sigma levels  
F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. E. Aplin and S. K. Kimball
 P1F.19An evaluation of the boundary conditions for nested domains for idealized hurricane simulations  extended abstract
Sarah E. Aplin, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and F. C. Dougherty and S. K. Kimball
 P1F.20On numerical simulation of warm season precipitation diurnal cycle  
Li Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang and K. Souma
 P1F.21A diagnostic analysis of high-resolution numerical simulations of the genesis of tropical storm Gert (2005)  
Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, S. A. Braun, and W. Schubert
 P1F.22Numerical simulation of the interaction of a mesoscale convective system with the African Easterly Jet  
Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry
 P1F.23Calculating the moist static energy budget near the ITCZ in idealized WRF simulations  
Scott W. Powell, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan
 P1F.24ASSIMILATION OF RADAR DATA FOR THE PREDICTION OF A SMALL HURRICANE, OGNI, NEAR INDIA COAST USING THE ARPS ASSIMILATION SYSTEM  extended abstract
Kuldeep Srivastava, India Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India; and J. Gao, K. Brewster, M. Xue, and S. K. R. Bhowmik
 P1F.24A Numerical Study on the Wind-Terrain Interaction in South and Southeast Asian monsoon  
Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and C. -. P. Chang and B. Wang
 P1F.25The Double-ICTZ Problem in IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Ocean-Atmosphere Feedback Analysis  
Jia-Lin Lin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
 P1F.27The impacts of resolution and boundary layer parameterization on the structure of the wind field in high resolution simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003)  
David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, D. P. Stern, and P. J. Kozich
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1G Poster Session Extratropical Transition
 P1G.1Data denial experiments for extratropical transition  extended abstract
Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and C. Cardinali and S. Jones
 P1G.2Satellite aspects of the extratropical transition of Hurricanes Maria and Helene  
John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
 P1G.3Interactions between tropical cyclones and the baroclinic flow  
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang
 P1G.4Recurving tropical cyclones and downstream impacts as revealed by singular vectors  
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and J. H. Chen
 P1G.5Analysis of the inner-core characteristics of Noel (2007) during its extratropical transition  
Sharan Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. Uhlhorn, G. Cascella, S. D. Aberson, R. Atlas, J. L. Beven, D. P. Brown, J. P. Dunion, C. Fogarty, R. Hart, D. C. Herndon, J. A. Knaff, C. W. Landsea, F. D. Marks, and C. Velden
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 1H Poster Session Forecasting Methods and Tools
P1H.1Extreme value analysis of tropical cyclone trapped-fetch waves  
Allan W. MacAfee, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and S. W. K. Wong
 P1H.2New Products for Real-Time Tropical Storm Tracking  
Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea
 P1H.3Forecast Diagnostics to Improve Tropical Wave Forecasting at WFO San Juan  extended abstract
Andrew S. Levine, NOAA/NWS, Key West, FL; and G. J. Berry
 P1H.4An Online Textbook for Tropical Meteorology  
Wendy Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and A. Laing and J. L. Evans
 P1H.5Using the JPL Tropical Cyclone Information System for Research and Applications  
Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. Ao, Y. Chao, V. Dang, R. Fovell, M. Garay, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li,, K. J. Park, W. Poulsen, H. Su, S. Tanelli, D. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. Willis, and D. L. Wu
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Tuesday 2008, Palms E
Session 8 Special Session on the Future of Satellite Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones
Chair: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
7:00 PM8.1Satellite-Based TC Surveillance: Status and Future Needs   wrf recording
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Velden
7:30 PM8.2An overview of the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)   wrf recording
Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, T. L. Miller, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn
7:45 PM8.3Initial user impact studies of the next generation ocean surface vector wind scatterometer mission (XOVWM)   wrf recording
Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Jelenak, R. D. Knabb, J. M. Sienkiewicz, M. J. Brennan, and E. Rodriguez
8:00 PM8.4GeoSTAR/PATH – A future hurricane observing system   wrf recording
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, P. Kangaslahti, and S. Brown
8:15 PM8.5Advancements in NEXRAD in Space (NIS)  
Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. S. Haddad, S. Tanelli, and G. J. Tripoli
8:30 PMPanel Discussion  
 
Wednesday, 30 April 2008
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 9A Tropical Cyclogenesis I: Role of African Easterly Waves
Chair: Jiann-Gwo Jiing, TPC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM9A.1Evolution of long-lived African Easterly Waves   wrf recording
Anantha R. Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
8:15 AM9A.2Nonlinear structure and evolution of African easterly waves  extended abstract wrf recording
Nathan R. Hardin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-8208, NC
8:30 AM9A.3Tropical cyclogenesis in a tropical wave critical layer: Easterly waves  
Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery and Z. Wang
8:45 AM9A.4Tropical cyclone genesis from the merger of mesoscale vortices embedded in African easterly wave: A case study using a nested regional climate model   wrf recording
Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. J. Holland and P. J. Webster
9:00 AM9A.5High-resolution simulation of the genesis of Hurricane Danielle (2004)   wrf recording
Xuejin Zhang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, M. L. Diaz, and F. H. M. Semazzi
9:15 AM9A.6On The Formation of Hurricane Katrina (2005)   wrf recording
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and H. Jin
9:30 AM9A.7Can rapidly developing African easterly waves be distinguished by their satellite signatures over West Africa?  
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and K. Knapp
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E
Session 9B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns I
Chair: Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
8:00 AM9B.1Behavior of sub-monthly wave patterns associated with recurving tropical cyclones during extreme intraseasonal phases in the western North Pacific   wrf recording
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu
8:15 AM9B.2Tropical-midlatitude Interactions during the “Perfect Storms” of 1991   wrf recording
Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
8:30 AM9B.3Predictability associated with interactions between recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones and the extratropical large-scale flow   wrf recording
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
8:45 AM9B.4Downstream development during the rapid intensification of hurricanes Opal and Katrina: the distant trough-interaction problem  extended abstract wrf recording
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and C. M. Nguyen and M. J. Reeder
9:00 AM9B.5Anomalies in Meterological Fields Over Northern Asia and It's Impact on Hurricane Gonu  extended abstract wrf recording
Mostafa El -Rafy, Cairo University - Faculty of Science, GIZA, Cairo, Egypt; and D. Y. Y. Hafez
9:15 AM9B.6The influence of TUTT cells on TC motion  extended abstract wrf recording
Jason E. Patla, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Stevens and G. Barnes
9:30 AM9B.7The nonstationary correlations between indices of West African precipitation and Atlantic hurricane activity   wrf recording
Dr. Jon M Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H
Session 9C Extratropical Transition I: Physical Processes
Chair: John L. Beven, II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM9C.1Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998)  extended abstract wrf recording
Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
8:15 AM9C.2The structure of singular vectors associated with extratropical transition of tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Simon Thomas Lang, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. Jones, M. Leutbecher, and D. Anwender
8:30 AM9C.3Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition  extended abstract wrf recording
Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany
8:45 AM9C.4Interaction of tropical cyclones with midlatitude baroclinic waves in idealised scenarios of extra-tropical transition   wrf recording
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. Jones
9:00 AM9C.5Downstream development associated with the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Dea
9:15 AM9C.6The relative roles of diabatic and dynamic processes in downstream development following the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Elizabeth Sanabia, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr
9:30 AM9C.7Global Impacts of the extratropical transition of Hurricane Noel (2007)   wrf recording
Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I
Session 9D Convection I
Chair: Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
8:00 AM9D.1Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) – Addressing the Challenge of Multi-Scale, Organized Convection   wrf recording
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff
8:15 AM9D.2A modified precipitation efficiency and its application on warm rain processes   wrf recording
Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Central Univ., Jhongli City, Taiwan; and X. Li and M. J. Yang
8:30 AM9D.3The influence of vertical wind shear on deep convection in the tropics  extended abstract wrf recording
Ulrike Wissmeier, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. A. Goler
8:45 AM9D.4Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles from TRMM PR Data: Comparisons of lookup tables from two- and three-dimensional simulations  extended abstract wrf recording
Shoichi Shige, Osaka Prefecture Univ., Sakai, Osaka, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, S. Kida, W. K. Tao, and X. Zeng
9:00 AM9D.5Polarimetric radar analysis of convection in northwestern Mexico   wrf recording
Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. Rowe, S. A. Rutledge, and R. Cifelli
9:15 AM9D.6Predecessor rain events in tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Matthew R. Cote, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. L. Jurewicz
9:30 AM9D.7The QBO's influence on lightning production in the Tropics  extended abstract wrf recording
Celina A. Hernandez, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Wednesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 10A Tropical Cyclogenesis II: Physical Processes
Chair: Mark Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao Guam
10:15 AM10A.1Tropical cyclone formation: A synopsis of the internal dynamics  extended abstract wrf recording
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. T. Montgomery
10:30 AM10A.2Vortical hot towers, their aggregate effects and their resolution dependence in the formation of Hurricane Diana (1984)   wrf recording
J. Marc Hidalgo, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. T. Montgomery
10:45 AM10A.3Mesoscale features of tropical cyclone formations associated with the trade wind surges in the Western North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee
11:00 AM10A.4Tropical Cyclone Formations in the South China Sea  extended abstract wrf recording
Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin and C. M. Huang
11:15 AM10A.5Tropical Cyclone Formations in 30-day Simulation Using Cloud-System-Resolving Global Non-hydrostatic Model (NICAM)   wrf recording
Wataru Yanase, Center for Climate System Research, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and M. Satoh, S. I. Iga, and H. Tomita
11:30 AM10A.6A shear reduction mechanism for tropical cyclogenesis   wrf recording
Ron McTaggart-Cowan, MSC, Montreal, QC, Canada; and L. F. Bosart
11:45 AM10A.7The role of upshear convection in expediting the tropical transition of Atlantic Hurricane Karen (2001)   wrf recording
Andrew L. Hulme, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E
Session 10B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns II
Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR
10:15 AM10B.1Link between tropical cyclone activity and Madden-Julian Oscillation phase in the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins  
Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie
10:30 AM10B.2Intraseasonal variability of the west African monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ   wrf recording
Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and J. Shaman
10:45 AM10B.3Effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the cyclogeneses of Hurricane Fausto (2002) and Hurricane Emily (2005)  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephanie E. Zick, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank
11:00 AM10B.4A composite study of African Easterly Waves and tropical cyclogenesis: Do African Easterly Waves matter?  extended abstract wrf recording
Susanna Hopsch, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
11:15 AM10B.5Effects of equatorially-trapped tropical waves on tropical cyclogenesis: High resolution simulations in idealized conditions  extended abstract wrf recording
Jeffrey S. Gall, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank
11:30 AM10B.6A case study of an outbreak of twin tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Carl Schreck III, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
11:45 AM10B.7Probabilistic forecasting of tropical cyclones utilizing wave and climate modes   wrf recording
Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H
Session 10C Extratropical Transition II: Forecast Challenges
Chair: Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
10:15 AM10C.1Determination of a Consistent Time for Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo
10:30 AM10C.2Verification of National Hurricane Center forecasts of extratropical transition  extended abstract wrf recording
John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
10:45 AM10C.3A curve clustering algorithm to increase skill in extratropical transition forecasts  
Adam Moyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA
11:00 AM10C.4Examining extratropical transition of Ernesto wind fields and developing storm surge  extended abstract wrf recording
John Billet, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA VA; and H. Wang
11:15 AM10C.5Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Data and Models   wrf recording
Doug Mercer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer, B. Thomas, and A. W. MacAfee
11:30 AM10C.6Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Messages and Impacts   wrf recording
Peter Bowyer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and D. Mercer, C. Fogarty, and G. Parkes
11:45 AM10C.7Operational forecasting process of Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone   wrf recording
E.-J. Cha, KMA, Seoul, South Korea; and S. H. You and Y. J. Choi
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I
Session 10D Convection II
Chair: Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE
10:15 AM10D.1Hot towers formation - A Simple Integral Model of Plume Rise  extended abstract wrf recording
Christopher Chi Ming Chu, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
10:30 AM10D.2Methods for introducing vortical hot tower heating in idealized models  extended abstract wrf recording
Stephen R. Guimond, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
10:45 AM10D.3Cloud vertical structure and radiative heating profile during TOGA COARE   wrf recording
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and R. D. Cess and J. L. Lin
11:00 AM10D.4Observing and explaining variations in deep convective cloud top height   wrf recording
Jung-Hyo Chae, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood and F. J. Robinson
11:15 AM10D.5Bimodal peak in mid-level tropical layer clouds observed by CloudSat  extended abstract wrf recording
Emily M. Riley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes
11:30 AM10D.6Comparisons of CloudSat cloud features and TRMM precipitation features   wrf recording
Chuntao Liu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser
11:45 AM10D.7Applications of remotely-sensed latent heating distributions from a PR-trained, satellite microwave radiometer algorithm  
William S. Olson, JCET/Univ of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, C. L. Shie, T. S. L'Ecuyer, D. E. Waliser, X. Jiang, J. L. Li, B. Tian, A. M. Tompkins, and W. K. Tao
 
12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Wednesday 2008
Lunch Break
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 11A Tropical Cyclogenesis III: Numerical Models
Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL
1:15 PM11A.1The Impacts of Moist Convection on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones   wrf recording
Jason Sippel, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang
1:30 PM11A.211A.2 Initial condition sensitivity for tropical cyclogenesis and intensification using a moist adjoint   wrf recording
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds
1:45 PM11A.3Tropical cyclogenesis: A modeling comparison between developing and non-developing cloud clusters  extended abstract
Andrew B. Penny, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie
2:00 PM11A.4Evaluation of NCEP Global Ensemble in Predicting Tropical Cyclogenesis Over the East Atlantic: Case studies during August-September 2006   wrf recording
Andrew Snyder, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, Y. Zhu, and W. J. Steenburgh
11A.5Modeling studies of tropical cyclogenesis of TC Debby and Helene during AMMA  
Megan Cox, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. S. Jenkins
2:15 PM11A.6Validation of MM5 and WRF Forecasts of the Development of Hurricane Helene   wrf recording
Michael Folmer, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. W. Pasken and B. E. Anderson
2:30 PM11A.7Performance of the GFS in predicting tropical cyclone genesis during 2007   wrf recording
Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and E. S. Blake, J. G. Jiing, M. M. Mainelli, and D. P. Roberts
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E
Session 11B Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns III
Chair: Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
1:15 PM11B.1United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle   wrf recording
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger
1:30 PM11B.2Effect of remote sea surface temperature change in tropical cyclone potential intensity   wrf recording
Gabriel A. Vecchi, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and B. J. Soden
1:45 PM11B.3The relative roles of the ocean, atmosphere, and coupled ocean/atmosphere modes in modulating tropical cyclones   wrf recording
James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont
2:00 PM11B.4Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity in the South China Sea  extended abstract wrf recording
Andy Zung-Ching Goh, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
2:15 PM11B.5Transient dynamics and tropical cyclone genesis in a nested regional climate model   wrf recording
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and A. Suzuki
2:30 PM11B.6Environmental influences on the spinup of tropical cyclones   wrf recording
David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and J. Cisneros, S. Sessions, J. C. Marin, G. Raga, and Z. Fuchs
2:45 PM11B.7Mid-level ventilation's effects on tropical cyclone thermodynamic structure and intensity  extended abstract wrf recording
Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H
Session 11C Tropical Cyclones at Landfall
Chair: David Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL
1:15 PM11C.1Probability distributions of gust factors in land-falling hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recording
Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL
1:30 PM11C.2Simulating Hurricane Pre-Landfall and Post-Landfall Intensity Changes  extended abstract
Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell
1:45 PM11C.3The impact of Louisiana's levees and wetlands on Katrina's storm surge   wrf recording
Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and N. Tran, Y. Lau, and Y. Li
2:00 PM11C.4Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Luneva and C. A. Clayson
2:15 PM11C.5Analysis of tropical storm-tornadoes and their environments  extended abstract wrf recording
Lori A. Schultz, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil and C. C. Crowe
2:30 PM11C.6Hurricanes that do and do not spawn tornado outbreaks: Offshore traits and their evolution at landfall  extended abstract wrf recording
Dale E. Unruh Jr., Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes
2:45 PM11C.7Treating hurricanes as Mesoscale Convective Systems - A paradigm shift for WFO landfall operations  extended abstract wrf recording
Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and B. C. Hagemeyer and D. W. Sharp
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I
Session 11D Convection III
Chair: Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY
1:15 PM11D.1WRF Model Simulations of tropical Cloud Systems observed during TWP-ICE  extended abstract wrf recording
Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and T. Lane, P. May, C. Jakob, S. Siems, and M. Manton
1:30 PM11D.2A parameterization of convective organization   wrf recording
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Neale
1:45 PM11D.3The Dissipation Efficiency of Moist Convection and Tropical Cyclones   wrf recording
David M. Romps, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA
2:00 PM11D.4A simple model of climatological rainfall over the Tropical oceans   wrf recording
Larissa E. Back, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. S. Bretherton
2:15 PM11D.5Semidiurnal variation in convection and atmospheric tides in an aquaplanet global cloud-resolving model (aquaplanet-NICAM)   wrf recording
Kazuaki Yasunaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and T. Nasuno, H. Miura, Y. N. Takayabu, and M. Yoshizaki
2:30 PM11D.6Performance of MOS statistical weather forecast guidance over the tropical western Pacific warm pool  extended abstract
James C. Su, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
2:45 PM11D.7Moisture vertical structure and tropical deep convection   wrf recording
Christopher E. Holloway, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms GF
Session 12A Tropical Cyclogenesis IV: Prediction
Chair: Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM12A.1The Experimental Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook: 2007 Results and Changes for 2008  extended abstract wrf recording
Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. Lauer, C. Juckins, and C. Landsea
3:45 PM12A.2Verification of the National Hurricane Center's Experimental Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts  extended abstract wrf recording
Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL; and J. L. Franklin and J. R. Rhome
4:00 PM12A.3An investigation of tropical cyclogenesis using QuikSCAT vector winds   wrf recording
Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor and M. A. Bourassa
4:15 PM12A.5Can detailed satellite analysis distinguish between developing and strong non-developing tropical disturbances?  extended abstract wrf recording
Brandon W. Kerns, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Zipser, C. Liu, and K. M. Greene
4:30 PM12A.6Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part I: The Atlantic  
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li
4:45 PM12A.7Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part II: western North Pacific  
Bing Fu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms E
Session 12B Evaluating Hurricane Risk
Chair: Michael Drayton, Risk Management Solution, Kaikohe New Zealand
3:30 PM12B.1Interannual Predictions of Landfalling Atlantic Hurricanes  
Katie Coughlin, RMS, London, United Kingdom; and T. Laepple, E. Bellone, S. Jewson, B. Ward, and S. Khare
3:45 PM12B.2Improvements to stochastic simulation of tropical cyclone tracks  extended abstract wrf recording
Jonas Rumpf, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany; and H. Weindl and V. Schmidt
4:00 PM12B.3Hurricane Risk Evaluation Using a Stochastically Simulated Event Set of Tropical Cyclone Tracks   wrf recording
Helga Weindl, Munich Reinsurance Company, 80796, Munich, Germany; and J. Rumpf, V. Schmidt, and A. Smolka
4:15 PM12B.4A comparison of methods for estimating extreme hurricane winds   wrf recording
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
4:30 PM12B.5Return period cyclonic wind hazard in the Australian region  extended abstract wrf recording
Craig Arthur, Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia; and A. Schofield, R. Cechet, and L. A. Sanabria
4:45 PM12B.6Rainfall Forecasts for Tropical Cyclones Worldwide   wrf recording
Adam S. R. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders and J. T. Heming
5:00 PM12B.7Roads or radar: Investing in infrastructure or improved forecasting in the face of tropical cyclone risk  extended abstract wrf recording
Seong Dae Kim, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. E. Bickel
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms H
Session 12C Tropical Cyclone Structure I: Rainbands and Precipitation
Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
3:30 PM12C.1Mini-supercells observed in an offshore outer rainband of Hurricane Ivan (2004)  extended abstract wrf recording
Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link
3:45 PM12C.2The Response of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation to Environmental Forcing   wrf recording
Matthew T. Wingo, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil
4:00 PM12C.3Convective bursts during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005): Precipitation morphology and vortex evolution   wrf recording
Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, A. J. Heymsfield, and G. M. Heymsfield
4:15 PM12C.4How Do Outer Spiral Rainbands Affect Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity?   wrf recording
Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
4:30 PM12C.5The microphysical processes of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall  extended abstract wrf recording
Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan
4:45 PM12C.6A study on the landfall typhoon with compact structure in Taiwan  extended abstract wrf recording
Yen Chu Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee
5:00 PM12C.7Rainfall Mechanisms of a landfalling Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone: Bilis (2006)   wrf recording
Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Gao and F. Zhang
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday 2008, Palms I
Session 12D Convection IV
Chair: Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
3:30 PM12D.1Cycles of deep convection over central and southern Africa   wrf recording
A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone and V. Levizzani
3:45 PM12D.2On the 3-4 day periodic convection over East Africa   wrf recording
Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and G. Kiladis
4:00 PM12D.3Stereo photogrammetric analysis of orographic convection during the North American Monsoon  extended abstract wrf recording
Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and J. Hu and A. Razdan
12D.4An observational study of variation in convective features in Palau: transition from diurnal to 2-day periods  
Tomoki Ushiyama, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and H. Kubota, K. Yasunaga, R. Shirooka, Y. N. Takayabu, and T. Chuda
4:15 PM12D.5Relationships between Gulf of California moisture surges and mesoscale convection derived from multi-year GOES imagery archives and North American Regional Reanalysis data  
John F. Mejia, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. W. Douglas
4:30 PM12D.6Orographic precipitation in the tropics: Experiments in Dominica   wrf recording
Ronald Smith, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and D. Kirshbaum and E. Regina
4:45 PM12D.7Analysis of the diurnal cycle of convection during the genesis stage of tropical cyclones in preparation for TCS-08 in the Western Pacific region   wrf recording
Louis L. Lussier III, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and P. Harr
 
6:30 PM-8:30 PM, Wednesday 2008, West Poolside Pavillion
Session Conference Cookout
 
Thursday, 1 May 2008
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF
Session 13A Conveying Uncertainties in Tropical Cyclone Forecasts
Chair: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM13A.1National Hurricane Center forecast verification  extended abstract wrf recording
James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
8:15 AM13A.2An analysis of along- and cross-track forecast errors and error biases for TCs in the Atlantic Basin  extended abstract wrf recording
Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer
8:30 AM13A.3Tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities and their relationships with coastal watches and warnings issued by the National Hurricane Center  extended abstract wrf recording
Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and J. A. Knaff
8:45 AM13A.4Including expressions of uncertainty within local forecast products during tropical cyclone wind situations   wrf recording
Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, M. R. Volkmer, and G. Rader
9:00 AM13A.5An examination of the logic within WFO software applications used to generate tropical cyclone impact graphics  extended abstract wrf recording
David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. R. Volkmer, P. Santos, and T. J. LeFebvre
9:15 AM13A.6An interactive website designed to enhance public understanding of storm surge threats  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert Bright, NOAA/NWS, North Charleston, SC; and F. Alsheimer, B. L. Lindner, G. Miller, D. Timmons, and J. Johnson
9:30 AM13A.7Perceptions of hurricane risk and the response to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast   wrf recording
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang and J. Sippel
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms E
Session 13B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones I: TC Analysis Applications
Chair: Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL
8:00 AM13B.1NRL tropical cyclone web page: A decade of evolution   wrf recording
F. Joseph Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, K. Richardson, C. Mitrescu, C. R. Sampson, J. E. Kent, R. H. Wade, and S. D. Miller
8:15 AM13B.2Using remotely-sensed observations to describe tropical cyclone formation and evolution  extended abstract
Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
8:30 AM13B.3Satellite classification operations at the Tropical Prediction Center during the 2007 Hurricane Season with Comparison to Recent Trends   wrf recording
Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and H. D. Cobb
8:45 AM13B.4Comparison of airborne SFMR, Dvorak satellite and best track maximum surface wind estimates   wrf recording
Peter G. Black, SAIC/Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and S. Mullins, C. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. L. Olander, and A. Burton
9:00 AM13B.5Evaluation of the First Deployment of Operational SFMR Instruments on the Hurricane Hunter Fleet   wrf recording
Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and M. Gooberlet, L. C. J. Talbot, E. W. Uhlhorn, and P. G. Black
9:15 AM13B.6Examination of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on hurricanes using data from TRMM, MODIS, and AIRS  extended abstract wrf recording
Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. L. Shie
9:30 AM13B.6Structure and evolution of the unnamed U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone of 2006   wrf recording
Zachary Gruskin, NOAA/AOML/HRD, southwest ranches, FL
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms H
Session 13C Tropical Cyclone Structure II: Two-Dimensional Wind Field
Chair: Eric Uhlhorn, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL
8:00 AM13C.1The Distribution of Surface Winds In Pacific Typhoons  extended abstract wrf recording
Ryan Ellis, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger
8:15 AM13C.2Environmental Influence on Tropical Cyclone Size  extended abstract wrf recording
Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and K. A. Hill
8:30 AM13C.3Examining Tropical Cyclone Structure Variability using H*Wind Analyses  extended abstract wrf recording
Robert A. Stenger, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry
8:45 AM13C.4Katrina sustained wind speeds observed along the Mississippi coast  
Miles B. Lawrence, Early Alert and Kevin Kennedy and Associates, Miami, FL; and B. R. Jarvinen and J. M. Pelissier
9:00 AM13C.4Case study of hurricane Wilma's wind structure evolution using HWRF  extended abstract wrf recording
Katherine S. Maclay, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
9:15 AM13C.5A rexamination of the relationship between central pressure and maximum sustained wind speed   wrf recording
Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
9:30 AM13C.6A revised hurricane pressure-wind model   wrf recording
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms I
Session 13D Rainfall and Flooding
Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, MD
8:00 AM13D.1Mesoscale precursors to the Hurricane Gaston flooding event as diagnosed from observations and numerical simulations  extended abstract wrf recording
Zachary G. Brown, Kentucky Mesonet, Bowling Green, KY; and M. L. Kaplan and Y. L. Lin
8:15 AM13D.2Effects of Appalachian topography on precipitation from landfalling hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recording
Steven Harville, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
8:30 AM13D.3Modeling Inland Flooding Due to Tropical Cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Qianhong Tang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie
8:45 AM13D.4The impact of tropical cyclone remnants on the rainfall of the North American Southwest region  extended abstract wrf recording
Elizabeth Ritchie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Johnson, S. White, and D. S. Gutzler
9:00 AM13D.5Performance of FSU multimodels rainfall forecast over the tropics during June-Sep 2007  
Akhilesh Kumar Mishra, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti
9:15 AM13D.610-year Climatology of Tropical Rainfall Characteristics from TRMM Data  extended abstract wrf recording
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
13D.7Comparison of TRMM and CMORPH Precipitation Estimates with Rain Gauge Data from China when affected by tropical cyclones  
Zifeng Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and H. Yu and C. Qian
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF
Session 14A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change I: Observational and Theoretical Studies
Chair: Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
10:15 AM14A.1A critique of Emanuel's hurricane model and potential intensity theory   wrf recording
Roger K. Smith, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and S. Vogl
10:30 AM14A.2Estimating the atmospheric and SST memory of tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson
10:45 AM14A.3Is tropical cyclone intensity change related to the strength of its convective precipitation features? Using 9 years of TRMM data to find an answer   wrf recording
Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser
11:00 AM14A.4A Statistical Analysis of JTWC NWPAC Intensity Trends  extended abstract
Stephen J. Barlow, 17th Operational Weather Squadron/Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
14A.5An Observational Study of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Atlantic  
Zhihua Zeng, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and L. Chen and Y. Wang
11:15 AM14A.6A retrospective study of the Interaction of the Saharan Air Layer with Atlantic basin tropical cyclones  
Evan B. Forde, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion
11:30 AM14A.7Verification of deterministic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Moving beyond mean absolute error  extended abstract wrf recording
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, MIT, Cambridge, MA
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E
Session 14B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones II: Passive Microwave
Chair: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA
10:15 AM14B.1Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall characteristics   wrf recording
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston
10:30 AM14B.2Tropical cyclone environmental vertical wind shear analysis using a microwave sounder  extended abstract wrf recording
Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff and M. DeMaria
10:45 AM14B.3Hurricane analysis with microwave sounder observations   wrf recording
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
11:00 AM14B.4The dependence of the microwave emissivity of the ocean on hurricane force wind speed  extended abstract wrf recording
Christopher S. Ruf, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. M. Mims and C. C. Hennon
11:15 AM14B.5Improved microwave remote sensing of hurricane wind speed and rain rates using the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)  extended abstract wrf recording
Salem El-Nimri, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and S. Al-Sweiss, R. Amarin, W. L. Jones, and C. S. Ruf
11:30 AM14B.6Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Ian Stuart Adams, NRL, Washington, DC; and M. H. Bettenhausen and P. W. Gaiser
11:45 AM14B.7Potential application of airborne passive microwave observations for monitoring inland flooding caused by tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and C. D. Radley and F. J. LaFontaine
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms H
Session 14C Tropical Cyclone Structure III: Inner Core
Chair: Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
10:15 AM14C.1Hurricane Vortices in Baroclinic Environments   wrf recording
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Jones
10:30 AM14C.2Aspects of chaotic mixing in the hurricane inner-core  extended abstract wrf recording
Eric Hendricks, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert
10:45 AM14C.3Rapid development of the tropical cyclone warm core   wrf recording
Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. L. Vigh
11:00 AM14C.4The evolution of thermodynamic structures in the inner core of Humberto (2001)  extended abstract wrf recording
Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. Barnes
11:15 AM14C.5Internal structure of Hurricane Isabel at landfall   wrf recording
Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff
11:30 AM14C.6Core convection in Hurricane Frances (2004)   wrf recording
Jaclyn D. Frank, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
11:45 AM14C.7Effect of baroclinicity on vortex axisymmetrization   wrf recording
Jiayi Peng, Internatinal Pacific Research Center,SOEST,University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms I
Session 14D Convectively Coupled Waves I
Chair: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
10:15 AM14D.1Modulation of diurnal convection by convectively coupled equatorial waves   wrf recording
George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. N. Tulich
10:30 AM14D.2Convectively-coupled gravity wave disturbances in the Tropics  
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis
10:45 AM14D.3Eastward-moving cloud clusters in a super cloud cluster in January 2007   wrf recording
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
11:00 AM14D.4Analysis of convectively coupled Kelvin waves in 21 WCRP CMIP3 models   wrf recording
Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. Haertel and G. N. Kiladis
11:15 AM14D.5Synoptic-scale disturbances embedded in the Madden-Julian Oscillation compared under the different ENSO phases   wrf recording
Ayako Seiki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, H. Kubota, H. Yamada, K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, and M. Yoshizaki
11:30 AM14D.6Statistical representation of equatorial waves and tropical instability waves in the Pacific Ocean   wrf recording
Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Kiladis and P. E. Roundy
11:45 AM14D.7A revised method of presenting wavenumber-frequency power spectrum diagrams   wrf recording
Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Yang and X. Fu
 
12:00 PM-1:15 PM, Thursday 2008
Lunch Break
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms GF
Session 15A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II: Rapid Intensification
Chair: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL
1:15 PM15A.1Rapid tropical cyclone transitions to major hurricane intensity: structural evolution of infrared imagery  extended abstract wrf recording
John A. Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO
1:30 PM15A.2Signs of Rapid Intensification as Depicted in the Microwave Imagery  extended abstract wrf recording
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam
1:45 PM15A.3“Optimal” Conditions for Rapid Intensifications of Tropical Cyclones with Limited Factors  extended abstract
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang and M. Kafatos
2:00 PM15A.4Vortical hot towers in a rapidly intensifying mature hurricane: observations and implications   wrf recording
Kelly C. Smith, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin
2:15 PM15A.5The rapid intensification of Guillermo (1997)  extended abstract wrf recording
Gary M. Barnes, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Sitkowski
2:30 PM15A.6Thermodynamic precursors to rapidly intensifying Atlantic Basin hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recording
Richard G. Henning, 46th Weather Squadron, Eglin AFB, FL
2:45 PM15A.7A revised rapid intensification index for the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins   wrf recording
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E
Session 15B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones III: Satellite-Derived Ocean Surface Winds
Chair: Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
1:15 PM15B.1The impact of QuikSCAT ocean surface vector wind retrievals in tropical cyclone analysis at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center   wrf recording
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and R. D. Knabb and P. Chang
1:30 PM15B.2Statistical analysis of surface wind distribution of typhoons on western North Pacific observed by scatterometer for 9 years  extended abstract wrf recording
Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa and M. Ueno
1:45 PM15B.3Q-Winds satellite hurricane wind retrievals and H*Wind comparisons  extended abstract wrf recording
Pet Laupattarakasem, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and W. L. Jones, C. C. Hennon, P. Black, J. Allard, and A. Harless
2:00 PM15B.4Preliminary assessment of the utility of ASCAT wind vector retrievals at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center  extended abstract wrf recording
R. D. Knabb; and P. S. Chang, Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, and Z. Jelenak
2:15 PM15B.5Simulation of the impact of new ocean surface wind measurements on H*Wind analyses   wrf recording
Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, R. Hood, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn
2:30 PM15B.6High Acccuracy Ocean Surface Winds from SAR Imagery   wrf recording
Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and H. Shen and Y. He
2:45 PM15B.7XOVWM: the Next-Generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds Mission   wrf recording
E. Rodriguez, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and B. W. Stiles, S. L. Durden, R. S. Dunbar, D. Esteban-Fernandez, P. S. Chang, Z. Jelenak, and S. Veleva
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms H
Session 15C Tropical Cyclone Structure IV: Vertical Structure
Chair: David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL
1:15 PM15C.1Relationship betwen tropical cyclone size and diabatic heating profile   wrf recording
Masahiro Sawada, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and T. Iwasaki
1:30 PM15C.2Extreme helicity and intense convective towers in Hurricane Bonnie (1998)   wrf recording
John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro
1:45 PM15C.3Vertical Profiles of Mean and Perturbation Structure of the Hurricane Boundary Layer from the GPS dropsondes   wrf recording
Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan and P. G. Black
2:00 PM15C.4Upshear-downshear variations in tropical cyclones from dropsondes  
Kay L. Shelton, SUNY, Albany, NY
2:15 PM15C.5Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Intensity and Rainfall Asymmetries of Strong Tropical Storm Bilis (2006)   wrf recording
Jinhua Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Techonology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Tan
2:30 PM15C.6Moist vortex resiliency in vertical shear flow   wrf recording
Paul D. Reasor, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and S. L. Young and M. D. Eastin
2:45 PM15C.7The vertical structure of tangential winds in tropical cyclones: theory, observations, and models   wrf recording
Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms I
Session 15D Convectively Coupled Waves II
Chair: George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
1:15 PM15D.1Gravity waves in shear and implications for organized convection  
Samuel N. Stechmann, New York University, New York, NY; and A. J. Majda and B. Khouider
1:30 PM15D.2Convectively coupled waves in a simple multi-cloud model on a beta-plane  
Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. J. Majda
1:45 PM15D.3Simulating large scale tropical waves  
Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and Z. Fuchs
2:00 PM15D.4Diagnosing MJO and convection behaviour in SP-CAM and CAM simulation  extended abstract
Hongyan Zhu, BMRC, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and H. H. Hendon and C. Jacob
2:15 PM15D.5African easterly wave dynamics in a full-physics numerical model   wrf recording
Gareth J. Berry, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft
2:30 PM15D.6A toy model of the instability in the equatorially trapped convectively coupled waves   wrf recording
Joseph Allan Andersen, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Z. Kuang
2:45 PM15D.7Synoptic wave perturbations and convective cystems over equatorial Africa   wrf recording
Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and J. P. Duvel
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Formal Poster Viewing
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2A Poster Session Hurricanes and Climate
P2A.1PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 P2A.1Typhoon Landfall Variations in East China during the Last 500 years  
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and M. Xu
 P2A.2Relationship of the Atlantic Meridional Mode with Atlantic hurricane tracks  
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and J. P. Kossin
 P2A.3A very fine-resolution relocatable grid tropical cyclone climate model  
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen, J. L. McGregor, and M. Stirling
 P2A.4Climatology of tropical cyclones in WRF-NRCM simulations  
Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and G. J. Holland
 P2A.5Daily to Seasonal Higher Latitude North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Threat Prediction  
Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 P2A.6Climate Variation and Prediction of Rapid Intensification  
Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and X. Zhou
 P2A.7Climate change and Caribbean hurricanes  
Mark Jury, University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez, Mayaguez, PR
P2A.8Enso signatures in landfalling Tropical Cyclones along the western Gulf of Mexico  
Melvin F. Martin Jr., NOAA/NWS, Brownsville, TX; and K. S. Lerman
 P2A.9The inability of winter to forget the memory of tropical cyclones  
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart
 P2A.10The interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the Southern South China Sea  extended abstract
Zabani Md. Zuki, Malaysian Meteorological Service; and G. L. Limpert and A. R. Lupo
 P2A.11Impact of tropical cyclones on interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific  
Hisayuki Kubota, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and B. Wang
 P2A.12Data stewardship of global tropical cyclone best tracks  extended abstract
Michael C. Kruk, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp, D. H. Levinson, and J. P. Kossin
 P2A.13On the Impacts of Climate Change on Midlatitude North Atlantic Landfalling Cyclones  
Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Yao and W. Zhang
 P2A.14Analysis of environmental factors associated with tropical cyclone activity in a future climate  
Kevin Talgo, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer
 P2A.16An analysis of tropical cyclone activity in a warmer climate: results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model  
Enrico Scoccimarro, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi and A. Navarra
 P2A.15The impact of ENSO on tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific using very high resolution AGCM  
Sung-Bin Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and D. Kim and I. S. Kang
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2B Poster Session Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones
 P2B.1An examination of COSMIC in the tropical cyclone environment  
Christopher M. Hill, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, H. Karan, and Y. Lau
 P2B.2Impact of GPS Radio occultation observations on ensemble analyses and forecasts of tropical Storms  
Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder
 P2B.3Improvement of WSR-88D VAD Winds: Cyclonic Wind Fields  extended abstract
Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
 P2B.4Rainfall characteristics of tropical cyclones and their contributions to the total rain analyzed with TRMM satellite data  
Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and C. Yokoyama
 P2B.5Research studies in progress at RSMC La Réunion : microwave imagery database related on tropical cyclones ; estimation of tropical cyclone genesis probability over the south-west indian ocean with ECMWF ensemble prediction forecast  extended abstract
Anne-Claire Fontan, METEO-FRANCE, Sainte-Clotilde, La Reunion, France; and O. Cabanes
 P2B.6O2-band differential absorption radar for sea level pressure barometry: Improvements in hurricane predictions  
Bing Lin, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and Q. Min, Y. Hu, S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, and D. Fralick
 P2B.7Assessment of Objective Satellite-Based Techniques as Viable Alternatives to Subjective Dvorak Estimates  
Gregory M. Gallina, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Spring, MD; and M. Turk
 P2B.8The new CIMSS tropical cyclone web site: A portal to advances in satellite analysis  
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
 P2B.9Using airborne Doppler radar to examine eyewall momentum and vorticity budgets  
Jessica L. Fieux, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
 P2B.10Improved microwave radiometric imaging of surface wind speed dynamics in the hurricane eye-wall  extended abstract
Ruba Amarin, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and C. S. Ruf, L. Jones, and S. S. Chen
 P2B.11Tropical cyclone intensity forecasting using a satellite-based total precipitable water product  extended abstract
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and J. Hawkins, J. P. Dunion, and D. K. Smith
 P2B.12Automatic quality control and analysis of airborne Doppler data: real-time applications, and automatically post-processed analyses for research  extended abstract
John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge and N. F. Griffin
 P2B.13Three-dimensional structure of Hurricane Rita boundary layer from the IWRAP radar  extended abstract
Sylvie Lorsolo, CIMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge, P. Black, R. F. Contreras, J. Carswell, S. J. Frasier, P. Chang, and D. Fernandez
 P2B.14Comparing Radar-Observed Hurricane Inner-Core Structure with that from Model-Prediction with and without Radar Data Assimilation  
Yonghui Wu, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou
 P2B.15A Technique for Anticipating Initial Rapid Increases in Intensity in Tropical Cyclones, Using 37 gHz Microwave Imagery  extended abstract
Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN
 P2B.16Uncertainty in Scatterometer-Derived Vorticity  
Kelly McBeth, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, P. D. Reasor, and P. Cunningham
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2C Poster Session Tropical Cyclogenesis
 P2C.1What triggers tropical cyclogenesis off the West African coast?  extended abstract
Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
 P2C.2Hurricane Formation in Diabatic Ekman Turbulence  
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and T. J. Dunkerton
 P2C.3Mesoscale and convective-scale characteristics of an incipient tropical depression observed over the western North Pacific  
Hiroyuki Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, M. Katsumata, T. Ushiyama, Q. Moteki, B. Geng, K. Yoneyama, H. Uyeda, K. Gohara, and K. Bessho
 P2C.4An objective algorithm for the identification of convective tropical cloud clusters in geostationary infrared imagery  extended abstract
Chip N. Helms, UNC Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. C. Hennon and K. R. Knapp
P2C.5An analysis of Convection-SAL Interaction to the NAMMA 2006 Field Campaign and the Relationship to Tropical Cyclogenesis  
Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins
 P2C.6Transition from an Eastern Pacific Upper-Level Mixed Rossby-Gravity Wave to a Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone  
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang
P2C.7The 2004 merger of tropical storm Lisa and an african eastery wave: an example of a Fujiwhara interaction in the central tropical Atlantic  
Scott Stripling, NOAA/NWS, Carolina, PR; and G. J. Berry
 P2C.8Lagrangian boundaries and flow visualization of the genesis of Hurricane Felix (2007)  
Zhuo Wang, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton
 P2C.9A first look at the genesis of Typhoon Manyi (2007) during the TCS-08 Dry Run  
Michael T. Montgomery, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Z. Wang and T. J. Dunkerton
 P2C.10Modulation of African waves from the advection of upper level moisture from the Tropical Easterly Jet  
Mrinal K. Biswas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
 P2C.11The influence of desertic aerosols on tropical cyclones  extended abstract
E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis and E. Williams
 P2C.12Hurrcane genesis & intensification in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and the North Atlantic Ocean  
William Paul Sokeland, ANL, Oakland City, IN
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2D Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change
P2D.1Impact of rain rate initialization, cloud microphysics and angular momentum torques on hurricane intensity  
Sandeep Pattnaik, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
 P2D.2Idealized numerical study of tropical cyclone intensification on a beta-plane  
Sang Van Nguyen, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. Smith and M. T. Montgomery
 P2D.3Guidance for Rapid Changes in Hurricane Intensity from Inner Core Data Sets and Multiple Diagnostic Approaches  
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, L. Stefanova, A. Martin, B. A . Schenkel, and A. Hayes
 P2D.4Hurricane control  extended abstract
Brian Sandler, none, West Bloomfield, MI
 P2D.5Simulated and observed updrafts and downdrafts in Hurricane Dennis (2005): Relationship to intensity  
Eric C. Meyers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and M. S. Gilmore
 P2D.6Rapid intensification of a tropical hurricane as self-organized development of open dissipative system  extended abstract
Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia
 P2D.7Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensity to the Representation of Ice Microphysics  
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang
 P2D.8The modulation of tropical cyclone structure and intensity by evolving outflow layer environmental flow  
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and G. J. Tripoli and M. C. Morgan
 P2D.9A bottom-up route of tropical cyclone intensity change in vertical wind shear  
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang
 P2D.10Do gravity waves transport angular momentum away from tropical cyclones?  
Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2E Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Observations
 P2E.1GPS Dropwindsonde observations of tropical cyclone low-level wind maxima  extended abstract
Ian M. Giammanco, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder, M. D. Powell, and D. A. Smith
P2E.1The Reanalysis of the Tropical Cyclones Intensity in the South Pacific during the 1982-1983 El Nino  
Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and L. Chalonge, M. Reghezza, and M. Augendre
 P2E.2The Aeroclipper: A new device to explore convective systems and cyclones  
Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and C. Basdevant, H. Bellenger, G. Reverdin, J. Vialard, and A. Vargas
 P2E.3Images of Katrina (2005) below the cloud  
Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and B. A. Walter, W. A. Perrie, D. G. Long, C. Nie, J. A. Zhang, P. G. Black, and R. F. Rogers
 P2E.4An extreme event during a research flight in Hurricane Felix  
Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers, E. Uhlhorn, and J. Gamache
 P2E.5The JPL tropical cyclone information system: design and implementation  
Brian W. Knosp, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, Y. Chao, V. T. Dang, M. Garay, Z. S. Haddad, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, B. H. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, K. J. Park, W. L. Poulsen, H. Su, D. G. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. K. Willis, and D. L. Wu
 P2E.6Scale Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variability in Observations of Tropical Cyclones  extended abstract
Sam Trahan, Physics Dept, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. C. Sparling, J. Halverson, and J. Bacmeister
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2F Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Structure
 P2F.1A theory on the expansion of Hurricane Katrina's wind field  
Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. M. Hill, Y. Lau, Y. Li, and J. Corbin
 P2F.2Simulating the Structure of Hurricane Katrina  
Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell
 P2F.3Formula of spiral cloud-rain bands of a tropical cyclone  extended abstract
Boris S. Yurchak, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD
 P2F.4Evolving low-wavenumber flows and the distribution of deep eyewall convection during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997)  
Matthew D. Eastin, Univ. of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and P. D. Reasor
 P2F.5Simulation and parameterization of large turbulent eddy transport in the hurricane boundary layer  
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL
 P2F.6Asymptotic analysis of the motion and structure of sheared mesoscale vortices  
Rupert Klein, Freie Universität Berlin (FUB), 14195 Berlin, Germany; and E. Mikusky, A. Owinoh, and P. Marschalik
 P2F.7Effects of surface exchange coefficients for high wind speeds on typhoon structure  extended abstract
Yoshiaki Miyamoto, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Takemi
 P2F.8Eliassen's linear model for a vortex boundary layer applied to a hurricane  
Stefanie Vogl, University of Munich, Munich, Germany
 P2F.9Spatial and statistical distribution of convective and stratiform clouds in the gyre-pouch of incipient tropical cyclones  
Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery, Z. Wang, and K. J. Tory
 P2F.10Diagnosing hurricane mixing properties by Lagrangian techniques  
Blake Rutherford, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. Danglemayr and J. Persing
 P2F.11Observations of the structure and evolution of surface and flight-level wind asymmetries in Hurricane Rita (2005)  
Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn
 P2F.12Simulations and observations of extreme low-level updrafts in Hurricane Isabel  extended abstract
Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and S. D. Aberson
 P2F.13The distribution of helicity and intense convection in tropical cyclones  
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Molinari, D. Vollaro, W. Wang, and J. M. Done
 P2F.14Using Lagrangian boundary concepts to investigate environmental interaction of tropical cyclones in vertical shear  
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang
 P2F.15On the breakdown of a primary spiral rainband in Typhoon Haitang (2005) before and after its landfall  extended abstract
Zhiying Ding, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Y. Wang
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2G Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Track
 P2G.1Structural Asymmetries and Track Changes of Tropical Cyclones during Landfall: Beta-Plane Simulations  
K.C. Szeto, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan
 P2G.2The effects of sea-surface temperature and static stability on WRF simulated intensity and track of selected 2005 Atlantic Hurricanes  extended abstract
Stanley D. Gedzelman, City College of New York, New York, NY; and K. Y. Kong
 P2G.3Track and Structural Changes Associated with Tropical Cyclone Making Landfall Near a River Delta  
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
 P2G.4Hurricane deflection by sea surface temperature anomalies  extended abstract
M.E. McCulloch, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and J. T. Heming and J. D. Stark
 P2G.5Tropical cyclone steering as a potential vorticity advection process: the role of cumulus parameterizations in defining an optimum steering column  
Brett Thomas Hoover, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms ABCD
Poster Session 2H Poster Session Tropical Cyclones at Landfall
 P2H.1Wind versus Water Damage to Buildings: A Meteorological Perspective  extended abstract
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX
 P2H.2Examination of the coastal transition zone of hurricane frances  
Brian D. Hirth, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder
 P2H.3Tree damage in Quintana Roo, Mexico caused by Hurricane Dean (2007)  extended abstract
Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL
 P2H.4Distribution of severe weather indices in landfalling numerically simulated hurricanes  extended abstract
Christina Holt, NWC REU & CASA, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball
 P2H.5The effectiveness of measured and derived tropical cyclone parameters in predicting coastal damage  extended abstract
Ronald, L. Schumann III, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. G. Blackwell and S. Kimball
 P2H.6Microphysical and dynamical characteristics in the stratiform region of Tropical Storm Gabrielle at landfall  extended abstract
Dong-Kyun Kim, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp
 P2H.7Numerical simulations of supercell tornadogenesis associated with Typhoon Shanshan (2006)  
Wataru Mashiko, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan
 P2H.8Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part I: Case studies from 2006 and 2007  extended abstract
Luis Farfan, CICESE, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California, Mexico; and R. Romero-Centeno, G. B. Raga, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo
 P2H.9Verification of quantitative precipitation forecast guidance from NWP models and the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center for 2005–2007 tropical cyclones with U.S. rainfall impacts  extended abstract
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Clark and M. Klein
 P2H.10Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part II: WRF simulations of John and Paul (2006)  extended abstract
D. Pozo, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and G. B. Raga, L. Farfan, R. Romero-Centeno, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo
 P2H.11Simulations of Near-Ground Hurricane Winds Influenced by Built Structures  extended abstract
Christopher D. Karstens, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus
 P2H.12A numerical modeling investigation of the impact of coastal roughness and moisture availability on the 10-meter horizontal wind field of a landfalling hurricane  
Javier Vazquez, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball
 P2H.13Estimates of turbulence dissipation rate from high frequency surface wind observations for landfalling tropical cyclones  
Paul Ruscher, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and W. Maxham
 P2H.14WSR-88D analysis of tornadic and nontornadic deep convection in landfalling tropical cyclone rainbands  extended abstract
Michael C. Link, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin
 P2H.15An analysis of the of the mean decay rate and decay abnormalities of tropical cyclones over land in the North Atlantic Basin  
Matt Bloemer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 P2H.16Frequency of collapsing precipitation cores within the eyewalls of U.S. landfalling hurricanes (1994-2007)  extended abstract
Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. M. Medlin
 P2H.17Landfall forecast biases for Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Lance Wood, NOAA, Dickinson, TX
 P2H.18The Hurricane Severity Index – A destructive potential rating system for tropical cyclones  
Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday 2008, Palms E
Session 16 Interactions between Tropical Cyclones and Large Scale Patterns
Moderator: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
7:00 PM16.1What role do tropical cyclones play in the global circulation?  extended abstract wrf recording
William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA
7:15 PM16.2The Atlantic meridional mode: predictability, dynamics, and impacts on tropical cyclones   wrf recording
Daniel J. Vimont, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin and D. Smirnov
7:30 PM16.3Examining the modulation of tropical cyclones by the MJO using a genesis potential index   wrf recording
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. C. Wheeler and A. H. Sobel
7:45 PM16.4Flooding in southern Mexico, tropical cyclone Noel and intense European storms in late October and early November 2007: Linked weather systems?   wrf recording
Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira
 
Friday, 2 May 2008
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms GF
Session 17A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III: Statistical-Dynamical Forecast Methods
Chair: John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
8:00 AM17A.1Merging statistical and dynamical forecasts for hurricane prediction  
Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD
8:15 AM17A.2A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity evolution  extended abstract wrf recording
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
17A.3A Statistical Intensity Prediction Scheme for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific  
Peiyan Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and H. Yu
8:30 AM17A.4A simple parameterization of sea surface cooling beneath a hurricane inner core  extended abstract wrf recording
Andrea Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, I. Ginis, and B. Thomas
8:45 AM17A.5The use of a SHIPS ensemble for probabilistic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts  
Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. DeMaria
9:00 AM17A.6Examination of environmental characteristics associated with secondary eyewall formation and their implications on intensity forecasts   wrf recording
Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin
9:15 AM17A.7Evaluating a revised 24-hour Atlantic statistical hurricane intensification model with operational numerical models   wrf recording
Kevin T. Law, Marshall University, Huntington, WV
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E
Session 17B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones IV: Radar
Chair: Colin McAdie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM17B.1Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida   wrf recording
Philip D. Hayes, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. Hart
8:15 AM17B.2A study of Doppler radar winds in Hurricane Wilma (2005)   wrf recording
Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Hebert, S. T. Murillo, and M. D. Powell
8:30 AM17B.3Determination of the circulation center and inner core evolution of Hurricane Danny (1997) using the GBVTD-simplex algorithm  extended abstract wrf recording
Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and W. C. Lee, G. M. Barnes, M. M. Bell, and F. D. Marks
8:45 AM17B.4Development of mobile dual-polarimetric radars for hurricane studies   wrf recording
Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Zahrai
9:00 AM17B.5Investigating the Kinematic and Thermodynamic Environment of a Landfalling Stratiform Rainband using Radar and Ground-Based Remote Sensing   wrf recording
Michael D. Williams, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp
9:15 AM17B.6The NEXRAD in SPACE: Potential Improvements to Hurricane Analysis and Prediction   wrf recording
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and H. Fang, Z. S. Haddad, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks, Y. Ramat-Sammi, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and C. Velden
9:30 AM17B.7The three-dimensional reflectivity structure of Atlantic hurricanes as seen by the TRMM precipitation radar   wrf recording
Deanna A. Hence, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms H
Session 17C Tropical Cyclone Structure V: Eye and Eyewall Structure
Chair: Michael T. Montgomery, NPS, Monterey, CA
8:00 AM17C.1Does friction initiate hurricane eye formation?  extended abstract wrf recording
Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado
8:15 AM17C.2Eyewall evolution for typhoons crossed the terrains   wrf recording
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu
8:30 AM17C.3Temporal and spatial evolution of mesovortices in the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Isabel (2003)   wrf recording
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Gruskin
8:45 AM17C.4Thermodynamic structure and evolution of the low level eye of Hurricane Lili (2002)  extended abstract wrf recording
Paul A. Fuentes, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes
9:00 AM17C.5Structure of the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Hugo (1989)   wrf recording
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery and R. W. Burpee
9:15 AM17C.6Energetics of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)  extended abstract wrf recording
Wallace Hogsett, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang
9:30 AM17C.7Pinhole eyes in tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recording
Kate D. Musgrave, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert and C. A. Davis
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms I
Session 17D Monsoons I
Chair: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
8:00 AM17D.1Annual intensification of the Somali jet in a quasi-equilibrium framework: Observational composites   wrf recording
William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA
8:15 AM17D.2Seasonality of recession time and lag response to precipitation of the Ankobra and Pra Rivers in Ghana, West Africa   wrf recording
Michael M. Tanu, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. I. Mohr
8:30 AM17D.3Western North Pacific Monsoon Depression Formation and Structure  extended abstract wrf recording
Jodi Beattie, Department of Physics, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. L. Elsberry
8:45 AM17D.4Collaboration of intraseasonal oscillation and synoptic-scale disturbances in the South China Sea summer monsoon onset  extended abstract wrf recording
Hang Wai Tong, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
9:00 AM17D.5A linkage between subtropical SST dipole event in southern Indian Ocean and ENSO developing  
Hongming Yan, Yunan Climate Center, Kunming, China, Kunming, China; and W. Zhou
9:15 AM17D.6Case study on internal structure of westward migratory cloud systems with diurnal cycle observed in the west Sumatera during HARIMAU2006 campaign   wrf recording
Namiko Sakurai, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), yokosuka, Japan; and S. Mori, M. Kawashima, Y. Fujiyoshi, J. I. Hamada, H. Fudeyasu, Y. Tabata, F. Syamsudin, M. D. Yamanaka, and J. Matsumoto
9:30 AM17D.7The Diurnal Cycle of Convection in NAME: Observations Versus Reanalysis   wrf recording
Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Friday 2008, Palms ABCD
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms GF
Session 18A Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change IV: Modeling Studies
Chair: Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
10:15 AM18A.1The Alignment and Intensification of Tropical Cyclone under a Sheared Environment  
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang
10:30 AM18A.2Prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclones with the Advanced Hurricane WRF (AHW) model  extended abstract wrf recording
Jimy Dudhia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Done, W. Wang, Y. Chen, Q. Xiao, C. Davis, G. Holland, R. Rotunno, and R. Torn
18A.3Evaluating the performance of high-resolution WRF-ARW simulations on TC intensity change during SAL outbreaks  
Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao
10:45 AM18A.4Superintensity evaluation in dry and moist hurricanes   wrf recording
Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis
11:00 AM18A.5Isolating surface flux influences on simulated hurricane intensity  extended abstract wrf recording
John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery
11:15 AM18A.6Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using an Air-Sea-Wave Coupled Prediction System  
Lian Xie, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and B. Liu, X. Zhang, S. Peng, and H. Liu
11:30 AM18A.7The maximum intensity of hurricanes in axisymmetric numerical models   wrf recording
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno
 
10:15 AM-11:00 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E
Session 18B Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones V: Lightning Detection
Chair: Ronald L. Holle, (Lightning) Vaisala, Tucson, AZ
10:15 AM18B.1The Morphology of Eyewall Lightning Outbreaks in Two Category Five Hurricanes   wrf recording
Kirt A. Squires, NOAA/NWS, Ronkonkoma, NY; and S. Businger
10:30 AM18B.2Using remotely sensed data to discriminate tropical cyclogenesis  extended abstract wrf recording
Lesley A. Leary, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie
10:45 AM18B.3Operational applications of long range lightning data at the National Hurricane Center   wrf recording
Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and J. Cangialosi, C. Lauer, N. W. Demetriades, and R. L. Holle
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms H
Session 18C Tropical Cyclone Structure VI: Concentric Eyewalls
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
10:15 AM18C.1Atlantic reconnaissance vortex message climatology and composites and their use in characterizing eyewall cycles   wrf recording
David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
10:30 AM18C.2The Role of Vortex Rossby Wave Dynamics on the Early Stage of Concentric Eyewall Formation   wrf recording
Yosvany H. Martinez, Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Brunet and M. K. Yau
10:45 AM18C.3Some dynamical aspects of tropical cyclone concentric eyewalls   wrf recording
Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. H. Schubert and J. P. Kossin
11:00 AM18C.4Interaction Between Two Concentric Potential Vorticity Rings – Implications to the Evolution of Hurricane Concentric Eyewall  
Jia Hu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii at Manoa,, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang
11:15 AM18C.5Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes   wrf recording
Wesley D. Terwey, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery
11:30 AM18C.6Hurricane Katrina's eyewall replacement cycle over the northern Gulf and accompanying double eyewalls at landfall: A key to the storm's huge size and devastating impact over a three-state coastal region   wrf recording
Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and A. Wimmers, C. Velden, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and B. Jelley
11:45 AM18C.7Western north Pacific typhoons with concentric eyewalls  
H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday 2008, Palms I
Session 18D Monsoons II
Chair: William R. Boos, MIT, Cambridge, MA
10:15 AM18D.1An early winter cooling in East Asia in a global warming scenario  
Wen Zhou, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and K. Wei
10:30 AM18D.2Improving Forecasts of Asian Monsoon Rainfall Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Refractivity Observations   wrf recording
Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, G. X. Wu, C. Snyder, and Y. Chen
10:45 AM18D.3Evaluation of land-atmosphere interactions in models of the North American Monsoon  
Patrick John Kelly, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
11:00 AM18D.4The aerosol- and water vapor-related variability of precipitation in the West Africa Monsoon  extended abstract wrf recording
Jingfeng Huang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang and J. M. Prospero
11:15 AM18D.5Concept and Changes of the Global Monsoon Precipitation   wrf recording
Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Q. Ding and J. Liu
11:30 AM18D.6Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: I. Simulations with an aquaplanet GCM   wrf recording
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider
 
11:00 AM-11:45 AM, Friday 2008, Palms E
Session 18E Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones VI: Altimetry
Chair: Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA
11:00 AM18E.1Validation and Application of Altimetry-derived Upper Ocean Thermal Structure in the Western North Pacific Ocean for Typhoon Intensity Forecast   wrf recording
Iam Fei Pun, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. -. I. Lin, C. R. Wu, D. S. Ko, and W. T. Liu
11:15 AM18E.2Storm surge measurement with an airborne scanning radar altimeter   wrf recording
Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, W. B. Krabill, W. A. Shaffer, S. R. Baig, M. Peng, L. J. Pietrafesa, A. W. Garcia, F. D. Marks, P. G. Black, J. Sonntag, and B. D. Beckley
11:30 AM18E.3Results of First Flight Tests of an Operational Airborne Scanning Radar Altimeter   wrf recording
Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and E. J. Walsh and P. G. Black
 
12:00 PM, Friday 2008
Conference Ends
 

Browse the complete program of The 18th Conference on Atmospheric BioGeosciences/28th Conference on Agricultural and Forest Meteorology/28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology
(28 April–2 May 2008)