Program: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology (90th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Short Course Registration

Annual Meeting Registration Begins

Weatherfest

First-Time Attendee Briefing

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Annual Meeting Review and Fellows Awards

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Fellows Reception

Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Registration Open

Presidential Forum

Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1 and 2 (GWCC)

Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

Panel Discussion 1

Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Moderator: Steve Abelman, NOAA/NWS Office of Science and Technology

Panelists: Jaime Figueroa, FAA; Don Berchoff, NOAA/NWS

11:00 AM

PD1.1

Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation -- NWS

Don Berchoff, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

PD1.2

Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation -- FAA

Jaime Figueroa, FAA, Washington, DC

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Session 1

Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 1

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS

1:30 PM

1.1

Evaluation of enroute convective weather avoidance models based on planned and observed flight

Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.4 MB)

1:45 PM

1.2

Methods for estimating air traffic capacity reductions due to convective weather for verification

Geary J. Layne, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. A. Lack

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (707.9 kB)

2:00 PM

1.3

Traffic Management Advisor (TMA) � weather integration

Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and H. J. Davison-Reynolds and J. E. Evans

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.2 MB)

2:15 PM

1.4

An Integrated Strategic-Tactical Approach to Managing Traffic Flows to the Northeast During Severe Convective Weather

James Evans, MIT, Lexington, MA; and M. Robinson, J. Cho, and M. Evans

Recorded presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Poster Session

Convection, Decision Support Systems and ATM Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

170

Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of cumulonimbus clouds from World Area Forecast Centres

Andrew K. Mirza, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, P. Gill, and L. Reid

171

Convection diagnosis and nowcasting system for transoceanic aircraft

Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, M. Donovan, E. R. Williams, R. Bankert, and J. Hawkins

Handout (136.1 kB)

172

Optical Turbulence Simulations from a Numerical Weather Prediction Model in Support of Air to Air Laser Communications

Randall Alliss, Northrop Grumann Corporation, Chantilly, VA; and B. Felton

Handout (480.1 kB)

173

Severe high altitude aircraft turbulence on thunderstorm peripheries

Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS; and J. A. Knox and P. D. Williams

Handout (370.4 kB)

174

How to represent the weather impact on aviation in a global air traffic model

Stephan Himmelsbach, Leibniz Universit�t Hannover, Hannover, Germany; and T. Hauf and C. H. Rokitansky

175

Convective Initiation in the northern Mid-Atlantic during the Summer Season

Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ; and A. Wuestenberg, D. Fadeski, and J. Schulte

176

Diameters of cumulonimbi over land and ocean and their dependence on cloud base height

Earle R. Williams, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and M. F. Donovan, Z. J. Luo, C. Kessinger, H. Cai, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, M. Steiner, J. Hawkins, R. Bankert, and D. Bou Karam

177

Operational Scoring of Forecasts of Convective Weather Impacts in the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)

John Hayward, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews

178

Translating an Ensemble Weather Forecast into Operational Disruption for the National Airspace System

John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Duquette, D. Bright, J. Racy, G. Grosshans, and B. Sherman

Handout (539.1 kB)

179

The �Barn Door� Effect

Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA

Handout (412.2 kB)

180

Multi-sensor visualization and assessment of the state of the atmosphere during the June 1 2009 AF447 crash

Gregory Leptoukh, NASA, Greenbelt, MD; and D. Ostrenga, H. H. Aumann, Z. Liu, and A. Savtchenko

Poster Session

Key Challenges and Opportunities in Aviation Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

181

Weather Research Coordination and Challenges of NextGen

Darien L. Davis, NOAA/OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and W. Fellner and J. J. Murray

182

The new Aviation Meteorology specialization in the Graduate Aeronautics program at Embry-Riddle

John M. Lanicci, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ., Daytona Beach, FL; and E. A. Roberts

Handout (142.8 kB)

183

Aviation Weather Tools Available on the Houston Center Weather Service Unit Web Site

Eric Avila, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX

Handout (46.9 kB)

184

Adventures in technology transfer

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wallace

185

Impacts of haze on high-capacity airport operations

Randall A. Skov, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA

186

A Look at Airport Delays Due to Ceiling and Visibility Conditions

Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, B. Lambi, and R. E. Bateman

187

Comparison of Precipitation Rate Intensities as Determined by Visibility Versus Liquid Water Equivalent Measurements

Jennifer Black, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rasmussen and S. Landolt

Handout (429.4 kB)

188

A Combined Sensor Method for Detecting Frost Formation

Grant E. Gutierrez, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, R. Rasmussen, J. Black, and A. Gaydos

189

A Comparison of an Automated Freezing Drizzle Algorithm to Human Observations

Scott Landolt, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. K. Politovich, R. Rasmussen, and A. Gaydos

Handout (716.5 kB)

190

FRAM-S Freezing Fog Project: Emphasis On Visibility Forecasting

Ismail Gultepe, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and R. M. Rasmussen, B. Zhou, R. K. Ungar, and R. Nitu

Handout (2.2 MB)

191

Can CoSPA improve the predictability of C&V events?

Richard E. Bateman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Herzegh, C. Kessinger, and J. Black

Handout (73.7 kB)

Session 2

Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 2

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS

4:00 PM

2.1

Improved thunderstorm weather information for pilots through ground and satellite based observing systems

Arnold Tafferner, DLR - Deutsches Zentrum f�r Luft- und Raumfahrt, Wessling, Germany; and C. Forster, T. Hauf, and R. W. Lunnon

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

4:15 PM

2.2

Convective initiation nowcasting using SEVIRI infrared and visible data

John R. Mecikalski, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and W. M. MacKenzie Jr. and M. Koenig

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

2.3

The High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR): Recent enhancements and evaluation during the 2009 convective season

Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, C. R. Alexander, S. G. Benjamin, K. J. Brundage, B. D. Jamison, and S. R. Sahm

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

2.4

Creation of real-time probabilistic thunderstorm guidance products from a time-lagged ensemble of High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) forecasts

Curtis R. Alexander, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CIRES-Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Koch, S. S. Weygandt, T. G. Smirnova, and S. G. Benjamin

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

2.5

Aviation Impact Forecasting based on time-lagged HRRR Ensembles

Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. Megenhardt, R. DeLaura, M. Robinson, S. S. Weygandt, and C. Alexander

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

2.6

Evaluating supplemental relationships between convective forecast products for aviation

Steven A. Lack, NOAA/ESRL/GSD/CIRES Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Layne, M. P. Kay, S. Madine, and J. Mahoney

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (323.3 kB)

Joint Session 2

The emergence of new scientific partnerships

Location: B312 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 24th Conference on Hydrology; the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology; the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the First Environment and Health Symposium )

Chair: Genevieve E. Maricle, Arizona State Univ.

4:00 PM

J2.1

Climate Adaptation Partnerships in Semiarid North America

Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

J2.2

The FEMA Hurricane Liaison Team: Bridging the Communication Gap (because Great Minds Don't Always Think Alike)

Matthew Green, FEMA, Miami, FL

4:30 PM

J2.3

Partnership between the Dr�avni hidrometeorolo�ki zavod (DHMZ) and the University of Oklahoma (OU)

Ivan Cacic, Dr�avni hidrometeorolo�ki zavod, Zagreb, Croatia; and B. Ivančan-Picek, B. Lipov�ćak, K. Pandzic, B. Terek, V. Tuti�, G. Zuccon, K. Crawford, R. A. McPherson, K. L. Nemunaitis-Monroe, and J. T. Snow

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

J2.4

The Norman, Oklahoma Chamber of Commerce Weather Committee: A Framework for New Partnerships Among Industry, Government and Academia

Kelvin K. Droegemeier, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and W. L. Qualley, V. Rose, and A. M. Suggs

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

J2.5

The Weather And Society *Integrated Studies (WAS*IS) Program: yesterday, today, and tomorrow

G. Thomas Behler Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. Gruntfest, J. Demuth, J. K. Lazo, and E. Laidlaw

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

J2.6

User engagement activities at NOAA's national climatic data center

Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (195.7 kB)

Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception

Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

Session 3

Convection, Decision Support Systems and Air Traffic Management, Part 3

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Actionet Inc.; Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS

8:30 AM

3.1

A Comparison of Air Traffic Management Decision Aids and Meteorological Tools

Charles A. West, NOAA/NWS, Hampton, GA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (396.3 kB)

8:45 AM

3.2

Severe weather avoidance program performance metrics for New York departure operations

Ngaire Underhill, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Robinson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (937.4 kB)

9:00 AM

3.3

Use of Aircraft-Based Data to Evaluate Factors in Pilot Decision Making in Enroute Airspace

Bradley Crowe, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and M. Matthews

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

9:15 AM

3.4

Diagnosis of phase errors in high-resolution NWP model forecasts of precipitation and application to improved aviation weather forecasts

Cody L. Phillips, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. O. Pinto, D. Albo, and M. Steiner

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (637.2 kB)

Joint Session 3

Data Collection, Interpretation, Assimilation, and Stewardship

Location: B306 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 24th Conference on Hydrology; and the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology )

Chair: Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD

8:30 AM

J3.1

The Impacts on Air Traffic of Volcanic Ash from the 2009 Mt. Redoubt Eruption

Alexander Matus, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and L. A. Hudnall, J. J. Murray, and A. Krueger

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (341.4 kB)

8:45 AM

J3.2

UrbanNet: Urban Environment Monitoring and Modeling with a Wireless Sensor Network

Paul J. Croft, Kean University, Union, NJ; and P. Morreale, F. Qi, A. Tropek, and M. Andujar

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

9:00 AM

J3.3

Network of Weather and Climate Observing Networks (NOWCON)

Samuel P. Williamson, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD; and J. E. Stailey and S. J. Taijeron

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (237.1 kB)

9:15 AM

J3.4

Comparison of COOP and new HCN-M temperature products

John R. Christy, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

J3.5

The Impact of Temporally Varying Snowfall Rates on Holdover Time using the LWE and Check Time Systems

Roy Rasmussen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Landolt, J. Black, and A. Gaydos

Recorded presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Poster Session

In-flight Icing Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

192

An investigation of wintertime midlevel mixed-phase clouds with supercooled water droplets using in-situ measurements

Yoo-Jeong Noh, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and T. H. Vonder Haar

Handout (858.4 kB)

193

The effect of advanced satellite products on an icing nowcasting system

Julie A. Haggerty, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Black, F. McDonough, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith Jr.

Handout (239.4 kB)

194

Analysis of causes of icing conditions which contributed to the crash of Contentental flight 3407

Frederick R. Mosher, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL; and D. Schaum

Handout (368.0 kB)

Poster Session

Nowcasting and Modeling Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

195

Analog ensemble scheme for objective, short-term cloud forecasting

Timothy J. Hall, The Aerospace Corporation, Silver Spring, MD; and R. N. Thessin, G. J. Bloy, and C. N. Mutchler

Handout (577.6 kB)

196

Improving cloud nowcasting via incorporation of cloud type

John Forsythe, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and E. M. Guillot and T. H. Vonder Haar

Handout (189.8 kB)

197

Meteorological Support for Unmanned Aerial Systems at Dugway Proving Ground

Susan Krippner, Dugway Proving Ground West Desert Test Center, Dugway, UT; and E. N. Vernon and J. Pace

Handout (980.3 kB)

198

Snowbands generated by the release of inertial, symmetric, and conditional instabilities

David M. Schultz, Universities of Helsinki and Manchester/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and R. S. Schumacher and J. Knox

The thunder project

Joint Poster Session

Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space Posters

Hosts: (Joint between the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather; and the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology )

199

Validation of the operational D-Region Absorption Prediction (D-RAP) model at the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Rashid A. Akmaev, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO; and A. Newman, M. V. Codrescu, J. Vickroy, C. Schultz, E. Nerney, S. Hill, and H. Sauer

Handout (1.8 MB)

200

Developments in Aviation Space Weather Services

Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and C. Dyer, A. Hands, R. Iles, K. Ryden, M. Smith, M. Stills, and G. Taylor

Session 4

Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 1

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

11:00 AM

4.1

Status report on the Rapid Refresh

Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, M. Hu, D. D�v�nyi, K. J. Brundage, J. B. Olson, W. R. Moninger, C. R. Alexander, G. Grell, B. D. Jamison, S. E. Peckham, and T. L. Smith

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

4.2

An objective verification of the North American Mesoscale Model for Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Force Station

William H. Bauman III, ENSCO, Inc., Cocoa Beach, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (260.0 kB)

11:30 AM

4.3

Feasibility study on using high resolution numerical models to forecast severe aircraft turbulence associated with thunderstorms

Donald W. McCann, McCann Aviation Weather Reaserch, Inc., Overland Park, KS

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (92.7 kB)

11:45 AM

4.4

Estimating regional cloud base altitudes from local CloudSat observations via type-dependent statistical extrapolation

Steven D. Miller, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. M. Forsythe, R. Bankert, P. T. Partain, and T. H. Vonder Haar

Recorded presentation

Exhibits Open

Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)

Joint Session 1

Space Weather Products and Services for Aviation and Commercial Space

Location: B315 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Seventh Symposium on Space Weather )

Cochairs: Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA; Joseph Kunches, NOAA/SWPC

1:30 PM

J1.1

Federal Aviation Administration Examination of Space Weather in support of Aviation

Steven Albersheim, Federal Aviation Administration, Washington, DC; and M. J. Gunzelman, AvMET Applications Inc.

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

J1.2

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center � Products and Services in Support of Aviation

William J. Murtagh, NOAA/Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

J1.3

Integrating Space Weather Observations & Forecasts into Aviation Operations: �Aviation Space Weather User Requirements�

Bryn Jones, SolarMetrics Limited, Chedworth, Glos., United Kingdom; and D. Boteler, G. Fisher, J. Kunches, W. J. Murtagh, D. Rome, D. Rose, and M. Stills

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

J1.4

The use of Space Weather products at Delta Airlines

Andrew W. Schultz, Delta Air Lines, Minneapolis, MN; and H. Heitzman

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

J1.5

Protecting spaceflight participants and crew during "non-regulated" on-orbit operations

Karen Shelton-Mur, HQ FAA, Washington, DC

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

J1.6

Radiation exposure during suborbital commercial spaceflight

Ronald E. Turner, Analytic Services Inc. (ANSER), Arlington, VA; and S. Murray

Recorded presentation

Session 5

Nowcasting and Modeling, Part 2

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: John Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville; Lynn A. Sherretz, NOAA/ESRL; David I. Knapp, U.S. Army Research Laboratory

1:30 PM

5.1

Comparisons of Nowcasting Techniques for Oceanic Convection

Huaqing Cai, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and C. Kessinger, N. Rehak, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

5.2

Satellite Data Applications for Nowcasting of Convective Initiation

Haig Iskenderian, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. M. Bedka, C. Ivaldi, J. Sieglaff, W. Feltz, M. M. Wolfson, and W. M. MacKenzie Jr.

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

5.3

Development of an advanced aviation nowcasting system in support of air traffic management by blending radar nowcasting data with NWP forecasts

Peter P.W. Li, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and W. K. Wong

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (315.8 kB)

2:15 PM

5.4

The ganged phased array radar risk mitigation system: integrating weather effects

Mark Askelson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and J. Tilley, C. Theisen, and R. Johnson

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

5.5

Regime-based persistence probability of ceiling and visibility

Alister Ling, Canadian Meteorological Aviation Centre West, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; and B. Hansen and I. Gultepe

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (293.5 kB)

2:45 PM

5.6

A comparison of tropical storm (TS) and non-TS gust factors for assessing peak wind probabilities at the Eastern Range

Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL; and W. Crawford

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (157.3 kB)

Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall

Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

Session 6

In-flight Icing

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: Tim Wilfong, DeTect Inc; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS

3:30 PM

6.1

A regional analysis of clouds containing supercooled liquid water

Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Wolff and M. K. Politovich

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

6.2

A comparison of WRF-RR and RUC forecasts of aircraft icing conditions

Cory A. Wolff, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. McDonough

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (275.7 kB)

4:00 PM

6.3

Impacts of high thin cloud on the Current Icing Product (CIP)

Jeremy E. Solbrig, NRL, Monterey, CA; and T. F. Lee, R. L. Bankert, C. A. Wolff, and S. D. Miller

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

6.4

A new narrowbeam, multi-frequency scanning radiometer and its applications to in-flight icing detection

David Serke, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Beaty, A. L. Reehorst, P. C. Kennedy, F. Solheim, R. Ware, M. K. Politovich, D. A. Brunkow, and B. Bowie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

4:30 PM

6.5

Diagnosing icing severity and supercooled large drop regions within an operational aircraft icing nowcast system using advanced satellite products

Frank McDonough, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Haggerty, J. Black, P. Minnis, and W. L. Smith Jr.

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

4:45 PM

6.6

Global icing forecast verification using CloudSat data

Sean Madine, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Lu, M. P. Kay, and J. L. Mahoney

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

6.7

Further ruminations on predicting icing severity

Marcia K. Politovich, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

6.8

Weather Conditions Associated with Jet Engine Power-loss and Damage Due to Ingestion of Ice Particles: What We've Learned Through 2009

Matthew L. Grzych,, Boeing, Colorado Springs, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (523.3 kB)

Joint Session 4

Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 1

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Presidential Forum )

Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS

8:30 AM

J4.1

NextGen Weather Requirements: An Update

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and T. Kays, C. Miner, S. Abelman, R. C. Showalter, F. Bayne, J. Tauss, E. R. Dash, J. A. May, and L. Leonard

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

8:45 AM

J4.2

The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Roadmap to 2022

Mark B. Miller, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and T. E. Ryan and D. A. Miller

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

J4.3

The 4-D Weather Single Authoritative Source for air traffic management

Edward R. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Siver Spring, MD; and R. Heuwinkel, S. Abelman, and C. Miner

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (152.7 kB)

9:15 AM

J4.4

The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Data Services, standards and IT architecture

Timothy Hopkins, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and R. C. Deininger, C. MacDermaid, and M. B. Miller

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

J4.5

Satellite data and products in the NextGen 4-D data cube

David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Richards, W. Feltz, and T. J. Schmit

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

J4.6

User-specific evaluation technologies for the NextGen weather Single Authoritative Source

Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. Madine

Recorded presentation

Joint Session 5

Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part I

Location: B215 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; and the 24th Conference on Hydrology )

Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC

8:30 AM

J5.1

On the seamless prediction of weather and climate

Timothy N. Palmer, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

J5.2

Performance of the NOAA FIM global ensemble prediction system for hurricanes during the 2009 season

Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker and S. Benjamin

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

J5.3

Why does cloud superparameterization improve the simulated daily rainfall cycle in a multiscale climate modeling framework?

Michael S. Pritchard, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and R. C. J. Somerville

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

J5.4

North Pacific decadal variability and climate change in the IPCC AR4 models

Jason C. Furtado, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and E. Di Lorenzo

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

J5.5

Aquaplanet GCM simulations of tropical intraseasonal variability

Eric D. Maloney, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. Hannah

Recorded presentation

9:45 AM

J5.6

Factors affecting forecast skill of the MJO over the Maritime Continent

Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC - SAIC, Camp Springs, MD

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

Joint Session 6

Advances in Modeling, From Local through Regional to Large Scale, and From Deterministic to Ensemble-Probabilistic Prediction Part II

Location: B215 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the 14th Symposium on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; and the 24th Conference on Hydrology )

Chair: Ed Olenic, NOAA/NWS/CPC

10:30 AM

J6.1

Quantifying Contributions to Polar Warming Amplification in a Coupled General Circulation Model

Ming Cai, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and J. Lu

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

J6.2

The development of a coupled hurricane storm surge forecasting Model for the Pascagoula River

David A. Ramirez Jr., NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

J6.3

Evaluation of the new Australian climate model ACCESS

Ian G. Watterson, CAWCR, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia; and L. Rikus, B. Hu, and T. Elliott

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

J6.4

Mesoscale circulations in the urban-coastal environment: a modeling analysis and assessment of sensitivity to high-fidelity representation of the urban canopy

Michael Carter, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and J. M. Shepherd, S. Burian, and I. Jeyachandran

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

J6.5

Ensemble downscaling of seasonal forecasts

R. W. Arritt, Iowa State University, Ames, IA

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

J6.6

The misrepresentation of Tropical SSTs in climate models

Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, Univ. of Colorado/CIRES/CDC and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin

Joint Session 12

Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), Part 2

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Presidential Forum )

Cochairs: David J. Pace, FAA-Retired; Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS

J12.1

Gridding Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasting

10:45 AM

J12.1A

Progress on Next Generation Air Transportation System 4-D Weather Cube

Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Abelman, J. G. Stobie, S. Larsen, and B. Williams

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

J12.2

Upcoming improvements in NOAA modeling toward meeting NextGen aviation requirements

Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

J12.3

Introduction to the NCEP Very Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (VSREF)

Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du and G. DiMego

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (406.8 kB)

11:30 AM

J12.4

Translating weather into traffic flow management impacts for NextGen

Tenny A. Lindholm, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, J. A. Krozel, V. Klimenko, S. Krishna, N. Downs, and J. S. B. Mitchell

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (838.7 kB)

11:45 AM

J12.5

An Example of NextGen Weather Information Integration and Management

Russ Sinclair, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL; and T. Hicks, C. Felix, and K. Bourke

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (234.1 kB)

12:00 PM

J12.6

Aviation Weather Avoidance Service for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories

Tom Hicks, Harris Corporation, Melbourne, FL

Recorded presentation

Exhibits Open

Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)

Session 7

Range and Aerospace Meteorology

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: Edward H. Teets Jr., NASA; Ryan K. Decker, NASA/MSFC; Timothy Oram, NWS Spaceflight Meteorology Group

1:30 PM

7.1

Aerospace Meteorology: Some Lessons Learned

William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. L. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (338.7 kB)

1:45 PM

7.2

Predicting lightning potential on different time scales at the White Sands Missile Range

Cathy Kessinger, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and W. Deierling, E. Nelson, N. Oien, D. Megenhardt, and M. Steiner

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7.3

Recent improvements in lightning reporting at 45th Weather Squadron

F. Clay Flinn, 45th Weather Squadron, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder, D. F. Pinter, S. M. Holmquist, M. D. Buchanan, T. M. McNamara, M. McAleenan, K. A. Winters, P. S. Gemmer, M. E. Fitzpatrick, and R. D. Gonzalez

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

2:15 PM

7.4

Estimates of Cn2 from numerical weather prediction model output

Rod Frehlich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, F. Vandenberghe, W. Yu, Y. Liu, J. Knievel, and G. Y. Jumper

Recorded presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Poster Session

Range and Aerospace Meteorology Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

468

Lidar Wind Profiler Comparison to Weather Balloon for Support of Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle Landings

Franzeska Houtas, NASA, Edwards, CA; and E. H. Teets Jr.

469

The 2009 update to the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria

Todd M. McNamara, U.S. Air Force, Patrick AFB, FL; and W. P. Roeder and F. J. Merceret

Handout (177.7 kB)

Joint Poster Session

Weather Information Users: The Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) Posters

Hosts: (Joint between the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Presidential Forum )

456

Real-Time Verification of NWS Aviation Services Products Supporting the NextGen Initial Operating Capabilities

457

Four dimensional weather visualization

Adam R. Edson, ITT Visual Information Solutions, Springfield, VA

Handout (381.6 kB)

458

AFWA and Industry: A Case Study in NextGen Evolution

Ronald P. Lowther, PhD, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Bellevue, NE; and D. C. Plum, M. M. Brill, and K. M. Starr

459

Transformation of the NAS to NextGen and the FAA Weather Architecture Impacts: An Update

Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter, J. Tauss, and L. Leonard

Handout (1.9 MB)

460

Evaluating compoents of the forecast process for populating and maintaining the NextGen Weather Information Database

William Roberts, OAR, Boulder, CO; and L. K. Cheatwood and T. J. LeFebvre

461

MADIS web services in support of NextGen

Joanne Edwards, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. F. Barth, L. A. Benjamin, P. A. Miller, and D. Helms

462

The Network Enabled Verification Service (NEVS): Evaluating weather forecast quality in NextGen

Sean Madine, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and N. D. Matheson, M. A. Petty, D. S. Schaffer, T. Pease, and J. L. Mahoney

463

Aviation Weather Route Optimization for Four-dimensional Flight Trajectories

464

A Weather and Aviation Data Server for NextGen Applications

Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and M. Masscotte, S. Lewandowski, F. R. Mosher, J. Campino, R. Haley, N. Gusack, D. Finkelsztein, and P. Beaudoin

465

WRF Model Simulations of Convective Weather for the Evaluation and Testing of NextGen Decision Making Tools

Christopher G. Herbster, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University-Daytona Beach, Daytona Beach, FL; and N. Gusack, M. Masscotte, and F. Mosher

467

NextGen Weather Demonstration Coordination

Steve Abelman, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and P. Strande

Handout (829.1 kB)

Poster 466 has been moved. New paper number J12.1A

Joint Session 7

Communication Among Stakeholders That Addresses Issues of Policy, Operations, and New Opportunities

Location: B212 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Environment and Health Symposium; the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 24th Conference on Hydrology; the Presidential Forum; the Third Annual CCM Forum; and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Chair: Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona

4:00 PM

J7.1

Great expectations: Improving climate data services

Trisha U. Ralph, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and H. Lau and T. H. Sopoco

Presentation PDF (69.3 kB)

4:15 PM

J7.2

Customer satisfaction at NOAA's NESDIS data centers

Tamara G. Houston, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (582.0 kB)

4:30 PM

J7.3

Applied climatology guidance for development of Army materiel for world wide use

Charles C. Ryerson, Cold Regions Research & Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and L. Spears, G. Stullenbarger, and L. Page

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (357.7 kB)

4:45 PM

J7.4

NOAA Climate Users Engagement Using Training and Education Activities

Marina Timofeyeva, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Verdin, J. Jones, and R. S. Pulwarty

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

J7.5

Developing indicators to support climate change policy and programs

Jason Samenow, EPA, Washington, DC

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

J7.6

Beyond the boundary: it takes a village to provide climate services

Daniel Ferguson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and G. Owen

Recorded presentation

Joint Session 11

Probabilistic Forecasting for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen)

Location: B204 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the Presidential Forum )

Cochairs: John K. Williams, NCAR; John J. Murray, NASA Langley Research Center; Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP

4:00 PM

J11.1

A proposed framework for estimating and reducing hourly-updated forecast uncertainty products for aviation applications in NextGen

Stan Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and G. DiMego

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

J11.2

Advances in the Collaborative Storm Prediction for Aviation (CoSPA)

James O. Pinto, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams, M. Steiner, D. Albo, S. Dettling, W. Dupree, D. Morse, H. Iskenderian, T. Xiaofeng, M. Wolfson, C. Reiche, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and C. Alexander

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

4:30 PM

J11.3

Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility at CONUS terminals: Development progress

Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, J. Cowie, G. Wiener, R. Bateman, and J. Black

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

J11.4

Using a genetic algorithm to estimate source term parameters of volcanic ash clouds

Kerrie J. Schmehl, Penn State University, State College, PA; and D. Truesdell and S. E. Haupt

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (330.3 kB)

5:00 PM

J11.5

Techniques for providing probabilistic forecasts of turbulence for NextGen

Matthew J. Pocernich, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams

Recorded presentation

5:15 PM

J11.6

Regionalized probabilistic turbulence forecasting using machine learning with in-situ data

Jennifer Abernethy, NCAR/RAL, Boulder, CO; and R. D. Sharman and J. K. Williams

Recorded presentation

5:30 PM

J11.7

A probabilistic global turbulence nowcast and forecast system

John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Kessinger, R. D. Sharman, W. F. Feltz, and A. Wimmers

Recorded presentation

Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)

Location: Exhibit Hall B1 (GWCC)

AMS Annual Awards Banquet

Location: Thomas Murphy Ballroom 1-4 (GWCC)

Washington Symposium Breakfast

Location: B208 (GWCC)

Session 9

Radar

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc.; Jeffrey A. Weinrich, Actionet Inc.

8:30 AM

9.1

Characteristics of microbursts in central Arizona

Elizabeth J. Thompson, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN; and K. M. Willingham and K. Howard

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (162.5 kB)

8:45 AM

9.2

Developing, implementing, and evaluating a concept of operations - lessons learned from the Route Availability Planning Tool (RAPT)

Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura and N. Underhill

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

9.3

An evaluation of various methods for tracing the propagation of electromagnetic energy through the atmosphere

Randall Johnson, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson, J. Tilley, and C. Theisen

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

9.4

A multi-radar data fusion method for small scale features

Chris Theisen, Univ. of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and M. Askelson and J. J. Mewes

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

9.5

Forecast improvement from radar data assimilation within the Rapid Update Cycle, Rapid Refresh, and High Resolution Rapid Refresh forecasts initialized with RUC/RR grids

Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, M. Hu, T. G. Smirnova, S. E. Peckham, J. M. Brown, K. J. Brundage, G. S. Manikin, and Y. Yang

Recorded presentation

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Exhibit Hall B2 (GWCC)

Poster Session

Turbulence and Wind Shear Posters

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Chair: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama

CoChair: Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR

470

Converting turbulence eddy dissipation rate (EDR) into aircraft response metric, RMS-g

Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Meymaris

471

Alerting of terrain-induced windshear using wind data measured over the mountains

Gerrit Kuhlmann, Institut fuer Meteorologie und Klimatologie, Hannover, Germany, Germany; and T. Hauf and P. W. Chan

Handout (477.6 kB)

472

Evaluations of upper-level turbulence diagnostics by graphical turbulence guidance (GTG) in the East Asia

Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun, R. D. Sharman, and W. Jang

473

Use of EDR observations for verification of atmospheric turbulence forecasts

Brian Pettegrew, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and A. Loughe, J. E. Hart, J. K. Henderson, and J. L. Mahoney

Handout (640.6 kB)

474

Sydney Airport Wind Shear Encounter - 15 April 2007

Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and B. Hanstrum and P. Dunda

Handout (846.8 kB)

475

Improvements to an operational clear-air turbulence diagnostic index

Gary P. Ellrod, Ellrod Weather Consulting, LLC, Granby, CT; and J. Knox

Handout (573.2 kB)

476

Wave-induced turbulence: Insights from T-REX

Vanda Grubisic, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; and J. R. French, S. J. Haimov, and M. Xiao

Exhibits Open

Joint Session 10

Verification of Probabilistic Forecasts

Location: B305 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; and the 8th Conference on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science )

Cochairs: Bjarne Hansen, EC; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR; Valliappa Lakshmanan, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, NOAA/NSSL

J10.1

The three dimensions of prediction and service

11:00 AM

J10.1A

A comparison between raw ensemble output, Bayesian model averaging and logistic regression using ECMWF ensemble precipitation reforecasts

Maurice J. Schmeits, KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands; and C. J. Kok

11:30 AM

J10.2

Determining Optimal Thresholds for Inland Locations of Tropical Cyclone Incremental Wind Speed Probabilities to Support the Provision of Expressions of Uncertainty within Text Forecast Products

Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and D. W. Sharp

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (711.9 kB)

11:45 AM

J10.3

Verification of aviation turbulence detection, nowcast, and forecast products

John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. J. Pocernich, R. D. Sharman, and J. Abernethy

Recorded presentation

12:00 PM

J10.4

Evaluation of a probabilistic convective nowcast for CoSPA

D. Ahijevych, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Williams, S. Dettling, H. Cai, and M. Steiner

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (739.1 kB)

12:15 PM

J10.5

Choosing a scoring rule for verification of forecast probability distributions: Continuous ranked probability score or ignorance score?

Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

Joint Session 8

New challenges for applied meteorology and climatology

Location: B211 (GWCC)

Hosts: (Joint between the 18th Conference on Applied Climatology; the First Symposium on Planetary Atmospheres; the 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology; the First Environment and Health Symposium; the 12th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the First Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy; and the Fifth Symposium on Policy and Socio-economic Research )

Chair: Melissa Griffin, Florida Climate Center/Florida State Univ.

1:30 PM

J8.1

Developing useful science: methods for engaging stakeholders and evaluating integrated climate tools

Gigi Owen, CLIMAS/University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Averyt, K. Werner, and D. Ferguson

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

J8.2

10 years of the U.S. Drought Monitor: a look back and a look forward

Mark D. Svoboda, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE; and B. Fuchs, S. Scott, and J. Nothwehr

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

J8.3

User-driven downscaling: advances in data apportioning and analysis to augment adaptation planning

Edwin P. Maurer, Santa Clara University, Santa Clara, CA; and L. D. Brekke, T. Pruitt, K. D. White, E. Ochs, P. Duffy, and E. H. Girvetz

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

J8.4

Trends of U.S. snowfall and snow cover in a warming world, 1948-2008

Richard R. Heim Jr., NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.9 MB)

J8.5

Use of the Brazilian Model of Climate and Health (BHMC) in order to estimate admissions for respiratory diseases in Brazil

Presentation PDF (76.1 kB)

2:45 PM

J8.6

Martian dust storm hazards: improving characterization and forecasting

Nicholas Heavens, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and M. I. Richardson, I. J. McEwan, and M. W. Busch

Session 10

Turbulence and Wind Shear I

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR

1:30 PM

10.1

Climatology of turbulence statistics determined from rawinsonde and ACARS/AMDAR data

Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Frehlich

1:45 PM

10.3

Optimum routing of aircraft in the presence of meteorological hazards: an approach taking forecast uncertainty into account

R. W. Lunnon, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and L. Reid, A. Mirza, and P. Gill

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

10.4

Latest developments of windshear alerting services at the Hong Kong International Airport

P. W. Chan, Hong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, China; and M. L. Kuo

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

2:15 PM

10.5

Update on the turbulence nowcast product GTGN for NextGen IOC

Julia M. Pearson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Cornman and G. Wiener

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

10.6

Improving forecasts of clear-air turbulence at NOAA's Aviation Weather Center with state-of-the-art diagnostics

John A. Knox, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and G. P. Ellrod and S. Silberberg

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

10.2

Objective verification of manual and automated forecasts of clear air turbulence from World Area Forecast Centres

Philip Gill, UK Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and B. Lunnon, L. Reid, and A. Mirza

Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer

Session 11

Turbulence and Wind Shear II

Location: B314 (GWCC)

Host: 14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Cochairs: William W. Vaughan, University of Alabama; Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR

3:30 PM

11.1

The Meteorological Environment Surrounding the Air France #447 Disaster

Michael Kaplan, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. R. Vollmer

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

3:45 PM

11.2

A Numerical study of clear-air turbulence (CAT) encounters occurred in Korea

Jung-Hoon Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Y. Chun

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

4:00 PM

11.3

The use of GPS signals to estimate turbulence intensity in the troposphere and stratosphere

Larry B. Cornman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. K. Goodrich and A. Weekley

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

11.4

Progress toward satellite-based atmospheric turbulence interest field detection

Wayne F. Feltz, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and K. Bedka, A. Wimmers, R. Sharman, and J. K. Williams

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

11.5

Gravity waves and clear air turbulence generated by convective storms in different wind shear environments

Pao K. Wang, Univ. if Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and S. H. Su

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

11.6

A mechanism for convectively-induced turbulence

Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. G. Fovell and S. B. Trier

AMS 90th Annual Meeting Adjourns

90th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting January 16 - 21, 2010

14th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

Sunday, 17 January 2010

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

Monday, 18 January 2010

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

Tuesday, 19 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Wednesday, 20 January 2010

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

11:00 AM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

4:00 PM-5:45 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Thursday, 21 January 2010

7:30 AM-8:30 AM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

9:45 AM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

11:00 AM-12:15 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 21 January 2010

Sunday, 17 January 2010

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

12:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

3:00 PM-4:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

5:00 PM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

6:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 17 January 2010

Monday, 18 January 2010

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 18 January 2010

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 18 January 2010

Tuesday, 19 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:30 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

11:00 AM-6:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 19 January 2010

Wednesday, 20 January 2010

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 20 January 2010

90th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting

January 16 - 21, 2010