Monday, 11 October 2010 |
| 9:00 AM-10:20 AM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 1 Severe Weather Climatology I |
Chair: Lance Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY
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| 9:00 AM | | Welcoming Remarks
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| 9:05 AM | 1.1 | Tornado deaths: what the past tells us about the future
Recorded presentation Harold E. Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 9:20 AM | 1.2 | Attribution of interannual variations in tornado frequency to regional atmospheric conditions
Recorded presentation Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN |
| 9:35 AM | 1.3 | Nocturnal tornado climatology
Recorded presentation Amanda K. Kis, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Straka |
| 9:50 AM | 1.4 | A synoptic-scale environment associated with significant nocturnal tornado events in the Great Plains
Recorded presentation Corey M. Mead, NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson |
| 10:05 AM | 1.5 | Tornadoes within weak CAPE environments across the continental United States
Recorded presentation Jared L. Guyer, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and A. R. Dean |
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| 10:20 AM-10:45 AM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Coffee Break |
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| 10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 2 Mesoscale Convective Systems: Initiation and Structure |
Chair: Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
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| 10:45 AM | 2.1 | Potential vorticity disturbances as a source of severe weather in the Southwest
Recorded presentation Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Melino, S. R. Sukup, S. J. Weiss, J. Racy, R. S. Schneider, E. S. Pytlak, J. E. Matusiak, and D. Bright |
| 11:00 AM | 2.2 | Observations of a squall line using high-frequency rawinsonde launches during VORTEX2
Recorded presentation George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. D. Parker |
| 11:15 AM | 2.3 | Mechanisms contributing to MCS development over the southern Plains during BAMEX
Recorded presentation Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and L. Bosart |
| 11:30 AM | 2.4 | Observations and numerical simulations of the transition of a banded nocturnal MCS to a daytime squall line
Recorded presentation S. B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Marsham |
| 11:45 AM | 2.5 | Detailed observations of severe heat bursts: microbursts, intense microscale vortices, and high amplitude gravity waves
Recorded presentation Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and T. Coleman |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Break for Lunch |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 3A Deep Convection: Initiation and Mesoscale Influences |
Chair: Christopher C. Weiss, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX
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| 1:30 PM | 3A.1 | Sensitivity of convective initiation and subsequent convection based on environmental parameters using 500m resolution WRF ARW
Recorded presentation Justin Schultz, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. J. Anderson |
| 1:45 PM | 3A.2 | A convection initiation case study during COPS: 6 August 2007
Recorded presentation Lindsay J. Bennett, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and T. M. Weckwerth, J. Van Baelen, A. M. Blyth, R. R. Burton, and A. M. Gadian |
| 2:00 PM | 3A.3 | Using Canadian GEM output for forecasts of thunderstorm initiation on the Canadian Prairies
Recorded presentation Neil M. Taylor, EC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and W. R. Burrows |
| 2:15 PM | 3A.4 | The influence of the elevated mixed layer on record high temperatures and severe weather over the Northeast US in April and May 2010
Recorded presentation Jason M. Cordeira, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and T. J. Galarneau Jr. and L. F. Bosart |
| 2:30 PM | 3A.5 | Bulk Microphysical Variability of Thunderstorms in Different Climatic Regions: Comparative Predictive Skills of Melting Level, Cloud Base Temperature and Cloud Base Pressure in a Three-Dimensional Numerical Modeling Study Robert E. Schlesinger, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and P. K. Wang |
| 2:45 PM | 3A.6 | Impact of initial environmental velocity profiles on numerical-model-based storm-scale analyses of the 4 May 2007 Greensburg, Kansas cyclic tornadic thunderstorm
Recorded presentation Robin L. Tanamachi, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and D. C. Dowell, L. J. Wicker, H. B. Bluestein, S. J. Frasier, and K. Hardwick |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 3B Mesoscale Convective Systems: The 8 May 2009 Derecho |
Chair: Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | 3B.1 | The 08 May 2009 Missouri Derecho: Radar Analysis and Warning Implications over Parts of Southwest Missouri
Recorded presentation Ron W. Przybylinski, NOAA/NWSFO, Saint Charles, MO; and J. S. Schaumann, D. T. Cramer, and N. Atkins |
| 1:45 PM | 3B.2 | Environment and early evolution of the 8 May 2009 derecho-producing convective system
Recorded presentation Stephen F. Corfidi, NOAA/NSSL/SPC, Norman, OK; and M. C. Coniglio and J. S. Kain |
| 2:00 PM | 3B.3 | Observations and quantification of counter-rotating mesovortex couplets within the 8 May 2009 southern Missouri derecho
Recorded presentation Angela Lese, NOAA/NWSFO, Louisville, KY; and S. M. Martinaitis |
| 2:15 PM | 3B.4 | The 8 May 2009 "Super Derecho": Analysis of a 3 km WRF-ARW realtime forecast
Recorded presentation Morris L. Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and C. Evans and L. Bosart |
| 2:30 PM | 3B.5 | Vortex development mechanisms associated with the 8 May 2009 Central United States derecho event
Recorded presentation Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Weisman and L. Bosart |
| 2:45 PM | 3B.6 | An Examination of a Tornado Producing Supercell Behind the Leading Edge of the May 8th, 2009 Historic Wind Storm in Southern Missouri
Recorded presentation Mark F. Britt, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO; and R. W. Przybylinski |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 1 Mesoscale Convective Systems Posters |
| | P1.1 | Radar and in situ observations in a winter bow echo and associated mesovortices over the Japan Sea area Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Inoue, K. Bessho, M. Nakazato, W. Mashiko, S. Hayashi, S. Hoshino, H. Yamauchi, T. Imai, K. Araki, T. Fukuhara, T. Shibata, Y. Hono, W. Kato, K. Adachi, and T. Takemi |
| | P1.2 | September 7, 2009 Souther South America Severe Storms Outbrake: High Resolution Simulation of Mesoscale Convective Systems Vagner Anabor, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Rio Grande do Su, Brazil; and E. de Lima Nascimento and E. Dal Piva |
| | P1.3 | Analysis of the 15 May 1998 Iowa/Minnesota derecho Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and R. A. Wade |
| | P1.4 | Damaging winds produced by cold-season quasi-linear convective systems in the southeast US: preliminary findings and planned research Calvin Elkins, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp |
| | P1.5 | Examination of An Intense Wake Low Event as a Severe Local Storm Timothy A. Coleman, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp |
| | P1.6 | A case study of a large-amplitude inertia-gravity wave over the Southeast James H. Ruppert Jr., Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and L. F. Bosart |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 2 Severe Weather Climatology Posters |
| | P2.1 | Ranking and classifying severe weather outbreaks using multivariate indices Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. A. Doswell III |
| | P2.2 | On the use of kernel density estimation to identify severe weather events Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and C. A. Doswell III |
| | P2.3 | Trends in convection over the central United States Victor A. Gensini, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and J. M. Laflin |
| | P2.4 | Climatology of potentially severe convective environments from reanalysis Victor A. Gensini, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, IL; and W. S. Ashley |
| | P2.5 | Severe storm assessment using satellite data: Case studies from Iowa in 2009 Kevin Gallo, NOAA/NESDIS, Sioux Falls, SD; and K. Jungbluth and P. N. Schumacher |
| | P2.6 | Synoptic composites of tornadic and non-tornadic severe weather outbreaks Andrew Edward Mercer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and C. M. Shafer, C. A. Doswell III, M. B. Richman, and L. M. Leslie |
| | P2.7 | Convective modes associated with significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States Bryan T. Smith, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and R. L. Thompson, J. S. Grams, and C. Broyles |
| | P2.8 | Climatologies of convective flight environments for use in the development of a storm penetrating aircraft Shawn B. Honomichl, South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City, SD |
| | P2.9 | Do cities encourage warm-season thunderstorm formation and intensification? Walker S. Ashley, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and M. Bentley and T. Stallins |
| | P2.10 | Environmental conditions associated with nocturnal severe weather across the northern Plains Joshua M. Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE; and P. N. Schumacher |
| | P2.11 | Verification of thunderstorm occurrence using the National Lightning Detection Network Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and T. J. Galarneau Jr. |
| | P2.12 | Severe wind-driven hail events: dependence on convective morphology and larger-scale environment William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and N. D. Carletta, M. A. Fowle, and D. J. Miller |
| | P2.13 | The characteristics of gusty winds in winter season in Shonai Plane, Japan Kazuhiro Taniwaki, Meteorological Engineering Center, Inc., Osaka, Japan; and K. Sassa, T. Hayashi, Y. Hono, and K. Adachi |
| | P2.14 | Comparing Storm Data reports to National Weather Service severe storm watches and warnings Kiel L. Ortega, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and T. C. Meyer |
| | P2.15 | Simultaneous analysis of impacts of human abundance and quasi-cyclic climate conditions in tornado counts with hierarchical Bayesian models Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and C. K. Wikle and A. Arab |
| | P2.16 | An analysis of spatial tornado density: does Dixie Alley really exist? P. Grady Dixon, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and A. E. Mercer, J. Choi, and J. S. Allen |
| | P2.17 | Spatial Analysis of Tornado Vulnerability Trends in Oklahoma and Northern Texas Eric M. Hout, National Weather Center Research Experiences for Undergraduates Program, Norman, OK; and M. Yuan, J. McIntosh, and C. Weaver |
| | P2.18 | Convective Mode of Thunderstorms Producing Significant Cool Season Tornadoes in the National Weather Service's Central Region Fred H. Glass, NOAA/NWSFO, St. Charles, MO ; and M. F. Britt |
| | P2.19 | An Analysis of Clustered Tornado Events Andrew R. Dean, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK |
| | P2.20 | Climate Change Impacts on Severe Thunderstorms in Finland Andrea Vajda, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and J. Rauhala |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 3 Tropical Severe Weather Posters |
| | P3.1 | Tropical cyclone tornado records for the modernized National Weather Service era Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK |
| | P3.2 | Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for U. S. tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003–2008 Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK; and A. R. Dean, R. L. Thompson, and B. T. Smith |
| | P3.3 | A numerical investigation of supercells in landfalling tropical cyclones Matthew J. Morin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker, K. A. Hill, and G. M. Lackmann |
| | P3.4 | Miniature supercells in Hurricanes Gustav (2008) and Ivan (2004): Environments and cell structure Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC |
| | P3.5 | Fine-scale radar observations of boundary layer structures in landfalling hurricanes Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and J. Wurman |
| | P3.6 | The role of convective organization and the low level jet in the overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007) Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Schumacher and T. J. Galarneau Jr. |
| | P3.7 | Hailstorm with Very Low Vertical Wind Shear and Tilt over Trivandrum P. Kumar, MIT, Maharashtra, India |
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| 4:30 PM-5:45 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 4A Supercell and Tornadoes: Tornado Structure, Dynamics, and Damage I |
Chair: Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
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| 4:30 PM | 4A.1 | The Enhanced Fujita Scale: Past, present and future
Recorded presentation Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK; and J. G. LaDue, J. T. Ferree, K. A. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W. L. Coulbourne |
| 4:45 PM | 4A.2 | Damage survey of the Picher, OK Tornado
Recorded presentation Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX |
| 5:00 PM | 4A.3 | Damage surveys in the age of Google Street View and polarimetric radar—the August 20th 2009 southern Ontario tornado outbreak
Recorded presentation Arnold Ashton, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. Leduc and S. Boodoo |
| 5:15 PM | 4A.4 | Estimation of Low-Level Wind Structures in a Tornado-like Vortex
PDF file Sean Crowell, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma; and L. J. Wicker and L. W. White |
| 5:30 PM | 4A.5 | The detection of low-level misovortices embedded within a quasi-linear thunderstorm complex on 2 April 2010 by CASA radar
Recorded presentation Vivek N. Mahale, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Brotzge and H. B. Bluestein |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 4B Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: Short-Range Forecasting I |
Chair: Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
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| 4:30 PM | 4B.1 | Preliminary investigation into lightning hazard prediction from high resolution model output
Recorded presentation Stuart D. Miller Jr., University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and G. W. Carbin, J. S. Kain, E. W. McCaul Jr., C. J. Melick, and A. R. Dean |
| 4:45 PM | 4B.2 | A new parameter for forecasting tornadoes in landfalling tropical cyclones
Recorded presentation Matthew Onderlinde, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and H. E. Fuelberg, S. J. Weiss, and A. I. Watson |
| 5:00 PM | 4B.3 | A Sounding Analog System to Produce Probabilistic Forecasts of Maximum Hail Size
Recorded presentation Ryan E. D. Jewell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK |
| 5:15 PM | 4B.4 | Using areal coverage of parameters favorable for severe weather to identify major convective outbreaks
Recorded presentation Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and L. M. Leslie, M. B. Richman, and C. A. Doswell III |
| 5:30 PM | 4B.5 | Forecasts, observations, and warning response for flash floods
Recorded presentation Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and A. Stevermer |
| 5:45 PM | 4B.6 | Severe weather outlooks and their use for damage prevention and civil protection in Finland
Recorded presentation Ari-Juhani Punkka, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and J. Rauhala |
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| 6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Monday Break for Dinner |
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| 7:30 PM-9:15 PM, Monday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 5 Supercells and Tornadoes: Overview of VORTEX-2 |
Chair: David Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 7:30 PM | 5.1 | An overview of the VORTEX2 field campaign
Recorded presentation Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and L. J. Wicker, Y. P. Richardson, E. N. Rasmussen, P. M. Markowski, D. Dowell, D. W. Burgess, and H. B. Bluestein |
| 7:45 PM | 5.2 | Tornado and tornadogenesis events seen by the NOXP x-band, dual-polarization radar during VORTEX2 2010
Recorded presentation Donald W. Burgess, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and E. R. Mansell, C. M. Schwarz, and B. J. Allen |
| 8:00 PM | 5.3 | Rapid-Scan DOW radar observations of tornadoes during VORTEX2 Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Kosiba and P. Robinson |
| 8:15 PM | 5.4 | A summary of data collected during VORTEX-2 by MWR-05XP/TWOLF, UMass X-Pol, and the UMass W-band radar
Recorded presentation Howard B. Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. M. French, J. B. Houser, J. C. Snyder, R. L. Tanamachi, I. PopStefanija, C. Baldi, G. D. Emmitt, V. Venkatesh, K. Orzel, R. Bluth, and S. J. Frasier |
| 8:30 PM | 5.5 | Highlights from the Texas Tech Ka-band Mobile Doppler Radar and StickNet Data Collection During VORTEX2
Recorded presentation Christopher C. Weiss, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and D. Dowell |
| 8:45 PM | 5.6 | Mobile soundings during VORTEX2: Survey and preliminary results
Recorded presentation Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. H. Bryan |
| 9:00 PM | 5.7 | Unmanned aircraft in VORTEX-2
Recorded presentation Adam L. Houston, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and B. Argrow and E. W. Frew |
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| 9:30 PM-9:35 PM, Monday Sessions Adjourn for the Day |
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| 9:30 PM-11:00 PM, Monday, Centennial Welcome Reception |
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Tuesday, 12 October 2010 |
| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 6 Supercells and Tornadoes: 5 June 2009 Goshen, County Supercell |
Chair: Robert J. Trapp, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN
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| 8:00 AM | 6.1 | Invited Speaker—History of tornado research
Recorded presentation Howard Bluestein, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK |
| 8:30 AM | 6.2 | The LaGrange Tornado during VORTEX2. Part I: Photogrammetry analysis of the tornado combined with single-Doppler radar data Roger M. Wakimoto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Atkins and J. Wurman |
| 8:45 AM | 6.3 | The LaGrange, WY Tornado during VORTEX II. Part II: Photogrammetric Analysis of the Tornado Combined with Dual-Doppler Radar Data
Recorded presentation Nolan Atkins, Lyndon State College, Lyndonville, VT; and R. M. Wakimoto, A. McGee, R. Ducharme, and J. Wurman |
| 9:00 AM | 6.4 | The Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2: Tornadogenesis phase Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and J. Wurman, Y. P. Richardson, P. Markowski, D. C. Dowell, P. Robinson, and J. Marquis |
| 9:15 AM | 6.5 | The Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2: Tornado intensification phase Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and J. Wurman, P. M. Markowski, Y. P. Richardson, D. Dowell, P. Robinson, and J. Marquis |
| 9:30 AM | 6.6 | The Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2: Tornado dissipation phase
Recorded presentation Yvette Richardson, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski, J. Wurman, K. Kosiba, P. Robinson, and J. Marquis |
| 9:45 AM | 6.7 | Preliminary analysis of the Goshen County tornadic supercell on 5 June 2009 during VORTEX2 using EnKF assimilation of mobile radar and mesonet data
Recorded presentation James N. Marquis, Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA; and Y. Richardson, P. Markowski, D. Dowell, J. M. Wurman, K. Kosiba, and P. Robinson |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 7A Supercells and Tornadoes: Supercell Structure and Dynamics I |
Chair: Adam L. Houston, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
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| 10:30 AM | 7A.1 | Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part II: Sounding variables as predictors of simulated low-level rotation
Recorded presentation Matthew S. Gilmore, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and L. Burkett, R. Edwards, and R. L. Thompson |
| 10:45 AM | 7A.2 | Storm structure and decay process of the 9 June, 2009 Greensburg, KS supercell during VORTEX2 Conrad L. Ziegler, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and M. I. Biggerstaff, L. J. Wicker, D. W. Burgess, E. R. Mansell, C. M. Schwarz, P. Markowski, Y. P. Richardson, and C. C. Weiss |
| 11:00 AM | 7A.3 | Observational analysis of cyclic mesocyclogenesis during VORTEX2
Recorded presentation Daniel P. Betten, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff, C. Ziegler, K. M. Kuhlman, D. R. MacGorman, and L. J. Wicker |
| 11:15 AM | 7A.4 | Single- and dual-Doppler analyses of a tornadic supercell sampled by NWRT PAR and WSR-88D
Recorded presentation Pamela L. Heinselman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and C. L. Ziegler and L. R. Lemon |
| 11:30 AM | 7A.5 | Storm mergers. Part 1: Preliminary numerical investigations of merger events
Recorded presentation Ryan M. Hastings, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and Y. P. Richardson |
| 11:45 AM | 7A.6 | Numerical simulations of interactions between squall lines and supercells
Recorded presentation Adam J. French, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 7B Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: The Hazardous Weather Testbed |
Chair: Kevin Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK
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| 10:30 AM | 7B.1 | An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment
Recorded presentation Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, C. W. Siewert, R. Sobash, P. T. Marsh, A. R. Dean, M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, J. Du, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, M. J. Bodner, J. J. Levit, C. B. Entwistle, T. Jensen, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and R. S. Schneider |
| 10:45 AM | 7B.2 | Real-time severe convective weather warning exercises at the Experimental Warning Program 2010 (EWP2010)
Recorded presentation Gregory J. Stumpf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/MDL, Norman, OK; and B. C. Baranowski, D. M. Kingfield, K. M. Kuhlman, K. L. Manross, C. W. Siewert, T. M. Smith, and S. Stough |
| 11:00 AM | 7B.3 | CAPS Realtime Storm Scale Ensemble and High Resolution Forecasts for the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 2010 Spring Experiment
Recorded presentation Ming Xue, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, J. Gao, X. Wang, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, J. Du, T. L. Jensen, and Y. H. Kuo |
| 11:15 AM | 7B.4 | Real-time, Low-level Wind Analysis including CASA and WSR-88D Radar Data using the ARPS 3DVAR Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. Brewster, M. Xue, J. Brotzge, K. Thomas, and Y. Wang |
| 11:30 AM | 7B.5 | Neighborhood-based evaluation of WRF-ARW precipitation forecasts for the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment
Recorded presentation Kevin W. Manning, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman and A. J. Clark |
| 11:45 AM | 7B.6 | Warning related satellite products to be demonstrated in the GOES-R proving ground
Recorded presentation James J. Gurka, NOAA/NESDIS/GOES-R, Greenbelt, MD; and S. J. Goodman, T. J. Schmit, C. W. Siewert, M. DeMaria, and G. T. Stano |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday Break for Lunch |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 8A Supercells and Tornadoes: Downdrafts and Cold Pool |
Chair: Matthew S. Gilmore, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND
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| 1:30 PM | 8A.1 | Rear-flank downdraft dynamics in tornadic and non-tornadic supercell thunderstorms
Recorded presentation Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. P. Betten, C. L. Ziegler, D. R. MacGorman, L. J. Wicker, D. W. Burgess, and E. R. Mansell |
| 1:45 PM | 8A.2 | Mobile mesonet observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with a violent tornado near Bowdle, SD on 22 May 2010
Recorded presentation Catherine A. Finley, WindLogics Inc., Grand Rapids, MN; and B. D. Lee, M. Grzych, C. D. Karstens, and T. M. Samaras |
| 2:00 PM | 8A.3 | Thermodynamic and Kinematic Analysis of Supercells using High Resolution In Situ Data from Texas Tech StickNet Instrument Systems
Recorded presentation Bradley R. Charboneau, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
| 2:15 PM | 8A.4 | A preliminary survey of DSD measurements collected during VORTEX2
Recorded presentation Daniel T. Dawson II, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and G. Romine |
| 2:30 PM | 8A.5 | Verification of Supercell Cold Pools in High-Resolution WRF Simulations using StickNet In Situ Data
Recorded presentation Anthony E. Reinhart, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss and D. C. Dowell |
| 2:45 PM | 8A.6 | Mesocyclone and RFD evolution in simulated supercell storms with varying wind profiles
Recorded presentation Matthew S. Van Den Broeke, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. M. Straka |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 8B Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: Nowcasting, Warning, and Verification |
Chair: Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 8B.1 | A realtime weather-adaptive 3DVAR analysis system with automatic storm positioning and on-demand capability
Recorded presentation David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Gao, T. M. Smith, K. Manross, J. Brogden, and V. Lakshmanan |
| 1:45 PM | 8B.2 | iCAST: A severe storm nowcasting prototype focused on optimization of the human-machine mix
Recorded presentation David Sills, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and N. Driedger, B. Greaves, E. Hung, and R. Paterson |
| 2:00 PM | 8B.3 | Storm-based convective warning best practices
Recorded presentation Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and J. T. Ferree |
| 2:15 PM | 8B.4 | Analysis of cell mergers leading to tornadogenesis using 3D rendered radar imagery
Recorded presentation Ray A. Wolf, NOAA/NWS, Davenport, IA |
| 2:30 PM | 8B.5 | Weather decision support and societal impacts at a large outdoor venue—a case study from the 2010 Beale Street Music Festival
Recorded presentation Jon W. Zeitler, NOAA/NWS, New Braunfels, TX; and R. Okulski and J. Howell |
| 2:45 PM | 8B.6 | A detailed analysis of SPC “High Risk” outlooks, 2003–2009
Recorded presentation Jason M. Davis, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and A. R. Dean and J. L. Guyer |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 4 Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making Posters I |
| | P4.1 | Using artificial intelligence to predict Mississippi lightning Andrew Edward Mercer, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and M. E. Brown and C. Babineaux |
| | P4.2 | Use and Evaluation of Lightning Data within 2010 Experimental Warning Program and GOES-R Proving Ground Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. M. Kingfield, G. T. Stano, E. C. Bruning, B. C. Baranowski, and C. W. Siewert |
| | P4.3 | Application of WRF-based forecasts of total lightning threat to the CONUS Eugene W. McCaul Jr., USRA, Huntsville, AL ; and J. L. Case and S. J. Goodman |
| | P4.4 | A multi-tiered verification of SPC tornado watches Aaron Christenberry, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. L. Lamers, B. A. Mejia, A. R. Dean, and S. J. Weiss |
| | P4.5 | Tornado warning services for misoscale circulations in quasilinear convective systems Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK ; and D. L. Andra Jr., P. Marsh, K. L. Ortega, and J. Brotzge |
| | P4.6 | Numerical modeling of maximum hail in deep convection Gerhard W. Reuter, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and F. Jia |
| | P4.7 | A statistical hail prediction product Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO |
| | P4.8 | WSR-88D Signatures associated with One Inch Hail in the Southern Plains Dennis E. Cavanaugh, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and J. A. Schultz |
| | P4.9 | Severe hail impacts and preparedness Jari-Petteri Tuovinen, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and J. Rauhala |
| | P4.10 | Reevaluation of a technique for radar identification of large hail in western and central Wyoming Brett E. McDonald, NOAA/NWSFO, Riverton, WY; and C. N. Jones |
| | P4.11 | Using Doppler radar to more accurately predict the occurrence of severe hail in the Arkansas-Louisiana-Texas region Douglas Butts Jr., NOAA/NWS, Shreveport, LA; and C. A. Butts, M. B. Mayeaux, and B. Richardson |
| | P4.12 | Examining radar 'side-lobe spikes' for severe hail identification Kevin L. Manross, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Ortega and A. E. Pietrycha |
| | P4.13 | Evaluating the use of reflectivity heights for hail detection with high-resolution hail reports Kiel L. Ortega, Univ. of Oklahoma/CIMMS and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| | P4.14 | Tornadoes in close proximity to a major winter storm event over East Central Colorado Stephen J. Hodanish, NOAA/NWS, Pueblo, CO |
| | P4.15 | A storm-scale analysis of the 16 June 2008 significant severe weather event across New York and Western New England Thomas A. Wasula, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY |
| | P4.16 | Observations of haboobs associated with mesoscale convective vortices Joseph W. Jurecka, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and T. T. Lindley |
| | P4.17 | Severe Thunderstorm Wind Damage Societal Impacts and Preparedness Jenni Rauhala, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland |
| | P4.18 | Evaluation of CAPS multi-model storm-scale ensemble forecast for the NOAA HWT 2010 Spring Experiment Fanyou Kong, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, X. Wang, J. Gao, S. J. Weiss, A. Clark, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du |
| | P4.19 | GEM LAM Convective Forecasts: How Can they be used in an Operational Forecast Environment? Heather Rombough, EC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and H. Greene, B. Niska-Aro, B. Power, D. Schmidt, O. Stachowiak, C. Wielki, and A. Yun |
| | P4.20 | Characteristics and Estimated Warning Success Rates of QLCS and Supercell-Produced Significant Tornadoes in the Southeast United States Steven E. Nelson, NOAA/NWS, Peachtree City, GA; and G. D. Combs |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 5 Novel Instrumentation and Data Processing Techniques Posters |
| | P5.1 | Intercomparison between Mobile and Stationary Surface Observing Platforms in VORTEX2 Patrick S. Skinner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss, P. M. Markowski, and Y. P. Richardson |
| | P5.2 | An Improved Aspirated Temperature System for Mobile Meteorological Observations, Especially in Severe Weather Sean Waugh, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. E. Fredrickson |
| | P5.3 | Potential pitfalls in mobile dual-Doppler analyses of complex severe storm wind fields Yvette Richardson, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. Marquis, J. Wurman, and P. M. Markowski |
| | P5.4 | Effects of radar range and azimuthal resolution on tornadic shear signatures: applications to a tornado detection algorithm Jennifer F. Newman, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and V. Lakshmanan, P. L. Heinselman, and T. M. Smith |
| | P5.5 | Evaluation of the Vortex Detection and Characterization (VDAC) technique using multiple-Doppler observations of tornadoes and low-level mesocyclones Corey K. Potvin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Shapiro |
| | P5.6 | A technique for automated selection of multiple Z-R relationships within a single domain George Limpert, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. L. Houston |
| | P5.7 | A survey of real-time 3DVAR analyses conducted during the 2010 Experimental Warning Program spring experiment Travis M. Smith, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. M. Kuhlman, K. L. Ortega, K. L. Manross, D. W. Burgess, J. Gao, and D. J. Stensrud |
| | P5.8 | A new tornado simulator reproducing flow fields under supercell Koji Sassa, Kochi University, Kochi, Japan; and S. Takemura and A. Yamasaki |
| | P5.9 | Wind measurements within a tornado core Tim M. Samaras, National Technical Systems, Littleton, CO; and C. D. Karstens, B. D. Lee, and C. A. Finley |
| | P5.10 | An overview of the Shonai Area Railroad Weather Project—Toward an automatic hazardous wind alert system for railroad Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Bessho, M. Nakazato, W. Mashiko, S. Hayashi, S. Hoshino, H. Inoue, H. Yamauchi, I. Toshiaki, K. Araki, T. Fukuhara, T. Shibata, H. Yoshihiro, W. Kato, K. Adachi, and T. Takemi |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 6 Supercells and Tornadoes Posters I |
| | P6.1 | Verification of the origin of rotation in tornadoes experiment, part 2 (VORTEX2): data from the NOAA (NSSL) x-band dual-polarized radar Christopher M. Schwarz, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. W. Burgess |
| | P6.2 | Highlights of the storm-scale radar data from VORTEX2—2010 Therese E. Thompson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff, L. J. Wicker, D. P. Betten, C. L. Ziegler, and M. R. Kumjian |
| | P6.3 | GPS-Based Stereo Photogrammetry in VORTEX2 Michael A. Magsig, NOAA/NWS/Warning Decision Training Branch, Norman, OK; and J. G. LaDue, E. N. Rasmussen, and J. M. Straka |
| | P6.4 | Mobile mesonet observations during VORTEX2 Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski, S. Waugh, and S. E. Fredrickson |
| | P6.5 | VORTEX 2 operations center: Bridging the gap between research and operations Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and K. Scharfenberg, K. Kelleher, M. C. Coniglio, L. J. Wicker, J. Purpura, M. J. Hudson, and S. R. Cobb |
| | P6.6 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| | P6.6 | The Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2: Pretornadic phase Paul M. Markowski, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and Y. Richardson, J. Wurman, K. A. Kosiba, and P. Robinson |
| | P6.7 | A cost-effective photogrammetric and surface data collection research project from 2009-2010 with an emphasis on the 5 June 2009 LaGrange, WY tornado Daniel R. Cheresnick, Self-Employed, Longmont, CO |
| | P6.8 | New quantification of hodograph shape in nocturnal tornadic environments and its application to forecasting Amanda K. Kis, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Straka |
| | P6.9 | Synoptic, meso, and storm-scale conditions associated with strong-to-violent nocturnal tornadoes L. J. Reames, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. M. Straka |
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| 4:30 PM-6:15 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 9 Numerical Weather Prediction: Overview of Modeling/Assimilation Systems |
Chair: George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 4:30 PM | 9.1 | Invited Speaker - History of modeling-based research on severe storms
Recorded presentation Morris Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 5:00 PM | 9.2 | High resolution rapid refresh (HRRR): Recent enhancements and evaluation during the 2010 convective season
Recorded presentation Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES / Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, S. Benjamin, P. Hofmann, E. P. James, and D. A. Koch |
| 5:15 PM | 9.3 | Storm forecasts in a convective-scale ensemble system at the Met Office
Recorded presentation Giovanni Leoncini, Met Office, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and N. Roberts |
| 5:30 PM | 9.4 | A Nowcasting System Using Full Physics Numerical Weather Prediction Initialized with CASA and NEXRAD Radar Data
Recorded presentation Keith A. Brewster, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. W. Thomas, J. Gao, J. Brotzge, M. Xue, and Y. Wang |
| 5:45 PM | 9.5 | Ensemble storm-scale data assimilation and prediction for severe convective storms
Recorded presentation David Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Romine and C. Snyder |
| 6:00 PM | 9.6 | Application of a WRF mesoscale ensemble data assimilation system to severe weather events during springs 2007–2009
Recorded presentation Dustan M. Wheatley, CIMMS, Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud |
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| 6:30 PM-6:35 PM, Tuesday Sessions Adjourn for the Day |
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| 8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Tuesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Storm Video Night I |
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Wednesday, 13 October 2010 |
| 8:15 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 10 Mesoscale Convective Systems: Interaction with Land Surface and Environment |
Chair: Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 8:15 AM | 10.1 | Invited Speaker - History of MCS research
Recorded presentation Richard Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO |
| 8:45 AM | 10.2 | Environmental factors in the upscale growth and longevity of MCSs derived from Rapid Update Cycle analyses
Recorded presentation Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. Hwang and D. J. Stensrud |
| 9:00 AM | 10.3 | The effects of Lake Michigan on mature mesoscale convective systems
Recorded presentation Nicholas D. Metz, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| 9:15 AM | 10.4 | MCS organization and development along land/lake-induced thermodynamic boundaries near the Great Lakes
Recorded presentation Alan F. Srock, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| 9:30 AM | 10.5 | An Investigation into a Squall Line over Complex Terrain
Recorded presentation Rodger Wu, EC, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and B. Snyder and J. Goosen |
| 9:45 AM | 10.6 | Simulated squall lines with and without cloud shading effects
Recorded presentation Andrew Oberthaler, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 11 Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: Advances in the Use of Radar, Satellite, and Lightning Data |
Chair: Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 10:30 AM | 11.1 | Detecting boundary layer moisture convergence with GOES-R ABI bands Lewis Grasso, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. T. Lindsey and W. M. MacKenzie Jr. |
| 10:45 AM | 11.2 | Polarimetric radar characteristics of large hail
Recorded presentation Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and J. C. Picca, S. Ganson, A. V. Ryzhkov, J. Krause, and A. P. Khain |
| 11:00 AM | 11.3 | ZDR columns as a predictive tool for hail growth and storm evolution
Recorded presentation Joseph C. Picca, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov |
| 11:15 AM | 11.4 | An operational assessment of the predictability of giant hail events
Recorded presentation Scott F. Blair, NOAA/NWS, Topeka, KS ; and D. R. Deroche, J. M. Boustead, J. W. Leighton, B. L. Barjenbruch, and W. P. Gargan |
| 11:30 AM | 11.5 | Total lightning trend analysis of low-topped supercells across the Tennessee Valley
Recorded presentation Christopher J. Schultz, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen and L. Carey |
| 11:45 AM | 11.6 | Dual-Doppler wind analysis using the vertical vorticity equation: Tests with real and simulated supercell data
Recorded presentation Corey K. Potvin, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Shapiro |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Break for Lunch |
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| 1:30 PM-3:15 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 12A Severe Weather Climatology II |
Chair: Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | 12A.1 | Invited Speaker—State of the science on climate change and severe weather
Recorded presentation Harold Brooks, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK |
| 2:00 PM | 12A.2 | Synoptic Climatology of Tornado Environments in Finland
Recorded presentation Jenni Rauhala, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and D. M. Schultz |
| 2:15 PM | 12A.3 | Enlarging the severe-hail database in Finland by using a radar-based hail-detection algorithm and e-mail surveys
Recorded presentation Jari-Petteri Tuovinen, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and D. M. Schultz |
| 2:30 PM | 12A.4 | Severe storm environments on different continents
Recorded presentation Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and M. O. Felix and C. B. Blankenship |
| 2:45 PM | 12A.5 | A 12-year climatology of severe weather parameters and associated synoptic patterns for subtropical South America
Recorded presentation Ernani L. Nascimento, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, Brazil; and M. Foss |
| 3:00 PM | 12A.6 | Relationships between tropical systems and rainfall in the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico
Recorded presentation Luis M. Farfán, CICESE, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Mexico |
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| 2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 12B Numerical Weather Prediction: Data assimilation, Ensemble Initialization, and Microphysics |
Chair: Glen Romine, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 2:00 PM | 12B.1 | Object-oriented clustering analysis of CAPS convective scale ensemble forecasts for the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment: A first step toward optimal ensemble configuration for convective scale probabilistic forecasting
Recorded presentation Aaron T. Johnson, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang, F. Kong, and M. Xue |
| 2:15 PM | | Development of a Hybrid Ensemble and Variational method for Storm Scale
Recorded presentation Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and D. J. Stensrud |
| | 12B.2 | Improving hail prediction with a new triple-moment hail microphysics scheme Adrian M. Loftus, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton |
| 2:30 PM | 12B.4 | Probabilistic precipitation forecast skill as a function of ensemble size and spatial scale in a convection-allowing ensemble
Recorded presentation Adam J. Clark, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, F. Kong, K. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, J. Gao, K. K. Droegemeier, J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, D. Bright, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du |
| | 12B.3 | Comparison of severe weather guidance derived from single and double moment configurations of a microphysical parameterization in daily forecasts with the WRF model John S. Kain, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. Clark, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, S. Y. Hong, K. S. S. Lim, and J. Dudhia |
| 2:45 PM | 12B.5 | High-resolution storm-scale numerical weather prediction using EnKF for the 8 May 2003 Moore Oklahoma tornadic supercell
Recorded presentation Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and E. R. Mansell, D. C. Dowell, and D. T. Dawson II |
| 3:00 PM | 12B.6 | EnKF analyses of two tornadic supercells using rapid-scan phased array radar data
Recorded presentation Therese E. Thompson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. J. Wicker, P. L. Heinselman, and C. L. Ziegler |
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| 3:15 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 3:15 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 7 Numerical Weather Prediction Posters |
| | P7.1 | How midlevel horizontal humidity gradients affect simulated storm morphology Matthew J. Bunkers, NOAA/NWSFO, Rapid City, SD |
| | P7.2 | Three-dimensional Analyses of Several Thunderstorm Cases Observed using Hunan's Regional Radar Network Chenghao Fu, Human Meteorological Observatory, Changsha, Hunan, China; and J. Gao, Z. Li, C. Ye, L. Xu, and M. Xue |
| | P7.3 | Impact of Assimilating Radar Observations on Storm-scale EnKF System within Realistic Mesoscale Environment Nusrat Yussouf, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Wheatley and D. Stensrud |
| | P7.4 | The Development of a Hybrid 3DVAR-EnKF Algorithm for Storm-scale Data Assimilation Jidong Gao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and D. J. Stensrud |
| | P7.5 | Simulating GOES-R satellite imagery from WRF output Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and L. Grasso, J. Sieglaff, J. A. Otkin, R. M. Rabin, and J. S. Kain |
| | P7.6 | A comparison of the structural evolution and microphysical state of a forecasted MCS using a single and two-moment microphysics scheme Bryan J. Putnam, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, G. Zhang, Y. Jung, N. Snook, and A. D. Schenkman |
| | P7.7 | Impacts of varying the integration depth on performance of updraft helicity as numerical guidance for severe thunderstorms forecasting Stacey M. Hitchcock, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. T. Marsh and H. Brooks |
| | P7.8 | A proposed methodology for model-based feature-specific prediction designed for high impact weather Jacob R. Carley, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and B. R. J. Schwedler, M. E. Baldwin, R. J. Trapp, J. Kwiatkowski, J. Logsdon, and S. J. Weiss |
| | P7.9 | Spatial verification of convective systems during the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2010 Spring Experiment Michelle Harrold, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Jensen, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and R. Schneider |
| | P7.10 | Verification of probablistic forecasts for severe weather parameters in the 2010 Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast System and the operational SREF system Adam J. Clark, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, Y. Wang, K. Brewster, X. Wang, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, and J. Du |
| | P7.11 | A New Lightning Parameterization and its Implementation in a Weather Prediction Model Johannes Dahl, North Carolina State University, 27695-8208, NC; and H. Hoeller and U. Schumann |
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| 3:15 PM-5:00 PM, Wednesday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 8 Supercells and Tornadoes Posters II |
| | P8.1 | An examination of environmental parameters and radar evolution associated with tornadic supercells in south-central Nebraska on 15 June and 17 June 2009 Jeremy J. Wesely, NOAA/NWS, Hastings, NE; and R. D. Pfannkuch |
| | P8.2 | Preliminary analysis of a winter tornadic storm observed with radar and in situ instrumentation Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Inoue, K. Bessho, M. Nakazato, W. Mashiko, S. Hayashi, S. Hoshino, H. Yamauchi, T. Imai, K. Araki, T. Fukuhara, T. Shibata, Y. Hono, W. Kato, K. Adachi, and T. Takemi |
| | P8.3 | The Vertical Structures within a winter tornadic storm during landfall over the Japan Sea area Kenichi Kusunoki, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and H. Inoue, K. Bessho, M. Nakazato, W. Mashiko, S. Hayashi, S. Hoshino, H. Yamauchi, T. Imai, K. Araki, T. Fukuhara, T. Shibata, Y. Hono, W. Kato, K. Adachi, and T. Takemi |
| | P8.4 | High-resolution OU-PRIME radar observations of a prolific tornado-producing supercell on 10 May 2010 David Bodine, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. D. Palmer, M. R. Kumjian, and A. V. Ryzhkov |
| | P8.5 | Microphysical characteristics in supercell thunderstorms using mobile dual-polarization radars and mobile disdrometers Katja Friedrich, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and F. Masters, J. Wurman, and D. W. Burgess |
| | P8.6 | A multiple-wavelength polarimetric analysis of the 16 May 2010 Oklahoma City hailstorm Joseph C. Picca, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. V. Ryzhkov |
| | P8.7 | Polarimetric radar characteristics of a supercell hailstorm on 10 May 2010 in central Oklahoma Clark D. Payne, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. A. Van Den Broeke, L. R. Lemon, and P. T. Schlatter |
| | P8.8 | The structure and time evolution of polarimetric signatures in severe convective storms based on high-resolution numerical simulations and data from a mobile, dual-polarized, X-band Doppler radar Jeffrey C. Snyder, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein, Y. Jung, S. J. Frasier, and V. Venkatesh |
| | P8.9 | Supercell Dissipation Observed by VORTEX2 on 9 June 2009 and its Impact on the Understanding of Storm Demise Casey E. Letkewicz, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and M. D. Parker |
| | P8.10 | An examination of varying supercell environments over the complex terrain of the eastern Tennessee River Valley David M. Gaffin, NOAA/NWSFO, Morristown, TN; and D. G. Hotz |
| | P8.11 | Mesoscale environments and radar characteristics of three late evening Appalachian tornadic supercells in early May 2009 Stephen J. Keighton, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA; and M. Chenard and A. Phillips |
| | P8.12 | The Effects of Topography and Friction on Mesocyclones and Tornadoes Timothy A. Coleman, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL |
| | P8.13 | The 17 June 2010 Minnesota Tornado Outbreak: A Brief Event Overview and Historical Perspective Thomas R. Hultquist, NOAA/NWS, Chanhassen, MN; and D. J. Miller, B. Bramer, M. Friedlein, T. Krause, A. Graning, A. Lamers, G. Gust, and D. Kellenbenz |
| | P8.14 | Classic and HP mini-supercells in southeast Oregon and southwest Idaho on 3 May 2009 Stephen S. Parker, NOAA/NWSFO, Boise, ID |
| | P8.15 | Simulations of the supercell outbreak of 18 March 1925 Melissa E. Becker, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and M. S. Gilmore, J. Naylor, J. K. Weber, R. A. Maddox, G. P. Compo, J. S. Whitaker, and T. M. Hamill |
| | P8.16 | Storm mergers. Part 2: Observations of merger events from VORTEX2 Ryan M. Hastings, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and Y. P. Richardson, P. M. Markowski, and J. Wurman |
| | P8.17 | Impacts of Cell Interaction on Storm Intensification: A Dynamical and Microphysical Perspective Ann Syrowski, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and R. B. Wilhelmson |
| | P8.18 | Evolution of the 4 May 2007 Greensburg, Kansas tornadic supercell storm as inferred from mobile, X-band Doppler radar observations Robin L. Tanamachi, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and H. B. Bluestein, S. J. Frasier, and K. Hardwick |
| | P8.19 | Low-level mesocyclogenesis in the presence of increasing low-level atmospheric stability Kent H. Knopfmeier, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma/NSSL, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud |
| | P8.20 | Super Tuesday storm variability Todd A. Murphy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. Knupp |
| | P8.21 | Dual-Doppler Wind Analysis of Low-level Mesocyclones Verified against StickNet Wind Observations Anthony E. Reinhart, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
| | P8.22 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| | P8.22 | Initiation and modulation of severe storms along warm fronts Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. B. Wilhelmson |
| | P8.23 | Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part I: Sensitivity to convective initiation mechanisms Lawrence Burkett, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. S. Gilmore, R. L. Thompson, R. Edwards, J. M. Straka, and R. B. Wilhelmson |
| | P8.24 | The 21 January Huntsville tornado: Storm and mesoscale characteristics inferred from combined high-resolution dual-polarization radar data and video images Kevin R. Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and T. Coleman and E. W. McCaul Jr. |
| | P8.25 | Precipitation characteristics of supercell hook echoes Matthew R. Kumjian, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK ; and A. V. Ryzhkov |
| | P8.26 | Two record breaking Australian hailstorms: storm environments, damage characteristics and rarity Bruce William Buckley, Insurance Australia Group, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; and W. Sullivan, P. Chan, and M. Leplastrier |
| | P8.27 | Surface observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with the Aurora, NE tornado of 17 June 2009 Bruce D. Lee, WindLogics Inc., Grand Rapids, MN; and C. A. Finley, C. D. Karstens, and T. M. Samaras |
| | P8.28 | (Formerly P10.1) Possible impacts of the Enhanced Fujita Scale on United States tornado data Roger Edwards, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks |
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| 5:00 PM-5:05 PM, Wednesday Sessions Adjourn for the Day |
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| 5:30 PM-10:00 PM, Wednesday Depart for Off-Site Dinner Event |
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Thursday, 14 October 2010 |
| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 13A Supercells and Tornadoes: Supercell Structure and Dynamics II |
Cochairs: Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; Therese E. Thompson, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 8:00 AM | 13A.1 | Invited Speaker—Future of severe storm research
Recorded presentation Roger M. Wakimoto, NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 8:30 AM | 13A.2 | Numerical Simulation of Infrasound Generated by Severe Storms
Recorded presentation David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and M. E. Nicholls |
| 8:45 AM | 13A.3 | Simulating supercell thunderstorms in a horizontally heterogeneous convective boundary layer
Recorded presentation Christopher J. Nowotarski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and P. M. Markowski, Y. P. Richardson, and G. H. Bryan |
| 9:00 AM | 13A.4 | Doppler lidar observations of the boundary layer near tornadic and non-tornadic supercells
Recorded presentation Jana B. Houser, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. Bluestein, G. D. Emmitt, and R. Bluth |
| | 13A.5 | Examination of the low level polarimetric radar parameters associated with the August 20 2009 southern Ontario tornadic supercells Mike Leduc, EC, King City, ON, Canada; and S. Boodoo and D. M. L. Sills |
| 9:15 AM | 13A.6 | Intercomparison between the observed and modeled 21 January 2010 low topped tornado producing thunderstorm in Huntsville, AL
Recorded presentation Elise V. Schultz, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and C. Kirkpatrick, U. S. Nair, C. J. Schultz, K. Knupp, W. A. Petersen, and L. D. Carey |
| 9:30 AM | 13A.7 | Electrification and Lightning in Simulations of the 29 May 2004 Geary, OK Storm Using EnKF Data Assimilation Kristin M. Kuhlman, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. R. Mansell, D. R. MacGorman, and M. I. Biggerstaff |
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| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 13B Numerical Weather Prediction: Model Verification |
Chair: Louis J. Wicker, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 8:30 AM | 13B.1 | An Overview of the Objective Evaluation Performed During the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 Spring Experimen
Recorded presentation Tara L. Jensen, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and M. Harrold, B. G. Brown, S. J. Weiss, P. T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. J. Clark, K. W. Thomas, J. S. Kain, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F. E. Barthold, J. J. Levit, and M. C. Coniglio |
| 8:45 AM | 13B.2 | A Report and Feature-based Verification Study of the CAPS 2008 Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasts for Severe Convective Weather Amy R. Harless, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, M. Xue, and F. Kong |
| 9:00 AM | 13B.3 | Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts
Recorded presentation Israel L. Jirak, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, C. J. Melick, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, A. J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas |
| 9:15 AM | 13B.4 | When can high-resolution NWP model forecasts be trusted? Using error characteristics of the initial conditions to evaluate the likelihood of accurate forecasts
Recorded presentation Craig S. Schwartz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. L. Weisman and W. Wang |
| 9:30 AM | 13B.5 | An environmental climatology of the CAPS Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment
Recorded presentation Christopher J. Melick, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and I. L. Jirak, S. J. Weiss, A. J. Clark, P. T. Marsh, J. S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K. W. Thomas |
| 9:45 AM | 13B.6 | Using traditional and spatial verification methods to evaluate real-time model forecasts of convection
Recorded presentation Derek R. Stratman, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and M. C. Coniglio and M. Xue |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 14 Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making: Short-Range Forecasting II |
Chair: Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 10:30 AM | 14.1 | Invited Speaker—Future of severe storm forecasting
Recorded presentation David Stensrud, CIMMS, Norman, OK |
| 11:00 AM | 14.2 | Assessing the utility of several analysis schemes for diagnosing precursor signals for convective initiation and non-supercell tornadogenesis along boundaries
Recorded presentation Edward J. Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ. and NOAA, Boulder, CO; and S. Albers, Y. Xie, L. S. Wharton, R. Glancy, E. Thaler, D. Barjenbruch, B. Meier, and Z. Toth |
| 11:15 AM | 14.3 | Using convection-allowing models to produce forecast guidance for severe thunderstorm hazards via a “surrogate severe” approach
Recorded presentation Ryan Sobash, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, M. C. Coniglio, A. R. Dean, D. R. Bright, and S. J. Weiss |
| 11:30 AM | 14.4 | Investigating a fundamental component of a Warn-on-Forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment
Recorded presentation Patrick T. Marsh, NOAA/NSSL & OU/CIMMS/SoM, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain, S. J. Weiss, I. L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K. W. Thomas, and M. Xue |
| 11:45 AM | 14.5 | Forecasting Supercell Storms: Application of Operational Tools and Cutting-Edge Numerical Model Guidance in VORTEX2
Recorded presentation Keith A. Brewster, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. G. LaDue, M. C. Coniglio, M. P. Foster, T. P. Marshall, and G. S. Garfield |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday Break for Lunch |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 15 Supercells and Tornadoes: Tornadogenesis |
Chair: Yvette P. Richardson, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
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| 1:30 PM | 15.1 | Near-surface vortexgenesis in idealized three-dimensional numerical simulations involving a heat source and a heat sink in a vertically sheared environment
Recorded presentation Paul M. Markowski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and M. Majcen and Y. Richardson |
| 1:45 PM | 15.2 | Evolution of a Tornadic Supercell and its Environment Sampled by the NWRT Phased Array Radar and Oklahoma City Micronet
Recorded presentation Rick Hluchan, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. L. Heinselman and R. A. Brown |
| 2:00 PM | 15.3 | TTUKa Mobile Doppler Radar Observations of Near-Surface Circulations in VORTEX2
Recorded presentation Patrick S. Skinner, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss, A. E. Reinhart, W. S. Gunter, J. L. Schroeder, and J. Guynes |
| 2:15 PM | 15.4 | High-resolution radar analysis during tornadogenesis from OU-PRIME on 10 May 2010
Recorded presentation David Bodine, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and R. D. Palmer, C. Ziegler, and P. L. Heinselman |
| 2:30 PM | 15.5 | Precipitation properties of a cool-season tornadic storm inferred from C-band dual-polarimetric radar and 2D-video disdrometer observations
Recorded presentation Lawrence D. Carey, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and W. A. Petersen, M. Thurai, M. E. Anderson, E. V. Schultz, C. J. Schultz, and K. Knupp |
| 2:45 PM | 15.6 | Comparing aerosol and low-level moisture influences on supercell tornadogenesis: idealized simulations
Recorded presentation David Lerach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. R. Cotton |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break |
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 9 Forecasting Techniques and Warning Decision Making Posters II |
| | P9.1 | A study of convective initiation failure on 22 October 2004 Jennifer M. Laflin, NOAA/NWS, Sioux Falls, SD; and P. N. Schumacher |
| | P9.2 | Comparing techniques and reanalysis datasets when diagnosing the relative severity of convective outbreaks Chad M. Shafer, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and A. E. Mercer, M. B. Richman, L. M. Leslie, and C. A. Doswell III |
| | P9.3 | An operational approach for integrating multiple high resolution model solutions during a high impact event: the 22 May 2010 EF4 Bowdle tornado Michael A. Fowle, NOAA/NWS, Aberdeen, SD |
| | P9.4 | Composite analysis of environmental conditions favorable for significant tornadoes across eastern Kansas Joshua M. Boustead, NOAA/NWS, Valley, NE; and B. E. Mayes, W. Gargan, G. Phillips, and J. Leighton |
| | P9.5 | An application of a cutoff low forecaster pattern recognition model to the 30 June–2 July 2009 significant event for the Northeast Thomas A. Wasula, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and N. A. Stuart, M. Scalora, L. F. Bosart, and D. Keyser |
| | P9.6 | WSR-88D close-range sampling of neighboring supercells: a case of tornadic versus non-tornadic tendencies Steven R. Cobb, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and T. T. Lindley |
| | P9.7 | ZDR column characteristics and trends during the 10 May 2010 severe weather outbreak Cynthia A. Van Den Broeke, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. D. Payne, L. R. Lemon, and P. T. Schlatter |
| | P9.8 | The impact of WSR-88D Super-Resolution data in low-level mesocyclone evaluation James G. LaDue, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and C. S. Spannagle, V. L. Holtz, and S. M. Torres |
| | P9.9 | PAPER WITHDRAWN
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| 3:00 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom ABC Poster Session 10 Supercells and Tornadoes Posters III |
| | | P10.1 moved. New paper number P8.29
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| | P10.1 | Using new technologies for damage surveys John T. Ferree, NOAA/NWS, Norman, OK; and R. Smith and J. Robinson |
| | P10.2 | Forest damage associated with tornadoes in northern Arizona David O. Blanchard, NOAA/NWS, Flagstaff, AZ |
| | P10.3 | The mystery of the Saragosa, Texas tornadoes: Was Saragosa hit by tornadoes multiple times prior to the 1987 tornado? Mark R. Conder, NOAA/NWSFO, Lubbock, TX; and G. Skwira |
| | P10.4 | Taxonomy and analysis of tornado surface marks M. I. Zimmerman, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV; and D. C. Lewellen |
| | P10.5 | On the performance of brick and concrete masonry in windstorms Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX |
| | P10.6 | In Situ and radar observations of low-level winds in tornadoes Joshua Wurman, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and K. A. Kosiba and P. Robinson |
| | P10.7 | A comparison of radar observations to real data simulations of axisymmetric tornadoes Karen A. Kosiba, Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, CO; and R. J. Trapp |
| | P10.8 | Investigations of Cai's Power Law for Strong Tornados Douglas P. Dokken, University of St. Thomas, St. Paul, MN; and K. Scholz and M. Shvartsman |
| | P10.9 | Statistical Mechanics of Tornado Intensity Distributions Masahisa Nakazato, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and O. Suzuki, K. Kusunoki, H. Yamauchi, and H. Y. Inoue |
| | P10.10 | An anticyclonic tornado observed 10 May 2010 with CASA radar J. Brotzge, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. R. Lemon |
| | P10.11 | Analysis of near-surface wind flow in close proximity to tornadoes Christopher D. Karstens, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and T. M. Samaras, W. A. Gallus Jr., C. A. Finley, and B. D. Lee |
| | P10.12 | A new parametric model of vortex tangential wind-profile: Testing and verification Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and L. W. White |
| | P10.13 | Exploring Doppler radar estimates of tornado intensity Mallie Toth, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp, J. Wurman, and K. A. Kosiba |
| | P10.14 | Two tornadic thunderstorms in ostensibly weak deep layer shear environments in southeastern Colorado: cyclic supercells of May 25 (Kiowa County) and May 31 (Baca County) 2010 John P. Monteverdi, San Francisco State Univ., San Francisco, CA; and M. Umscheid and E. M. Bookbinder |
| | P10.15 | Numerical simulation of low-level misocyclones associated with winter convective cells: a case study from the Shonai area railroad weather project Ken-ichi Shimose, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Hayashi, W. Mashiko, K. Kusunoki, K. Bessho, S. Hoshino, K. Araki, H. Y. Inoue, M. Nakazato, Y. Hono, T. Imai, K. Adachi, H. Yamauchi, and T. Takemi |
| | P10.16 | Case of rapid tornado development from a cell with maximum reflectivity of 40dBz Paul G. Wolyn, NOAA/NWSFO, Pueblo, CO |
| | P10.17 | Impact of lapse rates upon low-level rotation in idealized storms Matthew D. Parker, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC |
| | P10.18 | Origins of the Granite Falls, MN Tornado, July 25, 2000 Revisited Douglas P. Dokken, University of St. Thomas, St. Paul, MN; and L. Edholm, J. Nelson, K. Scholz, P. Shanahan, K. Weise, R. Naistat, and W. E. Togstad |
| | P10.19 | Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part III: Comparisons at tornado-resolving gridspacing Jason Naylor, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND ; and M. S. Gilmore, R. Edwards, and R. L. Thompson |
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| 4:30 PM-6:00 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Session 16A Supercells and Tornadoes: Tornado Structure, Dynamics, and Damage II |
Chair: Paul M. Markowski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA
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| 4:30 PM | 16A.1 | A diagnostic study of a numerically generated supercell tornado vortex
Recorded presentation Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. L. Büker |
| 4:45 PM | 16A.2 | The electromagnetic-hydrodynamic analogy: an approach to vortex dynamics and preservation in tornadic simulations
Recorded presentation Marcus L. Büker, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL; and G. J. Tripoli |
| 5:00 PM | 16A.3 | Classifying and analyzing tornado-like vortices far from axisymmetry
Recorded presentation D. C. Lewellen, West Virginia Univ., Morgantown, WV |
| 5:15 PM | 16A.4 | Oklahoma tornadoes of 10 May 2010
Recorded presentation Leslie R. Lemon, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and C. D. Payne, C. A. Van Den Broeke, and P. T. Schlatter |
| 5:30 PM | 16A.5 | Rapid-scan analyses of supercells during tornadogenesis using a mobile, phased-array, X-band, Doppler radar
Recorded presentation Michael M. French, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and H. B. Bluestein, I. PopStefanija, C. Baldi, and R. Bluth |
| 5:45 PM | 16A.6 | An Examination of the Vertical Structure of two tornadoes using Ka-band mobile doppler radar
Recorded presentation Ryan S. Metzger, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss |
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| 4:30 PM-6:30 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom D Session 16B Severe Weather Climatology III |
Chair: William A. Gallus, Jr., Iowa State Univ., Ames, IA
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| 4:30 PM | 16B.1 | A technique for developing a US climatology of thunderstorms: The ThOR algorithm Jamie Lahowetz, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and A. Houston, G. Limpert, A. Gibbs, and B. L. Barjenbruch |
| 4:45 PM | 16B.2 | Tracking of mesoscale weather systems in a high-resolution convection-permitting simulation of current climate
Recorded presentation Benjamin R. J. Schwedler, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and M. E. Baldwin and R. J. Trapp |
| 5:00 PM | 16B.3 | Measured severe convective wind gust climatology of thunderstorms for the contiguous United States, 2003–2009
Recorded presentation Bryan T. Smith, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and A. C. Winters, C. M. Mead, A. R. Dean, and T. E. Castellanos |
| 5:15 PM | 16B.4 | Regional trends of severe convective weather from high-resolution WRF simulations
Recorded presentation Eric D. Robinson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and R. J. Trapp, M. Baldwin, N. S. Diffenbaugh, and A. Gluhovsky |
| 5:30 PM | 16B.5 | A comparison of the ambient conditions favoring different organizational convective structures over the Northeast US
Recorded presentation Kelly Lombardo, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY |
| 5:45 PM | 16B.6 | Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States
Recorded presentation Richard L. Thompson, SPC/NWS/NOAA, Norman, OK; and B. T. Smith, J. S. Grams, A. R. Dean, and C. Broyles |
| 6:00 PM | 16B.7 | Effects of climate change on Central United States severe weather environments
Recorded presentation James Correia, PNNL, Richland, WA; and R. Leung |
| 6:15 PM | | Awards & Concluding Remarks
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| 6:30 PM-6:35 PM, Thursday 25th Conference on Severe Local Storms Adjourns |
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| 8:30 PM-10:30 PM, Thursday, Grand Mesa Ballroom F Storm Video Night II |
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