15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice

Program Chairs: Heather Lazrus , NCAR ; Jennifer Henderson , CIRES ; Vanessa Marie Vincente , UCAR/COMET

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates paper is an Award Winner

Monday, 13 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Session 1
The Co-Production of Science and Stakeholder Engagement
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Stephanie Schollaert Uz, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; Kodi Berry, NOAA/NSSL
8:30 AM
1.1
Climate Knowledge Co-Production for the Agriculture Sector in Argentina from an Implicated Science Approach
Carolina Vera, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina; and V. Hernandez and F. Fossa Riglos

9:00 AM
1.3
Network Analysis of the NASA Earth Science Disasters Program
Lauren Cutler, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; LRC, Hampton, VA; and M. Zurek, D. Borges, J. J. Murray, D. S. Green, and S. N. McClain

9:15 AM
1.4
NASA’s Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite Applications Program: Advancing Co-Production of Earth Science Knowledge
Sabrina Delgado Arias, NASA-GSFC/Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Greenbelt, MD; and M. E. Brown, A. Steiker, S. Tanner, T. Neumann, and M. F. Jasinski

9:30 AM
1.5
Impacts of climate information on coffee farms in Jamaica
Malgosia Madajewicz, Columbia Univ., New York City, NY; and E. Johnson, Z. Guido, and J. Tomlinson

9:45 AM
Discussion

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 13 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Monday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Panel Discussion 1
Policy Leadership in Weather, Water, and Climate -Part I
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Paul A. T. Higgins, AMS; Michael Moloney, American Institute of Physics; Shali Mohleji, None
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

10:45 AM
PD1.1
Policy Leadership in Weather, Water, and Climate: Part 1
Paul Higgins, 1200 New York Ave NW, Suite 500, Washington, DC; and M. Moloney and S. Mohleji

11:00 AM
Panel Discussion


Joint Panel Discussion 2
Avoiding Day Zero: Governance of Urban Water Resources and Services
Location: 210AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum Sessions; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Fifth Symposium on US-International Partnerships; the 15th Symposium on the Urban Environment; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 30th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/26th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) )
Moderator: Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ.
Panelists: Maria Carmen Lemos, University of Michigan; Gillian Maree, Gauteng City-Region Observatory; Celeste Saulo, Servicio Meteorologico Nacional; Anji Seth, Univ. of Connecticut; Coleen Vogel, University of the Witwatersrand; Hallie Eakin, Arizona State University

Session 2
What our Publics and Experts Have to Say
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Cassandra A Shivers-Williams, Howard Univ.; Castle Williams, The University of Georgia
10:30 AM
2.1
Tornado Warning Behavior and Decision Making in National Weather Service Forecast Offices
Frank Alsheimer, NWSFO, West Columbia, SC; and T. johnstone, D. sharp, V. Brown, L. Myers, and D. Arnold

10:45 AM
2.2
Improving Hurricane Risk Communication for Vulnerable Populations
S. J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and B. Millet, K. Broad, A. Cairo, and S. Evans

11:00 AM
2.3
Hurricane Harvey- Societal Challenges for the Weather Enterprise
Jeffry S. Evans, NOAA/NWS/WFO Houston, TX, Dickinson, TX; and L. Wood

12:00 PM-2:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Lunch Break (Monday)

2:00 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Joint Session 7
The need for water driving the science of rain and snow: Past, present, and future (Centennial)
Location: 105 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the 12th Symposium on Aerosol - Cloud - Climate Interactions; and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Cochairs: Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR; Isla R. Simpson, NCAR
2:30 PM
J7.3
Weather modification research to enhance water supplies in the Western U.S (Invited Presentation)
Dave Matthews, CEO Hydrometdss, LLC, Silverthorne, CO; and D. Reynolds and G. E. Klazura

2:45 PM
Discussion/Q&A

2:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Session 3
Social Scientific Findings From 5 years of VORTEX Southeast: What Have We Learned?
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Jack R. Friedman, University of Oklahoma; Walker S. Ashley, University of Georgia
2:00 PM
Introductory Remarks

2:15 PM
3.1
2:30 PM
3.2
Perception and Vulnerability Factors for Tornado Sheltering Within Mobile and Manufactured Housing in Alabama and Mississippi, USA
Kevin D. Ash, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and M. Egnoto, S. M. Strader, W. S. Ashley, D. B. Roueche, K. E. Klockow-McClain, D. Caplen, and M. Dickerson

2:45 PM
3.3
Keeping calm in the chaos: An examination of forecaster sense-making and partner response to TORFFs during Hurricane Florence
Jennifer A. Spinney, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO; and J. Henderson, M. Bica, L. Palen, E. R. Nielsen, and J. Demuth

3:00 PM
3.4
"Hey @weather, I'm really getting tired of huddling my little girls in the closet": Using Twitter to Examine Risk Messages, Risk Perceptions, and Responses during Tornadoes
Dakota C. Smith, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Demuth, J. Vickery, J. Henderson, H. Lazrus, R. E. Morss, and K. D. Ash

3:15 PM
3.5
The Impact of Color-Coded Probabilistic Tornado Warnings on Risk Perceptions and Responses, Part I: Experiment
Susan Joslyn, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. Savelli, C. Qin, J. Demuth, R. Morss, and K. D. Ash

3:30 PM
3.6
The Impact of Color-Coded Probabilistic Tornado Warnings on Risk Perceptions and Responses, Part II: Interviews
Julie L. Demuth, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Morss, K. D. Ash, S. Savelli, S. Joslyn, and C. Qin

3:45 PM
Discussion


Session 4
The Future of Financial Weather and Climate Risk Management
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Stephen Bennett, Riskpulse; Heidi Centola, The Weather Company, An IBM Business; Robert Brammer, Brammer Technology, LLC
2:00 PM
4.1
Developing an Index for Measuring Supply Chain Vulnerability to Climate Change
Michael D. Gerst, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and L. Guntuka, M. Maddox, M. A. Kenney, and S. Boyson

2:15 PM
4.2
Measuring Global Economic Damages from Global Carbon Emissions though an Excel-based Integrated Assessment Model
Jill Freedman, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and T. Canty and R. Brammer

2:30 PM
4.3
Surveying Climate Hazards in Canada's National Capital Region - Impacts on Built and Planned Infrastructure in a Changing Climate
Norman James Shippee, Risk Sciences International, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and K. A. Pingree, S. Eng, H. Auld, N. Comer, R. Rempel, and A. Little

2:45 PM
4.4
Optimizing Global Supply Chains by Leveraging Risk Metrics: Case Studies
Stephen Bennett, Riskpulse, Austin, TX; and J. Davis, M. S. Russo, L. Gloeckler III, E. Adamchick, and K. S. griffin

3:00 PM
4.5
3:15 PM
4.6
Worldwide Consistent Climate-related Financial Risk Estimation for Companies and Equities
Terence Randall Thompson, The Climate Service, Asheville, NC

3:45 PM
Discussion

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Joint Panel Discussion 3
The need for water driving the science of rain and snow: Past, present, and future Panel (Centennial)
Location: 105 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 12th Symposium on Aerosol - Cloud - Climate Interactions )
Cochairs: Sarah A. Tessendorf, NCAR; Isla R. Simpson, NCAR
Panelist: Roy Rasmussen, NCAR

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Monday, 13 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Mon)

Poster Session 1
15Society Poster Session I
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Algorithm Development for Smart Home Software: The Home Utility Management System
Russell P. Manser, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

Understanding climate impacts on rice production in China’s Yangtze River Delta
You Wu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Dong

Synergizing NOAA’s Value Tree to OSE, OSSE, and FSOI Studies to Better Inform NOAA’s Observing System Investment Priorities.
Louis E. Cantrell Jr., Profitable Weather, LLC, Laurel, MD; and D. Helms, M. Yapur, and L. Cucurull

A Multicriteria Decision Analysis Approach to Inform Competitive Grant Proposal Selection using the NOAA Value Tree
Louis E. Cantrell Jr., Profitable Weather, LLC, Laurel, MD; and D. Helms, M. Yapur, and M. Vincent

Risk Management in the Global to Local and Now to Decadal Agendas
Gordon A. McBean, Western University, London, ON, Canada

Prioritizing Actions to Adapt America’s Infrastructure for Climate Change - Overview
Mari Tye, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Giovannettone, A. AghaKouchak, A. P. Barros, R. E. Beighley, W. J. Capehart, E. M. Douglas, N. Fehrenbacher, R. C. Fields, A. R. Ganguly, J. Huang, L. Kaatz, N. Lin, D. Llewellyn, B. Lord, K. MacClune, R. Olsen, A. Pinson, T. Shi, and F. Vahedifard

Prioritizing Actions to Adapt America’s Infrastructure for Climate Change - Hydrometeorolgy
Jason Giovannettone, Dewberry, Silver Spring, MD; and N. Lin, W. Capehart, A. AghaKouchak, and M. Tye

Tuesday, 14 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Session 5
Beyond the Specifics: Reflections and Insights on the Bigger Picture
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Chair: Donald J. Wuebbles, Univ. of Illinois
8:30 AM
5.1
We Hear User Requirements but are we Listening?
Michael C. Kruk, KBR, Inc., Asheville, NC; and R. R. Heim Jr. and R. S. Vose

8:45 AM
5.2
Calls to Action in Retrospect: Hurricane Michael Survivors Describe Best Practices and Lessons Learned
Laura Myers, Center for Advanced Public Safety. The Univ. of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and J. Senkbeil, T. johnstone, J. L. Fieux, J. Pullin, W. Dobbs, J. P. Camp, and L. Powell

9:00 AM
5.3
NWS Service Assessments: A Social, Behavioral, and Economic Science Review
Michael S. Michaud, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and J. Trainor

9:15 AM
5.4
Understanding Service Assessments as Enterprise learning tools:Reflections from the road well-traveled
Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania, California, PA

9:30 AM
5.5
Representing People in Severe Weather Warning Systems
Brenda Philips, Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA; and D. Westbrook, J. Trainor, E. Lyons, C. League, and A. Bajaj

9:45 AM
Discussion


Joint Panel Discussion 5
The Future of Extreme Weather Financial Risk Management -Part I
Location: 252B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; and the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Moderator: Robert Brammer, Brammer Technology, LLC
Panelists: Shumeane Benford, City of Boston; Adam B. Smith, NOAA/NCEI; Robert Muir-Wood, Risk Management Solutions; Sepideh Yalda, Millersville Univ.; F. Martin Ralph, SIO; Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, University of Maryland and National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC)
8:30 AM
Panel Discussion


Session 6
The Storm Inside: The Personal Side of Communicating Hazardous Weather information -Part I
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Richard Smith, NOAA/NWS; Christina Crowe, NOAA/NWS
8:30 AM
6.1
Boiling Point: NWS Employees & Mental Illness
Crystal Worley, NWS, Cheyenne, WY

8:45 AM
6.2
Implementing Physical Health Best Practices into High-Impact Weather Operations
Melissa J Lamkin, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and B. Mayes Boustead and J. G. Gibbs

9:00 AM
6.3
Post-event Deployment Activities for the Beauregard, AL Tornado
Christopher B. Darden, NOAA/NWS, Calera, AL

9:30 AM
Discussion

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Tuesday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Panel Discussion 2
Policy Leadership in Weather, Water, and Climate -Part II
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Paul A. T. Higgins, AMS; Shali Mohleji, None; Michael Henry, American Institute of Physics
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

10:45 AM
PD2.1
Policy Leadership in Weather, Water, and Climate: Part 2
Paul Higgins, 1200 New York Ave NW, Suite 500, Washington, DC; and M. Moloney and S. Mohleji

11:00 AM
Panel Discussion


Panel Discussion 3
The Storm Inside: The Personal Side of Communicating Hazardous Weather information -Part II
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Richard Smith, NOAA/NWS; Christina Crowe, NOAA/NWS
Introductory Remarks

10:30 AM
PD3.1
10:45 AM
Panel Discussion


Joint Panel Discussion 4
Bridging the gulf between meteorologists and humanitarian operations
Location: 210AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum Sessions; and the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Moderators: Helen Greatrex, The Pennsylvania State University; Andrew Kruczkiewicz, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre; Shanna N. McClain, NASA

Joint Session 5
Health economic impacts of extreme weather events and ecosystem change
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Environment and Health; and the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Chair: Shubhayu Saha, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
10:30 AM
.1
10:45 AM
.2
Direct economic cost of future heat death estimates for India under climate change and population scenarios
Gulrez Shah Azhar, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA; and J. Madrigano, G. Ryan, S. Saha, and R. Vardavas

11:00 AM
.3
Estimating the Health-Related Costs of Ten Climate-Sensitive US Events During 2012
Vijay Limaye, 40 W. 20TH STREET, New York, NY; and W. Max, J. Constible, and K. Knowlton

11:15 AM
.4
Monitoring the Health Costs of Heat-Related Illnesses and Deaths in Arizona
Laura C Fox, Arizona Department of Health Services, Phoenix, AZ; and M. Roach

11:45 AM
.6
Valuation of Community Resilience to the Health Impacts of Extreme Weather
Jaime Madrigano, RAND Corporation, Arlington, VA; and T. Ruder and R. Chari

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lunch Break (Tuesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Lecture 2
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
1:30 PM
L1.1
Severe Thunderstorms and Their Impacts: Past, Present, and Future
Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL


Session 7
Economics of the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise -Part I
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Jeffrey Lazo, Jeffrey K. Lazo Consulting LLC; William Hooke, AMS Associate Executive Director
1:30 PM
7.1
Characterizing and Quantifying the Socio-economic Benefits of GOES-R Observations
Jeffrey Lazo, Jeffrey K. Lazo Consulting LLC, Gunnison, CO; and D. Lubar and M. L. Jamilkowski

1:45 PM
7.2
Estimating the Economic Impact of the Tornado Warning Improvement and Extension Program on Businesses
Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. M. Simmons, A. Boehmer, and S. Howard

2:00 PM
7.3
Attempting to Value Something (IDSS) so Invaluable
Jennifer Sprague-Hilderbrand, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Tuell, V. Brown, M. B. Scotten, and C. Lauer

2:15 PM
7.4
Observing for Society: Benefits and Applications of NOAA's Observing Systems
Kristen N. Schepel, CollabraLink Technologies/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Tuesday)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Panel Discussion 4
Reflecting on the Past, Present, and Future of NWS Service Assessments: Integrating Social Science into a Multidisciplinary Approach to Link Information to Knowledge and Society
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Moderators: Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS; Logan Johnson, NWS
Panelists: Cindy Woods, NOAA/NWS; Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS; Ayeisha Brinson, Office of the Chief Economist, NOAA; Chris Ellis, NOS; Logan Johnson, NWS; Suzanne Van Cooten, NOAA/NSSL; Leticia D. Williams, NCAS
Introductory Remarks
Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

3:00 PM
9.1
Reflecting on the Past, Present, and Future of NWS Service Assessments: Integrating Social Science into a Multidisciplinary Approach to Link Information to Knowledge and Society
Vankita Brown, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. Brinson, C. Ellis, J. Garmon, L. Johnson, M. J. Moreland, L. D. Williams, C. Woods, and S. Van Cooten

3:15 PM
Panel Discussion


Session 8
Economics of the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise -Part II
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Jeffrey Lazo, Jeffrey K. Lazo Consulting LLC; William Hooke, AMS Associate Executive Director
3:00 PM
8.1
Application of NOAA's NCEI Climate and Weather Data to Economic Sectors
Amanda Rycerz, Acclimatise North America, Asheville, NC

3:15 PM
8.2
Identifying the Socioeconomic Value of NOAA’s Data and Services: Connecting NOAA’s Value Tree Model to End Users and the Economy
Joseph Conran, Riverside Technology, Inc., Silver Spring, MD; and A. Pratt, D. Helms, T. Vo Dinh, M. Grasso, J. Adkins, A. Brinson, C. Lauer, and S. J. Taijeron

3:30 PM
8.3
Using Microeconomics to Measure the Societal Benefits of Information in Weather Enterprise Decisionmaking
Bethany Mabee, Resources for the Future, Washington, DC; and Y. Kuwayama

3:45 PM
8.4
Bringing the NOAA Value Tree into the present: the NOSIA Content Refresh project
Aaron Pratt, Riverside Technology, Inc., Silver Spring, MD; and D. Helms, L. Cantrell Jr., L. McCulloch, S. J. Taijeron, J. Goldstein, and J. Conran

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 14 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Tues)

Joint Poster Session 1
From Droughts to Deluges - Learning from Practitioners How to Value the Human Health and Societal Impacts of Hydrologic Disasters - Posters
Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Hydrology; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 25th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 11th Conference on Environment and Health )
Chairs: Hunter Jones, NOAA; Jesse Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center; Amanda Sheffield, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Mike Hobbins, CIRES
Rainfall as a Driver of Waterborne Disease: Ecohydrological Perspectives
Andrea Rinaldo, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale Lausanne, CH-1015 Lausanne (CH), Switzerland

Floods and Droughts Management: The Extreme Event and its Human and Physical Impacts.
Mohammed-Said Karrouk, Hassan II University of Casablanca, Casablanca, Morocco


Poster Session 2
15Society Poster Session II
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
The National Weather Service Forensic Services Program
Lora Wilson, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

Communication Challenges: Coastal Stakeholders and Climate Tools
Marisa Karpinski, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA; and R. Edwards, A. Miller, B. Keim, A. M. Haberlie, and T. Boukovidis

An Examination of Traffic Accidents during Falling and Blowing Snow in Northern Indiana
Daniel Burow, Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN; and C. Atkinson

Coastal Alabama & FORTIFIED Home™: A Windstorm Resilience Success Story
Virginia G. Silvis, Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety, Richburg, SC; and I. M. Giammanco and F. Malik

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 9
Back to the Future: Transitioning Social and Behavioral Science into the next 100 years
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Gina M. Eosco, NOAA; Jennifer Sprague-Hilderbrand, NOAA
8:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

8:45 AM
10.1
Back to the Future: A Community Discussion on Transitioning Social and Behavioral Science into the next 100 years
Gina M. Eosco, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Olson and J. Sprague-Hilderbrand

9:00 AM
10.2
The transition puzzle: How operational meteorologists can champion Social Science R2O
Jennifer Sprague-Hilderbrand, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and G. M. Eosco and M. Olson

9:15 AM
Panel Discussion


Session 10
Towards Infrastructure Standards for a Changing Climate: National and Global Perspectives
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska–Lincoln; Anna M Wilson, SIO
8:30 AM
11.1
Civil Engineering Standards and a Changing Climate
J. Rolf Olsen, Institute for Water Resources, US Army Corps of Engineers, Charlottesville, VA

8:45 AM
11.2
Incorporating Climate Resilience into Public Infrastructure Planning Worldwide
Phillip A Pasteris, Jacobs Engineering, Portland, OR; and L. Van der Tak, T. Jantzen, and T. Das

9:00 AM
11.3
Climate Aspects in urban Land Use Planning
Martin Fabisch, Univ. of Kaiserslautern, Kaiserslautern, Germany; and M. S. Henninger

9:15 AM
11.4
Extreme Precipitation Volatilities and Its Implication for Critical Infrastructures in India
Shahzaib Khan, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Gandhinagar, India; and D. Upadhyay and U. Bhatia

9:30 AM
11.5
Historical and Projected Future Changes in Potential Moisture Damage in Building Envelopes across Canada
Abhishek Gaur, National Research Council Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; and H. Lu, M. Armstrong, and M. Lacasse

9:45 AM
11.6
Resilience of Hierarchical Network-of-Lifeline-Networks Under Compound Weather Extremes
Mary Warner, Northeastern University, Boston, MA; and N. Yadav, D. Skurka, U. Bhatia, V. Rao, K. Clark, S. Chaterjee, J. Gao, and A. R. Ganguly


Joint Session 31
From Droughts to Deluges - Learning from Practitioners How to Value the Human Health and Societal Impacts of Hydrologic Disasters
Location: 253A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the 34th Conference on Hydrology; the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 25th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 11th Conference on Environment and Health )
8:30 AM
J31.1
8:45 AM
J31.2
Droughts and Health in the United States: an Evaluation of Knowledge
Jesse Eugene Bell, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE

9:00 AM
J31.3
9:15 AM
J31.4
Systems Responding to Disasters: The Intersection Between Health, Extreme Events, and the Entities that Respond to Them
Keith Hansen, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE; and R. Lookadoo

9:30 AM
J31.5
The Impact of Natural Disasters on Human Mobility and Health (Invited Presentation)
Caroline O Buckee, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA

9:45 AM
J31.6
Drought and All-Cause Mortality in All Age Groups in Nebraska
Azar Mohammad Abadi kamarei, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE; and Y. Gwon and J. E. Bell


Joint Session 37
Living in a World of Rapid Global Environmental Changes: The Intersection of Environmental Disasters, Human Health, and Vulnerable Populations  (co-sponsored by the Board on Women and Minorities)
Hosts: (Joint between the 11th Conference on Environment and Health; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion )
Chair: Aaron J. Piña, Aeris LLC
8:30 AM
J37.1
8:45 AM
J37.2
Ensuring Future Mental Balance in The Meteorological Community: Per Climate Change on Extreme Weather and Climate-Related Events
Jason B. Wright, DOC/NOAA/NWS Nashville, TN, Old Hickory, TN; and R. Garcia-Hiraldo and A. D. Hoon

9:00 AM
J37.3
Heat Adaptation among India's vulnerable populations
Gulrez Shah Azhar, RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA; and G. Ryan

9:15 AM
J37.4
Climate Resilience in a Coastal City in Ecuador: Linking Disaster Risk Reduction and Urban Health in Duran
Mercy J. Borbor-Cordova, Escuela Superior Politecnica del Litoral, ESPOL, Guayaquil, Ecuador; and M. D. P. Cornejo-Rodriguez, A. Valdiviezo, G. menoscal, D. Ochoa, M. Arias, D. Matamoros, G. Ger, and I. Nolivos

9:30 AM
J37.5
Hold for Lori Peek
Lori Peek, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

9:45 AM
J37.6
Hold for Sharon Harlan
Sharon Harlan, Northeastern University, Boston, MA

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


AM Coffee Break (Wednesday)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Joint Panel Discussion 5
An Engineer, a Climatologist, and a Social Scientist Walk into a Bar: Tough Choices on a Warming Planet
Location: 210AB (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Forum Sessions; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the 33rd Conference on Climate Variability and Change )
Moderator: Jamison Hawkins, Lockheed Martin
Panelists: Jill Engel-Cox, Joint Institute for Strategic Energy Analysis, NREL; Lori Peek, University of Colorado, Boulder; Brenda Ekwurzel, Union of Concerned Scientists

Panel Discussion 5
Lessons Learned from Health Communication: Considering the Weather Communication Implications of Conflicting Information and the Future of Message Consistency in the Weather Enterprise
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Castle Adam Williams, Univ. of Georgia; Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, CIMMS
Panelists: Joshua D. Eachus, WBRZ; Caroline MacDonald, Mississippi State University; Corey Pieper, NWS; Joseph Enrique Trujillo, CIMMS/NSSL
10:30 AM
Introductory Remarks

10:45 AM
12.1
11:00 AM
Panel Discussion


Session 11
Towards Infrastructure Standards for a Changing Climate: Sectors and Approaches
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: J Rolf Olsen, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers; Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska–Lincoln; Anna M Wilson, SIO
10:30 AM
13.1
Designing Resilient Networks In The Water Sector In An Uncertain Climate
Roger Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and I. Linkov

10:45 AM
13.2
Toward Greater Resilient Water Infrastructure to Future Hydrometeorological Extremes: Lessons from Oroville Dam and Hurricane Harvey
Anna M. Wilson, SIO, La Jolla, CA; and R. Cifelli, A. Dufour, T. W. Parzybok, M. Dettinger, J. A. Vano, F. Munoz-Arriola, and K. A. Miller

11:15 AM
13.4
Toward the integration of hydrometeorological and climate complexities in standards for resilient infrastructure design
Francisco Munoz-Arriola, University of Nebraska–Lincoln, Lincoln, NE; and P. Sarzaeim, C. Wunderlin, M. KHAN, W. Ou, and H. Greer

11:30 AM
13.5
Applying Climate Change Information to Hydrologic and Hydraulic Design of Transportation Infrastructure
Jennifer M. Jacobs, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH; and R. Kilgore, A. Stoner, K. Hayhoe, C. J. Anderson, W. Thomas, and D. B. Thompson

11:45 AM
13.6
Projected Impact of Climate Change to Asphalt Pavement Performance in the U.S.
Anne M.K. Stoner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. E. Sias, J. M. Jacobs, K. Hayhoe, and I. Scott-Fleming

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Lunch Break (Wednesday)

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 12
Risk Perception and Communication of Weather and Climate Threats -Part I
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Paul M. Chakalian, CIMMS; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
1:30 PM
14.1
Early Warning Early Action for flash flood disasters
Andrew Kruczkiewicz, IRI, Palisades, NY; Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, Netherlands; and M. Nielsen, H. Greatrex, K. Siahaan, S. N. McClain, and J. Bazo

1:45 PM
14.2
Surveying the Public About Their Perception and Response to “Everyday” Severe Weather
Brenda J. Philips, Univ. of Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA; and C. League, J. Trainor, and N. Meyers

2:00 PM
14.3
2:15 PM
14.4
The Perception of Flash Flood Risk among Emergency Managers in the NWS-MRX County Warning Area
Savannah A. Collins-Key, Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN; and K. N. Ellis and L. Reyes Mason


Session 13
Social Justice and Scientific Practice in the 21st Century
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Randy A. Peppler, University of Oklahoma; Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania
1:45 PM
15.2
Cloudy with a Chance of Sexism: Examining Race and Sex of Broadcast Meteorologists on Trust and Credibility
Adam M. Rainear, West Chester University of Pennsylvania, West Chester, PA

2:00 PM
15.3
Risk Perceptions of Hurricane Hazards and the Missing Link for Minority Populations
Shadya J. Sanders, NCAS, Washington, DC; and L. D. Williams and C. Stroman

2:15 PM
Discussion

2:30 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Wednesday)

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Session 14
Risk Perception and Communication of Weather and Climate Threats -Part II
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Paul M. Chakalian, CIMMS; Joseph T. Ripberger, Univ. of Oklahoma
3:00 PM
16.1
Follow the Leader Syndrome: Motorists’ Response to Flash Flooding in Texas
Cedar League, Cedar E. League, Helena, MT; and B. Philips, N. Meyers, and D. Westbrook

3:15 PM
16.2
How Various Modes of Communication Impacted Sheltering Decisions of Lee County, Alabama Tornado Survivors
Elizabeth F. Leslie, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. LaDue, L. Mayeux, and J. Bryant

3:30 PM
16.3
Understanding the Non-Uniform Perception of Tornado Risk in Central Oklahoma
Rebekah Cheatham, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and W. D. Terwey, K. E. Klockow-McClain, P. T. Marsh, H. E. Brooks, and K. Berry

3:45 PM
16.4
Uncertainty and Probability Communication: Past, Present, and Future
Michele Olson, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and G. M. Eosco and K. Rowley

4:00 PM-6:00 PM: Wednesday, 15 January 2020


Formal Poster Viewing Reception (Wed)

Poster Session 3
15Society Poster Session III
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
The impact of increased lead-time on protective action in response to tornadoes
Makenzie J. Krocak, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK; and P. M. Chakalian, J. T. Ripberger, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith

Where Are We and What's Next: A Systematic Review of Research on Communicating Probabilistic Weather and Climate Information
Andrew Bell, Center for Risk and Crisis Management, Norman, OK; and J. T. Ripberger, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith

Perceived costs associated with protective actions across multiple threats
Kathleen Sherman-Morris, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and H. H. Seitz, L. Strawderman, and M. Warkentin

Social Science Considerations in Twitter Weather Discussion: A March 2019 Case Study
Alyssa Cannistraci, NOAA, Sykesville, MD; and J. A. Nelson and J. Kastman

Using Causes of Weather Deaths in Weather Safety Education and Preparedness
William P. Roeder, 45th Weather Squadron, Cape Canaveral AFS, FL; and K. J. Chaffin and W. A. Ulrich

Thursday, 16 January 2020

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Session 15
(Dis)continuity in Weather Warnings and Message Consistency
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Susan A. Jasko, California University of Pennsylvania; Castle Williams, The University of Georgia
8:30 AM
17.1
8:45 AM
17.2
Public Perception and Comprehension of the Extended Forecast Graphic in Television Weather Broadcasts
Jacob Ryan Reed, University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL; and J. C. Senkbeil

9:00 AM
17.3
Same Warning Message - Different Recipients: Experiences at a Small/Medium Sized Weather Service
Magnus Ovhed, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Tromsø, Norway

9:15 AM
17.4
Addressing Discontinuity in Air Quality Alerts and Messaging
Kristen Benedict, EPA, Durham, NC; and R. A. Wayland and G. Hagler


Session 16
Managing Complex Science Programs: Unpacking Best Management Practices
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Peter Schultz, ICF; Chris Avery, U.S. Global Change Research Program
8:30 AM
18.1
Learning from Experience to Address Complex Science-Related Issues
Gordon A. McBean, Western University, London, ON, Canada

8:45 AM
18.2
NCICS Journey in Developing a NC Climate Science Report
Kenneth E. Kunkel, North Carolina Institute for Climate Studies, Asheville, NC; and S. M. Champion, D. R. Easterling, J. Dissen, and B. C. Stewart

9:00 AM
18.3
Science at NESDIS
Alek Krautmann, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Volz


Joint Session
Societal and Economic Impacts of AI
Hosts: (Joint between the 19th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science; and the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice )
Cochairs: Daniel Rothenberg, ClimaCell Inc.; Tyler C. McCandless, NCAR
8:30 AM
.1
From decision support to decision services: an expanded role for AI in the weather enterprise
John K. Williams, The Weather Company, an IBM Business, Andover, MA; and P. Neilley

9:00 AM
.3
Predicting Weather Related Train Delays
Roope Tervo, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and L. Daniel and J. S. ylhaisi

9:15 AM
.4
Integrated Climate Extremes: Modeling Future Impacts for Visualizing Climate Change
Surya Karthik Mukkavilli, Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms (Mila), Montreal, QC, Canada; and Y. Min, A. Madanchi, V. B. Pacela, S. Patel, and Y. Bengio

9:30 AM-10:30 AM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Exhibit Hall Breakfast

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Joint Panel Discussion 8
Diversity, Equity, Belongingness and Inclusion - Where has the AMS Been and Where Should it Be Going?
Location: 254A (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Eighth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the 29th Conference on Education; the 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; and the Symposium on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion )
Moderator: Tanja E. Fransen, NOAA/NWS
Panelists: Valerie Sloan, NCAR; Shakila Merchant, NOAA Center for Earth System Sciences and Remote Sensing Technologies; Mona Behl, The Univ. of Georgia; Pamela Emch, Northrop Grumman Corp.
10:30 AM
Panel Discussion


Session 17
Probabilities, FACETS, and IWTs
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Gina M Eosco, OAR; Kodi Berry, NOAA/NSSL
10:45 AM
19.2
Probability vs. Consequences in Public Perceptions of Tornado Risk
Jinan N. Allan, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. T. Ripberger, M. J. Krocak, M. Ramasubramanian, J. Cho, E. T. Cokely, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith

11:00 AM
19.3
11:15 AM
19.4
Communicating Probabilistic Hazard Information: Broadcast Meteorologists in the 2018-2019 Hazardous Weather Testbed
Holly Obermeier, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and K. Berry, K. E. Klockow-McClain, T. C. Meyer, P. A. Campbell, A. E. Gerard, J. E. Trujillo, and C. Carithers

11:30 AM
19.5
Plumes, Probabilities, and Posts: How Social Media Coverage Evolved in the 2019 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment
Joseph Enrique Trujillo, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. Nemunaitis-Berry, H. Obermeier, A. Gerard, K. E. Klockow-McClain, P. A. Campbell, T. C. Meyer, and J. T. Ripberger

11:45 AM
19.6
Putting Multiple Probabilistic Products Before End-Users: The 2019 HWT Emergency Manager Experiments
Kimberly E. Klockow-McClain, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies/National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Berry, C. A. Shivers-Williams, M. J. Krocak, K. A. Wilson, J. J. James, G. J. Stumpf, Z. Stanford, A. MacDonald, J. E. Trujillo, and A. E. Gerard


Session 18
Vulnerability and Resilience in Weather and Climate Communities
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Paul M. Chakalian, CIMMS; Michele Olson, NOAA
10:30 AM
20.1
A systematic review of flash flood risk, vulnerability and impact.
Miriam Nielsen, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and H. Greatrex and A. Kruczkiewicz

10:45 AM
20.2
Weathering the Effects of Affect: Modeling the Causes and Consequences of Extreme Weather Affective Experience
Sean Ernst, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Allen, J. T. Ripberger, H. Jenkins Smith, and C. Silva

11:00 AM
20.3
Mobile Home Resident Evacuation Vulnerability During Tornado Events in the Southeast United States
Stephen M. Strader, Villanova University, Villanova, PA; and K. D. Ash

11:15 AM
20.4
An Agricultural Perspective on Severe Hail Storm Vulnerability and Warning Message Efficacy
Samuel J. Childs, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

11:30 AM
20.5
Vulnerability Assessment Tool for Cities Adapting Stormwater Systems to Climate Change
Kimberly Channell, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and M. Stults, R. Esselman, J. L. Jorns, and M. C. lemos

11:45 AM
20.6

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Lunch Break (Thursday)

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


Session 19
Connecting the Dots:  Bringing Hazardous Weather Risk Communication Studies and Applications Together for Unified Public Safety Efforts
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Barry Goldsmith, NWS; Michael S. Michaud, University of Delaware
1:30 PM
21.1
A Proposal to Clearly Define Threat and Risk for Weather Events
Barry S. Goldsmith, NWSFO, Brownsville, TX

1:45 PM
21.2
Thinking outside the polygon: A study of tornado warning reception outside of warning polygon bounds
Makenzie J. Krocak, Cooperative Institute for Mesoscale Meteorological Studies, Norman, OK; and S. Ernst, J. N. Allan, W. W. Wehde, J. T. Ripberger, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith

2:15 PM
21.4
Prototyping Integrated Social-Physical Forecast Guidance Products for Severe Thunderstorm Hazards
Paul M. Chakalian, CIMMS, Norman, OK; NSSL, Norman, OK; and P. S. Skinner, K. A. Wilson, and P. L. Heinselman

2:30 PM
21.5
A Spatial and Temporal Review of National Weather Service Impact Based Warning Tags
Derek R. Deroche, NWS, Kansas City, MO; and B. P. Walawender and I. S. Livingston

2:45 PM
21.6

Session 20
Media Analysis and Social Media Use in Weather and Climate Communication
Host: 15th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice
Cochairs: Paul M. Chakalian, CIMMS; Jennifer A. Spinney, Univ. of Western Ontario
1:30 PM
22.1
The Social Amplification of Risk During Hurricanes Florence and Michael
Amber Silver, SUNY at Albany, Albany, NY; and S. Jackson and C. Ezung

1:45 PM
22.2
Using Facebook Live as a New Tool to Disseminate Critical Weather Information to Vulnerable Communities
John P. Moore III, NWS, Jackson, MS, MS; and W. Parker, F. Bowser, and C. Pieper

2:00 PM
22.3
Media and Climate Change: A Content Analysis Study on Extreme Weather Events and the Link to Climate Change in News Coverage
Anas A. Askar, NCASM, Howard University, Washington, DC; and T. Adams and C. Stroman

2:30 PM
22.5
The Social Amplification of National Weather Service Communication: Impact of Audience Population Factors and Message Content Features
Scott Leo Renshaw, Univ. of California Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. T. Butts and J. Sutton

2:45 PM
22.6
NWSChat in the age of FACETs: The Future of the Integrated Warning Team
Austin MacDonald, CIMMS/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. Berry and K. E. Klockow-McClain

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 16 January 2020


PM Coffee Break (Thursday)