* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 9 January 2005
	7:30 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-5:40 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 10 January 2005
	7:30 AM, Monday Registration continues through Thursday, 13 January
	9:00 AM-9:30 AM, Monday Joint Session 1 Building the Earth Information System (Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, and Ninth Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface)
Cochairs: Terry Tarbell, RS Information Systems, McLean, VA; Linda Miller, UCAR/Unidata, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM J1.1 From Information to Action: The Global Earth Observation System of Systems   James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC
	9:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Joint Session 2 Distributed Earth Science Information Systems Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology) (Joint between the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
Organizers: Dean N. Williams, LLNL, Livermore, CA; Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; Stephen M. Holt, Mitretek Systems, Falls Church, VA
9:30 AM J2.1 A description of the Weather Source comprehensive global weather observation database   Mark J. Gibbas, Weather Source, LLC, Amesbury, MA; and C. Gilbert 9:45 AM J2.2 Practical techniques for distributed climate analysis using GrADS and the GDS   Jennifer M. Adams, COLA, Calverton, MD; and B. Doty and J. L. Kinter 10:00 AM J2.3a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's scientific data stewardship program   John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez 10:15 AM Coffee Break in Poster Session Room   10:44 AM J2.3 moved to JP1.6   10:45 AM P1.1 Bringing together disparate data for climate impacts studies   M. Benno Blumenthal, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski, E. Grover-Kopec, J. del Corral, and M. Dilley 11:00 AM J2.5 NQuery: a Network-enabled data-based query tool for multi-disciplinary earth-science datasets   John R. Osborne, NOAA/PMEL/OAR, Seattle and OceanAtlas Software, Vashon Island, WA; and K. T. McHugh and D. W. Denbo 11:15 AM J2.6 Autonomous Rapid Response to Monitor Transient Science Events   Daniel J. Mandl, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and S. W. Frye 11:30 AM J2.7 Arctic Change Detection Website   Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. Calder, J. E. Overland, and F. M. Fetterer 11:45 AM J2.8 Couple Distributed Earth System Models   Shujia Zhou, Northrop Grumman IT /TASC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Womack and G. Higgins
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 1 Observed Climate Change: 1(parallel with Session 2)
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
1:30 PM 1.1 Are Simulated Microwave Sounding Unit temperatures sensitive to the method by which they are generated?   J. J. Hnilo, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and B. D. Santer 1:45 PM 1.2 Latitudinal distribution of temperature trends at the surface and in the troposphere   Konstantin Y. Vinnikov, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. Grody, M. D. Goldberg, A. Robock, R. J. Stouffer, and P. D. Jones 2:00 PM 1.3 Non-thermometric effects on MSU tropospheric temperatures   Leslie Litten, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy and R. W. Spencer 2:15 PM 1.4 Tropospheric temperature trends from satellite-MSU observations   Qiang Fu, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 1.5 Uncertainties in ICOADS Sea Surface and Air Temperatures since the 1850s   Nick A. Rayner, Hadley Centre, Met Office, EXETER, United Kingdom; and P. Brohan, D. E. Parker, C. K. Folland, J. Hardwick, J. Kennedy, T. Ansell, S. Tett, and E. C. Kent 4:15 PM 1.6 Large scale warming confirmed by temperatures in windy weather   David E. Parker, Hadley Centre, Met Office, EXETER, United Kingdom 4:30 PM 1.7 Tree Ring Records Underestimate Volcanic Cooling   Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ 4:45 PM 1.8 Precipitation and temperature related climate indices for Canada   Éva Mekis, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and L. A. Vincent 5:00 PM 1.9 Large scale spatial structure of observed temperature trends   Pedro M. A. Miranda, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal; and A. R. Tomé 5:15 PM 1.10 Accounting for differences between radiosonde temperature datasets   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seidel
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 2 Climate Predictions on Seasonal and Interannual Time Scales: 1(parallel with Session 1)
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM 2.1 Sensitivity of North American Precipitation and Temperature to Tropical Indian, Pacific and Atlantic ocean SST anomalies throughout the year.   Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Barsugli and S. I. Shin 1:45 PM 2.2 Predictability of Northern California precipitation during warm-phase El Nino events   Seran Gibbard, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and P. Duffy and K. E. Taylor 2:00 PM 2.3 Understanding the sensitivity of North American drought to Tropical Pacific SSTs in present and past climates   Sang-Ik Shin, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb, P. D. Sardeshmukh, R. J. Oglesby, and J. J. Barsugli 2:15 PM 2.4 Precipitation variability in the core of the North American monsoon region   David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 2.5 Forecasting global temperatures one year ahead   Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. W. Colman 4:15 PM 2.6 Examination of the Hydrologic Feedback Pathway for Land-Climate Coupling   Paul A. Dirmeyer, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD; and T. DelSole 4:30 PM 2.7 Evaluation of the Use of Forecast Interpretations information   Diego H. Pedreros, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA; and A. Bonilla, P. Ramirez, C. Funk, G. Husak, J. Michaelsen, and L. Aguilar 4:45 PM 2.8 Diagnosis of skill variability as a basis for discriminating use of CPC long-lead seasonal forecasts   Marina M. Timofeyeva, UCAR and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey 5:00 PM 2.9 Long-range remote impacts of the North Pacific wintertime circulation regimes   Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD 5:15 PM 2.10 Seasonal predictability and the land/air interaction   M. Zhao, COLA, Calverton, MD; and P. A. Dirmeyer
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Poster Session: Climate Assessments, Drought, and Observed Climate Change
P1.1 Bringing together disparate data for climate impacts studies   M. Benno Blumenthal, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and C. F. Ropelewski, E. Grover-Kopec, J. del Corral, and M. Dilley   P1.2 Response of winter cereal productivity in Spain to climate variability   Concepcion Rodriguez-Puebla, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain; and A. H. Encinas and M. D. Frías P1.3 Study on the Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Wheat Production in Contrast Environments of South Australia   Qunying Luo, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; and W. Bellotti and M. A. J. Willimas   P1.4 A climatology of weather influences on electric power outages in New Hampshire   Michael H. Nahmias, Plymouth State University, Plymouth, NH; and E. G. Hoffman   P1.5 Afghanistan weather hazards   Bradford R. Pugh, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD   P1.6 Examination of Global Wind Trends Due to Global Climate Change to Improve Wind Resource Assessments   Glenn E. Van Knowe, AWS Truewind, LLC, Troy, NY; and J. W. Zack, K. T. Waight, and M. Brower   P1.7 Customer satisfaction with NOAA’s National Weather Service climate products and services   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey   P1.8 Status report on NWS climate services implementation at the regional and local level   Judith A. Koepsell, Climate Services Division/OCWWS/NWS/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey   P1.9 Monitoring and forecasting drought in Southern Africa during the 2002-2003 season   James Verdin, USGS, Sioux Falls, SD; and C. C. Funk, T. Magadzire, J. Michaelsen, and G. Husak   P1.10 Attribution studies for understanding late 20th climate trends in the Sahel: Regional climate model simulations using NCEP Reanalysis (1982-2002)   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard University, Washington, DC; and B. Sylla and A. T. Gaye   P1.11 Analysis of meteorological drought in Mexico   Juan Matias Méndez-Pérez Sr., Center for Atmospheric Sciences / National Autonomous University of Mexico, Mexico city, Mexico, Mexico; and V. Magaña and E. Caetano   P1.12 moved to oral presentation 5.6a     P1.13 Recent Trends in Mid-Atlantic Regional Water Cycle   Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA   P1.14 An analysis of century-long Southwest U. S. precipitation data using wavelet analysis   Eileen A. Hall-McKim, University of Colorado, CIRES/NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis   P1.15 Toward developing unbiased upper-air temperature and moisture trends from global historical radiosonde data: Validating and completing Russian radiosonde history   Steven R. Schroeder, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX   P1.16 Radiosonde Atmospheric Temperature Products for Assessing Climate (RATPAC): Extending a homogeneity-adjusted radiosonde temperature time series using first differences   Melissa Free, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and D. J. Seidel, J. K. Angell, J. Lanzante, I. Durre, T. C. Peterson, and J. Lawrimore   P1.17 Surface pressure trends in the canadian arctic during 1953–2003   William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada   P1.18 A revised U.S. climate extremes index   Karin L. Gleason, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. H. Lawrimore, D. H. Levinson, and T. R. Karl   P1.19 Multidecadal variability of spring season minimum temperature patterns in the Western United States   David P. Brown, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH P1.20 Consistency of recent European summer climate trends and extremes with future regional climate projections   Jeremy Pal, International Centre for Theoretical Physics, 34100 Trieste, Trieste, Italy; and F. Giorgi and X. Bi   P1.21 Climate extreme indices via regional climate change workshops   Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC   P1.22 Recent California climate variability: Spatial and temporal temperature trend patterns   Richard Medina, California State University, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and G. Gongora, S. LaDochy, and W. C. Patzert   P1.23 Central California: Opposing temperature trends valley vs. mountains   John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris, K. T. Redmond, and K. P. Gallo   P1.24 Examining local and regional temperature changes for the 1977-2003 period using a truly homogeneous station record   David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. Menne, C. N. Williams, D. Levinson, and G. M. Goodge   P1.25 Detection of Inhomogeneity in Extreme Value Series   Xuebin Zhang, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. Wang   P1.26 MONITORING OF BACKGROUND ATMOSPHERE ON CLIMATE CHANGE OVER KOREAN PENINSULA   Sung-Nam Oh, Meteorological Research Institute / Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea   P1.27 From Dimming to Brightening: Trends in Solar Radiation inferred from Surface Observations   C. N. Long, PNNL, Richland, WA; and M. Wild and E. G. Dutton P1.28 Asymmetric responses of the hydrological cycle in global warming and El Niño   Chia Chou, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. Y. Tu and M. H. Lo   P1.29 An updated analysis of observed cloudiness changes over China: Are changes related to increases in air pollution?   Dale Kaiser, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN; and Y. Qian   P1.30 An examination of the quality of the Atlantic tropical cyclone database   Bradford S. Barrett, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie   P1.31 Variance of Interdecadal Component of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly and the Correlations to the Climate of China   Xiouxia Zhou, NUIST, Nanjing, China; and P. Wang and C. Zhu   P1.32 moved to JP2.28     P1.33 Distributed flash-flood hydrologic modeling for semi-arid regions using radar data   Soni Yatheendradas, HWR-SAHRA, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. Wagener, H. V. Gupta, C. Unkrich, M. Schaffner, and D. Goodrich
	5:30 PM, Monday Sessions End for the day
	5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Monday FORMAL OPENING OF EXHIBITS WITH RECEPTION (CASH BAR)
	7:30 PM, Monday Suki Manabe Symposium Banquet
Tuesday, 11 January 2005
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday Session 3 Climate Modeling Studies 1(parallel with Sessions 4 and 5)
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
8:30 AM 3.1 Are summer climate variations in north west Europe and West Africa linked?   Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and J. W. Hurrell, D. P. Rowell, and J. Knight 8:45 AM 3.2 Climate change commitment in the 21st and 22nd centuries in the CCSM3 global coupled climate model   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. M. Washington, J. Arblaster, and A. Hu 9:00 AM 3.3 Simulating the recent Holocene   Simon Tett, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. Betts, T. J. Crowley, A. Jones, J. Gregory, E. Ostrom, D. L. Roberts, and M. J. Woodage 9:15 AM 3.4 The impact of convective parameterization schemes on climate sensitivity   David J. Karoly, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, D. Ren, and M. Leplastrier 9:30 AM 3.5 Summer heatwaves and interannual variability in a changing climate   Christoph Schär, Atmospheric and Climate Science ETH, Zurich, Switzerland, Zurich, Switzerland; and P. L. Vidale, C. Frei, M. Hirschi, D. Lüthi, R. Wegmann, and M. Wild 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 3.6 Pacific vs. Indian Ocean warming: How does it matter for global and regional climate change?   Joseph J. Barsugli, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin and P. D. Sardeshmukh 11:15 AM 3.7 Effects of Aerosol on Atmospheric Dynamics and Hydrologic Processes during boreal spring and summer   William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, MD, Maryland; and M. K. Kim, K. M. Kim, and M. Chin 11:30 AM 3.8 Climate response over North America to a simultaneous El Niño and volcanic eruption   Megan E. Linkin, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and A. Robock, G. L. Stenchikov, and W. Stern 11:45 AM 3.9 Climate change, tropical cyclones and ENSO   Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen and J. L. McGregor
	8:30 AM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Session 4 Observed Seasonal to Interannual Climate Variability (parallel with Sessions 3 and 5)
Cochairs: Bradfield L Lyon, IRI, Palisades, NY; Sumant Nigam, University of Maryland, College Park, MD
8:30 AM 4.1 Effects of atmospheric composition on radiation balance, cloud microphysics and Indian summer monsoon rainfall   Prabir K. Patra, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan; and S. K. Behera, J. R. Herman, H. Akimoto, and T. Yamagata 8:45 AM 4.2 The direct effect of summertime ENSO conditions on the South Asian monsoons: barotropic and baroclinic teleconnection mechanisms   Jeffrey Shaman, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and E. Tziperman 9:00 AM 4.3 ENSO influence on Atlantic hurricanes via tropospheric warming   Brian H Tang, University of California - Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin 9:15 AM 4.4 ENSO and the spatial extent of interannual precipitation extremes in tropical land areas   Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY 9:30 AM 4.5 Stationary wave configuration associated with principal modes of variability of the tropical upper tropospheric flow   Ioana M. Dima, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. M. Wallace 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 4.6 QE or not QE: vertical profiles of temperature perturbations in the tropical atmosphere   Christopher E. Holloway, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin 11:15 AM 4.7 Interannual variations in tropical upper-tropospheric humidity: Understanding tropical convective and dynamical processes   Franklin R. Robertson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and D. E. Fitzjarrald and T. L. Miller 11:30 AM 4.8 Intraseasonal variability of cloudiness and rainfall in the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and D. K. Strahan and G. N. Kiladis 11:45 AM 4.9 Scale interactions within the Madden-Julian Oscillation   George N. Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub and P. T. Haertel 12:00 PM 4.10 Easterly waves in the tropical Atlantic: Climatology and variability   Christina M. Patricola, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook 12:15 PM Lunch Break   1:30 PM 4.11 An evaluation of January temperature anomalies in the United States utilizing a synoptic climatological approach   Melissa Lynn Malin, Center for Climatic Research, Newark, DE; and K. L. Frank, S. Quiring, and L. S. Kalkstein 1:45 PM 4.12 Stratosphere-Troposphere coupling during spring onset   Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. A. McDaniel and W. A. Robinson 2:00 PM 4.13 The nonlinear association between the Arctic Oscillation and North American winter temperature and precipitation   Aiming Wu, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and W. W. Hsieh and A. Shabbar 2:15 PM 4.14 Low frequency variability of the Southern Hemisphere winter split jet   Xiaosong Yang, SUNY at Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY; and E. K. M. Chang 2:30 PM 4.15 Quasi-stationary anticyclones in the Northern Hemisphere: An analysis of interannual and interdecadal variability and long-term trends at 1000 hPa and 500 hPa using a geometric definition   Mikhail Bardin, Russian Academy of Science, Moscow, Russia; and G. V. Gruza, A. R. Lupo, I. I. Mokhov, and V. A. Tikhonov 2:45 PM 4.16 Annual cycle of equivalent ocean heat content and ocean heat transport divergence inferred from atmospheric heat budgets.   Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Fasullo 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM 4.17 Mulit-year variability of salinity in the northern hemisphere oceans   Tim P Boyer, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Levitus and J. Antonov 3:45 PM 4.18 Hydrological budget in the tropical Pacific   Xiaosu Xie, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and W. T. Liu 4:00 PM 4.19 The Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and its climatic impacts   Chris K. Folland, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and B. Dong, R. J. Allan, H. Meinke, and B. Bhaskaran 4:15 PM 4.20 Does ENSO lead the Pacific interdecadal change?   SOON-IL An, International Pacific Research Center, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. S. Kug and I. S. Kang 4:30 PM 4.21 ENSO-forced Decadal Variability in the North Pacific   Matt Newman, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO 4:45 PM 4.22 Diurnal cycle of cloud and precipitation associated with the North American Monsoon System: Preliminary results for 2003 and 2004   Pingping Xie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and Y. Yarosh, M. Chen, R. Joyce, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin 5:00 PM 4.23 Interannual Variability of Surface Radiation Budget   Shashi K. Gupta, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. W. Stackhouse, S. J. Cox, J. C. Mikovitz, M. Chiacchio, and T. Zhang 5:15 PM 4.24 Statistical Analyses of Satellite Cloud Object Data to Study Climate Sensitivities   Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and B. A. Wielicki and T. Wong
	8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday Session 5 Hydrology of Semi-Arid Regions(parallel with Sessions 3 and 4)
Chair: Mathew Barlow, AER, Lexington, MA
8:30 AM 5.1 The use of large-scale climate information to predict Central Asia river flows at one and two season leads   Mathew Barlow, AER, Lexington, MA; and M. K. Tippett 8:45 AM 5.2 Regional drivers of aridity in Southwest Asia and sensitivity to surface change   Benjamin F. Zaitchik, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and J. P. Evans and R. B. Smith 9:00 AM 5.3 Evaluation of snow model complexity within the NWS streamflow forecasting system   Kristie J. Franz, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and T. S. Hogue and S. Sorooshian 9:15 AM 5.4 Atmospheric moisture cycling over the southwestern US   Bruce T. Anderson, Boston University, Boston, MA; and H. Kanamaru and J. O. Roads 9:30 AM 5.5 Role of the Monsoons Variability on the Summer Drought events in the Mediterranean Basin   Marina Baldi, IBIMET - CNR, Rome, Italy; and L. Genesio, F. Meneguzzo, F. Cesarone, and F. Piani 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing   11:00 AM 5.6a An observed trend in central South American precipitation   Brant Liebmann, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Vera, L. M. V. Carvalho, I. Camilloni, V. Barros, M. Hoerling, and D. Allured 11:14 AM Paper 5.6 moved to P1.33   11:15 AM 5.7 The great 20th Century drying of Africa   James W. Hurrell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Hoerling 11:30 AM 5.8 Mean characteristics and interannual variations of kinematic and thermodynamic profiles in low-level jets over the eastern Pacific: Dropsonde data from CALJET-1998 and PACJET-2001   F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Neiman and R. Rotunno 11:45 AM 5.9 Water allocation during drought: using a DSS to examine gains from trade on the Rio Conchos, MX   Steven Stewart, Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and J. Valdes, J. Gastelum, J. Aparicio, and J. Hidalgo 12:00 PM 5.10 Trial by fire - developing, delivering, and defending experimental climate forecasts during three drought years in Colorado   Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 1 Poster Session: Distributed Earth Science Information Systems (Joint with the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 21st International Conference on Interactive Information Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology)
JP1.1 NASA Cloud Object Data Website: An Interative Cloud Object Data Retrieval System for Climate Quality Satellite Cloud and Radiation Data   Takmeng Wong, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and D. Mangosing, K. M. Xu, B. A. Wielicki, and L. Parker JP1.2 Climatological features of blocking anticyclones in present-day and increased CO2 environments: An updated model comparison   David Barriopedro-Cepero, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain; and V. Tikhonov, I. I. Mokhov, A. R. Lupo, E. Volodin, and R. Herrera   JP1.3 Building the GSFC Land Information System with distributed and parallel computing technologies   Yudong Tian, UMBC/GEST, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, J. V. Geiger, S. Olden, L. Lighty, J. L. Eastman, P. R. Houser, J. Sheffield, E. F. Wood, K. E. Mitchell, J. Meng, H. Wei, P. Dirmeyer, B. Doty, and J. M. Adams   JP1.4 Enhancing the shareability of climate model data through the development of a framework for numerical climate model metadata   Katherine A. Bouton, CGAM, Dept Meteorology, U Reading, UK, Reading, United Kingdom; and L. Steenman-Clark   JP1.5 Climate Science Modelling Language: standards-based markup for metocean data   Andrew Woolf, CCLRC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton Didcot, United Kingdom; and B. Lawrence, R. Lowry, K. Kleese van Dam, R. Cramer, M. Gutierrez, S. Kondapalli, S. Latham, K. O'Neill, and A. Stephens   JP1.6 Using the Climate Data Analysis Tools (CDAT) to distribute Earth Science Data and Diagnosis via: Live Access Server, Zope or Mod_python   Charles Doutriaux, PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and D. N. Williams, A. Stephens, and B. Tang   JP1.7 GOES data in CLASS   John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez   JP1.8 CLASS future plans   John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez   JP1.9 CLASS capabilities overview   John J. Bates, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. G. Reynolds, C. Cremidis, and C. Martinez
	9:45 AM, Tuesday Poster Session 2 Poster Session: Development of in Situ, Satellite, and Model Data Focused on Hydrometeorological Processes in the Atmosphere and Land Surfaces
P2.1 Weigh gauge algorithms   Harry H. Lamb, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and Y. Durocher   P2.2 The CEOP model data archive as part of the World Data Centre for Climate   Frank Toussaint, World Data Center for Climate, Hamburg, Germany; and M. Lautenschlager and H. Luthardt   P2.3 RSM transferability studies during CEOP   Insa Meinke, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu   P2.4 Remote sensing of microphysical particles in hurricanes from aircraft observations   Cerese M. Albers, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and G. Skofronick-Jackson   P2.5 Measurement errors using a Geonor weighing gauge with a Campbell Scientific datalogger   Harry H. Lamb, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada; and J. Swenson   P2.6 Investigation of shortwave radiative transfer at the ARM CART Sites using a multiple layer stochastic model   Dana E. Veron, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and J. Secora and M. Foster   P2.7 Impacts of the climate change on the simulation of the Asian summer monsoon   Annalisa Cherchi, National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi, S. Behera, J. J. Luo, S. Masson, T. Yamagata, and A. Navarra   P2.8 Evaluation of the land surface model of JMA’s operational global NWP model - with the CEOP EOP-3 Reference Site Dataset   Masayuki Hirai, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Sakashita and S. Murai   P2.9 Evaluation and further-development of the HTSVS soil frost/permafrost module using data measured at Barrow, Ak   Nicole Mölders, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and V. Romanovsky   P2.10 Areas Favorable for Land Surface Feedback as Revealed by the NCEP Global Coupled Atmosphere Land Ocean Forecast System (CFS)   Huug M. Van den Dool, Climate Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Saha   P2.11 The Effects of Cold Land Processes on Regional Climate and Hydrological Cycle   Ki-Hong Min, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and W. Y. Sun
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Poster Session 3 Poster Session: Climate Modeling Studies
P3.1 Impact of absorbing aerosol on precipitation: Dynamic aspects in association with CAPE and convective parameterization closure, and dependence on aerosol heating profile   Chul Eddy Chung, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. Zhang   P3.2 Longwave cloud radiative forcing depending on the different definition of clear sky: Upper tropospheric water vapor climatology   B. J. Sohn, Seoul National Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and J. Y. Lee, J. Schmetz, and R. Stuhlmann   P3.3 Toward Improving and Understanding the Simulation of Madden-Julian Oscillation in NCAR CCM3   Mingquan Mu, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and G. J. Zhang   P3.4 A Local-Coupled CGCM Study of MJO in the Indo-Pacific Ocean   Jin-Yi Yu, University of California, Irvine, CA; and S. P. Weng   P3.5 The impact of Ekman transport on ENSO-induced SST anomalies   Michael A. Alexander, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and J. Scott   P3.6 The Role of ENSO in Regulating the Stability of the Tropical Pacific Climatology   De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO   P3.7 Modeled moisture fluxes in the North American Monsoon Experiment region warm season   David A. Salstein, AER, Lexington, MA   P3.8 Dynamical mechanisms for monsoon changes during the mid-holocene   Hui Su, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson   P3.9 Internal Atmospheric Dynamics and Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Variability   Ben P. Kirtman, COLA, Calverton, MD   P3.10 Interannual tropical Pacific sea-surface temperatures and preceding subtropical sea level pressure anomalies in the NCAR CCSM2.0   Bruce Anderson, Boston University, Boston, MA; and E. D. Maloney   P3.11 Interannual variability of Great Plains summer rainfall in Reanalyses and NCAR and NSIPP AMIP-like simulations   Alfredo Ruiz-Barradas, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam   P3.12 The impact of fluctuating winds on the persistence of anomalous midlatitude sea surface temperatures   Philip Sura, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and M. Newman and M. Alexander   P3.13 Impacts of Anomalous Western North Atlantic Sea-Surface Temperature on Ice Storms in the Southeast US   Renato Ramos da Silva, Duke University, Durham, NC; and D. Werth, R. Avissar, and G. Bohrer   P3.14 Decadal Climate Simulations Using Accurate and Fast Neural Network Emulations for the NCAR Community Atmospheric Model Radiation   Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, SAIC at NOAA/NCEP/EMC and ESSIC, Univ. of Maryland, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz and D. Chalikov   P3.15 Evaluating a high resolution global coupled ice-ocean model   Meibing Jin, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Wang, T. Suzuki, J. Takahashi, and J. E. Walsh   P3.16 Comparison of the variance seasonal cycle and covariance of surface air temperature anomalies in 13 coupled climate models   Qigang Wu, COLA, Calverton, MD; and G. R. North and D. J. Karoly   P3.17 Assessment of PCM Results for Predictions of Climate Changes in the Caribbean   Moises Angeles, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, PR; and J. E. Gonzalez, P. Mulero, D. J. Erickson, and J. Hernandez-Figueroa   P3.18 An Evaluation of RCM Climatology in a Multi-decadal Hindcast for East Asia   Jinwon Kim, University of California, Los Angeles; and H. S. Jung and C. R. Mechoso   P3.19 The role of land models in the FSU regional climate model and its implication to crop model forecasting   Dong-Wook Shin, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. E. LaRow, S. Cocke, and J. J. O'Brien   P3.20 Response of the NCEP Global Coupled Atmosphere Land Ocean Model (CFS) to Idealized Isolated Soil Moisture Anomalies   Suranjana Saha, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan and H. M. Van den Dool   P3.21 Empirical correction to the COLA coupled Ocean-Atmosphere prediction system   Xiaohua Pan, COLA, Calverton, MD; and B. P. Kirtman   P3.22 A novel partnership for addressing the impacts of climate change in western North Carolina   Douglas K. Miller, Univ. of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and P. J. McCown   P3.23 Influences on predictability in multi-year regional climate simulations for the continental United States   Raymond W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson, W. J. Gutowski, E. S. Takle, D. Caya, C. G. Jones, J. J. Katzfey, J. W. Larson, R. Laprise, J. L. McGregor, J. Roads, and J. Taylor   P3.24 A revised approach to subgrid-scale cloud processes in a cumulus parameterization scheme and its effects on seasonal prediction   Young-Hwa Byun, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong   P3.25 Climate response to the vertically stratified forcing.   Andrei P. Sokolov, MIT, Cambridge, MA   P3.26 Impact of orographically induced gravity wave drag parameterization on seasonal and weather prediction   Eun-Chul Chang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and Y. J. Kim   P3.27 The offline comparison of an alternative infrared radiation scheme for use in NCEP's global spectral model and regional spectral model   Johnny Seymore, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph   P3.28 International stretched-grid model intercomparison project (SGMIP)   Michael S. Fox-Rabinovitz, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and J. Cote, B. Dugas, M. Deque, J. McGregor, and P. Gleckler   P3.29 Stratospheric forcing, lower stratospheric temperatures and volcanic water vapour   Simon Tett, Hadley Centre (Reading Unit), Met Office, Reading, United Kingdom; and P. M. Forster, S. Hare, M. Joshi, and J. Knight   P3.30 Improvements on CO2 flux estimation over the central U.S. using explicit crop phenology in a regional climate model   Zaitao Pan, St. Louis University, St. Louise, MO; and E. S. Takle, L. Xue, and M. Segal   P3.31 Estimating the representation of extreme precipitation events in atmospheric general circulation models using L-moments   Lawrence Marx, COLA, Calverton, MD   P3.32 Developing daily climate scenarios for agricultural impact studies   Budong Qian, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and H. Hayhoe and S. Gameda   P3.33 How often does it rain?   Ying Sun, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and S. Solomon, A. Dai, and R. W. Portmann   P3.34 Coupling sub-grid scale moist convection with global dynamics   Amik St-Cyr, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. J. Thomas, A. Wyszogrodzki, and W. W. Grabowski   P3.35 The leading mode of air-sea interaction in the North Atlantic region   Lin-lin Pan, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin and M. Watanabe
	1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Tuesday Session 6 Climate Change Assessment Activities of the IPCC and the CCSP(parallel with Session 7)
Cochairs: Piers M. de F. Forster, University of Reading UK, Reading England; Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM 6.1 Assessing climate change: A current perspective on progress and directions In IPCC working group 1   Susan Solomon, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and D. Qin 2:00 PM 6.2 The CLIVAR/PAGES/IPCC workshop on a multi-millennia perspective on drought and implications for the future   Kevin E. Trenberth, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:15 PM 6.3 Global climate sensitivity   Gerald A. Meehl, NCAR, Boulder, CO 2:30 PM 6.4 Radiative Forcing by Well-Mixed Greenhouse Gases: Estimates from GCMs in the IPCC AR4   William D. Collins, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Fillmore, V. Ramaswamy, M. D. Schwarzkopf, and Q. Fu 2:45 PM 6.5 Radiative forcing of climate: expanding the concept   Daniel J. Jacob, Division of Engineering an Applied Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and A. C. Staudt 3:00 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:30 PM 6.6 CCSP Decision Support Resources Development   James Mahoney, NOAA, Washington, DC; and R. Moss 4:00 PM 6.7 Temperature trends in the lower atmosphere: understanding and reconciling differences   Thomas R. Karl, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC 4:15 PM 6.8 Status Report on the CCSP Synthesis Product: Aerosols Properties and Their Impacts on Climate   Phil DeCola, NASA, Washington, DC; and D. Albritton 4:30 PM 6.9 Reducing the uncertainty in the North American carbon budget with atmospheric measurements and inverse transport models   David J. Hofmann, NOAA/CMDL, Boulder, CO; and L. Bruhwiler, W. Peters, and P. Tans 4:45 PM 6.10 NARCCAP, North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program   Linda O. Mearns, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Arritt, G. Boer, D. Caya, P. Duffy, F. Giorgi, W. J. Gutowski, I. M. Held, R. Jones, R. Laprise, L. R. Leung, J. Pal, J. Roads, L. Sloan, R. Stouffer, G. Takle, and W. Washington
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Session 7 Development of In Situ, Satellite, and Model Data Focused on Hydrometeorological Processes in the Atmosphere and Land Surface (parallel with Session 6)
Chair: John Roads, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, CA
1:30 PM 7.1 A pilot study for the intercomparison of data assimilation products during the Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period (CEOP)   Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Roads, A. Ruane, K. E. Mitchell, M. Rodell, P. R. Houser, and S. Benedict 1:45 PM 7.1a Transferability experiments for advancing the GEWEX agenda ( paper will be presented as part of the 16 Global Conference, New Paper number 7.1A)   Eugene S. Takle, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and B. Rockel, W. J. Gutowski, J. O. Roads, I. Meinke, and R. W. Arritt 2:00 PM 7.2 An examination of diurnal cycle characteristics in the Experimental Climate Prediction Center’s global spectral models   A. Ruane, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads and M. Kanamitsu 2:15 PM 7.3 ICTS (Inter-CSE Transferability Study): an application of CEOP data   B. Rockel, GKSS, Geesthacht, Germany; and J. Roads, I. Meinke, W. J. Gutowski, R. W. Arritt, and E. S. Takle 2:30 PM 7.4 Using CEOP EOP-1 and EOP-3 observations to assess land surface processes simulated in the NCEP global model   Ken Mitchell, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and C. H. Lu 2:45 PM 7.5 CPTEC GCM and Eta Model verifications against Rondônia Reference site in Brazil   S.C. Chou, INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and P. Waldheim and C. P. Dereczynski 3:00 PM 7.6 Development of CEOP reference site data sets   Scot M. Loehrer, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. E. Cully and S. F. Williams 3:15 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:45 PM 7.7 (formerly 7.10) Satellite Upper Air Network and the Climate Retrieval Problem   Tony Reale, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC 4:00 PM 7.8 Recent Results from the CCPP-ARM Parameterization Testbed (CAPT)   T. J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and G. L. Potter, J. S. Boyle, R. T. Cederwall, M. Fiorino, J. J. Hnilo, S. A. Klein, S. Xie, D. L. Williamson, and J. G. Olson 4:15 PM 7.9 Cluster analysis of cloud regimes and characteristic dynamics of midlatitude synoptic systems in observations and a model   Neil D Gordon, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris, C. P. Weaver, and S. A. Klein 4:30 PM 7.10 (Formerly 7.7) Evaluating new cloud-radiation and hydrologic cycle parameterizations   Sam F. Iacobellis, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville 4:45 PM 7.11 Use of GPS radio occultation data for climate monitoring   Ying-Hwa Kuo, UCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Rocken and R. A. Anthes 5:00 PM 7.12 Radiative heating profiles in the convective tropics: A Comparison of Observations and Models   Sally A. McFarlane, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. H. Mather and T. P. Ackerman 5:15 PM 7.13 Comparison of the Multi-scale Modeling Framework and NCAR Community Atmospheric Model (CAM) with ISCCP and CERES Retrievals   Roger T. Marchand, PNNL, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan, M. Ovtchinnikov, T. P. Ackerman, and M. Khairoutdinov 5:30 PM 7.14 Model Uncertainties Correlated with Spatial Variability of Prognostic Variables   Kun Yang, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Koike, K. Tamagawa, and P. Koudelova
	5:30 PM, Tuesday Sessions end for the day
Wednesday, 12 January 2005
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8 Regional Climate Modeling Studies (parallel with Session 9)
Chair: Julian X.L. Wang, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
8:30 AM 8.1 Downscaling Global Climate Change Scenarios for Air Quality Assessment   L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and W. I. Gustafson 8:45 AM 8.2 Radiative impacts of absorbing aerosols on tropical maritime boundary layer and trade wind cumuli   Hailong Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar and W. W. Grabowski 9:00 AM 8.3 Simulations of the 1988 Drought and 1993 Floods in North American using the Eta Regional Climate Model   Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell 9:15 AM 8.4 Analyzing the Local Climate Impacts due to the Three Gorges Dam   Norman L. Miller, University California - Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA; and J. Jin, Y. He, and C. F. Tsang
	8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 9 Living With a Limited Water Supply (parallel with Session 8)
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia Univ., Palisades, NY
8:30 AM 9.1 Has the Recent Global Warming Caused Increased Drying over Land?   Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Qian and K. E. Trenberth 8:45 AM 9.2 Tropical regional rainfall impacts under anthropogenic climate change   J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and C. Chou, H. Su, J. E. Meyerson, U. Lohmann, and J. Feichter 9:00 AM 9.3 Simulation and Stochastic Forecasting of Water Cycle Components in Central Asian Alpine Basins   Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and V. Kuzmichenok 9:15 AM 9.4 Classifying precipitation events in the Fertile Crescent   Jason P. Evans, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith
	9:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday Presidential Forum
	11:30 AM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 10 Climate Modeling Studies 2 (parallel with Session 11)
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
1:30 PM 10.1 An appraisal of coupled climate model simulations: mean state   Peter J. Gleckler, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and K. AcutaRao, C. Covey, C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, T. Phillips, K. Sperber, and K. E. Taylor 1:45 PM 10.2 An Appraisal of Coupled Climate Model Simulations: Variability Diagnostics   Kenneth R. Sperber, LLNL/PCMDI, Livermore, CA; and K. AchutaRao, C. Covey, C. Doutriaux, M. Fiorino, P. Gleckler, T. J. Phillips, and K. E. Taylor 2:00 PM 10.3 Comparison of the Multi-Scale Modeling Framework and the NCAR CAM with observations along a Pacific Ocean transect   Thomas P. Ackerman, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA; and S. J. Ghan, R. T. Marchand, M. Ovtchinnikov, and A. S. Koontz 2:15 PM 10.4 Decadal tropical cloud and radiation variability in observations and the CCSM3   Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 10.5 Heat waves in the Mediterranean Region: Analysis and model results   Marina Baldi, IBIMET/CNR, Rome, Italy; and M. Pasqui, F. Cesarone, and G. De Chiara 4:15 PM 10.6 Teleconnections Resulting from Tropical Deforestation   David Werth, Duke University, Durham, NC; and R. Avissar 4:30 PM 10.7 Validating and Understanding Water Vapor and Cloud Feedbacks in Climate Models   De-Zheng Sun, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 4:45 PM 10.8 Precipitation extreme values in an AGCM ensemble   Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. I. Matsumaru 5:00 PM 10.9 Impact mechanisms of shallow cumulus convection on tropical climate dynamics   Roel A. J. Neggers, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and B. Stevens 5:15 PM 10.10 Effects of Convection Parameterization Closure on the Simulation of Tropical Climate in the NCAR CCM3 GCM   Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and M. Mu
	1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 11 Living With a Limited Water Supply, continued. (parallel with Session 10)
Chair: Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM 11.1 An empirical study of the links between NDVI and atmospheric variables in Africa with applications to forecasting vegetation change and precipitation   Chris C. Funk, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and M. E. Brown 1:45 PM 11.2 A new perspective on drought in West Africa   Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL 2:00 PM 11.3 Case Studies of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Sub-Sahelian West Africa   Jon M. Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink 2:15 PM 11.4 CLIP: Climate-land interaction project—Investigating human-climate interactions in East Africa   Brent M. Lofgren, Great Lakes Environmental Research Lab, Ann Arbor, MI; and N. J. Moore, J. A. Andresen, J. J. Olson, D. J. Campbell, and B. C. Pijanowski 2:30 PM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   4:00 PM 11.5 Seasonal temperature and energy demand predictions for the U.S. west   David W. Pierce, SIO/Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and E. Alfaro, A. Gershunov, T. P. Barnett, and D. Cayan 4:15 PM 11.6 CalClim: An accessible data archive to monitor California climate   Laura M. Edwards, DRI, Reno, NV; and K. T. Redmond, G. D. McCurdy, D. R. Cayan, M. Meyer Tyree, and L. Riddle 4:30 PM 11.7 Climate change effects on vegetation distribution, carbon, and fire in California   James M. Lenihan, USDA Forest Service, Corvallis, OR 4:45 PM 11.8 Seasonal variation of daily evaporation over two distinct biomes in a northern extent of the Chihuahuan desert   J. H. Prueger, National Soil Tilth Laboratory, Ames, IA; and W. P. Kustas, J. L. Hatfield, L. E. Hipps, and T. Schmugge 5:00 PM 11.9 The influence of emission scenarios on climate impacts: A California prototype   Katharine Hayhoe, ATMOS Research & Consulting, South Bend, IN; and D. Cayan, C. B. Field, P. Frumhoff, E. P. Maurer, N. L. Miller, S. Moser, S. Schneider, K. N. Cahill, L. Dale, W. M. Hanemann, L. S. Kalkstein, J. M. Lenihan, R. P. Neilson, C. Lunch, S. C. Sheridan, R. Drapek, and J. Verville 5:15 PM 11.10 Initial results from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program   W. J. Gutowski, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. Arritt, S. Biner, G. Boer, D. Caya, P. Duffy, M. Giguere, F. Giorgi, I. Held, R. Jones, R. Laprise, R. Leung, L. Mearns, A. Nunes, J. Pal, Y. Qian, J. Roads, L. Sloan, M. Snyder, R. Stouffer, E. Takle, and W. Washington
	2:30 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 4 Poster Session: Climate Predictions on Seasonal and Interannual Time Scales
P4.1 Weather extremes in climate change simulations using the global ECHAM5/MPI-OM coupled model   Jana Sillmann, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, Hamburg, Germany   P4.2 The Pacific ENSO Applications Center (PEAC): The First Decade   Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI; and N. Colasacco   P4.3 Southern Hemisphere teleconnection indices associated with SACZ in model simulations   Iracema FA Cavalcanti, Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos/Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil; and C. C. Castro   P4.4 Soil moisture impacts on seasonal forecast predictability   Laurel L DeHaan, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and M. Kanamitsu, J. Roads, and C. H. Lu   P4.5 Seasonal Climate Variability in Version 3 of the Center for Ocean Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA) AGCM   Vasubandhu Misra, COLA, Calverton, MD; and L. Marx   P4.6 New NWS Western Region local climate products   Marina M. Timofeyeva, UCAR and NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Bair and D. Unger   P4.7 Influence of the MJO on summertime daily precipitation in Central and North America and predictability at subseasonal time-scales   Mathew Barlow, AER, Lexington, MA; and D. Salstein   P4.8 Global SST prediction system with a multi-model ensemble   Jong-Seong Kug, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and I. S. Kang and J. Y. Lee   P4.9 Dynamical downscaling over Nordeste Brazil using NCEP RSM97   Huilan Li, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and L. Sun P4.10 Climate Change Variability and Extremes in Atlantic Canada   Michael Pancura, MSC, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and G. S. Lines   P4.11 Assessment of satellite-sensed leaf area index datasets using statistic analyses and a general circulation model   Hyun-Suk Kang, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and Y. Xue, G. J. Collatz, M. E. Brown, and J. Pinzon   P4.12 An assessment of surface climate variability in a recent version of the Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre atmospheric GCM   Harun A. Rashid, BMRC, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; and O. Alves, H. Hendon, and L. Deschamps   P4.13 A study of dynamical characteristics associated with abnormal wet summer over the Korean peninsula in 2003   Kyung-Hee Seol, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong
	3:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open
	5:30 PM, Wednesday Sessions End for the day
	5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open
	7:30 PM, Wednesday AMS Annual Awards Banquet
Thursday, 13 January 2005
	8:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 12 Observed Climate Change: 2 (parallel with Session 13)
Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 12.1 The climate of 2004 in historical perspective   David H. Levinson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim, S. Stephens, A. M. Waple, and C. Tankersley 8:45 AM 12.2 Northern Hemisphere spring warming during the past five decades: links to snow cover losses.   Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger 9:00 AM 12.3 Issues with identification of trends in 20th Century U.S. snowfall   Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. R. Easterling, K. T. Redmond, and K. G. Hubbard 9:15 AM 12.4 Quantifying the uncertainties in the long-term trend of global land precipitation as observed in gauge-based analyses   Mingyue Chen, RS Information Systems, Inc., Camp Springs, MD; and P. Xie, J. E. Janowiak, and P. A. Arkin 9:30 AM 12.5 Changes in precipitation distribution spectra and contemporary warming of the extratropics: implications for intense rainfall, droughts, and potential forest fire danger   Pavel Ya. Groisman, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. W. Knight, D. R. Easterling, D. Levinson, R. R. Heim, T. R. Karl, P. H. Whitfield, G. C. Hegerl, V. N. Razuvaev, B. G. Sherstyukov, J. G. Enloe, and N. S. Stroumentova 9:45 AM Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break   11:00 AM 12.6 Rainfall changes in Hawaii during the last century   Henry F. Diaz, NOAA/OAR/CDC, Boulder, CO; and P. S. Chu and J. K. Eischeid 11:15 AM 12.7 The Atlantic basin hurricane database re-analysis for the decades of the 1910s, 1920s and 1930s   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 11:30 AM 12.8 Increasing Midwestern dew points: Is this a result of changing agricultural practices?   David Changnon, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and M. Sandstrom, R. Lauritsen, and M. Bentley 11:45 AM 12.9 Changes in hourly surface relative humidity measurements and instruments in Canada during 1953–2003   Lucie A. Vincent, MSC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and W. A. Van Wijngaarden
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday Session 13 Radiative Forcing of the Climate (parallel with Session 12)
Chair: Piers M. de F. Forster, University of Reading UK, Reading England
13.1 Progress in measuring the radiative forcing of global warming   W. F. J. Evans, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, Canada 8:30 AM 13.2 Interannual changes in the global direct radiative climate forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases over the past 25 years   David J. Hofmann, NOAA/Climate Monitoring & Diagnostics Lab, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Butler, E. J. Dlugokencky, J. W. Elkins, K. Masarie, S. A. Montzka, and P. Tans 8:45 AM 13.3 Direct radiative effect of dust in a simple climate model: Climate response and sensitivity to dust optical properties   Karen M. Shell, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville 13.4 On the role of clouds and moisture for the tropical modes in a two-dimensional general circulation model   Dance Zurovac-Jevtic, Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden; and S. Bony and K. Emanuel 9:00 AM 13.5 Cloud-climate feedbacks as a result of solar cloud absorption in the SKYHI General Circulation Model   Carynelisa Erlick, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel; and V. Ramaswamy and L. M. Russell
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Joint Poster Session 2 Formal Poster Viewing - High Latitude Climate Variability and Change (Joint with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations)
Organizer: Vladimir Alexeev, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK
JP2.1 Using a global climate model to examine changes in Arctic permafrost   James R. Miller, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and G. L. Russell   JP2.2 Spatial and Temporal Variability of Carbon Flux on the North Slope of Alaska: A Study of the Barrow-Atqasuk-Ivotuk Region   Walter C. Oechel, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA; and H. Kwon, R. Zulueta, J. Verfaillie, G. Kinoshita, J. Kimball, F. A. Heinsch, and S. Running   JP2.3 Characteristics of winter cyclone activity in the Northern North Atlantic   Maria A. Tsukernik, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Serreze   JP2.4 The response of winter Arctic sea ice to Arctic Oscillation and dipole anomaly in the atmosphere   Jia Wang, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and B. Wu and J. E. Walsh   JP2.5 Mechanisms of decadal and interdecadal Arctic climate variability in the Community Climate System Model CCSM2   Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and M. M. Holland   JP2.6 Investigating the Relationship Between Modeled Ice Extent and the AO/NAO   Todd E. Arbetter, NSIDC/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. Serreze   JP2.7 Investigating the climatic effects of the NAO over Greenland using Polar MM5   Michael Previdi, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and D. E. Veron   JP2.8 Analyzing Low Frequency Variability in Atlantic Water using the CCSM3   Kara A. Sterling, International Arctic Research Center, Fairbanks, AK; and U. Bhatt and I. Polyakov   JP2.9 Strong trends in the skill of the ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses in the high and middle latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere, 1958–2001   David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center/Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and R. L. Fogt   JP2.10 Ice Ocean Model Forcing using ERA-40 Data.   Axel J. Schweiger, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. W. Lindsay and J. Zhang   JP2.11 Application of A mesoscale 3DVAR system at high latitudes as a step towards Arctic reanalysis   Jeffrey S. Tilley, Regional Weather Information Center, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and X. Fan and J. E. Walsh   JP2.12 Antarctic Net Precipitation Estimate from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis-2   Chuanyu Xu, U.S. National Ice Center, Washington, DC and QSS Group, Inc., Lanham, MD; and C. Z. Zou and M. L. Van Woert   JP2.13 A re-evaluation of upper tropospheric winds in reanalyses near Svalbard   David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and S. H. Wang   Paper JP2.14 has been moved to Joint Session J4, New Paper Number J4.3A     JP2.15 High resolution regional climate simulations over Iceland using Polar MM5   David H. Bromwich, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and L. Bai and G. G. Bjarnason   JP2.16 The Arctic boundary layer in six regional scale (ARCMIP) models   Michael Tjernström, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; and M. Žagar, G. Svensson, A. Rinke, K. Dethloff, J. Cassano, C. Jones, K. Wyser, and M. Shaw   JP2.17 Glaciers and Climate in Southern Alaska: present and future   Uma S. Bhatt, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and J. Zhang, C. Lingle, W. Tangborn, and J. Tilley   JP2.18 Ocean Dynamics in Recent Arctic Freshwater Changes   Xiangdong Zhang, International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK   JP2.19 The thinning of arctic sea ice, 1988–2003: have we passed a tipping point?   R. W. Lindsay, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Zhang   JP2.20 Locating and removing problematic data in the DMSP SSM/I data sets   Andrew L. Molthan, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and M. R. Anderson   JP2.21 Developing a climate record for a glacial lake valley in Svalbard   Daniel Philip Lane, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY   JP2.22 Climatology as the mean of two modes: an application to interior Alaska temperatures from medium range MOS   Timothy L Shy, NOAA/NWSFO, Fairbanks, AK; and R. Thoman and E. Stevens   JP2.23 Climate variability of free atmosphere in the polar regions   Alexander P. Makshtas, Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, St. Petersburg, Russia; and V. V. Maistrova and V. Alexeev   JP2.24 A time series analysis of multiyear sea ice in the central Arctic   Andrew J. Hamm, NASA/GSFC Greenbelt, MD and Northland College, Ashland, WI; and P. Gloersen   JP2.25 Climate variability determined from Arctic Ocean snow melt onset dates   Mark R. Anderson, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE   JP2.26 Climatology of the winter surface temperature inversion in Fairbanks, Alaska   Brian Hartmann, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Wendler   JP2.27 Decadal shifts in the relationship among surface temperature records of the weather stations in western sub-Arctic   Muyin Wang, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. E. Overland   JP2.28 Dynamical Amplifier of Global Warming   Ming Cai, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL   JP2.29 Footprint of the dynamical amplifier of global warmings at the TOA   Christelle Castet, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Cai   JP2.30 Advantages of T-mode Decomposition in Rotated Principal Component Analysis: Applications to the Arctic   Nathaniel C. Johnson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and A. Avramov, E. E. Clothiaux, N. Shirer, J. Harrington, and J. Verlinde
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday Poster Session 5 Poster Session: Seasonal to Interannual Variability
P5.1 The Misnomer of the "East Asian Summer Monsoon"   Winston Chao, NASA/GSFC, greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen   P5.2 Role of Indian Ocean on Pakistan Summer Rainfall   Muhammad Jawed Iqbal Sr., I am a Ph.D. student in Institure of Space and Palanetary Astrophysics, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan   P5.3 Rainfall Climatology of the Monsoon Season in New Mexcio: Observations from NEXRAD Stage III (1996-2003)   Hongjie Xie, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX; and E. R. Vivoni, X. Zhou, and J. M. H. Hendrickx   P5.4 The Hydrological onset and withdrawal index (HOWI) for the West Africa Monsoon   Giovanni A. Dalu, IBIMET - CNR, Rome, Italy; and M. Gaetani, F. Meneguzzo, A. Crisci, G. Maracchi, F. Guarnieri, and V. Capecchi   P5.5 Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability of the Greater Horn of Africa   J. Bowden, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi, R. Anyah, and C. Schreck   P5.6 Annual Cycle and Interannual Variability in the Sahel rainfall based on the CPC African Rainfall Estimates Climatology (ARC)   Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Capm Springs, MD; and T. B. Love and V. Kumar P5.7 The use of SST and SOI anomalies as indicators of crops yield variability   Maria I. Travasso, Instituto Nacional de Tecnologia Agropecuaria, Castelar, Argentina; and G. O. Magrin, M. O. Grondona, and G. R. Rodriguez   P5.8 A comparison of weather in U.S. cities during the winter of 2002–2003 to the El Nino's of 1982–1983 and 1997–1998   Margaret E. Sweeny, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and D. R. Smith P5.9 Correlation of West African ITCZ position to satellite-derived precipitation based on MEI-evaluated ENSO patterns   Timothy B. Love, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. M. Le Comte   P5.10 Interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the southern South China Sea   Zabani Md. Zuki, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo   P5.11 Interannual variability in the troposphere-stratosphere climate system and the solar cycle   Robert X. Black, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and B. W. Whitesides   P5.12 Decadal and year-to-year variations of the spring polar temperature in the lower-stratosphere   Wookap Choi, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea; and D. Kim   P5.13 The variability of surface cloud radiative forcing over the US   Haig Iskenderian, Northrop Grumman Information Technology, Reading, MA   P5.14 Summertime North Pacific cloud feedbacks inferred from synoptic-scale dynamic and thermodynamic relationships   Joel R. Norris, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and S. F. Iacobellis   P5.16 Water Vapor Trends and Variability from the Global NVAP Dataset   Thomas H. Vonder Haar, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe, J. Luo, D. L. Randel, and S. Woo   P5.17 Multi-year observations of ocean albedo from a rigid marine platform   Charles Kendall Rutledge, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Schuster   P5.18 moved to oral presentation 15.7a     P5.19 Towards greater understanding of inter-seasonal and multi-decadal variability and extremes of extratropical storminess in Florida   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and J. R. Almeida   P5.20 Intraseasonal interactions between terrestrial vegetation and climate variability in northern mid-latitudes   Weile Wang, Boston University, Boston, MA; and B. Anderson, N. Phillips, R. K. Kaufmann, and R. B. Myneni   P5.21 Annual, Interannual, and Interdecadal Variability of Drought in the United States   Jose A. Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY
	11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday Joint Session 3 Climate of the Southern High Latitudes (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change) ( parallel with Session 14)
Organizer: Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve Belgium
11:00 AM J3.1 Reconstructing the mid-Twentieth Century climate of the Antarctic Peninsula region   John Turner, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom 11:15 AM J3.2 Climatology and variability of mesoscale cyclones in the Western   Dan Lubin, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA 11:30 AM J3.3 Decadal variability of the ENSO teleconnection to the South Pacific governed by coupling with the Antarctic Oscillation   Ryan L. Fogt, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich 11:45 AM J3.4 Long-term Trends and Variability in the Atmospheric Circulation over Antarctica: 1957-2004   William D. Neff, NOAA, Boulder, Colorado 12:00 PM J3.5 Recent Sea Ice Variability and Its Association with Large-Scale Processes   Jiping Liu, School of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and J. A. Curry
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Session 14 Climate Services (parallel with Joint Session 3)
Organizer: Fiona Horsfall, Climate Services Division/OCWWS/NWS/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD
11:00 AM 14.1 NOAA Climate Cores: Enhancing the national climate decision support capacity   Fiona Horsfall, NOAA/NWS/OCWWS/Climate Services Division, Silver Spring, MD; and H. Hill, R. Pulwarty, and K. Redmond 11:15 AM 14.2 NOAA’s National Weather Service climate outreach in 2004-05   Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. E. Livezey 11:30 AM 14.3 Living with a Climate in Transition: Pacific Islands Experience   Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI 11:45 AM 14.4 Evaluating the cost of protecting against global climate change: options pricing theory and weather derivatives   Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
	12:00 PM-3:45 PM, Thursday Exhibits Open
	12:15 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	1:30 PM-3:15 PM, Thursday Joint Session 4 Climate of the Northern High Latitudes (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations) (parallel with Session 15)
Organizer: Marika M. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM J4.1 Climatic processes affecting arctic coastal environments: a review (Invited Presentation)   Roger G. Barry, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and M. C. Serreze 2:00 PM J4.2 Simulations of Wintertime Arctic Air Surges into Middle Latitudes   Steve Vavrus, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Walsh, W. L. Chapman, and D. Portis J4.3 Arctic sea ice and its feedback on the atmospheric circulation   Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and S. Gerland, R. Saravanan, L. R. Necas, H. Olafsson, and T. Jónsson 2:15 PM J4.3a On adapting a next-generation mesoscale model for the polar regions (Formerly Paper Number JP2.14)   Keith M. Hines, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and D. H. Bromwich 2:30 PM J4.4 Climate variability and trends along the western slope of the Greenland Ice Sheet during 1991–2004   Konrad Steffen, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and N. Cullen and R. Huff 2:45 PM J4.5 North Atlantic variability and self-organizing maps: early results   David B. Reusch, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and R. B. Alley
	1:30 PM-5:16 PM, Thursday Joint Session 6 The Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) (Joint between the 19th conference on Hydrology and 16th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Organizer: Richard G. Lawford, International GEWEX Project Office, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM Paper J6.5 to be presented as part of Session 7 in the 16 Global program, new paper number 7.1A   1:45 PM J6.1b GEWEX Water and Energy Budget Studies   J. Roads, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA 2:00 PM J6.2 The Water Budgets and Precipitation Recycling in Northwestern Canada   Kit K. Szeto, MSC, Downsview, ON, Canada J6.3 Hydrometeorology of the Amazon from ERA-40   Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and J. H. Ball, P. Viterbo, A. Dai, and J. A. Marengo 2:15 PM J6.4 Solar dimming/brightening and consequences for the water cycle   Beate G. Liepert, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and A. Romanou 2:30 PM Paper J6.6 Moved to end of session. New paper number J6.14   2:31 PM J6.7 The GEWEX Global Land Atmosphere System Study (GLASS) – Recent Results and Future Plans   Paul A. Dirmeyer, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Calverton, MD 2:46 PM J6.8 Multiscale Evaluation of GLDAS Products for CEOP with the Land Information System   Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. V. Kumar, M. Rodell, Y. Tian, J. V. Geiger, S. Olden, L. Lighty, J. L. Eastman, P. R. Houser, E. F. Wood, J. Sheffield, K. E. Mitchell, C. J. Meng, P. A. Dirmeyer, B. Doty, and J. Adams 3:01 PM Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall   3:31 PM J6.9 Evaluation of Reanalysis Soil Moisture Simulations Using Newly Updated Soil Moisture Observations from the Ukraine and China   Alan Robock, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ; and H. Li, M. Mu, and K. Y. Vinnikov 3:46 PM J6.10 Dynamical Downscaling of Extended Weather Forecasts for Hydrologic Prediction in River Basins of the Western U.S.   Yun Qian, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. R. Leung 4:01 PM J6.11 Evaluation of Cloud Resolving Simulations over the Southern Great Plains During IHOP 2002   L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and L. K. Berg, T. P. Ackerman, and R. T. Marcharnd 4:16 PM J6.12 Contributions of the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) to priority climate and observational issues   Richard G. Lawford, International GEWEX Project Office, Silver Spring, MD 4:31 PM J6.13 Interpreting Lake Victoria in terms of regional hydrology and hydrologic change   Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Yin 4:46 PM J6.14 Land Surface Water Cycles Observed with Satellite Sensors(Formerly paper j6.6)   S. V. Nghiem, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and E. G. Njoku, G. R. Brakenridge, Y. Kim, and G. Neumann
	1:30 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday Session 15 Climate Predictions on Seasonal to Interannual Time Scales: 2 (parallel with Joint Session 4)
Chair: Ed Olenic, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
1:30 PM 15.1 A connection between El Nino and Interdecadal Variability   Cécile Penland, NOAA-CIRES/Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and L. Matrosova 1:45 PM 15.2 Rainfall variability in equatorial Africa   Sharon E. Nicholson, FSU, Tallahassee, FL; and N. Balas 2:00 PM 15.3 Recent West African hydrologic anomalies in the NCEP coupled forecast system   Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Capm Springs, MD; and K. C. Mo 2:15 PM 15.4 Implementation of a new seasonal/interannual Coupled Forecast System (CFS) at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction   Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Moorthi and S. Saha 2:30 PM 15.5 Storm track predictability on seasonal to decadal scales   Gilbert P. Compo, NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, CO; and P. D. Sardeshmukh 2:45 PM 15.6 Predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon in a Coupled General Circulation Model   H. Annamalai, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and K. R. Sperber 3:00 PM Coffee Break   15.7 Predictability of the MJO: GCM and Surface Boundary Condition Sensitivity   Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena,, CA; and S. Liess, W. K. -. M. Lau, C. Jones, and S. D. Schubert 3:30 PM 15.7a Interannual Variability of Tropical Diurnal SST Variability   Derrick K. Weitlich, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson 3:45 PM 15.8 A Simulation of the Maintenance of the Madden Julian Oscillation: Using Scale Interactions as a Framework   Adam O'Shay, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti 4:00 PM 15.9 Simulation of a summer monsoon over Korea in 2003   Yu-Bin Yhang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei university, Seoul, Korea, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong 4:15 PM 15.10 Seasonal Forecast Skill Comparison of Cluster mean, Ensemble Mean and EOF Mode patterns   Tosiyuki Nakaegawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and M. Kanamitsu 4:30 PM 15.11 Interannual variability of aerosol and its impact to the climate with TOMS data   Xiaoyu Liu, Univ. of Miami RSMAS, miami, FL 4:45 PM 15.12 Dynamical Downscaling of Seasonal Climate Information: Linkage with Grazing Simulation System   Jozef Syktus, Queensland Centre for Climate Applications, Indooroopilly, Queensland, Australia; and G. McKeon
	3:00 PM, Thursday Coffee Break
	3:00 PM, Thursday Registration Desk Closes
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Joint Session 7 Mechanisms of Climate Change (Joint Session with the Eight Conference on Polar Meteorology and the 16th Symposium on Global Change & Climate Variations)
Organizer: James R. Miller, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ
3:30 PM J7.1 Future Polar Climate Change Simulations with the CCSM3   Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Teng, G. A. Meehl, J. Arblaster, A. Hu, and L. Buja 3:45 PM J7.2 Climate variability during the last millennium in the Arctic: a model-data comparison using ensemble simulations   Hugues Goosse, Universite Catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; and H. Renssen, A. Timmermann, and R. S. Bradley 4:00 PM J7.3 Building and using an Arctic climate information system   James E. Overland, NOAA/OAR/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and N. N. Soreide, M. C. Serreze, and J. Francis 4:15 PM J7.4 Analysis of the polar amplification pattern of global warming in models without ice albedo feedbacks   Vladimir Alexeev, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and P. L. Langen 4:30 PM J7.5 Sea ice forced climate change in a GCM   C. M. Bitz, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. Hall, M. M. Holland, and R. W. Lindsay 4:45 PM J7.6 What controls planetary albedo and its interannual variability?   Xin Qu, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Hall 5:00 PM J7.7 Variability in the Arctic sea ice melt season   John W. Weatherly, U. S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab, Hanover, NH; and D. K. Perovich and S. Nghiem 5:15 PM J7.8 Influence of the sea ice thickness distribution on simulated polar climate   Marika M. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. M. Bitz, J. L. Schramm, W. H. Lipscomb, and E. C. Hunke
	3:45 PM, Thursday Exhibits Close
	5:30 PM, Thursday Conference Ends
	6:00 PM, Thursday Ed Lorenz Symposium Banquet

Browse the complete program of The 85th AMS Annual Meeting