88th Annual Meeting (20-24 January 2008)

: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change

Program Chairs: Aiguo Dai , NCAR ; John Roads , SIO/Univ. Of California ; David R. Easterling , NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Sunday, 20 January 2008

7:30 AM-9:30 AM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


Conference Registration

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 20 January 2008


7th Annual WeatherFest
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 21 January 2008

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Registration continues through Thursday, 24 January

9:00 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


1A
Adaptation to Climate Change
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Rosina Bierbaum, Univ. of Michigan; Peter Backlund, NCAR
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Overview: Rosina Bierbaum

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
Management Options to help the water sector adapt to Climate Change
Kathy Jacobs, U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC


1B
African Climate: I. Past and Future
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin

Papers:
  9:00 AM
Holocene hydrological changes in North Africa (Invited)
Françoise Gasse Sr., CNRS-France, Aix-en-Provence, France

  9:30 AM
  9:45 AM
The relationship between temperature and precipitation in the Sahel as a diagnostic of land-atmosphere feedbacks of relevance to climate change
Alessandra Giannini, International Research Institute for Climate and Society/Columbia University, Palisades, NY

  10:00 AM
Forcing of Sahel rainfall change and variability in the CMIP models
Michela Biasutti, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY

http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~biasutti/Sahel_JC2008.pdf

10:15 AM-10:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Coffee Break (Mon a.m.)

10:45 AM-11:45 AM: Monday, 21 January 2008


2A
Adaptation to Climate Change (continued)
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Rosina Bierbaum, Univ. of Michigan

Papers:
  10:45 AM
Energy Systems and Adaptation issues
Sue Tierney, Analysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA

  11:15 AM
The Nexus between Mitigation and Adaptation
John P. Holdren, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA


2B
African Climate: II. African Easterly Waves and Dust
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  10:45 AM
North African dust production: past, present and future (Invited)
Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom

  11:00 AM
Dust interaction with african climate (Invited)
Natalie Mahowald, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and M. Yoshioka and A. M. Sealy

  11:15 AM
On the generation mechanisms of African easterly waves (Invited)
Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and K. H. Cook

  11:30 AM
Radar Observations of African Easterly Wave Convection During NAMMA
Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and T. Lang, S. A. Rutledge, B. Smull, and P. A. Kucera

11:45 AM-1:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Opening Plenary Session Featuring Mayor Nagin of New Orleans (Cash & Carry Lunch)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


3A
African Climate: III. Convection and Synoptic Systems
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Intraseasonal and interannual variability of the characteristics of West African convective systems (Invited)
Karen I. Mohr, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. J. Alonge, and W. -. K. Tao

  1:45 PM
Cycles of deep convection over central and southern Africa
A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone and V. Levizzani

  2:00 PM
A 3-4 day Convective Oscillation between East Africa and Equatorial Congo during Boreal Summer
Chris D. Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. Mekonnen

  2:15 PM
Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and convective systems over equatorial Africa
Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel


3B
Impacts of Climate Changes
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Climate Change and Chicago: Projections and Potential Impacts
Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe

  1:45 PM
Analysis of weather patterns associated with air quality degradation and potential health impacts
Adel F. Hanna, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. P. Pinto, Q. Meng, A. Xiu, P. J. Robinson, K. Yeatts, and Z. Zhu

  2:00 PM
An index to measure the influences of climate on residential natural gas demand
Ahira Sanchez-Lugo, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, D. Wuertz, and K. Hamilton

  2:15 PM

Joint Session 8
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part I
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University

Papers:
  2:00 PM
Global warming and tropical cyclone landfall frequency in East Asia
Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

  2:15 PM

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Poster Session 1
African Climate Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin

Papers:
 
Four-dimensional climate data sets of the AMMA special observing period-3
Leonard Druyan, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. Fulakeza, P. Lonergan, and E. Noble

http://wamme.geog.ucla.edu/simulations.html

Poster PDF (737.3 kB)
 
Climatology and interannual variability of South African synoptic scale storms
Timothy Eichler, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, Mo; and W. Higgins

 
The impact of dynamic vegetation on dust and Sahel precipitation
Andrea M. Sealy, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Mahowald

 
East African temperature variations and their possible causes
J. R. Christy, Earth System Science Center, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris and R. T. McNider

 
Genesis of African Easterly Waves
Chris D. Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis

 
Subseasonal prediction of cumulative precipitation over the Sahel with the NCEP Climate Forecasting System
Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, VA; and W. M. Thiaw

 
Convectively coupled Kelvin waves over tropical Africa during the boreal summer: Structure and variability
Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University, New York, NC; and C. D. Thorncroft and G. N. Kiladis

 
Index insurance for drought in the Millennium Villages Project
M. Neil Ward, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and E. M. Holthaus and A. Siebert

 
Annual cycle of the Saharan heat low and its role in the coupled West African monsoon system
Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrille

 
Statistical characterization of the dry spell risk during the west African monsoon from meteorological station data
Asher Siebert, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and N. Ward, O. Ndiaye, and P. Kangah

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
Impacts of dust on West African climate during 2005 and 2006
Moctar Camara, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins and A. Konare

 
A climatology of African warm-season rainfall episodes based on a combined IR/MW precipitation estimate approach
Samantha Melani, LaMMA -Institute of Biometeorology (IBIMET-CNR), Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy; and A. Antonini, V. Levizzani, R. Ginnetti, M. Pasqui, A. Ortolani, A. G. Laing, and R. E. Carbone

 
A Synoptic and Structural Analysis of the 11 September 2006 West African Squall Line
Jonathan W. Smith, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. Delonge, S. Chan, A. Diop, B. Koltz, D. Grant, S. Diatta, S. Salak, and T. Fall

 
Possible Interactions between a West African Squall Line Event and the SAL
Aaron Pratt, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and T. L. Battle, D. Robertson, and B. Dickey

 
The effect of dust optical properties on surface radiative energy budget and atmospheric thermodynamics during Pirata/Aerose-III
Adrian Flores, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, and V. Morris

 
Wavelet-Based Monthly-to-Seasonal Rainfall Predictions for Ethiopia
Zewdu Segele, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. J. Lamb and L. M. Leslie


Poster Session 2
General Climate Studies: Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: J. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California
CoChair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:
 
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: A Synthesis of the Fourth Assessment Report
Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia

http://www.bom.gov.au

Poster PDF (2.5 MB)
 
P2.3
Validation of four satellite-derived rainfall products using gage data from densely populated raingauge network over the Korean peninsula

 
P2.4
Stratocumulus sensitivity to aerosols and dynamics

 
Impacts of Climate Change on Energy Demand in Greater Dublin Region, Ireland
Xiaochen Liu, Department of Geography, National University of Ireland Maynooth, Maynooth, Ireland; and J. Sweeney

Poster PDF (1.6 MB)
 
A new satellite derived precipitation data set for studying trends in extreme events
Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and T. Smith, M. Sapiano, R. Joseph, and H. Meng

Poster PDF (693.7 kB)
 
Use of climate data to further enhance quality assurance of Oklahoma Mesonet observations
Peter K. Hall Jr., Oklahoma Mesonet, Norman, OK; and C. R. Morgan, A. D. Gartside, N. E. Bain, R. Jabrzemski, and C. A. Fiebrich

Poster PDF (256.8 kB)
 
The European Heat Wave & Drought Event of 2003
Jason R. Webster, Creighton University, Omaha, NE

http://www.jasonrwebster.com/

 
Analyses and Comparisons of Two Reanalyses for Tropical Monthly v -component wind field
Yujing Qin, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and P. Wang

 
P2.10
Monitoring Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Related Carbon Impacts Research

 
Upwelling and Coastal Climate Variability in Southern California, 1998-2007: A Return to the Cool Phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation?
Pedro Ramirez, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and S. LaDochy and W. C. Patzert

Poster PDF (255.5 kB)
 
Poster P2.12 has been moved. New paper number 13A.4A

 
Two types of strong Northeast Asian summer monsoon
Jung-Eun Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. W. Yeh and S. Y. Hong

 
The global increase in blocking occurrences
Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri - Columbia, Columbia, MO; and J. V. Clark, K. Puricelli, and A. S. Kelly

Poster PDF (153.6 kB)
 
Characteristics of boundary-layer decoupling and cloud properties revealed
David K. Mansbach, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris

 
Covariate analysis of severe weather across Australia
Stephanie M. Verbout, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, L. M. Leslie, M. Leplastrier, and A. Gero

 
Recent trend of Hadley and Walker circulation shown in water vapor transport potential
Seong-Chan Park, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn

Poster PDF (418.1 kB)
 
Diurnal and seasonal wind variability for selected stations in southern california climate regions
Charles J. Fisk, Naval Base Ventura County, Point Mugu, CA., Point Mugu, California

Poster PDF (2.6 MB)
 
Does the Madden-Julian Oscillation Influence Aerosol Variability?
Baijun Tian, UCLA, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, R. A. Kahn, Q. Li, Y. Yung, T. Tyranowski, I. Geogdzhayev, M. I. Mishchenko, and O. Torres

 
Examination of Canadian Climate Immediately after Sept. 11, 2001
William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

Poster PDF (198.0 kB)
 
Shortwave aerosol radiative effect over the global oceans using GOCART and satellite data
Thomas A. Jones, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. A. Christopher

 
Temperature extremes variability in the south of South America in relation to Atlantic SST and the Southern Annular Mode
Mariana Barrucand, CONICET/Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEN-UBA), Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. Rusticucci and W. Vargas

Poster PDF (2.6 MB)
 
The influence of urbanization on precipitation patterns in the Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) Metroplex since 1900
Anna Marie Nordfelt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. M. Quiring

 
Analysis of historical surface temperature data across a heterogeneous landscape in lower Mississippi river valley
Jiale Xu, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and V. Anantharaj, Q. Lu, and U. S. Nair

 
From Climate Variability to Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities to Agricultural Extension
Clyde William Fraisse, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and N. E. Breuer, D. F. Zierden, and K. T. Ingram

Poster PDF (284.8 kB)
 
Teleconnection between the precipitation rates over the Red Sea and El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, Egypt; and M. El - Rafy Sr.

Poster PDF (205.4 kB)
 
Characterizing the Vertical Latent Heating Structure of the MJO using TRMM
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Jiang, J. L. Li, B. Tian, W. S. Olson, M. Grecu, W. -. K. Tao, S. E. Lang, A. M. Tompkins, and T. S. L'Ecuyer

 
Isolating non-ENSO signals in the historical climate record
Prashant Sardeshmukh, Climate Diagnostics Center/CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo

 
Pacific Pan-decadal Variability in observation, reanalyses and IPCC AR4 CGCM simulations
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, A. D. Del Genio, B. Carlson, and M. G. Bosilovich

 
The tropical Pacific barrier layer's multi-temporal scale variability and its thermodynamic effects
Qiuxia Wu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Yin

 
Seasonal Rainfall and ENSO over the Tropical Pacific Region
Luke He, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Olenic and D. A. Unger


Joint Poster Session 3
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL

Papers:
 
An enhanced tropical cyclone data set for the Australian region
Blair Trewin, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

Poster PDF (212.9 kB)
 
Variations of Atlantic tropical cyclones and climate change since the mid eighteenth century
Cary J. Mock, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and M. Chenoweth, D. A. Glenn, S. F. Dodds, S. O. Holmberg, H. F. Young, J. Tanis, R. L. Murphy, L. J. Stroup, I. M. Altamirano, and C. W. Landsea

 
Investigating barotropic instability of the African Easterly Jet and its potential for development in the NASA fvGCM
Marangelly Fuentes, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and O. Reale and V. Morris

 
Atlantic hurricane increases and carbon dioxide rise
William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

 
Influence of the Amazon/Orinoco plume on Atlantic hurricanes
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin; and E. K. Vizy

 
Conversion from Shear to Curvature Vorticity, Organization of Convection, and Hurricane Genesis
Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti, S. Pattnaik, M. K. Biswas, and A. Simon

 
Interdecadal variability of the typhoon activity in Autumn
Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. J. Lee

 
Relationships between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic-East Pacific tropical cyclone activity
Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

 
A typhoon loss estimation model for China
Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu

Poster PDF (1.5 MB)
 
Structure on eastward-moving cloud clusters in 2007 January MJO
Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

 
The role of deep tropical convection on the distribution of water within the UTLS region
Maria R. Russo, Centre for Atmospheric Science, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and C. Chemel, J. A. Pyle, R. S. Sokhi, and C. Schiller

 
Transition from a Mixed Rossby-gravity Wave to a Tropical Cyclone
Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang, X. Ge, and Q. Ding

 
Modeling Studies of Island Induced Convective Activities in Puerto Rico Region
Melissa Sheffer, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and I. Matos

 
Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornados Associated With The Formation of Tropical Storm Barry
Andrew Devanas, NOAA/NWS, Key WEst, FL; and P. Santos, D. Gregoria, and K. Kasper

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
Characterization of the Streamers over the Caribbean
Evelyn Rivera-Acevedo, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao, O. Bermudez, and I. Matos

 
A Climatological Feature of Typhoon Making Landfall over the Korean Peninsula
Baek-Jo Kim, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and K. S. Choi

Poster PDF (2.0 MB)
 
Exergetics of deep moist convection
Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

 
Are tropical cyclones feeding more extreme rainfall events?
William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zhou and J. H. -. T. Wu

 
Experiments on WRF Hurricane Initialization (WRF-HI) – An Approach Based on WRF Variational Data Assimilation of Remote-Sensing and Synthetic Observations
Qingnong Xiao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, Z. Liu, W. Wang, C. A. Davis, G. J. Holland, P. J. Fitzpatrick, Y. Li, C. Hill, and H. R. Winterbottom

Poster PDF (1.4 MB)
 
Role of large-scale environment in the interannual variability of Australian region tropical cyclones
Hamish Andrew Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. Leplastrier

 
The Impacts of Dust and Humidity Fields on Atlantic Hurricane Activities
Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, Viriginia; and M. Kafatos and Z. Boybeyi

 
Developing verse non-developing tropical disturbances for tropical cyclone formations
Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li

 
Reconciling water vapor fields measured by AIRS and HSB – A tropical case study using Hurricane Lili
Evan Fishbein, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. Fetzer and B. H. Lambrigtsen

 
Atmospheric teleconnections and Australian region tropical cyclone variability 1970–2005
Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie

 
Observing hurricanes and severe storms with the GeoSTAR-PATH mission
Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Brown

 
JP3.29
A view of synoptic variability in the tropical east to central Pacific and Atlantic

 
JP3.30
High-resolution upper air measurement from Cape Verde during NAMMA, the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Project

 
Quantifying the Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Extreme Rainfall along the Coastal Southeastern United States
J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Grundstein and T. Mote

 
Distributions and trends of death and destruction from hurricanes in the United States, 1900-2006
Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL

 
Building capacity to forecast and respond to storm inundation in Hawaii
Wes Browning, NOAA/NWS/Honolulu Weather Forecast Office, Honolulu, HI

 
Education through interaction with data sets - Hurricane Katrina and the Integrated Data Viewer
Troy Allison, University of North Carolina Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and S. O. Holmberg, B. J. Etherton, and J. Weber

 
Upper ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific supertyphoons
I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. F. Pun and C. C. Wu

 
Coastal observations of disturbed weather in Senegal during the 2006 NAMMA field campaign
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and P. A. Kucera, E. Joseph, J. D. Fuentes, A. T. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, A. Protat, D. Bouniol, and N. Viltard

 
Next Generation Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRad) - Improved Forecast Skill with Wide Field Imagery
Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. G. Black, S. S. Chen, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, C. S. Ruf, A. Mims, and C. C. Hennon

Poster PDF (1.3 MB)
 
On the Climatology of Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico
L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Bao, T. I. Yan, and D. Dickey

 
Possible climate impacts of Saharan dust on frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones
Kyu-Myong Kim, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau

 
The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis
Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

 
The possible winter impact from recurving tropical cyclones
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart and C. Hosler

 
Estimating local memory of tropical cyclones through MPI anomaly evolution
Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson

 
Tropical cyclone trends and attribution from reanalysis datasets
Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and M. A. Bourassa

 
Tropical Storm Debby and the SAL: A comparative analysis with TD 8 from the NAMMA 2006 field campaign
Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins

 
Are there regimes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic?
S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL

 
JP3.48
Retrospective multidecadal simulation of E Asiuan Typhoon activity

 
NEXRAD in Space: A Solution to the Hurricane Intensity Prediction Problem
Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and V. Chandrasekar, S. S. Chen, G. Holland, E. Im, R. Kakar, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks Jr., A. Mugnai, E. A. Smith, and S. Tanelli

 
Characterization of the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) during NAMMA 2006 DC-8 Flight Missions
Tamara L. Battle, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins

 
The Role Played by Blocking over the Northern Hemisphere on Hurricane KATRINA
Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, 12613, Egypt

Poster PDF (408.0 kB)
 
NOAA's Hurricane Forecasting Improvement Project Plan
Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS, Silver Springs, MD


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (mon p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Session 9
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part II
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University

Papers:

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


4A
African Climate: IV. West Africa
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

Papers:
  4:00 PM
A comparison of coastal radio sounding stations during NAMMA-06
Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Sall, A. T. Gaye, D. Badiane, F. Kebe, M. Camara, and E. Joseph

  4:15 PM
Dynamics of the West African monsoon jump
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin; and S. M. Hagos, J. F. Newman, and E. K. Vizy

  4:30 PM
West Africa Desert Locust infestations: connections with regional atmospheric circulation patterns
Chiara Vallebona, CNR, Firenze, Italy; and A. Crisci, A. Di Vecchia, L. Genesio, G. Maracchi, and M. Pasqui

  4:45 PM
Evolution of latent heating profiles of the West African Monsoon
C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos and G. Gu

  5:00 PM
Seasonal evolution of the West African Heat Low: a climatological perspective
Christophe Lavaysse, CNRS, Paris, France; and C. Flamant, S. Janicot, J. P. Lafore, D. J. Parker, and J. Pelon

  5:15 PM

4B
Impacts of Climate Changes (continued)
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Juliane Fry, Reed College

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Multi-catchment investigation of the impacts of climate change on hydrology in Ireland
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands; and R. McGrath, P. Lynch, T. Semmler, S. Wang, J. A. Hanafin, and P. Nolan

  4:15 PM
Projected climate change impacts on lakes/wetlands extent and their hydrologic processes in Michigan State
Vimal Mishra, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer and L. C. Bowling

  4:30 PM
Refinements in index insurance pricing via dendroclimatology, in the context of a nonstationary background state
Arthur M. Greene, IRI = International Research Institute for Climate and Society (The Earth Institute, Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and D. Osgood and L. Goddard

  4:45 PM
Impacts of weather and climate on commercial motor vehicles
Michael A. Rossetti, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and M. Johnsen

Poster PDF (997.6 kB)
  5:00 PM
Climate variability and change with implications for transportation
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. McGuirk, T. G. Houston, A. Horvitz, and M. F. Wehner

  5:15 PM
Climate Change / Climate Variability, System Vulnerability and Planning for Adaptive Strategies
T.N. Balasubramanian, M.S.Swaminathan Research Foundation, Chennai, TamilNadu, India; and A. A. Nambi

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Joint Panel Discussion 1
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion: Kossin, Landsea, Holland, Chan, Emanuel, Knutson
Location: R02-R03 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Moderator: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University
Panelists: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT; Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center; James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL; Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong; Greg J. Holland, NCAR

Papers:
  4:30 PM
Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion
Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Landsea, J. Kossin, T. R. Knutson, J. C. L. Chan, and G. Holland

  5:30 PM
Hugh E. Willoughby

  5:30 PM
Christopher Landsea

  5:30 PM
James P. Kossin

  5:30 PM
Thomas R. Knutson

  5:30 PM
Johnny C. L. Chan

  5:30 PM
Greg J. Holland

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 21 January 2008


Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 22 January 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Analysis of Large Scale Spatial Variability of Soil Moisture Data using a Geostatistical Method
Tarendra Lakhankar, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. S. Jones, C. L. Combs, M. Sengupta, and T. H. Vonder Haar

  8:45 AM
Analysis and Verification of Soil Water Content Measurements from the Oklahoma Mesonet
Aaron M. Gleason, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara

  9:00 AM
Analysis of Surface Energy Budget Data Over Varying Land-Cover Conditions
John B. Barr, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, W. P. Kustas, and J. H. Prueger

  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
The structure of the convective boundary layer in and around Oklahoma City
Kodi L. Nemunaitis, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Basara


5A
African Climate: V. Eastern and Southern Africa
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chidong Zhang, University of Miami/RSMAS

Papers:
  8:45 AM
The role of upper tropospheric easterly waves on the synoptic time scale convection over East Africa
Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University, New York, NC; and C. D. Thorncroft

  9:00 AM
Monsoon breaks over northern Africa: Role of cold air surges
Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook

  9:15 AM
Why did the southern Africa teleconnection “hang up” during the 1997-98 El Niño?
Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and S. J. Mason

  9:30 AM
A regional climate modeling study of climate change over the Greater Horn of Africa
Jared Bowden, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi


5B
General Climate Studies: Observations I
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Edward A. O'Lenic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Thermal Structure and Variability of the Tropical Tropopause Layer Derived from AIRS Observations
Baijun Tian, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. J. Fetzer, D. E. Waliser, and B. H. Lambrigtsen

  9:00 AM
Global Climatology of Tropospheric CO from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS)
Wallace McMillan, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD; and L. Yurganov, K. Evans, and C. D. Barnet

  9:15 AM
Estimation of top of the atmosphere global aerosol direct radiative effect using CERES, MODIS and MISR
Falguni Patadia, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and P. Gupta and S. A. Christopher

  9:30 AM

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Poster Session 1
Land-Atmosphere Interactions
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California

Papers:
 
Assessing the Performance of CLASS in the Canadian Regional Climate Model
Edmond Chan, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. MacKay and D. Verseghy

 
Evapotranspiration over an irrigated cotton field
Haimei Jiang, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and S. Liu and H. P. Liu

 
ENSO based low-frequency precipitation and nutrient load oscillations in the Little River Watershed, Georgia
Victoria W. Keener, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and G. Feyereisen, J. W. Jones, and U. Lall

 
Korea land data assimilation system (KLDAS) and its application using WRF
Yoon-Jin Lim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and T. Y. Lee and K. Y. Byun

 
Evaluating NARR surface variables and NLDAS using observations from the Oklahoma Mesonet
Justin W. Monroe, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara and D. L. Toll

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
Evaluating land-atmosphere interactions in climate models using high-frequency ARM observations
Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. S. Boyle, J. J. Hnilo, S. A. Klein, G. L. Potter, and S. Xie

 
Impacts of global climate change on the surface energy budget and water balances in the past 50 years
Li Sheng, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and S. Liu and H. P. Liu

 
Evaluation of different Approaches for Estimating Evaporation over an open Water Surface
Yu Zhang, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Jiang, L. Sheng, H. Liu, and Q. L. Williams

 
Do Clouds Follow Deforestation Over the Amazon?
Frederic J. F. Chagnon, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. L. Bras, J. Wang, E. R. Williams, A. K. Betts, N. O. Renno, L. A. T. Machado, R. Knox, and G. Bisht


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Tue a.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


6A
African Climate: VI. Modeling Studies
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: A. G. Laing, NCAR

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Modeling the semi-arid Sahel Climate West African -- Monsoon Modeling and Evaluation (WAMME) Initiative and its first set of experiments (Invited)
Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. K. M. Lau, K. H. Cook, and A. WAMME Team

  11:15 AM
Variability of the West African monsoon system in the new NCEP CFS model
Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. B. Kumar, K. C. Mo, and A. Vintzileos

  11:30 AM
How do the large-scale models represent the West African Monsoon mean state and variability (the AMMA-MIP experiment)?
Alessandro Dell'Aquila, ENEA, Roma, Italy; and F. Favot, F. Guichard, F. Hourdin, S. Janicot, T. Losada, I. Musat, R. Roca, and P. M. Ruti


6B
General Climate Studies: Observations II
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society

Papers:
  11:00 AM
Intercomparisons of AIRS, AMSR-E, and CloudSat for improving GPCP high-latitude precipitation estimates
Eric J. Nelkin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. Huffman, R. F. Adler, D. T. Bolvin, J. Susskind, and J. M. Haynes

  11:15 AM
Assessment of high latitude GPCP Version 2 monthly and One-Degree Daily precipitation estimates using ground-based observations
David T. Bolvin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler, G. J. Huffman, and E. J. Nelkin

  11:30 AM
A new global analysis of precipitation
Mathew R. P. Sapiano, Colarado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and T. Smith and P. A. Arkin

  11:45 AM
Precipitation reanalysis/reconstructions based on satellite and in situ data
Phillip A. Arkin, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and T. Smith and M. R. P. Sapiano

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Exhibits Open (Tuesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Presidental Forum: Hurricane Katrina: Looking Back to Look Ahead (Cash & Carry) (Presidental Forum will run parallel to the other sessions throughout the afternoon)
Location: La Louisiane (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


7A
General Climate Studies: Observations III
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Baijun Tian, UCLA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Satellite retrieval of land surface temperature: challenges and opportunities
Ana C. T. Pinheiro, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC (STG, Inc contractor), Asheville, NC; and J. L. Privette, J. J. Bates, and J. Pedelty

  2:00 PM
The annual cycle of surface radiation budget over Europe
Pamela E. Mlynczak, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and R. Hollmann

  2:15 PM
A Global Monthly Land Surface Air Temperature Analysis for 1948-present
Yun Fan, Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD; and H. van den Dool

  2:30 PM
The climate of 2007 in historical perspective
Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. H. Levinson, A. Sanchez-Lugo, D. Wuertz, L. Love-brotak, and E. Godfrey

  2:45 PM
Does it rain more on weekends?
David M. Schultz, University of Helsinki and Finnish Meteorological Institute, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland; and S. Mikkonen, A. Laaksonen, and M. B. Richman


7B
Climate of 20th Century (C20C) Part I
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Organizers: Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office; James L. Kinter III, COLA
Chair: James L. Kinter III, COLA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
The CLIVAR C20C modelling project: selected 20th century changes
Adam A. Scaife, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and F. Kucharski, C. K. Folland, J. L. Kinter III, D. Fereday, S. Grainger, K. E. Jin, J. Knight, S. Kusunoki, M. J. Nath, T. Nakaegawa, P. Pegion, S. D. Schubert, P. Sporyshev, J. Syktus, A. Voldoire, J. H. Yoon, and T. Zhou

  1:45 PM
The CLIVAR C20C project: Decadal and interannual Indian rainfall variability
Fred Kucharski, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and A. A. Scaife, J. H. Yoo, C. K. Folland, J. L. Kinter III, D. Fereday, K. E. Jin, M. J. Nath, P. Pegion, P. V. Sporyshev, A. Voldoire, J. H. Yoon, and T. Zhou

  2:00 PM
Simulating the Actual Climate of the 20th Century with a coupled GCM
Meizhu Fan, George Mason University/COLA, Calverton, MD; and E. K. Schneider

  2:15 PM
Tropical belt expansion observed during the late 20th century and relation to 21st century climate model projections
Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and Q. Fu, R. D. Hudson, W. J. Randel, and T. Reichler

  2:30 PM
Annual cycle of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation simulated by CAM3 with a modified convection scheme
Min Dong, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and T. Wu and G. J. Zhang

  2:45 PM
Changes in cloudiness and related variables over Russia, 1950–2000
Garrett P. Marino, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA; and D. Kaiser

1:45 PM-2:45 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 2
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part II
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California

Papers:
 
J2.1
The Lake-Atmosphere Turbulent EXchanges (LATEX) field measurement campaign

  1:45 PM
Effects of environmental factors on evaporation over an open water surface in Mississippi, U.S.A
Heping Liu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and Y. Zhang, L. Sheng, and H. Jiang

  2:15 PM
Signatures of land-atmosphere feedback in a 360-year tree-ring record
Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. C. Fritts and M. Suarez

  2:30 PM
North American Snow Depth Responses to Climate
Yan Ge, Columbia University, New York, NY; and G. Gong

  2:45 PM
Snow and warming
Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Brown

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (tues p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


Joint Session 3
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part III
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California

Papers:
  3:30 PM
  3:45 PM
Minimum canopy resistance for croplands and grasslands during the 2002 International H2O Project
Joseph G. Alfieri, USDA/ARS, Beltsville, MD; and D. Niyogi, P. D. Blanken, F. Chen, M. Ek, A. Kumar, M. A. LeMone, and K. Mitchell

  4:00 PM
  4:15 PM
Evaluation of GCM surface processes over West Africa using offline land surface models and observations
Aaron A. Boone, CNRM, Toulouse, Midi-Pyrenees, France; and I. Poccard-Leclercq and Y. K. Xue

  4:30 PM
Impact of Different Surface Layer Schemes and Snow Albedo Formulations on Cold-season Simulations by the Noah Land-surface Model
Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, Y. Xia, V. Wong, A. Slater, and B. Livneh

  5:00 PM
Mass balance of the Haig Glacier using mesoscale modeling
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and S. Marshall

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 22 January 2008


8A
General Climate Studies: Variability (ENSO, MJO, NAO, etc.)
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:
  3:30 PM
A Two-Oscillator View of ENSO and Its Decadal Modulation
Jin-Yi Yu, University of California-Irvine, Irvine, CA; and H. Y. Kao and F. Sun

  3:45 PM
Recent intensification of ENSO-MJO interaction
Jong-Seong Kug, KORDI, Ansan, South Korea; and F. F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and I. S. Kang

  4:00 PM
Thermodynamic balance and changes to the regional circulation during the monsoon onset
Roop K. Saini, University of Massachusetts - Lowell, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow

  4:15 PM
Intraseasonal teleconnection between the summer Eurasian wavetrain and the Indian monsoon
Qinghua Ding, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

  4:45 PM
The Southwestern Monsoon in California as indicated by GPS precipitable water
James D. Means, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. R. Cayan

  5:15 PM
Nonlinear Time Series Modelling of Lahore's Precipitation
Muhammad Jawed Iqbal, Universityy, Karachi 75270, Pakistan; and M. S. Khan


8B
Climate Prediction
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
  3:30 PM
Low Emission Future Climate Change Simulations
Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO

  3:45 PM
Smoke and mirrors: Is geoengineering a solution to global warming?
Luke Oman, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD; and A. Robock and G. L. Stenchikov

  4:00 PM
Future mid-latitude summer drought: contrasts between North America and Europe
Dave Rowell, Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom

  4:15 PM
Future Climate of the North Pacific as Projected by IPCC-AR4 Models
Muyin Wang, University of Washington, Seattle,, WA; and J. E. Overland

  4:45 PM
Assessing the Skill of an All-season Statistical Forecast Model for the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA and JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, M. C. Wheeler, C. Jones, M. I. Lee, and S. Schubert

Wednesday, 23 January 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Panel Discussion 2
Enhancing the Connectivity between Research and Applications for the Benefit of Society Part II
Location: R08-R09 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 10th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the The Committee on Applied Climatology; the The Board on the Urban Environment; the The Measurements STAC; the 15th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; and the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research )
Moderator: David M. Schultz, Univ. of Helsinki/Finnish Meteorological Institute
Panelists: Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State Univ.; Kenneth Schere, NOAA/ERL/ARL; S. Pal S. Arya, Department of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences, North Carolina State University; Heidi Cullen, The Weather Channel/Georgia Institute of Technology; Anthony Brazel, Arizona State Univ.; John T. Snow, University of Oklahoma

Papers:
  8:30 AM
David M. Schultz

  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
Kenneth Schere

  8:30 AM
S. Pal S. Arya

  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
Anthony Brazel

  8:30 AM
  8:30 AM
Panel Discussion

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 4
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part IV
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Initialization of LSM in JMANHM
Daisuke Miura, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Oh'Izumi

  8:45 AM
Stratosphere-troposphere coupling and links with Eurasian land-surface variability
Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA; and M. Barlow, P. Kushner, and K. Saito

  9:00 AM
Summer Season Predictions with the NCEP Coupled Forecast System Using Different Land Models and Different Initial Land States
Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, J. Meng, H. Wei, and G. Gayno

  9:15 AM
The Impact of using GLDAS/Noah initial land states on GFS Forecasts
Helin Wei, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and J. Meng

  9:30 AM
Soil Moisture, Evaporation and Convection: Do better land surface initial conditions produce a better precipitation forecast?
Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. J. Alonge, J. A. Santanello Jr., S. V. Kumar, J. L. Eastman, W. K. Tao, and J. J. Shi

  9:45 AM
Verification of NAEFS land-surface forecasts
Wanru Wu, NOAA/NWS/OHD, Silver Spring, MD; and K. Mo


9A
General Climate Studies: Climate Dynamics
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Zonal jet structure and the leading mode of variability
Dennis L. Hartmann, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. J. Eichelberger

  8:45 AM
Evolution and Structures of Tropical Instability Waves in the Pacific Ocean and Its Interannual Variation
Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Kiladis and P. E. Roundy

Poster PDF (917.8 kB)
  9:00 AM
An investigation of cold-air cyclogenesis along the East Coast of the United States
Christopher J. Warren, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and E. G. Hoffman

  9:15 AM
Impact of Polar night jet on the Ural blocking circulation in boreal winter
Wen Zhou, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and L. Wang, W. Chen, J. Chan, and R. H. Huang

  9:30 AM
Dynamical aspects of the 1993 upper Mississippi River Basin floods
Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads

  9:45 AM
Indian ocean influences on North Atlantic climate
Prashant Sardeshmukh, CDC/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin


9B
Climate of the 20th Century (C20C) Part II
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Adam A. Scaife, Hadley Centre, Met Office

Papers:
  8:30 AM
The evolution of ENSO-monsoon relationship in GCM experiments
Emilia Kyung Jin, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. L. Kinter III

  8:45 AM
  9:15 AM
  9:30 AM
 
9B.6
Why did the Western Pacific Subtropical High experience a westward extension in the past decades?

  10:00 AM
East Asian Summer Monsoon's Response to SST, Greenhouse Gas, and Aerosol Forcings
Hongmei Li, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai, T. Zhou, R. Yu, and J. Lu

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Coffee Break (Wed a.m.)

10:30 AM-11:45 AM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 5
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part V
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  10:30 AM
Investigation of Land Surface Conditions Impact on Processes and Predictability of the North American Monsoon
Xia Feng, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and M. G. Bosilovich, P. R. Houser, and J. D. Chern

  10:45 AM
Soil moisture impacts on convective margins
Benjamin R. Lintner, Rutgers University, Rutgers, NJ; and J. D. Neelin

 
J5.3
Influence of sea surface temperature on soil moisture and precipitation interactions

  11:15 AM
Numerical model simulations of regional weather and climate impacts due to changes in historical landuse in lower Mississippi river valley
Valentine Anantharaj, Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS; and U. S. Nair, A. Song, L. Wasson, S. Christopher, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and R. King

  11:30 AM
Detection and Analysis of the Climatic Signal of Land Use Change on the Tibetan Plateau
Jiming Jin, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory/Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA; and N. L. Miller

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 10
Climate Policy, Vulnerability, and Adaptation
Location: 230 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Juliane Fry, Reed College; Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey

Papers:
  10:30 AM
Adaptive governance: proposals for climate change adaptation science, policy and decision making
Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and R. D. Brunner

  10:45 AM
Robustness as a Framework for Climate Change Policy
Zach Pirtle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ

  11:00 AM
Managing climate uncertainties
Marilyn Averill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO

  11:30 AM
State Climate Action Plans: The Opportunity for Adaptation Response
Susan K. Avery, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA; and B. H. Udall


10A
General Climate Studies: Regional Analysis
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Richard R. Heim Jr., Scientific Services Division, National Climatic Data Center, NOAA

Papers:
  10:30 AM
Putting current North America drought conditions into a multi-century perspective. Part 1: constructing the paleo drought dataset
Edward R. Cook, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and R. S. Vose, R. R. Heim Jr., and J. H. Lawrimore

 
10A.4
New climate dataset extends continuous U.S. weather records back over 100 years

  11:30 AM
Detection of trends in timing of low flows in Canadian stream flows
Eghbal Ehsanzadeh, Ottawa University, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and K. Adamowski


10B
Climate of the 20th Century (C20C) Part III
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Fred Kucharski, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics

Papers:
  10:30 AM
An assessment of low frequency changes in tropical cyclone formation in the North Atlantic basin
Philip Pegion, NASA/GSFC/GMAO/SAIC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. D. Schubert, M. Suarez, K. Emanuel, and J. Bacmeister

  10:45 AM
The summer North Atlantic Oscillation - past, present and future
Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and H. Linderholm, J. Hurrell, S. Ineson, J. Knight, A. Scaife, and R. Eastman

  11:15 AM
Cluster analysis of North Atlantic / European circulation types and links with tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures
David Fereday, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and J. Knight, A. A. Scaife, and C. K. Folland

  11:45 AM
The effects of temperature and precipitation trends on U.S. drought
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, and T. W. R. Wallis

11:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Exhibits Open (wednesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry in Exhibit Hall) (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


11A
NOAA's Climate Test Bed (CTB)
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Wayne Higgins, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC
CoChair: Ben P. Kirtman, COLA

Papers:
  1:30 PM
  1:45 PM
ENSO Variability and Predictability during 2005-2007
Dongxiao Zhang, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and M. McPhaden


11B
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Lecturer: William Neff, NOAA/ESRL-PSD

Papers:

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Poster Session 2
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part II
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
 
Impact of soil moisture initialization on numerical weather forecasting over the Mississippi Delta Region
Valentine Anantharaj, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and G. Mostovoy, U. S. Nair, and P. J. Fitzpatrick

Poster PDF (599.4 kB)
 
Land-atmosphere coupling strength in the GEOS-5 AGCM
Sarith Mahanama, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. D. Koster, J. T. Bacmeister, R. H. Reichle, and M. J. Suarez

 
Retrospective forcing of the NCEP Noah land surface model with observations from the OASIS network
Michael P. Morris, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Benefield and J. B. Basara

Poster PDF (1.2 MB)
 
Intercomparison of land surface process scheme in a global model: The single-column tests and seasonal prediction
KyungHee Seol, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong, H. S. Kang, M. Kananitsu, and J. Roads


Poster Session 3
Climate Model and Prediction Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
 
Realtime GLDAS/LIS execution at NOAA/NCEP
Jesse Meng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, H. Wei, R. Yang, and C. Peters-Lidard

 
Forecasting the Northern Australian Wet Season for Graziers
Alexis Donald, Queensland Department of Natural Resources and Water, Toowoomba, Qld, Australia; and S. Lennox, M. C. Wheeler, F. Lo, and H. Meinke

 
Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections
Lisa V. Alexander, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and J. Arblaster

 
Simulated 21st century dynamics and hydrology of the Great Plains low-level jet
Kerry H. Cook, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin; and C. M. Patricola, Z. S. Launer, and E. K. Vizy

 
Forecasting cotton yields over the southeastern US using NCEP Climate Forecast System
Guillermo A. Baigorria, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and M. Chelliah, C. C. Romero, K. Mo, J. W. Jones, J. J. O'Brien, and R. W. Higgins

http://plaza.ufl.edu/gbaigorr/GB/GBPublications.htm

Poster PDF (559.4 kB)
 
An evaluation of climate model precipitation over the United States
Melissa S. Bukovsky, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly

Poster PDF (2.8 MB)
 
Accurate and Fast Neural Network Emulations of Long Wave Radiation for the NCEP Climate Forecast System Model
Vladimir M. Krasnopolsky, NCEP/NWS/NOAA (SAIC), Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Fox-Rabinovitz, Y. T. Hou, S. J. Lord, and A. A. Belochitski

 
P3.11
Evaluating the Surface Energy Budget in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

 
P3.14
Coherent structures in cold air outbreaks

 
Characteristics in the moist process of JMA-GSM
Kengo Miyamoto, AESTO/JMA, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Komori

 
Bias in dynamically downscaled precipitation data and its impact on simulated streamflow in climate change impact studies
Susan C. Steele-Dunne, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands; and R. McGrath, P. Lynch, T. Semmler, S. Wang, J. A. Hanafin, and P. Nolan

 
Investigation of the cloud-radiation interaction in a general circulation model
Suryun Ham, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong, Y. H. Byun, and J. Kim

 
Precipitation intensity of East Asian summer monsoon in the 20th-century simulations by AOGCMs for the IPCC AR4
Shoji Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and O. Arakawa, O. Arakawa, A. Kitoh, and A. Kitoh

 
High-resolution simulation of the East Asian summer monsoon in the NCEP RSM
Yoo-Bin Yhang, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and H. S. Kang

 
Twentieth-century temperature change as simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model
Zaizhi Wang, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and M. Dong, L. Wang, Q. Li, and T. Wu

 
A modified dynamic framework for atmospheric spectral model and its application
Tongwen Wu, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang

 
Development of a regional climate model (BCC_RegCM) and its simulation and hindcast over different regions
Yiming Liu, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and Y. Ding, J. C. L. Chan, and S. Saeed

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
Lyapunov exponents for barotropic circulation regimes
Athar Hussain, University of Missouri - Columbia, Columbia, Missouri; and A. R. Lupo and S. Dostoglou

Poster PDF (424.0 kB)
 
Examining wind energy's impact on local climate
Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and D. W. Keith

 
A global assessment of the joint distribution of twentieth-century temperature and precipitation in the CMIP3 coupled climate models
F. Assis Souza Filho, International Reserarch Institute for Climate and Society - Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. M. Greene and U. Lall

 
The role of water vapor feedback on the amplitude of season cycle in the global mean surface air temperature
Qigang Wu, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly and G. R. North

 
Implementation of a double-moment warm-phase microphysics in the WRF single-moment 6-class microphysics scheme
Kyo-Sun Sunny Lim, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Hong and J. Dudhia

 
A downscaled future climate over Asia using the NCEP regional spectral model
E-Hyung Park, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong

 
Extremes in high resolution regional climate model: Preliminary results of simulations in EC FP6 project CECILIA
Tomas Halenka, Charles Univ., Prague, Czech Republic; and M. Belda and J. Miksovsky


Poster Session 4
Climate of the 20th Century (C20C) Poster Session
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office
CoChair: James L. Kinter III, COLA

Papers:
 
Are Australian climate trends linear?
David Jones, BOM, Vic., 3001, Australia; and R. Fawcett

 
The three dimensional structure and time evolution of the decadal variability revealed in ECMWF reanalyses
Taehyoun Shim, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea; and G. H. Lim and D. I. Lee

Poster PDF (1.1 MB)
 
Low-frequency variability of the Indian Monsoon-ENSO relation and the Tropical Atlantic: The 'weakening' of the '80s and '90s
Fred Kucharski, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and A. Bracco, J. H. Yoo, and F. Molteni

Poster PDF (32.2 kB)
 
P4.4
Mechanisms of a rapid global climate shift across the late 1960s

 
Can stable isotopes of hydrogen and oxygen tell you which way the wind is blowing or has blown in the past?
James Robert Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and S. D. Gedzelman

 
The myth of the 1970s global cooling scientific consensus
Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and W. M. Connolley and J. Fleck

Poster PDF (681.5 kB)
 
El Nino teleconnections in an atmospheric model
Sarah Ineson, Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. A. Scaife

 
P4.9
Interaction between low frequency teleconnections and US precipitation

 
Intraseasonal Teleconnection between North American and Western North Pacific Monsoons with 20-day Time Scale
Xianan Jiang, JIFRESSE/UCLA and JPL/Caltech, Pasadena, CA; and N. C. Lau

 
Study of the frequency of extreme daily precipitation on the south of Andes mountain range . Temporary variability in the period 1961-2003 and relation with the Antartic Oscillation
Federico Ariel Robledo, Departament of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and O. C. Penalba

Poster PDF (136.9 kB)
 
Response of the strating dates and the length of seasons and the Yellow River in mainland China to global warming
Yundi Jiang, National climate center/China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China

 
P4.13
Utilizing high-resolution precipitation products to assess climate impacts

 
Observations of a global-warming reverse-reaction: California coastal summer daytine cooling
R. Bornstein, San Jose State Univ., San Jose, CA; and B. Lebassi, J. E. Gonzalez, D. Fabris, E. P. Maurer, N. L. Miller, and C. Milesi

 
RAMS simulations of a global-warming reverse-reaction: California coastal summer daytime cooling
B. Lebassi, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and J. E. Gonzalez, D. Fabris, E. P. Maurer, N. L. Miller, C. Milesi, and R. Bornstein


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (wednesday p.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 7
Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part VI
Location: 223 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC

Papers:
  4:15 PM
A modeling and observational framework for diagnosing local land-atmosphere coupling on diurnal time scales
Joseph A. Santanello Jr., ESSIC/UMCP and NASA-GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. D. Peters-Lidard and S. V. Kumar

  4:30 PM
Control of Surface Temperature Gradient over West Africa
Man-li Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Schubert, O. Reale, M. Suarez, R. D. Koster, and P. Pegion

  4:45 PM
Lake Breeze simulation using an integrated RAMS and LIS modeling systems evaluated using ARMOR radar observations
Salvi Asefi, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair, V. Anantharaj, K. Knupp, and Y. Wu

 
J7.5
Simulated future river discharges under IPCC SRES scenarios: Yangtze, Ganges, Brahmaputra, Blue Nile and Murray-Darling

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Joint Session 6
Advances in Atmospheric Reanalysis
Location: 224 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsors: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; and the 22nd Conference on Hydrology )
Chair: Michael Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC
CoChair: J. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California

Papers:
  4:00 PM
Comparison of MERRA with ERA-40 on river basin scales
Alan K. Betts, Atmospheric Research, Pittsford, VT; and M. G. Bosilovich

  4:15 PM
Evaluation of a reanalysis system with CEOP station observations and multi-model analysis
Michael G. Bosilovich, NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Mocko, J. O. Roads, and A. K. Betts

  4:45 PM
A preliminary study of global water and energy cycles in a NASA reanalysis system
Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich

  5:15 PM
A regional re-analysis approach for modeling the West African monsoon rainfall diurnal cycle
Massimiliano Pasqui, Institute of Biometeorology - National Research Council (IBIMET-CNR), Roma, Italy; and F. Guarnieri and S. Melani


12
Detection and attribution of climate change: Part I
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gerald Meehl, NCAR

Papers:
  4:15 PM
Oceanic Influences on Recent Continental Warming
Gilbert P. Compo, Climate Diagnostics Center/CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. Sardeshmukh

  4:45 PM
Correlations between temperature and precipitable water over the oceans
Carl. A. Mears, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz, B. D. Santer, K. E. Taylor, and M. F. Wehner

  5:00 PM
12.5 is now 14A.4A

  5:00 PM
The relative importance of tropical variability forced from the North Pacific through ocean pathways
Amy B. Solomon, NOAA/CIRES-CDC, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin, M. A. Alexander, and J. P. McCreary Jr.

  5:15 PM
12.6 is now 14A.3A

  5:15 PM
Observed and Modeled Drivers of Arctic Change
Jennifer Francis, Rutgers University, Marion, MA; and E. Hunter

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar) (Wednesday)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 23 January 2008


AMS Annual Awards Banquet at the Hilton Riverside Hotel

Thursday, 24 January 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


13A
Detection and attribution of climate change: Part II
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gilbert P. Compo, Physical Sciences Division/ESRL/NOAA

Papers:
  8:30 AM
Scalar trend prediction in climate change
Stephen S. Leroy, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Dykema and J. G. Anderson

  8:45 AM
Detecting a greenhouse warming signal using only maximum daily temperatures
Richard T. McNider, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Christy and W. B. Norris

 
13A.4
An assessment of regional record-breaking statistics in annual mean temperature

  9:30 AM
Trends in the onset, severity and duration of the North American Monsoon (1918–2006)
Steven M. Quiring, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. M. Nordfelt

  9:45 AM

13B
Climate Modeling and Diagnostics Part I
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR

Papers:
  8:30 AM
US CLIVAR MJO Working Group: MJO Climate Simulation Diagnostics
Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and K. R. Sperber, L. Donner, J. Gottschalck, H. H. Hendon, W. Higgins, I. S. Kang, D. Kim, E. D. Maloney, M. W. Moncrieff, S. Schubert, W. Stern, F. Vitart, B. Wang, W. Wang, K. M. Weickmann, M. C. Wheeler, S. Woolnough, and C. Zhang

  8:45 AM
The importance of high-frequency sea-surface temperatures to the intraseasonal variability of the Indian summer monsoon
Nicholas P. Klingaman, Walker Institute for Climate System Research, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, Berkshire, United Kingdom; and P. M. Inness, J. M. Slingo, and H. Weller

  9:15 AM
Tropical influences on southwest Asia precipitation in a global atmospheric model
Andrew Hoell, University of Massachusetts Lowell, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow and F. P. Colby Jr.

  9:30 AM
Development and application of a coupled regional atmosphere-ocean model: air-sea interaction of the tropical instability waves over the Atlantic ocean
Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and C. Wen, P. Chang, and R. Saravanan

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Thurs a.m.)
Location: Exhibit Hall B (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


14A
Detection and attribution of climate change: Part III
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
  11:15 AM
Arctic Report Card shows continuing change in most environmental indicators
Nancy N. Soreide, NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and J. A. Richter-Menge, J. E. Overland, and J. Calder

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/

  11:30 AM
Paper 14A.3 is now 12.6A

  11:45 AM
Paper 14A.4 is now 12.5A

  11:45 AM
Effect of desert dust on the biological activity of ocean surface
Vani Starry Manoharan, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and U. S. Nair and R. M. Welch


14B
Climate Modeling and Diagnostics Part II
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Duane E. Waliser, JPL

Papers:
  11:00 AM
A Test of the Simulation of Tropical Convective Cloudiness by a Cloud-Resolving Model
Dennis L. Hartmann, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. A. Lopez, P. N. Blossey, R. Wood, C. S. Bretherton, and T. L. Kubar

  11:15 AM
Comparisons of CloudSat Upper Level Cloud Measurements with EOS MLS Measurements, ECMWF, GEOS5 Analyses and GCM Simulations
Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. D. Chern, J. Jiang, J. Bacmeister, A. M. Tompkins, W. -. K. Tao, D. G. Vane, and G. Stephens

  11:45 AM
Using Metrics to Explore the Relationship Between Simulated Mean Climate and Variability
Peter J. Gleckler, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and K. R. Sperber and K. E. Taylor

  12:00 PM
Diagnosing effective heat capactity in the IPCC AR4 model runs
Daniel B. Kirk-Davidoff, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Kleidon

11:00 AM-4:00 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Exhibits Open (thurs)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:15 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Lunch Break (Cash & Carry in Exhibit Hall) (Thurs)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


15A
Detection and attribution of climate change: Part IV
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Muyin Wang, University of Washington

Papers:
  1:30 PM
Interactions between ozone and climate: 1960-2100
Steven Pawson, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. S. Stolarski, A. R. Douglass, J. Perlwitz, and J. E. Nielsen

  1:45 PM
Historical trends in the jet streams
Cristina L. Archer, Carnegie Institution, Stanford, CA; and K. Caldeira

  2:00 PM
Trends in extreme snowfall years in the contiguous U.S
Kenneth E. Kunkel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and M. A. Palecki, L. Ensor, D. A. Robinson, K. G. Hubbard, D. R. Easterling, and K. T. Redmond

  2:15 PM
Climate and wind energy: recent trends in wind speed and potential effects of climate change
Jeffrey M. Freedman, AWS Truewind LLC, Albany, NY; and J. W. Zack and B. H. Bailey

  2:30 PM
A preliminary assessment of future changes in the severe thunderstorm environment in North America
Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and D. J. Karoly and H. E. Brooks

  2:45 PM
Impact of climate change in the Po valley: downscaling high resolution RegCM output by coupling with ChYM hydrological model
Erika Coppola, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy; and F. Giorgi, X. Gao, B. Tomassetti, and M. Verdecchia


15B
Climate Modeling and Diagnostics Part III
Location: 217-218 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: A.C. Ruane, NASA/GISS and Oak Ridge Associated Universities

Papers:
  1:45 PM
Implementing a double Fourier series dynamic core into a global atmospheric model
Hoon Park, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and S. Y. Hong and H. B. Cheong

  2:00 PM
Using the "radiative kernel" technique to calculate climate feedbacks in NCAR's Community Atmospheric Model
Karen M. Shell, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR; and J. T. Kiehl and C. A. Shields

  2:15 PM
A new parameterization of gravity wave drag based on ray theory for use in GCMs
Hye-Yeong Chun, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and H. J. Choi and I. S. Song

  2:30 PM
Diagnosing structural errors in climate model parameterizations
Vincent E. Larson, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and J. C. Golaz Jr., J. Hansen, D. P. Schanen, and B. M. Griffin

  2:45 PM

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Coffee Break and Exhibit Hall Raffle (Thurs)
Location: Exhibit Hall A (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


16
Climate Modeling and Diagnostics Part IV
Location: 215-216 (Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Sponsor: 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Chair: Timothy Eichler, Saint Louis University

Papers:
  3:30 PM
A Southern Ocean cyclone climatology based on high resolution NWP model output
Amanda Lynch, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia; and P. Uotila and J. J. Cassano

  3:45 PM
Climatology and interannual variability of mid-latitude storms in the NCEP CFS model
Timothy Eichler, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, Mo; and W. Higgins

  4:00 PM
Regional-scale processes associated with future summer drying over Central America
Sara A. Rauscher, The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and F. Giorgi and N. S. Diffenbaugh

  4:15 PM
Modeling Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions in the Peru Current System
Dian A. Putrasahan, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and H. Seo, A. J. Miller, and J. O. Roads

  4:30 PM
The global hydrological and energy cycles at Last Glacial Maximum in CCSM3
Melissa A. Burt, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall and B. Otto-Bliesner

4:45 PM-4:45 PM: Thursday, 24 January 2008


Conference Ends