Thursday, 28 July 2005 |
| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday Coffee Break |
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Sunday, 31 July 2005 |
| 4:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday Registration Opens |
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Monday, 1 August 2005 |
| 7:00 AM-8:00 AM, Monday Registration continues through Friday, 5 August |
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| 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Monday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 1 Opening Session |
Chair: Mary M. Cairns, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:00 AM | 1.1 | Opening Remarks ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Mary M. Cairns, Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorology, Silver Spring, MD |
| 8:15 AM | 1.2 | Partnerships for Environmental Literacy, serving the American public ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) D. L. Johnson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 8:45 AM | 1.3 | NCEP: NWP in the era of common infrastructures WRF & ESMF ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Louis Uccellini, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Lord and G. DiMego |
| 9:15 AM | 1.4 | The COMET Program: Fifteen years of education and training for weather forecasters and the user community Timothy Spangler, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Monday Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Empire Ballroom Session 2A Applications to Support Weather Forecasts – Nowcasting and Weather Impacts Analyses |
Chair: Edward L. Bensman, Raytheon Intelligence and Information Systems, Bellevue, NE
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| 10:30 AM | 2A.1 | Bowing convective systems in a popular operational model: Are they for real? ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Melissa S. Bukovsky, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. S. Kain and M. E. Baldwin |
| 10:45 AM | 2A.2 | A simple physically based snowfall algorithm ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Daniel K. Cobb Jr., NOAA/NWSFO, Caribou, ME; and J. S. Waldstreicher |
| 11:00 AM | 2A.3 | The Meteorological Service of Canada/COMET partnership….an international success story Peter Lewis, MSC, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia; and G. Toth, B. Muller, and D. Wesley |
| 11:15 AM | 2A.4 | COMET’s influence on meteorological education and research within universities: The Saint Louis University experience ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and C. E. Graves |
| 11:30 AM | 2A.5 | Evaluating high-resolution configurations of the WRF model that are used to forecast severe convective weather: The 2005 SPC/NSSL Spring Experiment ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) John S. Kain, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. J. Weiss, M. E. Baldwin, G. W. Carbin, D. Bright, J. J. Levit, and J. A. Hart |
| 11:45 AM | 2A.6 | Using The WRF Model To Simulate Flow Through California’s Altamont Pass John W. Zack, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and G. E. Van Knowe and K. T. Waight |
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| 10:30 AM-11:00 AM, Monday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 2B Forecasting Tools – Helping the Public Understand the Impact of Daily Weather Forecasts |
CoChair: Douglas C. Young, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Chair: Bruce Rose, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
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| 10:30 AM | 2B.1 | WSI's Operational Implementation of the WRF model ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Todd A. Hutchinson, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and P. J. Sousounis, S. Marshall, and C. Liu |
| 10:45 AM | 2B.2 | Defining cognitive decision making processes in forecasting: a knowledge based system to generate weather graphics ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia |
| 11:00 AM | 2B.3 | Assessing forecast uncertainty in the National Digital Forecast Database ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Matthew R. Peroutka, NOAA/NWS/Office of Science and Technology, Silver Spring, MD; and G. Zylstra and J. L. Wagner |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 2B.4 | An approach to creating an integrated graphical hazards outlook product Robert R. Handel, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL |
| 11:15 AM | 2B.5 | An internet site for professional meteorologists Kenneth Reeves, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and J. T. Candor and M. A. Steinberg |
| 11:30 AM | 2B.6 | Broadband changes the relationship between numerical modeling, operational (including broadcast) meteorolgists and consumers Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather Inc, State College, PA |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Monday, Empire Ballroom Session 3 Convection and Precipitation |
CoChair: Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC Canada
Chair: David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
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| 1:30 PM | 3.1 | The effects of organized upstream convection on downstream precipitation ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Kelly M. Mahoney, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann |
| 1:45 PM | 3.2 | Ridge rollers: Mesoscale disturbances on the periphery of cutoff anticyclones Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| 2:00 PM | 3.3 | Use of proximity sounding parameters to improve the prediction of Mesoscale Convective system (MCS) speed and dissipation ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Michael C. Coniglio, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks and S. J. Weiss |
| 2:15 PM | 3.4 | Analysis of a cold-air precipitation event: Observational diagnosis and numerical model sensitivity ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Michael J. Brennan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann |
| 2:30 PM | 3.5 | Cool-season regime transition and its impact on precipitation in the Northeast Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, A. Aiyyer, and R. H. Grumm |
| 2:45 PM | 3.6 | Mesoscale predictability of moist baroclinic waves: Cloud-resolving experiments and multistage error growth dynamics Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and N. Bei, R. Rotunno, and C. Snyder |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Monday Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-4:45 PM, Monday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 4A Extratropical Cyclones and Fronts |
CoChair: Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX
Chair: Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC
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| 3:30 PM | 4A.1 | The role of streamwise and transverse quasi-geostrophic vertical motions in the mid-latitude cyclone life cycle Jonathan E. Martin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI |
| 3:45 PM | 4A.2 | A study of coherent tropopause disturbances within the Northern Hemispheric circumpolar vortex Joseph R. Kravitz, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Keyser, L. F. Bosart, and A. Aiyyer |
| 4:00 PM | 4A.3 | Hurricane force extratropical cyclones ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Joseph M. Sienkiewicz, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. M. Von Ahn and G. M. McFadden |
| 4:15 PM | 4A.4 | Effects of terrain on the horizontal and vertical structures of fronts over the Intermountain region Jason C. Shafer, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh |
| 4:30 PM | 4A.5 | The Fiftieth Anniversary of Sanders (1955): A mesoscale model simulation of the cold front of 17-18 April 1953 David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. Roebber |
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| 3:30 PM-4:45 PM, Monday, Empire Ballroom Session 4B Operational Model Development |
CoChair: Brian A. Colle, SUNY, Stony Brook, NY
Chair: Geoff DiMego, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 3:30 PM | 4B.1 | Recent improvements to NRL's mesoscale modeling system James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, J. C. Golaz, R. M. Hodur, T. Holt, Y. Jin, C. S. Liou, J. E. Nachamkin, K. D. Sashegyi, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang |
| 3:45 PM | 4B.2 | From the RUC to the Rapid Refresh Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and D. Dévényi, T. Smirnova, G. A. Grell, S. E. Peckham, K. J. Brundage, S. Weygandt, T. W. Schlatter, J. Brown, and T. L. Smith |
| 4:00 PM | 4B.3 | Recent advances in weather and climate prediction at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Stephen Lord, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. DiMego, D. Rao, J. Derber, H. L. Pan, K. Mitchell, N. Surgi, and F. Toepfer |
| 4:15 PM | 4B.4 | The Operational WRF NMM at NCEP ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle and H. Y. Chuang |
| 4:30 PM | 4B.5 | The NCEP North American Mesoscale Modeling System: Final Eta model/analysis changes and preliminary experiments using the WRF-NMM ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Eric Rogers, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Ek, B. S. Ferrier, G. Gayno, Y. Lin, K. Mitchell, M. Pondeca, M. Pyle, V. C. K. Wong, and W. S. Wu |
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| 4:45 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 5A Large- and Synoptic-Scale Processes |
CoChair: Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO
Chair: Jonathan E. Martin, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
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| 4:45 PM | 5A.1 | Dust Transport Application forecasting of Middle Eastern, African and Asian Dust Storms B. H. Barnum, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD; and N. S. Winstead, G. R. Brooks, P. Ginoux, L. Burke, J. Lippman, B. Toth, and I. Gotchel |
| 5:00 PM | 5A.2 | Climate change and teleconnection patterns: An analysis of temperature and flow regime trends over North America Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and A. Aiyyer, J. R. Gyakum, R. McTaggart-Cowan, and L. Bosart |
| 5:15 PM | 5A.3 | A Statistical analysis and synoptic climatology of heat waves over the United States Scott C. Runyon, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
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| 4:45 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, Empire Ballroom Session 5B Socioeconomic impacts of forecasts |
Chair: John S. Kain, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/OAR/NSSL, Norman, OK
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| 5:30 PM, Monday Sessions End for the Day |
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| 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Monday, Regency Ballroom Poster Session 1 Conference Posters |
| | P1.1 | An improved clear air turbulence diagnostic index to account for unbalanced flow in anticyclonically curved jet streams Gary P. Ellrod, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. A. Knox |
| | P1.2 | The impact of the planetary scale on the decay of blocking and the use of phase diagrams and Lyapunov exponents as a diagnostic Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and I. I. Mokhov, S. Dostoglou, A. Kunz, and J. P. Burkhardt |
| | P1.3 | Planetary and synoptic scale interactions in southeast Pacific blocking using Potential Vorticity diagnostics: More evidence for the paucity of wave-wave interactions in Southern Hemisphere blocking Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and A. Kunz and J. P. Burkhardt |
| | P1.4 | Diagnosis of banded precipitation patterns associated with extratropically transitioning tropical cyclones using CSI theory Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL |
| | P1.5 | A climatology of strong cold fronts over the western United States Jason C. Shafer, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh |
| | P1.6 | Cool-season moderate precipitation events in the Northeastern United States Keith R. Wagner, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. S. Evans |
| | P1.7 | HPC's Excessive Rainfall Potential Outlook Michael T. Eckert, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD |
| | P1.8 | The flash flood of 12 July 2004 in Burlington County, New Jersey: A case study Michael J. Gorse, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope |
| | P1.9 | Observed Bow Echo events during the first week of July 2003 concurrent with BAMEX Nicholas D. Metz, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| | P1.10 | Examining the role of mesoscale features in the structure and evolution of precipitation regions in northeast winter storms Matthew D. Greenstein, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and D. J. Nicosia |
| | P1.11 | An examination of cool-season damaging wind events in the northern mid-Atlantic region Raymond Kruzdlo, NOAA/NWS, Westampton, NJ; and A. M. Cope |
| | P1.12 | A Satellite Perspective of the Propagation Characteristics of a Mesoscale Convective System over Northwest Alabama and Northeast Mississippi Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD |
| | P1.13 | Using Multi-Spectral Satellite Remote Sensing Techniques to Nowcast Nocturnal Convection Initiation Wayne M. MacKenzie Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski |
| | P1.14 | Dominant factors influencing precipitation efficiency in a continental mid-latitude location Mohd Hisham Mohd Anip, Malaysian Meteorological Service, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market |
| | P1.15 | An observational analysis of an Alabama dryline event on March 19–20, 2003 Robert E. Barbre Jr., University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski, K. Knupp, W. Mackenzie Jr., P. Gatlin, and D. Phillips |
| | P1.16 | Warm-seclusion extratropical cyclone development: Sensitivity to the nature of the incipient vortex Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart |
| | P1.17 | Towards a better understanding of and ability to forecast the wind field expansion during the extratropical transition process Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart |
| | P1.18 | Wet snow icing upstream of mountains Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson |
| | P1.19 | Wet snow icing downstream of mountains Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Á. J. Elíasson |
| | P1.20 | Warm season extreme quantitative precipitation forecasting for the Burlington, VT region John R. Gyakum, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah, P. Sisson, M. Kimball, and A. Roberge |
| | P1.21 | Validation of a numerical wind forecast by dust image Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland |
| | P1.22 | The textbook foehn Haraldur "lafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland |
| | P1.23 | The response filter Mark Askelson, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and H. Lin, M. Solum, and C. Chambers |
| | P1.24 | The impact of different microphysical schemes on mesoscale circulations and convective system morphology in 4-10 km grid spacing WRF simulations Eric A. Aligo, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, Jr. |
| | P1.25 | The development of forecast confidence measures using NCEP ensembles and their real—time implementation within NWS web—based graphical forecasts Andrew V. Durante, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart, A. I. Watson, R. H. Grumm, and W. Drag |
| | P1.26 | Synthesizing tropical analysis perturbations for use with the Naval Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) Justin G. McLay, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and C. H. Bishop |
| | P1.27 | Spurious pressure and geopotential height fluctuations in the North American Regional Reanalysis Gregory L. West, NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh |
| | P1.28 | Solving for Pressure: Accuracy and Acceleration Pierre Bernardet, CNRM, Toulouse, France |
| | P1.29 | Sloping Steps Eta Discretization Fedor Mesinger, Univ. Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Jovic |
| | P1.30 | Simultaneous Retrieval of Microphysical Parameters and Atmospheric State Variables with Radar Data and Ensemble Kalman Filter Method Mingjing Tong, SOM/CAPS, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue |
| | P1.31 | Simulating a windstorm upstream of steep mountains H.álfdáN. Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | P1.32 | Sequential estimation of systematic error on near-surface mesoscale grids Joshua P. Hacker, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. Snyder and D. L. Rife |
| | P1.33 | Sensitivity of Hurricane Charley simulations to changes in the WRF model Matthew J. Rosier, University of North Carolina, Asheville, NC; and D. K. Miller |
| | P1.34 | Satellite and numerical model data—driven cloud ceiling and visibility estimation Richard Bankert, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Hadjimichael, P. H. Herzegh, G. Wiener, J. Cowie, and J. M. Brown |
| | P1.35 | Predicting precipitation in a mesoscale mountain range Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson |
| | P1.36 | Numerical prediction of atmospheric icing Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and C. Ubelmann and G. Hafsteinsson |
| | P1.37 | Precpitation downstream of a mesoscale mountain ridge Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and Ó. Rögnvaldsson |
| | P1.38 | Precipitation Verification Studies of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model along the East Coast of the US Paul A. Kucera, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND; and C. M. Paulsen and M. Taffe |
| | P1.39 | Precipitation extreme downstream of a mountain Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Jónsson |
| | P1.40 | Optimally shifted QPF verification scores Ying Lin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and B. G. Brown, K. F. Brill, and G. J. DiMego |
| | P1.41 | Operational Considerations of the December 26, 2004 Snowstorm across Hampton Roads Virginia and Northeast North Carolina Timothy Gingrich, NOAA/NWSFO, Wakefield, VA; and J. Billet |
| | P1.42 | On the performance, impact, and liabilities of automated precipitation gage screening algorithms Edward Tollerud, NOAA Research-FSL, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Collander, Y. Lin, and A. Loughe |
| | P1.43 | Observations and simulation of a windstorm below breaking gravity waves Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson |
| | P1.44 | Nowcasting Applications of the Space—Time Mesoscale Analysis System Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and Y. Xie, J. A. McGinley, and S. Albers |
| | P1.45 | NOAA's Deployment of the Water Vapor Sensor System (WVSS II) David Helms, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. Fellows, T. Roberts, K. Schrab, F. Toepfer, B. Ballish, R. Baker, R. J. Fleming, R. May, R. A. Petersen, and W. R. Moninger |
| | P1.46 | NCEP SREF Forecasts of three Hurricanes during the 2004 Tropical Season Richard H. Grumm, NOAA, State College, PA; and J. Du |
| | P1.47 | MM5IDL: A Flexible Framework for Post—Processing MM5 Data Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and Ö. Rögnvaldsson |
| | P1.48 | Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP): statistical guidance of wind speed, direction, and gusts for aviation weather Jerry R. Wiedenfeld, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| | P1.49 | Intermountain cold pool structure, transport, and mixing as revealed by isotopic trace gas and particulate matter concentrations over the Salt Lake Valley W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and D. Pataki, E. Pardyjak, J. Kiran, B. Tyler, R. Peterson, and A. Nair |
| | P1.50 | Incorporating orographic anisotropy and flow blocking effects in an orographic drag parameterization scheme Young-Joon Kim, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle |
| | P1.51 | Improving Short Term Precipitation Forecasting through recognition of satellite based signatures combined with analysis of upper air and surface data John Simko, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD |
| | P1.52 | Improvements in the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) categorical visibility and obstruction to vision statistical guidance David E. Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| | P1.53 | Impacts of model errors and ensemble initiation on mesoscale ensemble-based data assimilation Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang |
| | P1.54 | Hydrological validation of a numerical simulation of a high-precipitation event in the complex terrain of South-Iceland Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and G. G. Tómasson and H. Ólafsson |
| | P1.55 | Gustiness of downslope winds Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ágústsson and S. Árnason |
| | P1.56 | Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation for Rapid Refresh Dezso Dévényi, NOAA/FSL and CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. G. Benjamin, J. M. Middlecoff, T. W. Schlatter, and S. S. Weygandt |
| | P1.57 | GOES WMSI—progress and developments Kenneth L. Pryor, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and G. P. Ellrod |
| | P1.58 | Forecasting stratospheric clouds Trausti Jónsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavik, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson |
| | P1.59 | Forecasting snow squalls using mesoscale models Frank P. Colby Jr., University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA; and B. Krajewski |
| | P1.60 | Forecasting Heat Waves Using Climatic Anomalies Kevin Lipton, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. H. Grumm, R. Holmes, P. G. Knight, and J. D. Ross |
| | P1.61 | Forecaster training on the NCEP North American Mesoscale (NAM) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model Stephen D. Jascourt, UCAR/COMET, Silver Spring, MD; and W. R. Bua |
| | P1.62 | A Recalculation of MPI Using Upper—Ocean Depth—Averaged temperatures: climatology and Case Studies (Formerly Paper 6B.5) Michael C. Watson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and C. A. Clayson |
| | P1.63 | Examination of mesoscale convective vortex and Its transition into a frontal cyclone during BAMEX Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
| | P1.64 | moved to Session 11B, New paper number 11B.7A
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| | P1.65 | Ensemble data assimilation and information theory Dusanka Zupanski, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. Zupanski, M. DeMaria, L. Grasso, A. Y. Hou, S. Zhang, and D. Bikos |
| | P1.66 | Development of a new radiation scheme for the global atmospheric NWP model Shigeki Murai, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and S. Yabu and H. Kitagawa |
| | P1.67 | Daytime boundary layer structure and flows with interacting lake, valley, and urban circulations Justin A. W. Cox, NOAA/CIRP, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Steenburgh and C. D. Whiteman |
| | P1.68 | Data Assimilation on the NASA fvGCM with the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Elana Klein, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and H. Li, J. Liu, I. Szunyogh, B. Hunt, E. Kalnay, E. J. Kostelich, and R. Todling |
| | P1.69 | Coastal precipitation enhancement due to mesoscale features induced by a landfalling tropical cyclone Alan F. Srock, SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart and J. E. Molinari |
| | P1.70 | Cloud-Top Temperatures for Precipitating Winter Clouds Jay Hanna, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and D. M. Schultz and A. Irving |
| | P1.71 | Characteristics of water vapor structure of two cold front systems over central U.S.: High—resolution numerical simulations Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and B. Demoz, X. Li, C. Liu, D. Whiteman, D. D. Turner, and R. M. Hoff |
| | P1.72 | Bridging high-resolution model and coarse ensemble system: Hybrid Ensembling Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Dimego |
| | P1.73 | Assessment of numerical weather forecasts over SW-Iceland Thordur Arason, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson |
| | P1.74 | Application of Brasseur's gust prediction method Hálfdán Ágústsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson |
| | P1.75 | Combining Phase Error Correction and 3DVAR in Storm—Scale Data Assimilation Yun Zhou, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Gao, K. Brewster, M. Hu, and M. Xue |
| | P1.76 | Analysis of large forecast errors over Iceland Haraldur Ólafsson, University of Iceland, IS 150 Reykjavík, Iceland; and T. Arason |
| | P1.77 | Analysis and Forecasting of Mesoscale Wind and Temperature Fields in a Mountain Desert Environment Elford G. Astling, West Desert Test Center, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. J. Laufenberg |
| | P1.78 | An Examination of the Gage-Radar Relationship with respect to Frontal Boundaries Kevin Brinson, University of Delaware, Newark, DE; and D. R. Legates |
| | P1.79 | An evaluation of the land surface-atmosphere interactions over a heterogeneous landscape in numerical mesoscale model Miliaritiana L. Robjhon, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, S. Chiao, and J. D. Fuentes |
| | P1.80 | A Stochastic Physics Scheme in Representing Model-Related Errors in Global Ensemble Forecast Dingchen Hou, SAIC at NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu |
| | P1.81 | A new way to initialize operational NWP system for tropical cyclone forecast Zhongfeng Zhang, Met Division, AirTraffic Management Bureau, Beijing, China; and K. H. Lau |
| | P1.82 | A Modeling Study of the Dryline in May 22 during IHOP 2002 Sen Chiao, Howard University, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph and B. B. Demoz |
| | P1.83 | A Kalman Filter Approach to Correct Surface Forecast Bias William Y. Y. Cheng, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and W. J. Steenburgh |
| | P1.84 | A Fully—Implicit Semi—Lagrangian Hydrostatic Model of Atmospheric Dynamics Sajal K. Kar, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | P1.85 | A few cases of mountain- and lee waves simulated by the WRF Model Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. P. Hacker, W. D. Hall, H. M. Hsu, and R. D. Sharman |
| | P1.86 | A comparison of the hybrid Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter-3D variational analysis scheme (ETKF)—3DVAR and the pure Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) Analysis Schemes Xuguang Wang, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. M. Hamill, J. S. Whitaker, and C. Bishop |
| | P1.87 | Examining Severe Weather Events Using Reanalysis Datasets Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and J. D. Ross and P. G. Knight |
| | P1.88 | A comparison of prescriptions for using background field diagnostics to adapt covariances to the ambient flow in a 3D Variational assimilation Manuel De Pondeca, SAIC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Purser, D. F. Parrish, and J. C. Derber |
| | P1.89 | Comparison of impacts of WRF dynamic core, physics packages, and initial conditions on warm season rainfall forecasts William A. Gallus Jr., Iowa State University, Ames, IA |
| | P1.90 | The Meteorological Role of the Global Positioning System in NOAA's Integrated Upper-Air Observing System Seth I. Gutman, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and K. Holub, S. Sahm, T. L. Smith, S. Benjamin, D. Birkenheuer, D. Helms, J. Facundo, L. M. McMillin, J. G. Yoe, and J. Daniels |
| | P1.91 | NOAA Profiler Network: The Newest Tool in NOAA’s Observing System Architecture for Use in Severe Weather Subjective and Objective Forecasting Margot H. Ackley, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and D. Helms and P. Wolf |
| | P1.92 | Forecasting Heavy Wintertime Precipitation Events in Southern California (Formerly Paper 9.6) Katherine M. Bell, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and F. J. Pereira, N. W. Junker, R. H. Grumm, and R. E. Hart |
| | P1.93 | Understanding the effects of complex terrain on Intermountain cyclogenesis (Formerly Paper 9.8) Gregory L. West, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. Shafer and J. Steenburgh |
| | P1.94 | The Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network (CoCoRaHS): Citizen's Measuring, Mapping and Learning about Precipitation Henry Reges, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and R. C. Cifelli and N. J. Doesken |
| | P1.95 | The Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS) - Providing Value-Added Observations to the Meteorological Community Patricia A. Miller, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and M. Barth, L. Benjamin, D. Helms, M. Campbell, J. Facundo, and J. O'Sullivan |
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Tuesday, 2 August 2005 |
| 7:00 AM-8:00 AM, Tuesday Registration Open (Broadcast Meeting Starts) |
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| 8:00 AM-8:30 AM, Tuesday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 6A Hazardous Weather Tools–Satellite, Radar and Mesoscale Networks of Observing Sensors, including Hydrology |
CoChair: Bruce Rose, The Weather Channel, Atlanta, GA
Chair: Renee Fair, NOAA/NWS, Little Roc, AR
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| 8:00 AM | 6A.1 | Using LDAR II total lightning data in an operational setting: Experiences at WFO Fort Worth TX ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Gregory R. Patrick, NOAA/NWS, Fort Worth, TX; and N. W. S. Demetriades |
| 8:15 AM | 6A.2 | The testing of NSSL multi-sensor applications and data from prototype platforms in NWS forecast operations ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Kevin A. Scharfenberg, NOAA/NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services, Norman, OK ; and T. M. Smith and G. J. Stumpf |
| 8:30 AM | 6A.3 | The Impact of Simulated GEMS Observations on Regional Weather Forecasts ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Joseph G. Dreher, ENSCO, Inc., Melbourne, FL; and J. Manobianco and M. Adams |
| 8:45 AM | 6A.4 | Reflective storm tops: a satellite method for inferring thunderstorm top microphysical structure ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Daniel T. Lindsey, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and L. Grasso |
| 9:00 AM | 6A.5 | Quality control of gridded national radar reflectivity data ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Jerome P. Charba, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and F. Liang |
| 9:15 AM | 6A.6 | New radar and severe weather predictive tools Kenneth Reeves, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and D. R. L. Rainey and M. A. Steinberg |
| 9:30 AM | 6A.7 | Use of Surface Mesonet Data in the NCEP Regional Gridpoint Statistical-Interpolation (GSI) System Seung-Jae Lee, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and D. Parrish, W. S. Wu, M. Pondeca, D. Keyser, and G. DiMego |
| 9:45 AM | 6A.8 | Supertyphoon Dale (1996): An impact from the deep tropics to the arctic Eric P. Kelsey, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart |
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| 8:00 AM-9:15 AM, Tuesday, Empire Ballroom Session 6B Tropical Forecasting |
Chair: James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
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| 8:00 AM | 6B.1 | Dynamical structures and precipitation distributions of transitioning tropical cyclones in Eastern Canada, 1979–2004 ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Shawn M. Milrad, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and E. Atallah and J. R. Gyakum |
| 8:15 AM | 6B.2 | The tropical transition of Hurricane Alex (2004): Observations and forecast implications Lance F. Bosart, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. McTaggart-Cowan, C. A. Davis, and M. T. Montgomery |
| 8:30 AM | 6B.3 | Synoptic Composites of the Extratropical Transition Lifecycle of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Factors Determining Post-Transition Evolution ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Robert E. Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. L. Evans and C. Evans |
| 8:45 AM | 6B.4 | Modeling the initialization and tropical transition Hurricane Alex (2004) R. McTaggart-Cowan, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. A. Davis and L. Bosart |
| 9:00 AM | 6B.5 | Examining planetary, synoptic, and mesoscale features that enhance precipitation associated with Tropical Cyclones making landfall over North Carolina (Formerly Poster P1.62) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Meredith S. Croke, UCAR/COMET, Raleigh, NC; and M. L. Kaplan, L. Xie, and K. Keeter |
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| 9:30 AM-10:15 AM, Tuesday, Empire Ballroom Session 6C Hydrometeorology–Flash Floods |
CoChair: Ron McTaggart, SUNY, Albany, NY
Chair: James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO
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| 9:30 AM | 6C.1 | Forecast tools and considerations for four recent flash floods ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO |
| 9:45 AM | 6C.2 | The Evolution of a Warm Season Severe Eastern Kentucky Flash Flood ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Christina Henry, Western Kentucky Univ., Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood, C. Smallcomb, M. Mclane, and D. Champlin |
| 10:00 AM | 6C.3 | An assessment of key aspects of warm and cool season severe flash flooding in the Southern Appalachians ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) William Baldwin, Western Kentucky University, Bowling Green, KY; and R. Mahmood |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Empire Ballroom Session 7 The Developmental Testbed Center Winter Forecast Experiment |
CoChair: Nelson Seaman, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
Chair: Robert L. Gall, NCAR/DTC, Boulder, CO
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| 10:30 AM | 7.1 | The Developmental Testbed Center Winter Forecasting Experiment (DWFE) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Ligia R. Bernardet, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Nance, H. Y. Chuang, A. Loughe, M. Demirtas, S. Koch, and R. Gall |
| 10:45 AM | 7.2 | Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) Verification of DWFE Meral Demirtas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Nance, L. R. Bernardet, Y. Lin, A. Loughe, R. L. Gall, S. E. Koch, and J. L. Mahoney |
| 11:00 AM | 7.3 | An examination of the performance of two high-resolution numerical models for forecasting extended snow bands during the DTC Winter Forecast Experiment ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Ed Szoke, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Boulder, CO; and S. Koch and D. Novak |
| 11:15 AM | 7.4 | Evaluation of high resolution model QPF performance in the complex terrain of the Great Basin as part of the DTC Winter Forecast Experiment ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Alexander O. Tardy, NOAA/NWS, Corpus Christi, TX; and M. Jackson and E. Szoke |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 7.5 | Modeling insights and scientific interactions stimulated by DWFE and DTC Dave Dempsey, San Francisco State University, San Francisco, CA; and R. Gall, S. E. Koch, L. R. Bernardet, H. Y. Chuang, M. Demirtas, L. Nance, D. Novak, M. Pyle, N. Seaman, W. Skamarock, E. Szoke, and J. S. Waldstreicher |
| 11:30 AM | 7.6 | Lessons learned from the DTC Winter Forecast Experiment ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Steven E. Koch, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and R. L. Gall, G. J. DiMego, E. Szoke, J. S. Waldstreicher, P. Manousos, B. N. Meisner, N. Seaman, M. Jackson, R. Graham, A. Edman, and D. Nietfeld |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 8A Mesoscale Observations and Modeling of Winter Weather |
CoChair: Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWS, Grand Junction, CO
Chair: Douglas Wesley, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | 8A.1 | WSI realtime winter precipitation forecasting using WRF ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Peter J. Sousounis, WSI Corporation, Andover, MA; and T. A. Hutchinson |
| 1:45 PM | 8A.2 | Short-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation type Matthew S. Wandishin, CIMMS/University of Oklahoma and NSSL, Norman, OK; and S. L. Mullen, M. E. Baldwin, and J. V. Cortinas |
| 2:00 PM | 8A.3 | January 29, 2005 ice storms in western North Carolina: a diagnosis using the WRF model Chris E. Blanton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC |
| 2:15 PM | 8A.4 | High-Resolution Atmospheric Simulations over Iceland for weather forecasting (HRAS) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Ólafur Rögnvaldsson, Universtity of Bergen, Reykjavik, Iceland; and H. Ólafsson, H. Ágústsson, E. M. Einarsson, and Ö. Rögnvaldsson |
| 2:30 PM | 8A.5 | Examination and verification of temperature-precipitation relationships in the Canadian operational numerical weather prediction models Zuohao Cao, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and G. A. Isaac |
| 2:45 PM | 8A.6 | An overview of precipitation type forecasting using NAM and SREF data ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD |
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| 1:30 PM, Tuesday, Empire Ballroom Session 8B Part 1: Reaching the goals outlined in the first "Forum on the Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process" |
Moderator: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday, Empire Ballroom Session 9 Terrain Forcing and Mesoscale Aspects of Winter Storms |
CoChair: Michael P. Meyers, NOAA/NWS, Grand Junction, CO
Chair: Douglas Wesley, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
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| 3:30 PM | 9.1 | Investigating stability evolution of two winter storms using mobile GAUS data ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Larry L. Smith, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. Pettegrew, C. J. Melick, and P. S. Market |
| 3:45 PM | 9.2 | Improving the forecasting of barrier jets along coastal Alaska using remote sensing, modeling, and a SARJET field study ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Nathaniel S. Winstead, Johns Hopkins University, Laurel, MD; and B. A. Colle, J. B. Olson, G. S. Young, K. Loescher, and N. A. Bond |
| 4:00 PM | 9.3 | High-resolution modeling of the 25 December 2002 Northeast U.S. banded snowstorm ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) David R. Novak, NOAA/NWS, Bohemia, NY; and B. A. Colle and D. Keyser |
| 4:15 PM | 9.4 | Forecasting Extreme Wintertime Precipitation Events in Northern California ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Norman Junker, Retired from NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and R. Grumm, R. Hart, L. F. Bosart, K. M. Bell, and F. J. Pereira |
| 4:30 PM | 9.5 | Does increasing the resolution of numerical forecasts improve forecast accuracy over fine-scale Intermountain orography? W. James Steenburgh, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and K. A. Hart and D. J. Onton |
| 4:45 PM | 9.6 | Paper moved to Poster Session
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| 5:00 PM | 9.7 | High resolution simulations and microphysical validation of an orographic precipitation event over the Wasatch Mountains during IPEX IOP3 ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and J. Wolfe, J. Steenburgh, D. Kingsmill, J. A. W. Cox, and J. Shafer |
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| 5:30 PM, Tuesday Sessions End for the Day |
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| 5:30 PM-7:00 PM, Tuesday Formal Opening of Exhibits |
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Wednesday, 3 August 2005 |
| 8:00 AM-8:30 AM, Wednesday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 10A Case Studies |
CoChair: Jennifer C. Roman, USAF/AFWA, Offutt AFB, NE
Chair: Renee Fair, NOAA/NWS, Little Roc, AR
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| 8:00 AM | 10A.1 | The role of conveyor belts in organizing processes associated with heavy banded snowfall James T. Moore, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and S. Ng and C. E. Graves |
| 8:15 AM | 10A.2 | Propagating nocturnal convection within a 7-day WRF-model simulation S. B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and C. A. Davis, S. M. Frederick, and J. D. Tuttle |
| 8:30 AM | 10A.3 | NWP with the Weather Research and Forecast model and local data assimilation as a prelude to “Neighborhood Weather” ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Patrick T. Welsh, University of North Florida, Jacksonville, FL; and J. D. Lambert and P. Bogenschutz |
| 8:45 AM | 10A.4 | Investigation of stability characteristics of thundersnow events utilizing the growth rate parameter ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Christopher J. Melick, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and L. Smith, B. Pettegrew, and P. Market |
| 9:00 AM | 10A.5 | Analysis of a Texas tornado outbreak involving three modalities of enhanced tornadogenesis ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Lon Curtis, KWTX-TV, Waco, TX |
| 9:15 AM | 10A.6 | Atmospheric Processes Assocoated with Heavy Rainfall During the Extra-Tropical Transitions of Ivan and Frances ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Michael L. Jurewicz Sr., NOAA/NWS, Johnson City, NY; and M. Evans |
| 9:30 AM | 10A.7 | A case study of a rare severe thunderstorm with snowfall ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brian Pettegrew, University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, MO; and P. S. Market, R. A. Wolf, and P. J. Roebber |
| 9:45 AM | 10A.8 | Ice clouds in extratropical cyclones ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Florian Weidle, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and H. Wernli |
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| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, Empire Ballroom Session 10B Forum on the Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process Part 2: Cognitive Psychological Aspects of Expert Forecasters |
Moderator: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break |
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| 10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday 1 Exhibits Open |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, Ambassador Ballroom Joint Session 1 Joint AMS Panel on Seasonal to Interannual Prediction (Joint between the 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the 34th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology) |
Panelists: Heidi Cullen, The Weather Channel, Boulder, CO; Bryan Hannegan, White House Council on Environmental Quality; Ed Olenic, NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; Stephen E. Zebiak, International Research Institute for climate prediction, Columbia University
Moderator: Ron McPherson, AMS, Boston, MA
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-3:15 PM, Wednesday, Ambassador Ballroom Joint Session 2 Environmental Education, Training, and Outreach (Joint between the 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the 34th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology) |
Chair: Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | J2.1 | Supporting the broadcast meteorology community through continuing education initiatives ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and G. Fishel |
| 1:45 PM | J2.2 | Weather impacts on watersheds: development of Web-based curriculum for broadcast meteorologists Joseph Lamos, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and D. Owens, M. Kelsch, S. Espinoza, and D. Sliter |
| 2:00 PM | J2.3 | The Numerical Weather Prediction Professional Development Series (NWP PDS) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) William R. Bua, UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD; and S. D. Jascourt |
| 2:15 PM | J2.4 | Satellite education and training resources for the forecast community: advances in meteorological satellite data and applications ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Patrick N. Dills, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and S. Wang |
| 2:30 PM | J2.5 | COMET Marine and Coastal Meteorology Modules ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Kevin Fuell, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and D. A. Wesley and A. J. Bol |
| 2:45 PM | J2.6 | COMET ensemble prediction training ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) William R. Bua, UCAR/COMET, Camp Springs, MD |
| 3:00 PM | J2.7 | COMET® case studies in hydrometeorology training Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Wednesday Exhibits Open |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Wednesday Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday, Ambassador Ballroom Joint Session 3 Forum on the Future Role of the Human in the Forecast Process Part 3: Roles of the Public and Private Sector (Joint between the 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction and the 34th Conference on Broadcast Meteorology) |
Moderator: Neil A. Stuart, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA
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| 5:30 PM, Wednesday Sessions End for the Day |
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Thursday, 4 August 2005 |
| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Thursday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 11A Ensembles I |
CoChair: William Bua, UCAR/COMET
Chair: Maria A. Perone, AER, Lexington, MA
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| 8:00 AM | 11A.1 | The North American Ensemble Forecast System Zoltan Toth, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. Lefaivre, G. Brunet, Y. Zhu, B. Cui, P. L. Houtekamer, L. J. Wilson, R. Verret, R. Hogue, R. Wobus, D. Unger, E. Olenic, B. A. Gordon, and G. Pellerin |
| 8:15 AM | 11A.2 | Recent Upgrades to the NCEP Short Range Ensemble Forecasting System (SREF) and Future Plans ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, B. Zhou, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, H. Y. Chuang, G. DiMego, and Z. Toth |
| 8:30 AM | 11A.3 | An Evaluation of Short-Term MOS and Short-Term Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and R. Holmes and J. Villani |
| 8:45 AM | 11A.4 | Evaluation of a mesoscale short-range ensemble forecast system over the Northeast United States ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. Jones and J. S. Tongue |
| 9:00 AM | 11A.5 | COAMPS® ocean ensemble forecast Xiaodong Hong, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. Bishop |
| 9:15 AM | 11A.6 | An Evaluation of Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts from the Medium Range Ensemble Forecast System ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and J. Villani and R. Hart |
| 9:30 AM | 11A.7 | Wind Energy Forecasting Using Time Lagged Ensembles Kevin J. Brundage, NOAA/FSL, Boulder and CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and B. Schwartz, S. G. Benjamin, and M. Schwartz |
| 9:45 AM | 11A.8 | An ensemble strategy for road weather applications ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Paul Schultz, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO |
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| 8:00 AM-10:15 AM, Thursday, Empire Ballroom Session 11B Model Verification |
Chair: Mary M. Cairns, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:00 AM | 11B.1 | Verification over the western United States of surface temperature forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database David T. Myrick, University of Utah and NOAA/CIRP, Salt Lake City, UT; and J. D. Horel |
| 8:15 AM | 11B.2 | University of Washington Mesoscale Ensemble system post-processing and verification Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass |
| 8:30 AM | 11B.3 | The Performance of National Weather Service Forecasts Compared to Operational, Consensus, and Weighted Model Output Statistics Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. Baars |
| 8:45 AM | 11B.4 | Objective verification of high-resolution WRF forecasts during 2005 NSSL/SPC Spring Program ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Michael E. Baldwin, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. L. Elmore |
| 9:00 AM | 11B.5 | Object-based verification approaches for NWP Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, D. L. Rife, and R. Bullock |
| 9:15 AM | 11B.6 | Comparison of sea–level pressure errors between the U.S. East and West Coasts during the cool seasons of 2000–2005 ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Lynn A. McMurdie, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. Curley, B. A. Colle, and C. F. Mass |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 11B.7 | An evaluation of the impacts of grid resolution on the verification of aviation weather forecasts Michael B. Chapman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown and A. Takacs |
| 9:30 AM | 11B.7A | Ensemble forecast and verification of low level wind shear by the NCEP SREF system (Formerly Poster P1.64) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. McQueen, J. Du, G. DiMego, Z. Toth, and Y. Zhu |
| 9:45 AM | 11B.8 | Verification of high-resolution precipitation forecasts over Germany ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Marcus Paulat, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and C. Frei, M. Hagen, and H. Wernli |
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| 10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday 1 Exhibits Open |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Empire Ballroom Session 12A Forecasting Challenges in the Urban Enrivonment |
Chair: John V. Cortinas, Jr., NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD
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| 10:30 AM | 12A.1 | NOAA-EPA’s New National Air Quality Forecast Capability: Transitioning Research to Operations Paula Davidson, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Mathur, J. T. McQueen, R. A. Wayland, N. Seaman, and K. Carey |
| 10:45 AM | 12A.2 | Update to and Recent Performance of the NAM-CMAQ Air Quality Forecast Model at NCEP operations ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Jeffery T. McQueen, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and P. C. Lee, M. Tsidulko, G. DiMego, T. Otte, J. Pleim, G. Pouliout, J. Young, D. Kang, P. M. Davidson, and N. Seaman |
| 11:00 AM | 12A.3 | Planetary Boundary Layer height and surface ozone verification in the NOAA/EPA Air Quality Forecast System ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Marina Tsidulko, SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and G. J. DiMego, M. Ek, J. McQueen, P. Lee, R. Mathur, J. Pleim, D. Kang, H. M. Lin, T. Otte, G. A. Pouliot, D. Wong, J. Young, K. Schere, P. Davidson, N. Seaman, and M. Schenk |
| 11:15 AM | 12A.4 | Aerosol forecast by Eta-CMAQ for the poor air quality episode in early February 2005 ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Pius Lee, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and J. McQueen, R. Mathur, M. Tsidulko, S. Kondragunta, J. Pleim, D. Kang, H. M. Lin, T. L. Otte, J. O. Young, G. Pouliot, G. DiMego, K. Schere, P. Davidson, and N. Seaman |
| 11:30 AM | 12A.5 | Perth, Western Australia wildfires of January 2005: Meteorological challenges of fire control and smoke plume predicition in a forest - urban environment Bruce William Buckley, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, West Perth, Australia; and L. M. Leslie and G. Reader |
| 11:45 AM | 12A.6 | Storm surge modeling for the New York City metropolitan region ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brian A. Colle, Stony Brook University/SUNY, Stony Brook, NY; and M. J. Bowman, R. E. Wilson, R. Flood, D. Hill, F. Buonaiuto, Y. Zheng, R. Hunter, and C. Mirchel |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 12B Ensembles II |
CoChair: Maria A. Perone, AER, Lexington, MA
Chair: William Bua, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
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| 10:30 AM | 12B.1 | Treatment of model error through ensemble-based simultaneous state and parameter estimation Altug Aksoy, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang and J. W. Nielsen-Gammon |
| 10:45 AM | 12B.2 | Statistical Post-processing of Operational & CDC Hindcast Ensembles Bo Cui, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, Y. Zhu, D. Hou, and S. Beauregard |
| 11:00 AM | 12B.3 | Probabilistic evaluation of MCV dynamics and predictability through ensemble forecasting Dan Hawblitzel, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and F. Zhang |
| 11:15 AM | 12B.4 | Hybrid dynamical-analog ensembles for forecasts with late medium-range lead times Justin G. McLay, National Research Council/NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds and C. H. Bishop |
| 11:30 AM | 12B.5 | Ensemble Data Assimilation with the NCEP GFS model Jeffrey S. Whitaker, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and T. Hamill |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 12B.6 | Regional scale ensemble prediction in the Mediterranean Vassiliki Kotroni, National Observatory of Athens, Athens, Greece; and K. Lagouvardos |
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| 12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday Luncheon–Joint–Speaker Bob Ryan |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 13A Data Assimilation I |
Chair: Michael Sestak, USN/FNMOC, Monterey, CA
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| 1:30 PM | 13A.1 | Assimilation of simulated network radar data of varied storm types using EnSRF for convective storm analyses and forecasts ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Elaine S. Godfrey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Tong, M. Xue, and K. Droegemeier |
| 1:45 PM | 13A.2 | Impact of Configurations of Rapid Intermittent Assimilation of WSR-88D Radar Data for the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City Tornadic Thunderstorm Case ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Ming Hu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue |
| 2:00 PM | 13A.3 | Assimilation of polarimetric radar data using ensemble Kalman filter:Experiments with simulated data ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Youngsun Jung, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue and J. M. Straka |
| 2:15 PM | 13A.4 | Analysis and Impact of Super-obbed Doppler Radial Velocity in the NCEP Grid-point Statistical Interpolation (GSI) Analysis System ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Shun Liu, CAPS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, J. Gao, and D. Parrish |
| 2:30 PM | 13A.5 | Application of Doppler Radar Data Assimilation on the Retrieval of a Mei-yu Front within the Taiwan Strait Associated with a Heavy Rain Event ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Hsi-Chyi Yeh, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI |
| 2:45 PM | 13A.6 | Radar Data Assimilation in a Regional Model of KMA Duk-Jin Won, Korean Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and E. H. Lim and Q. Xiao |
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| 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday, Empire Ballroom Session 13B Statistical Modeling |
Chair: Tom Dulong, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
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| 1:30 PM | 13B.1 | Using geographic information systems to develop gridded model output statistics ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Kari L. Sheets, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. A. Trimarco and K. K. Hughes |
| 1:45 PM | 13B.2 | Toward a gridded MOS system ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) J. Paul Dallavalle, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and B. Glahn |
| 2:00 PM | 13B.3 | Improving probabilistic QPF with reforecasts Thomas M. Hamill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker |
| 2:15 PM | 13B.4 | GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for islands in the tropical western Pacific Ocean ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) James C. Su, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:30 PM | 13B.5 | An overview of the redeveloped Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) for short-range forecasting Judy E. Ghirardelli, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 2:45 PM | 13B.6 | A Summary of Ceiling Height and Total Sky Cover Short-Term Statistical Forecasts in the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Mitchell Weiss, WYLE Information Systems, Inc., McLean, VA; and J. E. Ghirardelli |
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| 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Thursday 1 Exhibits Open |
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| 3:30 PM-4:30 PM, Thursday, Empire Ballroom Session 14A Numerical Weather Prediction Tools and Techniques I |
CoChair: David M. Schultz, NOAA/NSSL and CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK
Chair: Jennifer C. Roman, USAF/AFWA, Offutt AFB, NE
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| 3:30 PM | 14A.1 | Towards an operational 1km model ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Andrew J. Malcolm, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and N. M. Roberts |
| 3:45 PM | 14A.2 | The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002 ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Jeremy S. Grams, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and W. A. Gallus, S. E. Koch, L. S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E. E. Ebert |
| 4:00 PM | 14A.3 | Potential vorticity as a tool for assessing dynamical impacts of latent heat release in model forecasts ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Michael J. Brennan, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and K. M. Mahoney |
| 4:15 PM | 14A.4 | Objective methods for monitoring Indian Summer Monsoon using NWP products Vijapurapu S. Prasad, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Hayashi |
| 4:30 PM | 14A.5 | Grid-Based Removal of Systematic Model Bias Clifford F. Mass, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Steed and G. Wedam |
| 4:45 PM | 14A.6 | Forecasting hail size by combining a NWP model with a hail growth model ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Gerhard W. Reuter, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and J. C. Brimelow, R. Goodson, and T. W. Krauss |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 14A.7 | Climatological aspects of observed and simulated precipitation entities Michael P. Kay, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and E. E. Ebert |
| 5:00 PM | 14A.8 | A Numerical Study of the Effect of Dissipative Heating on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. T. Thompson, S. Wang, and C. S. Liou |
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 14B Data Assimilation II |
Chair: John V. Cortinas, Jr., NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD
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| 3:30 PM | 14B.1 | Variational assimilation in a propotype limited area model Pierre Bernardet, CNRM, Toulouse, France |
| 3:45 PM | 14B.2 | Progress in Assimilation of Lightning Data into a Mesoscale NWP Model Antti T. Pessi, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. Businger and T. Cherubini |
| 4:00 PM | 14B.3 | Evaluation of the operational 4D-Var at the Meteorological Service of Canada Stephane Laroche, EC, Dorval, QC, Canada; and P. Gauthier, M. Tanguay, S. Pellerin, and J. Morneau |
| 4:15 PM | 14B.4 | High-resolution coupled land data assimilation in a mesoscale real-time forecast system Andrea N. Hahmann, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Y. Liu, F. Chen, K. Manning, and T. Warner |
| 4:30 PM | 14B.5 | Direct Assimilation of Satellite Cloudy Radiances with a 3D-VAR System Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT |
| 4:45 PM | 14B.6 | Retrieval of Moisture from GPS Slant-path Water Vapor Observations using 3DVAR with Isotropic and Anisotropic Recursive Filters ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Haixia Liu, University of Oklahoma/CAPS, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, R. J. Purser, and D. Parrish |
| 5:00 PM | 14B.7 | Multi-Spectral Classification of Hydrometeors Using AMSU-B Data Abolhassan Gheiby, University of Hormozgan, Bandar Abbas, Hormozgan, Iran |
| 5:15 PM | 14B.8 | Qualitative Evaluation of the KMA Regional Model Mixing-Depth Prediction Using Wind-Profiler Signal-to-Noise-Ratio Data Seung-Jae Lee, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. D. Yoo and H. Kawai |
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| 5:30 PM, Thursday Sessions End for the Day |
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Friday, 5 August 2005 |
| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Friday, Empire Ballroom Session 15A Numerical Weather Prediction Tools and Techniques II |
Chair: Michael Sestak, USN/FNMOC, Monterey, CA
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| 8:00 AM | 15A.1 | Observing system simulation experiments at NCEP Michiko Masutani, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, JCSDA, and Wyle, Camp Springs, MD; and J. S. Woollen, R. Treadon, J. F. LeMarshall, S. Lord, Z. Toth, and G. D. Emmitt |
| 8:15 AM | 15A.2 | High Resolution Global Model of KMA- Preliminary Results Hae-Jin Lee, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea; and H. Park, Y. S. Lee, H. D. Yoo, and W. J. Lee |
| 8:30 AM | 15A.3 | From global to meso scales with a unified model ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Zavisa Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Black |
| 8:45 AM | 15A.4 | Enhancements to a Three-Dimensional Cloud Analysis Scheme ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Eric M. Kemp, Northrop Grumman IT TASC, Chantilly, Virginia; and R. Alliss |
| 9:00 AM | 15A.5 | Flow-Dependent Bias correction to the NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting system Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Mcqueen, G. Dimego, and B. Zhou |
| 9:15 AM | 15A.6 | Data Assimilation as Synchronization of Truth and Model: Experiments with the Three-Variable Lorenz System Shu-Chih Yang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. Baker, G. Nagpal, E. Kalnay, K. Cordes, M. Huff, E. Okereke, J. Villafae, and G. S. Duane |
| 9:30 AM | 15A.7 | Bred vectors and forecast error in the NASA coupled general circulation model ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Shu-Chih Yang, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay, M. Cai, and M. Rienecker |
| 9:45 AM | 15A.8 | A bi-cylindrical "Yin-Yang" global grid geometry applied to the NCEP Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model R. James Purser, SAIC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs,, MD; and Z. I. Janjic and T. L. Black |
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| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Friday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 15B Data Assimilation III |
Chair: Jennifer C. Roman, USAF/AFWA, Offutt AFB, NE
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| 8:00 AM | 15B.1 | A comparison of sea level pressure analyses derived from QuikSCAT winds to manual surface analyses produced in the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Joan M. Von Ahn, STG, Inc. and NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and J. M. Sienkiewicz and J. Patoux |
| 8:15 AM | 15B.2 | The "Chromatic Hexad" method for adaptive anisotropic covariance synthesis ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) R. James Purser, SAIC and NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs,, MD |
| 8:30 AM | 15B.3 | Real-time ensemble data assimilation at the University of Washington Ryan D. Torn, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim |
| 8:45 AM | 15B.4 | Ensemble-based sensitivity analysis Gregory J. Hakim, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. D. Torn |
| ![](http://www.confex.com/static/images/flag.png) | 15B.5 | Impact of data density in ensemble filters and smoothers Milija Zupanski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and D. Zupanski and M. DeMaria |
| 9:00 AM | 15B.6 | Impact of model error and imperfect initial condition perturbations on ensemble-based probabilistic forecasts: UNPREDICTABLE SPOTS Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD |
| 9:15 AM | 15B.7 | A sequential variational analysis approach for mesoscale data assimilation Yuanfu Xie, NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and S. E. Koch, J. A. McGinley, S. Albers, and N. Wang |
| 9:30 AM | 15B.8 | Adaptive estimation of background and observation error statistics in variational data assimilation ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Zhuo Liu, Universite du Quebec a Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. Buehner and P. Gauthier |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Friday Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Empire Ballroom Session 16A Numerical Weather Prediction Tools and Techniques III |
Chair: Renee Fair, NOAA/NWS, Little Roc, AR
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| 10:30 AM | 16A.1 | Fully explicit real-time WRF forecasts of Frances, Ivan and Jeanne (2004) Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and W. Wang and G. J. Holland |
| 10:45 AM | 16A.2 | Ongoing experiments to improve cloud and precipitation forecasts from the WRF NMM modeling system ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brad S. Ferrier, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC/GSO, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Black, M. Pyle, and H. Y. Chuang |
| 11:00 AM | 16A.3 | High-resolution winter-season NWP: Preliminary evaluation of the WRF ARW and NMM cores in the DWFE forecast experiment ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) William C. Skamarock, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. Dempsey |
| 11:15 AM | 16A.4 | High resolution applications of the WRF NMM ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Zavisa Janjic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Black, M. Pyle, E. Rogers, H. Y. Chuang, and G. DiMego |
| 11:30 AM | 16A.5 | A comparison of WRF forecasts made using differing sources for initial and boundary conditions ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Brian Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and P. Santos |
| 11:45 AM | 16A.6 | The hurricane WRF-ARW modeling system: Tests results for the nested automatic hurricane tracking implementation Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Michalakes, D. Gill, W. Skamarock, W. Wang, and J. Cangialosi |
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Friday, Ambassador Ballroom Session 16B Model Parameterization |
Chair: Mary M. Cairns, NOAA/OFCM, Silver Spring, MD
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| 10:30 AM | 16B.1 | Well-mixed atmospheric boundary layers in the MM5 and WRF models ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Frank P. Colby Jr., University of Massachusetts, Lowell, MA |
| 10:45 AM | 16B.2 | The influence of convective parameterization on model forecasts of an East Coast cyclone ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Kelly M. Mahoney, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann |
| 11:00 AM | 16B.3 | The impact of different WRF model physical parameterizations and their interactions on warm season MCS rainfall ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Isidora Jankov, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus, M. Segal, and S. Koch |
| 11:15 AM | 16B.4 | The impact of convective parameterization on NAM forecasts for the February 25 2005 Winter Storm ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Geoffrey S. Manikin, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Rogers |
| 11:30 AM | 16B.5 | Implementation of a mass-flux parameterization of shallow cumulus convection for the NCEP global forecast system Jongil Han, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and H. L. Pan and F. Yang |
| 11:45 AM | 16B.6 | Applicability of grid-size-dependent Convection Parameterization to meso-gamma-scale HIRLAM ![wrf recording](/static/img/filetypes/16x16/wrf.gif) Sami J. A. Niemelä, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland; and C. Fortelius |
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| 12:00 PM, Friday Conference Ends |
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| 3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Friday Coffee Break |
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