* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 29 July 2001
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
	7:00 PM, Sunday 1 Opening Reception with Conference Overview (Cash Bar)
Monday, 30 July 2001
	7:30 AM-5:00 PM, Monday Conference registration continues through Thursday 2 August
	9:00 AM-9:10 AM, Monday Welcoming Remarks and Joint Session Overview
Organizers: Cliff F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; William H. Burnett, Naval Meteorology & Oceanography Command, Stennis Space Center, MS
	9:10 AM-10:30 AM, Monday Joint Session 1 Mesoscale Models (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
Organizers: Cliff F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; William H. Burnett, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command, Stennis Space Center, MS
9:10 AM J1.1 Operational overview of numerical weather prediction (NWP) at the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA)   Ed Bensman, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and J. Wegiel, S. Applequist, and S. Hausman 9:30 AM J1.2 The next version of the Canadian operational GEM regional mesoscale model   Jocelyn Mailhot, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and S. Bélair, A. Tremblay, A. Méthot, B. Bilodeau, L. -. P. Crevier, and A. Glazer 9:50 AM J1.3 Recent and Planned Changes to the NCEP Eta Analysis and Forecast System   Eric Rogers, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Black, G. J. DiMego, Y. Lin, K. E. Mitchell, D. Parrish, M. B. Ek, and B. Ferrier 10:10 AM J1.4 Recent developments of the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS)   Teddy R. Holt, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Schmidt, S. Chen, J. D. Doyle, R. M. Hodur, D. Westphal, X. Hong, J. Pullen, M. Liu, J. Cummings, A. Mirin, and G. A. Sugiyama
	10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday Joint Session 1 Mesoscale Models: Continued (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
11:00 AM J1.5 Prototypes for the WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) Model   William C. Skamarock, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. B. Klemp and J. Dudhia 11:20 AM J1.6 Current Status of the ARPS Modeling System   Kelvin K. Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 11:40 AM Discussion
	12:00 PM-1:00 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	12:30 PM-1:00 PM, Monday Joint Weather Briefing by Miami NWS WFO
	1:00 PM-2:29 PM, Monday Session 1 Improving Understanding of Physical Processes and their Parameterizations
Organizer: Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
1:00 PM 1.1 On the importance of saturation effects in the turbulence scheme of a mesoscale model   David R. Stauffer, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and R. C. Muñoz and N. L. Seaman 1:15 PM 1.2 Recent improvements for surface and microphysical schemes in the MesoNH mesoscale model   Patrick Jabouille, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Pinty, V. Masson, and F. Solmon 1:30 PM 1.3 Preliminary Results from IMPROVE: A Field Study to Verify and Improve Bulk Microphysical Parameterizations in Mesoscale Models   Mark T. Stoelinga, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. V. Hobbs, J. D. Locatelli, and C. F. Mass 1:45 PM 1.4 Weather Research and Forecast model physics: Status, crucial issues and plans   John M. Brown, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. Black, S. H. Chen, J. Dudhia, S. Y. Hong, J. S. Kain, X. Z. Liang, M. Sinclair, W. K. Tao, and M. Xue 2:00 PM 1.5 Parameterized convection with ensemble closure/feedback assumptions   Georg A. Grell, NOAA/FSL and CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. Dévényi 1.6 Improving bulk microphysics parameterization using satellite observations   Giulia Panegrossi, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli 2:14 PM 1.6A Modeling the interaction between boundary layer and shallow clouds using a TKE and a shallow convection parameterization (formerly paper P1.5)   Ricardo C. Muñoz, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and N. L. Seaman, D. R. Stauffer, and A. Deng
	2:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday Coffee Break
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Improving physical parameterizations in mesoscale models—with Coffee Break
P1.1 Mesoscale cloud scheme assessment using satellite observations   Jean-Pierre Chaboureau, Laboratoire d'Aerologie, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Pinty, J. P. Cammas, P. J. Mascart, and J. P. Lafore   P1.2 Evaluation of a Turbulent Mixing Length Parameterization Applied to the Case of an Approaching Upper-Tropospheric Trough   Douglas K. Miller, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. L. Walters and A. Slavin P1.3 Performance of the updated explicit microphysics in the 20km RUC   John M. Brown, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Grell, T. G. Smirnova, S. G. Benjamin, R. M. Rasmussen, and G. Thompson   P1.4 On the development of a comprehensive land surface model   Vince C. Wong, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and F. Y. Kong   P1.5 Paper has been moved to Session 1, new paper number 1.6A   P1.6 Model sensitivity to wildfire-induced changes in soil albedo, vegetation cover, and soil moisture   Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and W. R. Cotton   P1.7 Response of Convection to Dry Layers: Simulation and Parameterization Tests   James A. Ridout, NRL, Monterey, CA   P1.8 Paper has been moved to session 3, new paper number 3.7     P1.9 Storm Initialization of Hurricane Bonnie Using SSM/I Brightness Temperatures: Preliminary Results   C. Amerault, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and K. Park, X. Zou, G. -. S. Liu, and J. Hawkins   P1.10 Spring 2001 changes to NCEP Eta analysis and forecast system: NOAH land-surface model   Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and UCAR Visiting Scientist, Suitland, MD; and K. E. Mitchell, E. Rogers, V. I. Koren, J. C. Schaake, D. Tarpley, D. Lohmann, P. Grunmann, Q. Duan, and C. Peters-Lidard P1.11 Mesoscale numerical simulations of the 7 June 1997 severe weather outbreak in southern New Mexico and far west Texas   Robert E. Dumais Jr., U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and J. E. Passner   P1.12 Application of the PSU shallow-convection parameterization scheme in 3-D environments   Aijun Deng, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and N. L. Seaman, D. R. Stauffer, and R. C. Muñoz   P1.13 A Comparison of Bulk Aerodynamic Methods for Calculating Air-sea Fluxes   Qing Wang, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. P. Eleuterio   P1.14 Evaluating convective momentum fluxes using remotely sensed data   John R. Mecikalski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI   P1.15 Low-level jet dynamics and parameterization of surface fluxes in the stable boundary layer   Robert M. Banta, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Newsom and J. K. Lundquist   P1.16 Effects of convectively generated gravity wave drag on a numerically predicted heavy rainfall event occurred near the Jiri mountain, Korea   Hye-Yeong Chun, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, Korea; and S. H. Sohn   P1.17 Paper has been moved to oral session 2, number 2.5A     P1.17a Parameterizing boundary layer clouds using PDF methods (Formerly paper 2.5)   Vincent E. Larson, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and J. C. Golaz and W. R. Cotton   P1.18 A Photosynthesis-based Gas-Exchange Evapotranspiration Model (GEM) coupled with a Land Surface Scheme for Mesoscale Applications   Dev dutta S. Niyogi, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and K. Alapaty and S. Raman   P1.19 Towards development of a new Level 2.5 turbulence parameterization for predicting non-equilibrium ABL-driven mesoscale flows   Frank R. Freedman, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and M. Z. Jacobson   P1.20 Impacts of parameterized convection on the numerical simulation of heavy rain over East Asia   Young-Youn Park, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and T. Y. Lee   P1.21 Implementation of an Urban Canopy Parameterization in MM5 for Meso-Gamma-Scale Air Quality Modeling Applications   Tanya L. Otte, NOAA/ARL and U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC; and A. Lacser   P1.22 Boundary Layer Turbulence and Surface Flux Parameterizations in a Mesoscale Model—verification with Aircraft Measurements   Qing Wang, NPS, Monterey, CA; and K. Rados, J. Kalogiros, H. Zuo, S. Wang, C. Friehe, D. Khelif, and H. Jonsson   P1.23 Grid resolution and surface flux and boundary layer parameterizations in high-resolution mesoscale models (formerly paper 3.1)   Michelle Whisenhant, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Q. Wang, S. Wang, and J. D. Doyle
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday Joint Poster Session 1 Poster Session - Mesoscale Models—with Coffee Break (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
Organizer: Ed Bensman, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE
JP1.1 On the concept of relative buoyancy   Charles A. Doswell III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. M. Markowski   JP1.2 Foretell: An operational forecasting system designed for the surface transportation community   John S. Snook, Colorado Research Associates, Boulder, CO   JP1.3 Regional scale modeling for the 2002 Olympic Winter Games   Daryl J. Onton, CIRP, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and A. J. Siffert, L. Cheng, W. J. Steenburgh, and B. Haymore   JP1.4 Commercial Application of the Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS)   Richard L. Carpenter Jr., Weather Decision Technologies, Inc., Norman, OK; and G. M. Bassett   JP1.5 Development of A coupled air-lake mesoscale model for operational marine forecasting in the Great Lakes region   Peter J. Sousounis, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and G. E. Mann, D. J. Schwab, and R. B. Wagenmaker   JP1.6 An objective evaluation and regime classification of RAMS forecast errors during the 2000 Florida warm season   Jonathan L. Case, NASA Kennedy Space Center/Applied Meteorology Unit/ENSCO Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and J. Manobianco, A. V. Dianic, D. E. Harms, and P. N. Rosati   JP1.7 Comparison Between the Performance of Eta and Sigma Modes in the NCEP Meso Eta Model   Hui-Ya Chuang, General Sciences Corp., Camp Springs, MD; and G. J. DiMego and T. Black   JP1.8 Event-based verification of mesoscale model wind forecasts using SSM/I   Jason E. Nachamkin, NRL, Monterey, CA   JP1.9 A quantitative comparison of MM5 cloud forecasts and GOES cloud analyses   Michael A. Kelly, Litton-TASC, Chantilly, VA; and R. J. Alliss, M. E. Loftus, and J. C. Lefever   JP1.10 Mesoscale numerical modeling: comparative analysis of convective initiation between dissimilar mesoscale numerical models   Patrick T. Welsh, NOAA/NWS, Jacksonville, FL; and W. Shulz and A. J. Reiss   JP1.11 High-resolution simulations of Hurricane Floyd using MM5 with vortex-following mesh refinement   Joseph E. Tenerelli, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen   JP1.12 Uses Of High-resolution Mesoscale Modeling To Support Army Research and Development, Testing, and Evaluation   Scott Swerdlin, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, T. Warner, and J. F. Bowers   JP1.13 Extratropical Transitions: Forecasted vs. Observed Evolution   Eyad H. Atallah, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart   JP1.14 A numerical simulation of a rare lake-effect snowfall in Western Nevada   Mary M. Cairns, NOAA/NWS, Reno, NV; and J. Corey and D. R. Koracin   JP1.15 The construction of the numerical schemes in the Hermitian finite elements spaces   Ireneusz A. Winnicki, Military University of Technology, Warsaw, Poland   JP1.16 Ageostrophic Forcing in a height tendency equation: two case studies.   Anthony R. Lupo, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO
	4:00 PM-5:45 PM, Monday Session 2 Moist Processes
Organizer: Da-Lin Zhang, Univ. of Maryland, Baltimore, MD
4:00 PM 2.1 The theoretical foundation for models of moist convection   Peter R. Bannon, Penn State University, University Park, PA 4:15 PM 2.2 Utilizing the Eta model with two different convective parameterizations to predict convective initiation and evolution at the SPC   John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. E. Baldwin, P. R. Janish, and S. J. Weiss 4:30 PM 2.3 The handling of return moisture flow in the Eta model   Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC/GSC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. E. Mitchell and S. J. Weiss 4:45 PM 2.4 A comparison study of cumulus parameterization schemes for precipitating systems in the Taiwan area   Ming-Jen Yang, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Q. C. Tung 5:00 PM 2.5 Paper Has been moved to poster session P1, number P1.17A   5:01 PM 2.5a Development of a new parameterization for representing boundary layer clouds in mesoscale models (formerly paper P1.17)   Jean-Christophe Golaz, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and V. E. Larson and W. R. Cotton 5:15 PM Discussion
	8:00 PM, Monday Panel Discussion 1 Joint Panel and Group Discussion: How will the role of humans in mesoscale weather prediction change during the next few decades? (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes and the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction)
Panelists: Paul Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; Neil Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA; Kim Curry, NPMOC, San Diego, CA Moderator: William Burnett, Naval Meteorology & Oceanography Command, Stennis Space Center, MS
Tuesday, 31 July 2001
	8:00 AM-9:29 AM, Tuesday Joint Session 2 Mesoscale Data Assimilation (Parallel with Session 3) (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
Organizers: Cliff F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; William H. Burnett, Naval Meteorology & Oceanography Command, Stennis Space Center, MS
8:00 AM J2.0a Potential Applications of 4D-Var for Mesoscale Data Assimilation (invited presentation) (Formerly Paper J2.13)   Xiaolei Zou, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL 8:25 AM Discussion   8:30 AM J2.1 A Three-dimensional Variational Data Assimilation Scheme For a Storm Scale Model   Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. Brewster, F. H. Carr, and K. K. Droegemeier J2.2 Preliminary results with the nested version of NAVDAS data assimilation system for COAMPS   Keith D. Sashegyi, NRL, Monterey, CA; and E. H. Barker, R. Daley, N. L. Baker, and P. M. Pauley 8:44 AM J2.2A Assimilating Single-Doppler Radar Observations into Mesoscale Models (Formerly Mesoscale paper 4.4)   Qin Xu, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and W. Gu and J. Gong 8:59 AM J2.3 The 20-km version of the RUC   Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. A. Grell, S. S. Weygandt, T. L. Smith, T. G. Smirnova, B. E. Schwartz, D. Kim, D. Devenyi, K. J. Brundage, J. M. Brown, and G. S. Manikin 9:14 AM Discussion
	8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday Session 3 Boundary layer processses (Parallel with session J2)
Organizer: James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA
8:00 AM 3.1 Paper has been moved to Poster Sesison 1, new paper number P1.23)   8:01 AM 3.2 Mesoscale variability in boundary layer development over the southern Great Plains   Ankur R. Desai, Pen State Univ., Universtiy Park, PA; and K. J. Davis, D. R. Stauffer, B. P. Reen, R. J. Dobosy, and S. Ismail 8:15 AM 3.3 Validation of boundary-layer parameterizations in a maritime storm using aircraft data   P. Ola G. Persson, CIRES and NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and B. Walter, J. W. Bao, and S. A. Michelson 8:30 AM 3.4 Improving Surface Flux Parameterization at Low Wind Speeds in the Navy COAMPS   Shouping Wang, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle and Q. Wang 8:45 AM 3.5 Mesoscale variability in coastal marine atmospheric boundary layers   Tracy Haack, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. D. Burk and R. M. Hodur 9:00 AM 3.6 Horizontal scale selection and the role of gravity waves in the convective boundary layer (formrerly paper 10.7)   Todd P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark 9:15 AM 3.7 The effect of boundary layer parameterizations on mesoscale model simulations (formerly paper P1.8)   Frank P. Colby Jr., Univ. of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA 9:30 AM Coffee Break
	10:00 AM-11:58 AM, Tuesday Joint Session 2 Mesoscale Data Assimilation: Continued (Parallel with session 5) (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
10:00 AM J2.4 Initial Verification Of The MM5 3DVAR Data Assimilation System   Dale M. Barker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Huang, Y. R. Guo, and F. C. Vandenberghe 10:15 AM J2.5 The WRF 3D-Var analysis system   W.-S. Wu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Xue, T. W. Schlatter, R. J. Purser, M. D. McAtee, J. Gao, D. Devenyi, J. C. Derber, D. M. Barker, S. G. Benjamin, and R. Aune 10:29 AM J2.6 Paper has been moved to Joint Poster Session JP2, Paper Number JP2.5A   10:30 AM J2.6a EXPLICIT INITIALIZATION OF CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION IN MESOSCALE FORECAST MODELS (Formerly Paper JP2.5)   Brent L. Shaw, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. A. McGinley and P. Schultz 10:45 AM J2.7 Spring 2001 changes to NCEP Eta analysis and forecast system: assimilation of observed precipitation data   Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. E. Baldwin, K. E. Mitchell, E. Rogers, and G. J. DiMego 11:00 AM J2.8 The four-dimensional variational data assimilation system for the JMA mesoscale model   Ko Koizumi, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan J2.9 An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center   John Hart, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and P. Bothwell and S. Benjamin 11:14 AM J2.9a Data assimilation & forecast tests of a new integration scheme for the Met Office Unified Model (Formerly WAF/NWP paper P2.15)   Andrew J. Malcolm, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and T. Davies, R. S. Bell, and A. M. Clayton 11:29 AM J2.10 3DVAR analysis in the Rapid Update Cycle   Dezso Devenyi, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and S. Weygandt 11:44 AM J2.11 An operational mesoscale RT-FDDA analysis and forecast system   Jennifer M. Cram, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, S. Low-Nam, R. S. Sheu, L. Carson, C. A. Davis, T. Warner, and J. F. Bowers J2.12 Adjusting Soil temperature and Moisture using Surface Observations: intial results from a single column model (Formerly Mesoscale Paper 4.3)   Kiran Alapaty, MCNC-Environmental Programs, Research Triangle Park, NC; and D. D. S. Niyogi and M. Alapaty
	10:00 AM-10:04 AM, Tuesday Session 4 Assimilating Mesoscale data (Please note all papers in this session have been moved. See below for new paper numbers)
10:00 AM 4.1 Paper has been moved to Session 11, new paper number 11.4A   10:01 AM 4.2 Paper moved to session 10, new paper number 10.3A   10:02 AM 4.3 Paper has been moved to Joint Session J2, new paper number J2.12   10:03 AM 4.4 Paper has been moved to Joint Session J2, new paper number J2.2A
	10:00 AM-11:15 AM, Tuesday Session 5 Numerics and model structure (Parallel with session J2)
Organizer: Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
10:00 AM 5.1 The Effects of Nonhydrostatic Dynamics in High Resolution Numerical Forecasts   Zavisa I. Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD 10:15 AM 5.2 The influence of numerical algorithms on explicitly simulated coherent cloud structures   Gregory J. Tripoli, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 10:30 AM 5.3 A semi-lagrangian dynamical core for the non-hydrostatic wrf model   R. James Purser, General Sciences Corporation, Beltville, MD; and T. Fujita, S. K. Kar, and J. G. Michalakes 10:45 AM 5.4 Application of the equivalent geopotential to the Penn/NCAR mesoscale model(MM5) for improving precipitation prediction over mountainous regions   Qiu-Shi Chen, Byrd Polar Research Center and Ohio State Univ., Columbus, OH; and L. Bai and D. H. Bromwich 11:00 AM 5.5 Forecast guidance from high resolution nests in the NCEP Meso Eta Model   Thomas J. Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Rogers and G. J. DiMego
	11:15 AM-1:00 PM, Tuesday Session 6 Mesoscale Coastal Circulations (Parallel with session J2)
Organizer: John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
11:15 AM 6.1 The Santa Cruz Eddy: observations and numerical simulations   Cristina L. Archer, Stanford University, Stanford, CA; and M. Z. Jacobson 11:30 AM 6.2 Numerical simulations of a landfalling cold front observed during COAST: Rapid evolution and responsible mechanisms   Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and B. F. Smull and M. J. Yang 11:45 AM 6.3 The impact of California's coastal mountains on the observed frontal evolution during a major land-falling winter storm   Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and P. O. G. Persson, F. M. Ralph, and D. P. Jorgensen 12:00 PM Lunch Break
	12:30 PM-1:00 PM, Tuesday Joint Weather Briefing by Miami NWS WFO
	1:00 PM-1:45 PM, Tuesday Session 6 Mesoscale Coastal Circulations: Continued
1:00 PM 6.4 Comparisons between lidar measurements and model simulations of the sea breeze at Monterey Bay   Lisa S. Darby, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Banta and R. A. Pielke 1:15 PM 6.5 The subtropical sea breeze   John W. Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 1:30 PM 6.6 Vertical pollutant transport by the sea-breeze front at Galveston Bay in opposing synoptic flow   Robert M. Banta, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and C. J. Senff, L. S. Darby, and R. J. Alvarez
	1:45 PM-2:30 PM, Tuesday Session 7 Orographic Systems
Organizer: Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State, Raleigh, NC
1:45 PM 7.1 Mesoscale precipitation structures during the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment   David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK 2:00 PM 7.2 The Dynamics of Mountain-Induced Rotors   James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and D. R. Durran 2:15 PM 7.3 The mesoscale meteorology of the Columbia River Gorge   Justin Sharp, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 2 Mesoscale Data Assimilation for numerical weather prediction and research applications—with Coffee Break
P2.1 Assimilation of multi-sensor Rainfall Observations for Improved Quantitative Prediction Forecasts   S. Q. Peng, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou   P2.2 Mesoscale numerical models and field observation platforms to evaluate airborne transport of hazardous substances in the boundary layer   Arthur L. Doggett IV, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and T. E. Gill, C. B. Chang, and R. E. Peterson   P2.3 Using improved background error covariances from an ensemble Kalman filter for targeted observations   Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/ERL/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder   P2.4 Mesoscale Stochastic—Dynamic Weather Prediction for the 2002 Olympic Winter Games   Andrew J. Siffert, NOAA/CIRP and Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. J. Onton and W. J. Steenburgh   P2.5 Numerical simulations of hurricane Bret (21-23 August 1999) observed by TRMM   Olivier Nuissier, CNRS, Toulouse, France; and F. Roux and N. Viltard   P2.6 Preliminary results of the GPS PW assimilation in to a limited-area model: A case study for IOP8 MAP/SOP   Claudia Faccani, Univ. of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy; and R. Ferretti, C. Scairretta, R. Pacione, F. Vespe, and G. Visconti   P2.7 Simulation of Hurricane Bret fluxes and impact of high resolution satellite-derived SSTs   Loren D. White, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and R. S. Reddy and R. Miller   P2.8 The impact of initial data and analysis methods on MM5 forecasts of convective systems   James F. Bresch, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. C. Vandenberghe   P2.9 Analysis of the mesoscale precipitation band associated with the 24-25 January 2000 storm   Daryl T. Kleist, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and H. M. Kim and M. C. Morgan P2.10 Ensemble Based Error Covariance Matrices for Mesoscale Variational Data Assimilation   M. S. F. V. De Pondeca, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou   P2.11 Assimilation of rain rates using satellite data by a regional spectral model   Ana Maria Bueno Nunes, Centro de Previsão do Tempo e Estudos Climáticos, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil   P2.12 Comparison of the SSM/I Satellite Observations with MM5 simulations   S.-H. Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. C. Vandenberghe, G. Petty, W. Huang, and J. F. Bresch   P2.13 Influence of surface heterogeneities on boundary layer dynamics and secondary coherent circulations   Adrian Marroquin, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and R. A. Pielke
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Tuesday Poster Session 3 The development of the mesoscale prediction models—with Coffee Break
P3.1 Operational fire weather support through the use of a mesoscale forecast model   Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWSFO, Grand Junction, CO; and E. M. Page, R. L. McAnelly, and W. R. Cotton   P3.2 The sensitivity of nesting strategy of the NCEP regional spectral model   Hann-Ming Henry Juang, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Y. Hong   P3.3 An upper boundary condition for nonhydrostatic models absorbing both gravity and acoustic waves   R. James Purser, General Sciences Corporation, Beltsville, MD; and S. K. Kar   P3.4 A Mesoscale Model for Global Medium-Range Weather Forecasting in Canada   Stéphane Bélair, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and J. Mailhot, A. Tremblay, A. M. Leduc, A. Méthot, M. Roch, and P. Vaillancourt   P3.5 Mesoscale model evaluation of a new integration scheme for the Met Office Unified Model   Andrew J. Malcolm, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and T. Davies, H. Lean, and P. Clark
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Tuesday Joint Poster Session 2 Poster Session - Mesoscale Data Assimilation—with Coffee Break (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
Organizer: Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
JP2.1 Impact of model error and precipitation observations in mesoscale 4DVAR data assimilation   Dusanka Zupanski, NOAA/NWS/NCEP and UCAR, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Zupanski, D. F. Parrish, G. J. DiMego, and E. Rogers   JP2.2 Cloud/hydrometeor initialization for the 20-km RUC using satellite and radar data   Dongsoo Kim, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin   JP2.3 A Real-time, Three-dimensional Cloud Analysis System at the Naval Research Laboratory   Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. Cook, K. Sashegyi, Q. Xu, and L. Wei   JP2.4 Expanding the Variational Methods in the LAPS Moisture Analysis   Daniel Birkenheuer, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO   JP2.5 Paper Number JP2.5 has been moved to Joint Session J2, Paper Number J2.6A     JP2.5a The use of three-dimensional analyses of cloud attributes for diabatic initialization of mesoscale models (Formerly Paper J2.6)   Paul Schultz, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. Albers   JP2.6 NIDS-Based Intermittent Diabatic Assimilation and Application to Storm-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction   Donghai Wang, Hampton Univ. and NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and K. K. Droegemeier, D. Jahn, K. -. M. Xu, M. Xue, and J. Zhang   JP2.7 On the Added Value of High-Resolution Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture Data in a Mesoscale Model   Brian P. Reen, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and D. R. Stauffer, K. J. Davis, A. R. Desai, and R. J. Dobosy   JP2.8 The introduction of a local objective analysis module in the numerical forecast system at the Brazilian national weather service   Ligia R. Bernardet, Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia, Brasilia, Brazil; and R. B. Silveira, J. P. Edwards, J. M. D. Mol, and A. F. M. Falcão   JP2.9 An operational Local Data Integration System (LDIS) at NWS Melbourne   Peter F. Blottman, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Spratt, D. W. Sharp, A. J. Cristaldi, J. L. Case, and J. Manobianco   JP2.10 Assimilation of GOES Land Surface Data into Mesoscale Models   William M. Lapenta, NASA/MSFC NSSTC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Suggs, R. T. McNider, G. Jedlovec, and S. R. Dembek   JP2.11 Application of the Bratseth Scheme for High Latitude Intermittent Data Assimilation Using the PSU/NCAR MM5 Mesoscale Model   Xingang Fan, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and J. S. Tilley   JP2.12 Revisiting the utility of Newtonian nudging for four dimensional data assimilation in high latitude mesoscale forecasts   Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and X. Fan   JP2.13 Use of a Snow Prediction Scheme in a Mesoscale Realtime FDDA System   Simon Low-Nam, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, J. M. Cram, Y. Liu, R. S. Sheu, and J. Dudhia   JP2.14 Impact of Continuous Real-Time FDDA on Short-Term (0-12 hour) Forecasts   Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Cram, C. A. Davis, T. Warner, S. Low-Nam, and R. S. Sheu   JP2.15 New sea-surface temperature analysis implemented at NCEP   Jean Thiebaux, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. Katz and W. Wang JP2.16 Operational evaluation of the new sea-surface temperature analysis implemented at NCEP   James L. Partain, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD   JP2.17 Refractivity Data Assimilation   Qin Xu, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. Nai, T. Rogers, T. Haack, and S. Burk   JP2.18 A MM5-based four-dimensional variational analysis system developed for distributed memory multiprocessor computers   Frank H. Ruggiero, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and G. D. Modica, T. Nehrkorn, M. Cerniglia, J. G. Michalakes, and X. Zou
	2:45 PM-3:15 PM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday Session 7 Orographic Systems: Continued
4:00 PM 7.3A Structure of wake north of the Alps: Study of PV banners during an episode of deep South Foehn   Vanda Grubišic, DRI, Reno, NV 4:15 PM 7.4 Microphysical timescales and orographic precipitation   Qingfang Jiang, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith 4:30 PM 7.5 Stratified flows past 3D ridges at intermediate Rossby number   Craig C Epifanio, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Muraki and R. Rotunno 4:45 PM 7.6 Essential Ingredients for heavy Orographic Rainfall and their Potential Application for Prediction   Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Chiao, J. A. Thurman, M. L. Kaplan, and T. -. A. Wang 5:00 PM 7.7 Orographic precipitation and airmass drying over the Alps: Preliminary results from MAP IOP2B   Ronald B. Smith, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and Q. Jiang, M. G. Fearon, J. D. Doyle, and R. Benoit 5:15 PM 7.8 Orographic precipitation processes associated with the Wasatch Mountains during IPEX IOP3   Justin A. W. Cox, NOAA/CIRP and Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh, D. E. Kingsmill, and B. A. Colle 5:30 PM Discussion
	8:00 PM, Tuesday Panel Discussion 2 Joint Panel and Group Discussion: Has Mesoscale modeling outpaced our undersatnding of basic physical processes? (Joint between the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes and the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction)
Panelists: Cliff Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; Kelvin Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; Jimy Dudhia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Richard Hodur, NRL, Monterey, CA Moderator: Charles Doswell, III, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Wednesday, 1 August 2001
	8:15 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8 Mesoscale Model Verification
Organizer: W. James Steenburgh, NOAA/Cooperative Institute for Regional Prediction and Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
8:15 AM 8.1 A Preliminary Study of Surface Temperature Cold Bias in COAMPS   Hung-Neng S. Chin, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and M. J. Leach, G. A. Sugiyama, and F. J. Aluzzi 8:30 AM 8.2 Does Increasing Horizontal Resolution Produce Better Forecasts? The Results of Two Years of Real-Time Numerical Weather Prediction in the Pacific Northwest   Cliff F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. Ovens, K. Westrick, and B. A. Colle 8:45 AM 8.3 Verification of mesoscale features in NWP models   Michael E. Baldwin, NOAA/NWS/SPC and NOAA/NSSL/CIMMS, Norman, OK; and S. Lakshmivarahan and J. S. Kain 9:00 AM 8.4 Evaluation of the Timing and Strength of MM5 and Eta Surface Trough Passages over the Eastern Pacific (formerly paper P4.11)   Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and C. F. Mass and D. Ovens 9:15 AM Discussion
	9:30 AM-1:44 PM, Wednesday Session 9 Mesoscale predictability and ensembles
Organizer: M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
9:30 AM 9.1 Short Term Mesoscale Ensembles over the Southwest United States during the Monsoon   David R. Bright, NOAA/NWSFO, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen and D. J. Stensrud 9:45 AM 9.2 Predictability studies with the NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF) system   M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du 10:00 AM Coffee Break   10:30 AM 9.3 Evaluation of a Mesoscale Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting System over the Pacific Northwest   Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass 10:45 AM 9.4 Sensitivity of the 3-4 May 1999 Tornadic Outbreak to Synoptic Scale Initial Conditions   Paul J. Roebber, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. M. Schultz and R. Romero 11:00 AM 9.5 Status report on the predictability of mesoscale gravity waves with numerical weather prediction models   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO 9.6 The influence of moist convection on the predictability of large scales   Fuqing Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder and R. Rotunno 11:14 AM 9.6a Tests of an ensemble Kalman filter at convective scales (formerly paper P6.1 in 18WAF/14NWP)   C. Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Sun, N. A. Crook, and F. Zhang 11:29 AM 9.7 Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Mid-latitude Cyclones   Mohan K. Ramamurthy, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. Cui 11:44 AM Discussion   11:59 AM Lunch Break (12:00–1:00 p.m.)   12:29 PM Joint Weather Briefing by Miami NWS WFO (12:30-1:00 p.m.)   12:59 PM Session 9: Continued   1:00 PM 9.8 A Comparison of Mesoscale Model Forecast Accuracy Using Random and a Simplified Targetting Approach   Wendell A. Nuss, NPS, Monterey, CA; and D. K. Miller 1:14 PM 9.9 Inferences of predictability associated with warm season precipitation episodes   R. E. Carbone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. D. Tuttle, D. A. Ahijevych, and S. B. Trier 1:29 PM 9.10 Forecast evaluation of a mixed-physics ensemble   Matthew S. Wandishin, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and S. L. Mullen, D. J. Stensrud, and H. E. Brooks
	1:45 PM-2:45 PM, Wednesday Session 10 Convective Systems
Organizer: Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:45 PM 10.1 Simple numerical simulations of convective lines with leading stratiform precipitation   Matthew D. Parker, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson 2:00 PM 10.2 On adequate resolution for the simulation of deep moist convection: theory and preliminary simulations   George H. Bryan, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. M. Fritsch 2:15 PM 10.3 The sensitivity of modeled supercell storm dynamics to several cloud microphysical parameters   Susan C. Van den Heever, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton 2:30 PM 10.3A Fine scale initialization and prediction of convective systems over French mountainous areas (formerly paper 4.2)   Didier Ricard, CNRM and Météo France, Toulouse, France; and V. Ducrocq and J. P. Lafore
	2:30 PM-3:00 PM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 4 Mesoscale Predictability and Ensembles—with Coffee Break
P4.1 Evaluation of RAMS surface wind forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay during the Coastal Marine Demonstration Project   Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Aikman III and J. G. W. Kelley   P4.2 Gauging mesoscale predictability of an unusual high latitude snow event via a multi-model intercomparison   Jeffrey S. Tilley, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and R. Thoman   P4.3 The behavior of low-level vorticity and circulation surges of a modeled supercell   Brian J. Gaudet, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton   P4.4 Eta model forecasts for the millennium snowstorm of 30-31 December 2000   Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs and SAIC/GSC, Beltsville, MD; and K. F. Brill   P4.5 Impact of soil moisture initialization on a simulated flash flood   C. Travis Ashby, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton   P4.6 Wind energy forecasts and ensemble uncertainty from the RUC   Kevin J. Brundage, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin and M. N. Schwartz   P4.7 Balanced initialization procedures and mesoscale predictability   Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang P4.8 Quantifying the impact of observations using ensembles   Brian J. Etherton, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop   P4.9 Implementation of a Real-Time Short Range Ensemble Forecasting System at NCEP: An Update   Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Tracton   P4.10 Evaluation of high resolution MM5 and Eta forecasts over the Northeast U.S   Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and J. S. Tongue and J. B. Olson   P4.11 Paper has been moved to session 8, new paper number 8.4     P4.12 Quantifying the predictability and uncertainty of models to improve aviation forecasts   Steven R. Silberberg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Kansas City, MO   P4.13 Dynamic selection from among an ensemble of lateral boundary conditions for limited-area models   Paul A. Nutter, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK   P4.14 Predictability of convection at 24-48h forecast range using a very-high resolution (6 km) NWP model   Michael A. Fowle, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber   P4.15 Numerical simulation of a right-moving storm over France   Katia Chancibault, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and V. Ducrocq and J. P. Lafore   P4.16 Variability in warm-season MCS rainfall predictability   Isidora Jankov, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus   P4.17 Inertial instability: Climatology and possible relationship to severe weather predictability   Russ S. Schumacher, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and D. M. Schultz   P4.18 The use of a 10km ensemble to improve warm season MCS rainfall prediction   William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and M. Segal and I. Jankov   P4.19 24-48h predictability of lake-enhanced snowbands in the 2-3 January 1999 Midwest blizzard   James E. Sieveking, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and P. J. Roebber P4.20 An Evaluation of Short Range Ensemble Forecasts (SREF) During the Intermountain Precipitation Experiment (IPEX)   James A. Nelson Jr., NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh   P4.21 An examination of the operational predictability of mesoscale terrain-induced features in eastern Colorado from several models   Edward J. Szoke, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. L. Shaw
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday Poster Session 5 New insights regarding mesoscale structure based on recent field experiments and new observing platforms—with Coffee Break
P5.1 Lake Michigan Surface Temperature Variations and Impacts on Convective Intensity   David A. R. Kristovich, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and M. R. Hjelmfelt, M. C. Peters, and M. S. Timlin P5.2 Tropopause fold and cyclogenesis: a case study from FASTEX   Jérôme Donnadille, Université Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Cammas, P. Mascart, D. Lambert, and R. L. Gall   P5.3 Vertical structure and characteristics of two leading stratiform mesoscale convective systems   Crystalyne R. Pettet, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson   P5.4 Precipitation efficiency of Midwestern mesoscale convective systems deduced from GOES soundings   Stacy N. Allen, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market and R. Scofield   P5.5 Profiler Observations of Boundary Layer Convergence Zones   Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walters   P5.6 Scale-discriminating vorticity budget for a mesoscale convective vortex   Jason C. Knievel, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson P5.7 Observational analyses of the fine-scale wind and moisture characteristics in MAP IOP-2B and IOP-8   Joseph J. Charney, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. -. L. Lin, C. M. Hill, and J. A. Thurman   P5.8 The death of a mid-level cloud   Vincent E. Larson, Univ. of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and R. P. Fleishauer, J. A. Kankiewicz, D. L. Reinke, and T. H. Vonder Haar   P5.9 Paper has been moved to session 13, new paper number 13.11     P5.10 Use of Lower Atmospheric Profilers and Automated Surface Measurements to Investigate Mesoscale Structure and Predictability   E. G. Astling, West Desert Test Center, Dugway, UT   P5.11 Topographic distortion of a cold front over the Snake River Plain and Central Idaho Mountains   W. James Steenburgh, NOAA/CIRP and Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and T. R. Blazek   P5.12 Kinematics of a mesoscale convective system and its mesoscale convective vortex   Jason C. Knievel, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson   P5.13 The value of realtime upper tropospheric inertial stability measurements on tropical convection forecasts   John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI   P5.14 The use of GPS integrated precipitable water measurements to supplement WSR-88D parameters in determining the potential for flash flood producing rainfall   Stephen J. Keighton, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA; and M. Gillen, G. V. Loganathan, S. Gorugantula, and T. Eisenberger   P5.15 Lee Waves over Complex Topography during MAP   James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. B. Smith and G. S. Poulos   P5.16 A case study of a severe Midwestern pulse thunderstorm event   Patrick S. Market, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. R. Lupo and R. W. Przybylinski   P5.17 Paper has been moved to session 13, new paper number 13.7A     P5.18 Comparison of 9-km wind forecasts versus 27-km wind forecasts during the Northern Gulf of Mexico Littoral Initiative   Gueorgui V. Mostovoi, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick and Y. Li   P5.19 Analysis of warm-season morning convection across the southern Great Plains   John A. Haynes, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. E. Hane, D. L. Andra, E. Berry, F. H. Carr, and R. M. Rabin   P5.20 AN OBSERVATIONAL STUDY ON ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS FOR FORMATION OF CLOSED CONVECTION CELLS   Yuichi Miura, Science University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan   P5.21 Paper has been moved to session 14, new paper number 14.5     P5.22 Mesoscale processes and impact of FASTEX cyclones through momentum, heat, and water budgets (IOPs 11, 12, 16, 17)   A. Protat, CETP, Velizy, France; and D. Bouniol and Y. Lemaître   P5.23 Observations of the Great Plains Dryline Utilizing Mobile Mesonet Data   Albert E. Pietrycha, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO and Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and E. N. Rasmussen   P5.24 Observations of the DCVZ Using Mobile Mesonets Data   Albert E. Pietrycha, NOAA/NSSL, Boulder, CO and Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and E. N. Rasmussen   P5.25 Numerical simulations of heavy rainfall during the Mesoscale Alpine Program (MAP)   James A. Thurman, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. -. L. Lin and J. J. Charney
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 10 Convection Systems: Continued
4:00 PM 10.4 The role of low-level vertical wind shear in promoting strong, long-lived squall lines   Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno 4:15 PM 10.5 Effects of ambient shear on lifting produced by cold pools   Richard Rotunno, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman 4:30 PM 10.6 Observations and numerical simulations of a long-lived convectively generated mesoscale vortex   Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis 4:59 PM 10.7 Paper has been moved to session 3, new paper number 3.6   5:00 PM 10.8 Favored regions of convective initiation in the Rocky Mountains   Donna F. Tucker, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and N. A. Crook 5:15 PM 10.9 Mesoscale convective systems over the United States during 1999–2000   Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and R. W. Arritt and L. Strehlow
	7:00 PM-10:45 PM, Wednesday Dinner Cruise
Thursday, 2 August 2001
	8:00 AM-9:14 AM, Thursday Session 11 Hurricane Dynamics and modeling
Organizer: Christipher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:00 AM 11.1A A Numerical Study of the Impact of Vertical Shear on the Distribution of Rainfall in Hurricane Bonnie (1998)   Robert Rogers, RSMAS/Cooperative Inst. for Marine and Atmospheric Studies/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, J. E. Tenerelli, and H. E. Willoughby 8:15 AM 11.1B Numerical simulations of the Genesis of Hurricane Diana (1984)   Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. G. Powers and L. F. Bosart 8:30 AM 11.2 Warm-core intensification through horizontal eddy heat transports into the eye   Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. T. Montgomery, J. Fulton, and D. S. Nolan 8:45 AM 11.3 Toward a Fully Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Hurricane Prediction Model   Shuyi S. Chen, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, J. E. Tenerelli, and M. Donelan 11.4 Numerical Simulation of the Genesis of Hurricane Danny   Ying-Hwa Kuo, NCAR, Boulder, CO 8:59 AM 11.4A The impact of TRMM data on mesoscale numerical simulations of Super Typhoon Paka (formerly paper 4.1)   Zhao-Xia Pu, University of Maryland Baltimore County and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao, Y. Jia, J. Simpson, S. A. Braun, J. Halverson, A. Hou, and W. Olson
	9:15 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday Session 12 Invited Presentation
Organizer: Cliff F. Mass, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
9:15 AM 12.1 The future of mesoscale observation systems and data assimilation   Frederick H. Carr, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-3:00 PM, Thursday Session 13 Mesoscale Dynamics
Organizer: F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO
10:30 AM 13.1 The role of latent heat release in the formation of a warm occluded thermal structure in an intense continental cyclone   Derek J. Posselt, Univ.of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin 10:45 AM 13.2 Dynamical overview of the two European storms of december 1999 using generalized potential vorticity inversion   P. Arbogast, Meteo-France and CNRM, Toulouse, France; and G. Hello and A. Joly 11:00 AM 13.3 Mesoscale dynamics and life cycle of the 24-26 January 2000 East-Coast snowstorm   Melvyn A. Shapiro, NCAR and NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang 11:15 AM 13.4 Aggregate effects of the Great Lakes on the intensity and propagation of fronts during the warm season   Peter J. Sousounis, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 11:30 AM 13.5 Incorporating TOMS Ozone Data into the Prediction of a Winter Snow Storm   Kun-Il Jang, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and X. Zou, Q. Zhao, A. Kruger, and M. A. Shapiro 11:45 AM 13.6 The role of evaporative Processes in gravity wave genesis   Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. K. Ramamurthy and R. M. Rauber 12:00 PM Lunch Break (12:00-1:00 p.m.)   12:30 PM Joint Weather Briefing by Miami NWS WFO (12:30-1:00 p.m.)   1:00 PM 13.7 Paper has been moved to Poster session 6, new paper number 6.22   1:01 PM 13.7A Factors Influencing Atmospheric Internal Bore Formation Resultiing from Colliding Boundaries (formerly paper P5.17)   David E. Kingsmill, DRI, Reno, NV 1:15 PM 13.8 Simulations of Winter Mesoscale Circulations Associated with an Axisymmetric Isolated Heat and Moisture Sources   Neil F. Laird, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and D. A. R. Kristovich and J. E. Walsh 1:30 PM 13.9 The mesoscale evolution of the early cyclogenesis of the March 1993 Storm of the Century   Karl D. Pfeiffer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. L. Kaplan, Y. L. Lin, A. J. Riordan, G. M. Lackmann, K. T. Waight, and D. B. Ensley 1:45 PM 13.10 Cloud-resolving numerical simulation of a polar low over Japan Sea   Wataru Yanase, Univ. of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Niino and K. Saito 2:00 PM 13.11 Regimes for a Conditionally Unstable Flow over an Idealised Three-Dimensional Mesoscale Mountain (formerly paper P5.9)   Shu-hua Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. L. Lin 2:15 PM Discussion   2:30 PM Coffee Break
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Thursday Poster Session 6 Mesoscale Circulations—with Coffee Break
P6.1 Mixing Processes and the Interaction among 3 Atmospheric Regimes in the Salt Lake City Basin   Gregory S. Poulos, Colorado Research Associates, Boulder, CO; and R. Hertenstein   P6.2 The Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System: development and case examination   Jordan G. Powers, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. H. Kuo, J. F. Bresch, D. H. Bromwich, J. J. Cassano, and A. Cayette   P6.3 The influence of electrification on microphysical and dynamical processes inside thunderstorms   Anping Sun, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, Korea; and H. Y. Chun   P6.4 Simulated gravity waves produced by MCS-like heating profiles: MCS geometry and its effects on the environment   Matthew D. Parker, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO   P6.5 Parallel implementation of compact numerical schemes   Tsukasa Fujita, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Purser   P6.6 The Role of Upper Tropospheric Inertial Stability in Hurricane Intensification   Eric D. Rappin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan   P6.7 The mesoscale environment and lightning distribution during the 1998 Florida Wildfires   Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL; and C. H. Paxton, S. L. Goodrick, D. W. Sharp, and P. F. Blottman   P6.8 Numerical Simulations of an Orographic Rainfall Event Associated with the Passage of a Tropical Storm over a Mesoscale Mountain   Sen Chiao, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin P6.9 Diagnosis of a rapid surface cyclolysis event in the Bering Sea   Nathan Marsili, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin   P6.10 A numerical study on characteristics of internal gravity waves in the stratosphere induced by mesoscale convective system   In-Sun Song, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, Korea; and H. Y. Chun   P6.11 A mixed layer model of the diurnal dryline   Patrick A. Jones, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and P. R. Bannon   P6.12 The role of mesoscale dry intrusion in the Washington, D.C. snowstorm of March 9, 1999   Richard P. James, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and J. H. E. Clark and R. H. Grumm   P6.13 Improvement of horizontal pressure gradient computation in a terrain following coordinate   Sang-Hun Park, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea; and T. Y. Lee, H. Y. Chun, and S. Y. Hong   P6.14 Evaluation of the MM5 and Workstation ETA Models near Tallahassee, Florida   Todd P. Lericos, NOAA/NWS, Tallahassee, FL; and T. J. Turnage, A. I. Watson, H. E. Fuelberg, and S. L. Goodrick   P6.15 Vortex-Lines and Airflow Structure near a Tornado-like Vortex in a Simulated Mini-Supercell   Akira Noda, Univ. of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and H. Niino   P6.16 Paper has been moved to session 14, new paper number 14.3A     P6.17 Sensitivity to Lower-Tropospheric Potential Vorticity Maxima to Model Physics   C. Michael Trexler, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann   P6.18 FINE-SCALE STRUCTURE AND DYNAMICS OF A HEAVY SNOWBAND   Robert M. Rauber, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and M. K. Ramamurthy, B. F. Jewett, and M. Han   P6.19 Radar characteristics of severe wind-producing convective systems over the Northern High Plains   Brian A. Klimowski, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD; and M. R. Hjelmfelt   P6.20 Numerical Study of a mesoscale convection system over the Taiwan Strait   Qinghong Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Lau, Y. H. Kuo, and S. J. Chen   P6.21 Sensitivity of orographic precipitation to changing ambient conditions: An idealized modeling perspective   Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY   P6.22 Mesoscale processes involved in FASTEX secondary cyclones (Formerly paper 13.7)   Dominique Bouniol, CNRS, Vélizy, France; and Y. Lemaître and A. Protat   P6.23 Mesoscale Environments which Characterize Severe Mid-upper Tropospheric Turbulence (formerly paper 14.4)   Michael L. Kaplan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. -. L. Lin, J. J. Charney, K. T. Waight, A. W. Huffman, J. D. Cetola, and K. M. Lux
	4:00 PM-5:14 PM, Thursday Session 14 Mesoscale Circulations
Organizer: Mark T. Stoelinga, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA
4:00 PM 14.1 Use of a Mesoscale Model to Forecast Tornadic Storms Associated with a Cold Front Aloft   Stan Rose, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. T. Stoelinga, J. D. Locatelli, and P. V. Hobbs 4:15 PM 14.2 The rapid growth and decay of a low-latitude extratropical cyclone in the central Pacific Ocean   Jonathan E. Martin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. A. Otkin 14.3 Numerical simulation of a dryline-outflow boundary intersection   Christopher C. Weiss, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein 4:29 PM 14.3A Some dyanmical aspects of the Mistral (formerly paper P6.16)   Qingfang Jiang, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and R. B. Smith and J. D. Doyle 4:43 PM 14.4 Paper has been moved to Poster Session 6, new paper number P6.23   4:44 PM 14.5 Comparison of in-situ and satellite observations of mesoscale moisture structure in an Eastern-Pacific polar frontal wave (formerly paper P5.21)   F. Martin Ralph, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Neiman, C. S. Velden, and W. A. Nuss 4:59 PM Discussion
	7:30 PM, Thursday Panel Discussion 3 Joint Panel and Group Discussion: How can we better estimate and communicate uncertainty in mesoscale forecasts? (Joint between the 18th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and the 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes)
Panelists: M. Steven Tracton, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; Richard Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA Moderator: John Gyakum, McGill Univ., Montreal, PQ Canada
	9:00 PM, Thursday Conference Ends

Browse the complete program of The 18th Conference on Weather and Forecasting, 14th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, and Ninth Conference on Mesoscale Processes