16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Program Chairs: Matthias Steiner , NCAR ; David J. Pace , FAA-Retired

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 5 January 2013

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 5 January 2013


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

Sunday, 6 January 2013

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration for Short Course and Conference for Early Career Professionals
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


Registration Open for Annual Meeting
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 6 January 2013


WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall 1 (Austin Convention Center)

Monday, 7 January 2013

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Registration Continues Through January 9
Location: 4th Street Atrium (Austin Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Plenary Session
13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today's Weather, Water, and Climate Forecasting and Projections
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 13th Presidential Forum: Taking Predictions to the Next Level: Expanding Beyond Today; the 27th Conference on Hydrology; the 11th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 17th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation; the First Symposium on the Weather and Climate Enterprise; the Eighth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Third Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Sixth Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Special Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation; the Special Symposium on the Next Level of Predictions in Tropical Meteorology: Techniques, Usage, Support, and Impacts; the 10th Conference on Space Weather; the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction; the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 11th History Symposium; the 20th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 29th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies (formerly IIPS); the Robert A. Duce Symposium; the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the Fourth Conference on Environment and Health )
  8:30 AM
Opening Remarks (by AMS President Dr. Louis Uccellini and Co-Chairs Troy Kimmel/Ken Carey will introduce Texas and Local Representatives)
  8:35 AM
Warm Welcome to Austin!

  8:45 AM
Introduction of Guest Speakers (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

  8:50 AM
"Predicting Weather and Climate: Scientific Progress and Future Opportunities" Dr. Alan Thorpe, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
  9:10 AM
"River/Rainfall Forecast Fusion Cells" Major General Michael Walsh, US Army Corps of Engineers
  9:30 AM
"Cloudy with the Chance of Insight" Dr. Tony Hey, Microsoft Research
  9:50 AM
"Where Citizens are Looking" Dr. Nigel Snoad, Google Crisis Response
  10:10 AM
Audience Question and Answer (moderated by Dr. William (Bill) Hooke)
  10:25 AM
Closing Remarks (by Dr. Louis Uccellini)

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Ballroom D Foyer (Austin Convention Center)

11:00 AM-11:15 AM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 1
Welcome
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Organizers: Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC

11:15 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
From Weather Research to Operations (1)
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC; William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL
  11:30 AM
J1.2
Implementation of Enhanced Short Term and Aviation Grids at the NWS Atlanta Weather Forecast Office
Trisha D. Palmer, NOAA/NWSFO, Peachtree City, GA; and P. A. Atwell, S. E. Nelson, J. T. Deese, C. A. West, B. D. Lynn, M. Sena, and L. P. Rothfusz
  11:45 AM
J1.3
Overview of NextGen Efforts at the Aviation Weather Center
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP & CIRA, Kansas City, MO; and D. R. Bright

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
From Weather Research to Operations (2)
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Third Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )
Cochairs: William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC
  1:30 PM
J2.1
Application and Assessment of the Aviation Weather Center's Aviation Winter Weather Dashboard
Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC & CIRA, Kansas City, MO; and R. L. Solomon, D. R. Bright, J. Lichty, J. J. Levit, S. A. Lack, and T. Lloyd
  1:45 PM
J2.2
The 2012 Aviation Weather Testbed Summer Experiment: An Evaluation of Next-Generation Numerical Model Guidance and Aviation Forecasting
Amy R. Harless, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO; and J. J. Levit, B. R. J. Schwedler, A. Terborg, C. M. Gravelle, M. P. Murphy, B. Entwistle, D. Vietor, D. R. Bright, and L. Hinson
  2:00 PM
J2.3
The GOES-R Proving Ground 2012 Summer Experiment at the Aviation Weather Center
Amanda M. Terborg, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Kansas City, MO; and C. M. Gravelle
  2:15 PM
J2.4
The GOES-R Proving Ground 2012 Aviation Weather Testbed Summer Experiment – Case Studies
Chad M. Gravelle, CIMSS - Univ. of Wisconsin / NWS Operations Proving Ground, Kansas City, MO; and A. Terborg

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Poster Session
Digital Services and Dissemination of Weather Information
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
241
 
243
Net-centric Approach to Delivering Selectable NEXRAD Mosaics to NAS Systems
Tim Ivanovskiy, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL; and R. Travis


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session
Icing Hazard Characterization, Diagnosis and Prediction
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
245
Ice fog (pogonip) and frost in Arctic: application to aviation
Ismail Gultepe, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and T. kuhn, M. J. Pavolonis, C. G. Calvert, J. Gurka, R. Ware, Z. R. Vukovic, and J. Milbrandt

 
247
Severe Icing Pilot Reports Across the United States: Relationships Among Icing Type, Terrain, Altitude, Aircraft, Region, and Climate
Stephen P. Bone, WeatherExtreme Ltd., Fallbrook, CA; and A. Austin, P. B. Williams, S. N. Goates, and E. J. Austin

 
248
Climatological assessment of aircraft icing conditions and associated cloud properties derived from satellite data and icing PIREPS
Cecilia Fleeger, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and W. L. Smith Jr., P. Minnis, D. A. Spangenberg, R. Palikonda, and F. L. Chang

Poster PDF (3.8 MB)

 
249
Observations using slant angle passive radiometry during in-flight icing cases
David Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Ware, C. J. Johnston, A. L. Reehorst, and M. K. Politovich

Poster PDF (726.0 kB)

 
250
A near real-time satellite-based aircraft icing risk product for Alaska
Douglas A. Spangenberg, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and R. Palikonda, C. Fleeger, W. L. Smith Jr., P. Minnis, and F. L. Chang

Poster PDF (4.0 MB)

 
251
Usability of NWP Model Liquid Water Output for In-Flight Icing Forecasts
Katharina Roloff, Leibniz Univ. of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and T. Hauf

Poster PDF (680.4 kB)

 
252
A Comparison of RUC-derived and RAP-derived CIP and FIP Icing Products
Andrew F. Loughe, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. E. Hart, G. J. Layne, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney


Poster Session
Prediction of Ceiling and Visibility
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
253

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 2
Icing Hazard Characterization, Diagnosis and Prediction
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Franzeska Houtas, NASA, Edwards, CA; Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA
  4:00 PM
2.1
Toward an integrated approach to improve the utility of operational satellite data for diagnosing icing conditions
William L. Smith Jr., NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, C. Fleeger, F. L. Chang, and R. Palikonda

  4:15 PM
2.2
  4:30 PM
2.3
  4:45 PM
2.4
Coupling the FASST Land Surface Model with WRF-ARW for Low-level Icing Forecasts in Complex Terrain
Taleena Sines, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and J. P. Koermer, S. Frankenstein, and E. G. Hoffman

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 7 January 2013


Reception and Exhibits Opening
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Tuesday, 8 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 3
Impacts of Aviation on Environment
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA; Timothy H. Miner, Allied Pilots Association, n/a, VA
  8:30 AM
3.1
Northern Hemisphere Contrail Properties Derived from MODIS Imagery
David P. Duda, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and S. Bedka, R. C. Boeke, T. L. Chee, K. Khlopenkov, R. Palikonda, D. Spangenburg, and P. Minnis
  9:00 AM
3.3
  9:15 AM
3.4
Relating the climate impact of trans-Atlantic flights to typical north Atlantic weather patterns
Emma A. Irvine, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and K. P. Shine and B. J. Hoskins
  9:30 AM
3.5
Climate impact of aviation emissions in dependency of the emission location and weather situation – a basis for weather dependent, climate optimized flight planning
Christine Frömming, Deutsches Zentrum fuer Luft- und Raumfahrt, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany; and V. Grewe, P. Jöckel, S. Brinkop, S. Dietmüller, E. Tsati, and S. Matthes

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session
Turbulence Characterization, Diagnosis and Prediction
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
255
Influences of Moist Convection on a Cold-Season Outbreak of Clear-Air Turbulence
Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and T. P. Lane

 
256
Integrated GOES-R GLM/ABI Approaches for the Detection and Forecasting of Convectively Induced Turbulence
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and L. Carey, K. Bedka, R. H. Rogers, S. A. Monette, and C. Fleeger

 
258
How useful is it to represent CAT by sequences of vortices?
Bob Lunnon, Univ. of Reading, Crediton, United Kingdom

 
259
 
Poster 260 has been moved. New paper number 6.4A.

 
262
Forecasting of Optical Turbulence in Support of Realtime Optical Communication Systems
Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and B. Felton

 
263
Development of the Korean Turbulence Guidance (KTG) system based on the Unified Model and pilot reports (PIREPs) over East Asia
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and T. L. Keller

 
264
Testing of a New Gravity Waves Based Clear-Air Turbulence Diagnostic
Jacek M. Kopeć, Univ. of Warsaw, Warszawa, Poland; and K. Bajer and K. E. Haman
Manuscript (1.0 MB)

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)

 
265
Further methods for identifying turbulence within satellite gravity wave signatures
Anthony Wimmers, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz and S. A. Monette

 
266
Applications of Satellite Data to Aircraft Turbulence
Sarah A. Monette, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Bedka and W. F. Feltz

Poster PDF (4.5 MB)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 4
Emerging Sensors and Observing Capabilities (1)
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL
  11:00 AM
4.1
INVITED: In Situ Sensing in Convective Storms and Air Masses with Small Unmanned Aircraft Systems
Brian Argrow, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO ; and E. W. Frew, A. Houston, C. C. Weiss, and C. Ziegler
  11:30 AM
4.2
UAS observations and their impact on NWP during TUFT
Heather Richardson, AirDat, Morrisville, nc; and N. A. Jacobs, P. Childs, P. Marinello, and X. Y. Huang
  11:45 AM
4.4
The possible use of ADS-B data to infer turbulence encounters by commercial aircraft
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Pearson, G. Blackburn, and J. Krozel

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 5
Emerging Sensors and Observing Capabilities (2)
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO
  1:45 PM
5.2
Statistical Analysis of a Radar-Based Icing Hazard Algorithm
Christopher J. Johnston, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Serke, S. M. Ellis, A. L. Reehorst, J. C. Hubbert, D. Albo, A. Weekley, D. R. Adriaansen, K. L. Elmore, and M. K. Politovich
  2:00 PM
5.3
Supercooled liquid water content profiles with a new vibrating wire sonde compared to ground-based microwave radiometry
David Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Hall, J. Bognar, A. Jordan, S. Abdo, K. Baker, T. Seitel, M. Nelson, A. L. Reehorst, R. Ware, F. McDonough, and M. K. Politovich
  2:15 PM
5.4
MPAR Wind Shear Experiment
Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. W. Burgess, B. L. Cheong, J. Y. N. Cho, T. Crum, M. Weadon, M. Emanuel, and P. Byron
  2:30 PM
5.5
MPAR wind-shear experiment data analysis results
John Y. N. Cho, MIT, Lexington, MA; and R. S. Frankel and M. F. Donovan
  2:45 PM
5.6
Attempting to Turn Night into Day; Development of Visible Like Nighttime Satellite Images
Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 6
Turbulence Characterization, Diagnosis and Prediction
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Timothy H. Miner, Allied Pilots Association, n/a, VA; Cecilia Miner, n/a, Woodbridge, VA
  3:45 PM
6.2
Intensification of Transatlantic Aviation Turbulence in Response to Anthropogenic Climate Change
Paul D. Williams, Univ. of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. M. Joshi

  4:00 PM
6.3
Towards turbulence-based turbulence forecasting
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Frehlich and J. Williams
  4:15 PM
6.4A
Turbulence forecast verification using in-situ Eddy Dissipation Rate observations
Matthew S. Wandishin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and B. Pettegrew, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney
  5:00 PM
6.7
The Generation of Turbulence below Mid-level Cloud Bases
Atsushi Kudo, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan
  5:15 PM
6.8
Investigation of mountain-wave induced turbulence (MWT) events over the Colorado region on 31 December 2011
Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and T. L. Keller

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Tuesday, 8 January 2013


Duce Symposium Banquet
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

Wednesday, 9 January 2013

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 7
Paths Less Traveled: En-route Wake Vortex and Volcanic Ash
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Steve Abelman, FAA, Washington, DC
  8:30 AM
7.1
Case Study Analysis of Wake Vortex Encounters in UTLS
James P. Johnson, James Johnson Associates, Inc., Lincolnshire, IL; and R. D. Sharman and J. Williams

  8:45 AM
7.2
Identifying upper-level wake vortex encounters using routine turbulence reports
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and G. E. Blackburn, J. A. Craig, R. K. Goodrich, J. Johnson, F. McDonough, G. Meymaris, J. M. Pearson, and R. D. Sharman
  9:00 AM
7.3
A new Simulation Scheme for Radar Signatures of Raindrops in Wake Vortices
Zhongxun Liu, Univ. of Toulouse, Toulouse, France; and N. Jeannin, F. Christophe, F. Vincent, and X. Wang
  9:15 AM
7.4
HIGHLIGHT: Harmonized Volcanic Ash Support to Global Aviation
Cecilia Miner, Unaffiliated, Woodbridge, VA; and J. M. Osiensky and G. Swanson
  9:30 AM
7.5
Monitoring the 3D structure of diffuse volcanic ash clouds
Jean-Paul Vernier, Science Systems and Applications Inc., Hampton, VA
  9:45 AM
7.6
Optimal Use of Satellite Data Applications for the Volcanic Ash Threat to Aviation
John J. Murray, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and J. A. Haynes, J. P. Vernier, M. J. Pavolonis, and N. A. Krotkov

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Spouses' Coffee
Location: Hilton Hotel (Austin Convention Center)

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 8
Weather Integrated Decision Support
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Mike Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc., Reston, VA; Tom Lloyd, JetBlue Airways Corp., Long Island City, NY
  10:30 AM
8.1
A Framework for the Development of ATM-Weather Integration
Claudia V. McKnight, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Fronzak, M. Huberdeau, M. Wang, and E. Wilhelm
  10:45 AM
8.2
HIGHLIGHT: Integration of real-time in situ turbulence reports into airline flight operations
Tammy J. Farrar, FAA, Washington, DC; and W. Watts, C. M. Amaral, G. E. Blackburn, R. D. Sharman, and C. A. West
  11:00 AM
8.3
Web enhanced automated convective gate forecasts
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA; and C. B. Elsenheimer, J. T. Deese, and L. P. Rothfusz
  11:15 AM
8.4
Trajectory-Based Weather-ATM Integration at the Florida NextGen Testbed
Robert Avjian, Lockheed Martin Information Systems & Global Solutions, Rockville, MD; and J. G. Stobie, J. Dehn, and K. Chittargi
  11:30 AM
8.5A
Generating Representative Weather-Impact Futures for Strategic Traffic Flow Management
Sandip Roy, Washington State Univ., Pullman, WA; and R. Dhal, C. P. Taylor, M. Xue, C. Wanke, and Y. Wan
  11:45 AM
8.6
The Adverse Weather Diversion Model DIVMET – Concept and Applications
Manuela Sauer, Leibniz Univ. of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and L. Sakiew, T. Hauf, and P. Hupe

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Themed Joint Session 37
The Application of Artificial Intelligence in the Field of Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Location: Room 18A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; and the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
Cochairs: Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Amy McGovern, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
  1:30 PM
TJ37.1
Detection and nowcasting of convective turbulence using artificial intelligence techniques
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and G. E. Blackburn, J. A. Craig, F. McDonough, G. Meymaris, and R. D. Sharman
  1:45 PM
TJ37.2
Probabilistic forecasting for isolated thunderstorms using a genetic algorithm: the DC3 campaign
Christopher J. Hanlon, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and G. S. Young, J. Verlinde, A. A. Small III, and S. Bose
  2:00 PM
TJ37.3
Using a Random Forest to Predict Convective Initiation in SATCAST
D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams, J. R. Mecikalski, C. P. Jewett, J. R. Walker, and N. Bledsoe
  2:15 PM
TJ37.4
Convective Initiation Forecasts Through the Use of Machine Learning Methods
Mark S. Veillette, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. Iskenderian, P. M. Lamey, and L. J. Bickmeier

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Joint Poster Session
Convection Guidance
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data )
 
624
Techniques toward Optimizing a Geostationary Satellite-Based Convective Initiation Nowcasting Algorithm
John Walker, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and C. P. Jewett, J. R. Mecikalski, J. K. Williams, D. Ahijevych, and N. Bledsoe

 
Poster 625 has been moved. New paper number 9.4A.

 
628
Probabilistic Convective Storm Guidance for Strategic Planning of Offshore and Transoceanic Flights
Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, J. A. Grim, C. P. Kalb, C. J. Kessinger, J. Pinto, K. Stone, and M. Strahan

Poster PDF (2.7 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session
Thunderstorm Forecasting to Benefit the Aviation Community
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; and the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )
 
732
Total lightning in a multi-sensor approach to the detection and forecasting of convectively induced turbulence
Ryan Hunter Rogers, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and L. Carey, K. Bedka, C. Fleeger, W. Feltz, and S. A. Monette

Poster PDF (385.9 kB)

 
733
Towards operational lightning prediction in high-resolution versions of the Met Office Unified Model
Jonathan M. Wilkinson, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and P. R. Field

Poster PDF (525.9 kB)

 
Poster 736 has been moved. New paper number J3.6A


Poster Session
Weather Integrated Decision Support
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
629
Sector Occupancy Analysis with the Adverse Weather Diversion Model DIVMET
Ludmila Sakiew, Leibniz Univ. of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and C. H. Rokitansky, M. Sauer, P. Hupe, and T. Hauf

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

 
630
Effectiveness of using Gridded Forecast Data in Hyperspectral Radiative Transfer
Steven T. Fiorino, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, OH; and M. F. Via, K. J. Keefer, S. M. Shirey, J. T. Engel, and B. J. Elmore

 
631
Model analysis for automated decision aids
Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA; and R. A. Skov, S. E. Nelson, and L. Rothfusz

 
Poster 632 has been moved. New paper number 8.5A.

 
633
Creating Weather Impact Scores from Current Weather Forecast Products for a Probabilistic Airport Capacity Model
Jonathan Cunningham, Mosaic ATM, Leesburg, VA; and C. Provan and L. Cook

Poster PDF (988.0 kB)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Lightning Impacts on Aviation and Space Launch
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data )
Cochairs: David Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/AWC, Kansas City, MO; Warren L. Qualley, Harris Corporation, Washington, DC
  4:00 PM
J3.1
Customized Lightning Decision Support System
Zachary M. DuFran, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and E. D. Mitchell, B. Clarke, B. Chukrun, P. Le Floch, A. Davidov, and J. W. Conway
  4:15 PM
J3.2
  4:30 PM
J3.3
Lightning Safety at Airports—Material for Thunder
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Deierling, E. Nelson, K. Stone, D. Johnson, R. Bass, and J. A. Colavito
  4:45 PM
J3.4
Investigation and prediction of helicopter-triggered lightning
Jonathan M. Wilkinson, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and H. Wells
  5:00 PM
J3.5
  5:15 PM
J3.6A
Nowcasting of Cloud-to-Ground Lightning with Observations and Model Data
Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and L. J. Bickmeier and J. R. Mecikalski

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall
Location: Exhibit Hall 4 (Austin Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 9 January 2013


93rd AMS Awards Banquet
Location: Ballroom D (Austin Convention Center)

Thursday, 10 January 2013

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 9
Numerical Weather Prediction for Aviation and Test Ranges
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Steve Willington, Met Office, Exeter, Devon
  8:30 AM
9.1
  8:45 AM
9.2
High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Model and Production Advancements for 2013 with Targeted Improvements for Reliable Convective Weather Guidance in the National Airspace System
Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, D. C. Dowell, T. G. Smirnova, E. P. James, P. Hofmann, M. Hu, J. M. Brown, and G. A. Grell
  9:00 AM
9.3
Progress of Time-lagged North America Rapid Refresh Ensemble Forecast System (NARRE-TL) and its Verification
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du and G. DiMego

 
9.4
  9:15 AM
9.4A
An Automated System for Detecting Large-scale Convective Storms: Application to Model Evaluation
James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Grim, D. Ahijevych, and M. Steiner
  9:30 AM
9.5
Probabilistic forecasting from a mesoscale ensemble at Dugway Proving Ground
Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, G. Roux, W. Wu, T. M. Hopson, S. F. Halvorson, F. W. Gallagher III, J. C. Pace, and S. P. Swerdlin

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)

Poster Session
Numerical Weather Prediction for Aviation and Test Ranges
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
634
Verification of the NCAR-AirDat operational RT-FDDA-WRF for the 2011 and 2012 spring convective seasons
Allan Huffman, AirDat, Morrisville, NC; and P. Childs, M. Croke, N. A. Jacobs, and Y. L. Liu

 
635
Alaska TAMDAR and the RTFDDA WRF QC System
Jeffrey Nelson, AirDat, Morrisville, NC; and J. T. Braid, A. K. Anderson, N. A. Jacobs, P. Childs, M. Croke, and A. Huffman

 
636
Toward better forecasts of chinooks at Cold Regions Test Center, Alaska
Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Grim, P. Jimenez, C. M. Witt-Schulte, and D. P. Wozniczka


Poster Session
Programmatic, Policy and Regulatory Aspects
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
Poster 639 has been moved. New paper number 11.1A

 
Poster 640 has been moved. New paper number 11.5A


Poster Session
User-oriented Verification
Location: Exhibit Hall 3 (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
 
642
Impact-Based Aviation Forecast Verification
Jarrod Lichty, AvMet Applications, Inc., Reston, VA; and R. S. Lee, S. Percic, and K. L. Johnston
Manuscript (349.5 kB)

 
643
Assessing Lead-time Errors and Spatial Displacement for the Onset and Cessation of Convective Weather Events within the Terminal Area from the NDFD Thunderstorm Forecast Product
Andrew F. Loughe, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Lack, G. J. Layne, M. P. Kay, M. A. Petty, and J. L. Mahoney

 
644
VERIFIED: A web-based tool to assess potential airspace constraint from operationally-relevant forecast products
Geary J. Layne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. Hamer, M. P. Kay, A. Loughe, M. S. Wandishin, M. A. Petty, S. A. Lack, B. Pettegrew, and J. E. Hart

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 10
Benefits Assessment
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; Tom Lloyd, JetBlue Airways Corp., Long Island City, NY
  11:00 AM
10.1
The Role of Verification Services in Support of Integrated Decision Making
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, M. A. Petty, P. Hamer, S. A. Lack, M. S. Wandishin, and D. Bright

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 11
Programmatic, Policy and Regulatory Aspects
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Bruce Carmichael, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Bob Maxson, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
  1:30 PM
11.1A
International Training on Aviation Impacts at COMET
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and T. Ross-Lazarov and G. Byrd
  2:00 PM
11.3
In Situ Performance Standard for Eddy Dissipation Rate
Michael J. Emanuel, FAA, Atlantic City, NJ; and J. Sherry, S. Catapano, L. Cornman, and P. A. Robinson
  2:15 PM
11.4
International Collaboration to Improve Meteorological Services for Air Traffic Management
Cecilia Miner, Unaffiliated, Woodbridge, VA; and C. Abelman, S. Desbios, H. Puempel, J. Ryuzaki, S. M. K. Song, B. Nicolai, M. Berechree, and C. M. Shun
  2:30 PM
11.5A
Analysis of the use of Aerospace Meteorology in the Brazilian Space Program
Amaury Caruzzo, Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil; and M. C. N. Belderrain and G. Fisch
Manuscript (2.0 MB)

Poster PDF (717.7 kB)

  2:45 PM
11.6
NextGen Operational Needs and Their Influence on the Development of Weather Performance Requirements
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and F. Bayne, R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, L. Leonard, and J. May

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Coffee Break
Location: Levels 3 and 4 (Austin Convention Center)

Meet the President
Location: Room 1 (Austin Convention Center)

3:30 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013

Recording files available
Session 12
Weather Guidance for Airports, Test Range and Space Launch Facilities
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs: Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Mike Robinson, AvMet Applications Inc., Reston, VA
  3:30 PM
12.1
  4:00 PM
12.3
Further Developments of the Canadian Airport Nowcasting System (CAN-Now)
G. A. Isaac, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Bailey, F. S. Boudala, W. R. Burrows, S. G. Cober, R. W. Crawford, N. Donaldson, I. Gultepe, B. Hansen, I. Heckman, L. X. Huang, A. Ling, and J. Reid

4:45 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


Session 13
Wrap-up
Location: Room 17A (Austin Convention Center)
Host: 16th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Organizers: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired, Washington, DC; Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 10 January 2013


AMS 93rd Annual Meeting Adjourns