Program: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) (96th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting)

Program Chairs: Robert Atlas , NOAA/AOML ; Sharanya J. Majumdar , Univ. of Miami/RSMAS ; Kenneth Carey , Earth Resources Technology (ERT), Inc.

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Sunday, 10 January 2016

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration Open for Annual Meeting

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Plenary Session 1

2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future

Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Moderator: Maureen McCann, News 13

Panelists: Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Kerry Emanuel, MIT; Shirley Laska, University of New Orleans; Max Mayfield, WPLG-TV/Former NOAA/National Hurricane Center Director

9:00 AM

Presidential Forum on Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future

Recorded Presentation

9:05 AM

Opening Remarks (by AMS President Alexander E. “Sandy” MacDonald)

9:15 AM

Introduction of Moderator McCann (MacDonald)

9:16 AM

Introduction of Speakers (McCann)

9:20 AM

Opening Remarks of Speakers

10:05 AM

Q&A

10:30 AM

Concluding Remarks

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Coffee Break

Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Session 1

Evolving the Global Observing System

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Robert Atlas, NOAA/AOML

11:00 AM

1.1

The NESDIS Role in Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems (Invited Presentation)

Stephen M. Volz, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

1.2

Future Advances in Observing System Simulation Experiments

Ross N. Hoffman, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

Handout (6.0 MB)

1.3

The Increasing Benefit to NWP from Higher Resolution Earth Observations from Space

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Perspective and Plans for Future Observing Systems in Earth System Science

Location: Room 252/254 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Fourth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA); the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )

Moderator: Bill Baker, Tempus Global Data, Inc.

Panelists: Faisal Hossain, University of Washington; Tsengdar Lee, NASA; Paul A. Rosen, JPL; Jeffrey G. Masek, NASA/GSFC; Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force

PD1.1

A Hybrid Backward-Forward Iterative Model for Improving Capacity Building of Earth Observations for Sustainable Societal Application in Developing Countries (Invited Presentation)

Faisal Hossain, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and N. Iqbal and H. Lee

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (76.0 kB)

PD1.2

Scientific Challenges and Opportunities in the NASA Weather Focus Area (Invited Presentation)

Tsengdar Lee, NASA, Washington, DC; and X. Zeng

Recorded Presentation

PD1.3

The NASA-ISRO SAR Mission: An International Partnership for Science and Society (Invited Presentation)

Paul A. Rosen, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and R. Kumar

Recorded Presentation

Handout (6.0 MB)

PD1.4

Landsat: Toward a Half-Century of Land Monitoring (Invited Presentation)

Jeffrey G. Masek, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Dwyer

Recorded Presentation

PD1.5

The Future of DoD Space Based Environmental Monitoring (Invited Presentation)

Ralph O. Stoffler, U.S. Air Force, Washington, DC

Recorded Presentation

PD1.6

Panel Discussion

Lecture 1

Walter Orr Roberts Lecture

Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM

L1.1

Understanding the Earth System through Numerical Modeling: Crossing the Disciplinary Frontiers (Invited Presentation)

V. Ramaswamy, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Recorded Presentation

Session 2A

Field Experiments I

Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Bill Proenza, NOAA/NWS

1:30 PM

2A.1

On Forecast Sensitivity and Impact of Dropwindsonde Observations during HS3 and TCI

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. R. Moskaitis, P. G. Black, P. A. Reinecke, and C. M. Amerault

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

2A.2

Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD) 2014 and 2015 Observations

Daniel J. Cecil, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and S. Biswas and W. L. Jones

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

2A.3

Study of The Impact of NASA Global Hawk Unmanned Aircraft Dropwindsonde Observations on Tropical Cyclone Track, Intensity and Structure

Hui Christophersen, NOAA/AOML and Univ. of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and A. Aksoy, J. Dunion, B. Dahl, L. Bucci, K. Ryan, and P. Dodge

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

2A.4

A First Look at the Impact of Coyote UAS Observations from Hurricane Edouard (2014) on Tropical Cyclone Data Assimilation and Prediction

Altug Aksoy, University of Miami and NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, H. Christophersen, B. Dahl, B. Annane, L. Bucci, and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

Session 2B

Data Assimilation: Ocean and Coupled Models I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Matthew J. Carrier, NRL

1:30 PM

2B.1

A New Coupled 4DVAR Assimilation System for Coupled Ocean-Wave Models

Cheryl Ann Blain, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. Orzech, M. J. Carrier, H. E. Ngodock, I. Souopgui, and S. Smith

1:45 PM

2B.2

Developing an EnKF Data Assimilation System for the Canadian MEOPAR Project, the Benefits and Costs of High Resolution

Dominik Jacques, EC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and L. Fillion, W. Chang, and S. J. Baek

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

2B.3

An Overview of the Naval Research Laboratory ocean surface flux (NFLUX) system

Jackie C. May, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. Rowley and C. N. Barron

Recorded Presentation

2B.4

Towards an Operational Hybrid Global Ocean Data Assimilation System at NCEP

2:15 PM

2B.4A

Investigating the Potential Impact of the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) Altimeter on Ocean Mesoscale Prediction

Matthew J. Carrier, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and H. E. Ngodock, S. Smith, and I. Souopgui

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Poster Session 1

Data Assimilation: Data Impact Experiments and OSSEs

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

243

NOSIA-II Calibration using Sensitivity Studies

Aaron Pratt, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and D. Helms

244

On the Predictability of Hurricane Track and Intensity Using an OSSE Framework

Bachir Annane, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and L. Bucci, J. Delgado, A. Aksoy, R. Atlas, and S. T. Murillo

245

OSSE Assessment of a Hyperspectral Sounder and its Potential Impact on Hurricane Forecasts

Kelly Ryan, NOAA/AOML and University of Miami, Miami, FL; and R. Atlas, L. Bucci, J. Delgado, B. Annane, and S. Murillo

246

A LETKF algorithm with divergence constraint for convective-scale radar data assimilation in the scenario of OSSEs

Gang Zhao, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue

247

Ensemble Transform Sensitivity Method for Targeted Observations: An OSSE Case Study

Hongli Wang, CIRA/Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and T. Peevey, J. M. English, A. Kren, and L. Cucurull

248

Variational Assimilation of Cloud Liquid/Ice Water Path and its Impact on NWP

Hongli Wang, CIRA/Colorado State University, Boulder, CO; and Y. Chen and L. Cucurull

249

Quantifying Accuracy and Dispersion of Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Convection Using an Object-Based Technique

Brock Burghardt, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and B. C. Ancell

250

Adaptive Observation Strategies based on the Retrospective Optimal Interpolation using the Lorenz-40 variable model

Nam-Kyu Noh, Seoul National Univertisy, Seoul, South Korea; and G. H. Lim

Poster 251 has moved. New paper number is 2B.4A

252

WSR-88D Radar Data Assimilation at NCEP

Shun Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and J. R. Carley, W. S. Wu, B. S. Ferrier, M. Pyle, G. DiMego, and J. C. Derber

253

Performing Model Space Localization for Satellite Radiances in an Ensemble Kalman Filter

Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO ; and L. Lei

254

3D Estimates of Analysis and ShortRange Forecast Error Variances

Jie Feng, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and M. Pena, H. Wang, and Z. Toth

255

The Use of the Breeding Method for Nested WRF-ARW Simulations

James P. Cipriani, IBM Research, Yorktown Heights,, NY; and K. Ide

256

DART: New Research Using Ensemble Data Assimilation in Geophysical Models

Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and K. Raeder, T. Hoar, N. Collins, G. Romine, J. Barre, B. Gaubert, A. F. Arellano Jr., S. Wuerth, S. Y. Ha, A. P. Mizzi, and L. N. Anderson

Handout (15.8 MB)

257

Improving Global and Hurricane Forecasts Using Time-lagged Ensembles in the GFS 4DEnVar Hybrid Data Assimilation System

Bo Huang, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

258

Multi-model Cross Pollination in Time

Hailiang Du, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL; and L. Smith

Poster 259 has moved. New paper number is 7.2A

260

Evaluation of the Direct and Indirect Assimilation of Radar Reflectivity using the WRFDA 3D-Var

Eder P. Vendrasco, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil; and D. L. Herdies

261

Sensitivity of High-Resolution WRF Forecasts to Radiosonde Observations over Central TX

Mark David Benoit, University (Texas A&M), College Station, TX; and D. T. Conlee and C. J. Nowotarski

262

Observing System Experiments in the Dallas-Fort Worth Testbed

Frederick H. Carr, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. P. Osborne, M. T. Morris, and K. A. Brewster

Manuscript (1.7 MB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

263

Investigating a WRF-Based Mixed Variational and Nudging Data Assimilation Scheme for the US Army Convective-Scale Nowcasting System

Robert E. Dumais Jr., U.S. Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and B. P. Reen, H. Cai, Y. Xie, H. Jiang, and S. albers

264

Integrated Physical Modelling of the Lake George, NY Watershed

Lloyd Treinish, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and C. Watson, C. James, A. Praino, H. Kolar, F. Liu, E. Ragnoli, F. O'Donncha, and L. C. V. Real

Handout (3.0 MB)

265

Progress of All-Sky SEVIRI Radiance Assimilation in NCEP NAMRR System

Xiaoyan Zhang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and A. Collard, J. Carley, and G. DiMego

266

Towards the Assimilation of All-Sky Infrared Radiances of Selected Humidity Sensitive IASI Channels at NCEP/EMC

Li Bi, NOAA/NCEP/EMC/I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and A. Collard, E. Liu, J. A. Jung, and J. C. Derber

267

Assimilation of GPM GMI rainfall product with GSI system

Xuanli Li, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and B. T. Zavodsky and J. R. Mecikalski

268

Variational Cloud-Clearing with CrIS Data at NCEP

269

Quantifying the Impact of a Potential Gap in Afternoon Orbit Satellite Radiances on the North American Mesoscale (NAM) Forecast System

Edward Colon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC/I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and G. DiMego, E. Rogers, and J. R. Carley

270

The Documentation of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Model (NIM)

Christina Bonfanti, NOAA/ESRL and CIRES, Boulder, CO

Joint Poster Session 3

Remote Sensing Applications in Hydrology Posters

Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Chairperson/Person in Charge: David J. Gochis, NCAR

Cochairs: Christopher Hain, University of Maryland; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers

101

Observation of Hailstorm with Higher Spatial Resolution Using a Compact Dual Polarimetric X-Band Weather Radar

Toshiaki Takaki, Furuno Electric Co., LTD., Nishinomiya, Hyogo, Japan; and M. Hayano, S. Oishi, and E. Nakakita

Handout (579.4 kB)

102

Quantitative precipitation estimation using the characteristics of raindrop size distribution based on the maximum diameter

Sung-A Jung, KMA, Seoul, South Korea; and D. I. Lee, J. H. Kim, and J. S. Ko

103

Incorporate Satellite Precipitation Product into Radar-Gage Multisensor Precipitation Estimation Algorithm

Yuxiang He, NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Y. Zhang, R. J. Kuligowski, and R. Cifelli

Handout (4.6 MB)

104

Development of Hydrometeor Classification Algorithm for Korea Precipitation Systems

In-Hae Cho, KMA, Seoul, South Korea; and M. K. Suk, K. Y. Nam, and J. S. Ko

Handout (2.7 MB)

105

Temporal filtering methods for operational snow covered area mapping

Blaine F. Morriss, CRREL (Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab), Hanover, NH; and E. Ochs, T. A. Lewiston, E. J. Deeb, S. F. Daly, S. D. Newman, and J. B. Eylander

106

Mapping the extent and dynamics of lakes in high northern latitudes of North America

Mark L. Carroll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Wooten, C. DiMiceli, and R. Sohlberg

107

Pre-monsoon Drought and Heat Wave in India Observed from Space

W. Timothy Liu, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Xie

108

Validation of Global Soil Moisture Products from SMAP Radiometer Observations and their Application in NCEP Global Forecast System

Weizhong Zheng, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD; and J. Liu, L. Fang, J. Yin, X. Zhan, and M. B. Ek

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Session 3B

Data Assimilation: Ocean and Coupled Models II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: G. R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML

4:00 PM

3B.1

Impact of Assimilating Surface Velocity Observations on the Model Sea Surface Height using the NCOM-4DVAR

Matthew J. Carrier, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and H. E. Ngodock, S. Smith, and P. A. Muscarella

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

3B.2

Recent Improvements to US Navy Sea Ice Coupled Modeling Systems Using High-Resolution Data

Michael W. Phelps, Jacobs Technology, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. Posey, R. Allard, D. Hebert, J. Metzger, A. Wallcraft, and O. M. Smedstad

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

3B.3

Steep-Descending Mode Truncation in Ocean Spectral Data Assimilation with Comparison to Optimal Interpolation

Peter C. Chu, NPS, Monterey, CA; and C. Fan and T. Margolina

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

3B.4

Strongly Coupled EnKF Data Assimilation in Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models

Travis C. Sluka, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. G. Penny, E. Kalnay, and T. Miyoshi

Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Session 3A

Field Experiments II

Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Cochairs: James D. Doyle, NRL; Daniel J. Cecil, NASA/MSFC

4:00 PM

3A.1

An Overview of Mesoscale Convective System Observations During the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) Field Campaign

Russ S. Schumacher, CSU, Ft. Collins, CO; and M. C. Coniglio, S. M. Hitchcock, M. D. Parker, C. Ziegler, and M. Biggerstaff

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

3A.2

Observational and Numerical Analysis of the 24–25 June 2015 Mesoscale Convective System During PECAN

Stacey M. Hitchcock, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. S. Schumacher

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

3A.3

Impacts by Deep Convection on the Surrounding Environment: Observations and Model Analyses

Christopher A. Kerr, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and X. Wang

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

3A.4

HAMSR Observations from Recent Field Campaigns

Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Brown and M. Schreier

5:00 PM

3A.5

Atmospheric Surface Forcing Corrections Derived from assimilating Ocean Observations using the NCOM-4DVAR

Hans E. Ngodock, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and S. R. Smith, M. J. Carrier, and I. Souopgui

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

3A.6

Aircraft Measurements of a Low-Level, Three-Layer Structure Offshore of Pt. Buchon, CA and the Possible Role of Kelvin-Helmholtz Instability

David A. Rahn, Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS; and T. R. Parish and D. Leon

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Joint Session 9

Remote sensing applications in hydrology, Part I

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers; Christopher Hain, University of Maryland

5:00 PM

Temporal Methods for Operational Filtering snow covered area mapping -- Blaine Morriss

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

J9.1

Defining Surface Land Cover Features Using High Resolution Imagery from Unmanned Aerial Systems

Christopher M. Zarzar, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and P. Dash, J. Dyer, G. Turnage, and R. J. Moorhead II

Recorded Presentation

J9.2

High resolution longwave radiation from the geostationary satellite imager IR channels

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Joint Session 3

Data Assimilation: Operational Advancements I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); and the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations )

Chair: Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division

8:30 AM

J3.1

A 4D-Ensemble-Variational System for Data Assimilation and Ensemble Initialization

Neill Bowler, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and A. Clayton, M. Jardak, P. Jermey, A. Lorenc, C. Piccolo, S. Pring, M. Wlasak, D. Barker, G. Inverarity, and R. Swinbank

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

J3.2

Operational Uses of AIRS Data

Eric J. Fetzer, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and S. E. Ray, B. H. Lambrigtsen, T. S. Pagano, and J. Teixeira

9:00 AM

J3.3

Title: Implementation Plans of Hybrid 4D EnVar for the NCEP GFS and Future Directions

Rahul Mahajan, EMC, College Park, MD; and D. T. Kleist, C. Thomas, J. C. Derber, and R. Treadon

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

J3.4

Outer Loops and Scale-Dependence in the NCEP GDAS Hybrid 4D EnVar Assimilation Scheme

Daryl T. Kleist, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and R. B. Mahajan, C. Thomas, and J. C. Derber

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

J3.5

A Coupled Global/Regional Data Assimilation System

Michael A. Herrera, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Bishop, T. R. Holt, K. W. Hoppel, D. D. Kuhl, S. Rainwater, I. Szunyogh, Q. Zhao, and A. Brainard

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 10

Remote sensing applications in hydrology, Part II

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: Christopher Hain, University of Maryland; John B. Eylander, US Army Corps of Engineers

8:30 AM

J10.1

Satellite soil moisture products and their application to drought monitoring

Jifu Yin, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and X. Zhan, J. Liu, L. Fang, C. Hain, W. Zheng, and M. B. Ek

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (25.4 kB)

Handout (2.5 MB)

8:45 AM

J10.2

Enhancing NCEP-NAM Weather Forecasts via Assimilating Real-time Satellite-based Soil Moisture and Green Vegetation Fraction (Invited Presentation)

Li Fang, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and C. Hain, X. Zhan, W. Zheng, J. Dong, and M. Ek

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

J10.3

Characterizing Satellite-Based Passive Microwave Estimates of Snow Water Equivalent at Sub-Grid Resolution (Invited Presentation)

Elias J. Deeb, CRREL (Cold Regions Research and Engineering Lab), Hanover, NH; and C. A. Hiemstra, S. F. Daly, C. Vuyovich, and J. B. Eylander

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

J10.4

Sensitivity Analysis of passive microwave brightness temperatures to distributed snowmelt

Carrie Vuyovich, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hanover, NH; and J. Jacobs, C. A. Hiemstra, E. Deeb, S. F. Daly, and J. B. Eylander

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

J10.5

Infusion of gap-filling radar, snow data assimilation and airborne lidar for improved water supply forecasting in the inter-mountain western U.S

David J. Gochis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Busto, K. Howard, A. Dugger, W. Yu, J. McCreight, C. Langston, M. richardson, J. deems, N. coombs, T. H. Painter, J. mickey, M. skiles, K. Sampson, and L. karsten

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint Poster Session 5

Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems Posters

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Clara Draper, NASA/GSFC

113

Assimilation of Gridded GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage Observation for Improving Soil Moisture and Shallow Groundwater Estimates

Manuela Girotto, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. M. De Lannoy, R. H. Reichle, and M. Rodell

114

Testing a Successive Correction Based Data Assimilation Methodology in the NWS Hydrology Laboratory Research Distributed Hydrological Model

Robert J. Zamora, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and A. R. Thorstensen and R. Cifelli

115

What Can Data Assimilation Tell Us about Our Models?

Grey S. Nearing, NASA, Greenbelt, MD

116

An Integrated Hydrological Modeling System for High-Resolution Coastal Applications

Teddy Holt, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, J. Schmidt, C. DeLuca, M. B. Ek, J. B. Eylander, D. J. Gochis, and C. D. Peters-Lidard

117

Assimilation of Combined Snow Cover and Snow Depth Data into NCEP Operational Global Forecast System

Jiarui Dong, NOAA NCEP, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, W. Zheng, S. Kumar, C. Peters-Lidard, and G. S. Nearing

118

Creating Higher Resolution Surface Forcings from NLDAS-2/Stage-IV/GSIP for Hydrologic Monitoring

Ming Pan, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and G. Coccia, C. Fisher, X. He, N. Chaney, J. Sheffield, and E. F. Wood

119

Using Virtual Reality Catchment Simulations as Testbeds for Data Assimilation

Bernd Schalge, University of Bonn, Bonn, Germany; and J. Rihani, G. Baroni, D. Erdal, I. Neuweiler, H. J. Hendricks-Franssen, F. Ament, S. Kollet, O. Cirpka, B. Haese, P. Saavedra, X. Han, S. Attinger, H. Kunstmann, H. Vereecken, and C. Simmer

120

Assessment of the Basin-Scale Land Surface Energy Budget in the NCEP Operational and Research NLDAS-2 Systems

Youlong Xia, EMC/NCEP/I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and M. B. Ek, B. Cosgrove, K. Mitchell, C. Peters-Lidard, S. V. Kumar, D. M. Mocko, and H. Wei

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Joint Session 4

Data Assimilation: Operational Advancements II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Chair: Ron Gelaro, NASA/GSFC

11:00 AM

J4.1

Evaluation of the NASA Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications, Version-2 (MERRA-2)

Ron Gelaro, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. McCarty and G. Partyka

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

J4.2

The Stratosphere in the MERRA-2 Reanalysis

Steven Pawson, GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and K. Wargan, L. Coy, J. Jin, and W. McCarty

Recorded Presentation

11:30 AM

J4.3

Progress of GSI 3DVAR-Ensemble Hybrid Data Assimilation for Rapid Refresh with Regional Ensembles

Ming Hu, NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and J. Beck, S. S. Weygandt, D. Dowell, S. G. Benjamin, J. S. Whitaker, and C. Alexander

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

J4.4

Development and research of the GSI-based, Cycled, Dual Resolution Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation System for HWRF

Xu Lu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and X. Wang

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 11

Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems, Part I

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Clara Draper, NASA/GSFC

11:00 AM

J11.1

Microwave Data Assimilation and Its Potential for Land Surface Model Calibration (Invited Presentation)

Kun Yang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

J11.2

Data Assimilation of SMAP Soil Moisture in a 3-km Regional Model

Clay B. Blankenship, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and J. L. Case and B. T. Zavodsky

Recorded Presentation

Handout (10.6 MB)

11:30 AM

J11.3

Impact of Soil Moisture Assimilation on Land Surface Model Spinup and Coupled Land-Atmosphere Prediction

Joseph A. Santanello Jr., NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and S. Kumar, C. Peters-Lidard, and P. Lawston

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

J11.4

Assimilation of Remotely Sensed Near-Surface Soil Moisture into the GEOS-5 Atmospheric Modeling and Assimilation System

Clara Draper, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. H. Reichle and G. J. M. De Lannoy

Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Lecture 2

Bernhard Haurwitz Lecture

Location: La Nouvelle C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

1:30 PM

L2.1

What's Happening over the Poles? (Invited Presentation)

John Marshall, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded Presentation

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Joint Session 6

Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Cochairs: Lidia Cucurull, NOAA/OAR/ESRL; Sean P. F. Casey, JCSDA/Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center

1:30 PM

J6.1

Lessons Learned with the NASA/GMAO OSSE

Nikki Prive, Morgan State University, Greenbelt, MD; and R. Errico

1:45 PM

J6.2

Towards High-Resolution NMM-B Nature Run Weather Forecasts for Hurricane OSSEs

Javier Delgado, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and T. Quirino, S. Gopalakrishnan, and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

J6.3

Validation of Hurricane OSSE

Lisa Bucci, University of Miami and NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and K. Ryan, P. P. Dodge, B. Annane, J. Delgado, H. Christophersen, K. Sellwood, S. T. Murillo, and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

J6.4

OSSE Assessment of Ocean Observing Strategies to Improve Coupled Tropical Cyclone Prediction

G. R. Halliwell Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and M. F. Mehari, J. Dong, V. H. Kourafalou, R. Atlas, H. S. Kang, and M. Le Henaff

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

J6.5

Assimilation of GOES-R ABI Satellite and WSR-88D Radar Observations During a Convection-Resolving OSSE

Rebecca M. Cintineo, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Otkin, T. A. Jones, S. Koch, L. J. Wicker, and D. J. Stensrud

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

J6.6

Impact of CYGNSS Data on Tropical Cyclone Analyses and Forecasts in a Regional OSSE Framework

Brian D. McNoldy, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. Annane, J. Delgado, L. Bucci, R. Atlas, S. J. Majumdar, M. Leidner, and R. N. Hoffman

Recorded Presentation

Joint Session 12

Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems, Part II

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 30th Conference on Hydrology; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Cochairs: Rolf H. Reichle, NASA/GSFC; Youlong Xia, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC; Clara Draper, NASA/GSFC

1:30 PM

J12.1

Land Data Assimilation Systems (LDAS) of the National Centers for Environmental Modeling Prediction (NCEP): Current Status and Future Plan

Michael B. Ek, NOAA/NCEP, College Park, MD; and Y. Xia, J. Meng, R. Shrestha, H. Wei, J. Dong, Y. Wu, and K. Mitchell

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

J12.2

Assimilation of Soil Moisture Data from a Regional Network of Cosmic Ray Probes in the Land Surface-Subsurface Model TerrSysMP (Invited Presentation)

Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen, Forschungszentrum, Julich, Germany; and W. Kurtz and H. Vereecken

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

J12.3

Real-Time, Continental Scale Streamflow Nudging with WRF-Hydro: A First Benchmark

James McCreight, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and Y. Wu, D. Gochis, A. Raffieei Nasab, A. Dugger, W. Yu, B. Cosgrove, Z. Cui, A. Oubeidillah, and D. Briar

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

J12.4

Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter Recursively to Update Soil Moisture Estimates in a Conceptually-Based Distributed Hydrologic Model

Andrea R. Thorstensen, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and P. Nguyen, R. J. Zamora, K. Hsu, and S. Sorooshian

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

J12.5

Evaluating the utility of satellite soil moisture retrievals over irrigated areas and the ability of land data assimilation methods to correct for unmodeled processes

Sujay Kumar, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. Peters-Lidard, J. A. Santanello Jr., R. H. Reichle, C. Draper, R. D. Koster, G. S. Nearing, and M. F. Jasinski

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

J12.6

NCA-LDAS: An Integrated Terrestrial Water Analysis System for Development, Evaluation, and Dissemination of National Climate Indicators

Christa Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. F. Jasinski, S. V. Kumar, K. R. Arsenault, H. Beaudoing, J. Bolten, J. S. Borak, S. J. Kempler, B. Li, Y. Liu, D. M. Mocko, M. Rodell, and B. Vollmer

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Coffee Break

Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

3:30 PM-5:30 PM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Joint Session 7

Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Cochairs: Nikki Prive, Morgan State University; Lisa Bucci, University of Miami and NOAA/AOML

3:30 PM

J7.1

Climate Observing System Simulation Experiments

Betsy Weatherhead, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM

J7.2

Community Global OSSE Package (CGOP)

Sid Ahmed Boukabara, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and I. Moradi, R. Atlas, R. N. Hoffman, K. Ide, T. Auligne, N. Shahroudi, Y. Zhou, J. Woolen, S. P. F. Casey, L. Cucurull, R. Li, P. van Delst, Q. Liu, K. Kumar, R. Errico, and N. Prive

Recorded Presentation

Handout (1.1 MB)

4:00 PM

J7.3

Observing System Simulation Experiments with Several Combinations of Radio Occultation Constellations

Lidia Cucurull, NOAA-OAR/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and R. Li, S. P. F. Casey, T. Peevey, R. Atlas, R. N. Hoffman, and J. S. Woollen

Recorded Presentation

4:15 PM

J7.4

Geostationary Hyperspectral Infrared Constellation: Global Observing System Simulation Experiments for five Geo-HSS instruments

Sean P. F. Casey, JCSDA/Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MD; and R. Atlas, S. A. Boukabara, R. N. Hoffman, K. Ide, M. Masutani, I. Moradi, and J. S. Woollen

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

J7.5

Impact Analysis of LEO Hyperspectral Sensor IFOV Size on the Next Generation High-Resolution NWP Model Forecast Performance

Agnes Lim, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and Z. Li, J. A. Jung, A. Huang, J. Woollen, G. Quinn, F. W. Nagle, S. B. Healy, J. A. Otkin, M. Goldberg, and R. Atlas

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

J7.6

A quick regional OSSE impact study on Geostationary Hyperspectral Infrared Sounder for Hurricane Forecasts

Zhenglong Li, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Li, T. J. Schmit, F. Zhu, P. Wang, A. Lim, J. Li, R. Atlas, and R. N. Hoffman

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

J7.7

Ensemble Sensitivity-based Observation Targeting OSSEs for Southern Plains Dryline Convection

Aaron J. Hill, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and C. C. Weiss and B. C. Ancell

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

J7.8

OSSE Experiments for Stormscale Radar Data Assimilation with an Ensemble of 3DVAR System

Jidong Gao, NSSL/NOAA, Norman, OK; and C. Fu, D. J. Stensrud, and J. S. Kain

Recorded Presentation

Wednesday, 13 January 2016

8:30 AM-10:00 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Session 4

Observing Systems I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: John Manobianco, Mano Nanotechnologies, Inc.

8:30 AM

4.1

Steps towards evaluating the cost-benefit of observing systems

Rebecca A. Reid, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom; and J. Eyre

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

4.2

Scientific contributions from GPS radio occultation sounding of the atmosphere: decadal-scale variability and vertical profiles of water vapor

A. J. Mannucci, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, P. Vergados, O. P. Verkhoglyadova, B. A. Iijima, and E. R. Kursinski

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

4.3

Characteristics of radiosonde observations and their impact in satellite sounding product validation

Bomin Sun, NOAA/NESDIS/Center for Satellite Applications and Research/I.M. Systems Group, College Park, MD; and T. Reale, F. Tilley, and M. Pettey

9:15 AM

4.4

Airborne Doppler Wind Lidar Missions in the Arctic: Calibration and Validation of Existing and Future Space-based Wind measuring Platforms

G. D. Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and S. Greco, K. S. Godwin, and M. J. Kavaya

Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM

4.5

Applications of the Earth Observation Requirements Evaluation System

Eric Miller, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and L. McCulloch and S. Smith

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM

4.6

An Integrated Approach to Improve Cloud Characterizations from Satellite Imager Data for Weather and Climate Applications

William L. Smith Jr., NASA, Hampton, VA; and P. Minnis, C. Fleeger, D. A. Spangenberg, S. Sun-Mack, and Y. Chen

Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM-10:30 AM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Coffee Break

Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

10:30 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Session 5

Observing Systems II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: G. David Emmitt, Simpson Weather Associates, Inc.

10:30 AM

5.1

GlobalSense: A New Atmospheric Observing System Featuring Innovative Airborne Probes

John Manobianco, Mano NanoTechnologies, Inc., Guilderland, NY; and M. Adams and J. W. Zack

Recorded Presentation

10:45 AM

5.2

Near-continuous Profiling of Atmospheric Stability During Severe Weather Events

Timothy J. Wagner, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. G. Blumberg

Recorded Presentation

11:00 AM

5.3

Using Mobile Vehicle Observations to Improve Numerical Weather Prediction Forecasts

Amanda R. S. Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. A. Lee, B. G. Brown, G. Wiener, S. Linden, L. Sturges, R. Patterson, and P. Pisano

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

5.4

Recent Improvements in Wind Speed Retrieval for the CYGNSS Mission

Maria-Paola Clarizia, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and C. S. Ruf

Recorded Presentation

5.5

A Comparison of in Situ and Satellite-Based Water Temperature Data over Tropical Coral Reefs: Implications for Ecological Forecasting of Coral Bleaching

11:45 AM

5.6

Visualization and Validation of NWP Cloud and other Fields with Simulated Weather Imagery

Steve Albers, NOAA & CIRA, Boulder, CO; and K. Holub, Z. Toth, and Y. Xie

Handout (23.4 MB)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Lecture 3

Horton Lecture

Location: Room 244 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 32nd Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technologies; the 23rd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences; the Fourth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise; the Fifth Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium; the Seventh Conference on Environment and Health; the 22nd Conference on Applied Climatology; the 13th Conference on Space Weather; the 19th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA; the 30th Conference on Hydrology; the Special Sessions on US-International Partnerships; the 25th Symposium on Education; the 14th Symposium on the Coastal Environment; the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; the Fourth Symposium on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation’s Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events; the Fourth AMS Symposium on the Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA); the Peter Lamb Symposium; the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS); the 18th Symposium on Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation; the 14th Conference on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences; the 11th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice; the Seventh Conference on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy; the Sixth Conference on Transition of Research to Operations; the Fourth Symposium on Prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Processes, Prediction and Impact; the 28th Conference on Climate Variability and Change; the Events; the 18th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry; the 14th History Symposium; the Eighth Symposium on Aerosol–Cloud–Climate Interactions; and the Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction—Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability )

1:30 PM

L3.1

Climate and Humans as Amplifiers of Hydro-ecologic Change: Science and Policy Implications for Intensively Managed Landscapes (Invited Presentation)

Efi Foufoula-Georgiou Sr., Univ. of Minnesota/National Center for Earth Surface Dynamics, Minneapolis, MN

Recorded Presentation

Session 6

Numerical Analysis and Prediction Experiments I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL

1:30 PM

3D Estimates of Analysis and Short-Range Forecast Error Variances -- Jie Feng

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

6.1

Extra aircraft data including humidity: ECMWF evaluation of quality and impact

Bruce Ingleby, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and L. Isaksen and T. Kral

Recorded Presentation

6.2

Improving Forecast Skill by Assimilation of Quality Controlled AIRS Cloud Cleared Radiances

2:15 PM

6.3

Global Forecast Dropout Prediction Tool in Support of the NCEP Model Evaluation Group (MEG)—A Collaborative Project between JCSDA/NESDIS & NWS

V. Krishna Kumar, NOAA/NESDIS/Center for Satellite Applications and Research/JCSDA, COLLEGE PARK, MD; and E. Maddy, J. C. Alpert, and S. A. Boukabara

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

6.4

Observation Sensitivity Experiments with the Hourly Rapid Refresh Using Hybrid-Ensemble/Variational Data Assimilation

Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/Global Systems Division, Boulder, CO; and M. Hu, S. Benjamin, and S. Weygandt

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Poster Session 2

Observing Systems and their Applications

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

659

Sensitivity of Surface Analyses to Mobile Observations

John D. Horel, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Dong

660

Analysis of Hurricanes Using Long-Range Lightning Detection Networks

Benjamin Trabing, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Knaff

Handout (1001.8 kB)

661

Developing Forecast Techniques for Lightning Cessation Using Radar, NLDN, and LMA Analyses

Amanda M. Sink, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and R. E. Orville

662

Comparison of the Lightning Observations with the National Radar Reflectivity Mosaic

Jing He, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and S. Liu, G. DiMego, and X. Liang

663

AIRS/CrIS Sounding Profile Data Improves the Short-term Weather Forecast of Alaska

Jiang Zhu, University of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK; and E. Stevens, T. Heinrichs, J. Cherry, and C. Dierking

664

Examination of Tropical Cyclone Structure Through Synthetic Satellite Brightness Temperatures

Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. A. Knaff, C. J. Slocum, L. D. Grasso, and M. DeMaria

665

The Use of Satellite Imagery to Assess Tornado Damage in the Central Appalachian Region

James Morrow, NOAA/NWS, Blacksburg, VA; and S. J. Keighton

666

An Observationally Based Global Band-By-Band Surface Emissivity Dataset for Climate and Weather Modeling Effort

Xianglei Huang, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and X. Chen, X. Liu, and D. K. Zhou

667

Using DOE-ARM and Space-Based Assets to Assess the Quality of Air Force Weather 3D Cloud Analysis and Forecast Products

Timothy E. Nobis, Northrop Grumman, Papillion, NE

668

Enhanced Observations of Rainfall Rates on Pacific Ocean TAO Buoys

Dawn C. Petraitis, NOAA/NWS, Stennis Space Center, MS; and K. Grissom, R. Beets, and D. Pounder

Handout (11.3 MB)

669

Evolution of the TAO Data Analyst

Daniel Pounder, Pacific Architects and Engineers/National Data Buoy Center, Stennis Space Center, MS; and M. G. Winterkorn and D. C. Petraitis

Handout (1.2 MB)

670

Airborne Doppler Wind Lidar Missions in the Arctic: Low Level Observations and Comparison with Models and other Observing Platforms

Steven Greco, Simpson Weather Associates, Charlottesville, VA; and G. D. Emmitt, M. J. Kavaya, J. J. Cassano, and K. M. Hines

Manuscript (1.4 MB)

Handout (2.1 MB)

671

Impact of halving the number of Russian radiosonde reports

Bruce Ingleby, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Rodwell and L. Isaksen

672

Arctic Sea Ice: Snow Depth Distributions Over Variable Ice Types

Marissa Dattler, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. L. Farrell and T. Newman

673

Evaluating the Impact of the Summit Station, Greenland Radiosonde Program on Science and Forecast Services

Carlos J. Martinez, NOAA/Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Starkweather, C. J. Cox, M. Shupe, and A. Solomon

674

Long-Term Statistics of Arctic Mixed-Phase Cloud Properties Retrieved From Doppler Spectra

Alexis N. Ortiz, NSF, State College, PA; and J. Verlinde and Y. Chen

675

Automated Cloud Detection and Classification of Ground-Based Hemispheric Sky Images

Jessica M. Kleiss, Lewis and Clark College, Portland, OR; and T. J. Wagner and L. M. Garrett

676

An Integrated Modeling, Observing and Visualization System for the Sutdy of the Ecology of Lake George in the Jefferson Project

Anthony P. Praino, IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center, Yorktown Heights, NY; and E. Dow, H. Kolar, L. Treinish, J. Cipriani, M. Henderson, M. Kelly, R. Kubich, F. Liu, F. O'Donncha, M. Passow, E. Ragnoli, L. Villa Real, and C. Watson

677

Using In-Situ Seismic Measurements to Model the Velocity Structure of Subsurface Aquifers in Southeast Greenland

Lynn N. Montgomery, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and N. Schmerr, L. S. Koenig, C. Miège, A. Legchenko, D. K. Solomon, O. Miller, and R. Forster

Joint Poster Session 9

20IOAS and 12GOESRJPSS Poster Session

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the 12th Annual Symposium on New Generation Operational Environmental Satellite Systems; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

770

Progress of all-sky microwave radiance assimilation in NCEP's GSI analysis system

Yanqiu Zhu, IMSG/NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and E. Liu, R. Mahajan, C. Thhomas, D. Groff, P. V. Delst, A. Collard, D. T. Kleist, R. Treadon, and J. C. Derber

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Session 7

Numerical Analysis and Prediction Experiments II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Cochairs: Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah; Jonathan Poterjoy, NCAR

4:00 PM

7.1

Radar Data Assimilation Impacts in the RAP and HRRR Models

Stephen S. Weygandt, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and C. R. Alexander, D. C. Dowell, M. Hu, E. P. James, S. G. Benjamin, T. G. Smirnova, H. Lin, J. Kenyon, and J. B. Olson

Recorded Presentation

7.2

Assessing the Impact of High-Frequency Non-conventional Observations on a Convective Initiation Case using the GSI-based EnKF System

4:15 PM

7.2A

Further development of GSI–based hybrid data assimilation system for convective scale forecast: Assimilation of Reflectivity Data in GSI-based Hybrid Data Assimilation System Using Three Options of Control Variables for the analysis and prediction of 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City Tornadic Supercell Storm

Yongming Wang, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, Norman, OK; and X. Wang and T. Lei

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

7.4

Multi-Scale Assimilation for Predicting Heavy Precipitation in Taiwan During the Mei-Yu Season

Shu-Chih Yang, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan; and S. H. Chen, K. Kondo, and T. Miyoshi

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

7.3

The Impact of the High Temporal Resolution GOES/GOES-R Moisture Information on Severe Weather Systems in a Regional NWP Model

Pei Wang, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. Li, Y. K. Lee, Z. Li, J. Li, Z. Liu, T. J. Schmit, and S. A. Ackerman

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM

7.5

The Impact of Supplemental Observations on the Track, Intensity and Structure of Hurricane Isaac in the NCEP Hybrid Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) scheme

Michael J. Brennan, National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and S. J. Majumdar, D. T. Kleist, and K. L. Howard

Recorded Presentation

5:15 PM

7.6

The Impacts of Assimilating Enhanced Atmospheric Motion Vectors (AMVs) on HWRF Analyses and Forecasts of Hurricanes

Shixuan Zhang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu and C. S. Velden

Recorded Presentation

5:30 PM-6:30 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

Awards Banquet Reception in the Exhibit Hall

Location: Hall D ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

7:00 PM-10:00 PM: Wednesday, 13 January 2016

96th AMS Awards Banquet

Location: Great Hall ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Thursday, 14 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Session 8

Data Assimilation: New Methodologies

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Daryl T. Kleist, University of Maryland

8:30 AM

8.1

Assimilating Observations with Correlated Errors in a Global Atmospheric Model

Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM

8.2

Ensemble-Based Variational Method with Observation Localization: Difference from LETKF

Sho Yokota, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and S. Origuchi, M. Kunii, and K. Aonashi

Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM

8.3

An Estimate of the Ensemble Size Necessary for an EnKF Comparable to an Optimal 4DEnVAR

Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO ; and L. Lei

Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM

8.4

Development and testing of an efficient, non-Gaussian ensemble filter for data assimilation in geophysics

Jonathan Poterjoy, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson

Recorded Presentation

8.5

The GIGG-EnKF: Ensemble Kalman Filtering for highly skewed non-negative uncertainty distributions

9:30 AM

8.5A

Strongly Coupled Data Assimilation Using Leading Averaged Coupled Covariance

Feiyu Lu, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and Z. Liu, S. Zhang, Y. Liu, and R. Jacob

Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Session 9

Data Assimilation: Satellites

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Dale Barker, Met Office

11:00 AM

9.1

On the Assimilation of Advanced Infrared Sounder Radiances in Cloudy Skies

Jun Li, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and P. Wang, M. Goldberg, J. Li, Z. Li, and T. J. Schmit

Recorded Presentation

11:15 AM

9.2

All-Sky Microwave Radiance Data Assimilation in NASA GEOS-5 System: Developments, Impacts, and Future Plans

M.-J. Kim, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Jin, W. McCarty, R. Todling, R. Gelaro, and W. Gu

11:30 AM

9.3

Localizing the Impact of Satellite Radiances Using a Global Group Ensemble Filter

Lili Lei, University of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker

Recorded Presentation

11:45 AM

9.4

Assimilation of Surface-Sensitive Radiance Observations over Land from Multiple Infrared Sensors

Louis Garand, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and S. K. Dutta

Recorded Presentation

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Session 10

Data Assimilation: Ground-Based and In-Situ

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Host: 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS)

Chair: Jeff Anderson, NCAR

1:30 PM

10.1

Improving HWRF Vortex Initialization Through Assimilation of Hurricane Inner-Core Observations with the GSI Hybrid Data Assimilation System

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and S. Zhang

Recorded Presentation

1:45 PM

10.2

Thinning Strategies for Combined Radar and Satellite Data Sets to Increase Storm-Scale Data Assimilation Efficiency

Thomas A. Jones, CIMMS, Norman, OK; and D. M. Wheatley, K. H. Knopfmeier, P. Minnis, and R. Palikonda

Recorded Presentation

2:00 PM

10.3

Assimilation of Dual-Polarimetric Radar Observations Using WRFVAR with Ice Particles in Control Variables

Xuanli Li, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski

Recorded Presentation

2:15 PM

10.4

Surface Data Assimilation with the Canadian Fast-Cycling High-Resolution Ensemble Kalman Filter

Weiguang Chang, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and S. J. Baek, L. Fillion, and D. Jacques

Recorded Presentation

2:30 PM

10.5

Impact of Tropical Cyclone-Associated Background Structure on Tropical Cyclone Assimilation and Prediction

Kuan-Jen Lin, National Central University, Jhongli City, Taiwan; and S. C. Yang and S. Chen

Recorded Presentation

2:45 PM

10.6

Tuning an Analysis and Incremental Analysis Updating Assimilation for an Efficient High Resolution Forecast System

Keith A. Brewster, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. R. Stratman

Recorded Presentation Manuscript (1017.9 kB)

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Coffee Break

Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

Joint Session 1

Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction 2: data assimilation and ensemble forecasting

Location: Room 231/232 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Hosts: (Joint between the Special Symposium on Seamless Weather and Climate Prediction—Expectations and Limits of Multi-scale Predictability; and the 20th Conference on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for the Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface (IOAS-AOLS) )

Chair: Fuqing Zhang, Pennsylvania State University

J1.2

Towards Seamless Multi-scale Data Assimilation into a High Resolution Ocean-Atmosphere-Sea Ice Coupled Model. Step 1: Tackling the Ocean-Sea Ice Meso-scale (Invited Presentation)

3:30 PM

J1.2A

The Physics of Convective Clustering: Possible Implications for Tropical Predictability

Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded Presentation

4:00 PM

J1.1

Ensemble Data Assimilation for Seamless Prediction (Invited Presentation)

Jeffrey Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded Presentation

4:30 PM

J1.3

Predictability from Weather to Intraseasonal Timescales Using Stochastic Ensembles

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and H. Christensen, B. Kerns, and F. Judt

Recorded Presentation

4:45 PM

J1.4

Ensemble Predictability of Convective Weather Hazards

Glen Romine, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Schwartz, R. A. Sobash, and K. Fossell

Recorded Presentation

5:00 PM-5:05 PM: Thursday, 14 January 2016

AMS 96th Annual Meeting Adjourns

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Sunday, 10 January 2016

7:30 AM-9:00 AM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration for Short Courses and Conference for Early Career Professionals

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Click here for Short Course Registration and Click here for Conference for Early Career Professionals Registration

8:30 AM-5:30 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration for Student Conference and Short Courses

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Click here for Student Conference Registration and Click here for Short Course Registration

9:00 AM-6:00 PM: Sunday, 10 January 2016

Registration Open for Annual Meeting

Location: Hall D pre-function ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Everyone presenting (both oral and poster) and/or attending the 96th AMS Annual Meeting must register and wear a badge. Early registration rates are valid through Tuesday, 1 December 2015. Registrations forms faxed or mailed to AMS Headquarters will be accepted until 15 December 2015. Online registrations will be accepted throughout the conference. Preregistration forms must be accompanied by one of the following forms of payment: check (personal/business/traveler's), money order, purchase order, or credit card number (MasterCard/VISA/American Express). Foreign checks must be drawn on a U.S. bank and made payable in U.S. dollars. Confirmation of registration will be sent once the form is processed. Refunds (less a $25 processing fee) will be granted only for cancellations received before 22 December 2015. Click here for more information on registration.

Monday, 11 January 2016

9:00 AM-10:30 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

PL 1

Plenary Session 2016 Presidential Forum: Serving Society in Times of Crisis: Past, Present and Future

Location: La Nouvelle B-C ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

This year’s Presidential Forum reflects upon the American Meteorological Society (AMS) annual meeting theme, "Earth System Science in Service to Society" that provides participants a better understanding of living through extreme events. Our society continues to experience the effects of more and more extreme events like hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and drought, some as a result of our changing climate and others as a result of our expanding population. The AMS needs to continue to address lessons learned, and more importantly, identify what future actions it will take to help mitigate the impact of these devastating life-changing events. To highlight this, we’ve invited an outstanding panel of speakers – Admiral Thad Allen, United States Coast Guard (ret), Executive Vice President Booz Allen Hamilton; Max Mayfield, Director, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/National Hurricane Center (ret); Dr. Kerry Emanuel, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; and Dr. Shirley Laska, Professor Emerita, and founding past Director of the Center for Hazards Assessment, Response and Technology, University of New Orleans. Moderator Maureen McCann, News 13 Orlando, will lead a discussion of the panelists' personal experiences during Hurricane Katrina and Deepwater Horizon. The panel will also address AMS’s current activities that encompass research and forecasting of events and inspire our members to embrace a renewed sense of purpose as they direct our Society in the coming years.

10:30 AM-11:00 AM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Coffee Break

Location: La Nouvelle Foyer ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

11:00 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Evolving the Global Observing System

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

12:00 PM-1:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Lunch Break

1:30 PM-2:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Perspective and Plans for Future Observing Systems in Earth System Science

Location: Room 252/254 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

A panel of senior managers and scientists will present their perspective on the challenges and opportunities of future spaced-based earth observation missions needed for providing more value-added applications addressing societal needs and increasing the scientific understanding of earth processes. They will describe how these challenges and opportunities are being addressed through changes to satellite architecture, sensor design, an evolving business model, and increased inter-agency and international cooperation, etc.

L 1

Lecture Walter Orr Roberts Lecture

Location: La Nouvelle A ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Field Experiments I

Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Data Assimilation: Ocean and Coupled Models I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

2:30 PM-4:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

P 1

Poster Session Data Assimilation: Data Impact Experiments and OSSEs

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

JP 3

Joint Poster Session Remote Sensing Applications in Hydrology Posters

Location: New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center

The session will focus on science and applications of remote sensing in land surface hydrologic sciences. The remotely sensed measurements related to hydrological parameters are from satellite, radar, airborne, or other platforms. We are hoping to increase the discussions on: (1) the current and future requirements for the data sets; (2) the current state of the science for measuring hydrologic parameters using remote sensing platforms; (3) how hydrological models or downstream applications use the remotely sensed data products for decision support; (4) areas where current science methodology does not adequately address the needs of the broader hydrologic community; and (5) new methods and/or new remote sensing technologies that offer potential for improving hydrologic (including land surface parameter) remote sensing. For additional information about the session, please contact the session chairs Xiwu Zhan (xiwu.zhan@noaa.gov) and John Eylander (john.b.eylander@usace.army.mil), or the program organizer, David Gochis (gochis@ucar.edu).

4:00 PM-5:00 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Data Assimilation: Ocean and Coupled Models II

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

4:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Field Experiments II

Location: Room 344 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

5:00 PM-5:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

J 9

Joint Session Remote sensing applications in hydrology, Part I

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

5:30 PM-7:30 PM: Monday, 11 January 2016

Exhibits Opening Reception, Ribbon Cutting, and Corporate Recognition

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Please join other attendees for the Opening Reception of the 2016 Annual Meeting, sponsored by the exhibiting companies. Local government officials and other dignitaries will be present for the ribbon-cutting event.

Tuesday, 12 January 2016

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

J 3

Joint Session Data Assimilation: Operational Advancements I

Location: Room 345 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

Joint between the 20IOAS-AOLS and the 6R2O

J 10

Joint Session Remote sensing applications in hydrology, Part II

Location: Room 240/241 ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

9:45 AM-11:00 AM: Tuesday, 12 January 2016

Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break

Location: Hall D/E ( New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)

JP 5

Joint Poster Session Land Data Assimilation Techniques and Systems Posters

Please contact the program organizer, Mike Ek (Michael.Ek@noaa.gov) for additional information. This session highlights advances in development and applications of land data assimilation systems (LDAS), which merge ground- or satellite-based land surface observations with estimates from coupled or off-line land surface models, and can be used to initialize weather and seasonal climate forecasts, monitor and predict extreme events, provide improved background information for atmospheric data assimilation, improve process understanding, and support model development. Contributions may include studies that evaluate or improve land DA methods, assess the impact of the assimilation on the quality of theLDAS products, or use LDAS for the above-mentioned applications. Moreover, contributions may address the simultaneous assimilation of multiple observation types, use of current and planned hydrology satellite missions, or focus on operational and other routinely-run systems for land-hydrology analysis, forecasting and related purposes.