25th Conference on Hydrology

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Saturday, 22 January 2011

7:30 AM-10:00 AM: Saturday, 22 January 2011


Registration for Student Conference and Short Course

Sunday, 23 January 2011

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Short Course Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


WeatherFest

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 23 January 2011


Welcome Reception Honoring Newly Elected Fellows
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center)

Monday, 24 January 2011

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Registration continues through January 27

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Panel Discussion
Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; and the 11th Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate )
Moderator: Robert T. Ryan, NBC4 TV
Panelists: Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune; Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre; Doyle Rice, USA Today; Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council
  9:00 AM
Panelist: Thomas E. Skilling
Thomas E. Skilling, WGN-TV/Chicago Tribune, Chicago, IL

  9:10 AM
Panelist: Claire Martin
Claire Martin, CBC News: Weather Centre, Vancouver, BC, Canada

  9:20 AM
Panelist: Doyle Rice
Doyle Rice, USA Today, Washington, DC

  9:30 AM
Panelist: Martin Storksdieck
Martin Storksdieck, National Academy of Sciences / National Research Council, Washington, DC

Recording files available
Plenary Session
Presidential Forum: Communicating Weather and Climate
Location: 6AB (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology; the IMPACTS: Weather 2010; the Events; and the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International )

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 1A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
  11:00 AM
1A.1
The Role of Land-Atmosphere Interactions on Droughts [INVITED]
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. Huang, Y. Qian, and X. Liang
  11:30 AM
1A.2
On the use of Ecosystem Functional Types to represent lower boundary conditions in the WRF/Noah Model
Ernesto Hugo Berbery, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Alcaraz-Segura and S. J. Lee
  11:45 AM
1A.3
Multi-variate evaluation of land surface model performance in a semi-arid, complex terrain pine forest
David Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, A. A. Turnipseed, J. Hu, F. Dominguez, and P. Harley
Recording files available
Session 1B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
  11:00 AM
1B.1
Flooding in western Washington: The connection to atmospheric rivers
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Schick, F. M. Ralph, M. Hughes, and G. A. Wick
  11:30 AM
1B.3
  11:45 AM
1B.4

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 2A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
  1:30 PM
2A.1
Seasonal climate transitions in New England
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT
  2:00 PM
2A.3
Impacts of beetle-kill and wildland fire on regional water and energy cycles in western North America [INVITED]
Fei Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wiedinmyer, M. Barlage, Y. Zhang, J. A. Hicke, and A. J. H. Meddens
Recording files available
Session 2B
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
  1:45 PM
2B.2
Extreme Precipitation over the West Coast of North America: Is There a Trend?
Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Warner and A. Skalenakis
  2:00 PM
2B.3
  2:15 PM
2B.4
Mesoscale controls on the mountainside snow line
Justin R. Minder, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and D. Durran and G. H. Roe

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Poster Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
 
Paper 16 has been moved. New paper number is 3A.2A.

 
17
Understanding heat transfer and vapor transport in the shallow subsurface
Martine Rutten, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and S. C. Steele-Dunne and N. van de Giesen

 
18
Effects of vegetation dynamics on evapotranspiration and soil moisture in northwestern Mexico
Qiuhong Tang, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. R. Vivoni, and D. P. Lettenmaier

Poster PDF (431.6 kB)

 
19
Vegetation feedback may reduce climatic aridity over the contiguous United States in a 2xCO2 situation
Chang-Eui Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. J. Jeong and C. H. Ho

 
22
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia Using Long-Term Remotely Sensed Vegetation Index NDVI (1982–2008)
Battumur Tserenchunt Sr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; and T. Chuluun

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

 
23
The Impact of Tree Line Shifts on Orographic Cloud Habits over the Andes
Xiaoming Sun, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

 
25
Impacts of variable agricultural extensification on regional-scale hydrology: the case of the Mississippi River Basin
Christopher D. Frans, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Munoz-Arriola, E. Istanbulluoglu, and D. P. Lettenmaier


Poster Session 2
Impact of Weather and Climate Extremes on Hydrologic Processes, Responses and Hazards
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Brent Bower, NOAA/NWS; Bradley R. Colman, NOAA/NWS
 
27
 
28
Assessing the potential for changes in extreme precipitation events across the Colorado Front Range
Kelly M. Mahoney, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, J. Barsugli, L. D. Brekke, J. England, S. Gangopadhyay, D. Raff, and J. Soddell

 
29
Urbanization impact on summer convective storm and flood magnitudes in the Great Lakes region
Laura C. Bowling, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and G. Yang, L. Ming, K. A. Cherkauer, D. Niyogi, and B. C. Pijanowski

 
33
Synoptic drivers of storm surge in Kotzebue Sound
Austin Cross, IARC, Fairbanks, AK; and D. E. Atkinson


Poster Session 3
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
 
34
COMET hydrometeorological training: hydrology, QPF, QPE, drought, and verification
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and W. Abshire

 
Paper 36 has been moved. New paper number is 3B.5A.

 
37
 
38
A continental scale daily gridded precipitation dataset for Asia based on a dense network of rain gauges—APHRODITE project
Atsushi Hamada, Research Institute for Humanity and Nature, Kyoto, Japan; and K. Kamiguchi, O. Arakawa, N. Yasutomi, and A. Yatagai

 
40
 
41
Effects of snowflake characteristics on the collection efficiency of snow gauge
Julie M. Theriault, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, R. Rasmussen, S. Landolt, S. Ziegler, and A. Jachcik

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Communicating with Technology (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 604 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the 20th Symposium on Education )
Chair: Rajul Pandya, UCAR
  4:00 PM
J1.1
Integrating air quality tools with the Wildland Fire Decision Support System
Narasimhan Larkin, USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA; and M. Rorig, T. Strand, T. J. Brown, S. Raffuse, P. Lahm, and T. Zimmerman

  4:15 PM
J1.2
Using YouTube Videos to Communicate Science
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and T. Nakamura and M. Dunlap
  4:30 PM
J1.3
Commuicating Climate Science fo the General Public
Andrew Freedman, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ; and H. Cullen and M. McGuirk
  4:45 PM
J1.4
Utility of 2D/3D visualization methods in analyzing and disseminating flood information
Jamie L. Dyer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and P. Amburn, D. Reed, and D. Welch
 
J1.5
  5:00 PM
J1.5A
Recording files available
Session 3A
Land-Atmosphere Interactions and the Role of HydroEcology on Climate III
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: David J. Gochis, NCAR; Jessica D. Lundquist, University of Washington; Enrique R. Vivoni, Arizona State University
  4:00 PM
3A.1
Observational diagnostics of soil moisture-climate interactions as constraints to IPCC climate projections
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and P. Ciais, M. Reichstein, E. L. Davin, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling

  4:15 PM
3A.2A
  4:45 PM
3A.4
Simulated impact of vegetation across the North American monsoon region in CCSM3.5
Michael Notaro, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. S. Gutzler
  5:00 PM
3A.5
  5:15 PM
3A.6
Soil moisture, temperature and heat flux measurements using Distributed Temperature Sensing
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and M. M. Rutten, E. Owusu-Ansah, J. Jansen, P. Stive, S. Tyler, and N. van de Giesen

Recording files available
Session 3B
Precipitation Processes and Observations for Atmospheric, Land Surface, and Hydrological Modeling
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS; Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
  4:00 PM
3B.1
CCPA Precipitation Analysis and Its Cross Validation
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Luo, Y. Zhu, P. Xie, and Y. Lin
  4:15 PM
3B.2
Moving toward optimum use of gridded precipitation forcings in hydrologic modeling
David H. Kitzmiller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Wu, F. Ding, D. A. Miller, S. Wu, and Y. Zhang
  4:30 PM
3B.3
Analyzing the performance of the high resolution precipitation products for streamflow simulation
Ali Behrangi, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and B. Khakbaz, T. Jaw, and A. AghaKouchak

  4:45 PM
3B.4
Study of Spatial Patterns of Daily Precipitation over the Western United States
Wei Chu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and X. Gao and S. Sorooshian
  5:00 PM
3B.5A
Improving Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Through Objective Evaluations during NOAA Testbed Activities
Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and E. I. Tollerud, S. J. Weiss, F. E. Barthold, D. R. Novak, H. Yuan, J. H. Gotway, E. Sukovich, P. Oldenburg, W. L. Clark, A. J. Clark, F. Kong, M. Xue, M. Harrold, T. L. Fowler, and B. G. Brown
  5:15 PM
3B.6
Hydrological intercomparison of quantitative precipitation estimates in the Colorado Front Range
Hernan Moreno, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and E. R. Vivoni and D. J. Gochis

5:30 PM-7:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Reception and Exhibits Opening

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 24 January 2011


Forecast: Communicating Weather and Climate Art Show

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
  8:30 AM
4.1
  8:45 AM
4.2
Hydrologic sensitivities of Colorado River runoff to changes in temperature and precipitation
Julie A. Vano, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Das and D. P. Lettenmaier
  9:00 AM
4.3
Probabilistic climate change analysis for stormwater runoff in the Pacific Northwest
Gregory S. Karlovits, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and J. C. Adam
  9:15 AM
4.4
Climate change impacts in the Tahoe region: past and projected future trends
Robert N. Coats, Hydroikos Ltd., Berkeley, CA; and M. Costa-Cabral, M. D. Dettinger, J. Reuter, J. Riverson, G. Sahoo, G. Schladow, and B. Wolfe
  9:30 AM
4.5
Recording files available
Joint Session 6
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Wade T. Crow, USDA
  8:30 AM
J6.1
Estimating the global terrestrial hydrologic cycle through modeling, remote sensing, and data assimilation [INVITED]
Eric F. Wood, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and M. Pan, A. Sahoo, J. Sheffield, and T. Troy

  8:45 AM
J6.2
A Bayesian analysis scheme for estimating river depth using SWOT measurements [INVITED]
Michael Durand, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and K. Andreadis, L. Smith, and M. Mersel
  9:00 AM
J6.3
  9:15 AM
J6.4A
Contributions of precipitation and soil moisture observations to the skill of soil moisture estimates in a land data assimilation system
Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Q. Liu, R. Bindlish, M. Cosh, W. T. Crow, R. de Jeu, G. De Lannoy, G. J. Huffman, and T. J. Jackson

  9:30 AM
J6.5
Towards assimilation methods that adequately reflect distinct sources of error: A Bayesian perspective [INVITED]
Dmitri Kavetski, University of Newcastle, Callaghan, Australia; and A. Newman, G. Evin, M. Thyer, and G. Kuczera
Recording files available
Joint Session 7
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads I
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, University of Michigan
  8:30 AM
J7.1
An overview of the coupled atmosphere-wildland fire model WRF-Fire
Jan Mandel, University of Colorado, Denver, CO; and J. D. Beezley and A. Kochanski
Manuscript (352.5 kB)

  8:45 AM
J7.2
  9:00 AM
J7.4
  9:30 AM
J7.5

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

9:30 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Joint Poster Session 1
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Susan C. Steele-Dunne, TU Delft; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
 
42
Evaluation of the impacts of assimilating multi-sensor snow observations on land surface processes
Sujay V. Kumar, SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, C. D. Peters-Lidard, M. Shaw, D. K. Hall, J. L. Foster, G. A. Riggs, and J. B. Eylander

 
Paper 43 has been moved. New paper number is J6.4A.

 
43A
(Formerly 7.4) High Spatial Resolution Observation of Rainfall from Space
James A. Weinman, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Mori, G. Levy, and F. S. Marzano

 
44
Field-Scale Soil Moisture Assimilation: State, Parameter or Bias Estimation?
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and V. Pauwels, R. H. Reichle, W. P. Kustas, T. Gish, P. R. Houser, A. Russ, and N. Verhoest

 
46
Impacts of the new satellite derived land products on mesoscale precipitation processes
Vince C. K. Wong, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek

 
50
Comparison analysis of water and energy fluxes and application of model products for North-American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell, M. Ek, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, D. P. Lettenmaier, V. Koren, Q. Duan, K. C. Mo, and Y. Fan

 
51
Evaluation and analysis of model-simulated soil temperature in the North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Sheffield, M. Ek, H. Wei, E. F. Wood, S. Feng, L. Luo, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

 
52
Surface Water and Energy Budgets for the Mississippi River Basin In Three NCEP Analyses
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, J. Meng, and K. Mitchell

 
53
 
54
A land data assimilation system using MODIS-derived land data and its application to WRF prediction
Yoon-Jin Lim, Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Daejeon, South Korea; and K. Y. Byun, T. Y. Lee, J. Kim, and M. S. Joh

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

 
55
Calibration of Three Sophisticated Operational Hydrological Forecast Models Using Land-Data Assimilation: Comparison of Results Over Selected Basins in Romania
John N. McHenry, Baron Advanced Meteorological Systems, LLC, Raleigh, NC; and D. J. Gochis, C. J. Coats Jr., J. Vukovich, and T. K. Burnet

 
56
NASA Water Resources Program and LDAS for Improved Water Management
David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Doorn

 
Paper 57 has been moved. New paper number is J21.4A.

 
58
Snow surface temperature update process in Noah land surface model: a modified approach
Rebeka Sultana, University of California, Irvine, CA; and K. L. Hsu, J. Li, and S. Sorooshian

 
59
Change in land cover in ecological zones of Mongolia
Battumur Tserenchunt Jr., Dryland Sustainability Institute of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia


Poster Session 4
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
 
60
Loading the dice: Climate change and recent Northwest droughts
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and K. A. Mckinnon, P. W. Mote, and P. Pall

Poster PDF (1.0 MB)

 
61
Trends and sensitivities in late-season snowpack in the Pacific Northwest
Guillaume Mauger, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Mantua

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

 
62
Effects of climate change on Olympic National Park flood risks
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Y. Lee and I. M. Tohver

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

 
63
 
64
Sensitivity of Projected Streamflow Changes to Future Scenarios in Three Hydrologic Regimes in BC
Arelia T. Werner, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett, M. A. Schnorbus, and A. B. Berland

 
65
Quantifying the hydrologic impacts of mountain pine beetle and salvage harvest in the Fraser River drainage, British Columbia, Canada
Markus A. Schnorbus, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and K. E. Bennett and A. T. Werner

 
67
Stationarity, variability and change in hydrologic extremes
Kelly T. Redmond, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. E. Kunkel

 
68
On the origin of recent changes in western North American snowpack
Sarah Kapnick, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall

 
69
A study of lakes and wetlands in Africa from land surface modeling
Huilin Gao, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. Bohn and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
71
Implications of glacier change to Upper Indus River streamflow
Bibi S. Naz, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and L. C. Bowling, M. Ashfaq, and N. S. Diffenbaugh

 
72
Simulating climate variability and change in Central Asia using a coupled NHMM-AR1 Model
Scott Sellars, Columbia Water Center, New York City, NY; and A. W. Robertson and T. Siegfried

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)


Poster Session 5
Progress in Estimating Land Surface Evaporation
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC
 
73
The fallacy of drifting snow
Edgar L. Andreas, NorthWest Research Associates, Inc., Lebanon, NH
Manuscript (251.7 kB)

Poster PDF (318.7 kB)

 
74
A watershed scale Groundwater-Land-Surface Model
Yuning Shi, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and K. J. Davis and C. J. Duffy

Poster PDF (1.7 MB)

 
75
Application of a Unified Land Model for estimation of the terrestrial water balance
Ben Livneh, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. J. Restrepo

Poster PDF (2.3 MB)

 
76
Improve the estimation of sublimation and evaporation from the ground snow surface and frozen soil in WRF
Yihua Wu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and I.M. Systems Group, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek

 
78
Regional modeling of evapotranspiration using WRF coupled to the high complexity land surface model ACASA
Liyi Xu, University of California, Davis, CA; and R. D. Pyles and K. T. Paw U

 
79
Use of a dual temperature-difference two-source model to estimate the turbulent energy fluxes under strongly advective conditions during BEAREX08
Joseph G. Alfieri, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and W. P. Kustas, M. C. Anderson, P. D. Colaizzi, J. H. Prueger, L. E. Hipps, J. L. Chavez, S. R. Evett, K. S. Copeland, and T. A. Howell

Poster PDF (263.5 kB)

 
80
Estimating Distributed Soil Evaporation to Account for Background Evaporation Between Satellite Image Dates
Jeppe Kjaersgaard, University of Idaho, Kimberly, ID; and R. Allen, A. Kilic, I. Ratcliffe, P. Ranade, R. Trezza, and C. Robison

Poster PDF (125.2 kB)

 
81
Web-based disseminating of surface energy balance evapotranspiration estimates
Amnon Nevo, Riverside Technology, inc., Fort Collins, CO; and T. C. Martin

Poster PDF (395.6 kB)

 
82
Developing two long-term, daily datasets of evaporative demand across the conterminous US
Michael Hobbins, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Streubel, K. Werner, and D. Brandon

Poster PDF (8.5 MB)


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 5
Post-stationarity? Hydrologic Analysis and Predictions in a Changing Environment II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Michael D. Dettinger, USGS; Glenn A. Hodgkins, USGS
  11:15 AM
5.2
Dynamic reservoir operations using seasonal hydrologic forecasts: managing water resources for ecological integrity
Scott Steinschneider, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA; and B. Pitta, R. Palmer, C. Brown, D. Ahlfeld, A. Polebitski, and K. Adamec
  11:30 AM
5.3
Management Implications of Non-Stationary Hydrology: Decision-Scale Approaches
J.R. Arnold, US Army Corps of Engineers, Alexandria, VA; and P. Wagner, S. Gangopadhyay, K. D. White, L. D. Brekke, R. Olsen, and D. Raff
Recording files available
Joint Session 20
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP
  11:00 AM
J20.1
Overview of the North American Land Data Assimilation System
Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Xia, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, and K. Mo
  11:15 AM
J20.2
Monitoring Many Faces of Drought over the United States based on the NLDAS systems [INVITED]
Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Xia and M. Ek
  11:30 AM
J20.3
Validation and Assessment of Model-Simulated Soil Moisture in the North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase 2
Helin Wei, EMC, Camps Spring, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Sheffield, M. Ek, E. F. Wood, L. Luo, J. Dong, and J. Meng
  11:45 AM
J20.4
Evaluation and validation of model-simulated streamflow for North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2
Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, M. Ek, J. Sheffield, B. Cosgrove, L. Luo, C. Alonge, H. Wei, J. Meng, B. Livneh, Q. Duan, and D. Lohmann

Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 9
Special Session on the Life and Work of John Roads II
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 25th Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC
  1:30 PM
J9.1
  1:45 PM
J9.2
Hydrology in the air: the influence of irrigation in India on the atmospheric branch of the water cycle
Obbe Tuinenburg, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Wageningen, Netherlands; and R. Hutjes
  2:00 PM
J9.3
Uncertainty in Analyzed Water and Energy Budgets at Continental Scales
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and F. R. Robertson, D. Mocko, and J. Chen
  2:15 PM
J9.4
Water balance over oceans observed from satellites
W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie
  2:30 PM
J9.5
  2:45 PM
J9.6
How realistic is precipitation over the western U.S. and Mexico in IPCC AR4 GCMs?
Nicole J. Schiffer, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and S. W. Nesbitt
Recording files available
Joint Session 21
Land Data Assimilation Systems: Methods and Applications III
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )
Cochairs: Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP; Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
  1:30 PM
J21.1
Development and applications of land data assimilation systems for China [INVITED]
Kun Yang, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences (ITP-CAS), Beijing, China; and J. Qin, L. Zhao, and Y. Chen

  1:45 PM
J21.2
ECMWF land surface analysis
Patricia de Rosnay, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and G. Balsamo, L. Isaksen, J. Muñoz Sabater, M. Drusch, K. Scipal, C. Albergel, J. C. Calvet, and R. Essery
  2:00 PM
J21.3
Plans and tests for the operational implementation of the new Canadian Land Data Assimilation System (CaLDAS)
Stephane Belair, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and M. Carrera, B. Bilodeau, S. J. Solomon, C. Derksen, L. Wang, and S. Leroyer

  2:15 PM
J21.4A
Improving operational streamflow via remotely sensed microwave radiance data
Caleb Matthew DeChant, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and H. Moradkhani
  2:30 PM
J21.5
Comparison of Modeled and SMOS-Observed Surface Soil Moisture Estimates in Preparation for the SMAP L4_SM Assimilation Product
Gabriëlle J.M. De Lannoy, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle, W. T. Crow, R. D. Koster, J. Kimball, and Q. Liu

  2:45 PM
J21.6
The land data assimilation system in the NOAA Climate Forecast System Reanalysis
Jesse Meng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Yang, H. Wei, M. Ek, Y. Xia, and K. E. Mitchell

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President
Location: 601 (Washington State Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 25 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 6
Progress in Estimating Land Surface Evaporation
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS; Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC
  3:30 PM
6.1
The LandFlux-EVAL Initiative [INVITED]
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and C. Jimenez, B. Mueller, C. Kummerow, M. McCabe, W. B. Rossow, G. Balsamo, P. Ciais, P. A. Dirmeyer, J. B. Fisher, R. H. Reichle, M. Reichstein, M. Rodell, K. Wang, and E. F. Wood

  3:45 PM
6.2
Analysis of multi-year global evapotranspiration datasets and IPCC AR4 model simulations
Brigitte Mueller, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. I. Seneviratne and C. Jimenez
  4:00 PM
6.3
An observational and reanalysis study of the water budget in the Amazon basin
Janice L. Bytheway, Science and Technology Corporation, Laporte, CO; and C. Kummerow
  4:15 PM
6.4
Land Surface Evaporation from Reanalysis and Modeling
Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and M. Decker, K. Sakaguchi, Z. Wang, and M. Brunke
  4:30 PM
6.5
Developing a dual assimilation approach for thermal infrared and passive microwave soil moisture retrievals [INVITED]
Christopher Hain, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, Camp Springs, MD; and W. T. Crow, M. C. Anderson, and J. R. Mecikalski
  4:45 PM
6.6
Temperature-driven PET projections
Laura S. Harrison, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and E. Tarnavsky, C. C. Funk, J. Michaelsen, M. Brown, and M. T. Marshall
  5:00 PM
6.7
Improvements and Evaluations of the MODIS Global Evapotranspiration Algorithm
Qiaozhen Mu, University of Montana, Missoula, MT; and M. Zhao and S. W. Running
  5:15 PM
6.8
Estimating irrigation use and improving water resources management using energy balance (METRIC) estimates of evapotranspiration
Timothy C. Martin, Riverside Technology, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and R. Allen, J. Kjaersgaard, and A. Nevo

Wednesday, 26 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 3
Risk Communication of Weather and Climate Information (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Cochairs: Nate Johnson, WRAL-TV; John Sokich, NOAA/NWS
  8:30 AM
J3.1
The Communication of Risk: At the Crossroads of Science, Economics, and Communications
Paul Hettler, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and S. A. Jasko and C. M. Kauffman
  8:45 AM
J3.2
Communicating weather, climate and catastrophe risk and preparedness
Jeanne Salvatore, Insurance Information Institute, New York, NY
  9:15 AM
J3.4
Visualization of slow-developing hazards: Influencing perceptions and behaviors to facilitate adaptation planning
Tim G. Frazier, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and F. Murtinho, G. Broad, D. Campbell, P. Howe, and H. Reyes Hernandez

  9:30 AM
J3.5
How do people perceive and respond to flash flood risk and warnings?
Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Lazo, K. Mulder, J. L. Demuth, and A. Bostrom
  9:45 AM
J3.6
Now what do people know about global climate change? A mental models approach
Ann Bostrom, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and T. W. Reynolds and R. Hudson
Recording files available
Session 7
Hydrologic Prediction and Verification for Water and Energy Resources and Other Applications I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Barbara G. Brown, NCAR; Julie Demargne, NOAA/NWS; Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS; James David Brown, NOAA/NWS/Office of Hydrologic Development
  8:30 AM
7.1
Verification of peak flow forecasts in the Colorado Basin
Ashley Nielson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and K. Werner and A. W. Wood
  8:45 AM
7.2A
Impact of basin scale and initial condition on ensemble streamflow forecast uncertainty
Giuseppe Mascaro, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy; and E. R. Vivoni and R. Deidda
  9:15 AM
7.4
Coastal and Inland FLooding Observation and Warning (CI-FLOW) Project- An Assesment of Research Outcomes From An Integrated Hydrologic Prediction System for Coastal Watersheds [INVITED]
Suzanne Van Cooten, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. Kelleher, K. Howard, J. Zhang, J. J. Gourley, C. Langston, V. Farmer, K. Nemunatitis-Monroe, Z. L. Flamig, H. Moser, R. Kolar, Y. Hong, K. Dresback, E. Tromble, H. Vergara, R. Luettich, B. Blanton, K. Galuppi, C. A. Blain, J. F. Thigpen, K. Mosher, D. Figursky, M. Moneypenny, J. Orrock, R. Bandy, C. Goodall, J. G. W. Kelley, J. Greenlaw, M. Wengren, D. Eslinger, J. Payne, J. Feldt, J. Schmidt, T. Hamill, R. H. Bacon, R. Stickney, and L. Spence
  9:30 AM
7.5
Short range operational streamflow forecasting in western washington state, usa
Matthew Wiley, 3TIER, Inc., Seattle, WA; and B. Nijssen, P. Storck, and J. Lerner
  9:45 AM
7.6
Hydrological model sensitivity to small-scale rainfall forecasts
Andrea L. Zimmer, IBM, Yorktown Heights, NY

9:00 AM-11:00 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Spouses' Coffee

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President

10:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 2
Hydrologic Prediction and Verification for Water and Energy Resources and Other Applications—II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences )
Cochairs: Julie Demargne, NOAA/NWS; James David Brown, NOAA/NWS/Office of Hydrologic Development; Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
  10:30 AM
J2.4
Seasonal rainfall prediction in the East Mediterranean with statistical downscaling
Wanli Wu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, M. Ge, G. Descombes, T. Warner, D. Yates, T. Hopson, S. Swerdlin, D. Rostkier-Edelstein, P. Kunin, and A. Givati

  10:45 AM
J2.2
Invited Speaker: A new multi-decadal reforecast global ensemble reforecast data set using the NCEP GFS
Thomas M. Hamill, Physical Sciences Division/ESRL/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker
  11:00 AM
J2.3
Verification of ENSO-weighted long-range ensemble streamflow forecasts in the Blue Nile River
Mohamed A. Habib, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA; and A. A. Bradley, M. Elshamy, and D. Amin
Manuscript (354.0 kB)

  11:15 AM
J2.1
  11:30 AM
J2.5
Short-term streamflow forecasting by ensemble Bayesian neural network models with climate variability
Kabir Rasouli, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. J. Cannon

  11:45 AM
J2.6A
The HydroMet Decision Support System: transfer of hydrometeorological technologies to developing countries
J. William Conway, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and B. Clarke, C. Porter, L. Venkatrmani, Y. Li, A. Oldaker, P. Spencer, W. Ladwig, C. Goering, B. Shaw, E. D. Mitchell, C. Barrere, and M. Eilts
Recording files available
Joint Session 4
Communicating Climate Change I (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Chair: Susan Solomon, MIT
  10:30 AM
J4.1
  10:45 AM
J4.3
Communicating climate change: from awareness to action
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and L. C. Whitely Binder, A. F. Hamlet, and J. Littell
  11:15 AM
J4.4
Making climate part of the human world
Simon D. Donner, University of British Colombia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
  11:30 AM
J4.6A
Communicating uncertainty in the IPCC 5th Assessment
Myles R. Allen, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 5
Communicating Climate Change II (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 609 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth History Symposium; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy )
Chair: Francis W. Zwiers, University of Victoria
  1:30 PM
J4.6
Devils Lake climate, weather, and water decision support system
Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Kluck, M. J. Brewer, M. Timofeyeva, J. Symonds, S. Dummer, and M. Frazier
  1:45 PM
J5.1
  2:00 PM
J5.2
  2:15 PM
J5.4
Turning the tide on climate change
Philippe de Casabianca, Cefic, Brussels, Belgium; and R. Kandel

Recording files available
Lecture
Robert E. Horton Lecture
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
  1:30 PM
L.1
What Robert Horton Did Not Know About Floods
James A. Smith, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Poster Session 6
Hydrologic Prediction and Verification for Water and Energy Resources and Other Applications
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR; James David Brown, NOAA/NWS/Office of Hydrologic Development; Julie Demargne, NOAA/NWS
 
375
Improving Hydrologic Analysis and Applications in the U.S. and Canada Using Quality Controlled Radar Data and the Storm Precipitation Analysis System
Beth Clarke, Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and T. W. Parzybok, D. M. Hultstrand, B. D. Kappel, and E. Tomlinson

 
376
High spatial resolution hydrological modeling on the Hydrologic Rainfall Analysis Project (HRAP) grid
Jiarui Dong, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, B. Cosgrove, V. Koren, H. Lee, M. Smith, P. Restrepo, and K. Mitchell

 
377
Analysis of National Mosaic and Multi-sensor Quantitative Precipitation Estimates during warm season rainfall events in Oklahoma
Anthony L. Brown, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Van Cooten, K. Howard, K. M. Willingham, J. Zhang, and C. Langston

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)

 
378
Evaluation of GFS water vapor forecast errors during the 2009-2010 West Coast cool season using the MET/MODE object analyses package
Wallace L. Clark, STC/NOAA, Boulder, CO; and H. Yuan, T. L. Jensen, G. Wick, E. I. Tollerud, R. G. Bullock, and E. Sukovich
Manuscript (524.2 kB)

Poster PDF (1015.7 kB)

 
379
The utility of soil moisture estimates from a land surface model in seasonal streamflow forecasts
Eric A. Rosenberg, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and E. A. Clark, A. C. Steinemann, and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
Paper 380 has been moved. New paper number is 7.2A.

 
381
Incorporating weather and climate predictions from NCEP GFS and CFS into seasonal water supply forecasts for the Colorado River basin
Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Lhotak, J. C. Schaake, K. Werner, and M. Schmidt

 
382
The quandary with QPF in hydrologic forecasting
Thomas Adams, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH; and T. Rench

 
383
Modeling seasonal river discharge with heavy-tailed distributions
Matthew C. Bowers, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. W. Tung and J. Gao

 
384
Summertime Flash Floods in the Southern Appalachians
Jing Tao, Duke University, Durham, NC; and A. P. Barros

 
Paper 385 has been moved and replaced with Paper 385A. New paper number is J2.6A.

 
385A
Improved Ensemble Streamflow Prediction through New ESP Weighting Schemes and Bias Correction
Mohammad Reza Najafi, Portland State University, Portland, OR; and H. Moradkhani


Poster Session 7
Remote Sensing of Hydrometeorological Variables
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC and SSAI; Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA
 
386
Rainfall estimation using a C-band polarimetric radar
Raquel Evaristo, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and A. Stepanek, K. H. Goebbert, D. J. Smalley, and E. R. Williams

Poster PDF (2.5 MB)

 
387
Radar-observed Lahar at Redoubt Volcano on 4 Apr 2009
Andrew Dixon, NOAA/NWSFO, Anchorage, AK; and D. Schnieder

 
388
Version 7 TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA)
David T. Bolvin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. Huffman, E. J. Nelkin, and R. F. Adler

 
389
Validation of the CMORPH satellite-rainfall product using an experimental rain gauge network and radar rainfall product
Emad Habib, University of Louisiana, Lafayette, LA; and A. Haile, L. Qin, and Y. Tian

 
390
An Experimental Study of Small-Scale Variability of Rainfall
Kurtulus Ozturk, Turkish State Meteorological Service, Kalaba, Turkey; and A. Tokay and P. G. Bashor

 
392
Annual and diurnal variation of precipitable water over California and Nevada
James D. Means, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. Cayan

Poster PDF (448.8 kB)

 
393
Initiation times of warm season precipitating storms in the southern Great Plains
Donna F. Tucker, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and X. Li

 
394
The planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) and its relationship with precipitation
Alyssa V. Bates, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and X. Z. Liang

 
395
Multisite calibration of a multifractal downscaling model for satellite-based soil moisture estimates
Giuseppe Mascaro, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy; and E. R. Vivoni and R. Deidda

 
396

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 8
Remote Sensing of Hydrometeorological Variables I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC/SSAI; Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA
  4:00 PM
8.1
Flood hazard monitoring in Colorado mountains with mobile Doppler radars [INVITED]
Steven V. Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Busto, M. P. Meyers, D. J. Gochis, and K. Friedrich
  4:15 PM
8.2
Assessing the role of dual-polarimetric radar in quantitative precipitation estimation and nowcasting in the Colorado Front Range region
David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Rutledge, K. Ikeda, P. Kennedy, R. Cifelli, B. A. Dolan, R. M. Rasmussen, and P. A. Kucera
  4:30 PM
8.3
  5:00 PM
8.5
Practical considerations for using remotely sensed precipitation estimates—TMPA and 1DD
George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC/SSAI, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler, D. T. Bolvin, and E. J. Nelkin
  5:15 PM
8.6
A multi-sensor merged analysis of high-resolution global precipitation analysis
Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and S. H. Yoo, R. J. Joyce, and Y. S. Yarosh

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 26 January 2011


91st AMS Awards Banquet
Location: 6ABCD (Washington State Convention Center)

Thursday, 27 January 2011

8:00 AM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium

Weather Video Preview Theater
Location: 303 (Washington State Convention Center)

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 9
Remote Sensing of Hydrometeorological Variables II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: George J. Huffman, NASA/GSFC and SSAI; Chandra R. Kondragunta, NOAA
  8:30 AM
9.1
Evaluation of passive microwave land surface emissivities for improved precipitation retrievals over land for GPM-era algorithms—part I: comparison of inversion methodsp
Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard, G. Skofronick-Jackson, N. Y. Wang, K. Gopalan, and C. Hernandez
  8:45 AM
9.2
  9:00 AM
9.3
The Establishment of the International Soil Moisture Network
P.J. Van Oevelen, International GEWEX Project Office, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Dorigo, W. Wagner, T. J. Jackson, and M. Drusch
  9:15 AM
9.4
  9:30 AM
9.5
Using the vegetation signal to determine the root zone soil moisture from radar remote sensing
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands; and J. Friesen and N. van de Giesen

Recording files available
Joint Session 10
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale I
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  8:30 AM
J10.1
Drivers of extreme events at the regional scale: Investigations with regional climate simulations and observations [INVITED]
Sonia I. Seneviratne, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and E. L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E. B. Jaeger, R. Lorenz, B. Orlowsky, and A. J. Teuling

  8:45 AM
J10.2
  9:00 AM
J10.3A
Assessment of AOGCM biases for RCM applications over the Great Basin in the western U.S
John Mejia, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, E. M. Wilcox, and K. E. Kunkel
  9:30 AM
J10.5

9:30 AM-12:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Exhibit Hours

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Joint Poster Session 2
Drought Management, Policy and Social Implications
Location: 4E (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )
Cochairs: Rosalind Bark, University of Arizona; Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona; Mark Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
 
397
Drought Characterization: Indicators and Decision-Making
Shraddhanand Shukla, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. C. Steinemann and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
399
Water shortages and agriculture in the Colorado River Basin: adaptations and economic impacts
George Frisvold, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Konyar

 
400
Vision into Action: The Establishment and Facilitation of an Effective Drought Coordinator Network in the United States
Crystal J. Bergman, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and D. Bathke, M. D. Svoboda, N. A. Wall, J. Nothwehr, J. Robine, T. K. Bernadt, and M. Hayes

Poster PDF (807.0 kB)


Joint Poster Session 3
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
 
401
The potential for an abrupt failure of the West African monsoon as climate warms
Naresh Neupane, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and E. K. Vizy and K. H. Cook

 
402
Combined effects of global warming and an AMOC shutdown on West African and European climate
Meredith Brown, University of Texas , Austin, TX; and E. K. Vizy and K. H. Cook

 
403
Air-sea coupling mechanisms in the North Pacific using a high-resolution mesoscale atmospheric model
Ramesh K. Vellore, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Koracin, I. Cerovecki, and C. E. Dorman

 
404
Local and remote influences on vertical wind shear in the tropical Atlantic region
Xiaojie Zhu, Texas A&M University, College station, TX; and R. Saravanan

Poster PDF (8.8 MB)

 
405
High resolution simulation of the succession of hurricanes in 2008: Gustav, Hanna, and Ike
Wuyin Lin, Brookhaven National Laboratory, Upton, NY; and M. Zhang, A. M. Vogelmann, and J. He

Poster PDF (2.4 MB)

 
Paper 407 has been moved and replaced by 407A. New paper numer is J10.3A.

 
407A
Advances in Coupling Regional Circulation/Land Surface Models and Dynamic Crop Models
Guillermo A. Baigorria, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and D. W. Shin

 
408
Dynamical Downscaling of NASA/GISS ModelE: Continuous, Multi-Year WRF Runs
Tanya L. Otte, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and J. H. Bowden, C. G. Nolte, M. J. Otte, J. E. Pleim, J. A. Herwehe, G. Faluvegi, and D. Shindell

Poster PDF (2.2 MB)

 
409
Analysis and quantification of uncertainty in climate adaptation products for the southwestern US
Duane Apling, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and G. Higgins, K. Darmenova, and H. Kiley

 
410
Regional climate modeling in the Lower Mississippi River Valley for water resources assessments
Valentine G. Anantharaj, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and G. V. Mostovoy, Y. Lau, C. A. Peterson, C. D. Armstrong, and X. Fan

 
411
Reproducibility and future projection of monthly maximum number of consecutive dry days in Japan: Improvement by a 5-km-mesh regional climate model
Masuo Nakano, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Kanada, T. Kato, and K. Kurihara

 
412
Assessment of Climate Change over Colorado River Basin as predicted by Regional Climate Models
Yanhong Gao, Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, China; and J. Vano and D. P. Lettenmaier

Poster PDF (1.9 MB)

 
413
Simulated regional climate change in the Carpathian Basin using ENSEMBLES model simulations
Judit Bartholy, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; and R. Pongracz, E. Miklos, and A. Kis
Manuscript (211.4 kB)

Poster PDF (1005.2 kB)

 
415
 
417
 
418
Development of the Regional Arctic Climate System Model (RACM) --- Performance of the VIC land surface model in coupled simulations
Chunmei Zhu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Lettenmaier, J. He, T. Craig, and W. Maslowski

 
419
 
420
Conservative and Noise Resistant Data Remapping for Coupling WRF and CAM
Ying Chen, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and X. Jiao, W. Lin, M. H. Zhang, and J. He

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)

 
421
Construction of WRF/CAM two-way coupling system and preliminary results
Juanxiong He, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang, W. Lin, Y. Chen, and A. M. Vogelmann

Poster PDF (384.6 kB)

 
422
Assessment of dynamical downscaling in Japan using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS)
Koji Dairaku, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan; and R. Pielke Sr., A. Beltran-Przekurat, S. IIzuka, and W. Sasaki

 
423
Assessment of Climate Model Performance over the Australian Region
Luke M. Leslie, Washington University in St. Louis, Norman, OK

 
Paper 424 has been moved. New paper number is 505A


Poster Session 8
Drought Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction
Location: Washington State Convention Center
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC; Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
 
425
 
426
Evaluation of an ET-based Drought Index Derived from Geostationary Satellite Data
Martha C. Anderson, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and C. R. Hain, X. Zhan, and J. Mecikalski

 
427
Application of the moisture balance drought index in the Colorado River Basin, USA
Andrew W. Ellis, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and G. M. Garfin and M. Lenart

 
Paper 428 has been moved. New paper number is 11.3A.

 
430
Comparison of EDI with SPI as the globally unified drought index
Hi-Ryong Byun, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; and D. W. Kim and S. M. Lee
Manuscript (23.9 kB)

 
431
Characterizing the surface dynamics of Canadian Prairie droughts
Barrie R. Bonsal, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and E. Wheaton and E. Siemens

 
432
Characteristics of agriculture drought in China during 1950-2006
Aihui Wang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and D. P. Lettenmaier and J. Sheffield

 
433
Hydrological response to meteorological drought: a case study in La Plata Basin
Olga C. Penalba, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and J. A. Rivera

Poster PDF (1.8 MB)

 
31
Temporal variability in rainfall, dry days, water balance and extreme events in northeastern Argentina
Olga C. Penalba, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and V. C. Pántano, J. Rivera, and F. Robledo

Poster PDF (568.0 kB)

 
435
The impact of groundwater-land surface interactions on hydrologic persistence in macroscale modeling
Elizabeth A. Clark, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. C. Steinemann and D. P. Lettenmaier

 
437
Wintertime forcing of the 1998-2002 Northern Hemisphere drought
Andrew Hoell, Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Joint Session 8
Communicating Uncertainty (Themed Joint Session)
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; and the Second Symposium on Environment and Health )
Chair: Manda Adams, Univ. of North Carolina
  11:15 AM
J8.2
User engagement for water resources forecasts: a framework for iterative communication
Kevin Werner, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and K. Averyt and G. Owen
  11:45 AM
J8.4
Meaning, Context, and Weather-Related Information Sharing
Susan A. Jasko, California Univ. of Pennsylvania, California, PA; and C. M. Kauffman and P. Hettler
  12:00 PM
J8.5
Communicating Satellite MW Ocean Product Errors to a Variety of Users
Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz, K. Hilburn, and C. A. Mears

Recording files available
Joint Session 11
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale II
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  11:15 AM
J11.2
  11:45 AM
J11.4
Modeled onshore and offshore California coastal-cooling: General Circulation and mesoscale effects
B. Lebassi, College of New York, New York, NY; and J. E. Gonzalez and R. Bornstein
  12:00 PM
J11.5
Future Impact of Weakening Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation on the Loop Current in the Gulf of Mexico
Yanyun Liu, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee, B. A. Muhling, and J. T. Lamkin
Recording files available
Joint Session 16
Drought Management, Policy and Social Implications
Location: 618-620 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )
Cochairs: Rosalind Bark, University of Arizona; Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona; Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey
  11:00 AM
J16.1
Colorado River Operations and Planning in a Changing Climate
Terrance Fulp, Bureau of Reclamation, Boulder City, NV
  11:15 AM
J16.2
Drought, climate change and water resources management in Australia
Jason Alexandra, Murray-Darling Basin Authority, Canberra, Australia

  11:30 AM
J16.3
Building an integrated evidence-base to support drought policy in Australia
John Gray, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics-Bureau of Rural Sciences, Canberra, ACT , Australia; and M. Nicholson, D. Platzen, S. Bruce, J. Walcott, and J. Sims
  11:45 AM
J16.4
The impact of drought on rivers in federal political systems
Jamie Pittock, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
  12:00 PM
J16.5
Climate Change and Drought Management in the Okanagan Basin, British Columbia: Opportunities for Translation
Stewart J. Cohen, EC, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and S. M. Langsdale, K. Harma, and M. Johnson

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Lunch Break

12:15 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session
Presidential Town Hall Meeting
Location: 6A (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Events; the 14th Conference of Atmospheric Science Librarians International; the Town Hall Meetings; the Michio Yanai Symposium; the 27th Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS); the 25th Conference on Hydrology; the 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction; the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 20th Symposium on Education; the 18th Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 16th Conference on Middle Atmosphere; the 15th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 13th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the Ninth Conference on Artificial Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the Ninth History Symposium; the 8th Conference on Space Weather; the Seventh Annual Symposium on Future Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Sixth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the Fifth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data; the 5th Symposium on Lidar Atmospheric Applications; the Fourth Annual CCM Forum; the Third Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions; the Second Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration; the Second Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; the Second Symposium on Environment and Health; the First Conference on Transition of Research to Operations: Successes, Plans and Challenges; the Special Symposium on Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python; the More Effectively Communicating the Science of Tropical Climate and Tropical Cyclones; and the Special Symposium on Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology )

Ralph Cicerone, head of the National Academy of Sciences, will provide a take-home message on what the scientific community in general and the AMS community in particular can do to increase their credibility with the public. Cicerone has been thinking deeply about how the practice of science and the behavior of individual scientists can be improved. As much as listening, communication is based on some level of trust. And, just as the Tuesday event should provide a teachable moment about how we influence our environment, the ”Climategate” e-mails were a teachable moment about human frailty being a part of the practice of science. The current political climate has been reinforced by Climategate and by a few errors in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) report, damaging the trust the public feels not only in climate science, but also toward science in general. Viewing this in a positive manner, provides an incentive to redouble the efforts of all scientists in promoting ethical professional conduct and improving the way the business of science is done and the manner in which scientific findings are communicated to the public. For additional information on the 2011 Presidential Town Hall, please contact AMS President Peggy LeMone (e-mail: amspresident@ametsoc.org).
  12:15 PM
Ensuring Integrity in the Doing and Using of Science
Ralph Cicerone, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Michio Yanai Symposium Luncheon
Location: 4C-1 (Washington State Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 10
Drought Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction I
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC; Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC; Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS
  1:30 PM
10.1
A global drought monitoring web portal
Michael J. Brewer, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Symonds and R. Heim
  1:45 PM
10.2
Recent declines in southern Australian rainfall: a review of recent science
Karl Braganza, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and M. England, J. Frederiksen, P. Hope, N. Nicholls, J. Risbey, B. Timbal, and I. G. Watterson
  2:15 PM
10.4
Reconstruction of 20th century North American droughts reveals a key role for Atlantic basin temperatures
Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and B. Guan and A. Ruiz-Barradas
  2:45 PM
10.6
Recording files available
Joint Session 12
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale III
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  2:00 PM
J12.3
Comparison of climate downscaling methods and results for stakeholder-driven research in the urban Northeast U.S
Radley M. Horton, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. C. Ruane, J. M. Winter, and C. Rosenzweig
  2:15 PM
J12.4
Assessment of regional climate change and development of climate adaptation decision aids in the Southwestern US
Kremena Darmenova, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and G. Higgins, H. Kiley, and D. Apling
  2:30 PM
J12.5
Regional Climate Model results in Pacific North America and the northern Columbia Basin
Trevor Q. Murdock, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada; and G. Bürger and A. T. Werner
  2:45 PM
J12.6
Precipitation Extremes in western U.S. urban areas: How reliable are regional/global climate model projections?
Vimal Mishra, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Dominguez and D. P. Lettenmaier

3:00 PM-3:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Registration Closes

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


Coffee Break

Meet the President

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011

Recording files available
Session 11
Drought Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction II
Location: 611 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs: Kingtse C. Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC; Andrew W. Wood, NOAA/NWS; Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
  3:30 PM
11.1
  3:45 PM
11.2
Drought monitoring and forecasting in the Apalachicola-Chatahoochee-Flint River Basin in the Southeastern United States [INVITED]
Joshua K. Roundy, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, K. C. Mo, and J. Dobur
  4:00 PM
11.3A
  4:15 PM
11.4
Predicting hydrological drought: relative contributions of soil moisture and snow information to seasonal streamflow forecast skill
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Mahanama, B. Livneh, D. P. Lettenmaier, and R. H. Reichle
  4:30 PM
11.5
Evaluating the role of weather forecast skill in seasonal drought prediction
Shraddhanand Shukla, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Voisin and D. P. Lettenmaier

  4:45 PM
11.6
Development of a new set of web-based tools for drought analysis and prediction
Michael A. Bell, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and B. Lyon
Recording files available
Joint Session 22
Regional Climate Modeling to Improve Climate Variability and Change Projections at the Local Scale IV
Location: 612 (Washington State Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 25th Conference on Hydrology; and the 23rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona; Dennis P. Lettenmaier, University of Washington; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL
  4:00 PM
J22.3
Outstanding challenges in projecting North American drought changes over the 21st century
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin

  4:15 PM
J22.4
Extreme precipitation events in the NAM region—testing a modified convective parameterization scheme
Francina Dominguez, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zhang, L. Thang, and C. Christopher
  4:30 PM
J22.5
Study of interior nudging for regional climate modeling using annual simulations: investigation of mean error and added value
Jared H. Bowden, EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and T. Otte, C. G. Nolte, J. E. Pleim, J. A. Herwehe, and M. J. Otte
  4:45 PM
J22.6
A Regional Climate Model Evaluation System based on Satellite and other Observations for Application to CMIP/AR Downscaling
Peter Lean, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and J. Kim, D. E. Waliser, A. Hall, C. Mattman, S. L. Granger, K. Case, C. Goodale, A. Hart, B. Guan, N. Molotch, and S. Kaki

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 27 January 2011


AMS 91st Annual Meeting Adjourns