11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Sunday, 3 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Sunday, 3 October 2004


1
Sun 3 October

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 3 October 2004


1
Conference Registration

Monday, 4 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
Mon 4 October

7:30 AM-7:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
Conference Registration continues Through Friday October 7

8:30 AM-8:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


Keynote Speaker
Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses
Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms; and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace )
Speaker: John Kern, Federal Aviation Administration

9:00 AM-9:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


Keynote Speaker
Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )
Organizer: Gen D.L. Johnson, Assistant Administrator for Weather Services, NOAA/NWS

9:30 AM-9:30 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


Keynote Speaker Session 1
Joint SLS and ARAM Keynote Addresses
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )
Speaker: Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 1
Plans and Programs
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL; David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center
10:30 AM
1.1
Integrated national plan for aviation weather: Vision, goals, and strategies
Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and J. McCarthy
11:00 AM
1.3
11:15 AM
1.4
11:30 AM
1.5
Risk management decision support for Traffic Flow Management
Stephen M. Zobell, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA
11:45 AM
1.6
A response to hazardous weather: Integrate Weather Information into Traffic Flow Management
Debbie Johannes, Federal Aviation Administration, Herdon, VA; and D. Rodenhuis and M. W. Huberdeau

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:45 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 2
Traffic Flow Management
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: David R. Rodenhuis, NOAA/NWS/Aviation Weather Center; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ERL/FSL
1:30 PM
2.1
2:00 PM
2.3
Quantifying Delay Reduction Benefits for Aviation Convective Weather Decision Support Systems
James E Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and S. Allan and M. Robinson
2:30 PM
2.5
Weather impact on punctuality at Frankfurt Airport (Germany) - A statistical study
Thomas Hauf, University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and U. Spehr
2:45 PM
2.6

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004


Poster Session 1
Plans and Programs Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P1.2
Streamlining the FAA's Weather Architecture to meet Future NAS Needs
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter and J. W. Tauss

Handout (619.9 kB)

P1.3
Roadmap for improved National Weather Service produced aviation weather products and services
Mark Andrews, National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD; and K. L. Johnston and M. Graf

P1.5
Improving Convective Weather Operations in Highly Congested Airspace with the Corridor Integrated Weather System (CIWS)
James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Lab., Lexington, MA; and K. Carusone, M. M. Wolfson, M. Robinson, E. Ducot, and B. Crowe

Handout (1.8 MB)


Poster Session 2
Traffic Flow Management, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P2.1
Wind Prediction to Support Reduced Wake Vortex Separation Standars for Closely Spaced Parallel Runway Departures
Rodney E. Cole, MIT, Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and S. Winkler

Handout (564.6 kB)

P2.4
Adverse weather and air traffic delays
Dave Rodenhuis, FAA, Herndon, VA

Handout (79.7 kB)


Poster Session 3
Aviation Products, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P3.2
The Aviation Forecast Preparation System of the National Weather Service
Matthew R. Peroutka, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology/Meteorological Development Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Graf, M. G. Oberfield, G. Trojan, and B. Li

P3.3
The Advanced Satellite Aviation-weather Products (ASAP) initiative at the University of Wisconsin – CIMSS
Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, J. J. Murray, D. B. Johnson, K. Bedka, S. Thomas, A. J. Wimmers, and C. C. Schmidt

Handout (922.5 kB)

P3.4
More intuitive graphics for Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP)
Danny L. Sims, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. Wise, T. Yuditsky, S. McGettigan, and P. J. Smith

Handout (338.9 kB)

P3.6
P3.7
Continual Evolution of CCFP—User Needs for Extended Range Prediction
Thomas H. Fahey III, Atlanta, GA; and D. Rodenhuis

Handout (192.4 kB)

4:30 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 3
Aviation Products
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Thomas H. Fahey III; Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC
4:30 PM
3.1
Tactical 0-2 Hour Convective Weather Forecasts for FAA
Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. E. Forman, K. T. Calden, R. A. Boldi, W. J. Dupree, R. J. Johnson, C. Wilson, P. E. Bieringer, E. B. Mann, and J. P. Morgan
4:45 PM
3.2
Advanced Terminal Weather Products Demonstration in New York
Shawn Allan, MIT, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura, B. Martin, D. A. Clark, and C. Gross
5:00 PM
3.3
Providing a tactical thunderstorm product to FAA air traffic managers
Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, G. Pratt, and T. Amis
5:15 PM
3.5
Three-dimensional high-resolution national radar mosaic
Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Howard, W. Xia, C. Langston, S. Wang, and Y. Qin
5:30 PM
3.6
5:45 PM
3.7
Aviation Weather Web Site (AWWS)
Marie-France Turcotte, Meteorological Service of Canada, Dorval, PQ, Canada

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 4 October 2004


1
sessions end for the day

Tuesday, 5 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004


1
Tue 5 October

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 4
Turbulence and Wind Shear
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Robert Sharman, NCAR; Robert Baron, Baron Services, Inc.
8:15 AM
4.2
Weather patterns of Juneau Alaska and their relationship to aircraft hazards
Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid, C. Dierking, M. K. Politovich, and C. G. Wade
9:00 AM
4.5
Remote detection of turbulence using ground-based Doppler radars
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman, D. Gilbert, S. G. Carson, and J. Yee
9:15 AM
4.6
Comparison of Doppler LIDAR Observations of Severe Turbulence and Aircraft Data
S.T. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and C. W. Mok
9:30 AM
4.7
Generation of Turbulence and Wind Shear Alerts: Anatomy of a Warning System
Corinne S. Morse, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Carson, D. Albo, S. Mueller, S. Gerding, and R. K. Goodrich
9:45 AM
4.8
A Performance Evaluation of the Juneau wind hazard alert system
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and M. J. Pocernich
10:00 AM
4.9
Coffee Break

10:30 AM
4.10
Turbulence and mountain wave conditions observed with an airborne 2-micron Doppler lidar
Edward H Teets Jr., NASA, Edwards, CA; and C. Ashburn, R. K. Bogue, and L. J. Ehernberger
10:45 AM
4.11
Analysis of turbulence generation by gravity waves within an upper-Tropospheric front
Steven E. Koch, NOAA /FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. Jamison, E. Tollerud, C. Girz, T. Smith, T. P. Lane, N. Wang, M. A. Shapiro, D. D. Parrish, and O. Cooper
11:00 AM
4.12
11:45 AM
4.15
The complexity of clear air turbulence and its measurement and modeling for aviation safety,turbulent transport, and propagation studies
Owen R. Coté, Air Force Research Laboratory, Hanscom AFB, MA; and D. Wroblewski, J. Hacker, and R. J. Dobosy

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004


Session 1
Lunch Break
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace; and the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms )

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

Recording files available
Joint Session 1
Joint Session with 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms and 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms; and the 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace )
1:45 PM
J1.2
2:00 PM
J1.3
Hail detection during the Joint POLarization Experiment (JPOLE)
Pamela L. Heinselman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov
2:15 PM
J1.4
Forecasting Convective Initiation by Monitoring the Evolution of Moving Cumulus in Daytime GOES Imagery
Kristopher M. Bedka, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. R. Mecikalski, S. J. Paech, T. Berendes, and U. S. Nair
2:30 PM
J1.5
A new approach for mesoscale surface analysis: the space-time mesocale analysis system
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, N. Wang, J. A. McGinley, P. A. Miller, and S. Albers
2:45 PM
J1.6
A 13-km RUC AND BEYOND: RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE PLANS
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, K. Brundage, S. S. Weygandt, T. L. Smith, B. Schwartz, D. Dévényi, J. M. Brown, and G. A. Grell

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004


1
Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004


Poster Session 4
Turbulence and Wind Shear, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P4.1
A Climatology of predicted turbulence and shear near Juneau, Alaska
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. W. Wilson, R. K. Goodrich, S. A. Cohn, A. R. Weekley, C. S. Morse, and M. Pocernich

P4.2
Turbulence PIREPs in Juneau– An Analysis
Jamie T. Braid, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Fowler

Handout (163.8 kB)

P4.3
Aviation impacts of terrain-induced wind shear
F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and S. G. Carson

Handout (195.8 kB)

P4.4
Field programs to investigate hazards to aviation in Juneau, Alaska
Stephen A. Cohn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Barron, A. Yates, A. R. Rodi, P. Neilley, A. Praskovsky, and L. Cornman

Handout (490.9 kB)

P4.5
An anemometer data quality control method designed for a turbulence and wind shear prediction algorithm
R. Andrew Weekley, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich, A. Praskovsky, and L. B. Cornman

Handout (126.2 kB)

P4.6
Aircraft-correlated turbulence measurements with the Doppler On Wheels
Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Cohn and A. Praskovsky

Handout (134.0 kB)

P4.7
Juneau airport wind hazard alert system display products
Steven Mueller, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. S. Morse, D. Garvey, R. Barron, D. Albo, and P. Prestopnik

Handout (120.0 kB)

P4.8
Use of a commercial wind sodar for measuring wake vortices
Stephen Mackey, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. C. Burnham and K. H. Underwood

P4.10
Performance of eddy dissipation rate estimates from wind profilers in turbulence detection
P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and S. T. Chan

Handout (409.7 kB)

P4.11
Prototype automatic LIDAR-based wind shear detection algorithms
B.L. Choy, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong SAR, China; and O. S. M. Lee, C. M. Shun, and C. M. Cheng

Handout (718.8 kB)

P4.12
Performance of an airborne radar turbulence detection algorithm
Larry Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, G. Meymaris, and B. Chorbajian

P4.13
Eddy Dissipation Rate Performance of the Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign
Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Schaffner, C. A. Grainger, R. T. Neece, T. S. Daniels, and J. J. Murray

P4.14
P4.15
Atmospheric turbulence and energy spectra in mesoscale models
Zavisa I. Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD

P4.16
Low Level Turbulence Algorithm Testing at-or-below 10,000 ft
Gordon R. Brooks, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and A. D. Oder

Handout (149.2 kB)

P4.17
An unbalanced flow/gravity wave trigger mechanism for clear air turbulence
Donald W. McCann, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

Handout (2.8 MB)

P4.20
Numerical simulations of a THORPEX clear-air-turbulence event
Hsiao-ming Hsu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, W. D. Hall, and J. J. Murray

P4.21
Pulsed Doppler Lidar for Terminal Area Monitoring of Wind and Wake Hazards
Stephen M. Hannon, Coherent Technologies Inc., Louisville, CO

Handout (493.8 kB)


Poster Session 5
Radar and Convection, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P5.1
Case Study of )-6h Experimental and Operational Forecasts
Jesse Sparks, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO; and C. K. Mueller and S. B. Trier

Handout (1.8 MB)

P5.2
P5.3
Observations of winter storms with 2-D video disdrometer and polarimetric radar
Kyoko Ikeda, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. A. Brandes and G. Zhang

Handout (309.7 kB)

P5.4
WSR-88D reflectivity quality control using horizontal and vertical reflectivity structure
Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Wang and B. Clarke

Handout (2.7 MB)

P5.5
The use of the "Zdr column" signature in short-term thunderstorm forecasts
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. T. Schlatter, D. J. Miller, and C. A. Whittier

Handout (367.5 kB)

P5.6
The Use of Radial Velocity Derivatives to Diagnose Rotation and Divergence
Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore

Handout (527.6 kB)

P5.7
The use of NWP data in polarimetric hydrometeor classification
Kevin A. Scharfenberg, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan

Handout (295.2 kB)

P5.8
Polarimetric Method for Bright Band Detection
Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov

Handout (492.5 kB)

P5.9
Large-scale trending of radar data
Nancy Rehak, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Megenhardt and C. K. Mueller

Handout (343.4 kB)

P5.10
Hail Detection with Polarimetric Radar
Edward A. Brandes, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Ryzhkov V.

Handout (609.0 kB)

P5.11
Four-dimensional dynamic radar mosaic
Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang and K. Howard

Handout (2.0 MB)

P5.12
Development of a Thunderstorm Algorithm from Very High Resolution AFWA MM5 Data
Gordon Brooks, AWS, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. J. Noehrenberg and D. I. Knapp

Handout (707.7 kB)

P5.13
Detection of Birds and Insects Using Polarimetric Radar Observation
Pengfei Zhang, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov and D. Zrnic

Handout (1.7 MB)

P5.14
Convective significant meteorological advisory (SIGMET) climatology
Jonathan W. Slemmer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO; and S. R. Silberberg

Handout (2.6 MB)

P5.15
Calibration of the Polarimetric NEXRAD Radar Using Meteorological Signals
Scott Giangrande, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov, V. Melnikov, and J. Krause

Handout (592.3 kB)

P5.16
An automated algorithm for radar beam occultation
Carrie Langston, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Zhang

Handout (2.1 MB)

4:30 PM-6:15 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 5
Radar and Convection
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT; Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma
4:45 PM
5.1
Updates to the NCAR Auto-nowcaster for the 2004 convective weather season
Thomas R. Saxen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, J. Wilson, R. Roberts, E. Nelson, D. Ahijevych, and S. Trier
5:00 PM
5.2
NCWF-2 Probabilistic Forecasts
Daniel L. Megenhardt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Mueller, S. Trier, D. Ahijevych, and N. Rehak
5:15 PM
5.3
RUC model-based convective probability forecasts
Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin
5:30 PM
5.4
Improved Range-Velocity Ambiguity Mitigation for the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar
John Y. N. Cho, MIT, Lexington, MA; and N. G. Parker and G. R. Elkin
5:45 PM
5.5
An automated 2-D multi-pass velocity dealiasing scheme
Jian Zhang, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. wang
6:00 PM
5.6
The AWRP's Advanced Weather Radar Product Development Team
Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. J. Kessinger, T. L. Schneider, and D. J. Smalley

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 5 October 2004


sessions end for the day

Wednesday, 6 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


1
Wed 6 October

8:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 6
Space Launch and Range Support
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc.; William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama
8:30 AM
6.2
8:45 AM
6.3
The Applied Meteorology Unit—operational contributions to Spaceport Canaveral
William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. P. Roeder, R. Lafosse, D. W. Sharp, and F. J. Merceret
9:15 AM
6.5
Effect of clouds on optical imaging of the Space Shuttle during the ascent phase: A statistical analysis based on a 3D model
David A. Short, National Institute of Information and Communications Technology, Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and R. E. Lane, Jr., K. A. Winters, and J. T. Madura
9:45 AM
6.7
Improvements in AMPS Relative Humidity Processing
Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


1
Coffee Break

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 7
Sensors and Observing Systems
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizer: Barbara G. Brown, NCAR
10:30 AM
7.1
Aviation Weather Observations Using Uninhabited Aerial Vehicles
John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and S. M. Green, M. Andrews, M. A. Shapiro, J. McCarthy, M. M. Cairns, R. S. Eckman, and M. A. Avery

10:45 AM
7.2
A model-data fusion technique to retrieve three-dimensional cloud distribution
Michael A. Kelly, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Lab, Laurel, MD; and P. J. McEvaddy, F. D. Bieker, and C. R. W. Evans
11:00 AM
7.3
A Characterization of Wind Flow in and around an Alter Shielded Snowgauge
Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Tryhane, R. M. Rasmussen, and J. Cole
11:15 AM
7.4
Operational use of total lightning information for weather and aviation at Dallas-Fort Worth Inc
Martin J. Murphy, Vaisala, Louisville, CO; and R. L. Holle and N. W. S. Demetriades
11:30 AM
7.5
FAA test methods for Runway Visual Range visibility and ambient light sensors
Michael McKinney, FAA William J. Hughes Technical Center, Atlantic City, NJ; and D. C. Burnham, T. A. Seliga, J. Goslin, and S. Burnley
11:45 AM
7.6
Tropospheric Airborne Meterological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Sensor Development
Taumi Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and G. Tsoucalas, M. Anderson, D. J. Mulally, W. Moninger, and R. Mamrosh

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


1
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 8
Icing and Volcanic Ash
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR; Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS
1:30 PM
8.1
A new Ground Ceicing Hazard Associated with Freezing Drizzle Ingestion by Jet Engines during taxi
Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. G. Wade, R. K. Moore, A. Davis, and D. Fleming
1:45 PM
8.2
Diagnosing and forecasting inflight icing environments using ADWICE
Christoph Leifeld, German Weather Service, Business Unit Aviation, Offenbach, Germany
2:00 PM
8.3
An evaluation of the performance of the Current Icing Potential at high altitudes
Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Wolff, R. E. Bateman, and B. C. Bernstein
2:30 PM
8.5
Large versus small droplet icing
Donald McCann, NCEP/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO
2:45 PM
8.6
DIAGNOSIS OF SUPERCOOLED LARGE DROP CONDITIONS USING CLOUD WATER CONTENT AND DROP CONCENTRATION
Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough, C. A. Wolff, M. K. Politovich, R. M. Rasmussen, and S. G. Cober
3:00 PM
8.7
Coffee Break and Poster Session

4:45 PM
8.9
Evaluation of satellite and radar cloud retrieval methods during IMPROVE-2 icing events
Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and D. Serke
5:00 PM
8.10
Benchmarking In-Flight Icing Detection Products for Future Upgrades
M. K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Minnis, D. B. Johnson, C. A. Wolff, M. Chapman, P. W. Heck, and J. A. Haggerty
5:15 PM
8.11
Toward a three-dimensional near-real time cloud product for aviation safety and weather diagnoses
Patrick Minnis, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and L. Nguyen, R. Palikonda, D. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, and Y. H. Yi

5:30 PM
8.12
Volcanic ash coordination tool: progress and plans
Dennis M. Rodgers, NOAA Research - FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. S. Chun, J. T. Frimel, L. Gifford, and G. Pratt
5:45 PM
8.13
A first look at volcanic ash detection in the GOES-12 era
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. J. Schreiner

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


1
Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

Poster Session 7
Space Launch and Range Support, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P7.1
Weather Support For The Cassini Mission To Saturn
Billie F. Boyd, U.S. Air Force/45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. W. Weems and W. P. Roeder

Handout (1.7 MB)

P7.3
The Weather Safety Education Program at 45th Weather Squadron
William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and J. S. Jones, D. W. Oien, and J. T. Madura

Handout (1008.1 kB)

P7.4
Processing and display of atmospheric electricity data to support launch operations at the Eastern Range
Joseph S. Wakefield, NOAA/OAR/FSL, Boulder, CO; and P. A. McDonald, M. Schultz, X. Jing, and J. E. Ramer

Handout (124.7 kB)

P7.5
Extreme meteorological parameters during Space Shuttle pad exposure periods
B. G. Overbey, Raytheon, Huntsville, AL; and B. C. Roberts

Handout (260.5 kB)

P7.6
A Meso-Climatology Study of the High-Resolution Tower Network over the Florida Spaceport
Jonathan L. Case, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL; and W. H. Bauman III

Handout (573.1 kB)

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


Poster Session 6
Icing and Volcanic Ash, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P6.1
Two Perspectives on a Colorado Icing Event: GRIDS and CIP
Ben C. Bernstein, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Schneider and M. K. Politovich

Handout (674.5 kB)

P6.2
The NASA Icing Remote Sensing System
Andrew L. Reehorst, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and D. J. Brinker, T. P. Ratvasky, C. C. Ryerson, and G. G. Koenig

Handout (1.4 MB)

P6.3
The CIP inflight icing severity algorithm
Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough and B. C. Bernstein

Handout (241.4 kB)

P6.4
Temperature effects on vibrating-wire precipitation gauge
Jeffrey A. Cole, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt and C. E. Duchon

P6.5
SIGMA : System of Icing Geographic identification in Meteorology for Aviation
Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France

Handout (311.0 kB)

P6.6
Radar/radiometer combination to retrieve cloud characteristics for icing detection
Guifu Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Vivekanandan and M. K. Politovich

Handout (345.2 kB)

P6.7
On the use of 1-min ASOS data to predict the onset of snow
Steven Vasiloff, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and B. Clarke

P6.8
'ICECAP': A GOES image product depicting aircraft icing potential and maximum icing altitude
Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS/ORA, Camp Springs, MD; and A. Bailey

Handout (525.7 kB)

P6.9
Freezing Drizzle Formation Over The Oregon Cascades during IMPROVE II
Roy M. Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Ikeda, G. Thompson, and I. Geresdi

Handout (165.5 kB)

P6.10
Comparison of satellite and aircraft measurements of cloud microphysical properties in icing conditions during ATReC/AIRS-II
Louis Nguyen, NASA/LRC, Hampton, Va; and P. Minnis, D. A. Spangenberg, M. L. Nordeen, R. Palikonda, M. M. Khaiyer, T. S. Daniels, I. Gultepe, and A. L. Reehorst

Handout (2.2 MB)

P6.11
Comparison of balloonsonde and remote sensing atmospheric measurements
David J. Brinker, NASA Glenn Research Center, Cleveland, OH; and A. L. Reehorst and J. Power

Handout (1.9 MB)

P6.12
Climatology of icing areas derived from ERA40 analysis
Christine Le Bot, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and P. Lassegues

Handout (946.8 kB)

P6.13
An overview of ground-based remote sensing during AIRS-2 and WISP-04, using the NOAA GRIDS system
Timothy L. Schneider, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and B. Bartram, C. Campbell, J. Gibson, D. Hazen, S. Matrosov, and R. F. Reinking

P6.14
Advances in the provision of warnings for volcanic ash for aviation in the Australian region
Rodney Potts, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and M. Manickam

Handout (935.2 kB)

P6.15
A case study of a Great Lakes supercooled large droplet icing cloud
Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. C. Bernstein

Handout (480.2 kB)


Poster Session 8
Sensors and Observing Systems, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P8.1
Contrail coverage over the USA from NOAA and EOS Satellite Data
Rabindra Palikonda, AS&M, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis and D. P. Duda

P8.2
Validation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Temperature, Relative Humidity, and Wind Sensors During the 2003 Atlantic THORPEX Regional Campaign and the Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II)
Taumi S. Daniels, NASA, Hampton, VA; and J. J. Murray, C. A. Grainger, D. K. Zhou, M. A. Avery, M. F. Cagle, G. Tsoucalas, P. Schaffner, and R. T. Neece

Handout (1.3 MB)

P8.3
A review of Solar-Powered aircraft flight activity at the Pacific Missile Range Test Facility, Kauai, Hawaii
L. J. Ehernberger, NASA/Dryden Flight Research Center, Edwards, CA; and C. Donohue and E. H. Teets Jr.

Handout (1.2 MB)

P8.4
The Otis Weather Test Facility at Otis ANGB, Falmouth, MA: An aviation weather resource
Thomas A Seliga, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen

Handout (512.0 kB)

P8.5
The 2003 Alliance Icing Research Study (AIRS II) Evaluation of Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) Icing Sensor
John J. Murray, NASA/LARC, Hampton, VA; and C. A. Grainger, P. Minnis, L. Nguyen, C. A. Wolff, and P. Schaffner

P8.6
TAMDAR, the Rapid Update Cycle, and the Great Lakes Fleet Experiment
William R. Moninger, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and T. S. Daniels, R. Mamrosh, M. F. Barth, S. G. Benjamin, R. S. Collander, L. Ewy, B. D. Jamison, R. C. Lipschutz, P. A. Miller, B. E. Schwartz, T. L. Smith, and E. J. Szoke

Handout (334.1 kB)

P8.7
Satellite derived cloud products for use in aviation safety applications
Sarah M. Thomas, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. F. Feltz, M. J. Pavolonis, A. J. Schreiner, and D. Santek

Handout (682.2 kB)

P8.8
Satellite Applications for Detection of Atmospheric Turbulence Related to Tropopause Folding
Anthony J. Wimmers, CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. Schmidt, W. Feltz, and J. R. Mecikalski

P8.9
Relating satellite-based contrail detection to NWA output
David P. Duda, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and R. Palikonda and P. Minnis

Handout (385.6 kB)

P8.10
Radiation Measuring Radiosonde
Dr. Richard Scarlet, Sippican, Inc., Marion, MA

P8.11
Low -altitude wind conditions on Helios flight days at Kauai, HI"
Casey Donohue, AS&M, Inc., Edwards, CA; and L. J. Ehernberger, E. H. Teets Jr., and R. Sharman

P8.12
Global lightning and severe storm monitoring from GPS orbit
David M. Suszcynsky, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and .. A. R. Jacobson, J. Linford, M. B. Pongratz, T. E. Light, and X. Shao

Handout (1.3 MB)

P8.13
Contrail studies and forecasts in the subarctic atmosphere above Fairbanks, Alaska
Martin Stuefer, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and G. Wendler

Handout (324.6 kB)

P8.14
P8.16
A comparison of two versions of the Aviation Digital Data Service pilot report decoder
Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Braid and T. L. Fowler

Handout (330.7 kB)

6:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


sessions end for the day

7:30 PM-9:30 PM: Wednesday, 6 October 2004


Banquet - Hyline Dinner Cruise

Thursday, 7 October 2004

7:00 AM-7:00 AM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


1
Thur 7 October

8:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 9
Modeling and Verification
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL; Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL
8:00 AM
9.1
Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle
Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin
8:30 AM
9.3
Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney
8:45 AM
9.4
New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning
9:00 AM
9.5
9:30 AM
9.7
Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance
Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang
9:45 AM
9.8
Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, OAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown
10:00 AM
9.9
Coffee Break

10:30 AM
9.10
Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights
T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger
10:45 AM
9.11
Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)
Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi
11:00 AM
9.12
AUTOTREND – Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts
Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat
11:15 AM
9.13
Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage
11:30 AM
9.14
An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes
Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton
11:45 AM
9.15
An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du

10:00 AM-10:00 AM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


1
Coffee Break

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


1
Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 10
Ceiling and Visibility
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC; Wes Wilson, NCAR
1:30 PM
10.1
Automated analysis and forecast Techniques for ceiling and visibility on the national scale
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. M. Wiener, R. Bankert, R. Bateman, B. Chorbajian, and M. Tryhane
2:00 PM
10.3
Alaska ceiling and visibility (c&v) users needs assessment Alaska Pilot Study
Cynthia Grzywinski, Raytheon Technical Service Co., Atlantic City, NJ; and D. L. Sims
2:15 PM
10.4
Federal Aviation Administration requirements for Runway Visual Range (RVR) visibility and ambient light sensors
Stephen Burnley, FAA, Washington, DC; and M. McKinney, T. A. Seliga, D. C. Burnham, and J. Goslin
2:30 PM
10.5
First observations of fog and low ceiling environments at the FAA northeast ceiling and visibility field site
Robert Tardif, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. A. Cole, P. H. Herzegh, S. D. Landolt, R. M. Rasmussen, and M. L. Tryhane
2:45 PM
10.6
Short-term forecasting of airport surface visibility using radar and ASOS
Michael Dixon, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado; and R. M. Rasmussen and S. Landolt

3:00 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


1
Formal Poster viewing with Coffee Break

3:00 PM-4:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


Poster Session 9
Modelling and Verification, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P9.2
Stratiform Precipitation Rates and Resulting Surface Visbility Forecasts using the MM5
Jeffrey E. Passner, U. S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM

Handout (177.2 kB)

P9.3
Real-time analysis and short-term forecasting of snowbands using a mesoscale model
Mei Xu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. A. Crook, Y. Liu, and R. Rasmussen

Handout (94.7 kB)

P9.4
Short-term Aviation Climate Prediction Study and Some Preliminary Results around China
Hanjie Wang, Key Laboratory of Environment-climate Research in Temperate East Asia, Beijing, China; and L. Ying and J. Zhang

Handout (568.8 kB)

P9.5
Global Meteorology on Demand (GMOD): A real-time, global-relocatable, multiscale four-dimensional data assimilation and forecast system for regional and local weather applications
Yubao Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Warner, S. Swerdlin, L. Carson, C. Davis, M. Xu, F. C. Vandenberghe, A. Bourgeois, R. S. Sheu, and D. Rife

P9.6
Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product; Part II: Comparison with the NESDIS cloud-top pressure product
Sean Madine, NOAA/FSL, and CIRA/Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and A. Takacs, M. P. Kay, J. Mahoney, and B. G. Brown

P9.7
Evaluation of the oceanic cloud-top height diagnostic product: strategy of the verification methodology
Agnes Takacs, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, R. Hueftle, L. D. Holland, S. Madine, J. L. Mahoney, and M. Kay

Handout (297.0 kB)

P9.8
EMC modeling efforts to assist aviation forecasting
Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and B. S. Ferrier, Y. Lin, J. T. McQueen, J. Du, B. Zhou, and G. J. DiMego

Handout (417.9 kB)


Poster Session 10
Ceiling and Visibility, Poster Session
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
P10.1
Utilizing site-based data mining in national ceiling and visibility forecasting
Gerry Wiener, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, R. E. Bateman, and B. Chorbajian

Handout (34.1 kB)

P10.3
Homogeneity properties of runway visibility in fog at Chicago O’Hare International Airport (ORD)
Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and D. A. Hazen and S. Burnley

Handout (1.0 MB)

P10.4
Environmental conditions associated with dense fog at Peoria Illinois
Nancy Westcott, Midwestern Regional Climate Center, Illinois State Water Survey, INRS, University of Illinois, Champaign, Illinois

Handout (205.9 kB)

4:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004

Recording files available
Session 11
Aviation Accident and Incident Reviews
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Organizers: Wayne R. Sand, Aviation Weather Consultants, LLC; Wes Wilson, NCAR
4:30 PM
11.1
Weather-related aviation accident investigations at the National Transportation Safety Board
James T. Skeen Jr., National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and S. L. Reed
4:45 PM
11.2
A Statistical Review of Aviation Airframe Icing Accidents in the U.S
Kevin R. Petty, National Transportation Safety Board, Washington, DC; and C. D. J. Floyd
5:00 PM
11.3
Commercial Aviation Encounters with Severe Low Altitude Turbulence
Paul E. Bieringer, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. Martin, B. Collins, and J. Shaw
5:15 PM
11.4
Gravity wave turbulence generated by convection over the Bahamas on 17 January 1996
Lee E. Branscome, Climatological Consulting Corporation, Palm Beach Gardens, FL; and M. N. Campbell

5:30 PM-5:30 PM: Thursday, 7 October 2004


Conference Ends