Program: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace (11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms)

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Sun 3 October

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Conference Registration

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Mon 4 October

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Conference Registration continues Through Friday October 7

Keynote Speaker

Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses

Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms; and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace )

Speaker: John Kern, Federal Aviation Administration

Keynote Speaker

Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses

Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )

Organizer: Gen D.L. Johnson, Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, NOAA/NWS

Keynote Speaker Session 1

Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses

Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )

Speaker: Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma

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Coffee Break

Session 1

Plans and Programs

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL; David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center

10:30 AM

1.1

Integrated national plan for aviation weather: Vision, goals, and strategies

Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and J. McCarthy

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

1.2

A Concept of Operations for an Integrated Weather Forecast Process to Support the National Airspace System

Kevin Johnston, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Ladd

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (259.1 kB)

11:00 AM

1.3

Meeting the FAA's Thunderstorm Forecasting Requirements–Centralized vs. Distributed Processing

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and J. W. Tauss

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (44.2 kB)

11:15 AM

1.4

Program management for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)

Danny L. Sims, FAA, Washington, DC; and D. Rodenhuis

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (66.3 kB)

11:30 AM

1.5

Risk management decision support for Traffic Flow Management

Stephen M. Zobell, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (225.3 kB)

11:45 AM

1.6

A response to hazardous weather: Integrate Weather Information into Traffic Flow Management

Debbie Johannes, Federal Aviation Administration, Herdon, VA; and D. Rodenhuis and M. W. Huberdeau

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (704.9 kB)

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Lunch Break

Session 2

Traffic Flow Management

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL

1:30 PM

2.1

International collaboration: Providing seamless, cross-border aviation weather products to facilitate traffic management

Luc Mercier, MSC, St.Laurent, QC, Canada; and D. Chretien, J. Lancaster, and D. Rodenhuis

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (329.5 kB)

2.2

The need for precise weather forecasts for air traffic management

Presentation PDF (310.7 kB)

2:00 PM

2.3

Quantifying Delay Reduction Benefits for Aviation Convective Weather Decision Support Systems

James E Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and S. Allan and M. Robinson

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

2:15 PM

2.4

Quantifying the impact of severe weather on NAS performance

Bryan Wood, CNA Corp., Herndon, VA

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

2.5

Weather impact on punctuality at Frankfurt Airport (Germany) - A statistical study

Thomas Hauf, University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and U. Spehr

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

2.6

Probabilistic Lightning Forecast Guidance for Aviation

Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (263.5 kB)

1

Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 1

Plans and Programs Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P1.1

The National Aviation Weather Program: An Update on Implementation

Handout (105.9 kB)

P1.2

Streamlining the FAA's Weather Architecture to meet Future NAS Needs

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and J. W. Tauss

Handout (619.9 kB)

P1.3

Roadmap for improved National Weather Service produced aviation weather products and services

Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and K. L. Johnston and M. Graf

P1.4

Restructuring Plans for the Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs) A Vision for Improved Weather Forecast Services

Dave Rodenhuis, FAA, Herndon, VA; and D. L. Sims

Handout (385.1 kB)

P1.5

Improving Convective Weather Operations in Highly Congested Airspace with the Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS)

James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and K. Carusone, M. M. Wolfson, M. Robinson, E. Ducot, and B. Crowe

Handout (1.8 MB)

Poster Session 2

Traffic Flow Management, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P2.1

Wind Prediction to Support Reduced Wake Vortex Separation Standars for Closely Spaced Parallel Runway Departures

Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and S. Winkler

Handout (564.6 kB)

P2.2

Reducing the impact of noise abatement practices on airport capacity by forecasting situational dependent aircraft noise propagation

R. Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Keller

Handout (188.7 kB)

P2.3

Evaluation of air traffic flow strategies based on extended range forecasts using simulation and modeling tools

Stephen C. Munchak, CNA Corp, Herndon, VA

P2.4

Adverse weather and air traffic delays

Dave Rodenhuis, FAA, Herndon, VA

Handout (79.7 kB)

Poster Session 3

Aviation Products, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P3.2

The Aviation Forecast Preparation System of the National Weather Service

Matthew R. Peroutka, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Graf, M. G. Oberfield, G. Trojan, and B. Li

P3.3

The Advanced Satellite Aviation-weather Products (ASAP) initiative at the University of Wisconsin – CIMSS

Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, J. J. Murray, D. B. Johnson, K. Bedka, S. Thomas, A. J. Wimmers, and C. C. Schmidt

Handout (922.5 kB)

P3.4

More intuitive graphics for Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)

Danny L. Sims, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. Wise, T. Yuditsky, S. McGettigan, and P. J. Smith

Handout (338.9 kB)

P3.5

Operational feedback reports to providers of Aviation's Collaborative Convective Forecast Product

Duane Torbert, FAA, Herndon, VA, VA; and D. Rodenhuis

Handout (83.6 kB)

P3.6

Development of a new en-route graphical weather forecast for aviation, the Graphical Area Forecast

Ronald J. Olson, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and S. Albersheim

P3.7

Continual Evolution of CCFP—User Needs for Extended Range Prediction

Thomas H. Fahey III, Atlanta, GA; and D. Rodenhuis

Handout (192.4 kB)

Session 3

Aviation Products

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Thomas H. Fahey III; Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC

4:30 PM

3.1

Tactical 0-2 Hour Convective Weather Forecasts for FAA

Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. E. Forman, K. T. Calden, R. A. Boldi, W. J. Dupree, R. J. Johnson, C. Wilson, P. E. Bieringer, E. B. Mann, and J. P. Morgan

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (2.7 MB)

4:45 PM

3.2

Advanced Terminal Weather Products Demonstration in New York

Shawn Allan, MIT, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura, B. Martin, D. A. Clark, and C. Gross

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (511.8 kB)

5:00 PM

3.3

Providing a tactical thunderstorm product to FAA air traffic managers

Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, G. Pratt, and T. Amis

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

3.5

Three-dimensional high-resolution national radar mosaic

Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Howard, W. Xia, C. Langston, S. Wang, and Y. Qin

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

5:30 PM

3.6

Describing and Demonstrating Next-Generation Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS)

Lynn Sherretz, NOAA - FSL, Boulder, CO; and G. Thompson

Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM

3.7

Aviation Weather Web Site (AWWS)

Marie-France Turcotte, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (356.1 kB)

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sessions end for the day

1

Tue 5 October

Session 4

Turbulence and Wind Shear

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Robert Sharman, NCAR; Robert Baron, Baron Services, Inc.

8:00 AM

4.1

Overview of the Juneau terrain-induced turbulence and windshear project

Robert Barron, NCAR, Boulder, Co; and V. Yates

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (317.9 kB)

8:15 AM

4.2

Weather patterns of Juneau Alaska and their relationship to aircraft hazards

Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid, C. Dierking, M. K. Politovich, and C. G. Wade

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (698.6 kB)

8:30 AM

4.3

An update on the FAA Aviation Weather Research Program’s in situ turbulence measurement and reporting system

Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris and M. Limber

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (913.6 kB)

8:45 AM

4.4

Calculating EDR from aircraft wind data during flight in and out of Juneau, AK: Techniques and challenges associated with non-straight and level flight patterns

Danika Gilbert, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman, R. K. Goodrich, A. R. Rodi, and R. G. Frehlich

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (464.2 kB)

9:00 AM

4.5

Remote detection of turbulence using ground-based Doppler radars

John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman, D. Gilbert, S. G. Carson, and J. Yee

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (624.2 kB)

9:15 AM

4.6

Comparison of Doppler LIDAR Observations of Severe Turbulence and Aircraft Data

S.T. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. W. Mok

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (985.5 kB)

9:30 AM

4.7

Generation of Turbulence and Wind Shear Alerts: Anatomy of a Warning System

Corinne S. Morse, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Carson, D. Albo, S. Mueller, S. Gerding, and R. K. Goodrich

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (260.7 kB)

9:45 AM

4.8

A Performance Evaluation of the Juneau wind hazard alert system

Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and M. J. Pocernich

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (346.7 kB)

10:00 AM

4.9

Coffee Break

10:30 AM

4.10

Turbulence and mountain wave conditions observed with an airborne 2-micron Doppler lidar

Edward H Teets Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; and C. Ashburn, R. K. Bogue, and L. J. Ehernberger

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

4.11

Analysis of turbulence generation by gravity waves within an upper-Tropospheric front

Steven E. Koch, NOAA /FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. Jamison, E. Tollerud, C. Girz, T. Smith, T. P. Lane, N. Wang, M. A. Shapiro, D. D. Parrish, and O. Cooper

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (657.8 kB)

11:00 AM

4.12

The operational prediction of mountain wave turbulence using a high resolution nonhydrostatic mesoscale model

Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Hall, T. Keller, and J. Wolff

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (375.3 kB)

11:15 AM

4.13

Estimates of upper level turbulence based on second order structure functions derived from numerical weather prediction model output

Rod G. Frehlich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (558.1 kB)

11:30 AM

4.14

Description and evaluation of the second generation Graphical Turbulence Guidance forecasting system

Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Wolff and G. Weiner

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (493.9 kB)

11:45 AM

4.15

The complexity of clear air turbulence and its measurement and modeling for aviation safety,turbulent transport, and propagation studies

Owen R. Coté, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and D. Wroblewski, J. Hacker, and R. J. Dobosy

Recorded Presentation

Session 1

Lunch Break

Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )

Joint Session 1

Joint Session with 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms and 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms; and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace )

1:30 PM

J1.1

Thunderstorm initiation and evolution during IHOP: implications for aviation thunderstorm nowcasting

James W. Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Roberts

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (441.0 kB)

1:45 PM

J1.2

Prediction of Fort Worth Tornadic Thunderstorms using 3DVAR and Cloud analysis with WSR-88D Level-II Data

Ming Hu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. Brewster, and J. Gao

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (2.8 MB)

2:00 PM

J1.3

Hail detection during the Joint POLarization Experiment (JPOLE)

Pamela L. Heinselman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (191.1 kB)

2:15 PM

J1.4

Forecasting Convective Initiation by Monitoring the Evolution of Moving Cumulus in Daytime GOES Imagery

Kristopher M. Bedka, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, S. J. Paech, T. Berendes, and U. S. Nair

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (753.3 kB)

2:30 PM

J1.5

A new approach for mesoscale surface analysis: the space-time mesocale analysis system

Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, N. Wang, J. A. McGinley, P. A. Miller, and S. Albers

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (2.4 MB)

2:45 PM

J1.6

A 13-km RUC AND BEYOND: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE PLANS

Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, K. Brundage, S. S. Weygandt, T. L. Smith, B. Schwartz, D. Dévényi, J. M. Brown, and G. A. Grell

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (425.4 kB)

1

Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 4

Turbulence and Wind Shear, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P4.1

A Climatology of predicted turbulence and shear near Juneau, Alaska

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. W. Wilson, R. K. Goodrich, S. A. Cohn, A. R. Weekley, C. S. Morse, and M. Pocernich

P4.2

Turbulence PIREPs in Juneau– An Analysis

Jamie T. Braid, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Fowler

Handout (163.8 kB)

P4.3

Aviation impacts of terrain-induced wind shear

F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and S. G. Carson

Handout (195.8 kB)

P4.4

Field programs to investigate hazards to aviation in Juneau, Alaska

Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Barron, A. Yates, A. R. Rodi, P. Neilley, A. Praskovsky, and L. Cornman

Handout (490.9 kB)

P4.5

An anemometer data quality control method designed for a turbulence and wind shear prediction algorithm

R. Andrew Weekley, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich, A. Praskovsky, and L. B. Cornman

Handout (126.2 kB)

P4.6

Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Cohn and A. Praskovsky

Handout (134.0 kB)

P4.7

Juneau airport wind hazard alert system display products

Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Morse, D. Garvey, R. Barron, D. Albo, and P. Prestopnik

Handout (120.0 kB)

P4.8

Use of a commercial wind sodar for measuring wake vortices

Stephen Mackey, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. C. Burnham and K. H. Underwood

P4.9

Measurement of eddy dissipation rate by a mini-sodar for aviation application: comparison with tower measurement

P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China

Handout (418.6 kB)

P4.10

Performance of eddy dissipation rate estimates from wind profilers in turbulence detection

P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and S. T. Chan

Handout (409.7 kB)

P4.11

Prototype automatic LIDAR-based wind shear detection algorithms

B.L. Choy, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong SAR, China; and O. S. M. Lee, C. M. Shun, and C. M. Cheng

Handout (718.8 kB)

P4.12

Performance of an airborne radar turbulence detection algorithm

Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, G. Meymaris, and B. Chorbajian

P4.13

Eddy Dissipation Rate Performance of the Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign

Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Schaffner, C. A. Grainger, R. T. Neece, T. S. Daniels, and J. J. Murray

P4.14

Climatological study of aircraft turbulence versus cloud cover based on 3 years worth of data

Jamie K. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman

Handout (470.0 kB)

P4.15

Atmospheric turbulence and energy spectra in mesoscale models

Zavisa I. Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

P4.16

Low Level Turbulence Algorithm Testing at-or-below 10,000 ft

Gordon R. Brooks, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and A. D. Oder

Handout (149.2 kB)

P4.17

An unbalanced flow/gravity wave trigger mechanism for clear air turbulence

Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

Handout (2.8 MB)

P4.18

Numerical simulations of the interaction between gravity waves and turbulence during ATReC

P4.19

Application of wavelet analysis techniques to the study of turbulence and gravity waves using aircraft data and mesoscale-model fields

Chungu Lu, NOAA/ FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. Koch and N. Wang

Handout (191.3 kB)

P4.20

Numerical simulations of a THORPEX clear-air-turbulence event

Hsiao-ming Hsu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, W. D. Hall, and J. J. Murray

P4.21

Pulsed Doppler Lidar for Terminal Area Monitoring of Wind and Wake Hazards

Stephen M. Hannon, Coherent Technologies Inc., Louisville, CO

Handout (493.8 kB)

Poster Session 5

Radar and Convection, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P5.1

Case Study of )-6h Experimental and Operational Forecasts

Jesse Sparks, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and C. K. Mueller and S. B. Trier

Handout (1.8 MB)

P5.2

Correcting and enhancing AP mitigation within ORPG composite reflectivity products for FAA systems

Christopher W. Porter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK

Handout (1.6 MB)

P5.3

Observations of winter storms with 2-D video disdrometer and polarimetric radar

Kyoko Ikeda, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. A. Brandes and G. Zhang

Handout (309.7 kB)

P5.4

WSR-88D reflectivity quality control using horizontal and vertical reflectivity structure

Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Wang and B. Clarke

Handout (2.7 MB)

P5.5

The use of the "Z_dr column" signature in short-term thunderstorm forecasts

Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. T. Schlatter, D. J. Miller, and C. A. Whittier

Handout (367.5 kB)

P5.6

The Use of Radial Velocity Derivatives to Diagnose Rotation and Divergence

Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore

Handout (527.6 kB)

P5.7

The use of NWP data in polarimetric hydrometeor classification

Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan

Handout (295.2 kB)

P5.8

Polarimetric Method for Bright Band Detection

Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov

Handout (492.5 kB)

P5.9

Large-scale trending of radar data

Nancy Rehak, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Megenhardt and C. K. Mueller

Handout (343.4 kB)

P5.10

Hail Detection with Polarimetric Radar

Edward A. Brandes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Ryzhkov V.

Handout (609.0 kB)

P5.11

Four-dimensional dynamic radar mosaic

Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang and K. Howard

Handout (2.0 MB)

P5.12

Development of a Thunderstorm Algorithm from Very High Resolution AFWA MM5 Data

Gordon Brooks, AWS, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. J. Noehrenberg and D. I. Knapp

Handout (707.7 kB)

P5.13

Detection of Birds and Insects Using Polarimetric Radar Observation

Pengfei Zhang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov and D. Zrnic

Handout (1.7 MB)

P5.14

Convective significant meteorological advisory (SIGMET) climatology

Jonathan W. Slemmer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and S. R. Silberberg

Handout (2.6 MB)

P5.15

Calibration of the Polarimetric NEXRAD Radar Using Meteorological Signals

Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov, V. Melnikov, and J. Krause

Handout (592.3 kB)

P5.16

An automated algorithm for radar beam occultation

Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang

Handout (2.1 MB)

Session 5

Radar and Convection

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT; Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma

5.0

Coffee Break and Poster Session

4:45 PM

5.1

Updates to the NCAR Auto-nowcaster for the 2004 convective weather season

Thomas R. Saxen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, J. Wilson, R. Roberts, E. Nelson, D. Ahijevych, and S. Trier

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (398.6 kB)

5:00 PM

5.2

NCWF-2 Probabilistic Forecasts

Daniel L. Megenhardt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, S. Trier, D. Ahijevych, and N. Rehak

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (2.7 MB)

5:15 PM

5.3

RUC model-based convective probability forecasts

Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

5:30 PM

5.4

Improved Range-Velocity Ambiguity Mitigation for the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar

John Y. N. Cho, MIT, Lexington, MA; and N. G. Parker and G. R. Elkin

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (195.5 kB)

5:45 PM

5.5

An automated 2-D multi-pass velocity dealiasing scheme

Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. wang

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (3.0 MB)

6:00 PM

5.6

The AWRP's Advanced Weather Radar Product Development Team

Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. J. Kessinger, T. L. Schneider, and D. J. Smalley

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (241.2 kB)

sessions end for the day

1

Wed 6 October

Session 6

Space Launch and Range Support

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc.; William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama

8:00 AM

6.1

Designing Weather Support For Future Ranges—Results From The Advanced Range Technology Working Group Weather Subgroup

William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. T. Madura

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (275.8 kB)

8:30 AM

6.2

AEROSPACE METEOROLOGY LESSONS LEARNED RELATIVE TO AEROSPACE VEHICLE DESIGN AND OPERATIONS

William W. Vaughan, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and B. J. Anderson

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (68.3 kB)

8:45 AM

6.3

The Applied Meteorology Unit—operational contributions to Spaceport Canaveral

William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. P. Roeder, R. Lafosse, D. W. Sharp, and F. J. Merceret

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (746.0 kB)

9:00 AM

6.4

Terrestrial Environment (Climatic) Criteria Handbook For Use In Aerospace Vehicle Development

Dale L. Johnson, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and W. W. Vaughan

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (658.4 kB)

9:15 AM

6.5

Effect of clouds on optical imaging of the Space Shuttle during the ascent phase: A statistical analysis based on a 3D model

David A. Short, National Institute of Information and Communications Technology, Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and R. E. Lane, Jr., K. A. Winters, and J. T. Madura

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (109.0 kB)

9:30 AM

6.6

Application of a coupled meteorological forecast and sound propagation model to forecast blast noise at the Aberdeen Test Center

Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu and C. A. Clough

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

6.7

Improvements in AMPS Relative Humidity Processing

Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA

Recorded Presentation

1

Coffee Break

Session 7

Sensors and Observing Systems

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizer: Barbara G. Brown, NCAR

10:30 AM

7.1

Aviation Weather Observations Using Uninhabited Aerial Vehicles

John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and S. M. Green, M. Andrews, M. A. Shapiro, J. McCarthy, M. M. Cairns, R. S. Eckman, and M. A. Avery

10:45 AM

7.2

A model-data fusion technique to retrieve three-dimensional cloud distribution

Michael A. Kelly, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Laurel, MD; and P. J. McEvaddy, F. D. Bieker, and C. R. W. Evans

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

7.3

A Characterization of Wind Flow in and around an Alter Shielded Snowgauge

Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Tryhane, R. M. Rasmussen, and J. Cole

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

11:15 AM

7.4

Operational use of total lightning information for weather and aviation at Dallas-Fort Worth Inc

Martin J. Murphy, Vaisala, Louisville, CO; and R. L. Holle and N. W. S. Demetriades

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

11:30 AM

7.5

FAA test methods for Runway Visual Range visibility and ambient light sensors

Michael McKinney, FAA William J. Hughes Technical Center, Atlantic City, NJ; and D. C. Burnham, T. A. Seliga, J. Goslin, and S. Burnley

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (225.4 kB)

11:45 AM

7.6

Tropospheric Airborne Meterological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor Development

Taumi Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and G. Tsoucalas, M. Anderson, D. J. Mulally, W. Moninger, and R. Mamrosh

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

1

Lunch Break

Session 8

Icing and Volcanic Ash

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR; Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS

1:30 PM

8.1

A new Ground Ceicing Hazard Associated with Freezing Drizzle Ingestion by Jet Engines during taxi

Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. G. Wade, R. K. Moore, A. Davis, and D. Fleming

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (199.8 kB)

1:45 PM

8.2

Diagnosing and forecasting inflight icing environments using ADWICE

Christoph Leifeld, German Weather Service, Business Unit Aviation, Offenbach, Germany

Presentation PDF (141.8 kB)

2:00 PM

8.3

An evaluation of the performance of the Current Icing Potential at high altitudes

Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Wolff, R. E. Bateman, and B. C. Bernstein

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

2:15 PM

8.4

Scales of aircraft icing: a comparison of icing PIREPs to liquid water measurements from research aircraft

Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (485.4 kB)

2:30 PM

8.5

Large versus small droplet icing

Donald McCann, NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (91.7 kB)

2:45 PM

8.6

DIAGNOSIS OF SUPERCOOLED LARGE DROP CONDITIONS USING CLOUD WATER CONTENT AND DROP CONCENTRATION

Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, C. A. Wolff, M. K. Politovich, R. M. Rasmussen, and S. G. Cober

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (243.0 kB)

3:00 PM

8.7

Coffee Break and Poster Session

4:30 PM

8.8

Detection of in-flight icing conditions through the analysis of hydrometeors with a vertically pointing radar

Jennifer Lilly, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and F. Fabry

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (759.9 kB)

4:45 PM

8.9

Evaluation of satellite and radar cloud retrieval methods during IMPROVE-2 icing events

Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and D. Serke

Presentation PDF (177.5 kB)

5:00 PM

8.10

Benchmarking In-Flight Icing Detection Products for Future Upgrades

M. K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Minnis, D. B. Johnson, C. A. Wolff, M. Chapman, P. W. Heck, and J. A. Haggerty

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (486.6 kB)

5:15 PM

8.11

Toward a three-dimensional near-real time cloud product for aviation safety and weather diagnoses

Patrick Minnis, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and L. Nguyen, R. Palikonda, D. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, and Y. H. Yi

5:30 PM

8.12

Volcanic ash coordination tool: progress and plans

Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, and G. Pratt

Recorded Presentation

5:45 PM

8.13

A first look at volcanic ash detection in the GOES-12 era

Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. J. Schreiner

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (722.6 kB)

1

Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 7

Space Launch and Range Support, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P7.1

Weather Support For The Cassini Mission To Saturn

Billie F. Boyd, U.S. Air Force/45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. W. Weems and W. P. Roeder

Handout (1.7 MB)

P7.2

Tropospheric wind monitoring during day-of-launch operations for National Aeronautics and Space Adminstration's Space Shuttle Program

Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Leach

Handout (1.1 MB)

P7.3

The Weather Safety Education Program at 45th Weather Squadron

William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. S. Jones, D. W. Oien, and J. T. Madura

Handout (1008.1 kB)

P7.4

Processing and display of atmospheric electricity data to support launch operations at the Eastern Range

Joseph S. Wakefield, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and P. A. McDonald, M. Schultz, X. Jing, and J. E. Ramer

Handout (124.7 kB)

P7.5

Extreme meteorological parameters during Space Shuttle pad exposure periods

B. G. Overbey, Raytheon, Huntsville, AL; and B. C. Roberts

Handout (260.5 kB)

P7.6

A Meso-Climatology Study of the High-Resolution Tower Network over the Florida Spaceport

Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. H. Bauman III

Handout (573.1 kB)

P7.7

A climatological study of cloud to ground lightning strikes in the vicinity of Kennedy Space Center, Florida

K. Lee Burns, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. K. Decker

Handout (700.3 kB)

Poster Session 6

Icing and Volcanic Ash, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P6.1

Two Perspectives on a Colorado Icing Event: GRIDS and CIP

Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Schneider and M. K. Politovich

Handout (674.5 kB)

P6.2

The NASA Icing Remote Sensing System

Andrew L. Reehorst, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and D. J. Brinker, T. P. Ratvasky, C. C. Ryerson, and G. G. Koenig

Handout (1.4 MB)

P6.3

The CIP inflight icing severity algorithm

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough and B. C. Bernstein

Handout (241.4 kB)

P6.4

Temperature effects on vibrating-wire precipitation gauge

Jeffrey A. Cole, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt and C. E. Duchon

P6.5

SIGMA : System of Icing Geographic identification in Meteorology for Aviation

Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France

Handout (311.0 kB)

P6.6

Radar/radiometer combination to retrieve cloud characteristics for icing detection

Guifu Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and M. K. Politovich

Handout (345.2 kB)

P6.7

On the use of 1-min ASOS data to predict the onset of snow

Steven Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and B. Clarke

P6.8

'ICECAP': A GOES image product depicting aircraft icing potential and maximum icing altitude

Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Bailey

Handout (525.7 kB)

P6.9

Freezing Drizzle Formation Over The Oregon Cascades during IMPROVE II

Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, G. Thompson, and I. Geresdi

Handout (165.5 kB)

P6.10

Comparison of satellite and aircraft measurements of cloud microphysical properties in icing conditions during ATReC/AIRS-II

Louis Nguyen, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and P. Minnis, D. A. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, R. Palikonda, M. M. Khaiyer, T. S. Daniels, I. Gultepe, and A. L. Reehorst

Handout (2.2 MB)

P6.11

Comparison of balloonsonde and remote sensing atmospheric measurements

David J. Brinker, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and A. L. Reehorst and J. Power

Handout (1.9 MB)

P6.12

Climatology of icing areas derived from ERA40 analysis

Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and P. Lassegues

Handout (946.8 kB)

P6.13

An overview of ground-based remote sensing during AIRS-2 and WISP-04, using the NOAA GRIDS system

Timothy L. Schneider, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and B. Bartram, C. Campbell, J. Gibson, D. Hazen, S. Matrosov, and R. F. Reinking

P6.14

Advances in the provision of warnings for volcanic ash for aviation in the Australian region

Rodney Potts, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. Manickam

Handout (935.2 kB)

P6.15

A case study of a Great Lakes supercooled large droplet icing cloud

Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein

Handout (480.2 kB)

Poster Session 8

Sensors and Observing Systems, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P8.1

Contrail coverage over the USA from NOAA and EOS Satellite Data

Rabindra Palikonda, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis and D. P. Duda

P8.2

Validation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Temperature, Relative Humidity, and Wind Sensors During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign and the Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II)

Taumi S. Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and J. J. Murray, C. A. Grainger, D. K. Zhou, M. A. Avery, M. F. Cagle, G. Tsoucalas, P. Schaffner, and R. T. Neece

Handout (1.3 MB)

P8.3

A review of Solar-Powered aircraft flight activity at the Pacific Missile Range Test Facility, Kauai, Hawaii

L. J. Ehernberger, NASA/Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA; and C. Donohue and E. H. Teets Jr.

Handout (1.2 MB)

P8.4

The Otis Weather Test Facility at Otis ANGB, Falmouth, MA: An aviation weather resource

Thomas A Seliga, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen

Handout (512.0 kB)

P8.5

The 2003 Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II) Evaluation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Icing Sensor

John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and C. A. Grainger, P. Minnis, L. Nguyen, C. A. Wolff, and P. Schaffner

P8.6

TAMDAR, the Rapid Update Cycle, and the Great Lakes Fleet Experiment

William R. Moninger, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. S. Daniels, R. Mamrosh, M. F. Barth, S. G. Benjamin, R. S. Collander, L. Ewy, B. D. Jamison, R. C. Lipschutz, P. A. Miller, B. E. Schwartz, T. L. Smith, and E. J. Szoke

Handout (334.1 kB)

P8.7

Satellite derived cloud products for use in aviation safety applications

Sarah M. Thomas, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, M. J. Pavolonis, A. J. Schreiner, and D. Santek

Handout (682.2 kB)

P8.8

Satellite Applications for Detection of Atmospheric Turbulence Related to Tropopause Folding

Anthony J. Wimmers, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. Schmidt, W. Feltz, and J. R. Mecikalski

P8.9

Relating satellite-based contrail detection to NWA output

David P. Duda, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and R. Palikonda and P. Minnis

Handout (385.6 kB)

P8.10

Radiation Measuring Radiosonde

Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA

P8.11

Low -altitude wind conditions on Helios flight days at Kauai, HI"

Casey Donohue, AS&M, Inc., Edwards, CA; and L. J. Ehernberger, E. H. Teets Jr., and R. Sharman

P8.12

Global lightning and severe storm monitoring from GPS orbit

David M. Suszcynsky, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and .. A. R. Jacobson, J. Linford, M. B. Pongratz, T. E. Light, and X. Shao

Handout (1.3 MB)

P8.13

Contrail studies and forecasts in the subarctic atmosphere above Fairbanks, Alaska

Martin Stuefer, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Wendler

Handout (324.6 kB)

P8.14

A CASE STUDY OF THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE RETRIEVAL USING A MICROWAVE RADIOMETER AT VERTICAL AND OFF-VERTICAL INCIDENCE

Scott D. Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Tardif and P. H. Herzegh

Handout (203.7 kB)

P8.15

A Method of Estimating Snow Accumulation on ASOS using 1-Minute Observations

Charles G. Wade, NCAR, Boulder, CO

P8.16

A comparison of two versions of the Aviation Digital Data Service pilot report decoder

Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and T. L. Fowler

Handout (330.7 kB)

sessions end for the day

Banquet - Hyline Dinner Cruise

1

Thur 7 October

Session 9

Modeling and Verification

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL; Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL

8:00 AM

9.1

Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle

Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (178.6 kB)

8:15 AM

9.2

The design and evaluation of a measure of forecast consistency for the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product

Michael P. Kay, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/SFL, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (329.9 kB)

8:30 AM

9.3

Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index

Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (354.6 kB)

8:45 AM

9.4

New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts

Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

9:00 AM

9.5

Hierarchy of microphysical parameterizations suitable for cloud and mesoscale forecast models

William D. Hall, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and G. Thompson

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.7 MB)

9:15 AM

9.6

Explicit model forecasts of supercooled water and application to icing case studies from research field campaigns

Gregory Thompson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. M. Rasmussen and I. Geresdi

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

9.7

Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance

Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (684.5 kB)

9:45 AM

9.8

Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2

Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, OAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (881.8 kB)

10:00 AM

9.9

Coffee Break

10:30 AM

9.10

Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights

T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger

Presentation PDF (243.2 kB)

10:45 AM

9.11

Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)

Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (96.4 kB)

11:00 AM

9.12

AUTOTREND – Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts

Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat

Presentation PDF (313.2 kB)

11:15 AM

9.13

Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC

Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (755.3 kB)

11:30 AM

9.14

An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes

Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (78.3 kB)

11:45 AM

9.15

An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project

Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (506.3 kB)

1

Coffee Break

1

Lunch Break

Session 10

Ceiling and Visibility

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC; Wes Wilson, NCAR

1:30 PM

10.1

Automated analysis and forecast Techniques for ceiling and visibility on the national scale

Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. M. Wiener, R. Bankert, R. Bateman, B. Chorbajian, and M. Tryhane

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (1.0 MB)

1:45 PM

10.2

An operational Marine Stratus forecast system for San Francisco Intrenational Airport

F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

10.3

Alaska ceiling and visibility (c&v) users needs assessment Alaska Pilot Study

Cynthia Grzywinski, Raytheon Technical Service Co., Atlantic City, NJ; and D. L. Sims

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (276.7 kB)

2:15 PM

10.4

Federal Aviation Administration requirements for Runway Visual Range (RVR) visibility and ambient light sensors

Stephen Burnley, FAA, Washington, DC; and M. McKinney, T. A. Seliga, D. C. Burnham, and J. Goslin

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (170.6 kB)

2:30 PM

10.5

First observations of fog and low ceiling environments at the FAA northeast ceiling and visibility field site

Robert Tardif, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. A. Cole, P. H. Herzegh, S. D. Landolt, R. M. Rasmussen, and M. L. Tryhane

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (918.3 kB)

2:45 PM

10.6

Short-term forecasting of airport surface visibility using radar and ASOS

Michael Dixon, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado; and R. M. Rasmussen and S. Landolt

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (196.2 kB)

1

Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 9

Modelling and Verification, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P9.1

The transition from the MM5 to the WRF Model in NCAR's Four-Dimensional Weather System (4DWX)

Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker

P9.2

Stratiform Precipitation Rates and Resulting Surface Visbility Forecasts using the MM5

Jeffrey E. Passner, U. S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

Handout (177.2 kB)

P9.3

Real-time analysis and short-term forecasting of snowbands using a mesoscale model

Mei Xu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. A. Crook, Y. Liu, and R. Rasmussen

Handout (94.7 kB)

P9.4

Short-term Aviation Climate Prediction Study and Some Preliminary Results around China

Hanjie Wang, Key Laboratory of Environment-climate Research in Temperate East Asia, Beijing, China; and L. Ying and J. Zhang

Handout (568.8 kB)

P9.5

Global Meteorology on Demand (GMOD): A real-time, global-relocatable, multiscale four-dimensional data assimilation and forecast system for regional and local weather applications

Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Warner, S. Swerdlin, L. Carson, C. Davis, M. Xu, F. C. Vandenberghe, A. Bourgeois, R. S. Sheu, and D. Rife

P9.6

Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product; Part II: Comparison with the NESDIS cloud-top pressure product

Sean Madine, NOAA/FSL, and CIRA/Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and A. Takacs, M. P. Kay, J. Mahoney, and B. G. Brown

P9.7

Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product: strategy of the verification methodology

Agnes Takacs, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, R. Hueftle, L. D. Holland, S. Madine, J. L. Mahoney, and M. Kay

Handout (297.0 kB)

P9.8

EMC modeling efforts to assist aviation forecasting

Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. S. Ferrier, Y. Lin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, and G. J. DiMego

Handout (417.9 kB)

Poster Session 10

Ceiling and Visibility, Poster Session

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

P10.1

Utilizing site-based data mining in national ceiling and visibility forecasting

Gerry Wiener, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, R. E. Bateman, and B. Chorbajian

Handout (34.1 kB)

P10.2

On the impact of vertical resolution in the numerical forecasting of fog

Robert Tardif, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Handout (329.1 kB)

P10.3

Homogeneity properties of runway visibility in fog at Chicago O’Hare International Airport (ORD)

Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen and S. Burnley

Handout (1.0 MB)

P10.4

Environmental conditions associated with dense fog at Peoria Illinois

Nancy Westcott, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Illinois State Water Survey, INRS, University of Illinois, Champaign, Illinois

Handout (205.9 kB)

P10.5

Digital Ceiling and Visibility Forecasts for Naval Operations in Southern California Coastal Waters

P10.6

Characterizing fog occurrences in the northeastern United States using historical data

Robert Tardif, CNRM, Toulouse, France

Handout (2.4 MB)

P10.7

An Improved Fuzzy Logic System For Automated Short Term Aviation Weather Forecasts

Tom Hicks, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL

P10.8

An analysis of Eta model forecast soundings in radiation fog forecasting

Steven A. Amburn, NWS, Tulsa, OK

Handout (656.0 kB)

Session 11

Aviation Accident and Incident Reviews

Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC; Wes Wilson, NCAR

4:30 PM

11.1

James T. Skeen Jr., National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and S. L. Reed

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (155.0 kB)

4:45 PM

11.2

A Statistical Review of Aviation Airframe Icing Accidents in the U.S

Kevin R. Petty, National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and C. D. J. Floyd

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (242.6 kB)

5:00 PM

11.3

Commercial Aviation Encounters with Severe Low Altitude Turbulence

Paul E. Bieringer, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. Martin, B. Collins, and J. Shaw

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (712.9 kB)

5:15 PM

11.4

Gravity wave turbulence generated by convection over the Bahamas on 17 January 1996

Lee E. Branscome, Climatological Consulting Corporation, Palm Beach Gardens, FL; and M. N. Campbell

Recorded Presentation

Presentation PDF (248.2 kB)

Conference Ends

11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

Sunday, 3 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Sunday, 3 October 2004

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 3 October 2004

Monday, 4 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

8:30 AM-8:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

Tuesday, 5 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

4:30 PM-6:15 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

Wednesday, 6 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

1:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

Thursday, 7 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

Sunday, 3 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Sunday, 3 October 2004

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 3 October 2004

Monday, 4 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

8:30 AM-8:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

Tuesday, 5 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

4:30 PM-6:15 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

Wednesday, 6 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004