Program: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology (18th Conference on Atmospheric BioGeosciences/28th Conference on Agricultural and Forest Meteorology/28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology<br> (28 April

Conference Registration

Location: Palms Foyer (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Speaker Ready Room and Email Stations (Open Monday thru Friday During Conference Hours)

Location: Azalea AB (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Conference Registration Continues through Friday May 2nd

Location: Palms Foyer (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 1

Opening General Session

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chairs: Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL; Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML

8:30 AM

1.1

Dr. Yoshio Kurihara's contribution to modeling, the GFDL hurricane model and its place in the current FSU multimodel superensemble

T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

1.2

Yoshio Kurihara: His contributions to tropical meteorological research and forecasting through numerical modeling

Robert E. Tuleya, SAIC@Environmental Modeling Center/NCEP, Norfolk, VA; and M. A. Bender and I. Ginis

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (350.4 kB)

9:00 AM

1.3

Tropical Cyclone Response to Periodic Forcing

Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

1.4

Revisiting the physics of tropical cyclone intensification in three dimensions

Michael T. Montgomery, Naval Postgraduate School and NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Monterey, CA; and R. K. Smith and S. V. Nguyen

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

1.5

Bob Burpee's influence on hurricane forecasting

Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 2A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling I: WRF

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Morris Bender, NOAA/GFDL

10:15 AM

2A.1

Advancement of the HWRF for next generation hurricane prediction at NCEP's Environmental Modeling Center

Naomi Surgi, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, V. Tallapragada, and Y. C. Kwon

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

2A.2

Forecast track and intensity sensitivities of tropical cyclones to various parameterizations using the WRF-ARW model

Nick P. Bassill, University of SUNY, Salt Lake City, UT; and M. C. Morgan

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2A.3

Distinct Structure and Intensity of Hurricanes Katrina and Ophelia (2005) in Coupled WRF-HYCOM Model

Jie Ming, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, W. Zhao, and J. Michalakes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (329.2 kB)

11:00 AM

2A.4

Advanced Numerical Prediction and Modeling of Tropical Cyclones Using WRF-NMM modeling system

Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and R. F. Rogers, R. Atlas, F. D. Marks Jr., and S. Aberson

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2A.5

Inner core structures and intensity change simulated with the Advanced Hurricane WRF model

Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and W. Wang, J. M. Done, and C. Davis

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2A.6

Preliminary Results Using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Vortex Specification Algorithm for the WRF-ARW Using NHC/TPC Observations and Vertical Structures Derived from Analytical and Observational Models

Henry R. Winterbottom, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and C. A. Clayson

11:45 AM

2A.7

The role of cloud microphysical processes in the development and intensification of hurricane Dennis (2005): WRF simulations and observations

Brian F. Jewett, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and E. Schneider, G. McFarquhar, M. S. Gilmore, F. J. LaFontaine, R. E. Hood, and G. M. Heymsfield

Recorded presentation

Session 2B

Tropical Climatology and Climate Change

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

10:15 AM

2B.1

A new set of mean soundings for the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea

Jason P. Dunion, AOML, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

2B.2

Latent heating profiles over the tropical oceans

Samson M. Hagos, PNNL, Richland, WA; and C. Zhang

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2B.3

A climatology of ocean temperature forcing by aerosols across the tropical Atlantic

Amato Evan, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and A. Heidinger, R. Bennartz, N. Mahowald, and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

2B.4

Characterizing the synoptic timescale ITCZ in the eastern to central Pacific

Gudrun Magnusdottir, Univ. of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA; and C. C. Wang, H. Stern, P. Smyth, and L. Scharenbroich

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2B.5

A Comparison of Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic Basin with Australian East-Coast Cyclones

Aviva J. Braun, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (369.5 kB)

11:30 AM

2B.6

Troposphere Cloud Ice: Satellite Measurements, ECMWF and GEOS5 Analyses, and GCM Simulations

Jui-Lin Li, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. Waliser, C. P. Woods, J. D. Chern, J. Bacmeister, J. Jiang, D. Genio, R. Rossow, M. Kharitondov, H. Meng, P. Minnis, S. S. Mack, A. M. Tompkins, W. K. Tao, Z. Kuang, D. G. Vane, G. Stephens, and D. L. Wu

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

2B.7

Robust projections of vertical wind shear changes for the 21st Century

Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and G. A. Vecchi

Recorded presentation

Session 2C

AMMA I: Waves

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sarah Jones, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe

10:15 AM

2C.1

On the genesis of African easterly waves

Chris D. Thorncroft, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

2C.2

Moist Singular Vectors and African Easterly Waves

Brian J. Hoskins, NCAS Centre for Global Atmospheric Modelling, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and R. J. Cornforth

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2C.3

The interaction between convection and African Easterly Waves: a model case study

Juliane Schwendike, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany

Presentation PDF (308.2 kB)

11:00 AM

2C.4

MIT radar observations of the evolution of the West African Monsoon during the AMMA IOP

Rosana Nieto-Ferreira, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and T. M. Rickenbach, N. Guy, and E. R. Williams

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2C.5

Coastal Observations and Model Simulations associated with African Easterly Wave Passage during the 2006 AMMA SOP-3 field Campaign

Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, P. A. Kucera, J. D. Fuentes, A. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, D. Bouniol, A. Protat, N. Viltard, and S. Chiao

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2C.6

Evolution of AEWs and MCSs off West Africa observed during AMMA SOP-3 in September 2006

Joël Arnault, Laboratoire d'Aérologie (CNRS-UPS), Toulouse, France; and F. Roux

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (946.4 kB)

Session 2D

Air-Sea Interaction I

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD

10:15 AM

2D.1

Eastern Pacific Ocean heat content estimates from altimetry for operational hurricane intensity forecasts

Jodi K. Brewster, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and M. Mainelli

10:30 AM

2D.2

Improving hurricane heat content estimates

S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and P. deMatthaeis

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

2D.3

Typhoon intensity change by ocean heat content in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean

KiRyong Kang, National Institute of Meteorological Research/Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and J. H. Park, K. Y. Chung, and S. Lee

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (539.7 kB)

11:00 AM

2D.4

Hurricane-induced differential mixed layer cooling over strong oceanic background flows

Benjamin Jaimes, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

2D.5

Impact of mesoscale oceanic features on tropical cyclone intensity

Richard M. Yablonsky, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

2D.6

Improving the ocean model response to tropical cyclones

George R. Halliwell, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, J. Brewster, and W. J. Teague

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

2D.7

A fresh look at ocean's part of necessary conditions in supertyphoon's intensification

I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. Pun and C. Wu

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Location: Wyndham Orlando Resort

Session 3A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling II: Special Observations and Data Assimilation

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

1:15 PM

3A.1

Study on radar data assimilation for improving hurricane intensity and structure forecasts

Qingyun Zhao, NRL, Monterey, California; and Y. Jin

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

3A.2

Impacts of Airborne Doppler Radar Data Assimilation on Hurricane using WRF-Var

Xiaoyan Zhang, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and Q. Xiao, C. Davis, and J. D. Tuttle

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3A.3

Impact of satellite multi-sensor and in-situ data on high-resolution numerical simulation of the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005)

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and X. Li

2:00 PM

3A.4

Impact of Assimilating Scatterometer Vector Winds on High-Resolution Hurricane Model Prediction

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and W. Zhao, R. Foster, S. J. Majumdar, and W. T. Liu

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

3A.5

Sensitivities of hurricane intensity to planetary boundary layer schemes in a full physics three dimensional nonhydrostatic mesoscale model

Treng-Shi Huang, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. T. Montgomery and C. C. Wu

Recorded presentation

3A.6

The Capacity and Preliminary Improvement of Cumulus Parameterization on Typhoon Numerical Prediction

3A.7

The dffects of the full Coriolis force on the structure and motion of a tropical cyclone due to horizontal motion

Session 3B

Hurricanes and Climate I: Seasonal Overviews and Climatology

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC

1:15 PM

3B.1

Highlights of the 2007 Atlantic and eastern North Pacific Hurricane Seasons. A year of extremes in the Atlantic basin

Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC, Miami, FL

Presentation PDF (124.5 kB)

1:30 PM

3B.2

Life-cycle of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)

Thomas J. Galarneau Jr., SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3B.3

Hurricanes Ioke (2006) and Flossie (2007): Examples of recent operations at CPHC

Samuel Houston, CPHC/NWS/NOAA, Honolulu, HI; and W. Browning

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (145.3 kB)

2:00 PM

3B.4

Historical Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone inactivity during 2007

Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. E. Hart

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

3B.5

Tropical cyclones of the eastern North Pacific Ocean, 1949-2006

Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (519.2 kB)

2:30 PM

3B.6

Late season tropical cyclogenesis in the northeastern Atlantic Ocean: 1975-2005

Rachel G. Mauk, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

3B.7

Climatology of tropical cyclone rainfall in the Southeastern United States

David Knight, Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Davis

Recorded presentation

Session 3C

AMMA II: Large-Scale Circulations

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Chris Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY

1:15 PM

3C.1

The AMMA radiosonde programme and its implications for the future of atmospheric monitoring over Africa

Michael Christoph, Univ. of Cologne, Cologne, Germany; and A. H. Fink, D. J. Parker, S. Janicot, J. B. Ngamini, M. W. Douglas, E. Afiesimama, A. Agusti-Panareda, A. Beljaars, F. Dide, A. Diedhiou, T. Lebel, J. Polcher, J. L. Redelsperger, C. Thorncroft, and G. Wilson

1:30 PM

3C.2

Annual cycle of the moisture transports associated with the Saharan heat low and their role in the coupled West African monsoon system

Hanh Nguyen, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrillé

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3C.3

Assessment of water budgets computed from NWP models and observational datasets during AMMA-EOP

Olivier Bock, Service d'Aeronomie (CNRS/IPSL), Paris, France

Presentation PDF (660.0 kB)

2:00 PM

3C.4

Influence of large-scale atmospheric moisture fluxes on the interannual to multidecadal rainfall variability of the West African Monsoon

Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany; and S. Eikenberg

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

3C.5

The role of 25-90 day variability of tropical convection in the West African summer monsoon onset in 2006

2:30 PM

3C.6

Analysis of the West African monsoon using an idealized two-dimensional model

Philippe Peyrillé, Météo-France, Toulouse, France; and J. P. Lafore and J. L. Redelsperger

2:45 PM

3C.7

Rainfall Events during the West African Dry-Season: Forcing from the Extratropics and Predictability

Peter Knippertz, University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (754.8 kB)

Session 3D

Air-Sea Interaction II

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lynn Shay, Univ. of Miami

1:30 PM

3D.1

New findings on drag coefficient behavior in tropical cyclones

Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

3D.3

Exchange coefficients and air-sea interaction in tropical cyclones

Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and G. Brassington and P. Sandery

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (306.9 kB)

2:00 PM

3D.4

Assessment of hurricane wind stress estimation using a 4DVAR ocean assimilation system

Sarah E. Zedler, Texas A&M, College Station, TX; and I. Hoteit, R. Korty, and B. Cornuelle

2:15 PM

3D.5

Air-Sea Coupling-Induced Asymmetry in Hurricane Boundary Layer and Surface Fluxes

Chiaying Lee, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (289.3 kB)

2:30 PM

3D.6

Simple nonlinear bounday layer model for tropical cyclones

Ralph C. Foster, University of Washington, Seattle, WA

Recorded presentation

1:15 PM

3D.2

A report on EASI (Extreme Air-Sea Interaction) buoy's encounter with Noel

William Drennan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and N. Williams

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 4A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling III: Operational Models

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jim Goerss, NRL

3:30 PM

4A.1

Tropical cyclone initialisation in the Met Office global model: Is it still necessary and can it be improved?

Julian T. Heming, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (733.4 kB)

3:45 PM

4A.2

Initalizations in Advanced Operational Hurricane WRF (HWRF) Model

Qingfu Liu, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, S. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, V. Tallapragada, and Y. Kwon

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

4A.3

Interpretation of tropical cyclone forecast sensitivity and dynamics from a NOGAPS singular vector perspective

Jan-Huey Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. S. Peng, C. A. Reynolds, and C. C. Wu

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4A.4

Improvements to the Navy's version of the GFDL Tropical Cyclone Model (GFDN) and evaluation of its Prediction Skill

Morris A. Bender, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and I. Ginis and R. M. Yablonsky

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4A.5

Performance of the Advanced Operational HWRF Modeling System during pre-implementation testing and in real-time 2007 hurricane season

Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and N. Surgi, Q. Liu, Y. Kwon, R. Tuleya, and W. O'Connor

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4A.6

Improving wind-pressure relationship and intensity forecast skill of the operational HWRF

Young C. Kwon, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD; and N. Surgi, S. J. Lord, R. E. Tuleya, Q. Liu, and V. Tallapragada

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

4A.7

Evaluation of tropical cyclone surface wind structure in operational NWP model forecasts

Timothy Marchok, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and R. Rogers and M. Powell

Recorded presentation

Session 4B

Hurricanes and Climate II: Data Issues

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric S. Blake, NOAA/NCEP/NHC

3:30 PM

4B.1

Wind speed time averaging conversions for tropical cyclone conditions

Bruce A. Harper, Systems Engineering Australia Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Australia; and J. Kepert and J. Ginger

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (113.2 kB)

3:45 PM

4B.2

A comparison of typhoon best-track data in the western North Pacific: irreconcilable differences

Mark A. Lander, University of Guam, Mangilao, Guam

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (145.4 kB)

4:00 PM

4B.3

Developing a unified "SuperSet" in quantifying ambiguities among tropical cyclone best track data for the western North Pacific

Michael R. Lowry, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) / Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. J. O'Brien and M. Griffin

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4B.4

Hurricane Satellite (HURSAT) data sets: Low-Earth orbit infrared and microwave data

Kenneth R. Knapp, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (564.4 kB)

4:30 PM

4B.5

The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis

Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4B.6

Rescuing data from a black hole: Consolidation of tropical cyclone data sets into an information repository for improved data access

Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

4B.7

A reanalysis of twelve U.S. landfalling major hurricanes

Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and M. Dickinson and D. Strahan

Recorded presentation

Session 4C

Amma III - NAMMA

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Andreas H. Fink, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology

3:30 PM

4C.1

NASA's 2006 tropical cyclogenesis experiment in the east Atlantic

Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

4C.2

The NASA Real Time Mission Monitor – a situational awareness tool for conducting tropical cyclone field experiments

H. Michael Goodman, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. J. Blakeslee, J. M. Hall, P. Parker, and Y. M. He

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

4C.3

Dual-Frequency Airborne Precipitation Radar observations in the tropics during 2006 and 2007

Simone Tanelli, JPL/California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. L. Durden and E. Im

4:15 PM

4C.4

An analysis of the interaction between the SAL and convective systems during the NAMMA 2006 field campaign and possible linkage to tropical cyclogenesis

Aaron Pratt, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4C.5

Impacts of Saharan Dust Acting as CCN on the Evolution of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone

Henian Zhang, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and G. M. McFarquhar

Recorded presentation

4:45 PM

4C.6

Multiscale numerical simulation of tropical cyclone Debby (2006) and validation with NAMMA data

Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser and J. Zawislak

5:00 PM

4C.7

Barotropic energy conversion as a predictor of development for NAMMA African easterly waves

Robert S. Ross, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

Session 4D

Air-Sea Interaction III

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Peter Black, NRL

3:45 PM

4D.2

Analysis of a resonant-like regime in the oceanic mixed layer induced by a hurricane

Guillaume Samson, LACy, Sainte Clotilde, France; and H. Giordani, G. Caniaux, D. Barbary, and F. Roux

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.4 MB)

4:00 PM

4D.3

Simulating the baroclinic ocean current response to a tropical cyclone

Eric W. Uhlhorn, AIR-Worldwide; and L. K. Shay

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

4D.4

Coupled wind-wave-current processes in hurricanes

Isaac Ginis, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and Y. Fan, T. Hara, and B. Thomas

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

4D.5

Investigating the impacts of wave state and sea spray on typhoon via a coupled atmosphere-wave system: the idealized case

Bin Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and C. Guan and L. Xie

Presentation PDF (563.9 kB)

4:45 PM

4D.6

Aircraft Observations of the Turbulence Structure in the Hurricane Boundary Layer

Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

4D.7

KORDI program for typhoon-ocean interaction in the shelf seas and Northwestern Pacific

Sok Kuh Kang, KORDI, Ansan, Korea, Republic of (South); and H. W. Kang, Y. H. Kim, J. K. So, J. H. Lee, H. J. Lie, S. W. Yeh, E. J. Kim, O. H. Seo, and I. Ginis

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

3:30 PM

4D.1

Impact of Sea Spray on Hurricane Simulations

Shouping Wang Wang, Naval Research Laboratory at Monterey, Monterey, CA; and Y. Jin

Recorded presentation

Ice Breaker Reception

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session

Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3)–Application of the Global Hawk For Hurricane Studies

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 5A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling IV: Ensemble Systems

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Julian T. Heming, Met Office

5A.1

Performance of TC track ensemble prediction system in NMC/Beijing

8:15 AM

5A.2

Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part I: Description and general performance

Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. G. McLay, J. S. Goerss, and J. Teixeira

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

5A.3

Impact of stochastic cumulus on the NOGAPS ET ensemble forecasting system. Part II: Tropical cyclone track forecast performance

James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (413.9 kB)

8:45 AM

5A.4

Ensemble Simulations of Hurricane Katrina (2005) from TCLAPS: Intensity and Track Sensitivity and Vortex Structure Evolution

Chi Mai Nguyen, Monash University, Melbourne, VICTORIA, Australia; and M. J. Reeder and N. E. Davidson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (254.2 kB)

9:00 AM

5A.5

Ensemble-based synoptic sensitivity during the tropical cyclone life cycle

Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

5A.6

High-resolution ensemble data assimilation applied to Hurricane Katrina (2005)

Ryan Torn, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Hakim

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

5A.7

Promising EnKF analyses and Forecasts of Hurricane Humberto (2007)

Yonghui Weng, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and F. Zhang, Z. Meng, J. Sippel, and C. H. Bishop

Session 5B

Hurricanes and Climate III: Long-Term Variability

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

8:00 AM

5B.1

Erroneous use of the historical data base to link global warming with increased tropical cyclone activity

Stanley B. Goldenberg, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

8:15 AM

5B.2

Understanding of tropical cyclone intensity change in a warming world

Liguang Wu, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

5B.3

An Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensification Index for the Last 2000 Years: A Significant ~510 Year Climate Cyclic Pulse Reconstructed

Jorge Sanchez-Sesma, Instituto Mexicano de Tecnologia del Agua, Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (106.5 kB)

8:45 AM

5B.4

Downscaling hurricane climatologies from global models and re-analyses

Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. Sundararajan and J. Williams

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (53.5 kB)

9:00 AM

5B.5

Global Warming, Climate Variability and Atlantic Hurricanes

Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and S. K. Lee and D. B. Enfield

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

5B.6

Large Contribution of Sea Surface Warming to Recent Increase in Atlantic Hurricane Activity

Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

5B.7

The role of salinity as the primary driver for the Atlantic Ocean's multi-decadal parameter variations

William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (286.1 kB)

Session 5C

Field Programs: RAINEX

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robert Rogers, Hurricane Research Division, AOML

8:00 AM

5C.1

Principal rainbands of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita as observed in RAINEX

Anthony C. Didlake Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze, Jr.

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

5C.2

Vortical structures accompanying secondary eyewall formation in Hurricane Rita (2005)

Robert A. Houze Jr., University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and B. F. Smull

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

5C.3

The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part I: The model and basic results

David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and Y. Moon

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

5C.4

The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to rainband heating. Part II: Comparisons to RAINEX observations and high resolution simulations

Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (755.6 kB)

9:00 AM

5C.5

Effect of environmental moisture on rainbands in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)

Derek Ortt, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

9:15 AM

5C.6

Convectively-induced PV and Vortex Rossby Waves in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (2005)

Falko Judt, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (444.4 kB)

9:30 AM

5C.7

New Challenges in High-Resolution Coupled Air-Sea Modeling of Hurricanes: What we have Learned from RAINEX and CBLAST

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

Session 5D

Air-Sea Interaction IV

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: S. Daniel Jacob, GEST, Univ. of Maryland and NASA/GSFC

5D.1

Air, sea and land interactions of the South American Monsoon

8:15 AM

5D.3

Wave-related changes in tropical surface turbulent heat fluxes

Mark A. Bourassa, COAPS/Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL

8:30 AM

5D.4

Tropical instability waves and ITCZ breakdown

Maria K. Flatau, NRL, Monterey, CA; and F. X. Giraldo

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (98.9 kB)

8:45 AM

5D.5

Simulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) using a HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM)

Yanyun Liu, RSMAS/CIMAS, University of Miami, Miami, Florida; and L. Xie and J. M. Morrison

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (247.6 kB)

9:00 AM

5D.6

Diurnal sea surface temperature variability and the transition phase of the MJO

Carol Anne Clayson, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

5D.7

A numerical study on the effects of wave-current interactions on the height and propagation of sea surface waves in Charleston Harbor during Hurricane Hugo 1989

Huiqing Liu, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie

Coffee Break

Location: Palms Foyer (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 6A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling V: Structure and Environment Interactions

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL

10:15 AM

6A.1

The effect of La Réunion island (Indian ocean) on tropical cyclone Dina (2002): a comparative numerical study

Samuel Jolivet, LATMOS, Vélizy, France; and D. Barbary, F. Chane ming, F. Roux, and S. Westrelin

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

6A.2

Spatial structure and evolution of low-level winds in modeled hurricanes at landfall

Sytske K. Kimball, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

10:45 AM

6A.3

Effect of Typhoon Songda on Remote Precipitation in Japan and its Adjacent

Yongqing Wang, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Z. Ding

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6A.4

Large Eddy Simulations of an Idealized Tropical Cyclone

Yongsheng Chen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno, C. Davis, W. Wang, J. Dudhia, and G. Holland

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6A.5

Moist waves and mesovortices in a model simulation of Katrina (2005)

Shuguang Wang, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and T. J. Dunkerton and F. Zhang

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

6A.6

The combined state-parameter estimation problem and its relevance to tropical cyclone prediction

William E. Lewis, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli and E. A. Smith

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

6A.7

Tropical cyclone formation and structure studies using a moist adjoint model

Kevin K. W. Cheung, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (306.0 kB)

Session 6B

Hurricanes and Climate IV: Seasonal Forecasting

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC

10:15 AM

6B.1

Seasonal prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity

Elinor Whitney Keith, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (143.1 kB)

10:30 AM

6B.2

Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane simulations

Tim LaRow, COAPS, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and Y. K. Lim, D. W. Shin, E. Chassignet, and S. Cocke

10:45 AM

6B.3

New operational forecasts of tropical storm activity using the Met Office dynamical seasonal prediction model

Richard J. Graham, Met Office, UK, Exeter, United Kingdom; and M. R. Huddleston

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (199.7 kB)

11:00 AM

6B.4

Revised prediction of seasonal Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity from 1 August

Philip J. Klotzbach, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (128.3 kB)

11:15 AM

6B.5

High-resolution WRF simulations of an Atlantic hurricane season

Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (255.9 kB)

11:30 AM

6B.6

Multi-model Statistical-Dynamical Climate Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Landfall

Samson K.S. Chiu, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Session 6C

Field Programs: RAINEX, TCSP and IFEX

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

10:15 AM

6C.1

Axisymmetric concentric eyewall evolution in Hurricane Rita (2005)

Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and W. C. Lee, R. A. Houze, B. Smull, and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

6C.2

A Convective Burst Event in Tropical Storm Ophelia (2005)

Wen-Chau Lee, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. M. Bell and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

6C.3

Boundary layer roll dynamic and thermodynamic structures as determined by dropwindsondes

Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and D. P. Stern

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6C.4

An observational analysis of the genesis tropical storm Gert (2005)

Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery and S. A. Braun

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6C.5

On the Genesis of Tropical Storm Eugene (2005) associated with the ITCZ Breakdowns

Chanh Q. Kieu, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and D. L. Zhang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.2 MB)

11:30 AM

6C.6

Conditions Influencing Hurricane Emily's (2005) Precipitation Patterns, Convection and Upper Tropospheric Outflow

Kevin R. Quinlan, University of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and D. Cecil and J. R. Mecikalski

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (762.8 kB)

11:45 AM

6C.7

Ensemble-based data assimilation for cloud-resolving hurricane prediction: experiments with radar and dropsonde observations from RAINEX

Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and Y. Weng, Z. Meng, Y. Chen, S. S. Chen, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

Session 6D

Intraseasonal Variability I

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Steven T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL

10:15 AM

6D.1

Synoptic feedback to intraseasonal variability through the modulation of the surface heat flux

Chunhua Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and T. Li

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

6D.2

Equatorial Superrotation in the IPESD Multi-scale MJO Model

Joseph A. Biello, Univ. of California, Davis, CA; and A. J. Majda and M. W. Moncrieff

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

6D.3

Topographic effect on the MJO in the maritime continent

H.-H. Hsu, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Wu

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

6D.4

Activation process toward MJO convectively active phase in the Indian Ocean observed during MISMO-IOP

Masaki Katsumata, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

6D.5

Madden-Julian Oscillations simulated with the Reduce Acceleration in the VErtical (RAVE) approach

Zhiming Kuang, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and C. Walker

11:30 AM

6D.6

MJO signals in latent heating

Chidong Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos, W. K. Tao, and S. E. Lang

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

6D.7

Satellite-Observed Subseasonal Rainfall Variations in Tropical East Atlantic-West Africa

Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and ESSIC, Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Location: Wyndham Orlando Resort

AMS Committee on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Luncheon

Location: Cedar (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 7A

Tropical Cyclone Modeling VI: High Resolution Simulations

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC

1:15 PM

7A.1

Typhoon simulation with the JMA/MRI 20 km mesh high-resolution global spectral model

Hiroyuki Murakami, AESTO/MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

1:30 PM

7A.2

A method of initializing tropical cyclones for high-resolution numerical models

Chi-Sann Liou, NRL, Monterey, CA; and K. Sashegyi

1:45 PM

7A.3

Impact of Cloud Microphysical Processes on the Intensity Forecast of Tropical Cyclones: High Resolution Numerical Simulations and Doppler Radar Data Assimilation

Xuanli Li, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu

2:00 PM

7A.4

High-Resolution Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Larry (2006): Sensitivity to Orography

Hamish A. Ramsay, NASA GISS/ Columbia University, New York, New York; and L. M. Leslie

2:15 PM

7A.5

Intermediate and high resolution simulations of the transition of a tropical wave critical layer to a tropical depression

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton

2:30 PM

7A.6

Polygonal eyewalls in a 2 km WRF simulation of Wilma (2005)

Chris E. Blanton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (453.8 kB)

2:45 PM

7A.7

Hurricane super-intensity through mixing

Olivier Pauluis, New York Univ., New York, NY; and S. T. Garner and A. A. Smith-Mrowiec

Recorded presentation

Session 7B

Hurricanes and Climate V: Modeling Studies

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Brian J. Soden, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

1:15 PM

7B.1

A modeling study of the extreme 2005 Atlantic hurricane season relative to recent years

Kurt Davidson Korte, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and J. H. Bowden, N. N. Davis, X. Zhang, M. Diaz, L. Xie, and F. H. Semazzi

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

7B.2

Model simulated changes in maximum TC intensity due to global warming

Kevin A. Hill, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann and A. Aiyyer

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (441.9 kB)

1:45 PM

7B.3

Simulated impact of projected 21st century warming on Atlantic hurricane activity

Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and J. J. Sirutis, S. T. Garner, G. A. Vecchi, and I. M. Held

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7B.4

Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part I: Simulation design and primary results

David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and E. D. Rappin

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

7B.5

Increased sensitivity of tropical cyclogenesis to shear in higher SST environments. Part II: Mechanisms and other applications

Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan and G. A. Vecchi

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

7B.6

The effects of cumulus parameterizations and radiation schemes on tropical cyclone frequency and structure

David Ross Ryglicki, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

7B.7

Hurricane Tracking in the Atlantic and Associated Insurance Losses

Sabine Kleppek, Climate and Environmental Physics, University Bern, Switzerland, Bern, Switzerland; and C. C. Raible, V. Muccione, T. S. Stocker, P. Heck, and D. N. Bresch

Recorded presentation

Session 7C

Tropical Cyclone Observations

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Sim D. Aberson, NOAA/AOML/HRD

1:15 PM

7C.1

Drifting buoy deployments into Hurricane Dean, 2007

Rick Lumpkin, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and P. P. Niiler and P. Black

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

7C.2

The dynamic behaviour of the GPS dropwindsonde in a simulated boundary layer

Amir Mohammad Yadghar, The Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada; and C. Miller

1:45 PM

7C.3

Inter-comparison of targeted observation guidances for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific

C.-C. Wu, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and J. H. Chen, M. S. Peng, S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds, R. Buizza, M. Yamaguchi, S. D. Aberson, T. Nakazawa, K. H. Chou, S. G. Chen, and P. H. Lin

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7C.4

Inner-core characteristics of Ophelia (2005) and Noel (2007) as revealed by Aerosonde data

Guy Cascella, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. W. Uhlhorn, and S. J. Majumdar

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

7C.5

NOAA and NASA collaborative efforts using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in Tropical Cyclones: Recent successes and a future path forward

Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Turlington

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

7C.6

Tropical Cyclone Structure (TCS08) Field Experiment in the Western North Pacific during 2008

Russell L. Elsberry, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. Ferek, S. W. Chang, P. A. Harr, and D. Eleuterio

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.9 MB)

2:45 PM

7C.7

An overview of the THORPEX-Pacific Asian Regional Campaign (T-PARC) during August-September 2008

David Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and P. Harr, T. Nakazawa, S. Jones, and M. Weissmann

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (126.3 kB)

Session 7D

Intraseasonal Variability II

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mitchell W. Moncrieff, NCAR

1:15 PM

7D.1

Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wavetrain and the Indian Monsoon

Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

Presentation PDF (62.6 kB)

1:30 PM

7D.2

Intraseasonal variability of Asian summer monsoon in coupled seasonal hindcasts

Prince K. Xavier, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and F. J. Doblas-Reyes

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

7D.3

Characteristic patterns associated with atmospheric circulation changes over the Northeastern Tropical Pacific in summer

Rosario Romero-Centeno, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico; and J. Zavala-Hidalgo and G. Raga

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

7D.4

A numerical case study on the initiation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation

Pallav K. Ray, MPO/RSMAS, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

7D.5

Relevance of the vertical internal mode decomposition approach for the study of the MJO

Daniel Nethery, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel and J. I. Yano

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

7D.6

Seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal variability and its link with the upper ocean structure

Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and H. Bellenger, B. Pohl, and P. Camberlin

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

7D.7

Sensitivity to vertical shear and moist stability in a probabilistic regional dynamical model

Stephen T. Garner, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Poster Session 1A

Poster Session Convection

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1A.1

The Role of three-dimensional radiative Transfer on convective Cloud Formation

Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and B. Mayer

P1A.2

Validation of west and east Pacific rainfall estimates from the TRMM PR using a radiative transfer model

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, T. Kubota, S. Kida, and K. Okamoto

P1A.3

Evaluation of Troposphere Cloud Ice Simulations in CWB Global Forecast System using A-Train Measurements

Feng-Ju Wang, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan, Taipei, Taiwan, Taiwan; and C. T. Fong, J. L. Li, H. M. Juang, C. P. Woods, D. Waliser, J. H. Jiang, G. Stephens, D. G. Vane, D. L. Wu, M. D. Cheng, and M. M. Lu

P1A.4

Convective momentum transport in 3D cloud resolving model simulations of TOGA COARE

Susana M. Mendes, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington and University of Evora, Seattle, WA; and C. S. Bretherton

P1A.5

Energetics of deep moist convection

Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

P1A.6

Diurnal cycle of deep convection in the super cluster embedded in the MJO

Tsuneaki Suzuki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan

Handout (1.2 MB)

P1A.7

A Multi-Sensor Satellite-Based Approach to Retrieving Convective Momentum Fluxes

Christopher P. Jewett, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and J. R. Mecikalski

P1A.8

Convectively Coupled Gravity Waves traveling in an Equatorial Precipitating Region

Juliana Dias, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and O. Pauluis

P1A.9

Predictability aspects of aqua-planet model runs with explicit convection

Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh

P1A.10

Extreme thunderstorms around the global tropics and subtropics

Daniel J. Cecil, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and M. Scott

P1A.11

A Bayesian framework for storm tracking using a hidden-state representation

Lucas Scharenbroich, University of California, Irvine, CA; and G. Magnusdottir, P. Smyth, H. Stern, and C. C. Wang

P1A.12

Cloud vertical structure over the Bay of Bengal and eastern tropical Pacific

Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

P1A.13

An intense MCS observed over Niamey, Niger on 11 August 2006

Matthew A. Janiga, University at Albany, Albany, NY; and C. Thorncroft and E. R. Williams

P1A.14

Using high-resolution numerical simulations to understand the role of East African mountains in the initiation of long-lived episodes of organized convection

A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. B. Trier, C. A. Davis, and R. E. Carbone

P1A.15

On the use of microwave Sounder data for high-temporal rainfall maps based on microwave radiometers

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and T. Yamamoto, T. Tsukiyama, S. Kida, T. Kubota, and K. Okamoto

P1A.16

The large-scale response of tropical atmosphere to latent heating estimated from the TRMM PR

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu and Y. Morikawa

P1A.17

Spatial and diurnal variability in the Saharan Boundary Layer during GERBILS (2007)

Christian M. Grams, ETH, Zurich, Switzerland; and S. C. Jones, D. J. Parker, J. Haywood, V. Heuveline, J. H. Marsham, and C. Schwierz

Handout (384.4 kB)

P1A.18

The benefits of increased resolution in simulating precipitation over Sub-Saharan Africa. A comparison of AMIP integrations of GEM at 1° and 2° model resolution

Anne Daloz, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montreal, QC, Canada; and C. G. Jones

Poster Session 1B

Poster Session Monsoons

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1B.1

Wind-evaporation feedback and the transition to axisymmetric, angular momentum conserving Hadley flow

William R. Boos, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT

P1B.2

Multiyears Hindcast Experiments of Summer Monsoon over Pakistan by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model (BCC_RegCM1.0)

Sajjad Saeed, Pakistan Meteorological Department, Islamabad, Pakistan

P1B.2

Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Positive and Negative Indian Ocean Dipole with and without ENSO

Chi-Cherng Hong, Department of Science Education, TMUE, Taipei, Taiwan; and M. M. Lu and M. Kanamitsu

P1B.4

Characteristics of synoptic eddy activity during the east Asia winter monsoon over the Pacific: A PNA, EAWM coherence in the inter-annual scale

P1B.3

Interannual variability of the North American Monsoon: Large-scale conditions and small-scale effects

Leslie M. Hartten, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/PSD, Boulder, CO; and M. Jones Jr.

P1B.4

Regional Differences in South American Monsoon Onset: Implications for Onset Predictability

Thomas M. Rickenbach, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC; and R. Nieto-Ferreira, D. Herdies, and S. W. Nesbitt

P1B.5

Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: II. The Asian-Australian monsoon system

Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider

Poster Session 1C

Poster Session Tropical Climatology

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1C.1

Summer Mean Fields Over Tropical Africa, Indian and Atlantic Oceans During El Nino and La Nina Years

Mostafa El -Rafy, CAIRO UNIVERSITY, Giza, Egypt

Handout (842.0 kB)

P1C.2

A Methodology for Identifying Subtropical Storms in the South Atlantic

Jenni L. Evans, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and A. J. Braun

P1C.3

Multidecadal variability in the Hadley circulation

Damianos Florin Mantsis, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

P1C.4

Frequency distribution of daily ITCZ patterns over the Western/Central Pacific

Baode Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and B. Chen, X. Lin, and J. Bacmeister

P1C.5

Five-year climatology of tropical dry air intrusions as viewed by AIRS/Aqua

Sean P. F. Casey, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and A. E. Dessler and C. Schumacher

Handout (171.3 kB)

P1C.6

The energy budget of a tropical intraseasonal oscillation in a climate model

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR

P1C.7

Diurnal changes in the atmospheric boundary layer height in tropical coastal regions

Aaron Paget, U.S. Coast Guard Academy, New London, CT; and K. Campbell and P. Ruscher

P1C.8

Impacts of mid-latitude SST variability on the Atlantic Meridional Mode

Dimitry Smirnov, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and D. J. Vimont

P1C.9

Equatorial Kelvin wave propagation past Sumatra: June 2006 case analysis and forecast sensitivity experiments with COAMPS^®

James A. Ridout, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. K. Flatau

Handout (1.0 MB)

P1C.10

Mapping the spatial extent of the Central American mid-summer drought with MODIS and GOES imagery

Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and R. Orozco

Poster Session 1D

Poster Session Air-Sea Interaction

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1D.1

Coastal ocean surface current response to hurricane Jeanne detected by WERA

Lynn K. Shay, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. Martinez-Pedraja, M. D. Powell, B. K. Haus, and J. K. Brewster

P1D.2

The effects of Hurricane Dean on seafloor pressure, atmospheric pressure and coastal water levels

Natalia A. Donoho, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and C. E. Zervas and R. Bouchard

P1D.3

Multi-sensor satellite and HYCOM analysis of the upper ocean response to Hurricane Katrina in the Gulf of Mexico

Michelle M. Gierach, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and B. Subrahmanyam

P1D.4

Air-sea enthalpy and momentum exchange at major hurricane wind speeds

Michael M. Bell, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and K. A. Emanuel

P1D.5

Some Aspects of Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions and Associated with Land-falling Hurricane Katrina Over the Gulf of Mexico

R. Suseela Reddy Jr., Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and C. Luckett and D. Liu

P1D.6

Impacts of the Ocean Surface Velocity on Wind Stress Coefficient and Wind Stress over Global Ocean during 1958-2001

Zengan Deng, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, T. Yu, and K. Wu

Handout (335.3 kB)

P1D.7

Interpreting dropsonde measurements of turbulence in the tropical cyclone boundary layer

Jeffrey David Kepert, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

Handout (143.6 kB)

Poster Session 1E

Poster Session Field Programs

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1E.1

The NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis Mission: balloon-borne radiosonde results from Cape Verde

P1E.2

Preliminary analysis of Mesoscale Convective Systems transitioning off the West African Coast during NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA)

Bradley W. Klotz, NOAA/AOML/HRD - CIMAS, Miami, FL; and P. A. Kucera

Handout (2.4 MB)

P1E.3

Ice microphysics observations in tropical cyclones from CAMEX-4 and NAMMA: Implications for hurricane models

Amanda L. Wisdom, Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar

P1E.4

Aircraft measurements of temperature anomalies associated with tropical waves during NAMMA

Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia

P1E.5

Characteristics of Intense Deep Tropical Convection During TCSP and other NASA Field Campaigns

Gerald M. Heymsfield, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and L. Tian and L. Li

P1E.6

Vorticity and entropy budgets of tropical cyclones during IFEX 2005

Jorge Cisneros, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond

P1E.7

Storm Structure and Rainfall Evolution in Hurricane Dennis (2005)

Shuyi S. Chen, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and X. Zheng and R. Rogers

Poster Session 1F

Poster Session Numerical Modeling

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1F.1

Development of a new convective parameterization

Ian Folkins, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

P1F.2

Sensitivity of numerically simulated tropical cyclone structure and intensity to changes in horizontal resolution

Megan S. Gentry, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and G. M. Lackmann

Handout (349.1 kB)

P1F.3

Application of ATOVS Radiance with ARW WRF/GSI Data Assimilation System in the Prediction of Hurricane Katrina

Jianjun Xu, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and S. Rugg

P1F.4

Upgrading the simulation of tropical convective systems

Stephen E. Lang, SSAI/NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. Tao, W. S. Olson, X. Zeng, T. Matsui, and S. A. Braun

P1F.5

Typhoon-trough interaction from the perspective of the adjoint-derived sensitivity steering vector (ADSSV)

Shin-Gan Chen, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, J. H. Chen, K. H. Chou, and P. H. Lin

P1F.6

Development of the typhoon initialization — combination of the bogused vortex and the dropwindsonde data in DOTSTAR

Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

P1F.7

Medium-Range tropical cyclone track prediction as a data assimilation problem

P1F.8

The relationship between flight level and 10-m winds in numerically simulated landfalling hurricanes

Jackie Rauch, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball

Handout (273.5 kB)

P1F.9

An EdGCM modeling study of the effects of atmospheric trace gas concentration change on Atlantic tropical cyclone development parameters

George L. Limpert, Univ. of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and B. L. Perrin and A. R. Lupo

Handout (197.5 kB)

P1F.10

A simple multicloud parametrization for convectively coupled waves with an active boundary layer

Michael L. Waite, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and B. Khouider

P1F.11

Numerical study on the vertical tilt of a typhoon vortex

Mitsuru Ueno, MRI, Tsukuba, Japan

P1F.12

Analysis and Simulation of a Dry Hurricane

Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis

P1F.13

Errors induced by cloud amount in cumulus parameterization

Akihiko Murata, Meteorological Research Institute / Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

P1F.14

Improved TC forecasting through Initalization of MM5 with GFDL/GFS Merger

Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL

Handout (2.6 MB)

P1F.15

Evaluating the intensification of tropical cyclones with the GFS model

Julio C. Marin, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Mexico, DF, Mexico; and D. J. Raymond and G. B. Raga

Handout (182.4 kB)

P1F.17

Initial and Boundary Condition Impacts on Hurricane Katrina Track and Intensity Forecasts

Hao Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Chen, R. M. Hodur, Y. Jin, T. Campbell, and S. Gabersek

P1F.18

The sensitivity of a Katrina simulation to the distribution of vertical sigma levels

F. Carroll Dougherty, Univ. of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. E. Aplin and S. K. Kimball

P1F.19

An evaluation of the boundary conditions for nested domains for idealized hurricane simulations

Sarah E. Aplin, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and F. C. Dougherty and S. K. Kimball

Handout (14.1 kB)

P1F.20

On numerical simulation of warm season precipitation diurnal cycle

Li Zhou, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang and K. Souma

P1F.21

A diagnostic analysis of high-resolution numerical simulations of the genesis of tropical storm Gert (2005)

Kevin J. Mallen, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery, S. A. Braun, and W. Schubert

P1F.22

Numerical simulation of the interaction of a mesoscale convective system with the African Easterly Jet

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and R. L. Elsberry

P1F.23

Calculating the moist static energy budget near the ITCZ in idealized WRF simulations

Scott W. Powell, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan

P1F.24

ASSIMILATION OF RADAR DATA FOR THE PREDICTION OF A SMALL HURRICANE, OGNI, NEAR INDIA COAST USING THE ARPS ASSIMILATION SYSTEM

Kuldeep Srivastava, India Meteorological Department, New Delhi, India; and J. Gao, K. A. Brewster, M. Xue, and S. K. R. Bhowmik

Handout (2.0 MB)

P1F.24

A Numerical Study on the Wind-Terrain Interaction in South and Southeast Asian monsoon

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and C. P. Chang and B. Wang

P1F.25

The Double-ICTZ Problem in IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs: Ocean-Atmosphere Feedback Analysis

Jia-Lin Lin, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

P1F.27

The impacts of resolution and boundary layer parameterization on the structure of the wind field in high resolution simulations of Hurricane Isabel (2003)

David S. Nolan, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and J. A. Zhang, D. P. Stern, and P. J. Kozich

Poster Session 1G

Poster Session Extratropical Transition

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1G.1

Data denial experiments for extratropical transition

Doris Anwender, Karlsruher Institut fuer Technologie, Karlsruhe, Germany; and C. Cardinali and S. Jones

Handout (270.6 kB)

P1G.2

Satellite aspects of the extratropical transition of Hurricanes Maria and Helene

John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL

P1G.3

Interactions between tropical cyclones and the baroclinic flow

Juan Fang, Nanjing University, China, Nanjing, China; and F. Zhang

P1G.4

Recurving tropical cyclones and downstream impacts as revealed by singular vectors

Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and J. H. Chen

P1G.5

Analysis of the inner-core characteristics of Noel (2007) during its extratropical transition

Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and J. J. Cione, E. Uhlhorn, G. Cascella, S. D. Aberson, R. Atlas, J. L. Beven II, D. P. Brown, J. P. Dunion, C. Fogarty, R. Hart, D. C. Herndon, J. Knaff, C. W. Landsea, F. D. Marks Jr., and C. S. Velden

Poster Session 1H

Poster Session Forecasting Methods and Tools

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P1H.1

Extreme value analysis of tropical cyclone trapped-fetch waves

P1H.2

New Products for Real-Time Tropical Storm Tracking

Mark A. Saunders, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and A. S. R. Lea

P1H.3

Forecast Diagnostics to Improve Tropical Wave Forecasting at WFO San Juan

Andrew S. Levine, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; and G. J. Berry

Handout (638.5 kB)

P1H.4

An Online Textbook for Tropical Meteorology

Wendy Schreiber-Abshire, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO; and A. Laing and J. L. Evans

P1H.5

Using the JPL Tropical Cyclone Information System for Research and Applications

Svetla M. Hristova-Veleva, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. Ao, Y. Chao, V. Dang, R. Fovell, M. Garay, Z. Haddad, B. Knosp, B. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li,, K. J. Park, W. Poulsen, H. Su, S. Tanelli, D. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. Willis, and D. L. Wu

Session 8

Special Session on the Future of Satellite Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Unviersity of Wisconsin

7:00 PM

8.1

Satellite-Based TC Surveillance: Status and Future Needs

Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation

7:30 PM

8.2

An overview of the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)

Robbie E. Hood, NOAA Unmanned Aircraft Systems Program, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, T. L. Miller, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn

Recorded presentation

7:45 PM

8.3

Initial user impact studies of the next generation ocean surface vector wind scatterometer mission (XOVWM)

Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Jelenak, R. D. Knabb, J. M. Sienkiewicz, M. J. Brennan, and E. Rodriguez

Recorded presentation

8:00 PM

8.4

GeoSTAR/PATH – A future hurricane observing system

Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Gaier, A. Tanner, P. Kangaslahti, and S. Brown

Recorded presentation

8:15 PM

8.5

Advancements in NEXRAD in Space (NIS)

Eric A. Smith, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Z. S. Haddad, S. Tanelli, and G. J. Tripoli

8:30 PM

Panel Discussion

Session 9A

Tropical Cyclogenesis I: Role of African Easterly Waves

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jiann-Gwo Jiing, NHC

8:00 AM

9A.1

Evolution of long-lived African Easterly Waves

Anantha R. Aiyyer, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

9A.2

Nonlinear structure and evolution of African easterly waves

Nathan R. Hardin, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-8208, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (966.1 kB)

8:30 AM

9A.3

Tropical cyclogenesis in a tropical wave critical layer: Easterly waves

Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery and Z. Wang

8:45 AM

9A.4

Tropical cyclone genesis from the merger of mesoscale vortices embedded in African easterly wave: A case study using a nested regional climate model

Asuka Suzuki-Parker, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and G. J. Holland and P. J. Webster

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

9A.5

High-resolution simulation of the genesis of Hurricane Danielle (2004)

Xuejin Zhang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie, M. L. Diaz, and F. H. M. Semazzi

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

9A.6

On The Formation of Hurricane Katrina (2005)

Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. S. Peng and H. Jin

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

9A.7

Can rapidly developing African easterly waves be distinguished by their satellite signatures over West Africa?

Michael W. Douglas, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and J. F. Mejia and K. Knapp

Session 9B

Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns I

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Anantha Aiyyer, North Carolina State University

8:00 AM

9B.1

Behavior of sub-monthly wave patterns associated with recurving tropical cyclones during extreme intraseasonal phases in the western North Pacific

Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan; and H. H. Hsu

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

9B.2

Tropical-midlatitude Interactions during the “Perfect Storms” of 1991

Jason M. Cordeira, Univ. of Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

9B.3

Predictability associated with interactions between recurving West Pacific tropical cyclones and the extratropical large-scale flow

Heather M. Archambault, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

9B.4

Downstream development during the rapid intensification of hurricanes Opal and Katrina: the distant trough-interaction problem

Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and C. M. Nguyen and M. J. Reeder

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (918.9 kB)

9:00 AM

9B.5

Anomalies in Meterological Fields Over Northern Asia and It's Impact on Hurricane Gonu

Mostafa El -Rafy, Cairo University - Faculty of Science, GIZA, Cairo, Egypt; and D. Y. Y. Hafez Sr.

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

9:15 AM

9B.6

The influence of TUTT cells on TC motion

Jason E. Patla, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Stevens and G. Barnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (411.8 kB)

9:30 AM

9B.7

The nonstationary correlations between indices of West African precipitation and Atlantic hurricane activity

Dr. Jon M Schrage, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink

Recorded presentation

Session 9C

Extratropical Transition I: Physical Processes

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC

8:00 AM

9C.1

Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998)

Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (505.9 kB)

8:15 AM

9C.2

The structure of singular vectors associated with extratropical transition of tropical cyclones

Simon T. Lang, Karlsruher Institut für Technologie, Karlsruhe, BW, Germany; and S. Jones, M. Leutbecher, and D. Anwender

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (503.1 kB)

8:30 AM

9C.3

Sensitivity experiments for ensemble forecasts of extratropical transition

Doris Anwender, Universität Karlsruhe / Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Karlsruhe, Germany

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (332.8 kB)

8:45 AM

9C.4

Interaction of tropical cyclones with midlatitude baroclinic waves in idealised scenarios of extra-tropical transition

Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and S. Jones

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

9C.5

Downstream development associated with the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific

Patrick Harr, NPS, Monterey, CA; and J. Dea

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (805.5 kB)

9:15 AM

9C.6

The relative roles of diabatic and dynamic processes in downstream development following the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific

Elizabeth Sanabia, NPS, Monterey, CA; and P. Harr

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (388.1 kB)

9:30 AM

9C.7

Global Impacts of the extratropical transition of Hurricane Noel (2007)

Eyad Atallah, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. R. Gyakum and R. McTaggart-Cowan

Recorded presentation

Session 9D

Convection I

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Edward J. Zipser, University of Utah

8:00 AM

9D.1

Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) – Addressing the Challenge of Multi-Scale, Organized Convection

Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and M. W. Moncrieff

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

9D.2

A modified precipitation efficiency and its application on warm rain processes

Chung-Hsiung Sui, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and X. Li and M. J. Yang

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

9D.3

The influence of vertical wind shear on deep convection in the tropics

Ulrike Wissmeier, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. A. Goler

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (199.4 kB)

8:45 AM

9D.4

Spectral retrieval of latent heating profiles from TRMM PR Data: Comparisons of lookup tables from two- and three-dimensional simulations

Shoichi Shige, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Kyoto, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, S. Kida, W. K. Tao, and X. Zeng

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (615.0 kB)

9:00 AM

9D.5

Polarimetric radar analysis of convection in northwestern Mexico

Timothy J. Lang, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. Rowe, S. A. Rutledge, and R. Cifelli

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

9D.6

Predecessor rain events in tropical cyclones

Matthew R. Cote, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and L. F. Bosart, D. Keyser, and M. L. Jurewicz Sr.

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

9D.7

The QBO's influence on lightning production in the Tropics

Celina A. Hernandez, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and C. Schumacher

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (120.9 kB)

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 10A

Tropical Cyclogenesis II: Physical Processes

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Mark Lander, University of Guam

10:15 AM

10A.1

Tropical cyclone formation: A synopsis of the internal dynamics

Kevin J. Tory, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (294.0 kB)

10:30 AM

10A.2

Vortical hot towers, their aggregate effects and their resolution dependence in the formation of Hurricane Diana (1984)

J. Marc Hidalgo, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

10A.3

Mesoscale features of tropical cyclone formations associated with the trade wind surges in the Western North Pacific

Lung-Yao Chang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.9 MB)

11:00 AM

10A.4

Tropical Cyclone Formations in the South China Sea

Cheng-Shang Lee, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and Y. L. Lin and C. M. Huang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

11:15 AM

10A.5

Tropical Cyclone Formations in 30-day Simulation Using Cloud-System-Resolving Global Non-hydrostatic Model (NICAM)

Wataru Yanase, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Satoh, S. I. Iga, and H. Tomita

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

10A.6

A shear reduction mechanism for tropical cyclogenesis

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, MSC, Montreal, QC, Canada; and L. F. Bosart

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

10A.7

The role of upshear convection in expediting the tropical transition of Atlantic Hurricane Karen (2001)

Andrew L. Hulme, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and J. E. Martin

Recorded presentation

Session 10B

Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns II

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ.

10:15 AM

10B.1

Link between tropical cyclone activity and Madden-Julian Oscillation phase in the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins

Bradford S. Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and L. M. Leslie

10:30 AM

10B.2

Intraseasonal variability of the west African monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ

Eric D. Maloney, Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR; and J. Shaman

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

10B.3

Effects of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the cyclogeneses of Hurricane Fausto (2002) and Hurricane Emily (2005)

Stephanie E. Zick, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and W. M. Frank

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

11:00 AM

10B.4

A composite study of African Easterly Waves and tropical cyclogenesis: Do African Easterly Waves matter?

Susanna Hopsch, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (162.9 kB)

11:15 AM

10B.5

Effects of equatorially-trapped tropical waves on tropical cyclogenesis: High resolution simulations in idealized conditions

Jeffrey S. Gall, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and W. M. Frank

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (993.9 kB)

11:30 AM

10B.6

A case study of an outbreak of twin tropical cyclones

Carl J. Schreck III, North Carolina State University, Asheville, NC

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

10B.7

Probabilistic forecasting of tropical cyclones utilizing wave and climate modes

Paul E. Roundy, SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

Session 10C

Extratropical Transition II: Forecast Challenges

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robert E. Hart, Florida State Univ.

10:15 AM

10C.1

Determination of a Consistent Time for Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones

David E. Kofron, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie and J. S. Tyo

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (224.7 kB)

10:30 AM

10C.2

Verification of National Hurricane Center forecasts of extratropical transition

John L. Beven II, NOAA/AOML/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (114.1 kB)

10:45 AM

10C.3

A curve clustering algorithm to increase skill in extratropical transition forecasts

Adam Moyer, Penn State University, University Park, PA

11:00 AM

10C.4

Examining extratropical transition of Ernesto wind fields and developing storm surge

John Billet, NOAA/NWS, Wakefield, VA VA; and H. Wang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.7 MB)

11:15 AM

10C.5

Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Data and Models

Doug Mercer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer, B. Thomas, and A. W. MacAfee

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

10C.6

Damaging Waves in Nova Scotia with Post-tropical Storm Noel – Messages and Impacts

Peter Bowyer, Environment Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and D. Mercer, C. Fogarty, and G. Parkes

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

10C.7

Operational forecasting process of Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclone

E.-J. Cha, KMA, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and S. H. You and Y. J. Choi

Recorded presentation

Session 10D

Convection II

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University

10:15 AM

10D.1

Hot towers formation - A Simple Integral Model of Plume Rise

Christopher Chi Ming Chu, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (401.4 kB)

10:30 AM

10D.2

Methods for introducing vortical hot tower heating in idealized models

Stephen R. Guimond, Florida State University/COAPS, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (304.7 kB)

10:45 AM

10D.3

Cloud vertical structure and radiative heating profile during TOGA COARE

Taotao Qian, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH; and R. D. Cess and J. L. Lin

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

10D.4

Observing and explaining variations in deep convective cloud top height

Jung-Hyo Chae, Yale University, New Haven, CT; and S. C. Sherwood and F. J. Robinson

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

10D.5

Bimodal peak in mid-level tropical layer clouds observed by CloudSat

Emily M. Riley, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and B. E. Mapes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (895.0 kB)

11:30 AM

10D.6

Comparisons of CloudSat cloud features and TRMM precipitation features

Chuntao Liu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

10D.7

Applications of remotely-sensed latent heating distributions from a PR-trained, satellite microwave radiometer algorithm

William S. Olson, JCET/Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and M. Grecu, C. L. Shie, T. S. L'Ecuyer, D. E. Waliser, X. Jiang, J. L. Li, B. Tian, A. M. Tompkins, and W. K. Tao

Lunch Break

Location: Wyndham Orlando Resort

Session 11A

Tropical Cyclogenesis III: Numerical Models

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Lixion A. Avila, NWS/NHC

1:15 PM

11A.1

The Impacts of Moist Convection on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones

Jason Sippel, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and F. Zhang

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

11A.2

11A.2 Initial condition sensitivity for tropical cyclogenesis and intensification using a moist adjoint

James D. Doyle, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. M. Amerault and C. A. Reynolds

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

11A.3

Tropical cyclogenesis: A modeling comparison between developing and non-developing cloud clusters

Andrew B. Penny, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie

Presentation PDF (992.1 kB)

2:00 PM

11A.4

Evaluation of NCEP Global Ensemble in Predicting Tropical Cyclogenesis Over the East Atlantic: Case studies during August-September 2006

Andrew Snyder, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu, Y. Zhu, and W. J. Steenburgh

Recorded presentation

11A.5

Modeling studies of tropical cyclogenesis of TC Debby and Helene during AMMA

2:30 PM

11A.6

Validation of MM5 and WRF Forecasts of the Development of Hurricane Helene

Michael Folmer, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO; and R. W. Pasken and B. E. Anderson

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

11A.7

Performance of the GFS in predicting tropical cyclone genesis during 2007

Richard J. Pasch, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; and E. S. Blake, J. G. Jiing, M. M. Mainelli, and D. P. Roberts

Recorded presentation

Session 11B

Modulation of Tropical Cyclones by Large-Scale Patterns III

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Noel E. Davidson, CAWCR

1:15 PM

11B.1

United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle

James B. Elsner, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. H. Jagger

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

11B.2

Effect of remote sea surface temperature change in tropical cyclone potential intensity

Gabriel A. Vecchi, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; and B. J. Soden

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

11B.3

The relative roles of the ocean, atmosphere, and coupled ocean/atmosphere modes in modulating tropical cyclones

James P. Kossin, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and D. J. Vimont

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

11B.4

Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity in the South China Sea

Andy Zung-Ching Goh, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (862.1 kB)

2:15 PM

11B.5

Transient dynamics and tropical cyclone genesis in a nested regional climate model

James M. Done, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. J. Holland and A. Suzuki

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

11B.6

Environmental influences on the spinup of tropical cyclones

David J. Raymond, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and J. Cisneros, S. Sessions, J. C. Marin, G. Raga, and Z. Fuchs

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

11B.7

Mid-level ventilation's effects on tropical cyclone thermodynamic structure and intensity

Brian H. Tang, MIT, Cambridge, MA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (248.8 kB)

Session 11C

Tropical Cyclones at Landfall

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: David Sharp, NOAA/NWS

1:15 PM

11C.1

Probability distributions of gust factors in land-falling hurricanes

Francis J. Merceret, NASA, Kennedy Space Center, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (273.2 kB)

1:30 PM

11C.2

Simulating Hurricane Pre-Landfall and Post-Landfall Intensity Changes

Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell

Presentation PDF (282.7 kB)

1:45 PM

11C.3

The impact of Louisiana's levees and wetlands on Katrina's storm surge

Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and N. Tran, Y. Lau, and Y. Li

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

11C.4

Development of a new storm surge index for prediction of storm surge associated with landfalling tropical cyclones

Mark R. Jordan II, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. Luneva and C. A. Clayson

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

11C.5

Analysis of tropical storm-tornadoes and their environments

Lori A. Schultz, University of Alabama at Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil and C. C. Crowe

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (186.8 kB)

2:30 PM

11C.6

Hurricanes that do and do not spawn tornado outbreaks: Offshore traits and their evolution at landfall

Dale E. Unruh Jr., Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.5 MB)

2:45 PM

11C.7

Treating hurricanes as Mesoscale Convective Systems - A paradigm shift for WFO landfall operations

Scott M. Spratt, NOAA/NWSFO, Melbourne, FL; and B. C. Hagemeyer and D. W. Sharp

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (974.2 kB)

Session 11D

Convection III

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University

1:15 PM

11D.1

WRF Model Simulations of tropical Cloud Systems observed during TWP-ICE

Kathrin Wapler, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia, Melbourne, Australia; and T. Lane, P. May, C. Jakob, S. Siems, and M. Manton

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (716.4 kB)

1:30 PM

11D.2

A parameterization of convective organization

Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Neale

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

11D.3

The Dissipation Efficiency of Moist Convection and Tropical Cyclones

David M. Romps, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

11D.4

A simple model of climatological rainfall over the Tropical oceans

Larissa E. Back, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. S. Bretherton

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

11D.5

Semidiurnal variation in convection and atmospheric tides in an aquaplanet global cloud-resolving model (aquaplanet-NICAM)

Kazuaki Yasunaga, Institute of Observational Research for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Kanagawa, Japan; and T. Nasuno, H. Miura, Y. N. Takayabu, and M. Yoshizaki

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

11D.6

Performance of MOS statistical weather forecast guidance over the tropical western Pacific warm pool

James C. Su, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

Presentation PDF (420.0 kB)

2:45 PM

11D.7

Moisture vertical structure and tropical deep convection

Christopher E. Holloway, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 12A

Tropical Cyclogenesis IV: Prediction

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Patrick A. Harr, NPS

3:30 PM

12A.1

The Experimental Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook: 2007 Results and Changes for 2008

Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC, Miami, FL; and D. P. Brown, J. L. Franklin, C. Lauer, C. Juckins, and C. Landsea

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (218.5 kB)

3:45 PM

12A.2

Verification of the National Hurricane Center's Experimental Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts

Daniel P. Brown, NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC, MIami, FL; and J. L. Franklin and J. Rhome

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (389.2 kB)

4:00 PM

12A.3

An investigation of tropical cyclogenesis using QuikSCAT vector winds

Elizabeth M. Minter, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida; and P. D. Reasor and M. A. Bourassa

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

12A.5

Can detailed satellite analysis distinguish between developing and strong non-developing tropical disturbances?

Brandon W. Kerns, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and E. J. Zipser, C. Liu, and K. M. Greene

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (687.9 kB)

4:30 PM

12A.6

Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part I: The Atlantic

Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li

4:45 PM

12A.7

Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formations. Part II: western North Pacific

Bing Fu, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. S. Peng and T. Li

Session 12B

Evaluating Hurricane Risk

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michael Drayton, Risk Management Solution

3:30 PM

12B.1

Interannual Predictions of Landfalling Atlantic Hurricanes

Katie Coughlin, RMS, London, United Kingdom; and T. Laepple, E. Bellone, S. Jewson, B. Ward, and S. Khare

3:45 PM

12B.2

Improvements to stochastic simulation of tropical cyclone tracks

Jonas Rumpf, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany; and H. Weindl and V. Schmidt

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

4:00 PM

12B.3

Hurricane Risk Evaluation Using a Stochastically Simulated Event Set of Tropical Cyclone Tracks

Helga Weindl, Munich Reinsurance Company, 80796, Munich, Germany; and J. Rumpf, V. Schmidt, and A. Smolka

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

12B.4

A comparison of methods for estimating extreme hurricane winds

Thomas H. Jagger, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and J. B. Elsner

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

12B.5

Return period cyclonic wind hazard in the Australian region

Craig Arthur, Geoscience Australia, Canberra, ACT, Australia; and A. Schofield, R. Cechet, and L. A. Sanabria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (316.9 kB)

4:45 PM

12B.6

Rainfall Forecasts for Tropical Cyclones Worldwide

Adam S. R. Lea, University College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom; and M. A. Saunders and J. T. Heming

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

12B.7

Roads or radar: Investing in infrastructure or improved forecasting in the face of tropical cyclone risk

Seong Dae Kim, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. E. Bickel

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (374.7 kB)

Session 12C

Tropical Cyclone Structure I: Rainbands and Precipitation

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Frank Marks, NOAA/AOML/HRD

3:30 PM

12C.1

Mini-supercells observed in an offshore outer rainband of Hurricane Ivan (2004)

Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. C. Link

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.3 MB)

3:45 PM

12C.2

The Response of Tropical Cyclone Precipitation to Environmental Forcing

Matthew T. Wingo, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and D. J. Cecil

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

12C.3

Convective bursts during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dennis (2005): Precipitation morphology and vortex evolution

Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen, A. J. Heymsfield, and G. M. Heymsfield

Recorded presentation

4:15 PM

12C.4

How Do Outer Spiral Rainbands Affect Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity?

Yuqing Wang, International Pacific Research Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI

Recorded presentation

4:30 PM

12C.5

The microphysical processes of Typhoon Nari (2001) at landfall

Ming-Jen Yang, National Central University, Chung-Li, Taiwan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.5 MB)

4:45 PM

12C.6

A study on the landfall typhoon with compact structure in Taiwan

Delia Yen-Chu Chen, Taiwan Typhoon and Flood Research Institute, National Applied Research Laboratories, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. S. Lee

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.8 MB)

5:00 PM

12C.7

Rainfall Mechanisms of a landfalling Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone: Bilis (2006)

Zhiyong Meng, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. Gao and F. Zhang

Recorded presentation

Session 12D

Convection IV

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS

3:30 PM

12D.1

Cycles of deep convection over central and southern Africa

A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone and V. Levizzani

Recorded presentation

3:45 PM

12D.2

On the 3-4 day periodic convection over East Africa

Ademe Mekonnen, North Carolina A & T State University, New York, NC; and C. Thorncroft and G. Kiladis

Recorded presentation

4:00 PM

12D.3

Stereo photogrammetric analysis of orographic convection during the North American Monsoon

Joseph A. Zehnder, Creighton University, Omaha, NE; and J. Hu and A. Razdan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (569.5 kB)

12D.4

An observational study of variation in convective features in Palau: transition from diurnal to 2-day periods

4:30 PM

12D.5

Relationships between Gulf of California moisture surges and mesoscale convection derived from multi-year GOES imagery archives and North American Regional Reanalysis data

John F. Mejia, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. W. Douglas

4:45 PM

12D.6

Orographic precipitation in the tropics: Experiments in Dominica

Ronald Smith, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT; and D. Kirshbaum and E. Regina

Recorded presentation

5:00 PM

12D.7

Analysis of the diurnal cycle of convection during the genesis stage of tropical cyclones in preparation for TCS-08 in the Western Pacific region

Louis L. Lussier III, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery and P. Harr

Recorded presentation

Session

Conference Cookout

Location: West Poolside Pavillion (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Hosts: (Joint between the Events; and the 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology )

Session 13A

Conveying Uncertainties in Tropical Cyclone Forecasts

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC

8:00 AM

13A.1

National Hurricane Center forecast verification

James L. Franklin, NOAA/NWS/NHC, MIami, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (450.8 kB)

8:15 AM

13A.2

An analysis of along- and cross-track forecast errors and error biases for TCs in the Atlantic Basin

Chris Fogarty, Canadian Hurricane Center, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and P. Bowyer

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (598.9 kB)

8:30 AM

13A.3

Tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities and their relationships with coastal watches and warnings issued by the National Hurricane Center

Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, Miami, FL; and R. D. Knabb, M. DeMaria, and J. Knaff

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (51.7 kB)

8:45 AM

13A.4

Including expressions of uncertainty within local forecast products during tropical cyclone wind situations

Pablo Santos, NOAA/NWS, Miami, FL; and D. W. Sharp, M. R. Volkmer, and G. Rader

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

13A.5

An examination of the logic within WFO software applications used to generate tropical cyclone impact graphics

David W. Sharp, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL; and M. R. Volkmer, P. Santos, and T. J. LeFebvre

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (309.6 kB)

9:15 AM

13A.6

An interactive website designed to enhance public understanding of storm surge threats

Robert Bright, NOAA/NWS, North Charleston, SC; and F. Alsheimer, B. L. Lindner, G. Miller, D. Timmons, and J. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (214.6 kB)

9:30 AM

13A.7

Perceptions of hurricane risk and the response to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast

Rebecca E. Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Zhang and J. Sippel

Recorded presentation

Session 13B

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones I: TC Analysis Applications

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center

8:00 AM

13B.1

NRL tropical cyclone web page: A decade of evolution

F. Joseph Turk, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Hawkins, T. F. Lee, K. Richardson, C. Mitrescu, C. R. Sampson, J. E. Kent, R. H. Wade, and S. D. Miller

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

13B.2

Using remotely-sensed observations to describe tropical cyclone formation and evolution

Miguel Pineros, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ

Presentation PDF (489.8 kB)

8:30 AM

13B.3

Satellite classification operations at the Tropical Prediction Center during the 2007 Hurricane Season with Comparison to Recent Trends

Robbie Berg, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL; and H. D. Cobb III

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

13B.4

Comparison of airborne SFMR, Dvorak satellite and best track maximum surface wind estimates

Peter G. Black, SAIC/NRL, Monterey, CA; and S. Mullins, C. S. Velden, M. D. Powell, E. W. Uhlhorn, T. Olander, and A. Burton

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

13B.5

Evaluation of the First Deployment of Operational SFMR Instruments on the Hurricane Hunter Fleet

Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and M. Gooberlet, L. C. J. Talbot, E. W. Uhlhorn, and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

13B.6

Examination of the influence of the Saharan Air Layer on hurricanes using data from TRMM, MODIS, and AIRS

Scott A. Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. L. Shie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

9:30 AM

13B.6

Structure and evolution of the unnamed U.S. landfalling tropical cyclone of 2006

Zachary Gruskin, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL

Recorded presentation

Session 13C

Tropical Cyclone Structure II: Two-Dimensional Wind Field

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Eric Uhlhorn, NOAA/AOML

8:00 AM

13C.1

The Distribution of Surface Winds In Pacific Typhoons

Ryan Ellis, NOAA/NWSFO, Raleigh, NC; and S. Businger

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (918.8 kB)

8:15 AM

13C.2

Environmental Influence on Tropical Cyclone Size

Gary M. Lackmann, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and K. A. Hill

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (508.9 kB)

8:30 AM

13C.3

Examining Tropical Cyclone Structure Variability using H*Wind Analyses

Robert A. Stenger, NPS, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (435.8 kB)

8:45 AM

13C.4

Katrina sustained wind speeds observed along the Mississippi coast

Miles B. Lawrence, Early Alert and Kevin Kennedy and Associates, Miami, FL; and B. R. Jarvinen and J. M. Pelissier

9:00 AM

13C.4

Case study of hurricane Wilma's wind structure evolution using HWRF

Katherine S. Maclay, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (236.9 kB)

9:15 AM

13C.5

A rexamination of the relationship between central pressure and maximum sustained wind speed

Jay S. Hobgood, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

13C.6

A revised hurricane pressure-wind model

Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Recorded presentation

Session 13D

Rainfall and Flooding

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS

8:00 AM

13D.1

Mesoscale precursors to the Hurricane Gaston flooding event as diagnosed from observations and numerical simulations

Zachary G. Brown, Kentucky Mesonet, Bowling Green, KY; and M. L. Kaplan and Y. L. Lin

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.1 MB)

8:15 AM

13D.2

Effects of Appalachian topography on precipitation from landfalling hurricanes

Steven Harville, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.6 MB)

8:30 AM

13D.3

Modeling Inland Flooding Due to Tropical Cyclones

Qianhong Tang, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and L. Xie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (335.8 kB)

8:45 AM

13D.4

The impact of tropical cyclone remnants on the rainfall of the North American Southwest region

Elizabeth A. Ritchie, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and K. Johnson, S. White, and D. S. Gutzler

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (174.3 kB)

9:00 AM

13D.5

Performance of FSU multimodels rainfall forecast over the tropics during June-Sep 2007

Akhilesh Kumar Mishra, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti

9:15 AM

13D.6

10-year Climatology of Tropical Rainfall Characteristics from TRMM Data

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.5 MB)

13D.7

Comparison of TRMM and CMORPH Precipitation Estimates with Rain Gauge Data from China when affected by tropical cyclones

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 14A

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change I: Observational and Theoretical Studies

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Kerry Emanuel, MIT

10:15 AM

14A.1

A critique of Emanuel's hurricane model and potential intensity theory

Roger K. Smith, Ludwig Maximilian's Univ., Munich, Germany; and M. T. Montgomery and S. Vogl

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

14A.2

Estimating the atmospheric and SST memory of tropical cyclones

Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

14A.3

Is tropical cyclone intensity change related to the strength of its convective precipitation features? Using 9 years of TRMM data to find an answer

Haiyan Jiang, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and E. Zipser

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

14A.4

A Statistical Analysis of JTWC NWPAC Intensity Trends

Stephen J. Barlow, 17th Operational Weather Squadron/Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Pearl Harbor, HI

Presentation PDF (543.2 kB)

14A.5

An Observational Study of Environmental Dynamical Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Atlantic

11:30 AM

14A.6

A retrospective study of the Interaction of the Saharan Air Layer with Atlantic basin tropical cyclones

Evan B. Forde, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and J. P. Dunion

11:45 AM

14A.7

Verification of deterministic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts: Moving beyond mean absolute error

Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (286.3 kB)

Session 14B

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones II: Passive Microwave

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL

10:15 AM

14B.1

Tropical cyclone multiple eyewall characteristics

Jeffrey D. Hawkins, NRL, Monterey, CA; and M. Helveston

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

14B.2

Tropical cyclone environmental vertical wind shear analysis using a microwave sounder

Raymond M. Zehr, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO; and J. Knaff and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (144.6 kB)

10:45 AM

14B.3

Hurricane analysis with microwave sounder observations

Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

14B.4

The dependence of the microwave emissivity of the ocean on hurricane force wind speed

Christopher S. Ruf, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; and A. M. Mims and C. C. Hennon

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (161.4 kB)

11:15 AM

14B.5

Improved microwave remote sensing of hurricane wind speed and rain rates using the Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRAD)

Salem El-Nimri, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and S. Al-Sweiss, R. Amarin, W. L. Jones, and C. S. Ruf

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (482.5 kB)

11:30 AM

14B.6

Passive Microwave Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones

Ian Stuart Adams, NRL, Washington, DC; and M. H. Bettenhausen and P. W. Gaiser

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (2.1 MB)

11:45 AM

14B.7

Potential application of airborne passive microwave observations for monitoring inland flooding caused by tropical cyclones

Robbie E. Hood, NOAA Unmanned Aircraft Systems Program, Silver Spring, MD; and C. D. Radley and F. J. LaFontaine

Recorded presentation

Session 14C

Tropical Cyclone Structure III: Inner Core

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division

10:15 AM

14C.1

Hurricane Vortices in Baroclinic Environments

Christopher A. Davis, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Jones

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

14C.2

Aspects of chaotic mixing in the hurricane inner-core

Eric Hendricks, NRL, Monterey, CA; and W. H. Schubert

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (210.3 kB)

10:45 AM

14C.3

Rapid development of the tropical cyclone warm core

Wayne H. Schubert, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and J. L. Vigh

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

14C.4

The evolution of thermodynamic structures in the inner core of Humberto (2001)

Klaus Dolling, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI; and G. Barnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (367.8 kB)

11:15 AM

14C.5

Internal structure of Hurricane Isabel at landfall

Renee Curry, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. I. Biggerstaff

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

14C.6

Core convection in Hurricane Frances (2004)

Jaclyn D. Frank, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

14C.7

Effect of baroclinicity on vortex axisymmetrization

Jiayi Peng, Environmental Modeling Center /NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD 20746, Camp Springs, MD; and M. S. Peng and T. Li

Recorded presentation

Session 14D

Convectively Coupled Waves I

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY

10:15 AM

14D.1

Modulation of diurnal convection by convectively coupled equatorial waves

George Kiladis, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. N. Tulich

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

14D.2

Convectively-coupled gravity wave disturbances in the Tropics

Stefan N. Tulich, CIRES/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and G. N. Kiladis

10:45 AM

14D.3

Eastward-moving cloud clusters in a super cloud cluster in January 2007

Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

14D.4

Analysis of convectively coupled Kelvin waves in 21 WCRP CMIP3 models

Katherine H. Straub, Susquehanna University, Selinsgrove, PA; and P. Haertel and G. N. Kiladis

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

14D.5

Synoptic-scale disturbances embedded in the Madden-Julian Oscillation compared under the different ENSO phases

Ayako Seiki, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Kanagawa, Japan; and Y. N. Takayabu, H. Kubota, H. Yamada, K. Yoneyama, R. Shirooka, and M. Yoshizaki

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

14D.6

Statistical representation of equatorial waves and tropical instability waves in the Pacific Ocean

Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Kiladis and P. E. Roundy

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

14D.7

A revised method of presenting wavenumber-frequency power spectrum diagrams

Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and B. Yang and X. Fu

Recorded presentation

Lunch Break

Location: Wyndham Orlando Resort

Session 15A

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change II: Rapid Intensification

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michelle Mainelli, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL

1:15 PM

15A.1

Rapid tropical cyclone transitions to major hurricane intensity: structural evolution of infrared imagery

John Knaff, NOAA/NESDIS, Fort Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (361.4 kB)

1:30 PM

15A.2

Signs of Rapid Intensification as Depicted in the Microwave Imagery

Roger T. Edson, NOAA/NWS, Barrigada, Guam

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (160.8 kB)

1:45 PM

15A.3

“Optimal” Conditions for Rapid Intensifications of Tropical Cyclones with Limited Factors

Ruixin Yang, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA; and J. Tang and M. Kafatos

Presentation PDF (144.9 kB)

2:00 PM

15A.4

Vortical hot towers in a rapidly intensifying mature hurricane: observations and implications

Kelly C. Smith, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin

Recorded presentation

2:15 PM

15A.5

The rapid intensification of Guillermo (1997)

Gary M. Barnes, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Sitkowski

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (336.8 kB)

2:30 PM

15A.6

Thermodynamic precursors to rapidly intensifying Atlantic Basin hurricanes

Richard G. Henning, 46th Weather Squadron, Eglin AFB, FL

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (982.1 kB)

2:45 PM

15A.7

A revised rapid intensification index for the Atlantic and E. Pacific basins

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and M. DeMaria

Recorded presentation

Session 15B

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones III: Satellite-Derived Ocean Surface Winds

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Paul S. Chang, NOAA/NESDIS

1:15 PM

15B.1

The impact of QuikSCAT ocean surface vector wind retrievals in tropical cyclone analysis at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

Michael J. Brennan, NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and R. D. Knabb and P. Chang

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

15B.2

Statistical analysis of surface wind distribution of typhoons on western North Pacific observed by scatterometer for 9 years

Kotaro Bessho, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; and T. Nakazawa and M. Ueno

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.7 MB)

1:45 PM

15B.3

Q-Winds satellite hurricane wind retrievals and H*Wind comparisons

Pet Laupattarakasem, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and W. L. Jones, C. C. Hennon, P. Black, J. Allard, and A. Harless

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (198.8 kB)

2:00 PM

15B.4

Preliminary assessment of the utility of ASCAT wind vector retrievals at the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center

R. D. Knabb; and P. S. Chang, Hugh D. Cobb III, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL, and Z. Jelenak

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (109.7 kB)

2:15 PM

15B.5

Simulation of the impact of new ocean surface wind measurements on H*Wind analyses

Timothy L. Miller, NASA/MSFC, Huntsville, AL; and R. Atlas, P. Black, S. S. Chen, C. C. Hennon, R. Hood, J. W. Johnson, L. Jones, C. S. Ruf, and E. W. Uhlhorn

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

15B.6

High Acccuracy Ocean Surface Winds from SAR Imagery

Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and H. Shen and Y. He

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

15B.7

XOVWM: the Next-Generation Ocean Surface Vector Winds Mission

E. Rodriguez, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and B. W. Stiles, S. L. Durden, R. S. Dunbar, D. Esteban-Fernandez, P. S. Chang, Z. Jelenak, and S. Veleva

Recorded presentation

Session 15C

Tropical Cyclone Structure IV: Vertical Structure

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: David S. Nolan, University of Miami

1:15 PM

15C.1

Relationship betwen tropical cyclone size and diabatic heating profile

Masahiro Sawada, Meteorological Research Institute, Japan; and T. Iwasaki

Recorded presentation

1:30 PM

15C.2

Extreme helicity and intense convective towers in Hurricane Bonnie (1998)

John E. Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY; and D. Vollaro

Recorded presentation

1:45 PM

15C.3

Vertical Profiles of Mean and Perturbation Structure of the Hurricane Boundary Layer from the GPS dropsondes

Jun A. Zhang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and W. Drennan and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

2:00 PM

15C.4

Upshear-downshear variations in tropical cyclones from dropsondes

Kay L. Shelton, SUNY, Albany, NY

2:15 PM

15C.5

Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on Intensity and Rainfall Asymmetries of Strong Tropical Storm Bilis (2006)

Jinhua Yu, Nanjing University of Information Science and Techonology, Nanjing, China; and Z. Tan

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

15C.6

Moist vortex resiliency in vertical shear flow

Paul D. Reasor, NOAA Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL; and S. L. Young and M. D. Eastin

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

15C.7

The vertical structure of tangential winds in tropical cyclones: theory, observations, and models

Daniel P. Stern, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan

Recorded presentation

Session 15D

Convectively Coupled Waves II

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: George N. Kiladis, ESRL

1:15 PM

15D.1

Gravity waves in shear and implications for organized convection

Samuel N. Stechmann, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI; and A. J. Majda and B. Khouider

1:30 PM

15D.2

Convectively coupled waves in a simple multi-cloud model on a beta-plane

Boualem Khouider, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada; and A. J. Majda

1:45 PM

15D.3

Simulating large scale tropical waves

Sharon L. Sessions, New Mexico Tech, Socorro, NM; and D. J. Raymond and Z. Fuchs

2:00 PM

15D.4

Diagnosing MJO and convection behaviour in SP-CAM and CAM simulation

Hongyan Zhu, BMRC, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia; and H. H. Hendon and C. Jacob

Presentation PDF (54.6 kB)

2:15 PM

15D.5

African easterly wave dynamics in a full-physics numerical model

Gareth J. Berry, Monash University, Melbourne., Victoria, Australia; and C. Thorncroft

Recorded presentation

2:30 PM

15D.6

A toy model of the instability in the equatorially trapped convectively coupled waves

Joseph Allan Andersen, Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA; and Z. Kuang

Recorded presentation

2:45 PM

15D.7

Synoptic wave perturbations and convective cystems over equatorial Africa

Hanh Nguyen, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and J. P. Duvel

Recorded presentation

Formal Poster Viewing

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Poster Session 2A

Poster Session Hurricanes and Climate

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2A.1

Seasonal prediction of tropical cyclone activity over the East China Sea using the multivariate least absolute deviation regression method

P2A.1

Typhoon Landfall Variations in East China during the Last 500 years

Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and M. Xu

P2A.2

Relationship of the Atlantic Meridional Mode with Atlantic hurricane tracks

Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and J. P. Kossin

P2A.3

A very fine-resolution relocatable grid tropical cyclone climate model

Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia; and K. C. Nguyen, J. L. McGregor, and M. Stirling

P2A.4

Climatology of tropical cyclones in WRF-NRCM simulations

Asuka Suzuki-Parker, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA; and P. J. Webster and G. J. Holland

P2A.5

Daily to Seasonal Higher Latitude North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Threat Prediction

Clark Evans, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Hart

P2A.6

Climate Variation and Prediction of Rapid Intensification

Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and X. Zhou

P2A.7

Climate change and Caribbean hurricanes

Mark Jury, University of Puerto Rico Mayaguez, Mayaguez, PR

P2A.8

Enso signatures in landfalling Tropical Cyclones along the western Gulf of Mexico

P2A.9

The inability of winter to forget the memory of tropical cyclones

Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart

P2A.10

The interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the Southern South China Sea

Zabani Md. Zuki, Malaysian Meteorological Service; and G. L. Limpert and A. R. Lupo

Handout (790.4 kB)

P2A.11

Impact of tropical cyclones on interannual rainfall variability over the western North Pacific

Hisayuki Kubota, Research Institute for Global Change/ Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan; and B. Wang

P2A.12

Data stewardship of global tropical cyclone best tracks

Michael C. Kruk, STG, Inc., Asheville, NC; and K. R. Knapp, D. H. Levinson, and J. P. Kossin

Handout (664.0 kB)

P2A.13

On the Impacts of Climate Change on Midlatitude North Atlantic Landfalling Cyclones

Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Yao and W. Zhang

P2A.14

Analysis of environmental factors associated with tropical cyclone activity in a future climate

Kevin Talgo, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC; and A. Aiyyer

P2A.16

An analysis of tropical cyclone activity in a warmer climate: results from a high-resolution coupled general circulation model

Enrico Scoccimarro, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Bologna, Italy, Bologna, Italy; and S. Gualdi and A. Navarra

P2A.15

The impact of ENSO on tropical cyclone activity over western North Pacific using very high resolution AGCM

Sung-Bin Park, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South); and D. Kim and I. S. Kang

Poster Session 2B

Poster Session Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2B.1

An examination of COSMIC in the tropical cyclone environment

Christopher M. Hill, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and P. J. Fitzpatrick, H. Karan, and Y. Lau

P2B.2

Impact of GPS Radio occultation observations on ensemble analyses and forecasts of tropical Storms

Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, Y. Chen, and C. Snyder

P2B.3

Improvement of WSR-88D VAD Winds: Cyclonic Wind Fields

Vincent T. Wood, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK

Handout (3.0 MB)

P2B.4

Rainfall characteristics of tropical cyclones and their contributions to the total rain analyzed with TRMM satellite data

Yukari N. Takayabu, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Chiba, Japan; and C. Yokoyama

P2B.5

Research studies in progress at RSMC La Réunion : microwave imagery database related on tropical cyclones ; estimation of tropical cyclone genesis probability over the south-west indian ocean with ECMWF ensemble prediction forecast

Anne-Claire Fontan, METEO-FRANCE, Sainte-Clotilde, La Reunion, France; and O. Cabanes

Handout (695.0 kB)

P2B.6

O2-band differential absorption radar for sea level pressure barometry: Improvements in hurricane predictions

Bing Lin, NASA/LaRC, Hampton, VA; and Q. Min, Y. Hu, S. Harrah, R. Lawrence, and D. Fralick

P2B.7

Assessment of Objective Satellite-Based Techniques as Viable Alternatives to Subjective Dvorak Estimates

Gregory M. Gallina, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Spring, MD; and M. Turk

P2B.8

The new CIMSS tropical cyclone web site: A portal to advances in satellite analysis

Christopher S. Velden, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

P2B.9

Using airborne Doppler radar to examine eyewall momentum and vorticity budgets

Jessica L. Fieux, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and P. D. Reasor

P2B.10

Improved microwave radiometric imaging of surface wind speed dynamics in the hurricane eye-wall

Ruba Amarin, Univ. Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and C. S. Ruf, L. Jones, and S. S. Chen

Handout (105.5 kB)

P2B.11

Tropical cyclone intensity forecasting using a satellite-based total precipitable water product

Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO; and J. Hawkins, J. P. Dunion, and D. K. Smith

Handout (226.3 kB)

P2B.12

Automatic quality control and analysis of airborne Doppler data: real-time applications, and automatically post-processed analyses for research

John F. Gamache, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge and N. F. Griffin

Handout (661.9 kB)

P2B.13

Three-dimensional structure of Hurricane Rita boundary layer from the IWRAP radar

Sylvie Lorsolo, CIMAS/University of Miami, Miami, FL; and P. P. Dodge, P. Black, R. F. Contreras, J. Carswell, S. J. Frasier, P. Chang, and D. Fernandez

Handout (2.6 MB)

P2B.14

Comparing Radar-Observed Hurricane Inner-Core Structure with that from Model-Prediction with and without Radar Data Assimilation

Yonghui Wu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO; and X. Zou

P2B.15

A Technique for Anticipating Initial Rapid Increases in Intensity in Tropical Cyclones, Using 37 gHz Microwave Imagery

Margaret E. Kieper, Independent Consultant, Burnsville, MN

Handout (745.5 kB)

P2B.16

Uncertainty in Scatterometer-Derived Vorticity

Kelly McBeth, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and M. A. Bourassa, P. D. Reasor, and P. Cunningham

Poster Session 2C

Poster Session Tropical Cyclogenesis

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2C.1

What triggers tropical cyclogenesis off the West African coast?

Qinghua Ding, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

Handout (62.3 kB)

P2C.2

Hurricane Formation in Diabatic Ekman Turbulence

David A. Schecter, NorthWest Research Associates, Redmond, WA; and T. J. Dunkerton

P2C.3

Mesoscale and convective-scale characteristics of an incipient tropical depression observed over the western North Pacific

Hiroyuki Yamada, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), Yokosuka, Japan; and R. Shirooka, M. Katsumata, T. Ushiyama, Q. Moteki, B. Geng, K. Yoneyama, H. Uyeda, K. Gohara, and K. Bessho

P2C.4

An objective algorithm for the identification of convective tropical cloud clusters in geostationary infrared imagery

Chip N. Helms, UNC Asheville, Asheville, NC; and C. C. Hennon and K. R. Knapp

Handout (276.8 kB)

P2C.5

An analysis of Convection-SAL Interaction to the NAMMA 2006 Field Campaign and the Relationship to Tropical Cyclogenesis

P2C.6

Transition from an Eastern Pacific Upper-Level Mixed Rossby-Gravity Wave to a Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone

Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

P2C.7

The 2004 merger of tropical storm Lisa and an african eastery wave: an example of a Fujiwhara interaction in the central tropical Atlantic

P2C.8

Lagrangian boundaries and flow visualization of the genesis of Hurricane Felix (2007)

Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and M. T. Montgomery and T. J. Dunkerton

P2C.9

A first look at the genesis of Typhoon Manyi (2007) during the TCS-08 Dry Run

Michael T. Montgomery, NPS, Monterey, CA; and Z. Wang and T. J. Dunkerton

P2C.10

Modulation of African waves from the advection of upper level moisture from the Tropical Easterly Jet

Mrinal K. Biswas, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. N. Krishnamurti

P2C.11

The influence of desertic aerosols on tropical cyclones

E.M. Hicks, Université des Antilles et de la Guyane, Pointe à Pitre, Guadeloupe; and C. A. Pontikis and E. R. Williams

Handout (330.5 kB)

P2C.12

Hurrcane genesis & intensification in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico, and the North Atlantic Ocean

William Paul Sokeland, ANL, Oakland City, IN

Poster Session 2D

Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2D.1

Impact of rain rate initialization, cloud microphysics and angular momentum torques on hurricane intensity

P2D.2

Idealized numerical study of tropical cyclone intensification on a beta-plane

Sang Van Nguyen, Department of Physics, University of Munich, Munich, Germany; and R. Smith and M. T. Montgomery

P2D.3

Guidance for Rapid Changes in Hurricane Intensity from Inner Core Data Sets and Multiple Diagnostic Approaches

Anu Simon, Dept. of Meteorology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and T. N. Krishnamurti, L. Stefanova, A. Martin, B. A . Schenkel, and A. Hayes

P2D.4

Hurricane control

Brian Sandler, none, West Bloomfield, MI

Handout (236.4 kB)

P2D.5

Simulated and observed updrafts and downdrafts in Hurricane Dennis (2005): Relationship to intensity

Eric C. Meyers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL; and G. M. McFarquhar, B. F. Jewett, and M. S. Gilmore

P2D.6

Rapid intensification of a tropical hurricane as self-organized development of open dissipative system

Irakli G. Shekriladze, Georgian Technical Univ., Tbilisi, Georgia

Handout (217.9 kB)

P2D.7

Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Intensity to the Representation of Ice Microphysics

Yi Jin, NRL, Monterey, CA; and J. D. Doyle, J. Schmidt, and S. Wang

P2D.8

The modulation of tropical cyclone structure and intensity by evolving outflow layer environmental flow

Eric D. Rappin, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and G. J. Tripoli and M. C. Morgan

P2D.9

A bottom-up route of tropical cyclone intensity change in vertical wind shear

Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang

P2D.10

Do gravity waves transport angular momentum away from tropical cyclones?

Yumin Moon, University of Miami, Miami, FL; and D. S. Nolan

Poster Session 2E

Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Observations

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2E.1

GPS Dropwindsonde observations of tropical cyclone low-level wind maxima

Ian M. Giammanco, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder, M. D. Powell, and D. A. Smith

Handout (241.5 kB)

P2E.1

The Reanalysis of the Tropical Cyclones Intensity in the South Pacific during the 1982-1983 El Nino

P2E.2

The Aeroclipper: A new device to explore convective systems and cyclones

Jean-Philippe Duvel, Laboratoire de Météotrologie Dynamique, Paris, France; and C. Basdevant, H. Bellenger, G. Reverdin, J. Vialard, and A. Vargas

P2E.3

Images of Katrina (2005) below the cloud

Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and B. A. Walter, W. A. Perrie, D. G. Long, C. Nie, J. A. Zhang, P. G. Black, and R. F. Rogers

P2E.4

An extreme event during a research flight in Hurricane Felix

Sim Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL; and R. Rogers, E. Uhlhorn, and J. Gamache

P2E.5

The JPL tropical cyclone information system: design and implementation

Brian W. Knosp, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and C. O. Ao, Y. Chao, V. T. Dang, M. Garay, Z. S. Haddad, S. M. Hristova-Veleva, B. H. Lambrigtsen, P. P. Li, K. J. Park, W. L. Poulsen, H. Su, D. G. Vane, Q. A. Vu, J. K. Willis, and D. L. Wu

P2E.6

Scale Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Variability in Observations of Tropical Cyclones

Sam Trahan, EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. C. Sparling, J. Halverson, and J. Bacmeister

Handout (414.8 kB)

Poster Session 2F

Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Structure

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2F.1

A theory on the expansion of Hurricane Katrina's wind field

Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Mississippi State Univ., Stennis Space Center, MS; and C. M. Hill, Y. Lau, Y. Li, and J. Corbin

P2F.2

Simulating the Structure of Hurricane Katrina

Martin L. M. Wong, Dept. of Earth Sciences, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. K. Kimball and K. G. Blackwell

P2F.3

Formula of spiral cloud-rain bands of a tropical cyclone

Boris S. Yurchak, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD

Handout (340.0 kB)

P2F.4

Evolving low-wavenumber flows and the distribution of deep eyewall convection during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Guillermo (1997)

Matthew D. Eastin, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and P. D. Reasor

P2F.5

Simulation and parameterization of large turbulent eddy transport in the hurricane boundary layer

Ping Zhu, Florida International University, Miami, FL

P2F.6

Asymptotic analysis of the motion and structure of sheared mesoscale vortices

Rupert Klein, Freie Universität Berlin (FUB), 14195 Berlin, Germany; and E. Mikusky, A. Owinoh, and P. Marschalik

P2F.7

Effects of surface exchange coefficients for high wind speeds on typhoon structure

Yoshiaki Miyamoto, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and T. Takemi

Handout (121.2 kB)

P2F.8

Eliassen's linear model for a vortex boundary layer applied to a hurricane

Stefanie Vogl, University of Munich, Munich, Germany

P2F.9

Spatial and statistical distribution of convective and stratiform clouds in the gyre-pouch of incipient tropical cyclones

Timothy J. Dunkerton, NorthWest Research Associates, Bellevue, WA; and M. T. Montgomery, Z. Wang, and K. J. Tory

P2F.10

Diagnosing hurricane mixing properties by Lagrangian techniques

Blake Rutherford, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and G. Danglemayr and J. Persing

P2F.11

Observations of the structure and evolution of surface and flight-level wind asymmetries in Hurricane Rita (2005)

Robert F. Rogers, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn

P2F.12

Simulations and observations of extreme low-level updrafts in Hurricane Isabel

Daniel P. Stern, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and D. S. Nolan and S. D. Aberson

Handout (207.7 kB)

P2F.13

The distribution of helicity and intense convection in tropical cyclones

Kristen L. Corbosiero, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA; and J. Molinari, D. Vollaro, W. Wang, and J. M. Done

P2F.14

Using Lagrangian boundary concepts to investigate environmental interaction of tropical cyclones in vertical shear

Michael Riemer, NPS, Monterey, CA; and M. T. Montgomery, M. E. Nicholls, K. Emanuel, and B. H. Tang

P2F.15

On the breakdown of a primary spiral rainband in Typhoon Haitang (2005) before and after its landfall

Zhiying Ding, Pacific Typhoon Research Center, KLME, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China; and Y. Wang and Y. Wang

Handout (1.5 MB)

Poster Session 2G

Poster Session Tropical Cyclone Track

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2G.1

Structural Asymmetries and Track Changes of Tropical Cyclones during Landfall: Beta-Plane Simulations

K.C. Szeto, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and J. C. L. Chan

P2G.2

The effects of sea-surface temperature and static stability on WRF simulated intensity and track of selected 2005 Atlantic Hurricanes

Stanley D. Gedzelman, City College of New York, New York, NY; and K. Y. Kong

Handout (1.6 MB)

P2G.3

Track and Structural Changes Associated with Tropical Cyclone Making Landfall Near a River Delta

Andie Y. M. Au-Yeung, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

P2G.4

Hurricane deflection by sea surface temperature anomalies

M.E. McCulloch, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and J. T. Heming and J. D. Stark

Handout (387.9 kB)

P2G.5

Tropical cyclone steering as a potential vorticity advection process: the role of cumulus parameterizations in defining an optimum steering column

Brett Thomas Hoover, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and M. C. Morgan

Poster Session 2H

Poster Session Tropical Cyclones at Landfall

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

P2H.1

Wind versus Water Damage to Buildings: A Meteorological Perspective

Timothy P. Marshall, Haag Engineering Co., Irving, TX

Handout (1.4 MB)

P2H.2

Examination of the coastal transition zone of hurricane frances

Brian D. Hirth, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and J. L. Schroeder

P2H.3

Tree damage in Quintana Roo, Mexico caused by Hurricane Dean (2007)

Corene J. Matyas, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL

Handout (166.9 kB)

P2H.4

Distribution of severe weather indices in landfalling numerically simulated hurricanes

Christina Holt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. K. Kimball

Handout (1.2 MB)

P2H.5

The effectiveness of measured and derived tropical cyclone parameters in predicting coastal damage

Ronald, L. Schumann III, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and K. G. Blackwell and S. Kimball

Handout (32.6 kB)

P2H.6

Microphysical and dynamical characteristics in the stratiform region of Tropical Storm Gabrielle at landfall

Dong-Kyun Kim, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp

Handout (221.4 kB)

P2H.7

Numerical simulations of supercell tornadogenesis associated with Typhoon Shanshan (2006)

Wataru Mashiko, MRI/JMA, Tsukuba, Japan

P2H.8

Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part I: Case studies from 2006 and 2007

Luis M. Farfan, CICESE, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California, Mexico; and R. Romero-Centeno, G. B. Raga, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo

Handout (1.5 MB)

P2H.9

Verification of quantitative precipitation forecast guidance from NWP models and the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center for 2005–2007 tropical cyclones with U.S. rainfall impacts

Michael J. Brennan, NOAA/NWS/Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Clark and M. Klein

Handout (837.2 kB)

P2H.10

Landfalling tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific. Part II: WRF simulations of John and Paul (2006)

D. Pozo, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, DF, Mexico; and G. B. Raga, L. M. Farfan, R. Romero-Centeno, and J. Zavala-Hidalgo

Handout (1.1 MB)

P2H.11

Simulations of Near-Ground Hurricane Winds Influenced by Built Structures

Christopher D. Karstens, Iowa State University, Ames, IA; and W. A. Gallus Jr.

Handout (571.9 kB)

P2H.12

A numerical modeling investigation of the impact of coastal roughness and moisture availability on the 10-meter horizontal wind field of a landfalling hurricane

Javier Vazquez, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and S. Kimball

P2H.13

Estimates of turbulence dissipation rate from high frequency surface wind observations for landfalling tropical cyclones

Paul Ruscher, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and W. Maxham

P2H.14

WSR-88D analysis of tornadic and nontornadic deep convection in landfalling tropical cyclone rainbands

Michael C. Link, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and M. D. Eastin

Handout (2.6 MB)

P2H.15

An analysis of the of the mean decay rate and decay abnormalities of tropical cyclones over land in the North Atlantic Basin

Matt Bloemer, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

P2H.16

Frequency of collapsing precipitation cores within the eyewalls of U.S. landfalling hurricanes (1994-2007)

Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and J. M. Medlin

Handout (1.8 MB)

P2H.17

Landfall forecast biases for Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclones

Lance Wood, NOAA, Dickinson, TX

Handout (31.8 kB)

P2H.18

The Hurricane Severity Index – A destructive potential rating system for tropical cyclones

Chris Hebert, ImpactWeather, Inc., Houston, TX; and B. Weinzapfel and M. Chambers

Session 16

Interactions between Tropical Cyclones and Large Scale Patterns

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Moderator: Paul E. Roundy, SUNY

7:00 PM

16.1

What role do tropical cyclones play in the global circulation?

William M. Frank, Penn State University, University Park, PA

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (32.7 kB)

7:15 PM

16.2

The Atlantic meridional mode: predictability, dynamics, and impacts on tropical cyclones

Daniel J. Vimont, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin and D. Smirnov

Recorded presentation

7:30 PM

16.3

Examining the modulation of tropical cyclones by the MJO using a genesis potential index

Suzana J. Camargo, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY; and M. C. Wheeler and A. H. Sobel

Recorded presentation

7:45 PM

16.4

Flooding in southern Mexico, tropical cyclone Noel and intense European storms in late October and early November 2007: Linked weather systems?

Lance F. Bosart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and H. M. Archambault and J. M. Cordeira

Recorded presentation

Session 17A

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III: Statistical-Dynamical Forecast Methods

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: John E. Molinari, Univ. at Albany/SUNY

8:00 AM

17A.1

Merging statistical and dynamical forecasts for hurricane prediction

Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD

8:15 AM

17A.2

A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity evolution

Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (116.6 kB)

17A.3

A Statistical Intensity Prediction Scheme for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific

8:45 AM

17A.4

A simple parameterization of sea surface cooling beneath a hurricane inner core

Andrea B. Schumacher, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and M. DeMaria, I. Ginis, and B. Thomas

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (233.9 kB)

9:00 AM

17A.5

The use of a SHIPS ensemble for probabilistic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts

Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. DeMaria

9:15 AM

17A.6

Examination of environmental characteristics associated with secondary eyewall formation and their implications on intensity forecasts

Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

17A.7

Evaluating a revised 24-hour Atlantic statistical hurricane intensification model with operational numerical models

Kevin T. Law, Marshall University, Huntington, WV

Recorded presentation

Session 17B

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones IV: Radar

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Colin McAdie, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC

8:00 AM

17B.1

Determining surface winds from doppler radar data during hurricane passages over Florida

Philip D. Hayes, Northrop Grumman, Chantilly, VA; and H. E. Fuelberg and R. Hart

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

17B.2

A study of Doppler radar winds in Hurricane Wilma (2005)

Peter P. Dodge, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and P. Hebert, S. T. Murillo, and M. D. Powell

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

17B.3

Determination of the circulation center and inner core evolution of Hurricane Danny (1997) using the GBVTD-simplex algorithm

Shirley T. Murillo, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and W. C. Lee, G. M. Barnes, M. M. Bell, and F. D. Marks Jr.

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (502.9 kB)

8:45 AM

17B.4

Development of mobile dual-polarimetric radars for hurricane studies

Michael I. Biggerstaff, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Zahrai

Recorded presentation

9:00 AM

17B.5

Investigating the Kinematic and Thermodynamic Environment of a Landfalling Stratiform Rainband using Radar and Ground-Based Remote Sensing

Michael D. Williams, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and K. R. Knupp

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

17B.6

The NEXRAD in SPACE: Potential Improvements to Hurricane Analysis and Prediction

Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and H. Fang, Z. S. Haddad, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks Jr., Y. Ramat-Sammi, E. A. Smith, S. Tanelli, and C. S. Velden

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

17B.7

The three-dimensional reflectivity structure of Atlantic hurricanes as seen by the TRMM precipitation radar

Deanna A. Hence, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA; and R. A. Houze Jr.

Recorded presentation

Session 17C

Tropical Cyclone Structure V: Eye and Eyewall Structure

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Michael T. Montgomery, NPS

8:00 AM

17C.1

Does friction initiate hurricane eye formation?

Jonathan L. Vigh, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (1.6 MB)

8:15 AM

17C.2

Eyewall evolution for typhoons crossed the terrains

Kun-Hsuan Chou, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Chinese Culture University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

17C.3

Temporal and spatial evolution of mesovortices in the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Isabel (2003)

Michael L. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and Z. Gruskin

Recorded presentation

8:45 AM

17C.4

Thermodynamic structure and evolution of the low level eye of Hurricane Lili (2002)

Paul A. Fuentes, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (522.4 kB)

9:00 AM

17C.5

Structure of the eye and eyewall of Hurricane Hugo (1989)

Frank D. Marks Jr., NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and M. T. Montgomery and R. W. Burpee

Recorded presentation

9:15 AM

17C.6

Energetics of Hurricane Bonnie (1998)

Wallace Hogsett, NOAA, Miami, FL; and D. L. Zhang

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (480.7 kB)

9:30 AM

17C.7

Pinhole eyes in tropical cyclones

Kate D. Musgrave, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and W. H. Schubert and C. A. Davis

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (46.4 kB)

Session 17D

Monsoons I

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii

8:00 AM

17D.1

Annual intensification of the Somali jet in a quasi-equilibrium framework: Observational composites

William R. Boos, Yale Univ., New Haven, CT

Recorded presentation

8:15 AM

17D.2

Seasonality of recession time and lag response to precipitation of the Ankobra and Pra Rivers in Ghana, West Africa

Michael M. Tanu, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and K. I. Mohr

Recorded presentation

8:30 AM

17D.3

Western North Pacific Monsoon Depression Formation and Structure

Jodi Beattie, Department of Physics, United States Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and R. L. Elsberry

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (148.0 kB)

8:45 AM

17D.4

Collaboration of intraseasonal oscillation and synoptic-scale disturbances in the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

Hang Wai Tong, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong; and J. C. L. Chan

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (529.0 kB)

9:00 AM

17D.5

A linkage between subtropical SST dipole event in southern Indian Ocean and ENSO developing

Hongming Yan, Yunan Climate Center, Kunming, China, Kunming, China; and W. Zhou

9:15 AM

17D.6

Case study on internal structure of westward migratory cloud systems with diurnal cycle observed in the west Sumatera during HARIMAU2006 campaign

Namiko Sakurai, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), yokosuka, Japan; and S. Mori, M. Kawashima, Y. Fujiyoshi, J. I. Hamada, H. Fudeyasu, Y. Tabata, F. Syamsudin, M. D. Yamanaka, and J. Matsumoto

Recorded presentation

9:30 AM

17D.7

The Diurnal Cycle of Convection in NAME: Observations Versus Reanalysis

Paul E. Ciesielski, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. Johnson

Recorded presentation

Coffee Break

Location: Palms ABCD (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Session 18B

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones V: Lightning Detection

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Ronald L. Holle, (Lightning) Vaisala

10:15 AM

18B.1

The Morphology of Eyewall Lightning Outbreaks in Two Category Five Hurricanes

Kirt A. Squires, NOAA/NWS, Ronkonkoma, NY; and S. Businger

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

18B.2

Using remotely sensed data to discriminate tropical cyclogenesis

Lesley A. Leary, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and E. A. Ritchie

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (355.7 kB)

10:45 AM

18B.3

Operational applications of long range lightning data at the National Hurricane Center

Richard D. Knabb, NOAA/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL; and J. Cangialosi, C. Lauer, N. W. Demetriades, and R. L. Holle

Recorded presentation

Session 18A

Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change IV: Modeling Studies

Location: Palms GF (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Jamie Rhome, NOAA/NHC

10:15 AM

18A.1

The Alignment and Intensification of Tropical Cyclone under a Sheared Environment

Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang

10:30 AM

18A.2

Prediction of Atlantic tropical cyclones with the Advanced Hurricane WRF (AHW) model

Jimy Dudhia, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Done, W. Wang, Y. Chen, Q. Xiao, C. Davis, G. Holland, R. Rotunno, and R. Torn

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (799.1 kB)

18A.3

Evaluating the performance of high-resolution WRF-ARW simulations on TC intensity change during SAL outbreaks

11:00 AM

18A.4

Superintensity evaluation in dry and moist hurricanes

Agnieszka Mrowiec, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ; and S. T. Garner and O. Pauluis

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

18A.5

Isolating surface flux influences on simulated hurricane intensity

John Persing, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (256.0 kB)

11:30 AM

18A.6

Numerical Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using an Air-Sea-Wave Coupled Prediction System

Lian Xie, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and B. Liu, X. Zhang, S. Peng, and H. Liu

11:45 AM

18A.7

The maximum intensity of hurricanes in axisymmetric numerical models

George H. Bryan, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Rotunno

Recorded presentation

Session 18C

Tropical Cyclone Structure VI: Concentric Eyewalls

Location: Palms H (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University

10:15 AM

18C.1

Atlantic reconnaissance vortex message climatology and composites and their use in characterizing eyewall cycles

David Joseph Piech, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart

Recorded presentation

10:30 AM

18C.2

The Role of Vortex Rossby Wave Dynamics on the Early Stage of Concentric Eyewall Formation

Yosvany H. Martinez, Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and G. Brunet and M. K. Yau

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

18C.3

Some dynamical aspects of tropical cyclone concentric eyewalls

Christopher M. Rozoff, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and W. H. Schubert and J. P. Kossin

Recorded presentation

11:00 AM

18C.4

Interaction Between Two Concentric Potential Vorticity Rings – Implications to the Evolution of Hurricane Concentric Eyewall

Jia Hu, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii at Manoa,, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Wang

11:15 AM

18C.5

Secondary eyewall formation in two idealized, full-physics modeled hurricanes

Wesley D. Terwey, University of South Alabama, Fort Collins, CO; and M. T. Montgomery

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

18C.6

Hurricane Katrina's eyewall replacement cycle over the northern Gulf and accompanying double eyewalls at landfall: A key to the storm's huge size and devastating impact over a three-state coastal region

Keith G. Blackwell, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL; and A. Wimmers, C. S. Velden, P. J. Fitzpatrick, and B. Jelley

Recorded presentation

11:45 AM

18C.7

Western north Pacific typhoons with concentric eyewalls

H.-C. Kuo, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. P. Chang

Session 18D

Monsoons II

Location: Palms I (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: William R. Boos, Yale Univ.

10:15 AM

18D.1

An early winter cooling in East Asia in a global warming scenario

Wen Zhou, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and K. Wei

10:30 AM

18D.2

Improving Forecasts of Asian Monsoon Rainfall Using COSMIC Radio Occultation Refractivity Observations

Hui Liu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. Anderson, B. Kuo, G. X. Wu, C. Snyder, and Y. Chen

Recorded presentation

10:45 AM

18D.3

Evaluation of land-atmosphere interactions in models of the North American Monsoon

Patrick John Kelly, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL

11:00 AM

18D.4

The aerosol- and water vapor-related variability of precipitation in the West Africa Monsoon

Jingfeng Huang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and C. Zhang and J. M. Prospero

Recorded presentation

Presentation PDF (280.8 kB)

11:15 AM

18D.5

Concept and Changes of the Global Monsoon Precipitation

Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and Q. Ding and J. Liu

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

18D.6

Monsoons as eddy-mediated regime transitions of the tropical overturning circulation: I. Simulations with an aquaplanet GCM

Simona Bordoni, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and T. Schneider

Recorded presentation

Session 18E

Remote Sensing of Tropical Cyclones VI: Altimetry

Location: Palms E (Wyndham Orlando Resort)

Host: 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Chair: Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC

11:00 AM

18E.1

Validation and Application of Altimetry-derived Upper Ocean Thermal Structure in the Western North Pacific Ocean for Typhoon Intensity Forecast

Iam Fei Pun, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. I. Lin, C. R. Wu, D. S. Ko, and W. T. Liu

Recorded presentation

11:15 AM

18E.2

Storm surge measurement with an airborne scanning radar altimeter

Edward J. Walsh, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and C. W. Wright, W. B. Krabill, W. A. Shaffer, S. R. Baig, M. Peng, L. J. Pietrafesa, A. W. Garcia, F. D. Marks Jr., P. G. Black, J. Sonntag, and B. D. Beckley

Recorded presentation

11:30 AM

18E.3

Results of First Flight Tests of an Operational Airborne Scanning Radar Altimeter

Ivan PopStefanija, ProSensing, Amherst, MA; and E. J. Walsh and P. G. Black

Recorded presentation

Conference Ends

Location: Wyndham Orlando Resort

28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Sunday, 27 April 2008

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 27 April 2008

Monday, 28 April 2008

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 28 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 28 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

8:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

Tuesday, 29 April 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

12:05 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

Wednesday, 30 April 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

Thursday, 1 May 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Thursday, 1 May 2008

Friday, 2 May 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Friday, 2 May 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Friday, 2 May 2008

10:15 AM-11:00 AM: Friday, 2 May 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Friday, 2 May 2008

11:00 AM-11:45 AM: Friday, 2 May 2008

12:00 PM-12:00 PM: Friday, 2 May 2008

Sunday, 27 April 2008

5:00 PM-7:00 PM: Sunday, 27 April 2008

Monday, 28 April 2008

7:30 AM-5:30 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

8:30 AM-9:45 AM: Monday, 28 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Monday, 28 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

6:00 PM-8:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

8:00 PM-9:00 PM: Monday, 28 April 2008

Tuesday, 29 April 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

12:05 PM-1:15 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

7:00 PM-9:00 PM: Tuesday, 29 April 2008

Wednesday, 30 April 2008

8:00 AM-9:45 AM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

9:45 AM-10:15 AM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

10:15 AM-12:00 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

12:00 PM-1:15 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

1:15 PM-3:00 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

3:00 PM-3:30 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

3:30 PM-5:15 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008

6:30 PM-8:30 PM: Wednesday, 30 April 2008