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Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 28 April 2002
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
Monday, 29 April 2002
	7:30 AM-6:00 PM, Monday Conference Registration continues through Friday, 3 May
	9:00 AM, Monday Introduction. Harry H. Hendon, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
	9:10 AM, Monday Presentation of Banner I. Miller Award. Christopher Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
	9:15 AM, Monday Opening Remarks. Max Mayfield, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL
	9:30 AM-10:50 AM, Monday Session 1 Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability I
Organizer: Max Mayfield, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL
9:30 AM 1.1 Precursor Global Climate Influences on the Probability of US Landfalling Hurricanes   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 9:50 AM 1.2 Leading Tropical Climate Modes Associated with Interannual and Multi-decadal Variations in Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity   Gerald D. Bell, NOAA/NWS, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Chelliah 10:10 AM 1.3 Prediction of floods in the Bangladeshi monsoon delta   Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Grossman, T. Hopson, T. N. Palmer, and D. L. T. Anderson 10:30 AM 1.4 Tropical cyclones and climate   Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Monday Poster Session 1 Tropical Cyclones, Large-scale Dynamics and Convection
P1.1 Regional damage assessment of U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones with a focus on North Carolina   Douglas C. Hilderbrand, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. J. Pietrafesa   P1.2 Re-Analysis of the Chesapeake-Potomac Hurricane of August 22–23, 1933   Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL   P1.3 Paper moved to Session 8A, new paper number 8A.1A     P1.3A Surface observations of landfalling hurricanes along the United States Gulf and Atlantic coastline (Formerly Paper 8A.1)   Gary D. Skwira, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson, D. A. Smith, C. -. B. Chang, and A. L. Doggett   P1.4 Anomalous Intensification of the Remnants Tropical Storm Allison over land   Kwan-yin Kong, City College of New York, New York, NY   P1.5 Inland secondary rainfall maxima patterns associated with tropical cyclones affecting North Carolina   Joel W. Cline, NOAA/NWS, Raleigh, NC   P1.6 A Coastal Internal Boundary Layer within a Tropical Cyclone   J. Rob Howard, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder   P1.7 Inland tropical cyclone wind forecasts for peninsular Florida   Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and R. F. Morales   P1.8 Orographic Influences on Rainfall and Track Associated with the Passage of Tropical Cyclones   Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and D. B. Ensley, S. Chiao, C. M. Hill, and C. Y. Huang   P1.9 Aspects of the Tropical Cyclone Program of NOAA/NESDIS   Michael A. Turk, NOAA/NESDIS, Washington, DC; and S. J. Kusselson   P1.10 Paper Moved to Session 17C, New Paper Number 17C.5A   P1.11 Typhoon track prediction using a barotropic global-DFS-spectral model   Hyeong Bin Cheong, Pukyong National University, Pusan, Korea; and M. K. Kang, T. Y. Goo, M. J. Lee, and I. H. Kwon   P1.12 The Impact of Dropsonde Data on Forecasts of Hurricane Debby by the Met Office Global Model   Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and X. Qu   P1.13 How the NCEP tropical cyclone tracker works   Timothy P. Marchok, SAIC at NCEP/GFDL, Princeton, NJ   P1.14 Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting   Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and M. Lonfat, J. E. Tenerelli, R. F. Rogers, and F. M. Horsfall   P1.15 Modeliong Track Deflection For Tropical Cyclones Passing Over a Mesoscale Mountain and its Potential Application to Track Prediction   Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and N. C. Witcraft and S. Y. Chen   P1.16 The application and use of UW-CIMSS specialized satellite products in Tropical analysis   Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and C. S. Velden   P1.17 An Evaluation of CIMSS and CIRA AMSU Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Algorithms   Julie Demuth, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, J. A. Knaff, C. Velden, and K. F. Brueske   P1.18 UW-CIMSS Satellite Products: Recent Research and Developments   Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI   P1.19 Paper Moved to Session 2D, New Paper Number 2D.1A   P1.19A Steering dynamics of hurricanes based on satellite-derived far field winds (Formerly Paper Number 2D.1)   Flavio Noca, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. Velden   P1.20 Operational uses of satellite products at La Réunion   Anne-Claire Fontan, La Reunion Tropical Cyclone Center, Meteo-France, La Reunion, France   P1.21 Microwave satellite retrievals for tropical cyclone forecasting and research   Chelle L. Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and D. K. Smith and F. J. Wentz   P1.22 The enhanced role of the polar orbiter constellation in tropical system monitoring in the wake of a geostationary platform failure   Steven D. Miller, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. J. Turk, T. F. Lee, K. Richardson, and J. D. Hawkins   P1.23 Single-Doppler Radar Estimation of Hurricane and Environmental Winds in the Lower Troposphere   Paul R. Harasti, NCAR, Boulder, CO   P1.24 Examining the Eight-Day Evolution of Upper Level Winds in Hurricane Floyd   John A. Knaff, NOAA/CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and C. S. Velden   P1.25 Additional Insights into Hurricane Gust Factors   John L. Schroeder, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and M. R. Conder and J. R. Howard   P1.26 Operational use of QuikSCAT over tropical cyclones   Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, Univ. of Guam, Mangiliao, Guam; and M. A. Lander, C. E. Cantrell, J. L. Franklin, P. S. Chang, and J. D. Hawkins   P1.27 Simulations of Hurricane Erin (2001) with MM5: sensitivity to microphysics   Greg M. McFarquhar, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and J. Dudhia and H. Zhang   P1.28 A Cyclone phase space Derived from Thermal wind and thermal asymmetry   Robert Hart, Penn State University, University Park, PA   P1.29 Case Study of an Australian Subtropical Cyclone from March 2001   Paul J. McCrone, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE P1.30 Limitation of tropical cyclone intensification by vertical shear induced structure changes   Craig M. Orndorff, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and Y. Wang and B. Wang   P1.31 From Asymmetric Heating to Axisymmetric Intensification   David S. Nolan, Princeton University, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and M. T. Montgomery   P1.32 Western North Pacific "Tropical Cyclogenesis" in an AGCM    Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and A. H. Sobel   P1.33 The interaction of a tropical-cyclone-like vortex and a front in a barotropic model   Martin Juckes, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Chilton, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom; and S. C. Jones   P1.34 Sensitivities of modeled tropical cyclones to surface friction and the Corolis Parameter   Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen and W. K. Tao   P1.35 Use of a one-dimensional ocean mixed-layer model for coupled tropical cyclone simulations   Clark Rowley, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS   P1.36 A grid sensitivity study for vertical sigma levels in idealized hurricane simulations   F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. Hayes and S. K. Kimball   P1.37 Precipitation structures observed in CAMEX hurricanes   Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and G. M. Heymsfield, F. J. LaFontaine, M. G. Bateman, E. J. Zipser, and F. D. Marks   P1.38 In situ measurements of particle size distributions in Hurricane Humberto   Aaron R. Bansemer, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Heymsfield and P. T. Willis   P1.39 Diagnosing tropical cyclones and deep convection using upper tropospheric inertial stability and cloud-motion wind vectors   John R. Mecikalski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden   P1.40 Supersaturation in tropical storms measured during CAMEX-3 and CAMEX-4   Robert L. Herman, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. J. Heymsfield, L. Pfister, T. P. Bui, and J. Dean-Day   P1.41 The relationship of tropical cyclone convective intensity to passive microwave observations   Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and F. J. LaFontaine, D. J. Cecil, A. Guillory, G. M. Heymsfield, and R. Blakeslee   P1.42 A mesoscale climate model for the tropics   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and B. N. Belcher and K. H. Cook   P1.43 A fifty year history of subtropical cyclones   David M. Roth, Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD   P1.44 A climatology of intense tropical cyclones in the south-west Indian Ocean   Karl Hoarau, Cergy-Pontoise University, Cergy-Pontoise, France; and R. Robert and J. P. Hoarau   P1.45 Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles From TRMM PR data: Algorithm development with a cloud-resolving model   Shoichi Shige, National Space Development Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, W. -. K. Tao, and D. E. Johnson   P1.46 A Climatology of Rapidly Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin, 1975-2000   Chris C. Robbins, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL; and S. R. Stewart   P1.47 The ENSO signal in tropical tropospheric temperature   Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and I. M. Held and C. S. Bretherton   P1.48 Stability of the relationship between regional rainfall in Africa and ENSO   Sylwia Trzaska, CNRS/Univ. de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and N. Fauchereau, I. Poccard, P. Camberlin, Y. Richard, and N. Philippon   P1.49 Spring to summer contrasted transitions in the West African monsoon   Bernard Fontaine, CNRS/Univ. de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and N. Philippon, S. Trzaska, C. Frelin, and P. Roucou   P1.50 Large-scale organization of tropical convection in two-dimensional explicit numerical simulations   Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff   P1.51 Paper moved to Session 15B, New Paper Number 15B.2A     P1.52 Numerical study of a sahelian synoptic weather system: Initiation and Mature stage of Convection and its interactions with the large scale dynamics   Aida Diongue, CNRM, Toulouse, paris, United Kingdom; and J. P. Lafore, J. L. Redelsperger, and R. Roca   P1.53 Impact of greenhouse warming on the variability of easterly waves, rainfall and convection over West Africa   Arona Diedhiou, LTHE/IRD, Grenoble, France; and J. F. Royer, I. Poccard, and T. Lebel   P1.54 Sensitivities of Cloud and Radiation to Changes in SST over the Tropical Eastern Pacific: Results from Cloud-Resolving Simulations   Donghai Wang, Hampton University, Hampton, VA; and E. Deckter, T. Wong, and B. A. Wielicki   P1.55 A General Theory of Monsoon Regulation in the Context of a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System   Peter J. Webster, PAOS, Univ. Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. Chirokova, W. Han, and J. Loschnigg P1.56 Mean water vapor fluxes over the Gulf of California from routine and special radiosonde data   Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. C. Leal   P1.57 Diagnosis and prediction of some extreme rain events over southeast Asia   Noel E. Davidson, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and E. A. Adug, W. A. W. Hassan, P. T. Nguyen, and M. R. Prabowo   P1.58 How much "skill" was there in forecasting the strong 1997-98 El Nino and 1998-2001 La Nina events?   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. A. Knaff   P1.59 An independent assessment of ENSO-CLIPER seasonal prediction skill 1987–2001   Paul Rockett, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders   P1.60 On the correlation of boundary layer wind maximums and vertical velocities associated with an MM5 simulation of supertyphoon Herb (1996)   David B. Radell, Univ. of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and C. -. C. Wu and C. -. B. Chang   P1.61 Seasonal prediction of sea surface temperature and trade wind anomalies over the tropical north Atlantic and Caribbean Sea   Mark A. Saunders, University College London, London, United Kingdom; and P. Rockett   P1.62 Climatological study of the gulf stream's impact on tropical cyclone intensity   Robert J. Bright, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and L. J. Pietrafesa   P1.63 Exploring the connection of extreme convective events and upper-ocean heat content in the tropical cyclone (Formerly Paper 17C.5)   Paula Ann Hennon, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC
	12:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday Session 2A Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability II (Parallel with Sessions 2B, 2C, & 2D)
Organizer: James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL
2:00 PM 2A.1 Seasonal prediction of Atlantic, US and Caribbean landfalling hurricanes   Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and P. Rockett 2:15 PM 2A.2 Seasonal prediction of NW Pacific and Japan landfalling typhoons   Paul Rockett, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders 2:30 PM 2A.3 Seasonal forecasting for tropical cyclones affecting Shanghai   Xiaotu Lei, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China 2:45 PM 2A.4 Prediction of August Atlantic basin hurricane activity   Eric Blake, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 3:00 PM 2A.5 Forecasting September Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity at zero and one month lead times   Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 2A.6 Multidecadal-Scale Fluctuations in October Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Atlantic Basin   Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday Session 2B Convection (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2C, & 2D)
Organizer: Richard Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
2:00 PM 2B.1 Ship radar observations of a developing tropical cyclone in the east Pacific   Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. A. Petersen, D. J. Boccippio, C. W. Fairall, and S. A. Rutledge 2:15 PM 2B.2 The effects of buoyancy, shear and humidity on convection in the eastern tropical Pacific   Graciela B. Raga, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and D. Baumgardner 2:30 PM 2B.3 Composite analyses of local influences of tropical convection   Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT 2:45 PM 2B.4 Characteristics of Amazonian Rain During Contrasting Wet Season Regimes   Steven A. Rutledge, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and L. D. Carey, R. Cifelli, and W. A. Petersen 3:00 PM 2B.5 Diurnal variation during TOGA COARE   Taotao Qian, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and R. D. Cess 3:15 PM 2B.6 Spectral representation of rain features and diurnal variations observed with TRMM PR over the equatorial area   Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday Session 2C Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2B, and 2D)
Organizer: Greg Holland, Aerosonde Ltd., Notting Hill, Vic. Austria
2:00 PM 2C.1 The use of GOES imagery in statistical hurricane intensity prediction   Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and R. M. Zehr, J. P. Kossin, and J. A. Knaff 2:15 PM 2C.2 The Effects of Vertical Wind Shear as Diagnosed by the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Data on Northeast Pacific Hurricane Intensity   Cynthia K. Palmer, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes 2:30 PM 2C.3 Estimating the probability of rapid intensification using the SHIPS model output: Some preliminary results   John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria 2:45 PM 2C.4 An analysis of the forecast performance of the GFDL model during Debby (2000)   Jamie R. Rhome, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and S. Raman and R. S. Pasch 3:00 PM 2C.5 Hurricane heat potential estimates from monthly versus seasonal temperature and salinity data   Sean R. White, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. M. Mainelli, S. D. Jacob, and L. K. Shay 3:15 PM 2C.6 Forecast skill of a simple coupled hurricane intensity prediction model   Fiona M. Horsfall, NOAA/AOML/NHC, Miami, FL; and K. A. Emanuel
	2:00 PM-3:15 PM, Monday Session 2D Tropical Cyclone Motion (Parallel with Sessions 2A, 2B, & 2C)
Organizer: Jeff Halverson, JCET/University of Baltimore, Greenbelt, MD
2:00 PM 2D.1 Paper Moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.19A   2:01 PM 2D.1a Satellite Applications for Tropical Wave/Tropical Cyclone Tracking (Formerly Paper P1.19)   Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD and Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and C. S. Velden 2:15 PM 2D.2 Nonlinear motion of a two-layer baroclinic hurricane in shear   Robert W. Jones, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and H. E. Willoughby 2:30 PM 2D.3 Hurricane Risk in Hawaii. Part 1: Steering flow analysis in the central north pacific   Anthony Reynes-Figueroa, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and D. Stevens and S. H. Houston 2:45 PM 2D.4 Control Parameters for Track Continuity and Deflection Associated with Tropical Cyclones over a Mesoscale Mountain   Yuh-Lang Lin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Y. Chen and C. M. Hill 3:00 PM 2D.5 Contribution to the Track and Intensity Forecasts of Hurricanes for the Physical and Dynamical Components using a Residue-Free Budget and the FSUGSM   Adam J. O'Shay, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
	3:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 3A Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability III (Parallel with Sessions 3B, 3C, & 3D)
Organizer: Stanley Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
4:00 PM 3A.1 A look at global tropical cyclone activity with respect to the Atlantic change-point year of 1995   Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam 4:15 PM 3A.2 Interannual variations in tropical cyclone tracks   James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 4:30 PM 3A.3 Seasonal Environmental Conditions Related to Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Northeast Pacific Basin   Jennifer M. Collins, University College London, London, UK and Plymouth State College, Plymouth, NH; and I. M. Mason 4:45 PM 3A.4 Variability of Tropical Storms in AGCMS   Suzana J. Camargo, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and S. E. Zebiak 5:00 PM 3A.5 Performance of the NCEP Seasonal Forecast Model over the Atlantic tropical cyclone prone region   Wilbur Y. Chen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Spring, MD 5:15 PM 3A.6 Tropical Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Using Multi-Model Superensemble Technique   W. T. Yun, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 3B Convection II (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3C, & 3D)
Organizer: Steven C. Sherwood, Yale University, New Haven, CT
4:00 PM 3B.1 THE IMPACT OF TAIWAN TOPOGRAPHY ON TYPHOON NARI AS LANDFALLING FROM THE HIGH RESOLUTION SIMULATION   Jing-Shan Hong, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. C. Yeh and D. S. Chen 4:15 PM 3B.2 Satellite-Based Passive and Active Microwave Remote Sensing of Precipitation and Latent Heating Distributions in the Tropics   William S. Olson, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and S. Yang, Z. S. Haddad, C. D. Kummerow, W. K. Tao, and J. J. Wang 4:30 PM 3B.3 Mesoscale cloud analysis using METEOSAT data: application to the JET2000 experiment   Mathieu Nuret, Meteo-France/CNRM, Toulouse, France; and F. Hdidou, V. Gouget, and J. P. Lafore 4:45 PM 3B.4 Cloud-Resolving Model Simulation of Large Ensemble of Cloud Systems from EOS Satellite Observations and Comparison with the ECMWF Cloud Model   Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and T. Wong, A. Cheng, Z. Eitzen, and B. A. Wielicki 5:00 PM 3B.5 A Numerical Model Study of Formation of Congestus Clouds in Vicinity of MCSs   Marja H. Bister, Academy of Finland and Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and B. E. Mapes 5:15 PM 3B.6 A Parameterization For Mixing in moist turbulent Thermals   Stefan Tulich, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 3C Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3B, & 3D)
Organizer: Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO
4:00 PM 3C.1 MPI, shear and rapid intensification of hurricanes   Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 4:15 PM 3C.2 Intensity change and eyewall replacement in Hurricane Floyd (1999)   Joseph E. Tenerelli, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen 4:30 PM 3C.3 Inhibiting factors to tropical cyclone intensification   Greg J. Holland, Aerosonde Ltd., Notting Hill, Vic., Australia; and Y. Wang 4:45 PM 3C.4 Vertical wind shear characteristics with Atlantic hurricanes during 2001   Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO 5:00 PM 3C.5 Environmental Vertical Wind Shear and Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Utilizing Enhanced Satellite Derived Wind Information   Gregory M. Gallina, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden 5:15 PM 3C.6 Eyewall contraction, breakdown and reformation in landfalling Typhoon (1998)   Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu and Y. Wang
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday Session 3D Tropical Cyclone Prediction (Parallel with Sessions 3A, 3B, & 3C)
Organizer: Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Maimi, FL
4:00 PM 3D.1 The Advancement of NCEP's Hurricane Prediction System: Present and Future   Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan, Q. Liu, W. Shen, and S. Lord 4:15 PM 3D.2 NCEP Global Model Tropical Forecast Upgrades: Model Performance during the 2001 Hurricane Season   Hua-Lu Pan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Q. Liu, N. Surgi, and S. Lord 4:30 PM 3D.3 Use of the NCEP Global Ensemble for tropical cyclone track forecasting   Timothy P. Marchok, SAIC at NCEP/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and Z. Toth and Q. Liu 4:45 PM 3D.4 Forecasting tropical cyclogenesis in the NCEP global model   Richard S. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. G. Jiing, F. M. Horsfall, H. L. Pan, and N. Surgi 5:00 PM 3D.5 The Met Office 2002 global model upgrade and the expected impact on tropical cyclone forecasts   Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom; and G. Greed 5:15 PM 3D.6 Landfall prediction of hurricanes/typhoons from the FSU superensemble   T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, L. Stefanova, and J. Wood
Tuesday, 30 April 2002
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Session 4B Convection III (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4C, & 4D)
Organizer: Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY
8:30 AM 4B.1 Impacts of humidity-corrected sonde data on TOGA COARE analyses   Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. H. Johnson and J. Wang 8:45 AM 4B.2 Spurious divergence within objective analyses with application to TOGA COARE heat and moisture budgets   Patrick T. Haertel, Colorado State University, Ft Collins, CO 9:00 AM 4B.3 Effects of random sampling errors on TOGA-COARE atmospheric budgets   Richard H. Johnson, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and P. E. Ciesielski and B. E. Mapes 9:15 AM 4B.4 Convective momentum transport observed during the TOGA COARE IOP: Implications for parameterization   Wen-wen Tung, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Yanai 9:30 AM 4B.5 Evaluation and impact study of convective momentum parameterization using 3D cloud-resolving model and general circulation model   Xiaoqing Wu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff, X. Z. Liang, and G. J. Zhang 9:45 AM 4B.6 Single column model test of the parameterization of convective momentum transport by tropical convective systems   Guang J. Zhang, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA 10:00 AM 4B.7 Vertical Transport of momentum within and surrounding isolated cumulus clouds   Paul B. Bogner, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes 10:15 AM 4B.8 Fluctuations in an ensemble of cumulus clouds   Brenda G. Cohen, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom; and G. C. Craig
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Session 4C HL2001/CAMEX-4
Organizer: Russ Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA
8:30 AM 4C.1 Overview of the fourth Convection and Moisture Experiment (CAMEX-4)   Robbie E. Hood, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Kakar, E. Zipser, T. N. Krishnamurti, and F. D. Marks 8:45 AM 4C.2 Structure of the highly sheared tropical storm chantal during camex-4   Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. B. Halverson, M. L. Black, F. D. Marks, E. J. Zipser, L. Tian, L. Belcher, P. Bui, and E. Im 9:00 AM 4C.3 Thermal structure of Hurricane Erin's (2001) Core Using Dropsonde Data from 68,000 Feet and Comparison with AMSU Satellite Measurements   Jeffrey B. Halverson, Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and T. Hock, H. Cole, J. Simpson, G. M. Heymsfield, H. Pierce, C. Velden, and K. F. Brueske 9:15 AM 4C.4 A multiple aircraft experiment in Hurricane Humberto (2001). Part I: Wind fields   Steven E. Feuer, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. F. Gamache, M. L. Black, F. D. Marks, and J. B. Halverson 9:30 AM 4C.5 A multiple aircraft experiment in Hurricane Humberto (2001): Part 2, Precipitation fields   Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and G. M. Heymsfield, D. J. Cecil, R. Blakeslee, S. Durden, J. F. Gamache, and F. D. Marks 9:45 AM 4C.6 Observations of hurricane boundary layer structure and air-sea interaction processes from HAL 2001/ CAMEX4 (NASA) as a prelude to HAL2002/ CBLAST (ONR)   Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and F. D. Marks, E. W. Uhlhorn, D. McLaughlin, X. Zhang, and E. J. Walsh 10:00 AM 4C.7 Rain rate measurements in Hurricane Humberto using the airborne NASA Scanning Radar Altimeter   Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, D. Vandemark, L. F. Bliven, E. W. Uhlhorn, P. G. Black, and F. D. Marks 10:15 AM 4C.8 Airborne lidar measurements of water vapor profiles in the hurricane environment   Richard A. Ferrare, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA; and E. V. Browell, S. Ismail, S. Kooi, L. H. Brasseur, A. Notari, L. Petway, M. Clayton, M. J. Mahoney, J. B. Halverson, F. J. Schmidlin, T. N. Krishnamurti, E. Bensman, V. Brackett, and R. Herman
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Session 4D Tropical Cyclone Prediction II (Parallel with Sessions 4A, 4B, & 4C)
Organizer: Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AM 4D.1 Track Forecasting of 2001 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Using a Kilo-Member Ensemble   Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 8:45 AM 4D.2 Hurricane track and intensity prediction using a statistical ensemble of numerical models   Harry C. Weber, University of Munich, Munich, Germany 9:00 AM 4D.3 Ensemble prediction of tropical cyclones   K. Puri, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. Barkmeijer, N. E. Davidson, and H. C. Weber 9:15 AM 4D.4 Ensemble methods applied to hurricane track and intensity forecasting   Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett and H. Liu 9:30 AM 4D.5 ASSIMILATION OF GPS DROPWINDSONDE DATA USING A VICBAR ENSEMBLE   Brian J. Etherton, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. D. Aberson 9:45 AM 4D.6 Tropical cyclone track predictability limits   Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL 10:00 AM 4D.7 Assessment of the Potential for Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Formation in the navy Global Models   Ted Dorics, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry 10:15 AM 4D.8 Prospects for operational tropical cyclogenesis forecasting   Christopher C. Hennon, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
	9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Session 4A Seasonal to Interannual Prediction and Predictability IV (Parallel with Sessions 4B, 4C, & 4D)
Organizer: John L. McBride, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic Australia
9:00 AM 4A.1 Decadal Variations of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Central North Pacific   Pao-Shin Chu, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 9:15 AM 4A.2 Recurvature and landfall of Atlantic hurricanes and their relationship to the North Atlantic Oscillation   Brian F. Owens, Willis Limited, London, FL, United Kingdom 9:30 AM 4A.3 How strong El Nino affect tropical storm activity in the western North Pacific   Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and J. C. L. Chan 9:45 AM 4A.4 West African monsoon and SST variability. A numerical study of the respective roles of the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans   Sylwia Trzaska, CNRS/Universite de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and B. Fontaine and S. Janicot 10:00 AM 4A.5 Relationships between deep soil wetness, monsoon dynamics and rainfall, and their potential use for improving seasonal forecasting in West Africa   Nathalie Philippon, CNRS/Universite de Bourgogne, Dijon, France; and B. Fontaine and V. Moron 10:15 AM 4A.6 Why does Climate conflict with Development over the Tropical regions of Eastern Africa? A case study for Ethiopia   Diriba Korecha, National Meteorological Services Agency of Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
	10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday Session 5A Monsoons I (Parallel with Sessions 5B, 5C & 5D)
Organizer: John T. Fasullo, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
11:00 AM 5A.1 Factors contributing to the onset of the Australian summer monsoon   Chih-wen Hung, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and M. Yanai 11:15 AM 5A.2 Interhemispheric atmospheric mass exchange associated with the onset of an active phase of the Australian summer monsoon   Marco L. Carrera, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum 11:30 AM 5A.3 Symmetry and asymmetry of the Asian and Australian summer monsoons   Michio Yanai, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and X. Liu and C. W. Hung 11:45 AM 5A.4 Intercontinental Teleconnection: Interactions between the African and South America Monsoon Systems   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and J. S. Hsieh 12:00 PM 5A.5 Relationships between the maritime continent heat source and the El Nino Southern Oscillation phenomenon   John L. McBride, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. R. Haylock and N. Nicholls 12:15 PM 5A.6 Influence of Coastal Upwelling on the Indian Ocean   Larissa E. Back, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday Session 5B Convection IV (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5C, & 5D)
Organizer: Kuan-Man Xu, NASA/LRC, Hampton, VA
11:00 AM 5B.1 A new approach to the cumulus parameterization   Yoshio Kurihara, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan 11:15 AM 5B.2 Towards a wavelet-based convective representation for GCM: rationales and preliminary results   Jun-Ichi Yano, CNRM,Meteo-France, Toulouse, France; and P. Bechtold, J. L. Redelsperger, and F. Guichard 11:30 AM 5B.3 Characteristics of simulated deep convection in radiative-convective equalibrium over tropical oceans   Xiping Zeng, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond 11:45 AM 5B.4 Resolution dependence of parameterized physics inferred from nonhydrostatic model experiments   Joon-Hee Jung, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Arakawa 12:00 PM 5B.5 Resolution dependence of a tropical squall line   Tomoe Nasuno, Frontier Range System for Global Change, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; and K. Saito 12:15 PM 5B.6 Initiation of Mesoscale Convective Complexes in Eastern Africa: A precursor to Tropical Cyclogenesis   Christopher M. Hill, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and Y. L. Lin
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday Session 5C Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5B, & 5D)
Organizer: Cynthia Palmer, University Of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
11:00 AM 5C.1 Symmetric and asymmetric contributions to the intensification of Hurricane Opal in a GFDL model forecast   J. Dominique Möller, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and L. J. Shapiro 11:15 AM 5C.2 Influence of atmospheric asymmetries on the intensification of Hurricane Opal: Piecewise PV inversion diagnosis of a GFDL model forecast   Lloyd J. Shapiro, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and J. D. Möller 11:30 AM 5C.3 On the intensification and recurvature of tropical cyclone Tracy (1974)   Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia 11:45 AM 5C.4 Comparison of Hurricane intensity as realized in an axisymmetric model with MPI theory   John Persing, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery 12:00 PM 5C.5 An application of Atmospheric Thermodynamics to Tropical Cyclone/Hurricane Activity   R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and P. R. Remata and R. L. Miller 5C.6 The tropical cyclone-jet streak interaction: A numerical study of the role of pre-existing outflow channels in tropical cyclone intensification   Eric Rappin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Tuesday Session 5D Tropical Cyclone Prediction III (Parallel with Sessions 5A, 5B, & 5C)
Organizer: Brian Etherthon, University of Miami, Miami, FL
11:00 AM 5D.1 Observing-systems simulation experiments for tropical cyclone initialization based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation   Chun-Chieh Wu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and K. H. Chou, Y. H. Kuo, and W. P. Huang 11:15 AM 5D.2 Analysis and Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones in the ECMWF 40-year Reanalysis (ERA-40)   Michael Fiorino, LLNL, Livermore, CA 11:30 AM 5D.3 4-D Variational assimilation of QuikScat winds into the MM5 Model   Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, J. E. Tenerelli, and R. Foster 11:45 AM 5D.4 Hurricane Forecasting using Adaptive Unstructured Grids   David P. Bacon, SAIC, McLean, VA; and N. N. Ahmad, Z. Boybeyi, S. G. Gopalakrishnan, M. S. Hall, P. C. S. Lee, and R. A. Sarma 12:00 PM 5D.5 Hurricane initialization using reconnaissance data in GFDL hurricane forecast model   Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and S. J. Lord, N. Surgi, H. L. Pan, and F. D. Marks 12:15 PM 5D.6 Short-term high-resolution prediction of tropical cyclones in the northwest Pacific using the TCM-90 dataset   Xiaqiong Zhou, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. Qi, L. M. Leslie, and J. C. L. Chan
	12:30 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday Session 6A Monsoons II (Parallel with Sessions 6B, 6C, and 6D)
Organizer: Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
2:00 PM 6A.1 Development and breakdown of reverse monsoon troughs in the western Pacific   Kelly Lombardo, SUNY, Albany, NY 2:15 PM 6A.2 a Hydrological definition of Indian Monsoon onset and withdrawl   John T. Fasullo, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster 2:30 PM 6A.3 Connections Between the African, Indian rainfall regimes   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 2:45 PM 6A.4 West African Monsoon project   Jean-Luc Redelsperger, CNRM,CNRS and Meteo-France, Toulouse, France 3:00 PM 6A.5 Extra-tropical dry air intrusions in the West African Moonson region   Rémy Roca, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France; and C. Piriou, J. P. Lafore, and J. L. Redelsperger 3:15 PM 6A.6 The role of the intra-seasonal time scale variability in the West African monsoon   Serge Janicot, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Palaiseau, France; and B. Sultan
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday Session 6B Large-scale dynamics and convection (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6C, and 6D)
Organizer: Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
2:00 PM 6B.1 Comparison of the characteristics of convection in the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans   Robert A. Houze Jr., Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. J. Webster 2:15 PM 6B.2 Cirrus generation and maintenance in the Tropical Western Pacific   James H. Mather, PNNL, Richland, WA; and J. M. Comstock and T. P. Ackerman 2:30 PM 6B.3 Convective Clouds over the Bay of Bengal   Paquita Zuidema, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO 2:45 PM 6B.4 Deformation of Large Cloud Disturbance over the Western Tropical Pacific   Atsushi Hamada, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and N. Nishi and H. Kida 3:00 PM 6B.5 Dynamics of Northwest Pacific tropical disturbances   Hung-Chi Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. -. P. Chang and R. T. Williams 3:15 PM 6B.6 Time dependent energetics budget for quasi-stationary conectively coupled modes   Robert A. Tomas, PAOS, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday Session 6C Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Dynamics I (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6B, and 6D)
Organizer: Noel Davidson, BOM, Melbourne, Vic. Australia
6C.1 Topographic effect on a barotropic cyclone encountering a mountain: laboratory experiment and numerical simulation   Hung-Cheng Chen, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Chang and C. C. Chu 2:00 PM 6C.2 On the interaction of binary typhoon systems with MM5   Ling-Feng Hsiao, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and K. Y. Liu 2:15 PM 6C.3 A case study of tropical cyclone merger   Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and B. D. McNoldy, R. Prieto, J. L. Vigh, S. R. Fulton, and R. M. Zehr 2:30 PM 6C.4 Low-level structures of environments bearing mesocyclones with tornadoes spawned by Tropical Cyclone (TC) Earl (1998) in Florida as revealed by MM5 integrations   Daniel R. Gallagher, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO 2:45 PM 6C.5 Precipitation and landmass interaction during Hurricane Georges (1998) landfall at Puerto Rico   Craig M. Orndorff, RSMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and J. E. Tenerelli 3:00 PM 6C.6 A simple model of the hurricane boundary layer   Roger K. Smith, University of Munich, Munich, Germany
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday Session 6D Tropical Cyclone Prediction IV (Parallel with Sessions 6A, 6B, and 6D)
Organizer: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
2:00 PM 6D.1 Accuracy of United States tropical cyclone landfall forecasts in the Atlantic basin 1976–2001   Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Aberson 2:15 PM 6D.2 Trends in track forecasting for tropical cyclones threatening the United States, 1970–2001   James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and C. J. McAdie and M. B. Lawrence 2:30 PM 6D.3 Analysis of the first operational-test of the Systematic Approach to Tropical Cyclone Forecasting Aid at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center during the 2000 AND 2001 tropical cyclone season   Christopher E. Cantrell, Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI; and R. A. Jeffries 2:45 PM 6D.4 intense very-late-season Caribbean Hurricanes   Richard G. Henning, 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, Keesler AFB, MS 3:00 PM 6D.5 The Performance and the Recent Improvement of Typhoon Forecast System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan   Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and T. C. Yeh and K. -. N. Huang 6D.6 Tropical Cyclone Wave Height Forecast Comparison using the GFDL/NWW3 Model vs the NWW3 Model   Christopher A. Burr, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL; and M. Mainelli
	3:30 PM, Tuesday Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Session 7B Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection II (Parallel with Sessions 7C and 7D)
Organizer: Brian E. Mapes, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM 7B.1 Threshold Sea Surface Temperature For Initiation of Convection   J. David Neelin, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and H. Su and J. E. Meyerson 4:15 PM 7B.2 Sensitivity of Tropical Tropospheric Temperature to Sea Surface Temperature Forcing   Hui Su, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin and J. E. Meyerson 4:30 PM 7B.3 LARGE-SCALE waves interacting with deep convection in idealized mesoscale model simulations   Adam H. Sobel, Columbia University, New York, NY; and C. S. Bretherton 4:45 PM 7B.4 A simple model of a convectively-coupled Walker circulation using the Weak Temperature Gradient approximation   Christopher S. Bretherton, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. H. Sobel and M. Peters 5:00 PM 7B.5 A two-column model USING THE WEAK TEMPERATURE GRADIENT APPROXIMATION   Daniel A. Shaevitz, Columbia University, New York, NY; and A. H. Sobel 5:15 PM 7B.6 An explicit numerical study of the intertropical convergence zone in an aqua-planet with uniform sea surface temperature   Changhai Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Session 7C Tropical Cyclones: Vertical Shear (Parallel with Sessions 7B and 7D)
Organizer: Wayne Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
4:00 PM 7C.1 Tropical Cyclones in Complex Vertical Shears   William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and E. A. Ritchie 4:15 PM 7C.2 Understanding the dynamics of vertically sheared hurricanes   Paul D. Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery 4:30 PM 7C.3 The role of vertical shear in determining the distribution of accumulated rainfall in high-resolution numerical simulations of tropical cyclones   Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. Chen, J. E. Tenerelli, and H. Willoughby 4:45 PM 7C.4 The relationship between storm motion, vertical wind shear and convective asymmetries in tropical cyclones   Kristen L. Corbosiero, SUNY, Albany, NY 5:00 PM 7C.5 The development of asymmetric vertical motion in idealised tropical cyclones under the influence of vertical shear   Sarah C. Jones, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and E. A. Ritchie 5:15 PM 7C.6 High-resolution simulation of Hurricane Bonnie (1998): Storm structure and evolution   Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. X. Pu
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday Session 7D Tropical Cyclone Prediction V (Parallel with Session 7B and 7C)
Organizer: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
4:00 PM 7D.1 Typhoon rainfall over Taiwan area: The empirical function modes and their applications on the typhoon rainfall forecast   Tien-Chiang Yeh, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan 4:15 PM 7D.2 Development of a Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Climatology and Persistence (R-CLIPER) Model   Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and G. Kappler and M. DeMaria 4:30 PM 7D.3 Performance of the Emanuel cumulus parameterization scheme in NOGAPS: Impact of recent modifications   Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. A. Ridout and T. F. Hogan 4:45 PM 7D.4 Variability of Hurricane Wind and Wave Prediction due to Track Projections   Hans C. Graber, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. E. Jensen, V. J. Cardone, J. L. Guiney, and M. D. Powell 5:00 PM 7D.5 Beta test of a prototype dynamical model track prediction evaluation system model for the Atlantic   Mark A. Boothe, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry and L. L. Salvador 5:15 PM 7D.6 Prediction of tropical cyclone wind structure in Navy operational mesoscale model   Chi-Sann E. Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA
	7:30 PM, Tuesday Panel Discussion 1 A Proposal for an international field experiment in West Africa and Atlantic Ocean 2004/2005
Panelists: Jean Luc Redelsperger, CNRM, Toulouse France; Mitch Moncrieff, UCAR, Boulder, CO; Frank Roux, Laboratoire d'Aerologie, Toulouse France; Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; Arona Diehdiou, LTHE, Grenoble France Moderator: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY
Wednesday, 1 May 2002
	8:30 AM-10:45 AM, Wednesday Session 8A Tropical Cyclones at Landfall (Parallel with Session 8B, 8C, and 8D)
Organizer: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 8A.1 Paper moved to Poster Session P1, New Paper Number P1.3A   8:45 AM 8A.1A The impact of landfall on tropical cyclone boundary layer winds (Formerly Paper P1.3)   Jeffrey D. Kepert, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia 9:00 AM 8A.2 Profiler, radar and electric field observations of the landfall of tropical storm Gabrielle   Kevin Knupp, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. Walters 9:15 AM 8A.3 TTU WEMITE: A summary of data collected from landfalling tropical cyclones during 2000-2001   J. Rob Howard, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder, G. D. Skwira, A. L. Doggett, and A. C. Sims 9:30 AM 8A.4 Evolution of the coastal windfield during the landfall of Hurricane Floyd (1999)   Carolina E. Mayrinck, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and P. P. Dodge, F. D. Marks, S. H. Houston, and J. F. Gamache 9:45 AM 8A.5 An evaluation of the precipitation distribution in landfalling tropical cyclones   Eyad H. Atallah, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY 10:00 AM 8A.6 WSR-88D Observations of Boundary Layer Rolls during Hurricane Landfall   Ian J. Morrison, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and F. D. Marks and S. Businger 10:15 AM 8A.7 Asymmetric structure of a landfalling hurricane   M. K. Yau, McGill University, Montreal, Canada; and Y. Chen 10:30 AM 8A.8 Hurricanes at Landfall: Evolution of Structure and Isotope Ratios   Stanley D. Gedzelman, City College of New York, New York, NY; and J. R. Lawrence
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8C Tropical Cyclogenesis (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8B, and 8D)
Organizer: Paul Reasor, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 8C.1 A three-dimensional cloud-resolving numerical study of tropical cyclogenesis   Michael T. Montgomery, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. E. Nicholls and T. A. Cram 8:45 AM 8C.2 A Cloud-Resolving Regional Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Formation   Jordan G. Powers, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis 9:00 AM 8C.3 Intense tropical cyclogenesis over the northwest Australian Region in 1998/1999: causal factors and case studies   Milton S. Speer, BOM, Sydney, Australia; and L. M. Leslie and R. F. Abbey 9:15 AM 8C.4 Numerical simulations of the formation of Typhoon Robyn (1993)   Kevin K. W. Cheung, NPS, Monterey, CA 9:30 AM 8C.5 The Genesis of East Pacific Tropical Storm Lorena   Joseph A. Zehnder, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ; and D. J. Raymond 9:45 AM 8C.6 Tropical cyclone formation under the influence of low-level wind surges in the western north Pacific   Cheng-shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 10:00 AM 8C.7 Contrasting Influences of the Saharan Air Layer on Tropical Cyclogenesis over the Eastern Atlantic   V. Mohan Karyampudi, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. Pierce 8C.8 Possible effects of Sahara dust on tropical cyclone development using spectral microphysics in the GFDL axisymmetric TC model   Alexander P. Khain, Hebrew Univ., Jerusalem, Israel and Princeton Univ., Princeton, NJ; and D. Rosenfeld, R. E. Tuleya, and M. Bender
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8D Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Dynamics II (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8B, and 8D)
Organizer: Sarah Jones, University of Munich, Muenchen Germany
8:30 AM 8D.1 Potential vorticity mixing in shallow-water vortices   Scott R. Fulton, Clarkson University, Potsdam, NY; and W. H. Schubert 8:45 AM 8D.2 Wave activity diagnostics in a simulated hurricane   Yongsheng Chen, McGill Univ., Montreal, PQ, Canada; and G. Brunet and M. K. Yau 9:00 AM 8D.3 Investigating convective elements in a high resolution simulation of Hurricane Opal(1995)   Glen Romine, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and R. Wilhelmson 9:15 AM 8D.4 The Role of Horizontal Eddy Momentum Fluxes on Hurricane Core Structures   Young C. Kwon, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank 9:30 AM 8D.5 The Implications of Low Potential Vorticity in the Tropical Cyclone Outflow Layer   Kristopher Bedka, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli 9:45 AM 8D.6 Mechanisms for the Generation of Mesoscale Vorticity Features within Tropical Cyclone Rainbands   Charmaine N. Franklin, RMIT University, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and G. J. Holland and P. T. May 10:00 AM 8D.7 A case study of heavy rainfall caused by a tropical depression   Yihong Duan, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China 10:15 AM 8D.8 A Simulation of Hurricane Danny (1997) at Landfall using an artificial initial vortex   Sytske K. Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
	9:15 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Session 8B Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection III (Parallel with Sessions 8A, 8C, and 8D)
Organizer: Robert A. Tomas, PAOS, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
8B.1 The relationship between precipitable water vapor variability and convective activity over the Tropical Western Pacific as revealed by the GMS split-window data   Tetsuya Takemi, Osaka University, Suita, Osaka, Japan; and K. I. Shibayama 8B.2 Satellite-observed convective components of the ITCZ   Guojun Gu, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and C. Zhang 9:15 AM 8B.3 Single and double ITCZ in aqua-planet models with globally temporarily uniform sea surface temperature and solar angle: An interpretation   Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Chen 9:28 AM 8B.4 Mechanisms of night-morning maximum rainfall offshore of high mountains   Brian E. Mapes, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. T. Warner and M. Xu 9:43 AM 8B.5 Westward generation of eastward-moving tropical convective bands in TOGA COARE   Shoichi Shige, National Space Development Agency of Japan, Tokyo, Japan; and T. Satomura 9:58 AM 8B.6 An idealised two-dimensional framework to study convection over West Africa   S. D. Wright, CNRM, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger 10:13 AM 8B.7 Decadal Trends in Tropical CAPE   Charlotte A. DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. A. Randall
	10:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Wednesday Session 9B Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection IV (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9C, and 9D)
Organizer: George Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO
11:00 AM 9B.1 Rainfall variability and convection in african easterly wave regime   Arona Diedhiou, IRD/LTHE, Grenoble, France; and H. Laurent, T. Lebel, and C. Lauaysse 11:15 AM 9B.2 Does an instability of the African easterly jet generate African easterly waves?   Jen-shan Hsieh, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 11:30 AM 9B.3 Initiation of Convective systems in Subsaharan Northern Africa   Mariane Diop, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker 11:45 AM 9B.4 The African Easterly jet-wave system   Rosalind J. Cornforth, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks., United Kingdom 12:00 PM 9B.5 The JET2000 experiment: large-scale overview of the 2001 season   Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. J. Parker, D. Aida, and C. M. Taylor 12:15 PM 9B.6 Jet2000 experiment : Mesoscale Structures, Diurnal Cycle and NWP issues   Aida Diongue, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom; and D. J. Parker, C. D. Thorncroft, R. Dumelow, and A. M. Tompkins
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Wednesday Session 9C Tropical Cyclogenesis II (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9B, and 9D)
Organizer: Sytske Kimball, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL
11:00 AM 9C.1 Genesis of a hurricane in a sheared environment   John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro and K. L. Corbosiero 11:15 AM 9C.2 Baroclinic Tropical Cyclogenesis: Developing and Non-developing Cases   Christipher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. F. Bosart 11:30 AM 9C.3 Impacts of environmental moisture on tropical cyclogenesis   Jeremy T. Pennington, RSMAS/University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL 11:45 AM 9C.4 The Vertical Alignment of an Incipient Tropical Cyclone   David A. Schecter, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and P. D. Reasor 12:00 PM 9C.5 Early detection of tropical cyclones using SeaWinds-derived vorticity for the 2001 hurricane season   Ryan J. Sharp, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, J. J. O'Brien, K. Katsaros, and E. B. Forde 12:15 PM 9C.6 Possibility of prevention of destructive hurricanes generation by their initiation on stage of genesis   Vadim N. Pelevin, P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Wednesday Session 9D Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Initialization and Assimilation (Parallel with Sessions 9A, 9B, and 9C)
Organizer: Joseph A. Zehnder, Arizona State University, Tempa, AR
11:00 AM 9D.1 An initialization technique using airborne Doppler radar observations for numerical simulations of Hurricane Bret (21–23 August 1999)   Olivier Nuissier, Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, Toulouse, France; and R. F. Rogers and F. Roux 11:15 AM 9D.2 Initialization of a hurricane vortex based on single-doppler radar observations   Jim-Luen Lee, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and A. E. MacDonald, Y. -. H. Kuo, W. -. C. Lee, W. Wang, and S. -. H. Chen 11:30 AM 9D.3 High-resolution simulation of Hurricane Danny (1997): Comparison with radar observations   Ying-Hwa Kuo, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang, Q. Zhang, W. C. Lee, and M. M. Bell 11:45 AM 9D.4 Assimilation of GOES rapid-scan winds into an experimental Eta Model During Atlantic Hurricanes   Howard I. Berger, University of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI 12:00 PM 9D.5 NUMERICAL SIMULATION AND OBSERVATIONS IN PASSIVE MICROWAVE RADIOMETRY OF THE TROPICAL HURRICANE BRET (AUGUST 1999)   Corinne Burlaud, CETP, Velizy, France; and N. Viltard, O. Nuissier, and F. Roux 12:15 PM 9D.6 Assimilating IFSAR DEM data into an ADCIRC cimulation of Hurricane Camille   Jayaram Veeramony, Mississippi State University; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, D. Herndon, N. Tran, E. Valenti, and D. Nechaeu
	12:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday Session 10A Hurricane Impacts in the Americas (Parallel with Sessions 10B, 10C, and 10D)
Organizer: Ramon Perez, Cuban Weather Service, Habana, Cuba
2:00 PM 10A.1 Forecasting during the 2001 Atlantic hurricane season   Max Mayfield, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL; and L. A. Avila 2:15 PM 10A.2 Crisis management and preventive responses to the last tropical cyclone experiences in the french Antilles   Françoise Pagney Bénito-Espinal, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe-à-Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. Asselin de Beauville, A. Bonneton, and C. A. Pontikis 2:30 PM 10A.3 Study of the relation between economical damage and specific hurricane characteristics   Athanasia Koussoula-Bonneton, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and F. Pagney, C. Asselin de Beauville, and C. A. Pontikis 2:45 PM 10A.4 Tropical Cyclone evasion by United States Navy afloat units via Optimum Track Ship Routing (OTSR) in the Atlantic Basin   Glenn S. Bingham, Naval Atlantic Meteorolgy and Oceanography Center, Norfolk, VA 3:00 PM 10A.5 Developing a recent tropical cyclone rainfall climatology for the United States   David M. Roth, NOAA/NCEP/HPC, Camp Springs, MD 3:15 PM 10A.6 Thirty Years After Hurricane Agnes—The Forgotten Florida Tornado Disaster   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and S. M. Spratt
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday Session 10B Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection V (Parallel with Sessions 10A, 10C, and 10D)
Organizer: Brant Liebmann, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
2:00 PM 10B.1 Zonally Asymmetric Heating and the Hadley Circulation: Role of Continents in Determining the Structure and Seasonal Behavior of the MMC   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 2:15 PM 10B.2 Tropical tropospheric temperature variations caused by ENSO and their influence on the remote tropical climate   John C. H. Chiang, JISAO/University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. H. Sobel 2:30 PM 10B.3 Axisymmetric circulations in a moist atmosphere   Olivier Pauluis, MIT, Cambridge, MA 2:45 PM 10B.4 Spatial-time structure of the energy content over tropics   Valery N. Khokhlov, Odessa State Ecological University, Odessa, Ukraine; and A. V. Glushkov 3:00 PM 10B.5 An investigation into the potential effects of recurving western Pacific tropical cyclones on the large-scale circulation   Randell J. Barry, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY 3:15 PM 10B.6 Forcing of interannual variability of the tropical tropopause and lower stratosphere   George Kiladis, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Straub
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday Session 10D Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Parameterizations and Numerics (Parallel with Sessions 10A, 10B, and 10C)
Organizer: John D. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
2:00 PM 10D.1 Simulation of tropical cyclones using the GFDL TC model with bulk parameterization and spectral microphysics   Robert E. Tuleya, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and M. Bender and A. P. Khain 2:15 PM 10D.2 A preliminary investigation of a common microphysical parameterization and its applicability to tropical cyclone simulations   Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and R. A. Black and D. L. Zhang 2:30 PM 10D.3 Sensitivity of tropical cyclone intensification and intensity to cloud microphysics parameterization   Yuqing Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 2:45 PM 10D.4 Sensitivity of modeled tropical cyclone track and structure of Hurricane Irene (1999) to the convective parameterization scheme   Barbara E. Prater, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA 3:00 PM 10D.5 Effects of Vertical Differencing in a minimal hurricane model   Hongyan Zhu, University of Munich, Munich, Germany 3:15 PM 10D.6 High order numerical schemes for simulating tropical cyclone dynamics   Russel P. Morison, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; and K. A. Tan, L. M. Leslie, and R. F. Abbey
	3:30 PM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 11B Large-Scale Dynamics and Convection VI (Parallel with Sessions 11A, 11C, and 11D)
Organizer: Victor Magaña, National Autonomous Univiversity of Mexico, Mexico City Mexico
4:00 PM 11B.1 Effects of Hurricanes on the Stratosphere: Evidence of Gravity Wave Activity From CAMEX-4 In Situ Measurements and Mesoscale Modeling   Eric A. Ray, NOAA/AL, Boulder, CO; and K. H. Rosenlof, E. C. Richard, K. K. Kelly, M. J. Mahoney, and M. J. Alexander 4:15 PM 11B.2 Distal and sympathetic surface trough development induced by TUTT cells: a case study   Billy D. Ward Jr., NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam; and M. A. Lander 4:30 PM 11B.3 Impact of an African squall line on large scale fields of heat, moisture and momentum   Jean-Philippe Lafore, CNRM/Meteo-France and CNRS, Toulouse, France; and A. Diongue, J. L. Redelsperger, and B. Thomas 4:45 PM 11B.4 The Thermal Fields of the Hawaiian Wakes and the Circulation on the Leeside of the Island of Hawaii   Yang Yang, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. L. Chen 5:00 PM 11B.5 Impact of Trade-wind Strength on the Windward Rainfall and Circulation over the Island of Hawaii   Mary Ann Esteban, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and Y. L. Chen 5:15 PM 11B.6 Performance of the ECMWF operational analysis during the 1999 INDOEX and JASMINE   Badrinath Nagarajan, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada; and A. Aiyyer
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 11C Tropical Cyclone Best Track
Organizer: Max Mayfield, NOAA/TPC/HRC, Miami, FL
4:00 PM 11C.1 Best Track determination at NHC   Lixion A. Avila, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NHC, Miami, FL 4:15 PM 11C.2 Accuracy of Pressure-Wind Relationships and Dvorak Satellite Intensity Estimates for Tropical Cyclones Determined from Recent Reconnaissance-based "Best Track" Data   Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and J. L. Franklin 4:30 PM 11C.3 The Atlantic Hurricane database re-analysisproject Documentation for the 1851-1910 Alterations and Additions to the Hurdat Database   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. Anderson, N. Charles, G. Clark, J. P. Dunion, J. Fernandez-Partagas, P. Hungerford, C. Neumann, and M. Zimmer 4:45 PM 11C.4 Insurance sector interests in best-track data sets   Richard J. Murnane, Bermuda Biological Station for Research, Garrett Park, MD 5:00 PM 11C.5 A Current Review of the Historical Information on Tropical Cyclones in Cuba   Ramon Perez, Centro del Clima, Instituto de Meteorologia/AMA/CITMA, Habana, Cuba; and R. Vega and M. Limia 5:15 PM Discussion
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday Session 11D Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Large-scale Effects and Climate Change (Parallel with Sessions 11A, 11B, and 11C)
Organizer: Patrick J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State University, Stennis Space Center, MS
4:00 PM 11D.1 A Numerical Study of the Evolution of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)   Tong Zhu, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 4:15 PM 11D.2 Intense tropical cyclones in the east Indian Ocean during the 1998/1999 season: short-range numerical experiments with landfalling tropical cyclones   Lance M. Leslie, Unviversity of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. S. Speer and R. F. Abbey 4:30 PM 11D.3 Preliminary Comparisons of Tropical Cyclone Simulations in the GFDL and WRF Models   David S. Nolan, Princeton University, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. E. Tuleya 4:45 PM 11D.4 Simulated tropical cyclones in the NCAR Community Climate Model at T170 resolution   Junichi Tsutsui, Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Abiko-shi, Chiba-ken, Japan 5:00 PM 11D.5 Analysis of High-resolution Climate Change Simulations of Tropical Cyclones   Kevin J. E. Walsh, CSIRO, Aspendale, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen 5:15 PM 11D.6 Tropical cyclone simulation using a high-resolution AGCM - Impacts of SST warming and CO2 increase   Jun Yoshimura, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Yokohama, Japan; and M. Sugi
Thursday, 2 May 2002
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday Session 12A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure I (Parallel with Sessions 12B, 12C, and 12D)
Organizer: Shirley Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 12A.1 Optimal Rain Rate Estimation in Tropical Cyclones: Validation of SFMR Remote Sensing Rain Rates   Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and P. G. Black, E. W. Uhlhorn, P. Leighton, E. J. Zipser, and F. D. Marks 8:45 AM 12A.2 Evaluation of microwave imagery in the life cycle of tropical cyclones   Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corp., Univ. of Guam, Tamuning, Guam; and M. A. Lander 9:00 AM 12A.3 Concentric Eyewall Mapping and Frequency Via Passive Microwave Imagery   Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston 9:15 AM 12A.4 A Study of Rainfall Asymmetry in Tropical Cyclones Using TRMM Microwave Imager.   Manuel Lonfat, RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, FL 9:30 AM 12A.5 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The NOAA-KLM Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU): Part I -- Initial Field Test and Lessons Learned   Kurt F. Brueske, U.S. Air Force Academy, USAF, CO; and C. S. Velden, B. W. Kabat, and J. D. Hawkins 9:45 AM 12A.6 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using The NOAA-KLM Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU): Part II: A Multi-Channel Approach   Brian Kabat, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. S. Velden and K. F. Brueske 10:00 AM 12A.7 Examining structural changes and circulation center of Hurricane Danny (1997) using a single-Doppler radar wind retrieval technique   Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and W. -. C. Lee, F. D. Marks, and P. P. Dodge 10:15 AM 12A.8 Operational Implementation of Single-Doppler Radar Algorithms for Tropical Cyclones   Paul R. Harasti, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee, J. D. Tuttle, C. J. McAdie, P. P. Dodge, S. T. Murillo, and F. D. Marks
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday Session 12D tropical cyclone extratropical transition (Parallel with Sessions 12A, 12B, and 12C)
Organizer: Joseph Cionne, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 12D.1 Operational forecasting of extra-tropical transition   Chris Fogarty, Newfoundland Weather Center, Gander, NF, Canada 8:45 AM 12D.2 Simulations of the Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones: Contributions by the Midlatitude Upper-level trough   Elizabeth A. Ritchie, NPS, Montery, CA; and R. L. Elsberry 9:00 AM 12D.3 Tropical cyclone extratropical transition: A reversible process?   John L. Beven II, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL 9:15 AM 12D.4 extratropical transitions of Hurricanes Michael and Karen:Storm Reconnaissance with the Canadian Convair 580 Aircraft   Jim Abraham, MSC, Dorval, PQ, Canada; and C. Fogarty and W. Strapp 9:30 AM 12D.5 The extratropical transition of hurricane Irene (1999)   Anna Agusti-Panareda, Univ. of Reading, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom 9:45 AM 12D.6 Numerical Experiments on the Interaction of a Hurricane-like Vortex with a Baroclinic Wave   Helga Weindl, University of Munich, Munich, Germany 10:00 AM 12D.7 The double transition of Hurricane Michael(2000): Baroclinic to tropical to baroclinic   Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and P. G. Black, J. L. Evans, J. E. Molinari, C. S. Velden, and M. J. Dickinson 10:15 AM 12D.8 Hurricane Michael: The "Two-Way TC"   Jenni L. Evans, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and C. Velden, L. F. Bosart, J. E. Molinari, and P. G. Black
	9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Thursday Session 12C Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction I (Parallel with Sessions 12A, 12B, and 12D)
Organizer: Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM 12C.1 The Nature of the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode   Galina Chirokova, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster, C. Clark, and W. Han 9:15 AM 12C.2 Relationships between anomalous monsoons, meridional oceanic heat transport and the Indian Ocean Dipole in the NCAR CSM   Johannes Loschnigg, International Pacific Research Center, Honolulu, HI; and G. A. Meehl, P. J. Webster, J. M. Arbaster, and G. P. Compo 9:30 AM 12C.3 Influence of ENSO on the Indian Ocean dipole   Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and M. A. Alexander and H. H. Hendon 9:45 AM 12C.4 A coupled GCM study of the interactions between ENSO and the Indian Ocean-Monsoon system   Jin-Yi Yu, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA 10:00 AM 12C.5 ENSO-Induced Air-Sea Interaction in the Maritime Continent   Harry H. Hendon, BMRC, Melbounre, Vic., Australia 10:15 AM 12C.6 Quasi-biennial and Low-frequency Variability of the South Asian Monsoon   Tim Li, IPRC/SOEST, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Zhang, C. -. P. Chang, and B. Wang
	10:30 AM, Thursday Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday Session 13A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure II(Parallel with Sessions 13B, 13C, and 13D)
Organizer: Roger T. Edson, Anteon Corporation, Univ. of Guam, Tamuning Guam
11:00 AM 13A.1 Analysis of QuikScat rain-flagged winds within the tropical cyclone environment   Deborah K. Smith, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz and C. A. Mears 11:15 AM 13A.2 The evolution of a hurricane-trough interaction from a satellite perspective   Deborah E. Hanley, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 11:30 AM 13A.3 Latent Heating Structures of Hurricanes from TRMM Measurements   Song Yang, JCET/University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and W. S. Olson, C. D. Kummerow, S. Chen, Z. Haddad, and E. A. Smith 11:45 AM 13A.4 Russian/FSU tropical cyclone research: the Last 25 years   Richard E. Peterson, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and P. G. Black and V. Pudov 12:00 PM 13A.5 Vertical mass, momentum, moisture, and heat fluxes in hurricanes above 10 km during CAMEX-3 and CAMEX-4   Leonhard Pfister, NASA/Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA; and T. P. Bui, R. L. Herman, and J. Dean-Day 12:15 PM 13A.6 Microwave scattering observed in convective cells during CAMEX-4   Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and A. L. Riley
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday Session 13B Climate Processes in the Americas and Eastern Pacific I (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13C, and 13D)
Organizer: Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY
11:00 AM 13B.1 Climate Experiment in the Americas warm pools   Victor Magaña, National Autonomous Univiversity of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and E. Caetano and J. L. Vázquez 11:15 AM 13B.2 Effects of the Sea Surface Temperature on Meridonal Pressure Gradients in the Eastern Pacific   Michael Gerald McGauley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL 11:30 AM 13B.3 Convection and easterly waves observed in the eastern Pacific ITCZ during EPIC2001   Walter A. Petersen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Cifelli, D. J. Boccippio, and S. A. Rutledge 11:45 AM 13B.4 Diurnal cycle of convection in the East Pacific ITCZ during EPIC-2001   Dennis J. Boccippio, NASA/MSFC, Marshall Space Flight Center, AL; and W. A. Petersen, R. Cifelli, and S. A. Rutledge 12:00 PM 13B.5 Development of new convective cells in the east Pacific warm pool   Carlos Lopez-Carrillo, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. Raymond and Z. Fuchs 12:15 PM 13B.6 Factors controlling the east Pacific ITCZ during EPIC2001   David J. Raymond, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and C. S. Bretherton and G. Raga
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday Session 13C Ocean Atmosphere Interaction II (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13B, and 13D)
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
11:00 AM 13C.1 A simple model of tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability   Yochanan Kushnir, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and R. Seager and J. C. H. Chiang 11:15 AM 13C.2 Tropical Atlantic Climate Variability: Coupled atmospheric response to off-equatorial heat content anomalies   Martin Visbeck, LDEO Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and N. Naik 11:30 AM 13C.3 Interannual variations of winter to summer transition of the low-level cross equatorial flow over the South China Sea   Mong-Ming Lu, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan 11:45 AM 13C.4 The seasonal cycle and El Niño termination   D.E. Harrison, NOAA/ERL/PMEL, Seattle, WA; and G. A. Vecchi 12:00 PM 13C.5 Collective and competitive roles out of thermocline and zonal advective feedbacks in the ENSO Mode   Soon-Il An, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and F. F. Jin 12:15 PM 13C.6 Precipitation variability and barrier-layer formation in the North Indian Ocean   Shalini Mohleji, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson
	11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Thursday Session 13D Tropical Cyclone Extratropical Transition II (Parallel with Sessions 13A, 13B, and 13C)
Organizer: John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
11:00 AM 13D.1 Influence of the downstream state on extratropical transition: Hurricane Earl (1998) case study   R. J. McTaggart-Cowan, McGill University, Montreal, PQ, Canada 11:15 AM 13D.2 Quantitative measurements of extratropical transition in the Atlantic basin   Joshua K. Darr, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY 11:30 AM 13D.3 Extratropical transition: One Trajectory through cyclone phase space   Robert Hart, Penna State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans 11:45 AM 13D.4 Extratropical Transition of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones: Midlatitude and Tropical Cyclone Contributions to Re-intensification   Peter M. Klein, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. A. Harr and R. L. Elsberry 12:00 PM 13D.5 An examination of the mesoscale structure associated with the extratropical transition of Hurricane Agnes (1972)   Michael J. Dickinson, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart
	12:30 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Session 14A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure III (Parallel with Sessions 14B, 14C, and 14D)
Organizer: Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
2:00 PM 14A.1 A Multi-Platform View of Hurricane Erin   Brian D. McNoldy, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert and J. P. Kossin 2:15 PM 14A.2 Observations of the evolution of precipitation and kinematic structure in a hurricane as it encountered strong westerly shear   John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. D. Reasor, H. E. Willoughby, M. L. Black, and F. D. Marks 2:30 PM 14A.3 Intensity of Recurving Typhoons From a PV Perspective   Andrew S. Levine, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes 2:45 PM 14A.4 The relationship between GPS dropsonde wind profiles and sea-surface temperature in Hurricane Bret (1999)   Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, S. E. Feuer, W. P. Barry, and L. K. Shay 3:00 PM 14A.5 A New Parametric Model of Hurricane Wind Profiles   Hugh E. Willoughby, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Maimi, FL; and M. E. Rahn 3:15 PM 14A.6 Evaluation of SeaWinds wind speed measurements in hurricane Floyd   W. Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and J. D. Park, I. Adams, and S. S. Chen
	2:00 PM-3:15 PM, Thursday Session 14B Climate Processes in the Americas and Eastern Pacific II (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14C, and 14D)
Organizer: Walter Peterson, Colorado State University, Boulder, CO
2:00 PM 14B.1 Onset of the rainy season over Tropical Brazil in Observationsand A general Circulation Model Simulation   Brant Liebmann, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and D. Allured, A. Seth, and S. J. Camargo 2:15 PM 14B.2 Observational Study of the mid summer drought during the Climate Experiment in the Americas warm pools   Ernesto Caetano, National Autonomous Univ. of Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and V. Magaña 2:30 PM 14B.3 Study of the factors that induced an unusual drought in Guadeloupe (FWI)   Christian Asselin de Beauville, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and F. Pagney, A. Bonneton, B. Dudon, and C. A. Pontikis 14B.4 Gulf surges: mean characteristics from 9 years of radiosonde data and NCEP real analyses   Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. C. Leal 2:44 PM 14B.5 Central American cold surges and precipitation   Teresa M. Bals-Elsholz, Valparaiso University, Valparaiso, IN 2:59 PM 14B.6 Ocean model simulations of a gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec   Jon M. Schrage, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson, D. M. Schultz, and R. J. Machtmes
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Session 14C Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction III (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14B, and 14D)
Organizer: Soon-Il An, International Pacific Research Center, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
2:00 PM 14C.1 Tropical air-sea feedbacks: model results and data analysis   Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and A. Chen 2:15 PM 14C.2 Regulation of Tropical Deep Convection by SST and Wind Speed   Ian A. Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada 2:30 PM 14C.3 Sensitivity of a coupled single column model in the tropics to treatment of the interfacial parameterizations   Aidong Chen, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson and P. K. Chan 2:45 PM 14C.4 Interaction Between Surface Heat Budgets, Sea Surface Temperature and Deep Convection in the Tropical Western Pacific   Shu-Hsien Chou, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and M. -. D. Chou and P. -. H. Lin 3:00 PM 14C.5 Use of Granger causalities to examine air-sea feedbacks in the tropical equatorial Pacific Ocean   Brian Getzewich, Aerospace Corporation, El Segundo, CA; and C. A. Clayson 3:15 PM 14C.6 Mesoscale air-sea interaction over the western Pacific warm pool simulated in an air-sea coupled model   Shaowu Bao, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie and S. Raman
	2:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Session 14D Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction (Parallel with Sessions 14A, 14B, and 14C)
Organizer: David S Nolan, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
2:00 PM 14D.1 Ocean mixed layer thermal changes induced by moving tropical cyclones. Part I: Analyses of inner core observations Obtained by research aircraft   Robert W. Burpee, University of Miami/CIMAS, Miami, FL; and P. G. Black 2:15 PM 14D.2 Processes affecting the ocean's feedback on the intensity of a hurricane   Robert L. Korty, MIT, Cambridge, MA 2:30 PM 14D.3 Hurricane Heat Potential Variability From In Situ and Radar Altimetry Measurements   Lynn K. Shay, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. D. Jacob, T. M. Cook, M. M. Mainelli, S. R. White, P. G. Black, G. J. Goni, and R. E. Cheney 2:45 PM 14D.4 Surface heat flux-induced SST changes and their effect on tropical cyclone intensity at landfall   Weixing Shen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and I. Ginis 3:00 PM 14D.5 The upper ocean salinity response to tropical cyclones   Evan J. Robertson, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis 3:15 PM 14D.6 Estimation of the drag coefficient in tropical cyclones using ocean response data   Vladimir Pudov, Institute of Experimental Meteorology, Obninsk, Russia; and I. Ginis and S. Petrichenko
	3:30 PM, Thursday Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Session 15A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure IV (Parallel with Sessions 15B and 15D)
Organizer: Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
4:00 PM 15A.1 Improvements to the NOAA Hurricane Research Division's Surface Reduction Algorithm for Inner Core Aircraft Flight-Level Winds   Jason P. Dunion, NOAA/AOML/HRD and Univ. of Miami/CIAMS, Miami, FL; and M. D. Powell 4:15 PM 15A.2 Sensitivity study of HRD's H*WIND surface wind analyses for tropical cyclones   Samuel H. Houston, NOAA/NWS/WFO, Honolulu, HI; and M. D. Powell 4:30 PM 15A.3 Low-level thermodynamic structure of hurricanes as seen with the GPS sonde   Gary Michael Barnes, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Wroe 4:45 PM 15A.4 Development of the Advanced Objective Dvorak Technique (AODT) - Current progress and future directions   Timothy L. Olander, Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS, Madison, WI; and C. Velden and M. A. Turk 5:00 PM 15A.5 Daily hurricane variability inferred from GOES infrared imagery   James P. Kossin, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 5:15 PM 15A.6 Regions of intense convection in the core of minimal tropical cyclones   Daniel E. Lipper, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
	4:00 PM-5:15 PM, Thursday Session 15B Intraseasonal variability (Parallel with Sessions 15A and 15D)
Organizer: Eric D. Maloney, NCAR, Boulder, CO
4:00 PM 15B.1 Wave-Convection-Radiation Feedback in Madden-Julian Oscillation   Jialin Lin, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang, T. Qian, R. D. Cess, B. E. Mapes, and M. Newman 15B.2 Modeling intraseasonal variability with an aquaplanet GCM   Dance Zurovac-Jevtic, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel 4:14 PM 15B.2A Does the tropical atmosphere support large-scale radiative-convective overturning? (Formerly Paper Number P1.51)   Jialin Lin, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Zhang and B. E. Mapes 4:29 PM 15B.3 Investigation of the MJO in the ECMWF model   Adrian M. Tompkins, ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and T. Jung 4:44 PM 15B.4 Cloud Radiative Effects and Tropical Intraseasonal Variability   Sandrine Bony, Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and K. A. Emanuel 15B.5 Equatorial Kelvin wave instability and the wind-evaporation feedback mechahism   Han-Ru Cho, National Central Univ., Chungli, Taiwan; and P. L. Lin 4:58 PM 15B.6 MJO-like coherent structures in idealized aquaplanet simulations   Wojciech W. Grabowski, NCAR, Boulder, CO
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Session 15D Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction II (Parallel with Sessions 15A and 15B)
Organizer: Lynn K. Shay, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
4:00 PM 15D.1 Implementation of data assimilation and ocean initialization for the coupled GFDL/URI hurricane prediction system   Aleksandr Falkovich, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Silver Spring, MD; and I. Ginis 4:15 PM 15D.2 Assimilating ocean satellite altimetry for hurricane intensification forecasts   Suzanna C. Barth, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. L. Leben and K. A. Emanuel 4:30 PM 15D.3 atmosphere-ocean modeling of hurricane Erin 2001   Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and E. Dunlap, Y. Hu, W. Li, Z. Long, B. Toulany, and P. Vachon 4:45 PM 15D.4 Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean Coupling in Tropical Cyclones   Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, J. E. Tenerelli, and M. Donelan 5:00 PM 15D.5 Sensitivity of a coupled tropical cyclone/ocean wave simulation to different energy transfer schemes   Sharhdad A. Sajjadi, Center of Higher Learning, University of Southern Mississippi, Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, M. T. Bettencourt, and G. Mostovoi 5:15 PM 15D.6 Numerical simulations of the hurricane directional wave spectra in the open ocean and at landfall   Isaac Ginis, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. J. Moon, T. Hara, E. J. Walsh, and H. Tolman
	7:00 PM, Thursday Panel Discussion 1 Subtropical Hybrid Storms: Classification Issues and Warning Strategies
Panelists: Mark Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao Guam; Jeff Callaghan, Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane, Queensland Australia; John Beven, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; Gary Padgett, U.S. Air Force, Andalusia, AL; David Roth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD Moderator: Chris Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
Friday, 3 May 2002
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Friday Session 16A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure V (Parallel with Sessions 16B and 16C)
Organizer: James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 16A.1 Typhoon Hunter 2001 In Japan   Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan; and K. Bessho 8:45 AM 16A.2 Application of Aerosondes to Understanding Hurricanes   Brenda Mulac, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and J. Curry 9:00 AM 16A.3 High-resolution observations of the eyewall in an intense hurricane: Bret on 21–22 August 1999   Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. L. Black, J. L. Franklin, J. F. Gamache, and F. D. Marks 9:15 AM 16A.4 What are Annular Hurricanes?   John A. Knaff, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and J. P. Kossin and M. DeMaria 9:30 AM 16A.5 An Improved VTD Algorithm to Resolve Circulations of a Wavenumber Two Tropical Cyclone   Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. R. Harasti and M. M. Bell 9:45 AM 16A.6 POTENTIAL VORTICITY DIAGNOSIS OF A SIMULATED HURRICANE   Xingbao Wang, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang 10:00 AM 16A.7 An analysis of some tropical cyclone boundary layer wind observations   Jeffrey D. Kepert, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia 10:15 AM 16A.8 Radar derived structures of tornadic mesocyclones from Tropical Cyclone (TC) Frances (1998) in Texas and Louisiana   Gandikota V. Rao, St. Louis Univ., St. Louis, MO; and J. W. Scheck and R. Edwards
	8:30 AM-10:30 AM, Friday Session 16C Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction III (Parallel with Sessions 16A and 16B)
Organizer: Suzanna C. Barth, Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 16C.1 Tropical storm intensity forecasts: potential improvements through inclusion of microwave SSTs   Chelle L. Gentemann, Remote Sensing Systems, Santa Rosa, CA; and F. J. Wentz 8:45 AM 16C.2 The impact of oceanic heat content on hurricane intensity forecasts using the SHIPS model   Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria and L. K. Shay 9:00 AM 16C.3 Tropical Cyclone Intensity in Relation to SST and Moisture Variability: A Global Perspective   Robbie Berg, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL 9:15 AM 16C.4 upper ocean Heat Content and Energy Extracted by the storm: Analytical Look   Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn 9:30 AM 16C.5 Surface Wave Effects on the Ocean Mixed Layer Response To Hurricane Bonnie   Thomas M. Cook, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, S. D. Jacob, C. W. Wright, P. G. Black, and E. W. Uhlhorn 9:45 AM 16C.6 Tropical cyclone enthalpy and angular momentum fluxes   William D. Ramstrom, MIT, Cambridge, MA 10:00 AM 16C.7 A Study of the Sustaining Mechanism of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones   Chen Lianshou, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng 10:15 AM 16C.8 A numerical simulation of the landfall tropical cyclones   Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and J. C. L. Chan
	9:00 AM-10:30 AM, Friday Session 16B Inraseasonal Variability II (Parallel with Sessions 16A and 16C)
Organizer: Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
9:00 AM 16B.1 eastern Pacific Intraseasonal precipitation and SST variations in a GCM coupled to a slab ocean model   Eric D. Maloney, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. T. Kiehl 9:15 AM 16B.2 Intra-seasonal perturbation of the Convective Activity over the Indian Ocean and relation with the SST   Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and R. Roca 9:30 AM 16B.3 Surface heat fluxes during the MJO and their effects on the oceanic mixed layer in the Tropical Eastern Hemisphere.   Crispian P. Batstone, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom; and A. J. Matthews and D. P. Stevens 9:45 AM 16B.4 Sub-seasonal, seasonal and interannual variability of western Arabian Sea Surface Temperature   Gabriel A. Vecchi, JISAO/Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. E. Harrison and R. W. Reynolds 10:00 AM 16B.5 Mesoscale simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Indian and West Pacific Oceans   William I. Gustafson Jr., Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and B. C. Weare 10:15 AM 16B.6 Extratropical forcing of convectively coupled Kelvin waves   Katherine H. Straub, NOAA/CIRES, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis
	10:30 AM, Friday Coffee Break
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Friday Session 17A Tropical Cyclone Observations and Structure VI(Parallel with Sessions 17B and 17C)
Organizer: Kevin Walsh, CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale Australia
11:00 AM 17A.1 Numerical simulations of atmospheric boundary layer roll vortices in hurricane conditions   Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and B. Thomas and A. P. Khain 11:15 AM 17A.2 Observational Analysis of Buoyancy in Eyewalls of Intense Hurricanes   Matthew D. Eastin, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 11:30 AM 17A.3 A pilot meteorology-hydrology study for Typhoon Nari   Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Central Univ., Chung-Li, Taiwan; and C. S. Chen, P. L. Lin, and M. H. Li 11:45 AM 17A.4 An objective method to select a consistent set of tropical cyclone circulation centers derived from the GBVTD-simplex algorithm   Michael M. Bell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. C. Lee 12:00 PM 17A.5 Water recycling and water vapor transport in the vicinity of tropical cyclones from stable isotope ratios   James R. Lawrence, Univ. of Houston, Houston, TX; and S. D. Gedzelman 12:15 PM 17A.6 Meso-scale diagnosis of a torrential rainfall caused by a tropical depression   Hui Yu, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and X. Liang and Y. Duan
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Friday Session 17B Intraseasonal Variability III (Parallel with Sessions 17A and 17C)
Organizer: Adrian M. Tompkins, ECMWF, Reading, Berks United Kingdom
11:00 AM 17B.1 Analysis of observed group propagation and Quasi-standing Oscillations of the Madden and Julian oscillation   Paul E. Roundy, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA 11:15 AM 17B.2 Evolution of mixed Rossby gravity waves in MJO type environments   Anantha R. Aiyyer, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and J. E. Molinari 11:30 AM 17B.3 Intraseasonal variability over tropical Africa   Adrian J. Matthews, Univ. of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom 11:45 AM 17B.4 Prediction of Intraseasonal Variability in Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific   Patrick A. Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry 12:00 PM 17B.5 Seasonal activity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: A precursor of ENSO warm events?   Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL 12:15 PM 17B.6 Variability of MJO Associated with ENSO and the QBO   John D. Sheaffer, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO
	11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Friday Session 17C Tropical Cyclone Air-Sea Interaction IV (Parallel with Sessions 17A and 17B)
Organizer: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL
11:00 AM 17C.1 Real-Time Simulation of Hurricane Inner-Core Ocean Cooling as a Gauge for Intensity Change   Eric W. Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione 11:15 AM 17C.2 Effects of entrainment closure on the oceanic mixed layer response during a tropical cyclone passage: A numerical investigation   S. Daniel Jacob, RSMAS, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and G. R. Halliwell 11:30 AM 17C.3 Barotropic waves generated by storms moving rapidly over shallow water   Doug Mercer, MSC and Dalhousie Univ., Halifax, NS, Canada; and J. Sheng, R. Greatbatch, and J. Bobanovic 11:45 AM 17C.4 A minimal hurricane model with a coupled mixed layer ocean   Wolfgang Ulrich, Univ. of Munich, Munich, Germany 11:59 AM 17C.5 Paper moved to Poster Session P1, new Paper Number P1.63   12:00 PM 17C.5a Implementation of a coupled hurricane-land surface prediction system for improving hurricane prediction during landfall (Formerly Paper P1.10)   Weixing Shen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, S. Lord, N. Surgi, and K. E. Mitchell 12:15 PM 17C.6 Experimental Investigation of Air-Sea Transfer of Momentum and Enthalpy at High Wind Speed   Moshe Alamaro, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and K. A. Emanuel, J. J. Colton, W. R. McGillis, and J. Edson
	12:30 PM, Friday Conference Ends

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