29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Patrick Harr, NPS

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 9 May 2010
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 10 May 2010
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Conference Registration Continues through Friday MAY 14
 
8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Monday
Coffee Break
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 1A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Data Issues & Datasets
Chair: Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
8:30 AM1A.1An analysis of Atlantic hurricane seasons in the Pre-HURDAT era (1751-1850)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Steven A. LaVoie, Ball State University, Muncie, IN; and J. S. M. Coleman
8:45 AM1A.2A reanalysis of the 1944-1953 Atlantic hurricane seasons: The first decade of aircraft reconnaissance   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andrew B. Hagen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
9:00 AM1A.3Reassessing Pre-Satellite Era Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Climatology Using 20th Century Reanalysis Data   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ryan Truchelut, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
9:15 AM1A.4How intense were they? - A sampling study on how recent Category 5 hurricanes would be depicted in the historical record   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and A. B. Hagen and C. Carrasco
9:30 AM1A.5Quantifying interagency differences in tropical cyclone best track wind speeds  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 1B Monsoons: North American Monsoon
Chair: Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA
8:30 AM1B.1Analysis of an upper-level inverted trough during the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zach Finch, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson
8:45 AM1B.2Simulations of a North American Monsoon Gulf Surge Event  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andrew J. Newman, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson
9:00 AM1B.3Land surface–precipitation interactions in the North American Monsoon: Sensitivity to land surface model initialization and coupling  
Wendilyn J. Kaufeld, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt
9:15 AM1B.4Possible causes for an earlier demise of the North American Monsoon   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Paola Arias, Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX; and R. Fu and D. Ren
9:30 AM1B.5Multi-year observations of the complex relationship between sea breezes and rainfall along the western Sierra Madre during the North American Monsoon   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and V. M. Vincente, D. J. Gochis, and P. E. Johnston
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 1C Tropical Cyclones at Landfall
Moderator: John Cangialosi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
8:30 AM1C.1Wavelet analyses of turbulence in the hurricane boundary layer during landfalls   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang and F. Masters
8:45 AM1C.2An examination of stability changes allowing for increased gustiness over the Mid Atlantic from tropical systems   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John A. Billet, NOAA/NWSFO, Wakefield, VA; and J. Titlow III
9:00 AM1C.3The landfall of Tropical Storm Ida: Frontal structures and boundary layer variability   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kevin R. Knupp, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL ; and D. Phillips and T. Coleman
9:15 AM1C.4Tropical cyclone tornadoes: Synoptic scale influences and forecasting applications  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and L. A. Schultz
9:30 AM1C.5Calculating storm surge return periods for coastal locations on the Gulf of Mexico   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hal Needham, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA
 
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 1D Extratropical Transition: Physical processes
Chair: Elizabeth Ritchie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
8:30 AM1D.1Impacts of extratropical transition of Northern Hemisphere available potential energy   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eyad H. Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan
8:45 AM1D.2Large-scale flow reconfigurations over North America associated with recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
9:00 AM1D.3An observational study of the downstream Rossby wave response to recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel Keyser, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault, J. M. Cordeira, and L. F. Bosart
9:15 AM1D.4Downstream development during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: observational evidence and Influence on storm evolution  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and L. Liu and H. Zhu
9:30 AM1D.5Extratropical transition in the Southwest Indian Ocean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kyle S. Griffin, SUNY, Albany, NY
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 2A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Long-Term Variability
Chair: James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
10:15 AM2A.1Interannual Variability of Tropical Cyclone Scale over the western North Pacific and Related Environmental Control Mechanism  
Ming Ying, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/China Meteorological Administration, Shanghai, China
10:30 AM2A.2Interannual sea-surface temperature oscillations and tropical cyclone activity over the North Pacific basin  
Hye-Mi Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry
10:45 AM2A.3On the Increasing Intensity of the Strongest Hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger
11:00 AM2A.4Predictability of hurricane activity and impacts  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and I. Gonzales III and R. J. Hergert Jr.
11:15 AM2A.5Interdecadal variability of the intense typhoons in autumn  
Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. C. Chen and J. H. Chen
11:30 AM2A.6Impacts of Global Warming Events on Tropical Cyclones  
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin
11:45 AM2A.7A 4500-year record of hurricane frequency in the Gulf of Mexico archived in a North Florida sinkhole  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Philip Lane, MIT, Woods Hole, MA; and J. Donnelly, J. Woodruff, and A. Hawkes
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 2B Monsoons II
Chair: Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Hong Kong
10:15 AM2B.1The nature of summer-time precipitation over north-western Australia   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gareth J. Berry, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia; and M. Reeder and C. Jakob
10:30 AM2B.2Role of air-sea interaction for seasonal prediction of Australian monsoon rainfall   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Harry H. Hendon, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbounre, Vic, Australia; and E. P. Lim
10:45 AM2B.3Atmospheric Mixed Layers over the South China Sea during the Summer Monsoon   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson
11:00 AM2B.4Land-Atmosphere Interaction in IPCC AR4 Climate Models  
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin and D. H. Bromwich
11:15 AM2B.5Observational evaluation of a convective Quasi-Equilibrium view of Monsoons   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ji Nie, Harvard University,, Cambridge, MA; and W. R. Boos and Z. Kuang
11:30 AM2B.6Feedback mechanisms in monsoon transitions   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
11:45 AM2B.7Decadal change of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yoshiyuki Kajikawa, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and B. Wang
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 2C Hurricane Aerosol and Microphysics Program (HAMP)
Chair: William R. Cotton, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
10:15 AM2C.1The Hurricane Aerosol and Microphysics Program (HAMP): A HAMP Contribution   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Joe Golden, Golden Research & Consulting, Boulder, CO; and W. L. Woodley
10:30 AM2C.2Simulation of a landfalling hurricane using spectral bin microphysical model: effects of aerosols on hurricane intensity (the HAMP contribution)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and B. Lynn and J. Dudhia
10:45 AM2C.3Effects of aerosols on the Tropical Cyclone genesis as seen from simulations using spectral bin microphysics model (the HAMP contribution)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Barry Lynn, Weather It Is, LTD, Efrat, Israel; and A. P. Khain
11:00 AM2C.4Spray microphysics and effects on surface fluxes as seen from simulations using a Lagrangian model with spectral bin microphysics  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jacob Shpund, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
11:15 AM2C.5Can aerosols explain hurricane prediction errors?  
Michal Clavner, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld
11:30 AM2C.6Mechanisms of lightning formation in deep maritime clouds and hurricanes (The HAMP contribution)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nir Benmoshe, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and A. Khain, A. Pokrovsky, and V. Phillips
11:45 AM2C.7Feasibility study of the modification of the intensity of tropical cyclones by seeding CCN with an aircraft : A HAMP Project   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gustavo G. Carrio, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 2D Extratropical Transition: Forecast challenges
Chair: Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS Canada
10:15 AM2D.1Defining the Lifecycle of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones using Remotely-Sensed Imagery  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. F. Pineros, E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo
10:30 AM2D.2Data denial experiments for extratropical transition  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and C. Cardinali and S. C. Jones
10:45 AM2D.3Goal oriented adaptivity for tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Leonhard Scheck, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and M. Baumann, S. C. Jones, V. Heuveline, and M. N. Juckes
11:00 AM2D.4The structure of singular vectors associated with extratropical transition of tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Simon T. Lang, Karlsruher Institut für Technologie, Karlsruhe, BW, Germany
11:15 AM2D.5Distillation of key storm evolution characteristics from ensemble forecasts through path clustering   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jenni L. Evans, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Chiaromonte and P. K. Don
11:30 AM2D.6Investigation of predictability during the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones using the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Julia H. Keller, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
11:45 AM2D.7Support vector machine techniques to predict tropical cyclone re-intensification following extratropical transition  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Steven R. Felker, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. S. Tyo, E. A. Ritchie, and I. Vaughn
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 3A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Seasonal Forecasting
Chair: Kevin Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC Australia
1:15 PM3A.1Verification of 12 years of NOAA Atlantic seasonal hurricane forecasts  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. J. Pasch and G. D. Bell
1:30 PM3A.2Intraseasonal predictions of tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic Ocean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James I. Belanger, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and J. A. Curry
1:45 PM3A.3The non-stationary correlations between West African precipitation and Atlantic hurricane activity  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink and S. Kotthaus
2:00 PM3A.4Caribbean/Central American hurricane landfall probabilities  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
2:15 PM3A.5Environmental signals in property damage losses from hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
2:30 PM3A.6On the development of seasonal tropical cyclone prediction schemes for the Fiji region   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Savin S. Chand, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and K. J. E. Walsh and J. Chan
2:45 PM3A.7Statistical forecast model for tropical cyclone formation in the Australian region   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Angelika Werner, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 3B Tropical Cyclone Formation: African Easterly Waves
Chair: Sarah C. Jones, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe Germany
1:15 PM3B.1The tropical cyclogenesis "hole" in the Caribbean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kay L. Shelton, SUNY, Albany, NY
1:30 PM3B.2Genesis of Pre-hurricane Felix (2007) and the Role of the Wave Critical Layer  
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton
1:45 PM3B.3Isentropic descent beneath the Saharan Air Layer and its impact on tropical cyclogenesis  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael L. Diaz, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
2:00 PM3B.4African Easterly Wave Evolution Pre- and Post-tropical Cyclogenesis  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
2:15 PM3B.5Dynamics of African easterly Wave storm track   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
2:30 PM3B.6Orographic and moisture effects on the evolution of the pre-Debby (2006) African easterly waves-mesoscale convective systems over Africa   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Guoqing Tang, N. C. A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin, J. Spinks, and W. Jones
2:45 PM3B.7Probabilistic discrimination between large-scale environments of intensifying and decaying African Easterly Waves   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Paula A. Agudelo, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, J. Curry, and P. Webster
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 3C HFIP: High-Resolution Modeling I
Chair: James Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA
1:15 PM3C.1NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP): Project Plan and Status Report   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. L. Gall and F. Toepfer
1:30 PM3C.2The HFIP High-Resolution Hurricane Forecast test: overview and results of track and intensity forecast verification  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ligia R. Bernardet, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, S. Bao, B. Brown, L. Carson, T. Fowler, J. Halley Gotway, C. Harrop, and J. Wolff
1:45 PM3C.3The HWRFx Modeling System: The High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Xuejin Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. G. Gopalakrishnan, K. Yeh, R. F. Rogers, S. D. Aberson, F. D. Marks Jr., and T. Quirino
2:00 PM3C.4Does enhanced horizontal resolution improve hurricane intensity forecasts?   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang, J. Dudhia, R. Torn, S. Fredrick, R. Rotunno, C. Snyder, S. Cavallo, and J. M. Done
2:15 PM3C.5Performance of the GFDL hurricane model during HFIP High-Resolution Hurricane Test Project   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas, M. A. Bender, and T. Marchok
2:30 PM3C.6COAMPS-TC Forecasts for HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Tests  
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, Y. Jin, and J. D. Doyle
2:45 PM3C.7The impact of adjusting physics in the university of wisconsin nonhydrostatic modeling system (UW-NMS) on tropical cyclone evolution   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zachary Gruskin, University of Wisconsin , Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis, G. J. Tripoli, and T. Hashino
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 3D Remote Sensing:Passive microwave techniques
Moderator: Dr. John L. Beven, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
1:15 PM3D.1Improvement of passive microwave rainfall retrievals over the mountain area in Japan   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and H. Ashiwake, S. Kida, T. Kubota, T. Manabe, and K. Okamoto
1:30 PM3D.2The use of satellite-derived Total Precipitable Water (TPW) imagery for identifying Saharan Air Layers affecting tropical cyclones  
Evan B. Forde, NOAA/AOML/CSND, Miami, FL; and M. L. Black and J. Dunion
1:45 PM3D.3Measuring the structure of hurricanes with a microwave sounder  
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
2:00 PM3D.4The Megha-Tropiques mission   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Remy Roca, LMD IPSL Paris, Paris, France
2:15 PM3D.5aRecent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. Velden
3D.5Updates to a Global Microwave Tropical Cyclone Archive  
Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and M. Brewer, K. Hilburn, T. Meissner, and F. J. Wentz
2:30 PM3D.6Estimates of Hurricane Wind Speed Measurement Accuracy using the Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ruba Amarin, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and L. Jones, J. Johnson, C. Ruf, T. L. Miller, and S. S. Chen
2:45 PM3D.7Development, capabilities, and impact on wind analyses of the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and M. W. James, R. Amarin, R. Atlas, M. C. Bailey, P. G. Black, C. D. Buckley, S. S. Chen, S. El-Nimri, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, W. L. Jones, C. S. Ruf, D. E. Simmons, E. Uhlhorn, and C. M. Inglish
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday
Session Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 4A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Modeling Studies
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
3:30 PM4A.1TCs rainfall and TCs rainfall efficiency simulated in a high resolution climate model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
A.S. Daloz, CNRM, Centre National de Recherches Scientifiques, Toulouse, France; and F. Fabrice Chauvin and F. Frank Roux
3:45 PM4A.2Modeling the tropical cyclone-induced biological flux of carbon Into the thermocline  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Neil L. Zimmerman, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel
4:00 PM4A.3The effects of relative versus absolute SST on tropical cyclone potential intensity using a single column model  
Hamish A. Ramsay, NASA GISS/ Columbia University, New York, New York; and A. H. Sobel
4:15 PM4A.4Stratospheric cooling and tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA
4:30 PM4A.5Simulation of tropical cyclone precursors and dynamically-downscaled simulations of tropical cyclones over an Australian domain   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sally Lavender, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia; and K. Walsh
4:45 PM4A.6Thermodynamic control of tropical cyclogenesis in environments of radiative-convective equilibrium   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and K. A. Emanuel
5:00 PM4A.7Application of scale-selective data assimilation to seasonal simulation of tropical cyclones  
Shiqiu Peng, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Guangzhou, China
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 4B Tropical Cyclone Formation: Physical Processes
Chair: Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM4B.1Analyses of Ring of maximum Wind, Ring of Maximum Pressure Gradient, Inflow angle and RMW in Tropical Storm  extended abstract
P. Kumar, MIT College of Engineering, Pune-411029, Maharashtra, India
3:45 PM4B.2Developing a parameter to detect imminent TC formation based on large-scale flow properties  
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and R. Dare
4:00 PM4B.3What are the characteristics of convective systems leading up to tropical cyclogenesis? A multisatellite investigation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser
4:15 PM4B.4The creation of an equivalent potential temperature reservoir in the eye of a deepening tropical cyclone   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gary M. Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. Dolling
4:30 PM4B.5Microphysical properties of developing versus non-developing cloud clusters during tropical cyclogenesis  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nathan D. Johnson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and W. C. Conant and E. A. Ritchie
4:45 PM4B.6Pre-depression vortex development from “unspectacular” convection: A genesis case study of tropical storm Gert (2005)  
Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and C. A. Davis, M. T. Montgomery, S. A. Braun, and P. D. Reasor
5:00 PM4B.7A spatial filter approach to determining the role of convection on the evolution of a mesoscale vortex   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Glenn Creighton, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 4C HFIP: High-Resolution Modeling II
Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL
3:30 PM4C.1The Tropical Cyclone Modeling Testbed (TCMT) and its role in the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, T. Jensen, and C. Williams
3:45 PM4C.2An overview of the COAMPS-TC system applied during HFIP and T-PARC   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, J. Cummings, R. M. Hodur, E. Hendricks, T. Holt, H. Jin, Y. Jin, C. S. Liou, J. R. Moskaitis, M. Peng, K. D. Sashegyi, and J. Schmidt
4:00 PM4C.3Real-time Cloud-resolving Ensemble Analysis and Forecast Assimilating Airborne Doppler Radar Observations during the 2008/2009 Atlantic Hurricane Seasons   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Fuqing Zhang, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and Y. Weng, J. Gamache, and F. Marks
4:15 PM4C.4A high resolution version of operational HWRF: forecast ability and computational challenges presented by an operational environment  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sam Trahan, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, J. Oconnor, L. C. Sparling, and B. Lapenta
4:30 PM4C.5Hurricane forecasts during the 2009 season using a suite of mesoscale models   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Dr. Tiruvalam N. Krishnamurti, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. K. Biswas
4:45 PM4C.6High-resolution global ensemble hurricane forecasts using an experimental ensemble Kalman filter based analysis and prediction system   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and M. Fiorino, T. Hamill, S. G. Benjamin, and P. Pegion
5:00 PM4C.7Dynamical 4D vortex initialization for GFDL's global high-resolution hurricane modeling system   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
S.-J. Lin, NOAA, Pricenton, NJ
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Monday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 4D Remote Sensing: Applications
Moderator: Jeffrey Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA
3:30 PM4D.1Satellite-based intensity estimates of tropical cyclones: where do we go in the future?  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
3:45 PM4D.2Tropical cyclone convection and intensity analysis using differenced infrared and water vapor imagery   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Timothy Olander, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden
4:00 PM4D.3Tropical Cyclone Center-Fixing in Microwave or Infrared Imagery   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden
4:15 PM4D.4The CIMSS SATellite CONsensus (SATCON) tropical cyclone intensity algorithm  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Velden, J. Hawkins, T. Olander, and A. Wimmers
4:30 PM4D.5Potential impacts of a Dual Frequency Scatterometer on tropical cyclone and marine analysis and forecasting   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and R. Knabb
4:45 PM4D.6New Wind Measurement Capabilities With The High-Altitude Imaging Wind and Rain Profiler   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Li and J. Carswell
5:00 PM4D.7Tropical cyclone dynamics revealed by MISR high-resolution, height-resolved, cloud-track winds and cloud top heights  
Michael J. Garay, Raytheon Corporation, Pasadena, CA; and K. Mueller, D. Wu, C. Moroney, V. Jovanovic, and D. Diner
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Session Ice Breaker Reception
 
7:45 PM-9:00 PM, Monday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session Reflections on the Life and Science of Joanne Simpson
 
Tuesday, 11 May 2010
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 5A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Climate Controls on Extreme Events
Chair: Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY
8:00 AM5A.1The North Atlantic subtropical high and tropical cyclone tracks   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Angela J. Colbert, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. J. Soden
8:15 AM5A.2Climate modulation of North Atlantic hurricane tracks: observations and implications  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and S. J. Camargo and M. Sitkowski
8:30 AM5A.3Climate control of global tropical storm days: El Niño and global warming   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Bin Wang, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Yang, Q. Ding, and F. Huang
8:45 AM5A.4Impact of climate variability and change on Hurricane extremes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM5A.5Influence of Sea Surface Warming on Long-Term Changes of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Formation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Liguang Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and L. Tao and Q. Ding
9:15 AM5A.6The effects of early season ENSO on peak season tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lance E. Steele, Weathernews America, Inc., Norman, OK
9:30 AM5A.7Analysis of National Hurricane Center track forecast errors based upon geographic location   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hannah C. Barnes, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont and J. Kossin
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 5B Tropical Cyclone Formation: Numerical Models
Chair: Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA
8:00 AM5B.1Measuring environmental favorability for tropical cyclogenesis: Genesis parameters and point-downscaling   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael G. McGauley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan
8:15 AM5B.2Numerical studies on the role of mesoscale convective systems during the formation of Typhoon Ketsana (2003)  
Xinyan Lu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and K. K. W. Cheung and Y. Duan
8:30 AM5B.3Ensemble simulation of cyclone Nargis by a Global Cloud-system-resolving Model -- modulation of cyclogenesis by the Madden-Julian Oscillation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hiroshi Taniguchi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan; and W. Yanase and M. Satoh
8:45 AM5B.4Observations and high-resolution modeling of tropical cyclone formation: Developing and non-developing cases over the west Pacific   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Brandon W. Kerns, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
9:00 AM5B.5Multiscale interactions in the formation of a Tropical Cyclone simulated in a global cloud-system-resolving model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hironori Fudeyasu, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang, M. Satoh, T. Nasuno, H. Miura, and W. Yanase
9:15 AM5B.6Evolution of multi-scale vortex in the development of Hurricane Dolly (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang
9:30 AM5B.7aApplication of synthetic GOES imagery to the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yi Jin, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA; and L. Grasso
5B.7Evaluation of tropical cyclogenesis in operational global models and their ensembles  
Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. J. Pasch and H. L. Pan
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 5C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Rapid Intensification
Moderator: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM5C.1Axisymmetric and asymmetric processes of tropical cyclone-like vortex during the rapid intensification phase   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yoshiaki Miyamoto, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
8:15 AM5C.2Inner-core vacillation cycles during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Katrina   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, Melbourne, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder, N. E. Davidson, R. K. Smith, and M. T. Montgomery
8:30 AM5C.3Convective scale evolution during rapid intensification of a tropical cyclone   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John Molinari, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro
8:45 AM5C.4Vertical velocity and microphysical distributions related to the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eric C. Meyers, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and S. W. Nesbitt
9:00 AM5C.5Modulation of eyewall convection by eye-eyewall mesovortices during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and P. D. Reasor
9:15 AM5C.6Rapid deepening of tropical cyclones in the northeastern Tropical Pacific: The relationship with ocean eddies  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Fernando Oropeza, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmosfera, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and G. B. Raga
9:30 AM5C.7Evaluation of GFDL wind field structure during rapid intensification TC cases using H*Wind   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and B. Annane and R. F. Rogers
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 5D African Climate and Weather I
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
8:00 AM5D.1Analysis of easterly waves in the YOTC period   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and M. A. Janiga
8:15 AM5D.2Simulations of the propagation and diurnal cycle of organized convection in Africa   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis and S. B. Trier
5D.3The interannual variability of pre-storm environments of intense convective systems in West Africa: Application to future climate scenarios  
Karen I. Mohr, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Nicholls
8:30 AM5D.4Regional analysis of West African monsoonal convective systems   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nick Guy, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge and B. Dolan
8:45 AM5D.3aThe Role of Guinea Highlands Convection on Tropical Cyclogenesis  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael J. Ventrice, SUNY, Albany, NY
9:00 AM5D.5Role of cross-equatorial SST gradients and orography in African easterly wave genesis  
Sara C. Vieira, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster
9:15 AM5D.6Easterly wave structural evolution over West Africa and the East Atlantic  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Matthew A. Janiga, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY
9:30 AM5D.7Controls on the interannual variability of rainfall over western equatorial Africa   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 
8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 6A Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Climate Change Modeling
Chair: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
10:15 AM6A.1Simulations of global hurricane climatology, interannual variability, and response to global warming using a 50km resolution GCM   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ming Zhao, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. M. Held, S. J. Lin, and G. A. Vecchi
10:30 AM6A.2Effects of tropical cyclones on ocean heat transport as simulated by a high resolution coupled general circulation model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Enrico Scoccimarro, INGV-CMCC, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi, A. Bellucci, A. Sanna, P. Oddo, and A. Navarra
10:45 AM6A.3Response of Tropical Cyclone Potential Intensity to a Global Warming Scenario in the IPCC AR4 CGCMs   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jinhua Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Techonology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and K. P. Hamilton
11:00 AM6A.4North American regional climate simulations: Dynamical downscaling experiments to predict hurricane activity under global warming   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. Holland, J. Done, and C. Bruyere
11:15 AM6A.5Lessons learned from North American Regional Climate Model (NRCM) Experiments   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Cindy Bruyere, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Holland, A. Suzuki-Parker, and J. Done
11:30 AM6A.6Tropical Cyclogenesis Potential in Climate Change: An Application of Artificial Neural Networks   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zheng Ki Yip, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. K. Yau
11:45 AM6A.7Projected changes in cyclonic wind hazard in the Australian region  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Craig Arthur, Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 6B Tropical Cyclone Formation: Prediction
Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL
10:15 AM6B.1Climatology of Dvorak classifications to support operational probabilistic tropical cyclogenesis forecasts   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Joshua Cossuth, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Knabb and D. P. Brown
10:30 AM6B.2Development and applications of a new Genesis Potential Index   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and M. K. Tippett, A. H. Sobel, G. A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao
10:45 AM6B.3Operational forecast on Asian Monsoon region cyclone genesis and tracks   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jun Jian, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. Webster
11:00 AM6B.4A global TC development pathway climatology   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
R. McTaggart-Cowan, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and T. J. Galarneau Jr., L. F. Bosart, R. W. Moore, and O. Martius
11:15 AM6B.5Late season tropical cyclogenesis in the western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lance Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
11:30 AM6B.6Tropical cyclogenesis associated with extratropical precursors in the North Atlantic   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
11:45 AM6B.7Late season tropical cyclone formation over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Rachel G. Mauk, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 6C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: MPI and Environmental Influences
Moderator: John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:15 AM6C.1Energy Production, Frictional Dissipation, and Maximum Intensity of Tropical Cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. Xu
10:30 AM6C.2Critical alignment number and maximum potential intensity of a tropical cyclone  extended abstract
Irakli G. Shekrildaze, Georgian Technical University, Tbilisi, Georgia
10:45 AM6C.3Dynamical constraints on the intensity and size of tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christoph Schmidt, Ludwig-Maximilians University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith and M. T. Montgomery
11:00 AM6C.4Quantifying environmental control on tropical cyclone intensity change   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng, B. Fu, and T. Li
11:15 AM6C.5A new paradigm for intensity change of tropical cyclones in vertical wind shear   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and M. E. Nicholls
11:30 AM6C.6The evolution of Humberto in a sheared environment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes
11:45 AM6C.7Arc clouds in the tropical cyclone environment: Implications for TC intensity change   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jason Dunion, University of Miami/CIMAS-NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. D. Eastin, D. S. Nolan, J. Hawkins, and C. Velden
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 6D African Climate and Weather II
Organizer: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
Chair: Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM6D.1Assessment of recent rainfall anomalies in West Africa  
Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
10:30 AM6D.2Coastal rainfall onset in the West African monsoon   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and C. Zhang
10:45 AM6D.3Some dynamical aspects of the precipitation regime over western equatorial Africa  
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and B. Jackson
11:00 AM6D.4Variability of Atmospheric Moisture during the Boreal Spring in West Africa  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Roberto J. Mera, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi and A. G. Laing
11:15 AM6D.5Anomalous northern hemispheric summer mid-tropospheric circulation over West Africa  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Isaac K. Tetteh, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi
11:30 AM6D.6Dynamics of the West African westerly jet and its association with Sahel precipitation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Bing Pu, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
11:45 AM6D.7Theory and observations of West African monsoon onset  
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 7A Industry Related Hurricane Research and Applications
Chair: Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:15 PM7A.1Onshore Natural Gas and Agriculture Producer Sensitivity to Gulf of Mexico Hurricane Risk   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Joshua Darr, Chesapeake Energy, Chicago, IL; and J. Davis and M. Russo
1:30 PM7A.2Genesis Potential Index for Tropical Cyclones in the Nested Regional Climate Model (NRCM) Experiments   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Cindy Bruyere, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Holland, J. Done, and A. Suzuki-Parker
1:45 PM7A.3A revised model for the radial profiles of hurricane winds   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Fritz and J. Belanger
2:00 PM7A.4The effect of warmer SST on a stochastic Atlantic hurricane model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jessica K. Turner, RMS, London, United Kingdom; and K. Coughlin, T. Laepple, S. Jewson, E. Bellone, and D. Rowlands
2:15 PM7A.5Use of dynamical weather and climate models for tropical cyclone risk assessment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO
2:30 PM7A.6Interpretation of decadal tropical cyclone forecasts for decision-support: application to insurance and disaster risk reduction along the US Gulf Coast and the Caribbean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nicola Ann Ranger, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, United Kingdom; and L. Smith, F. Niehoerster, R. Muir-Wood, and H. Kunreuther
2:45 PM7A.7A New Paradigm Shift from Weather to Quantitative Impact Forecasts   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. Geernaert and R. Luettich
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 7B Tropical Cyclone Structure I
Chair: Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic Australia
1:15 PM7B.1Vertical distribution of radar reflectivity in intense Atlantic tropical cyclone eyewalls observed by the TRMM Precipitation Radar   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Deanna A. Hence, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.
1:30 PM7B.2Simulated impacts of environmental parameters on tropical cyclone size and structure change  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Elizabeth A. Ritchie, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. R. Felker and D. R. Stovern
1:45 PM7B.3Idealized investigation of mechanisms linking tropical cyclone eye wall vorticity structure to interactions of the inflow and outflow with the environment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
2:00 PM7B.4The vertical structure of tangential winds in simulated tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
2:15 PM7B.5Impact of vortex structure on tropical cyclone response to diabatic heating   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. K. Taft, J. L. Vigh, and W. H. Schubert
2:30 PM7B.6Analysis of Five Types of Dropwindsonde Dynamic and Thermodynamic Profiles in Tropical Cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Tom J. Philp, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson
2:45 PM7B.7Eye formation by dynamical adjustment of the tropical cyclone's inner core  
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 7C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Theory
Chair: Peter Black, NRL, Monterey, CA
1:15 PM7C.1Analysis of axisymmetric hurricanes in statistical equilibrium  
Gregory J. Hakim, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
1:30 PM7C.2Entropy ventilation in an axisymmetric tropical cyclone model  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel
1:45 PM7C.3Tropical-cyclone intensification: Part I: The role of the boundary layer   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian's University, Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery
2:00 PM7C.4Tropical cyclone intensification: Part II: The role of air-sea moisture fluxes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School and NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith
2:15 PM7C.5Tropical cyclone intensification: Sensitivity to the boundary-layer parameterization in a numerical model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Gerald L. Thomsen, Ludwig Maximilian's University, Munich, Germany; and R. K. Smith
2:30 PM7C.6The concepts of Rossby length and Rossby depth and their application to hurricane dynamics   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and B. D. McNoldy
2:45 PM7C.7Non-linear response of hurricane vortices to heating perturbations in an observational regime   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 7D African Climate and Weather III
Chair: Christopher Thorncroft, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY
7D.1Numerical simulation of the 8 September 2006 MCS during AMMA: evaluation of the dynamics and microphysics using synthetic observations  
Guillaume Penide, LAMP Laboratoire de Météorologie Physique, Aubière, France; and V. Giraud, D. Bouniol, A. Protat, C. Duroure, P. Dubuisson, and S. Cautenet
1:15 PM7D.1aTropical Storm Debby: Genesis dynamics and the relevance of the Saharan air layer   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jason Sippel, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Braun
1:30 PM7D.2Multi-scale analysis of the 25-27 July 2006 convective period over Niamey: Doppler radar observations and simulations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christelle Barthe, Laboratoire de l'Atmophere et des Cyclones (CNRS, Universite de la Reunion, Meteo-France), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and N. Asencio, J. P. Lafore, M. Chong, B. Campistron, and F. Cazenave
1:45 PM7D.3The Relationship Between the Air-Sea Interactions and Tropical Cyclone Intensity  
Jamese D. Sims, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Jenkins and R. Grumbine
2:00 PM7D.4Microphysical characterisation of west African MCS anvils  
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. Delanoë, C. Duroure, A. Protat, V. Giraud, and G. Penide
2:15 PM7D.5Convection in an African Easterly Wave over West Africa and the Eastern Atlantic: A model case study of Helene (2006)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
2:30 PM7D.6Hurricane Helene (2006) and the Saharan air layer  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sarah C. Jones, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and J. Schwendike, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel
2:45 PM7D.7Prediction of dry-season precipitation in tropical West Africa and its relation to forcing from the extratropics   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andreas H. Fink, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Knippertz
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 7
Poster Session 1 Posters: TCs and Climate, Monsoons, HFIP, TC Formation, Extratropical Transition, Industry Applications, TC Intensity, African Climate and Weather
Organizer: Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA
 P1.33Water vapor eye temperatures of intense tropical cyclones  
Roger Weldon, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Schwartz
 P1.1Hurricane ensemble prediction using NCEP operational HWRF system and GEFS perturbations  extended abstract
Zhan Zhang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Q. Liu, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord
 P1.2The risk of strong hurricane winds to Florida cities  
Jill Christine Malmstadt, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner and T. H. Jagger
 P1.3Helical features of tropical cyclogenesis  
Galina V. Levina, Russian Academy of Sciences, Perm, Russia; and M. T. Montgomery
 P1.4Toward a Global Climatology of Tropical Cloud Clusters  extended abstract
Christopher C. Hennon, Univ. of North Carolina Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. N. Helms and K. R. Knapp
 P1.5Initial condition sensitivity and predictability of tropical cyclogenesis  
James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault, C. A. Reynolds, and J. R. Moskaitis
 P1.6Future change of North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks: projection by a 20-km-mesh global climate model  
Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and B. Wang and A. Kitoh
 P1.7Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Making Landfall Along the South China Coast  
Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan, W. L. Ginn, and S. M. Lee
 P1.8Detecting Tropical Cyclone Formation from Satellite Infrared Imagery  extended abstract
Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo
 P1.9Impact of resolution and downscaling technique in simulating Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with GEM-Climate  
Louis-Philippe Caron, University of Quebec in Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones and K. Winger
 P1.10Analyses of tropical cyclone characteristics and its relation to environmental conditions based on IPRC-regional climate model  
Yi Lu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang
 P1.11Feasibility Study of Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific Area using RegCM3  extended abstract
Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
 P1.12Simulation of the interannual variation of seasonal northwest Pacific typhoon activity with a regional climate model  
Cheng-Ta Chen, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. R. Knutson, S. T. Garner, S. Chang, J. J. Sirutis, Y. C. Feng, and C. Chou
P1.13Dynamic hurricane season prediction experiment with the NCEP T382 CFS CGCM  
Jae-Kyung E. Schemm, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. N. Long
 P1.14Pattern classification of typhoon tracks and related large-scale circulations  
Hyeong-Seog Kim, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and C. H. Ho, J. H. Kim, and P. S. Chu
 P1.15Targeted observation for tropical cyclone during T-PARC 2008  
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and P. Harr, C. C. Wu, and M. Weissmann
 P1.16Hurricane reanalysis using Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data  extended abstract
Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
 P1.17Tropical cyclones and the Quasi-biennial Oscillation  
Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel
 P1.18The relationship between precipitation in the tropics and tropical cyclone frequency  extended abstract
Allison A. Wing, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. Emanuel
 P1.19The Tropical Cyclone Climate Model Intercomparison Project  
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and S. Lavender
P1.20Impacts of operational vortex initializations on 2009 hurricane forecast with the HWRFx model  
Kao-San Yeh, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang, T. Quirino, V. Tallapragada, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, and R. Atlas
 P1.21A Global Unified View of ENSO Modulation of Tropical Cyclones  
Meng-Pai Hung, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin
 P1.22Potential improvements of tropical storm forecasts with remote sensing of ocean surface air pressure  
Bing Lin, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, Q. Min, and Y. Hu
 P1.22aThe potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms  
Naresh Neupane, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX; and K. H. Cook
 P1.23Evaluation of experimental model forecasts from HFIP 2009 Demonstration  
Christopher L. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, T. L. Jensen, and L. Nance
 P1.24High-resolution satellite data assimilation and its role in tropical cyclone prediction  
William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and T. Hashino
P1.25Feasibility study of the mitigation of the intensity of tropical cyclones by CCN seeding in the outer rainband region: A HAMP project  
Steve Herbener, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton
 P1.26Overforecasts of tropical cyclogenesis in the FIM global model  
Mike Fiorino, OAR, Boulder, CO; and J. -. W. Bao
 P1.27The HFIP High Resolution Hurricane Forecast Test: Beyond the traditional verification metrics  extended abstract
Louisa Nance, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, B. G. Brown, T. L. Fowler, C. W. Harrop, E. J. Szoke, E. I. Tollerud, J. K. Wolff, and H. Yuan
P1.28The HWRFx Modeling System: Coupling to a One-Dimensional Ocean Model with Multiple Vertical Turbulence Closures  
George R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. G. Gopalakrishnan, X. Zhang, and T. Quirino
 P1.29The effect of major volcanic eruptions on tropical cyclone activity  
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and V. Bennington
 P1.30Climatological-based tropical cyclone landfall probabilities and average time to landfall  
Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 P1.31Impact of resolution on the statistical characteristics and regional structures of brightness temperatures calculated from simulated microphysics in hurricanes  
Tempei Hashino, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and W. E. Lewis
P1.32Hurricane Hanna (2008) Track Deflection and Rapid Intensity Change: An Observational and Numerical Study  
Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. Black, E. Hendricks, R. L. Elsberry, S. E. Zick, J. E. Nachamkin, and C. Sampson
P1.34Using the HFIP high-resolution hurricane test dataset to diagnose interconnected track and intensity errors in hurricane forecasts  
Edward I. Tollerud, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and H. Yuan, E. Szoke, L. Nance, and L. R. Bernardet
 P1.35Evaluating the impacts of extratropical transitioning on typhoon losses via synoptic case studies  extended abstract
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and M. Desflots
 P1.37Statistical prediction of TC frequency and seasonality within the core region of the inter american seas warm pool  
Arthur V. Douglas, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and P. J. Englehart
 P1.38Seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone hindcasting/forecasting using two sea surface temperature datasets  
Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
 P1.40Statistical-dynamical intraseasonal prediction of tropical cyclogenesis in the western North Pacific  
Tom Murphree, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. Meyer, B. Mundhenk, and C. Raynak
 P1.41Evidence linking solar variability with USA hurricanes  
Robert E. Hodges, Department of Geography, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner
 P1.42The thermodynamic evolution of extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Hart
P1.43A experimental proposal to reduce the devastation caused by hurricanes to humans and the environment  extended abstract
Brian P. Sandler, Bsandler Co., West Bloomfield, MI
 P1.44Consistent tropical cyclone wind and wave forecasts for the U. S. Navy  extended abstract
Charles R. Sampson, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Wittmann and H. L. Tolman
 P1.45Diagnosis of tropical cyclone activity through gravity wave energy density in the South West Indian Ocean  
Chouaïbou Ibrahim, LACy(Laboratoire de l'atmosphere et des cyclones), Saint Denis, Reunion
 P1.46Zonal asymmetries in the African Easterly Jet  
Amin K. Dezfuli, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson
 P1.47Potential vorticity diagnostics associated with the Tropical Easterly Jet over Africa and links to rainfall variability  
Travis A. Smith, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and S. E. Nicholson
 P1.48A newly-documented low-level coastal jet along the Benguela Coast of Southern Africa  
Sharon E. Nicholson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
P1.49Seasonal evolution of diabatic heating and associated meridional circulation over the West African Monsoon region  
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Ling, J. Lawrence, and S. M. Hagos
 P1.50Simulated rainfall diurnal cycle of African Monsoon: a sensitivity study to model resolution and sea surface temperature forcing  extended abstract
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Roma, Italy; and F. Guarnieri and S. Melani
 P1.512009 tropical cyclone predictions and societal challenges in the tropical islands of the western North Pacific Ocean  
Charles 'Chip' Guard, NOAA/NWSFO Guam, Barrigada, Guam
 P1.52Formation of tropical cyclones in the northern Indian Ocean associated with two types of tropical intraseasonal oscillation modes  
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
 P1.53An objective method to predict near real time rapid intensification of tropical cyclones using satellite passive microwave observations  
Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. Rozoff, A. Wimmers, M. Sitkowski, M. E. Kieper, J. Kossin, J. Hawkins, and J. Knaff
 P1.54Recent Statistical Analyses of the Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) Poster  
John Sears, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Olander and C. Velden
 P1.55Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds observed over India Part 2 : simulations with a high resolution spectral bin microphysics model (The HAMP contribution)  extended abstract
Alexander P. Khain, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld, A. Pokrovsky, N. Benmoshe, J. R. Kulkarni, and R. S. Maheshkumar
 P1.56An analysis of tropical cyclone formations in the South China Sea during the late season  
Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin
 P1.57ADT v8.1: tropical cyclone intensity beyond Dvorak  
Michael Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD
 P1.58A multi-scale analysis of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Paloma (2008)  
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang, S. Aberson, M. L. Black, E. Uhlhorn, J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, and R. Rogers
 P1.59Sensitivity of The South Asian Summer Monsoon Circulation to The Cloud Microphysics and Associated Radiative Effects  
Yi-Chi Wang, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung, J. L. Li, and D. E. Waliser
 P1.60Microphysics of deep tropical convective clouds over India, part-I: Aircraft observations  
J.R. Kulkarni, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, Pune, India; and E. Freud, M. Konwar, R. S. Maheshkumar, and D. Rosenfeld
 P1.61Origin and a formation mechanism of pre-TC African easterly wave-mesoscale convective systems in eastern Africa  
Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and G. Tang, J. Spinks, and W. Jones
 P1.62Development of a tropical cyclone microphysical model  
Barry Lynn, Weather It Is, LTD, Efrat, Israel; and J. -. W. Bao, I. Ginis, A. P. Khain, and S. G. Gopalakrishnan
 P1.63HWRF performance diagnostics from the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season  extended abstract
Brian D. McNoldy, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, V. Tallapragada, and T. Marchok
 P1.64The Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS-08) near real-time and science studies satellite product suite  
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Richardson, T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. Velden, D. C. Herndon, A. Wimmers, T. Olander, F. J. Turk, J. E. Kent, and S. D. Miller
 P1.65Implications of Wintertime Blocking Episodes over Ural-Siberia for the Regional Climate in Southeast Asia  
Ho Nam Cheung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and W. Zhou
 P1.66Transport of dust particles from the Bodele region to the monsoon layer. Case study of the 9-14 june 2006 period  extended abstract
Suzanne Crumeyrolle, LaMP : Laboratoire de Meteorologie Physique, Aubière, France; and P. Tulet, L. Garcia-Carreras, L. Gomes, C. Flamant, A. Schwarzenboeck, A. Matsuki, D. J. Parker, H. Venzac, and P. Formenti
 P1.67Evaluation of budget analyses during MISMO  
Masaki Katsumata, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and P. E. Ciesielski and R. H. Johnson
 P1.68The role of trade wind surges in tropical cyclone formations in the western North Pacific  
Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. K. W. Cheung and C. S. Lee
 P1.69Gravity wave parameters over the west African area derived from the AMMA campaign (African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses)  
Fabrice Chane Ming, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, St Denis, La Réunion, France; and P. Kafando and M. Petitdidier
 P1.71A first study of the lightning activity related to tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean  
Christelle Barthe, Laboratoire de l'Atmophere et des Cyclones (CNRS, Universite de la Reunion, Meteo-France), Saint Denis Cedex 9, Reunion; and S. Coquillat
 P1.72Initiation of deep convection and surface properties over West Africa: a satellite based study  
Amanda Gounou, CNRM Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, F. Guichard, C. Taylor, R. Ellis, and P. Harris
 P1.73A possible mechanism regulating nocturnal stratocumulus decks in West Africa  extended abstract
Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink
 P1.74The impact of latent cooling processes on tropical cyclogenesis and intensity fluctuations  
Thomas Frisius, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Hasselbeck
 P1.75Using potential vorticity tendency equations for diagnosing atmospheric dynamics in numerical models  
Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and J. D. Kepert and J. Sippel
 P1.76Wave energy accumulation and tropical cyclone genesis  
James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland, S. N. Tulich, C. Bruyere, and A. Suzuki-Parker
 P1.77Orographic influence on the cyclogenesis of tropical storm Debby (2006)  
John Paul Roop, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang
 P1.78Dominant control of the South Asian monsoon by orographic insulation versus plateau heating  
William R. Boos, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and Z. Kuang
P1.80PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 P1.812009 NSF-PREDICT Dry Run: what have we learned?  
Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery
 P1.82Impact of assimilation of LASE and dropwindsonde data sets during NAMMA field campaign  
Mrinal K. Biswas, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti
 P1.83Relationship of Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones to Dynamical/Thermodynamical Parameters  
Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, R. Ross, A. Martin, and D. Zelinsky
 P1.84Simulation of a convective rainfall event and associated water budget over West Africa : an intercomparison of mesoscale models  
Francoise Guichard, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. -. P. Lafore, N. Asencio, C. Peugeot, O. Bock, J. -. L. Redelsperger, X. Cui, M. Garvert, B. L. Lamptey, E. Orlandi, J. Sander, F. Fierli, M. A. Gaertner, S. C. Jones, A. Morse, A. Boone, M. Nuret, G. Balsamo, B. Decharme, P. de Rosnay, P. Harris, and J. -. C. Berges
 P1.85Numerical modeling of boundary layer roll vortices in high wind conditions  
Zhitao Yu, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis and A. Khain
 P1.86Orographic Effects On Tropical Cyclogenesis Over Eastern Pacific Ocean  
Van Nguyen, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang
 P1.87Tropical and extra-tropical forecast sensitivity to sub-tropical observational enhancement  extended abstract
Lee A. Byerle, AWS, Tucson, 85708; and J. Paegle, J. E. Nogues-Paegle, A. C. Saulo, and J. J. Ruiz
 P1.88ITCZ Cloud Clusters in Association with African Easterly Waves during Summer Seasons of El Nino and La Nina Years  extended abstract
Dr. Mostafa El - Rafy, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt
 P1.89Convective Characteristics of Hurricane Eyewalls and Rainbands from 11 years of TRMM Data  
Ellen Ramirez, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and H. Jiang and E. Zipser
 P1.90Dynamical system analysis of a low order tropical cyclone model  extended abstract
Daria Schönemann, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany; and T. Frisius
 P1.91Characteristics of convection investigated during NAMMA (2006) using a dual-frequency airborne precipitation radar  
Jonathan Zawislak, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and S. Tanelli
 P1.92On the Tropical Cyclone Formation from Tropical Waves  extended abstract
Chanh Q. Kieu, Hanoi College of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam; and F. Zhang, J. S. Gall, and W. Frank
 P1.93WISHE and tropical cyclone intensification  
George Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Emanuel, F. Zhang, J. Fang, and B. H. Tang
 P1.94GeoSTAR – a new hurricane observatory  
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, and P. Kangaslahti
 P1.95An analysis of tropical variability during the 2002-2003 cold season  
Kyle MacRitchie, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. E. Roundy
 P1.96Seasonal and intraseasonal modulations of environmental field for tropical cyclogenesis over the Bay of Bengal  extended abstract
Wataru Yanase, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, Japan; and H. Taniguchi and M. Satoh
 P1.97Life after QuikSCAT-Tropical cyclone analysis using microwave imagery and data  extended abstract
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam
 P1.98The THORPEX Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) objective on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: observed cases, their structure and downstream impacts  extended abstract
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. C. Jones, D. Anwender, M. M. Bell, C. A. Davis, R. L. Elsberry, J. L. Evans, C. M. Grams, S. T. Lang, J. H. Keller, N. Kitabatake, W. C. Lee, R. McTaggart-Cowan, E. R. Sanabia, C. S. Velden, M. Weissmann, and M. Wirth
 P1.99Synoptic variability of the monsoon flux over West Africa prior to the onset  
Fleur Couvreux, Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Guichard, O. Bock, B. Campistron, J. P. Lafore, and J. -. L. Redelsperger
 P1.100Documentation of cloud characteristics inferred from ground and satellite measurements within west Africa  
Dominique Bouniol, CNRS/Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and F. Couvreux, P. H. Kamsu-Tamo, M. Leplay, F. Guichard, and E. J. O'Connor
 P1.101Mineral dust transport over West Africa in 2006  extended abstract
Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and D. Bou Karam, S. Crumeyrolle, C. Flamant, S. C. Jones, M. Schmidberger, F. Solmon, T. Stanelle, H. Vogel, and B. Vogel
 P1.102Data impact experiments using IASI observations during the life cycle of Hurricanes Gustav, Hanna and Ike (2008)  extended abstract
Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and N. Fourrié, F. Rabier, and P. Arbogast
 P1.103Interactions of Upper Level Troughs and African Easterly Waves  
Bryce Paul Tyner, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
 P1.104Precipitation processes in southwest India during the summer monsoon: the Orographic Precipitation and Evolution of Landscapes-Western Ghats project (OPEL-WG)  
Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. M. Anders, W. J. Kaufeld, and J. Colberg
 P1.105Intraseasonal variability of African easterly wave activity  
Jeffrey M. Ceratto, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft
 P1.106Easterly Waves in the Intra-Americas Sea Region  extended abstract
Yolande Serra, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Kiladis and K. I. Hodges
 P1.107Tropical transition of tropical cyclones Gabrielle and Humberto during the 2007 North Atlantic season  
Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. Bosart
 P1.108What Controls the Geographic Distribution of Evapotranspiration in the Amazon River Basin?  
Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich and J. L. Lin
 P1.109Maintenance of Long-lived African Easterly Waves  
David Church, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer
 P1.110Modeling studies of African Easterly Waves in relation to Tropical Cyclogenesis along the West African Coast  
Forbes Tompkins, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and G. Jenkins
 P1.112Utilization of a multi-phase particle model to develop self-consistent bulk microphysical parameterizations for hurricane models  
Jon Reisner, LANL, Los Alamos, NM
P1.113Downscaling the North America Monsoon using CWRF: Model resolution and the depiction of precipitation climate and variability  
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt and X. Z. Liang
 P1.114A study of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on tropical cyclones using TOMS data  extended abstract
E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis
 P1.115Simple kinematic models of tropical cyclones in vertical shear  
Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery
 P1.116Impact of the MJO on the west African monsoon, African easterly waves, and Atlantic tropical cyclones  
Ghassan J. Alaka, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney
 P1.117Mechanisms Linking Easterly Waves and the North American Monsoon System  
Simona Seastrand, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Y. Serra
 P1.118Evaluation of a Reduced Model for Investigating Hurricane Formation from Turbulence  
David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA
 P1.119Contrasts between organized convection during the peak and tail ends of the West African monsoon  
Matthew A. Janiga, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft, B. Mapes, and E. R. Williams
 P1.120A logistic regression model for WNP tropical cyclone formation forecast  
Bing Fu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng, T. Li, and J. Hansen
 P1.123The Influence of the Madden Julian Oscillation over Tropical North Africa  
Michael J. Ventrice, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and P. Roundy
 P1.124Onset of genesis of Typhoon Chanchu (2006) from the vertical alignment of a westward-tilted vortex  
Wallace Hogsett, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
 P1.125Simulation of Tropical Storm Fay intensity change over land due to soil moisture and land moisture over Lake Okeechobee  
Travis Washington, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL
 P1.126Diagnosis and Verification of Real-Time COAMPS-TC Forecasts  
Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, J. D. Doyle, J. R. Moskaitis, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, and M. S. Peng
 P1.127Three-dimensional structure of the Saharan Air Layer  
Aaron M. Adams, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 P1.128The effects of latent heating on the extratropical transition of Typhoon Sinlaku  
Michael Kevin Hernandez, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans
 P1.129The relationship between tropical cyclone intensity changes and its precipitation features  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. Schroeder
 P1.130Tropical cyclone genesis from easterly waves in a regional climate model  
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis and A. Suzuki-Parker
 P1.131Is rapid intensification internally or externally controlled?  
Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng
 P1.132Comparison of the role of subsurface ocean in the east and central Pacific warmings  
Lina I. Ceballos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and E. Di Lorenzo
 P1.133Convective scale simulation of the 2006 North American Monsoon season  
Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and R. Rotunno and M. C. Barth
 P1.134The climatological significance of extratropical transitioning on typhoon precipitation over japan  extended abstract
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and J. Butke
 P1.135A modeling study of tropical cyclone suppression during the AEROSE 2009: Case study of Ana  
Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and S. Chiao, E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, A. E. Reynolds, and D. V. Morris
P1.136Impact of different cumulus parameterizations on the numerical simulation of rain over southern China  extended abstract
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
 P1.137The Impact of Airborne Doppler Lidar Wind Measurements on Numerical Simulations of Tropical cyclones  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang and D. Emmitt
 P1.138Simulations of Top-Down and Bottom-Up tropical cyclogenesis  
Tim Li, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and X. Ge and M. S. Peng
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 7
Session Formal Poster Viewing
 
8:00 PM-9:30 PM, Tuesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session Evening Session Presentation and Panel Discussion on Industry Applications. Sponsored by Willis Re
8:00 PM.1The future of modeling hurricane catastrophes  
Peter Dailey, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and J. Guin
8:15 PM.2Reducing the impact of hurricane variability and change on the Offshore Energy Community in the Gulf of Mexico  
Cort Cooper, Chevron Petroleum Technology Company, San Ramon, CA; and G. J. Holland, J. M. Done, A. Suzuki, and C. Bruyere
8:30 PM.3The Willis Hurricane Index  
Brian F. Owens, Willis Limited, London, United Kingdom; and G. J. Holland
 
Wednesday, 12 May 2010
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 8A T-PARC Targeted Data Studies
Chair: Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki Japan
8:00 AM8A.1Properties of the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling strategy for tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and S. J. Majumdar and C. C. Wu
8:15 AM8A.2Synoptic sensitivity analysis of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) and Hurricane Ike (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
William Komaromi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin, S. J. Majumdar, M. J. Brennan, S. G. Chen, D. S. Nolan, R. Langland, and C. S. Velden
8:30 AM8A.3Special satellite data analysis and NWP impact studies during TPARC  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Howard Berger, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden, R. Langland, and C. A. Reynolds
8:45 AM8A.4Targeted observation and its impact in DOTSTAR and T-PARC   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and P. H. Lin, K. H. Chou, S. D. Aberson, S. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, M. S. Peng, T. Nakazawa, P. A. Harr, H. M. Kim, M. Weissmann, J. H. Chen, and S. G. Chen
9:00 AM8A.5The influence of special T-PARC observations on typhoon track and mid-latitude forecasts   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Martin Weissmann, DLR Oberpfaffenhofen, Wessling, Germany; and F. Harnisch, S. Rahm, T. Nakazawa, C. C. Wu, S. D. Aberson, Y. H. Kim, K. Yamashita, and Y. Ohta
9:15 AM8A.6Sensitivity of typhoon forecasts to different subsets of targeted observations  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Florian Harnisch, Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Wessling, Germany; and M. Weissmann
9:30 AM8A.7aImpact of targeted dropsonde observations on the track forecast for SINLAKU (200813) using Ensemble Kalman Filter  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Byoung-Joo Jung, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. M. Kim, F. Zhang, and C. C. Wu
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 8B Tropical Cyclone Structure: Inner Structure and Vertical Structure
Chair: Derrick Herndon, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
8:00 AM8B.1Structure and intensity changes during hurricane eye formation  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jonathan L. Vigh, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado
8:15 AM8B.2Multiscale observations of tropical cyclone structure using airborne Doppler composites  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Lorsolo, P. D. Reasor, J. Gamache, and F. Marks
8:30 AM8B.3The distribution of helicity and intense convection in tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and K. A. Shontz
8:45 AM8B.4Tropical Cyclone Morphology and Phenomenology as Depicted in Passive Microwave Imagery   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Margaret E. Kieper, Database Consultant, Burnsville, MN
9:00 AM8B.5Estimating tropical cyclone intensity with inner core rotation as observed by MISR   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Dong L. Wu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Nelson
9:15 AM8B.6The collapse of the eyewall of Hurricane Dolly (2008) into multiple mesovortices  
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Gruskin
9:30 AM8B.7Microwave imagery and in situ validation of eye mesovortex structure in Hurricane Katrina (2005) at peak intensity  
Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 8C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Modeling
Moderator: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM8C.1Adjoint Equations of Rotunno and Emanuel (1987): Parameter Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kosuke Ito, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
8:15 AM8C.2BSecondary Eyewall Formation and Convectively-Generated Potential Vorticity in Rainbands in Hurricane Rita   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:30 AM8C.3The predictability of tropical cyclone intensity: Results from a simple dynamical model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA
8:45 AM8C.4Intensity forecasts for hurricane charley: the role of data assimilation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lisha Roubert, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis and G. J. Tripoli
9:00 AM8C.5Observational and modeling comparison of Super-Typhoon Jangmi (2008) and Hurricane Katrina (2005)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Peter G. Black, SAIC/NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin, S. Chen, J. D. Hawkins, D. S. Ko, J. D. Doyle, R. M. Hodur, T. R. Holt, H. Jin, C. S. Liou, K. D. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, S. Wang, Q. Zhao, M. S. Peng, I. -. I. Lin, J. F. Gamache, and P. Niiler
9:15 AM8C.6Idealized simulations of the impact of dry Saharan air on Atlantic hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Sippel and D. S. Nolan
9:30 AM8C.7The effects of turbulence on hurricane intensity  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno and Y. Chen
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 8D Intraseasonal Variability I
Chair: Brian E. Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:00 AM8D.1The skeleton of tropical intraseasonal oscillations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and S. N. Stechmann
8:15 AM8D.2Apparent coupling of oceanic Kelvin waves and atmospheric convection  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lynn Michele Gribble - Verhagen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. Roundy
8:30 AM8D.3Association of global weather patterns with intraseasonal oceanic Kelvin waves coupled to atmospheric convection  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
8:45 AM8D.4The role of moisture-convection feedbacks in simulating the MJO   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Walter Hannah, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and E. D. Maloney
9:00 AM8D.5Caribbean Precipitation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Elinor Martin, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX
9:15 AM8D.6Diabatic Heating Distributions in the Tropics for Studies of Intraseasonal Phenomena   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
William S. Olson, UMBC and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, G. Gu, T. S. L'Ecuyer, and M. G. Bosilovich
9:30 AM8D.7Tropical–extratropical interactions conducive to intraseasonal variability in the Northern Hemisphere available potential energy  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jason M. Cordeira, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
 
8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 9A T-PARC: Process Studies
Chair: Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University, University Park, PA
10:15 AM9A.1Retrieval of typhoon wind fields from Doppler radar and dropsonde data using an efficient 2-step approach   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Carlos López Carrillo, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. Raymond
10:30 AM9A.2High Resolution Analysis of the Structure of a Convective System in Developing Typhoon Nuri   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and C. López Carrillo and D. J. Raymond
10:45 AM9A.3Vorticity budget in developing typhoon Nuri   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and C. Lopez Carrillo
11:00 AM9A.4Convection and shear flow in TC development and intensification   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang and C. H. Liu
11:15 AM9A.5Typhoon Sinlaku during T-PARC: Sensivity of the re-intensification and downstream development to the track following recurvature  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and E. R. Sanabia and A. B. Penny
11:30 AM9A.6How vertical wind shear affects the rapid intensification of Typhoon Jangmi (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Levi Thatcher, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu
11:45 AM9A.7The interaction between the outflow of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) and the midlatitude jet during T-PARC  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christian M. Grams, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, BW, Germany
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 9B Tropical Cyclone Structure: Wind Field
Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Tallahassee, FL
10:15 AM9B.1Changes in Track and Structure of Tropical Cyclones near Landfall   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong
10:30 AM9B.2The compactness of typhoons in the western North Pacific   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Delia Yen-Chu Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee and K. K. W. Cheung
10:45 AM9B.3Deficiencies of slab models of the hurricane boundary layer  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
11:00 AM9B.4A QuikSCAT climatology of tropical cyclone size  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel R. Chavas, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel
11:15 AM9B.5A comparison of axisymmetric and three-dimensional hurricanes in an idealized framework  
John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, R. K. Smith, and J. C. McWilliams
11:30 AM9B.6The role of Lagrangian coherent structures in tropical cyclone formation  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Blake Rutherford, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. Dangelmayr and M. T. Montgomery
11:45 AM9B.7Ike (2008) and the Windstorm over Ohio   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and N. D'Allura
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 9C Tropical Cyclone Intensity: Forecast Methods
Moderator: Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:15 AM9C.1Improved short-term Atlantic hurricane intensity forecasts using reconnaissance-based core measurements   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
D. Andrew Murray, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
10:30 AM9C.2Data Mining Techniques for the Studies of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Changes  
Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang
10:45 AM9C.3Assessing the impact of total precipitable water and lightning on SHIPS intensity forecasts  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Kaplan, and J. Dunion
11:00 AM9C.4Enhancements to the operational SHIPS rapid intensification index  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, J. Dunion, J. F. Dostalek, J. E. Solbrig, J. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, J. Zhang, E. Kalina, and P. Leighton
11:15 AM9C.5Tropical cyclone intensity change predictability estimates using a statistical-dynamical model  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
11:30 AM9C.6Challenges of forecasting tropical cyclone intensity change at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Matthew E. Kucas, JTWC = Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI
11:45 AM9C.7Assessment of the impact of increased lead time for tropical cyclone watches/warnings in the North Central Pacific  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Samuel Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and R. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and A. Schumacher
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 9D Intraseasonal Variability II
Chair: Paul Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY
10:15 AM9D.1MJO and convectively coupled waves in a coarse resolution GCM with a simple multicloud parametrization   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. St Cyr, A. J. Majda, and J. Tribbia
10:30 AM9D.2Simulations of the Madden – Julian Oscillation using a Tropical Channel Model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Marcela Ulate, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:45 AM9D.3An idealized, semi-empirical MJO model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and E. D. Maloney
11:00 AM9D.4The Madden–Julian oscillation wind-convection coupling and the role of moisture processes in the MM5 model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Erwan Monier, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and B. C. Weare and W. I. Gustafson Jr.
11:15 AM9D.5Studying the MJO with models that don't have one   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Brian E. Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
11:30 AM9D.6Role of the Atmospheric Mean-state on the Initiation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in a Tropical Channel Model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. K. Ray, C. Zhang, and J. Dudhia
11:45 AM9D.7Impact of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on convection and circulation in the subtropics to midlatitudes in the IPCC AR4 Simulations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chiharu Takahashi, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and N. Sato, A. Seiki, K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, and Y. N. Takayabu
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 10A TCS-08: Formation
Chair: Christopher Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
1:15 PM10A.1Applying Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis to Understand the Tropical Cyclogenesis of Typhoon Nuri (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Rahul B. Mahajan, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
1:30 PM10A.2Role of Mesoscale Convective Rings and Mesoscale Convective Blowouts in Tropical Cyclone Formations during TCS-08 Experiment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and A. Chollet
1:45 PM10A.3Analysis of a-typical tropical cyclone genesis during TCS08  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam
2:00 PM10A.4Observation and simulation of the genesis of Typhoon Fengshen during the PALAU-2008 field experiment  
Hiroyuki Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and W. Yanase, M. Sato, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka
2:15 PM10A.5Development of pre-depression Hagupit observed during TCS08   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery
2:30 PM10A.6The genesis of Typhoon Nuri as observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 (TCS-08) field experiment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Louis L. Lussier III, NPS, Monterey, CA
2:45 PM10A.7bGenesis of Typhoon Chanchu (2006) during the MJO: Formation and synoptic evolution of a tilted vortex  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Wallace Hogsett, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 10B Tropical Cyclone Structure: Concentric Eyewalls
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
1:15 PM10B.1Dynamical mechanisms for secondary eyewall formation: insights from a cloud-resolving tropical cyclone model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Kossin and D. S. Nolan
1:30 PM10B.2Concentric eyewall formation in Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) – Part I: Assimilation of T-PARC data based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and G. Y. Lien, J. H. Chen, and Y. H. Huang
1:45 PM10B.3Concentric eyewall formation in Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) – Part II: Dynamical analyses  
Yi-Hsuan Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and G. Y. Lien
2:00 PM10B.4Secondary eyewall formation in high-resolution hurricane simulations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sergio Abarca, UCLA, Los Angeles, 90095
2:15 PM10B.5Intensity and structure variations associated with eyewall replacement cycles  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin and C. M. Rozoff
2:30 PM10B.6Environmental and Internal Controls of Concentric Eyewalls Formation and Replacement: RAINEX and Beyond  
Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
2:45 PM10B.7aIntensity change associated with concentric eyewall replacement  
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang
10B.7Characteristics and climatology of eyewall replacement cycles for Atlantic tropical cyclones from observations  
Mélicie Desflots, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and I. M. Dima
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 10C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Operational Models
Chair: James Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
1:15 PM10C.1The impact of resolution on Met Office model predictions of tropical cyclone track and intensity  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom
1:30 PM10C.2Analysis of tropical cyclone activity in three recent versions of the Canadian global numerical weather prediction system   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ayrton Zadra, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and B. Dugas, A. M. Leduc, R. McTaggart-Cowan, M. Roch, and P. Vaillancourt
1:45 PM10C.3Diagnosis of operational model track forecast error for Hurricane Ike (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar
2:00 PM10C.4Performance of the NCEP Operational HWRF Modeling System for 2008-2009 hurricane seasons   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC- SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and W. M. Lapenta, S. J. Lord, N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, Z. Zhang, R. E. Tuleya, and J. O'Connor
2:15 PM10C.5Evaluation of 2008 season hurricane forecasts with a new shallow cumulus convection package in the NCEP GFS  
Jongil Han, NOAA/NCEP/EMC/WYLE, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan
2:30 PM10C.6Consequences, Intended and Unintended, of Tropical Cyclone Surveillance Globally during 2008   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL, FL
2:45 PM10C.7Verification of Operational Storm Surge Predictions from the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) Model for Hurricanes Gustav and Ike (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jessica Schauer, NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 10D Intraseasonal Variability III
Chair: Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA
1:15 PM10D.1Biases in global reanalysis datasets undermine the forecasting skill of tropical intraseasonal variability   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Xiouhua (Joshua) Fu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
1:30 PM10D.3Water vapor and SST variations associated with equatorial waves over the tropical Indian Ocean  
Kazuaki Yasunaga, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and K. Yoneyama, Y. N. Takayabu, M. Yoshizaki, and M. Fujita
1:45 PM10D.4Interactions between Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations and Synoptic-scale Disturbances over the Western North Pacific  
Tim Li, Unicersity of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and P. C. Hsu and C. H. Tsou
10D.2Tropical intraseasonal variability in seasonal hindcasts and climate simulations  
Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and P. K. Xavier and F. Doblas Reyes
2:00 PM10D.5Intraseasonal variability of the Saharan Heat Low and its link with mid-latitudes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Romain Roehrig, Météo France, Toulouse, France; and F. Chauvin and J. P. Lafore
2:15 PM10D.6Interannual variations and predictability of intraseasonal convective events over South America   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Fernando Hirata, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos and P. J. Webster
2:30 PM10D.7Zonal mean momentum in northern summer: is budget and some possible implications  
Patrick Kelly, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday
Coffee Break
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 11A TCS-08: Structure
Chair: David J. Raymond, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro, NM
3:30 PM11A.1Mesoscale numerical simulations of TCS08 typhoons with assimilation of satellite, radar and in-situ observations  
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and L. Zhang, Q. Zhao, and W. Lee
3:45 PM11A.2Prediction and diagnosis of the motion and rapid intensification of Typhoon Sinlaku during TCS08 (Tropical Cyclone Structure Experiment, 2008)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Marie-Dominique Leroux, Laboratoire de l'Atmosphère et des Cyclones, unité mixte CNRS - Meteo-France - Université de La Réunion, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion
4:00 PM11A.3Latent heating rate profiles at different tropical cyclone stages during 2008 Tropical Cyclone Structure experiment: Comparison of ELDORA and TRMM PR retrievals  extended abstract
Myung-Sook Park, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and M. M. Bell
4:15 PM11A.4Scale Interactions during the Re-intensification of Typhoon Sinlaku prior to Extratropical Transition  
Elizabeth R. Sanabia, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr
4:30 PM11A.5The role of multiple mesoscale convective systems in a non-developing tropical disturbance observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure-2008 (TCS-08) field experiment  extended abstract
Andrew B. Penny, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. Malvig and P. Harr
4:45 PM11A.6The effects of complex terrain on tropical cyclone track, intensity, and rainfall during TCS-08  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Brian J. Billings, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle
5:00 PM11A.7TCS08 Minority Report: how to prevent typhoons in the western North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Mark A. Lander, University of Guam (WERI), Mangilao, Guam
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 11B Tropical Cyclone Structure: Rainbands and Precipitation
Chair: Gary Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
3:30 PM11B.1Spiral rainbands as seen in numerically simulated hurricanes  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL
3:45 PM11B.2Impacts of evaporative cooling on tropical cyclone rainband  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Masahiro Sawada, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan; and T. Iwasaki
4:00 PM11B.3The water budget of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan; and S. Braun and D. S. Chen
4:15 PM11B.4Rainfall Distributions over Land associated with Tropical Cyclones making landfall along the South China Coast   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kit Ying Fung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan
4:30 PM11B.5Orographic Effects on Rainfall induced by the Passage of Tropical Cyclones over Mountainous Islands   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ian C. Colon Pagan Sr., North Carolina A&T State University - SOARS, Greensboro, NC
4:45 PM11B.6Dynamics and Structure of Supercells Induced by Hurricane Katrina (2005)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Bamjamin Green, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang
5:00 PM11B.7Squall Lines preceding Landfalling Tropical Cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zhiyong Meng, Peking University, Beijing, China; and Y. Zhang
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 11C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Ensemble Systems
Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon United Kingdom
3:30 PM11C.1Impact of formulation and resolution on ensemble forecast performance in the tropics   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. McLay, J. S. Goerss, M. K. Flatau, J. A. Ridout, and E. Serra
3:45 PM11C.2Impact of ensemble composition, formulation, and resolution on tropical cyclone track forecast performance   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, J. G. McLay, and E. Serra
4:00 PM11C.3Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Munehiko Yamaguchi, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
4:15 PM11C.4Real-time mesoscale ensemble data assimilation for Atlantic TC   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ryan Torn, SUNY / University at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. Cavallo, C. Davis, and C. Snyder
4:30 PM11C.5Assimilation of tropical cyclone track and structure based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)  
Guo-Yuan Lien, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and F. Zhang
4:45 PM11C.6Dynamics and structure of three-dimensional error covariance of a mature tropical cyclone  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jonathan Poterjoy, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang
5:00 PM11C.7Vortex structures from an ensemble-based data assimilation and hurricane prediction system during the 2009 Atlantic tropical cyclone season   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Steven M. Cavallo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Torn, C. Snyder, C. Davis, W. Wang, and J. Done
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Wednesday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 11D Catastrophe Modeling Strategies and Applications
Chair: Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA
3:30 PM11D.1Hurricane Severity Index: A More Efficient Way of Predicting a Tropical Cyclone's Destructive Potential  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and R. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers
3:45 PM11D.2Effect of SST and ENSO on western North Pacific tropical cyclone landfall via changes in genesis   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Emmi Yonekura, Columbia University, New York, NY; and T. M. Hall
4:00 PM11D.3Tropical cyclone return periods on the U.S. Atlantic coast: comparison of methods   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Timothy M. Hall, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and J. Kleinn
4:15 PM11D.4Probabilistic storm surge heights for the US using full stochastic events  extended abstract
Shangyao Nong, FM Global, Norwood, MA; and J. McCollum, L. Xu, M. Scheffler, and H. Ali
4:30 PM11D.5Myths about the Cause of Hurricane Katrina's Storm Surge   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau, C. M. Hill, T. V. Wamsley, B. Jelley, and E. Valenti
4:45 PM11D.6Assessment of the Impact of Climate Variability on Modeled Atlantic Hurricane Losses   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Justin Brolley, EQECAT, Inc, Oakland, CA; and D. F. Smith and A. Haseemkunju
5:00 PM11D.7Insured loss estimation from wind and storm surge for a re-occurrence of typhoon vera  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and C. Kafali
 
6:30 PM-8:30 PM, Wednesday
Conference Banquet
 
Thursday, 13 May 2010
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 12A Air-Sea Interaction I
Chair: Robert Korty, Texas A&M, College Station, TX
8:00 AM12A.1Ocean-atmosphere interactions in tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:15 AM12A.2Numerical simulations of the hurricane intensity response to a warm ocean eddy  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis
8:30 AM12A.3Upwelling and mixed layer deepening in mesoscale oceanic eddies during the passage of tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay
8:45 AM12A.4Ocean Response to Hurricane Ophelia: Observations and Simulations  
S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Rolling
9:00 AM12A.5Impact of the upper-ocean thermal structure on typhoon intensity change in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model  
Shao-Liang Sung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and S. S. Chen
9:15 AM12A.6Evaluation of 1D and 3D ocean coupling on GFDL hurricane model forecast skill in the Western Pacific   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Raymond A. Richardson, WeatherPredict Consulting, Inc, Raleigh, NC; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, R. M. Yablonsky, and M. A. Bender
9:30 AM12A.7Interactions of tropical cyclone with river plumes  
Il-Ju Moon, Cheju National University, Jujusi, South Korea; and S. H. Kim and S. J. Kwon
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 12B Tropical Cyclone Observations I
Moderator: Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:00 AM12B.1Capture and Characterization of Near-Surface Wind-Driven Rain during Hurricane Ike (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jennifer Haydt, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and F. Masters and R. A. Black
8:15 AM12B.2Measuring sea spray changes in hurricanes via measurements of salt concentrations in rain using a salinity/conductivity sensor on a NOAA research aircraft   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
James Robert Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and H. Hoefmeister, J. A. Smith, and J. H. Roles
8:30 AM12B.3Surface heat fluxes of tropical cyclones from satellite data sets and reanalyses  
Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. A. Curry and J. Liu
8:45 AM12B.4Near-surface temperature and moisture observations from tropical cyclones between 1975-2007: Axisymmetric and asymmetric structural analysis   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Zhang and E. W. Uhlhorn
9:00 AM12B.5Validation of Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) data using GPS dropsondes in tropical cyclone environments   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Edward Hildebrand, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
9:15 AM12B.6A comparison of atmospheric infrared sounder (AIRS) temperature and moisture profiles with dropsonde observations over tropical oceans: the bias correction and impact on numerical simulation of tropical cyclones  
Lei Zhang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu
9:30 AM12B.7Adaptive sounding arrays for tropical regions  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 12C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: High-Resolution Model- HWRF
Chair: Christipher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:00 AM12C.1Improving operational hurricane prediction with NCEP's Hurricane Weather and Research Forecast (HWRF) system: future advancements, community involvement and transition of research to operations through the Development Testbed Center (DTC)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, Y. Kwon, Z. Zhang, Q. Liu, L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, I. Ginis, G. J. Holland, C. Davis, and L. Carson
8:15 AM12C.2Energy budget analysis of HWRF model hurricanes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Katherine S. Maclay, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
8:30 AM12C.3Sensitivity of the NOAA Hurricane Research and Forecasting Model (HWRFX) to Various Cloud and Boundary Layer Parameterizations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
J.-W. Bao, NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Gopalakrishnan and S. A. Michelson
8:45 AM12C.4The sensitivity of TC intensity and structure to grid spacing in the Advanced Hurricane WRF   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel J. Halperin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg
9:00 AM12C.5Vortex-scale hurricane data assimilation: Real-data results using combined NOAA/AOML/HRD HWRF-X regional and NOAA/ESRL GFS global ensemble Kalman filter systems   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Altug Aksoy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Vukicevic, J. S. Whitaker, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, and S. D. Aberson
9:15 AM12C.6Adaptation of the Advanced Hurricane WRF for driving a storm surge prediction model  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Craig Mattocks, University of North Carolina, Morehead City, NC; and C. Forbes, G. Jedlovec, J. L. Case, and F. J. LaFontaine
9:30 AM12C.7Test results using the NOAH LSM in the operational HWRF system   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Robert Tuleya, Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Norfolk, VA; and Y. Wu
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 12D Convection I
Chair: Larissa E. Back, University of Wisconsin- Madison, Madison, WI
8:00 AM12D.1What do cloud-resolving models tell us about critical phenomena in atmospheric precipitation?   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Steven K. Krueger, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and A. Kochanski
8:15 AM12D.2Multiple equilibria in a cloud resolving model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. Sugaya, D. J. Raymond, and A. H. Sobel
8:30 AM12D.3"Deconstruction" of the mass-flux convective parameterization problem   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jun-Ichi Yano, CNRM, Toulouse, France, Toulouse, France
8:45 AM12D.4Grid-scale instabilities in a popular cumulus parametrization masked by numerical dissipation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ian Ross, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider and N. A. McFarlane
9:00 AM12D.5A density current parameterization coupled with Emanuel's convection Scheme   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jean Yves Grandpeix, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Lafore, R. Roehrig, and F. Cheruy
9:15 AM12D.6A comparison between Carnot and steam cycles, and their implications for moist convection  
Olivier Pauluis, New York University, New York, NY
9:30 AM12D.7The variable gross moist stability   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Andersen
 
8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 13A Air-Sea Interaction II
Chair: Lynn K. (Nick) Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
10:15 AM13A.1Developing coupled wind-wave-current interaction framework with sea spray effects for hurricanes models   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, B. Thomas, J. -. W. Bao, and L. Bianco
10:30 AM13A.2Impact of sea spray on the surface boundary layer   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Laura Bianco, NOAA/ESRL/PSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. W. Bao, C. W. Fairall, and S. A. Michelson
10:45 AM13A.3A study of the sffect of ocean spray on vertical momentum transport under high-wind conditions of tropical cyclone   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yevgenii Rastigejev, North Carolina A&T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin
11:00 AM13A.4Effects of Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling on Tropical Cyclone Structure   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chiaying Lee, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
11:15 AM13A.5Shallow water wave measurements in the hurricane enviroment   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jun Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. Stamates, S. Cummings, S. Kimball, and F. Marks
11:30 AM13A.6Laboratory investigation of wind-wave interaction under severe wind conditions  
Yuliya Troitskaya, IAP RAS Institute of Applied Physics Russian Academy of Sciences, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia; and V. Kazakov, S. Daniil, E. Olga, S. Mikhail, and B. Nicolay
11:45 AM13A.7Turbulence, Bubbles, and Drift Current in the Near-Surface Layer of the Ocean   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern University, Dania Beach, FL; and A. Fujimura and R. Lukas
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 13B Tropical Cyclone Observations II
Moderator: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL
10:15 AM13B.1A Numerical Study into the Dynamic Behaviour of a GPS dropsonde in a Prescribed Wind Field  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sunwei Li, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller
10:30 AM13B.2Comparison of HRD Airborne-Doppler radar quality control and analysis to independent data sources   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, S. Lorsolo, and S. Aberson
10:45 AM13B.3NOAA's utilization of Coyote unmanned aircraft systems for tropical cyclone research   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
LCDR Nancy Ash, NOAA, MacDill AFB, FL; and J. J. Cione
11:00 AM13B.4High altitude aircraft observations enabling 3-D pre-genesis monitoring   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and P. G. Black, P. A. Harr, and R. L. Elsberry
11:15 AM13B.5Estimating maximum surface winds from hurricane reconnaissance measurements   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Tallahassee, FL; and J. D. Kepert and E. Uhlhorn
11:30 AM13B.6Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer algorithm improvements addressing rain contamination of surface wind speed measurements in tropical cyclones  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Bradley W. Klotz, NOAA/AOML/HRD - CIMAS, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn
11:45 AM13B.7Assessment of hurricane observational under-sampling and its impact on estimated intensity   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and T. L. Miller, D. S. Nolan, and R. Atlas
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 13C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Structure and Intensity
Chair: Carolyn Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
10:15 AM13C.1Sensitivity of Air-Sea Exchange Coefficients (Cd and Ch) on Hurricane Intensity   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord, B. Lapenta, V. Tallapragada, Q. Liu, and Z. Zhang
10:30 AM13C.2Constraints on drag and exchange coefficients at extreme wind speeds   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and P. Sandery, G. Brassington, M. Entel, C. Siegenthaler- LeDrian, J. D. Kepert, and R. Darbyshire
10:45 AM13C.3Dependence of tropical cyclone inner-core size and intensity on the initial vortex size   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jing Xu, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang
11:00 AM13C.4On diagnosing the hurricane boundary layer: inertial stability versus Richardson number   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Aaron Paget, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. H. Ruscher and D. R. Ryglicki
11:15 AM13C.5Influence of cloud-radiative feedback on tropical cyclone motion  extended abstract
Robert G. Fovell, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and K. L. Corbosiero and A. Seifert
11:30 AM13C.6Wind-wave-current interaction in hurricanes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Yalin Fan, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis
11:45 AM13C.7Tornadic supercells in hurricane katrina: a high-resolution modeling study   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zachary Handlos, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and W. E. Lewis and G. J. Tripoli
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 13D Convection II
Chair: Stephen W. Nesbitt, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL
10:15 AM13D.1Year of tropical convection (YOTC): status and research agenda   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff
10:30 AM13D.2Identifying the ITCZ in satellite data using Markov Random Fields: Overview and interannual variability in the east Pacific  
Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. Bain, J. De Paz Rodrigues, J. Kramer, P. Smyth, and H. Stern
10:45 AM13D.3Correlations between lightning and characteristics of convective cells in tropical thunderstorms   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chuntao Liu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Zipser
11:00 AM13D.4Global Distribution of Convection in Tropical Cyclones Based on 11 yr of TRMM Data   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Haiyan Jiang, Florida International University, Miami, FL
11:15 AM13D.5Rain on small tropical islands   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Casey Burleyson, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. H. Sobel and S. E. Yuter
11:30 AM13D.6Inter and intraseasonal variations of cloud and precipiation characteristics over the Amazon Basin, observed with TRMM PR and Cloudsat CPR data  
Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and H. Higuchi
11:45 AM13D.7Clouds associated with the MJO: A new perspective from CloudSat   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Emily M. Riley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 14A Air-Sea Interaction III
Chair: Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA
1:15 PM14A.1Upper ocean thermal structure of the East China sea and its impact on typhoon intensity  
I.-I. Lin, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and G. C. Gong, K. Emanuel, J. F. Price, C. C. Lien, I. F. Pun, and C. -. C. Wu
1:30 PM14A.2Ocean heat content variability in the Eastern Pacific Ocean for intensity forecasting   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay
1:45 PM14A.3Comparison of Altimeter Derived and In-Situ Hurricane Heat Potential  
Paolo de Matthaeis, University of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Jacob and B. Young
2:00 PM14A.4Modeling and observations of the Atlantic Meridional Mode during the hurricane season   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont
2:15 PM14A.5The southeast Pacific warm band and double ITCZ   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hirohiko Masunaga, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan; and T. S. L'Ecuyer
2:30 PM14A.6Ocean-Atmosphere Feedback and Cloud-Radiation Feedback in Southeastern Pacific simulated by 24 IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs  
Michael Davis, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin, T. Qian, and M. P. Hung
2:45 PM14A.7Sea Surface Temperature Biases under the Stratus Cloud Deck in the Southeast Pacific Ocean in 19 IPCC AR4 Coupled General Circulation Models  extended abstract
Yangxing Zheng, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and T. Shinoda, J. L. Lin, and G. N. Kiladis
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 14B Tropical Cyclones and Large-scale Circulations
Chair: Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA
1:15 PM14B.1Conceptual Model of Western North Pacific Monsoon Depression Formation  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Beattie
1:30 PM14B.2Co-variability of Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee
1:45 PM14B.3Downstream Development of the Summertime TC/Sub-monthly Wave Pattern in the Extratropical North Pacific   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu
2:00 PM14B.4Analysis of the large-scale environment preceding the development of an African disturbance   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christopher M. Hill, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
2:15 PM14B.5The Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Climate Memory in the Atmosphere-Ocean System   pdf recordingPDF file wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
2:30 PM14B.6Dynamics of the Atlantic Meridional Mode, and implications for tropical cyclones   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Daniel J. Vimont, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI
2:45 PM14B.7Exploring Influence of Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea Cyclones on Warm Season Rainfall over Central US  
Amita V. Mehta, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and E. A. Smith
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 14C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Special Observations and Data
Chair: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
1:15 PM14C.1Impact of Assimilating Environmental Satellite Observations on Tropical Storm Position and Intensity Analyses and Forecasts   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, C. Snyder, and Y. Chen
1:30 PM14C.2Initialization of Tropical Cyclones in Numerical Prediction Systems  
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. Hendricks, T. Li, and X. Ge
1:45 PM14C.3A Tropical Cyclone Vortex Dynamic-Initialization Methodology Applying In Situ Observations and Experiments Using a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Henry R. Winterbottom, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
2:00 PM14C.4Evaluation of a vortex relocation scheme and the impact of various synthetic observations on tropical cyclone initialization in an advanced research WRF  
Weiyu Ding, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu
2:15 PM14C.5Assimilation of Airborne Doppler Radar Data for Hurricane Initialization and Prediction in HWRF   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Mingjing Tong, UCAR, Camp Springs, MD; and J. C. Derber, Q. Liu, S. Lord, W. M. Lapenta, and J. F. Gamache
2:30 PM14C.6Generation of synthetic observations and their Impact on COAMPS-TC analysis and forecast  
Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Sashegyi
2:45 PM14C.7The Impacts of GPS Radio Occultation Data on Tropical Cyclone Prediction   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ying-Hwa Kuo, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Fang, Y. R. Guo, H. Liu, and Z. Ma
 
1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 14D Convection III
Chair: Christian Jakob, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria Australia
1:15 PM14D.1Bi-modal structure and evolution of tropical diabatic heating profiles   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos
1:30 PM14D.2Dissecting diabatic heating profiles during TWP-ICE   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Courtney Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Xie and S. A. McFarlane
1:45 PM14D.3The classification and simulation of precipitating convective regimes over Darwin, Australia   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Simon Caine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and C. Jakob, S. T. Siems, P. T. May, and T. Lane
2:00 PM14D.4Exploring the diurnal cycle in rainfall using idealized cloud resolving model studies   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Larissa E. Back, University of Wisconsin- Madison, Madison, WI
2:15 PM14D.5What sets the humidity of the tropical stratosphere?   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
David M. Romps, UC Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; and Z. Kuang and P. N. Blossey
2:30 PM14D.6Assessing the role of overshooting deep convection on water vapour in the TTL   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Muhammad E. Hassim, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and T. P. Lane
14D.7A 2-d modeling approach for studying the formation, maintenance, and decay of Tropical Tropopause Layer (TTL) cirrus associated with deep convection  
Daniel R. Henz, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and T. Hashino, G. J. Tripoli, and E. A. Smith
 
3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 7
Formal Poster Viewing
 
3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 7
Poster Session 2 Posters: Tropical Cyclone Modeling, Convection, Tropical Cyclone Structure, Intraseasonal Variability, T-PARC, TCS-08, Air-Sea Interaction, Convectively Coupled Waves, Tropical Cyclone Observations, Climate Change, Probabilistic Forecasting
 P2.1The Systematically Merged Atlantic Regional Temperature and Salinity (SMARTS) Climatology  
Patrick C. Meyers, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. K. Brewster and L. K. Shay
 P2.2Convectively coupled waves in a sheared environment  
Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and Y. Han
 P2.3Applying Multi-sensor and ECMWF Analyses to Characterize and Evaluate Cloud, Convection and Radiation Processes in Numerical Models  
Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, W. T. Chen, T. L'Ecuyer, Y. C. Wang, W. W. Tung, J. D. Neelin, B. Kahn, E. Fetzer, and R. G. Fovell
 P2.4Vaisala dropsondes: History, status, and applications  extended abstract
Ilkka Ikonen II, Vaisala, Inc., Vantaa, Finland; and N. W. S. Demetriades and R. L. Holle
 P2.5Validation of QuikSCAT wind vectors by dropwindsonde data from DOTSTAR  
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, and S. J. Majumdar
 P2.6On sources of dry tropical air in the environment of Atlantic tropical cyclones  
Scott Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Boller
 P2.7Recurving eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones  
Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Dickinson and L. F. Bosart
 P2.8Monsoon Rainfall Characteristics: Precipitation Types and Associated Environment Regimes observed during SoWMEX/TiMREX  
Ben Jong-Dao Jou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Tong
 P2.9Data collected by the University of South Alabama Mesonet during Tropical Storm Fay (2008) and Hurricane Ida (2009)  
Sytske Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
 P2.10Large-scale features associated with Arabian Sea cyclonic storms  
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. J. Camargo
 P2.11Analysis of data gathered during NOAA WP-3D penetrations of Hurricanes Felix, Katrina and Ivan during episodes of extreme intensity  extended abstract
Richard G. Henning, NOAA, MacDill AFB, FL; and J. Parrish, A. B. Damiano, J. Williams, I. T. Sears, and P. Flaherty
 P2.12SEAWINDS IMPROVED OCEAN VECTOR WIND RETRIEVALS IN HURRICANES  extended abstract
Suleiman Odeh Alsweiss, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. Laupattarakasem and L. Jones
 P2.13An evaluation of the use of the mean vortex wind as a proxy for the environmental wind  
Paul R. Harasti, UCAR and NRL, Monterey, CA
 P2.14Predecessor Rain Events ahead of recurving tropical cyclones: Using numerical simulations and ensemble forecasts to quantify the rainfall enhancement  
Russ S. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
P2.15PAPER WITHDRAWN  
 P2.16Determining the error characteristics of H*Wind  
Steven M. DiNapoli, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa
 P2.17Wind Effects on Asphalt Shingles  extended abstract
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX; and R. Herzog, S. M. Morrison, and J. Green
 P2.19Composite structure of vortical hot towers observed in Hurricane Guillermo (1997)  extended abstract
Kelly C. Smith, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin
 P2.20A new parametric tropical cyclone wind-profile model: Testing and verification  extended abstract
Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. W. White and H. E. Willoughby
 P2.22Eddy variations in the Western North Pacific South Eddy Zone by Satellite Altimetry Observation for Typhoon Intensification Research  
Iam Fei Pun, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. -. I. Lin
 P2.23Developing high spatial resolution daytime cloud climatologies for Africa  extended abstract
Rahama Beida, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. W. Douglas and A. Dominguez
 P2.25An observational study of tropical cyclone landfall processes in the Australian region  
Yubin Li, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; and K. K. W. Cheung and J. C. L. Chan
 P2.26Ocean-atmosphere interaction effects on tropical cyclone inner-core convective bursts  
Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and J. Halverson and C. C. Hennon
 P2.28Air-sea coupling and tropical cyclone prediction in the Australian region  
Paul Sandery, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
 P2.29The Impact of Taiwan Topography on the Predictability of Typhoon Morakot's Record-breaking Rainfall: A High-resolution Ensemble Simulation  
Xingqin Fang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. H. Kuo
 P2.30Predicting Typhoon Morakot's Catastrophic Rainfall and Flooding With a Cloud-Scale Ensemble System  
Yonghui Weng, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Y. H. Kuo, and J. S. Whitaker
 P2.31The influence of Tropical cyclone structure on storm evolution and its interaction with topography  
Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. C. Wu
P2.32A factor controlling surface wind asymmetries in typhoons revealed by QuikSCAT wind data  
Mitsuru Ueno, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Bessho
 P2.33Validating the ocean model component of coupled hurricane-ocean models  
Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis, B. Thomas, J. J. Cione, G. R. Halliwell Jr., E. W. Uhlhorn, H. S. Kim, C. Lozano, E. P. Chassignet, and H. R. Winterbottom
 P2.34Structural analysis of SSM/I and TMI overpasses of tropical cyclones from 1987-2008  
Daniel S. Harnos, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt and K. R. Knapp
 P2.35Tropical and subtropical influences on Montreal’s record-breaking rainfall event of 8-9 November 1996  
Shawn M. Milrad, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. H. Atallah, J. R. Gyakum, and D. A. Durnford
 P2.36Beta-effect on the evolution of tropical cyclone  
Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang
 P2.37Extreme winds associated with a collapsing core on the Mobile waterfront during the landfall of Hurricane Katrina  extended abstract
Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and A. Williams and J. Holmes
 P2.38Effects of Extreme SST Cooling on Hurricane Ophelia (2005) Structure: RAINEX Observation and Coupled Model Simulation  
Jie Ming, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and C. Lee
 P2.39Analysis of wind field variations of major hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico  
Christopher M. Hill, Geosystems Research Institute, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick and Y. Lau
 P2.40Gravity waves in shear and implications for organized convection  
Samuel N. Stechmann, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and A. J. Majda
 P2.41Hurricane Ike Damage Survey  extended abstract
Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX
 P2.42Thermodynamic structure of tropical cyclones from dropsondes  
Leon Nguyen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Thomas, D. Vollaro, and J. Molinari
 P2.43Structural evolution in diabatic heating profiles of the MJO in global reanalysis  
Jian Ling, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang
 P2.44Determination of the Highest Cloud Top in SAS Scheme and Its Impact on Hurricane Forecasts  
Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Pan, S. Lord, B. Lapenta, V. Tallapragada, Z. Zhang, Y. Kwon, and J. Oconnor
 P2.45Okinawa typhoons, 1954 - 1956  extended abstract
Fred S. Hickernell, University of Arizona, Phoenix, AZ
 P2.46Surface cold pools in the outer rainbands of Tropical Storm Hanna (2008)  
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and T. Gardner, M. C. Link, and K. C. Smith
 P2.47Miniature supercells observed in an offshore outer rainband of Hurricane Gustav (2008)  
Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and J. Edwards
 P2.48Case study on validation and interpretation of adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector as targeted observation guidance of tropical cyclones  
Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, and K. H. Chou
 P2.49An Effort to Increase Storm Surge Threat Awareness for the Charleston, SC Area Using a Web-based Visualization Tool and Associated Survey  extended abstract
Frank Alsheimer, NOAA/NWSFO, North Charleston, SC; and R. Bright, B. L. Lindner, J. Johnson, and S. Duke
P2.50Large-scale scope of damage prediction model for landfalling hurricanes  
Joseph Spain, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX
 P2.51Improved SFMR surface wind measurements in intense rain conditions  
Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. A. Black and B. W. Klotz
 P2.52Evolving boundary layer measurements during hurricanes Gustav and Ike  
Jeffrey Scott Zuczek, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. C. Meyers, E. W. Uhlhorn, R. Lumpkin, B. Jaimes, J. K. Brewster, and G. R. Halliwell Jr.
 P2.53NOAA's Vision for a Coordinated Storm Surge Enterprise  
Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Feyen and M. Erickson
 P2.54Lightning fatalities in tropical and subtropical regions  extended abstract
Ronald L. Holle, Holle Meteorology & Photography, Oro Valley, AZ
 P2.55Impact of the atmospheric boundary layer on eyewall mesovortices of hurricanes  
Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL; and K. Menelaou
 P2.56Characteristics of tropical cyclone tracks over western North Pacific - the case study of Typhoon Fengshen (2008)  
Chung-Chuan Yang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu
 P2.57The influence of the island topography on tropical cyclone track deflection and looping motion  
Yi-Hsuan Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and T. S. Huang
 P2.58An investigation into gradient balance of flight-level tropical cyclone windfields  extended abstract
Michael P.M. Gibbons, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller
 P2.59The HWRFX Modeling System: Recent Developments in Hurricane Structure and Intensity Forecasting Research in NOAA  
S.G. Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and X. Zhang, T. Quirino, R. Rogers, K. Yeh, F. Marks, and R. Atlas
 P2.60Interannual Changes of Tropical Cyclone Prevailing Tracks in the Western North Pacific  extended abstract
Haikun Zhao, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and L. Wu and W. Zhou
 P2.62An intercomparison of WRF-ARW and JMA-NHM performance in prediction of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea in 2008  extended abstract
S.T. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and T. F. Chan and W. K. Wong
P2.61Microphysical structures of stratiform clouds associated with the MJO observed during MISMO project  
Kenji Suzuki, Yamaguchi University, Yamaguchi, Japan; and S. Shigeto, H. Wada, K. Iseki, and K. Yoneyama
 P2.63Cloud-top-height variability associated with equatorial Kelvin waves in the tropical tropopause layer  
Junko Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Kanagawa, Japan; and M. Fujiwara, A. Hamada, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka
 P2.64The large-scale response of tropical atmosphere to latent heating estimated from the TRMM PR  
Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
 P2.65The orographic effects of Reunion Island on tropical cyclone tracks  extended abstract
David Barbary, Météo-France/LACy, Sainte Clotilde, Reunion; and Y. L. Lin
 P2.66Statistical assessment of tropical cloud-system resolving model simulations using a cell-tracking algorithm  
Simon Caine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia; and T. P. Lane, P. T. May, J. Pinto, C. Jakob, S. T. Siems, and M. J. Manton
 P2.67Modelling the transient response of the Dines anemometer in tropical cyclone winds  extended abstract
Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
 P2.68PBL triggering mechanism of convective rainfall viewed from Helicity during TC landfall  
Leiming Ma, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China
 P2.69Aggregated Convection and the Regulation of Tropical Climate  extended abstract
Marat F. Khairoutdinov, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY; and K. Emanuel
 P2.70Constructing a 13-year (1996-2008) high resolution GPS dropsonde database for hurricane research  
Jeffrey Halverson, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and J. Wang, K. Young, B. Arensdorf, and M. Black
 P2.71The effect of marine cold-air outbreaks on tropical cyclone potential intensity in the Gulf of Mexico  
Rebecca Hunniford, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson and A. S. Bogdanoff
 P2.72An Analysis of Recent Dynamical Model Guidance for Eastern North Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones Near the Coast of Mexico  
Todd B. Kimberlain, DOC, Miami, FL, FL; and D. P. Brown
 P2.73A Re-analysis of the 1943 Atlantic Hurricane Season - The First Flight into a Hurricane  
Cristina Carrasco, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. W. Landsea
P2.74Evaluating boundary-layer based mass flux closure using cloud resolving model simulations of deep convection  
Jennifer K. Fletcher, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton
 P2.75Tropical cyclone lightning characteristics as revealed by the World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN)  
Sergio Abarca, UCLA, Los Angeles, 90095; and K. L. Corbosiero and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
 P2.76Predictable structures in idealized steady state hurricanes  
Bonnie R. Brown, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
 P2.77Convective quasi-equilibrium revisited, part I: theory  
David Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. Fuchs
 P2.78Investigating the relationship between tropical precipitation and water vapor in a cloud resolving model  
Satomi Sugaya, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and S. L. Sessions and D. J. Raymond
 P2.79Impact of microphysical assumptions on the intensity and the structure of simulated hurricanes: Can satellite observations help determine the optimal set of microphysical assumptions?  
Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Chao, A. Chau, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, J. Martin, W. L. Poulsen, E. Rodriguez, B. W. Stiles, S. Tanelli, F. J. Turk, D. G. Vane, and Q. A. Vu
P2.80Changes in the seasonality of tropical precipitation in response to greenhouse gases  
Michela Biasutti, LDEO, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel
 P2.81The influence of large-scale westerly winds on Madden-Julian Oscillations  
Lei Zhou, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Murtugudde, M. Jochum, and R. Neale
 P2.82The effect of ensemble-transform SST perturbations on tropical-cyclone track forecasts in a medium-range global NWP forecast ensemble  
Justin McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Reynolds, J. Goerss, and M. Flatau
 P2.83Thermodynamics of Madden Julian Oscillation in a regional model with constrained moistening  
Samson M. Hagos, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung and J. Dudhia
 P2.84Limit of Predictability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation as a Stochastically-Driven Chaotic Oscillator  
Wen-Wen Tung, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
 P2.85Convective quasi-equilibrium revisited, part II: cloud resolving model simulations  
Michael J. Herman, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond
 P2.86The evolution of tropical storm Gabrielle (2001)  
Julie Kelly, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes and K. Dolling
 P2.87Idealized Tropical Cyclones in Atmospheric General Circulation Models: The Impact of the Dynamical Core  
Christiane Jablonowski, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and K. A. Reed
 P2.88Sensitivity of El Niño – Southern Oscillation to Madden Julian Oscillation  
Atul Kapur, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang
 P2.89The impact of trade surges on the Madden–Julian Oscillation under different ENSO conditions  
Ayako Seiki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, K. Yoneyama, and R. Shirooka
 P2.90Dry air layers observed over the central equatorial Indian Ocean  
Kunio Yoneyama, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and K. Yasunaga and M. Katsumata
 P2.91Statistical comparison of scales and spatial distributions of convection in observational data and simulated hurricanes  
Sam Trahan, NOAA/NCEP/EMC (UCAR), Camp Springs, MD; and L. C. Sparling, V. Tallapragada, S. A. Braun, and J. Halverson
P2.92Changes of tropical rain and associated Precipitation efficiency in tropical oceans in response to climate warming  
Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan
P2.93Intense Orographic Precipitation Associated with Typhoon Talim (2005) in China  
Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and B. Wang, T. Song, and Z. Ding
 P2.94The Global 3-Dimensional Structure of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation  
Scott Stuckman, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. L. Lin and M. Davis
 P2.95The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation, Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves  
Scott Stuckman, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin
 P2.96A simple coastline storm surge model based on pre-run SLOSH outputs  extended abstract
Liming Xu, FM Global, Norwood, MA
 P2.97The Global 3-Dimensional Structure of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation  
Erik Fraza, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and S. Melaragno
 P2.98Tropical orographic rainfall regimes according to the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission  
Kimberly Reed, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt
 P2.99Convectively coupled gravity waves in the tropics: Why do most waves travel westward?  
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis
 P2.100Drag and enthalpy coefficients at major hurricane wind speeds  
Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and K. Emanuel
 P2.101Improved Representations of Ice Cloud Microphysics for Hurricane Models  
Greg M. McFarquhar, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and A. Dooley, M. Freer, A. J. Heymsfield, P. Lawson, and A. Bansemer
 P2.102The impact of eastern Pacific tropical cyclones on the climatology of the North American Southwest region  extended abstract
Kimberly M. Wood, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie
P2.103A fine-resolution, multiple-nested, WRF simulation of hurricane Gustav (2008)  
F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball
 P2.104Tropical cyclone flow structure in the presence of elevated terrain  extended abstract
Brian J. Billings, National Research Council, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle
 P2.105Dominant intraseasonal variability modes over the eastern Pacific ITCZ and their representation in climate models  
Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA & JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser
P2.106Impact of organized intraseasonal convective perturbations on the tropical circulation  
Hugo Bellenger, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel
 P2.107EnKF Data Assimilation of dual-Doppler radar data from hurricane Guillermo  
Humberto C. Godinez, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and A. O. Fierro and J. Reisner
P2.108OSSE experiments testing new data platforms for predicting tropical cyclones with an Ensemble Kalman Filter  
Jason Sippel, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Weng
 P2.109Diurnal circulations and their multi-scale interactions on rainfall over the South China Sea during monsoon westerly wind bursts  
Myung-Sook Park, NPS, Monterey, CA; and C. H. Ho and J. Kim
 P2.110Retrieval of hurricane turbulence parameters using airborne Doppler radar measurements  extended abstract
Sylvie Lorsolo, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. F. Gamache, F. Marks, and P. Dodge
 P2.111The Fidelity of Tropical Cyclone Representation in Atmospheric Reanalysis Datasets   pdf recordingPDF file
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart
 P2.112Moist Static Energy budget for Madden-Julian Oscillation like disturbances in Super-Parameterized CAM on an aquaplanet  
Joseph Allan Andersen, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and Z. Kuang
P2.113Cloud resolving simulations of an idealized intertropical convergence zone  
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. N. Tulich and B. E. Mapes
 P2.114Kinematic and microphysical aspects of mesovortices in Hurricane Ike (2008)  
Stephanie Mullins, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp
 P2.115A unified GPS dropsonde quality assurance and visualization software system  
Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Martin
P2.116Developmental Testbed Center support of the Hurricane WRF for community use  
Steven Koch, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, S. Bao, N. Surgi, V. Tallapragada, Y. Kwon, Q. Liu, Z. Zhang, and L. Carson
 P2.117South Pacific Convergence Zone: A conduit for energy transport from the tropics to higher latitudes?  
Matthew J. Widlansky, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and P. J. Webster and C. D. Hoyos
 P2.118A hierarchy of synthetic vortex initialization methods for tropical cyclones  
Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, D. S. Nolan, and D. P. Stern
 P2.119An Integrated Modeling and Data Analysis Approach to Understanding Louisiana's Wetland Resilience to Hurricane Landfall  
Pat Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS; and Y. Lau, J. Chen, A. Chawla, S. Shean, K. Hu, H. L. Tolman, R. R. Twilley, C. M. Hill, and J. E. Cable
 P2.120Sensitivity of the evolution of an idealized tropical cyclone to small perturbations in initial input fields  
R. J. Maliawco, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar and B. F. Jewett
 P2.121Tropical cyclone energy and power dissipation as a predictor of storm surge using ADCIRC  
Angela Fritz, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry
 P2.122Vortical evolution of deep convection in idealized tropical disturbance environments  
Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor
 P2.124Evaluation of the GFDL 25km resolution Global Atmospheric Model for tropical cyclone prediction  
Jeffrey S. Gall, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis, S. J. Lin, and T. Marchok
 P2.125Description of HWRF Modeling System graphics and statistics for use as a diagnostic tool  
Janna O'Connor, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC -SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. Tallapragada, S. Trahan, H. Y. Chuang, W. M. Lapenta, and S. J. Lord
 P2.126Hurricane Isabel (2003) boundary layer characteristics and patterns using the Richardson number  
Aaron Paget, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. H. Ruscher
 P2.127Evolution of the Tropical Cyclone Integrated Data Exchange and Analysis System (TC-IDEAS)  extended abstract
F. Joseph Turk, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and Y. Chao, Z. Haddad, S. Veleva, B. W. Knosp, B. H. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, W. L. Poulsen, S. Tanelli, D. G. Vane, Q. A. Vu, H. M. Goodman, R. J. Blakeslee, H. Conover, J. M. Hall, Y. M. He, and K. Regner
 P2.128Simulation of historical hurricane events using 20th Century Reanalysis  
Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL
 P2.129Mesoscale gravity wave - convection coupling  
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and F. Zhang
 P2.130Characterization of momentum transport associated with organized moist convection and gravity waves  
Todd P. Lane, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. W. Moncrieff
 P2.131Radar-observed eyewall tilt and three-dimensional winds of Hurricane Isabel (2003)  
Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin
 P2.132What's New with the Online Textbook for Tropical Meteorology?  extended abstract
Arlene Laing, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Evans and M. Pope
P2.133The 8 May 2009 "super derecho": A land-hurricane?  
Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and C. Evans and L. F. Bosart
 P2.134Observed dispersion relation of mixed Rossby gravity waves and 17-day tropical instability waves in the Pacific Ocean  
Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS
 P2.135The Generation, Maintenance and Propagation of the Pre-Helene African Easterly Wave and Mesoscale Convective System Over Africa: A Numerical Study and Analysis of the Environment  
James Spinks, North Carolina A & T State University, Greensboro, NC; and Y. L. Lin and G. Tang
 P2.136How well do coupled global climate models simulate convectively coupled equatorial waves?  
Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. T. Haertel and G. N. Kiladis
 P2.137The community Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF): System description, forecast skill and Developmental Testbed Center support  extended abstract
Shaowu Bao, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. R. Bernardet, V. Tallapragada, N. Surgi, Y. C. Kwon, Q. Liu, Z. Zhang, C. Harrop, L. Carson, D. Stark, S. Trahan, B. Lapenta, S. Koch, and B. Kuo
 P2.138Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of Coastal WSR-88D Radar Data and Forecasting for Hurricane Ike (2008)  extended abstract
Jili Dong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
 P2.139A statistical method for modeling tropical cyclone activity  
Mary M. Louie, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and G. Ljung
 P2.140Sensitivity of a parametric hurricane model to different wind profiles  
Ioana M. Dima, AIR Worldwide, Boston, MA; and T. Doggett and P. Dailey
 P2.141The role of the asymmetric mode in a turbulent regime  extended abstract
Stephen R. Guimond, COAPS/Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. M. Reisner
P2.142Numerical Simulations of the Formation of Hurricane Fred (2009)  
Sen Chiao, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and G. Jenkins
 P2.143Multidecadal oscillations in tropical ocean and land temperatures  
Carlos D. Hoyos, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia; and P. Webster, H. R. Chang, and J. A. Curry
 P2.144Initialization and Prediction of Hurricane Ike via Assimilation of Airborne Doppler Radar Radial Velocity Observations using the ARPS 3DVAR  
Ningzhu Du, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, Norman, OK; and M. Xue
 P2.145Tropical thick anvil  
Wei Li, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. Schumacher
 P2.146A STUDY OF OCEAN-ATMOSPHERIC INTERACTIONS AND HURRICANE PREDICTIVE INDEX (HPI) ASSOCIATED WITH LAND FALLING HURRICANE CHARLEY  
R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and D. Lu
 P2.147NASA Goddard GES DISC Data Services for Supporting Hurricane Research and YOTC  
Zhong Liu, George Mason University/CSISS, Fairfax, VA and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. Leptoukh, D. Ostrenga, and D. E. Waliser
 P2.148Numerical weather prediction and tropical cyclone track forecasting in the Caribbean using MM5 and ARPS. Case studies of hurricane Dean (2007), Omar (2008) and Paloma (2008)  extended abstract
Daniel Martinez, Cuban Meteorological Service, Cuba; and I. Mitrani, I. Borrajero, E. M. Hicks, and C. A. Pontikis
 P2.149Observed variability of the East Pacific ITCZ  
Caroline L. Bain, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, and H. Stern
P2.151Wind data collected by a fixed-wing aircraft in the vicinity of a typhoon over the south China coastal waters  extended abstract
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China
 P2.152Neap-spring tidal patterns in Atlantic tropical cyclones  extended abstract
Peter H. Yaukey, University of New Orleans, New Orleans, LA
 P2.153An observatinal and numerical study of the boundary layer processes during the intensification of Hurricane Bill (2009)  extended abstract
Jun Zhang, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, S. Lorsolo, R. Rogers, E. Uhlhorn, J. J. Cione, J. Dunion, J. Kaplan, K. Yeh, X. Zhang, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, T. Quirino, J. Cangialosi, and F. Marks
 P2.151Predictability and dynamics of a vertically-sheared tropical storm   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Thomas S. Hinson, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Y. Weng, J. Wei, and R. F. Rogers
P2.150Short-term quantitative precipitation forecasting in tropical watersheds  
Mark T. Stoelinga, 3TIER, Inc., Seattle, WA
 
8:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session Special Session on TY Morakot: Large-scale and Mesoscale characteristics followed by a discussion on the scientific, social, and political impacts of the typhoon-related disaster.
Chair: C.-C. Wu, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei Taiwan
8:00 PM.1A diagnosis of the extreme rainfall associated with the typhoon Morakot in southern Taiwan: Roles of submonthly disturbance and 40-50-day ISO   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
H. H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Hong and M. Y. Lee
8:15 PM.2Improved Goddard Microphysics for simulating Typhoon Morakot 2009  extended abstract
Wei-Kuo Tao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. J. Shi, P. L. Lin, and J. Y. Chen
 
Friday, 14 May 2010
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 15A Tropical Climatology and Climate Change I
Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL
8:00 AM15A.1Response of idealized Walker circulations and zonal surface temperature gradients to changes in longwave radiation   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Timothy M. Merlis, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider
8:15 AM15A.2Climatology of cloud properties and radiative heating profiles at tropical ACRF sites   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sally McFarlane, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and J. M. Comstock, L. Riihimaki, and J. Flaherty
8:30 AM15A.3The impact of future climate change on TC intensity and structure: A downscaling study  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. Lackmann
8:45 AM15A.4The association of outgoing radiation with variations of precipitation – implications for global warming  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. Schwartz
9:00 AM15A.5Model projected impact of Anthropogenic warming on late 21st century intense Atlantic hurricane activity   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and T. R. Knutson, R. Tuleya, J. J. Sirutis, G. A. Vecchi, S. T. Garner, and I. M. Held
9:15 AM15A.6The Global Warming Events in the Past 60 years  
Michael Davis, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and S. Stuckman
9:30 AM15A.7Atlantic hurricanes and climate change: Projection of a peak month in a future record hurricane season  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 15B Convectively Coupled Waves I
Chair: Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba Japan
8:00 AM15B.1On the relationship between convective activity and easterly waves over Tropical North Africa: a weather state perspective   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Ademe Mekonnen, NOAA-CREST Center, New York, NY; and W. B. Rossow
8:15 AM15B.2An observational study of transient - mean flow interactions over West Africa   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nicholas M. J. Hall, LEGOS, University of Toulouse, Toulouse, France
8:30 AM15B.3Intermittent african easterly waves in a simple GCM   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Stephanie Leroux, NOAA, Boulder, CO
8:45 AM15B.4Interactions between the ITCZ and Convectively Coupled Kelvin Waves   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Juliana Dias, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and O. Pauluis
9:00 AM15B.5Tropical cyclogenesis within a Kelvin wave  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Carl J. Schreck III, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
9:15 AM15B.6Extratropical forcing of convectively coupled equatorial wave activity   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Biello and K. H. Straub
9:30 AM15B.7The excitation of equatorial Kelvin waves by extratropical Rossby Waves   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Joseph A. Biello, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA; and G. N. Kiladis
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 15C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: High-Resolution Modeling II
Chair: Shuyi Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:00 AM15C.1The overland reintensification of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Erin (2007): physical and dynamical characteristics  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
8:15 AM15C.2Influences of the diurnal cycle and the low-level jet on the inland reintensification of Tropical Cyclone Erin (2007)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Russ S. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Evans and T. J. Galarneau Jr.
8:30 AM15C.3On the rapid intensification of hurricane Wilma (2005)  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Hua Chen, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
8:45 AM15C.4Evaluation of the Surface Wind Field in a High-Resolution Simulation of the Landfall of Hurricane Wilma (2005) by Comparison to In Situ Wind Measurements   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
David S. Nolan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, M. D. Powell, and F. J. Masters
9:00 AM15C.5Improving regional high resolution hurricane forecasts through data assimilation and diagnostic verification with satellite observations  
Tomislava Vukicevic, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. Dunion, A. Aksoy, F. D. Marks Jr., S. G. Gopalakrishnan, S. D. Aberson, and M. van Lier-Walqui
9:15 AM15C.6Analysis of NRL COAMPS simulated boundary layer of Hurricane Isabel (2003)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Shouping Wang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin, P. Black, and J. Zhang
9:30 AM15C.7Analysis of the intensity, structure and precipitation in high-resolution numerical simulations of Typhoon Morakot  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jonty D. Hall, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and L. M. Leslie
 
8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Friday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 15D Probabilistic Forecasting
Chair: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
8:00 AM15D.1Genesis potential estimation of high-impact weather by TIGGE ensemble data  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and M. Matsueda
8:15 AM15D.2Verification of the National Weather Service Tropical Cyclone Intensity Probabilities and Future Plans  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, R. Knabb, and M. DeMaria
8:30 AM15D.3A probabilistic wind speed forecast product blending NHC TC-based fields with a dynamical model ensemble  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer and R. Knabb
8:45 AM15D.4Storm surge probability forecasts for Hurricane Ike   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and J. Rhome and A. A. Taylor
9:00 AM15D.5On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and P. M. Finocchio, J. S. Goerss, and J. Hansen
9:15 AM15D.6Understanding probabilistic forecasting and verification in tropical cyclones  
Derek Ortt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen
9:30 AM15D.7Objective tropical cyclone warning guidance using Monte Carlo wind speed probabilities  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andrea B. Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. Knaff, C. R. Sampson, and D. P. Brown
 
8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Friday
Coffee Break
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 6
Session 16A Tropical Climatology and Climate Change II
Chair: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
10:15 AM16A.1States of Tropical Convection and their Relationship to SST Variability   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christian Jakob, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia; and M. S. Singh and C. Schumacher
10:30 AM16A.2An objective climatology of tropical plumes  
Luise Froehlich, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and P. Knippertz and A. H. Fink
10:45 AM16A.3Historical contribution of African dust outbreaks to northern tropical Atlantic temperatures   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and S. Mukhopadhyay
11:00 AM16A.4Spatio-temporal variability of aerosol in the tropics and its relationship with the hydrological cycle  
Manuel D. Zuluaga, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and C. D. Hoyos, P. J. Webster, and J. A. Curry
11:15 AM16A.5The ITCZ, easterly wave generation, equatorial westerlies: A common solution for some fundamental questions in the tropics   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Peter J. Webster, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA
11:30 AM16A.6The Neutral Phases of ENSO: Are They Really Neutral?  
Scott Melaragno, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and J. Lin and E. Fraza
11:45 AM16A.7Climate mechanisms responsible for the dramatic decline in global tropical cyclone activity  
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University & Naval Research Laboratory - Monterey, Tallahassee, FL
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 2-5
Session 16B Convectively Coupled Waves II
Chair: George N. Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO
10:15 AM16B.1Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and the basic state   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and E. M. Riley, G. N. Kiladis, and B. Mapes
10:30 AM16B.2A simple dynamical model with features of convective momentum transport   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and S. N. Stechmann
10:45 AM16B.3Equatorially trapped waves in a background meridional shear  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Maryam Namazi, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider
11:00 AM16B.4Convectively coupled gravity waves and moisture modes with top and bottom heavy vertical heating profiles   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Zeljka Fuchs, University of Split, Split, Croatia; and D. Raymond and S. Gjorgjievska
11:15 AM16B.5Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and moisture modes in 3-D simulations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Saska Gjorgjievska, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and Z. Fuchs and D. Raymond
11:30 AM16B.6Interaction between the moist Kelvin wave and WIG waves observed during MISMO field experiment (2006)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Department of Meteorology and IPRC, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang and Y. N. Takayabu
11:45 AM16B.7Model study of intermediate-scale tropical inertia gravity waves and comparison to TWP-ICE campaign observations  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Stephanie Evan, University of Colorado-Boulder, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Alexander and J. Dudhia
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Arizona Ballroom 10-12
Session 16C Tropical Cyclone Modeling: Structure and Intensity II
Chair: Robert G. Fovell, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA
10:15 AM16C.1Re-analysis/prediction of Typhoon Vera (1959) Project: ReVera -Isewan Typhoon like a Katrina hitting Japan 50 years ago-  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa, H. Kamahori, E. Shindo, M. Hara, T. Kawabata, M. Kunii, and N. Kohno
10:30 AM16C.2Idealized tropical cyclones in atmospheric general circulation models: sensitivity to convective parameterizations   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Kevin A. Reed, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. Jablonowski
10:45 AM16C.3The impact of lightning data assimilation on WRF simulations of Typhoon Jangmi (2008)   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Christopher R. S. Chambers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and A. T. Pessi and S. Businger
11:00 AM16C.4aComparison of secondary eyewall and principal rainband in Hurricane Rita (2005) as observed in RAINEX  
Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.
11:15 AM16C.5On the evolution of unstable large-Rossby-number vortices in shear   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor
11:30 AM16C.6Assimilation of GBVTD-derived Winds from Single-Doppler Radar for the Short-term Forecasting of Super Typhoon Saomai (0608) at Landfall  
Kun Zhao, Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and W. C. Lee
11:45 AM16C.7Sensitivity of hurricane tilt evolution to outer-core profile   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL
 
10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Tucson Salon A-C
Session 16D Tropical Cyclone Lightning: Observation and Intensity Change
Chair: Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam
10:15 AM16D.1Evolution of convective events as indicated by total lightning within three major hurricanes during periods of rapid intensification   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Alexandre Olivier Fierro, LANL, Los ALamos, NM; and X. Shao, J. Reisner, T. D. Hamlin, and J. D. Harlin
10:30 AM16D.2Validation of Vaisala's Global Lightning Dataset (GLD360) over the continental United States  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Nicholas W. S. Demetriades, Vaisala, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and M. J. Murphy and J. A. Cramer
10:45 AM16D.3Eyewall lightning outbreaks and tropical cyclone intensity change  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Knabb, N. W. S. Demetriades, and R. L. Holle
11:00 AM16D.4Assessment of synoptic and microphysical parameters related to lightning in tropical cyclones and storm intensification   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Marcus D. Austin, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. Fuelberg
11:15 AM16D.5The role of convection in determining tropical cyclone genesis in the eastern North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Lesley A. Leary, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie
11:30 AM16D.6Polarity and energetics of inner core lightning in three intense North Atlantic hurricanes   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Jeremy N. Thomas, Digipen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and N. N. Solorzano, S. A. Cummer, and R. H. Holzworth
11:45 AM16D.7Investigating intensity change in Cyclone Nargis using lightning activity and environmental data   wrf recordingRecorded presentation
Natalia N. Solorzano, Digipen Institute of Technology, Redmond, WA; and J. N. Thomas, R. H. Holzworth, and C. J. Rodger
 
12:00 PM-12:05 PM, Friday
Conference Adjourns
 

Browse the complete program of The 29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (10-14 May 2010)